By Jared Weiss and James L. Edwards III | The Athletic, 2026-05-31 02:49:03
NBA总决赛对决正式出炉，看点颇多。
饱受折磨的纽约尼克斯队正力争自1973年以来的首个总冠军，而他们将面对的是迅速成熟的圣安东尼奥马刺队，后者似乎已准备好在德克萨斯州南部开启又一个王朝。
由杰伦·布伦森 (Jalen Brunson) 领衔、紧密团结的“维拉诺瓦尼克斯”，对决由维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama) 代表的联盟未来（或许也是现在？）。
联盟最大的媒体市场对阵第五小的媒体市场。1999年总决赛的重演。
以下是您需要了解的一切，包括我们记者的预测以及系列赛开始前的精选必读文章。
关于这次对决，您需要了解的信息
西部第2圣安东尼奥马刺（62胜20负）vs 东部第3纽约尼克斯（53胜29负）
尼克斯晋级之路：4-2击败第6亚特兰大；4-0击败第7费城；4-0击败第4克利夫兰
马刺晋级之路：4-1击败第7波特兰；4-2击败第6明尼苏达；4-3击败第1俄克拉荷马城
编辑团队预测
我们邀请了 The Athletic 的NBA记者们对系列赛结果和MVP进行了预测。
NBA总冠军：尼克斯6场夺冠（26票中获得10票）
其他预测：马刺7场（5票）、马刺6场（5票）、尼克斯7场（3票）
总决赛MVP：布伦森（25票中获得12票）
其他预测：文班亚马（11票）、卡尔-安东尼·唐斯 (Karl-Anthony Towns)（3票）
赔率：尽管正处于11连胜，且在过去11场比赛中10次赢下让分盘，纽约尼克斯队依然以被看衰的下盘身份进入总决赛。
体育博彩公司 DraftKings 开出圣安东尼奥马刺夺冠赔率为 -220（热门），这意味着其夺冠的隐含概率为 68.75%。尼克斯的夺冠赔率为 +180（冷门）。这意味着，如果您下注 100 美元买纽约夺冠，一旦他们夺冠，您将赢得 180 美元。
此外，纽约在第一场比赛中目前被让 4.5 分。
尼克斯之所以能打进总决赛，是因为……
詹姆斯·L·爱德华兹三世 (James L. Edwards III)，尼克斯随队记者：纽约在今年季后赛中找到了一种在过去两个常规赛中一直缺失的协同效应。
他们的投篮选择和球权移动都非常出色。防守端浑然一体，每个人都全力以赴。进攻端，纽约的投篮命中率、三分命中率和助攻数均领跑所有季后赛球队。防守端，尼克斯的防守效率达到 103.5，在所有季后赛球队中排名第一。
纽约在正确的时间迎来了全方位的爆发。
处于东部联盟自然也有所帮助。尼克斯在前两轮面对的是两支季后赛边缘球队，随后对阵的是在进入东部决赛前已经打了14场季后赛的骑士队。不过，这并不是纽约的错。尼克斯只能面对眼前的对手——而且自首轮第四场比赛以来，他们统治了每一个挑战者。
马刺之所以能打进总决赛，是因为……
杰拉德·魏斯 (Jared Weiss)，马刺随队记者：他们在与雷霆队的激战中积累了真正的季后赛经验，并且拥有足够的实力来为自己争取调整的时间。
其中一半原因在于文班亚马找到了应对雷霆队身体对抗的心理状态，并做出了调整以掌控自己的空间。另一半原因则是后卫线在雷霆队密不透风的防守网络中找到了突破口，同时在防守端摸索出了如何避免落入谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大 (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander) 为他们设下的犯规陷阱。
如果尼克斯夺冠，那是因为……
爱德华兹：贯穿整个季后赛的卓越防守能够限制住这支年轻、投篮起伏不定且刚刚在西部决赛中经历血战的球队。马刺队会让尼克斯队的进攻看起来回归常态（这在整个季后赛中还未发生过）。然而，尼克斯队有能力在防守端对马刺施以同样的限制，同时依然能创造出足够的得分。
如果马刺夺冠，那是因为……
魏斯：文班亚马在进攻端成为了直击篮下的冲击性力量，而尼克斯的侧翼体型并未能压制住圣安东尼奥的运球突破。尼克斯以不同的形式给马刺带来了类似于雷霆的难题，但他们的防守漏洞更多。马刺能利用这些漏洞吗？很有可能。
如果尼克斯输掉这轮系列赛，那是因为……
爱德华兹：马刺队的防守不仅阻滞了纽约的进攻，还能通过防守带动轻松的得分。如果能将马刺限制在半场阵地战中，他们是可以被击败的，但如果让他们打出转换进攻并找到节奏，对任何球队来说都将极难对付。
如果马刺输掉这轮系列赛，那是因为……
魏斯：布伦森打出了史诗级的投篮表现，唐斯从外线突破强吃文班亚马，且马刺无法在外线创造出空位机会。虽然这些情况同时且持续发生的可能性不大，不足以让尼克斯赢得系列赛，但纽约目前全队防守浑然一体，这轮系列赛注定会竞争激烈。
系列赛赛程及电视转播信息
- 第一场 在圣安东尼奥： 6月3日 晚8:30（美东时间），ABC直播
- 第二场 在圣安东尼奥：6月5日 晚8:30（美东时间），ABC直播
- 第三场 在纽约：6月8日 晚8:30（美东时间），ABC直播
- 第四场 在纽约：6月10日 晚8:30（美东时间），ABC直播
- 第五场 在圣安东尼奥：6月13日 晚8:30（美东时间），ABC直播 (如有必要)
- 第六场 在纽约：6月16日 晚8:30（美东时间），ABC直播 (如有必要)
- 第七场 在圣安东尼奥：6月19日 晚8:30（美东时间），ABC直播 (如有必要)
必读好文
来自 The Athletic 编辑团队为您精选的两队必读好文。
尼克斯
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走向这一刻的旅程——整个纽约都被一支几乎不再输球的篮球队深深迷住——始于数年之前。在尼克斯以一场又一场的大胜横扫东部联盟之前；在交易来唐斯、米卡尔·布里奇斯 (Mikal Bridges)、OG·阿奴诺比 (OG Anunoby) 和乔什·哈特 (Josh Hart) 之前；在这支球队的领袖布伦森到来之前。尼克斯——这支在本世纪大部分时间里都显得笨拙、不断自我绊倒的球队——自1999年以来首次杀入总决赛。这一切是如何发生的？（阅读弗雷德·卡茨 (Fred Katz) 的更多报道）
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有时候，最重要的举措反而是你没有做出的那些。一个月前，在对阵亚特兰大的首轮系列赛第四场开打前，尼克斯似乎已经准备好重组首发阵容以挽救他们的赛季。然而，主教练迈克·布朗 (Mike Brown) 保持了阵容不变，依靠“打得更好”这一调整……并创造了奇迹。（阅读约翰·霍林格 (John Hollinger) 的更多报道）
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唐斯最大的粉丝？一位在阿富汗牺牲的海军陆战队战士的母亲。在纽泽西州克拉克市圣艾格尼丝教堂的那个冬日清晨，凯瑟琳·莱因哈德 (Kathleen Reinhard) 并不认识唐斯。但和那里的其他人一样，她注意到了这位身高6英尺10英寸的高一新生。（阅读伊恩·奥康纳 (Ian O’Connor) 的更多报道）
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尼克斯老板詹姆斯·多兰 (James Dolan) 早在今年1月就非常明确地表示，要想避免球队进行重大重组，必须达成什么目标。“是的，我们想打进总决赛，而且我们应该赢得总决赛，”现年70岁的多兰在1月5日的一次电台采访中说道。尼克斯已经完成了第一部分。“最好能进总决赛，否则我们就会被交易掉，”当被问及多兰的言论时，哈特开玩笑说。“这算不上压力，因为这正是我们的目标。”（阅读詹姆斯·L·爱德华兹三世的更多报道）
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尼克斯是如何变强的？通过一次彻底的自我重塑。 如今这个版本的唐斯更符合主教练布朗在赛季初期试图打造的形象，但当时唐斯作为进攻核心感到有些无所适从。而现在，唐斯已经适应了这种风格，并成为了季后赛中表现最出色的球员之一。（阅读弗雷德·卡茨的更多报道）
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两个夏天前，布里奇斯从布鲁克林到曼哈顿的短暂旅程，引发了像七月地铁站台一样炽热的争论。 尼克斯向同城死敌篮网送出了五个首轮选秀权及其他筹码，交易来了布里奇斯——一位名下尚无全明星荣誉但表现可靠的NBA侧翼。许多人认为，对于他这种级别的球员来说，这笔交易溢价严重。而现在，这看起来像是一记神来之笔。（阅读詹姆斯·L·爱德华兹三世的更多报道）
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任何声称自己预言过布伦森会如此优秀的人都在撒谎。 尼克斯确实一直在寻找篮球麦加圣地的救世主。他们极度渴望一场配得上百老汇的盛宴，渴望麦迪逊广场花园重新成为尼克斯真正的主场，而不仅仅是客队精英的表演舞台。几十年来，他们追逐星光，渴望重回强队行列。但纽约篮球所渴望的超级巨星已于2022年7月悄然抵达。当时，一个身高可能只有6英尺的后卫，并没有满足尼克斯对巨星体量的大胃口。（阅读詹姆斯·L·爱德华兹三世的更多报道）
马刺
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本赛季，文班亚马亲自引入了一个完整的概念，打造了NBA历史上第一个真正的死忠球迷看台。该看台模仿了他小时候在法国长大时所崇拜的巴黎圣日耳曼足球俱乐部支持者。这是一个会员制的看台，球迷们整晚站立，敲锣打鼓，齐声高歌，营造出NBA从未有过的欧洲球场氛围。随着由文班亚马领衔的年轻马刺队打出62胜20负的战绩，这个看台已不仅仅是一群喧闹的球迷，它成为了城市自豪感的源泉。而且文班在项目的每一步都亲自给予了指导。（阅读杰拉德·魏斯的更多报道）
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当《The Athletic》本赛季要求魏斯从波士顿搬到圣安东尼奥，每天亲临一线报道文班亚马和马刺队时，其目标是揭开这位地球上最引人瞩目的新星的层层神秘面纱，让这位被称为“外星人”的球员形象更加立体和人性化。以下是魏斯对这位NBA未来领军人物的所见所感。（阅读杰拉德·魏斯的更多报道）
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今年1月，文班亚马完成了一项令人匪夷所思的壮举：在另一只脚仍踩在地面上的情况下，他用另一只脚将球网里的篮球踢了出来。极有可能的是，他是第一个做到这一点的地球人——至少是我们通过影像记录看到的第一个。拥有如此身长的球员，极少能拥有哪怕接近完成此动作所需的柔韧性。然而，那个瞬间背后的故事比这一踢本身还要令人印象深刻。（阅读杰拉德·魏斯的更多报道）
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对于本赛季接受过格雷格·波波维奇 (Gregg Popovich)指导的马刺队成员来说，大家都有一个共同的感受。波波维奇在去年卸任主教练后担任了新角色，尽管他的官方头衔是篮球运营总裁，但他的工作重点似乎是为他的继任者米奇·约翰逊 (Mitch Johnson) 以及更衣室里的每一个人提供幕后的支持与指导。“这一整年他都发挥了重要作用，”新秀卡特·布莱恩特 (Carter Bryant) 说道，“可不是每个人都能让历史上最伟大的教练随时给自己提供指导的。”（阅读杰拉德·魏斯的更多报道）
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新秀**迪伦·哈珀 (Dylan Harper)**的动作并不慢。但即使在攻防转换中，他也不会盲目地猛踩油门。他以一种耐心的节奏移动。他在运球时身体随之起伏，每一次运球都像是一次深呼吸，因为爆发随时可能发生。这是一种自信的律动。他正让马刺的未来看起来更加光明。（阅读马库斯·汤普森二世 (Marcus Thompson II) 的更多报道）
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纽带般的手环中或许蕴藏着某种魔力，将“突击兄弟”（Slash Bros）紧紧凝聚在一起。马刺队的三名控球后卫——德阿隆·福克斯 (De’Aaron Fox)、斯蒂芬·卡斯尔 (Stephon Castle) 和哈珀——已成为更衣室里一个特别的群体。（阅读杰拉德·魏斯的更多报道）
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无论是在球场上还是在他的农场里，凯尔登·约翰逊 (Keldon Johnson) 都深谙化学反应之道。 这是他最大的本领，也是他荣膺“最佳第六人”的原因。作为马刺阵中效力时间最长的球员，在NBA生涯前四个赛季绝大多数时间担任首发之后，他欣然接受了替补角色。（阅读杰拉德·魏斯的更多报道）
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西部决赛第一场改变了一切。在那个瞬间，整个联盟发生了不小的倾斜，让人们更清晰地看清了NBA可能迎来的未来。 对文班亚马统治联盟的期待，已超越了推测性的分析。 在他职业生涯的大部分时间里，他都介于传闻与现实之间——一个众人皆知却仅限于推测的奇迹。（阅读马库斯·汤普森二世的更多报道）
由生成式人工智能翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
点击查看原文：Knicks-Spurs NBA Finals mega-preview: Predictions, odds, must-reads and more
Knicks-Spurs NBA Finals mega-preview: Predictions, odds, must-reads and more
The NBA Finals matchup is officially set. And storylines abound.
The long-suffering New York Knicks, seeking their first title since 1973, versus the fast-maturing San Antonio Spurs, who look poised to launch yet another dynasty in South Texas.
The close-knit ‘Nova Knicks, captained by Jalen Brunson, versus the league’s future (and present?) in Victor Wembanyama.
The NBA’s largest media market versus its fifth-smallest. A rematch of the 1999 finals.
Here is everything you need to know, including predictions from our writers and our best reads heading into the series.
What you need to know about the matchup
No. 2 San Antonio Spurs (62-20) vs. No. 3 New York Knicks (53-29)
Knicks’ path: Beat No. 6 Atlanta, 4-2; beat No. 7 Philadelphia, 4-0; beat No. 4 Cleveland, 4-0
Spurs’ path: Beat No. 7 Portland, 4-1; beat No. 6 Minnesota, 4-2; beat No. 1 Oklahoma City, 4-3
Staff predictions
We asked The Athletic NBA writers to make the call on the series result and MVP.
NBA champion: Knicks in 6 (10 out of 26 votes)
Runners-up: Spurs in 7 (5 votes), Spurs in 6 (5), Knicks in 7 (3)
Finals MVP: Jalen Brunson (12 out of 25 votes)
Runners-up: Victor Wembanyama (11), Karl-Anthony Towns (3)
Odds: Despite an 11-game win streak and covering the spread in 10 of their last 11 games, the New York Knicks are heading into the NBA Finals as underdogs.
DraftKings sportsbook opened the San Antonio Spurs as -220 favorites, or implied odds of 68.75 percent, to win it all. The Knicks are +180 to win. Which means if you bet $100 on New York to win the title, and it did, you would win $180.
New York is also currently a 4.5-point underdog in Game 1.
The Knicks are in the NBA Finals because …
James L. Edwards III, Knicks writer: New York has found a synergy in these playoffs that was consistently absent the last two regular seasons.
The shot-making and ball movement has been superb. The defense is on a string, and everyone is committed. Offensively, New York leads all playoff teams in field goal percentage, 3-point percentage and assists. Defensively, the Knicks have the best rating of any playoff teams at 103.5.
Everything is clicking for New York at the right time.
Being in the Eastern Conference helps, too. The Knicks played two fringe playoff teams in the first two rounds and then a Cavaliers team that played 14 playoff games before reaching the conference finals. That’s not New York’s fault, though. The Knicks can only play who is in front of them — and they’ve dominated every challenger dating to Game 4 of the first round.
The Spurs are in the NBA Finals because …
Jared Weiss, Spurs writer: They gained true playoff experience battling the Thunder and had just enough talent to buy the time to figure it out.
Half of it was Wembanyama finding the mentality to just combat the Thunder’s physicality and adjustments to own his space. Then there were the guards finding their way through the tangled web of Thunder defenders while figuring out at the other end how to not fall into the foul trap Shai Gilgeous-Alexander laid for them.
If the Knicks win the title, it will be because …
Edwards: The superb defense seen throughout these playoffs is able to stifle a young, streaky-shooting team that just had a bloodbath series in the Western Conference finals. The Spurs will make the Knicks offense look normal, which hasn’t been the case all postseason. However, the Knicks have the ability to do the same on the other end while still manufacturing enough points.
If the Spurs win the title, it will be because …
Weiss: Wembanyama became a downhill force on offense, and the Knicks’ wing size didn’t overwhelm San Antonio’s dribble penetration. The Knicks present similar problems to the Thunder in a different form, but they have more defensive vulnerabilities. Can the Spurs exploit them? Probably.
If the Knicks lose this series, it will be because …
Edwards: The Spurs defense not only stalls the New York offense but also is able to create easy offense from the work defensively. The Spurs are beatable when they’re neutralized to a half-court game, but allowing them to get into transition and a rhythm will be hard to deal with for any team.
If the Spurs lose this series, it will be because …
Weiss: Jalen Brunson had an all-time shooting series, Karl Anthony-Towns bulldozed through Wembanyama driving from the perimeter, and the Spurs couldn’t create open looks from deep. It seems unlikely all of these things will happen consistently enough for the Knicks to win the series, but New York is playing on a string right now, and this series should be competitive.
Series schedule and TV information
- Game 1 in San Antonio: June 3, 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC
- Game 2 in San Antonio: June 5, 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC
- Game 3 in New York: June 8, 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC
- Game 4 in New York: June 10, 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC
- Game 5 in San Antonio: June 13, 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC (if necessary)
- Game 6 in New York: June 16, 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC (if necessary)
- Game 7 in San Antonio: June 19, 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC (if necessary)
Essential reading
A handful of must-reads on both teams from The Athletic staff.
Knicks
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The journey to this moment — with all of New York spellbound by a basketball team that rarely loses anymore — began years ago. Before the Knicks tore through the Eastern Conference with blowout after blowout. Before the trades for Towns, Mikal Bridges, OG Anunoby and Josh Hart. Before the team’s captain, Brunson, ever arrived. The Knicks — the same clumsy team that tripped over itself for most of this century — are going to the finals for the first time since 1999. How did this happen? (Read more from Fred Katz)
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Sometimes, the most important moves are the ones you don’t make. A month ago, entering Game 4 of their first-round series against Atlanta, the Knicks seemed like they were ready to reshuffle their starting lineup to save their season. Instead, coach Mike Brown kept the lineup the same, relied on the “play better” adjustment … and caught lightning in a bottle. (Read more from John Hollinger)
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Towns’ biggest fan? The mother of a Marine killed in Afghanistan. Kathleen Reinhard didn’t know who Towns was on that winter morning inside St. Agnes Church in Clark, N.J. But she noticed the 6-foot-10 high school freshman, just like everyone else did. (Read more from Ian O’Connor)
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Knicks owner James Dolan made it very clear back in January what had to happen for his franchise to avoid a major overhaul. “Yeah, we want to get to the finals, and we should win the finals,” said Dolan, 70, in a Jan. 5 radio interview. The Knicks have pulled off the first part. “Better get to the finals, or we’re going to get traded,” Hart joked when asked about Dolan’s comments. “It wasn’t pressure, because that’s the goal we have.” (Read more from James L. Edwards III)
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How did the Knicks get good? With one total reinvention. This version of Towns is more in line with the one head coach Mike Brown tried to create early in the season, but who could not get comfortable as the hopeful hub of the offense. Towns now has adopted this style and been one of the best players in the playoffs. (Read more from Fred Katz)
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Bridges’ short trek from Brooklyn to Manhattan two summers ago initiated arguments that got as heated as subway platforms in July. The Knicks traded five first-round picks and more to the cross-town rival Nets to acquire Bridges, a reliable NBA wing without an All-Star Game to his name. Many saw it as a significant overpay for someone of his stature. Now it looks like a stroke of genius. (Read more from James L. Edwards III)
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Whoever claims they prophesied Brunson would be this good is lying. The Knicks were indeed searching for a messiah of basketball’s Mecca. They were desperate for a spectacle worthy of Broadway, for Madison Square Garden to again become the Knicks’ home court and not merely a stage for the visiting elite. For decades, they chased stardom, hunting for a return to relevance. But the star for which New York basketball thirsted arrived in July 2022. A maybe-6-foot guard didn’t appease the Knicks’ appetite for magnitude. (Read more from James L. Edwards III)
Spurs
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This season, Wembanyama personally introduced a full-fledged concept for the first true ultra fan section in the NBA, modeled after the Paris Saint-Germain Football Club supporters he admired as a kid growing up in France. It is a members-only section that stands all night long, banging drums and singing songs to build a European arena atmosphere that does not exist in the NBA. As the young Spurs, led by Wembanyama, put together a 62-20 season, the section has become more than a group of loud fans. It’s a source of civic pride. And Wemby guided the project every step of the way. (Read more from Jared Weiss)
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When The Athletic asked Weiss to move to San Antonio from Boston this season to be on the ground with Wembanyama and the Spurs every day, the goal was to peel back the layers of the most captivating up-and-coming athlete on the planet and humanize the man known as “The Alien.” Here’s what Weiss learned about the NBA’s next big thing. (Read more from Jared Weiss)
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In January, Wembanyama performed a mind-boggling feat: He kicked some basketballs out of the net with his opposite foot still on the ground. In all likelihood, he is the first human being to do this — at least, the first we’ve seen on film. Players with the requisite length rarely come close to the desired flexibility to make this even remotely possible. But the backstory of that moment is even more impressive than the kick itself. (Read more from Jared Weiss)
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There’s a common theme from everyone on the Spurs who has been mentored by Gregg Popovich this season in his new role after he retired from coaching last year. He is formally listed as the president of basketball operations, but his role appears to be focused on providing behind-the-scenes support and guidance to Mitch Johnson, his successor, and everyone in the locker room. “He’s been a big part of this whole year,” rookie Carter Bryant said. “Not everybody has the greatest coach of all time just kind of sitting there in their laps.” (Read more from Jared Weiss)
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Rookie Dylan Harper doesn’t move slowly. But he doesn’t mash on the gas pedal either, even in transition. He moves with a patient rhythm. He bounces as he dribbles, like a deep breath with each pound, because a burst can come at any moment. It’s a cadence of confidence. And he’s making the Spurs’ future look even brighter. (Read more from Marcus Thompson II)
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There may be some magic in the wristband that bonds the Slash Bros together. The Spurs’ three point guards, De’Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle and Harper, have become a special group within the locker room. (Read more from Jared Weiss)
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Whether on the court or on his ranch, Keldon Johnson gets chemistry. It’s his greatest skill. It’s why he won Sixth Man of the Year. The longest-tenured player on the Spurs roster, he has embraced a reserve role after starting the vast majority of his first four seasons in the NBA. (Read more from Jared Weiss)
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Game 1 of the Western Conference finals changed everything. In that moment, the league tilted, more than slightly, revealing a clearer view of the NBA’s possible future. The anticipation of Wembanyama’s league domination elevated beyond speculative analysis. For most of his career, he lived in the space between rumor and reality. A phenomenon heard about but confined to conjecture. (Read more from Marcus Thompson II)
By Jared Weiss and James L. Edwards III, via The Athletic