By NBA insiders, 2026-05-31 11:42:00
2026年NBA季后赛于4月14日拉开帷幕，当时共有20支球队参赛，而现在，只剩下最后两支。
圣安东尼奥马刺队终结了俄克拉荷马城雷霆队卫冕的梦想（雷霆本有望成为自2017和2018年由凯文·杜兰特 (Kevin Durant) 领衔的金州勇士队以来，首支实现两连冠的球队），这也是马刺自2014年升起队史第五面总冠军旗帜以来，首次重返总决赛。
挡在他们面前的是势不可挡的纽约尼克斯队。他们横扫东部，以场均净胜23.8分的绝对优势豪取11连胜，自1999年以来首次杀入NBA总决赛——当年，正是蒂姆·邓肯 (Tim Duncan) 和马刺队粉碎了他们的夺冠梦想。
究竟是维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama) 将巩固他职业生涯早期在NBA的统治地位，还是杰伦·布伦森 (Jalen Brunson) 将率领尼克斯队夺得53年来的首个NBA总冠军？
我们的专家团队为您整理了关于这场史诗级总决赛对决所需了解的一切。（您可以通过ABC和ESPN App收看全部精彩赛事。）
注：系列赛赔率由DraftKings提供。
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常规赛三次交锋启示
马刺如何取胜 | 尼克斯如何取胜
焦点对位 | 关键数据
休赛期前景：圣安东尼奥 | 纽约 | 最佳投注推荐
两队的争夺焦点与历史意义
无论哪支球队在这场马刺与尼克斯的系列赛中脱颖而出，都将以截然不同但意义极其深远的方式载入NBA史册。
尽管在常规赛结束前，马刺队的阵容几乎没有任何季后赛经验——尤其是队内的年轻三巨头文班亚马、斯蒂芬·卡斯尔 (Stephon Castle) 和迪伦·哈珀 (Dylan Harper) 更是毫无季后赛履历——但马刺依然在历经七场苦战后，淘汰了拥有两届常规赛MVP谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大 (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander) 的卫冕冠军雷霆队。
这极有可能是文班亚马的“灭霸时刻”。他在对阵俄克拉荷马城（OKC）的首场比赛中砍下41分和24个篮板，让人不禁联想到勒布朗·詹姆斯 (LeBron James) 在2007年东部决赛对阵底特律活塞队时单场独砍48分的惊天表演。这支马刺队另一个显而易见的对比对象是1995年的奥兰多魔术队——同样是由一位年轻且极具统治力的中锋沙奎尔·奥尼尔 (Shaquille O’Neal) 和一位冉冉升起的年轻明星后卫安芬尼·哈达威 (Anfernee Hardaway) 领衔，且在此之前没有共同取得过任何季后赛成功。
当然，圣安东尼奥马刺队希望这种对比仅限于此，因为那支95年的魔术队和07年的骑士队都在总决赛中惨遭横扫。然而，如果马刺能够再赢下四场比赛，文班亚马时代将在他的新秀合同结束前正式宣告到来——这将是NBA历史上前所未有的时刻。
而在另一边，则是拥有NBA最受煎熬的球迷群体的尼克斯队。半个多世纪以来，尼克斯球迷一直在等待一支球队能够重现20世纪70年代初期由沃尔特·弗雷泽 (Walt Frazier) 和威利斯·里德 (Willis Reed)领衔的那支传奇尼克斯队的辉煌。20世纪90年代由帕特里克·尤因 (Patrick Ewing) 领衔的尼克斯队曾接近这一目标，两次杀入总决赛，但最终都功亏一篑。
如今，在布伦森的带领下——他已经将自己与上述三位巨星并列，载入了尼克斯队史的“总统山”——纽约尼克斯队带着11连胜、净胜分高达262分的骄人战绩强势杀入总决赛。这不仅是NBA建队80年历史上（包括常规赛和季后赛在内），任何球队打出的最伟大的11场比赛表现。
如果这支尼克斯队能够再夺四场胜利，他们将成为纽约市的传奇人物，而穿过曼哈顿“英雄峡谷”的夺冠游行，也将真正成为一生仅此一次的盛况。
一边是绝世罕见的天才，渴望登上这项运动的王座——并可能在未来的十年或更长时间里统治联盟；另一边则可能是命运之队，背负着50多年的期盼与梦想，推动着他们走向童话般的结局。
这注定是一个精彩绝伦的系列赛。而对于有幸笑到最后的那一方来说，历史正在向他们招手。—— 蒂姆·邦坦普斯 (Tim Bontemps)
本赛季圣安东尼奥与纽约的交锋记录
12月16日： 尼克斯 124, 马刺 113
12月31日： 马刺 134, 尼克斯 132
3月1日： 尼克斯 114, 马刺 89
2月1日之后，在文班亚马出场的常规赛中，马刺队仅输掉了两场比赛。一场是常规赛尾声在丹佛打出的一场加时经典对决，另一场则是周日下午在麦迪逊广场花园遭遇的一场惨败。
尼克斯队的防守令人窒息，他们迫使马刺队出现21次失误，并限制马刺队的投篮命中率仅为41%。米卡尔·布里奇斯 (Mikal Bridges) 砍下25分、5次抢断和5个篮板领跑全队。这展现了尼克斯队在防守端全神贯注时的恐怖实力，也延续了他们对文班亚马的限制——在12月于拉斯维加斯举行的NBA杯决赛中，他们就曾成功延缓了文班亚马的攻势。—— 文森特·古德威尔 (Vincent Goodwill)
马刺如何击败尼克斯
这一切的成败都取决于文班亚马。尽管系列赛将在圣安东尼奥开打，但值得指出的是，他是多么喜欢在麦迪逊广场花园那群星闪耀的聚光灯下展示自我。
算上NBA杯决赛，圣安东尼奥在本赛季常规赛中与纽约交手了三次，尼克斯赢下了其中的两场。在这些对决中，文班亚马场均贡献24.7分、10.7个篮板和2.3次盖帽。
马刺在常规赛对阵纽约时的挣扎，源于尼克斯给马刺带来了巨大的对位麻烦。尼克斯的锋线防守者能够锁死圣安东尼奥的射手群，而且马刺将不得不面对比对阵俄克拉荷马城时更为激烈的身体对抗。
纽约尼克斯队深厚的前场深度也将给马刺带来麻烦，卡尔-安东尼·唐斯 (Karl-Anthony Towns)、OG·阿奴诺比 (OG Anunoby) 以及尽管右手小拇指骨折但预计仍将出战的米切尔·罗宾逊 (Mitchell Robinson) 这三位悍将将共同镇守内线。马刺队需要文班亚马在系列赛的四场胜利中都成为场上表现最好的球员，这支缺乏经验的马刺队才有机会胜出。 —— 迈克尔·C·莱特 (Michael C. Wright)
尼克斯如何击败马刺
纽约必须延续帮助他们横扫东部季后赛的制胜法宝。这不仅仅是布伦森一个人的独角戏，尽管他理所当然地赢得了大部分赞誉。在今年季后赛中，尼克斯的每一位首发球员都有过高光时刻。
在首轮对阵亚特兰大老鹰队的前三场比赛后，外界曾一度呼吁将布里奇斯贬为替补，但如今他的状态已经彻底复苏，投篮命中率接近60%。默默无闻的阿奴诺比正以极高的效率场均砍下近20分。而当唐斯能够控制好犯规时，他拉开空间的能力以及作为第二组织者的角色，可以帮助将文班亚马吸引出禁区。
尼克斯队在进入下周的总决赛前将获得九天的休息时间，那么他们在这次季后赛之旅中是否受到了足够的考验？比赛过程预计会更加焦灼，但这正是布伦森发挥作用的地方。在比赛末段，他并没有容易针对的单兵防守点去进行点名单打——他必须保持充沛的体能，并在关键时刻打出卓越表现，才能帮助尼克斯夺得自1973年以来的首枚总冠军戒指。 —— 文森特·古德威尔 (Vincent Goodwill)
焦点对位
斯蒂芬·卡斯尔 VS 布伦森
从理论上讲，卡斯尔的身体对抗能力非常适合限制布伦森的进攻套路。这位年轻的马刺后卫在刚刚结束的系列赛中，对两届MVP吉尔杰斯-亚历山大进行了极其成功的防守；亚历山大在西部决赛中的命中率仅为41%，这是他职业生涯所有季后赛系列赛中的第二差表现。然而，本赛季在对阵马刺的三场比赛中，布伦森场均砍下26分，带领尼克斯的进攻运转得行云流水。 —— 扎克·克拉姆 (Zach Kram)
决定系列赛走向的关键数据：123.3
尼克斯队刚刚横扫了东部对手，在杀入总决赛的道路上轰出了123.3的进攻效率。值得注意的是，自联盟于2003年实行现行季后赛赛制以来，这一进攻效率是东部冠军在分区季后赛中打出的最高纪录，超越了勒布朗·詹姆斯领衔的2017年克利夫兰骑士队。
更有意思的是：尼克斯在常规赛对阵圣安东尼奥的两场比赛中也打出了高达123.0的进攻效率，并且在NBA杯决赛中（该比赛不计入常规赛战绩）打爆了马刺。
尽管马刺在常规赛中的防守效率高居联盟第三，但他们面对尼克斯时每回合的失分比面对其他任何对手都要多。
本次总决赛的胜负将取决于圣安东尼奥能否限制住纽约这台疯狂的进攻机器。尼克斯带着季后赛11连胜的势头挺进总决赛，并且完全有信心在面对2026年度最佳防守球员文班亚马时打出高效进攻。 —— 本·戈利弗 (Ben Golliver)
球探眼中的马刺VS尼克斯
在马刺队于俄克拉荷马城赢下抢七大战的几分钟后，ESPN的蒂姆·邦坦普斯与一位资深NBA球探聊了聊总决赛的关键要素：
“我认为我仍然看好马刺，但这场比赛结束后，有一件事让我有些担忧：在经历了如此激烈的情感波动后，我立刻意识到他们可能会在接下来的系列赛中出现‘宿醉’（疲软）反应。尼克斯面临的问题是休息时间太长，你可以说这也是个问题，但感觉圣安东尼奥在刚刚结束的系列赛中倾注了太多心血……他们是否已经斩杀了属于他们的恶龙？尼克斯有没有可能在系列赛初期抢占先机？
“两队都拥有偏向外线的内线球员。我认为这更利于唐斯。唐斯在投三分时，绝不会担心自己的投篮会被封盖。我不讨厌这个对位。尼克斯通常在头疼该让谁去对位唐斯……而且你已经看到了，当谢伊突到篮下并试图传球时，他的进攻受到了怎样的影响，而他在面对其他28支球队时都会选择自己得分。以尼克斯的打法，我不确定维克托的存在是否能像对阵俄克拉荷马城时那样，对他们产生同样巨大的防守威慑。
“尼克斯的机会比我几周前预想的要大，但我仍然预测圣安东尼奥将赢得这个系列赛。”
圣安东尼奥马刺的休赛期展望
夺得总决赛冠军可能标志着一个由文班亚马领衔的潜在马刺王朝的开始。不仅他在可预见的未来都将留在队中——他极有可能在今年夏天提前续约——而且圣安东尼奥下赛季将保留本赛季的原班首发阵容（德阿隆·福克斯 (De’Aaron Fox)、卡斯尔、德文·瓦塞尔 (Devin Vassell)、朱利安·尚帕尼 (Julian Champagnie)）。马刺下赛季还有合同在身的替补球员包括迪伦·哈珀、卡特·布莱恩特 (Carter Bryant)、卢克·科内特 (Luke Kornet) 以及“最佳第六人”凯尔登·约翰逊 (Keldon Johnson)。
得益于年轻的核心阵容、财务灵活性以及未来的选秀资产，马刺队的阵容具备极强的可持续性。马刺在今年6月的选秀大会中拥有四个选秀权（其中两个在前35顺位），并且在2026年至2033年期间总共拥有21个首轮和次轮选秀权。更重要的是，马刺在三个不同的选秀年份拥有首轮选秀权互换权，其中包括明年与亚特兰大老鹰队的互换权。 —— 鲍比·马克斯 (Bobby Marks)
纽约尼克斯的休赛期展望
很容易说尼克斯将是下赛季卫冕东部冠军的热门——尤其是他们的整套首发五人组下赛季都在合同期内——但保留这套阵容的代价可能会非常高昂。
尼克斯的替补席曾是前主帅汤姆·锡伯杜 (Tom Thibodeau) 执教时期的明显短板，如今已成为他们的强项。但他们的七名替补球员，包括何塞·阿尔瓦拉多 (Jose Alvarado)（球员选项）、兰德里·沙梅特 (Landry Shamet)、米切尔·罗宾逊以及乔丹·克拉克森 (Jordan Clarkson)，都将在今年夏天成为自由球员，如果他们签约其他球队，纽约几乎没有灵活的空间来寻找替代者。同时，麦尔斯·麦克布莱德 (Miles McBride) 在进入合同最后一年之际，有资格签下一份提前续约合同。
尽管已经接近第二土豪线（second apron），但尼克斯仍可以超越该门槛以重新签下沙梅特、阿尔瓦拉多和罗宾逊。 —— 鲍比·马克斯 (Bobby Marks)
总决赛最佳投注推荐
布伦森夺得总决赛MVP（赔率 +270）
尼克斯一直在不断赢球。如果他们击败马刺，没有人会比布伦森更有价值。他在季后赛中场均出战36.1分钟，贡献26.9分和6.6次助攻。
纽约尼克斯队的防守配置让他们有真正的机会去压迫圣安东尼奥的核心控球手，并且让文班亚马打得很难受。如果布伦森在进攻端做好自己的工作，考虑到他高达29.8%的使用率，以及获胜球队的得分王往往最容易获得总决赛MVP这一事实，他在这个赔率下具有很好的投资价值。 —— 埃里克·穆迪 (Eric Moody)
由生成式 AI 翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
点击查看原文：NBA Finals preview: Everything that will decide Knicks-Spurs
NBA Finals preview: Everything that will decide Knicks-Spurs
The 2026 NBA postseason began with 20 teams on April 14, and now we’re down to two.
The San Antonio Spurs ended the Oklahoma City Thunder’s hopes of becoming the first team since the Kevin Durant-led Golden State Warriors of 2017 and 2018 to win back-to-back titles, returning to the Finals for the first time since raising their fifth banner in 2014.
In their way are the red-hot New York Knicks, who stormed through the Eastern Conference, winning 11 consecutive games by an average of 23.8 points to reach the NBA Finals for the first time since 1999 – when their title hopes were dashed by Tim Duncan and the Spurs.
Will Victor Wembanyama cement his early rise to NBA dominance, or will Jalen Brunson captain the Knicks’ first NBA title in 53 years?
Our experts have everything you need to know about this epic Finals matchup. (Catch all the action on ABC and the ESPN App.)
Note: Series odds provided by DraftKings.
Jump to a section:
What three meetings revealed
How Spurs win | How Knicks win
Matchup to watch | Stat to know
Summer stakes: SA | NY | Best bet
The stakes – and significance – for both teams
Whichever team manages to emerge from this Spurs-Knicks series victorious will etch themselves into NBA history in different, but massively significant, ways.
Despite possessing a roster devoid of virtually any playoff experience before this season – and literally none for the team’s troika of young stars Wembanyama, Stephon Castle and Dylan Harper – the Spurs dispatched the NBA’s two-time reigning MVP, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the defending champion Thunder across seven hard-fought games.
This very well could be the “Thanos moment” for Wembanyama, whose 41-point, 24-rebound performance in Game 1 against OKC elicited flashbacks of LeBron James’ “48 special” against the Detroit Pistons in the 2007 Eastern Conference finals. The other obvious comparison for this Spurs team is the 1995 Orlando Magic – another group led by a young, dominant center in Shaquille O’Neal, a rising young star guard in Anfernee Hardaway and that had no previous playoff success together.
San Antonio, of course, will hope the comparisons end there, as those '95 Magic and '07 Cavaliers were swept in the NBA Finals. If the Spurs can win four more games, though, the Wembanyama Era will have arrived before the end of his rookie contract - an unprecedented moment in NBA history.
And then, on the other side, there’s the Knicks, the team with the NBA’s most tortured fan base. For more than a half-century, Knicks fans have been waiting for a team to recapture the magic of those legendary Knicks teams of the early 1970s, led by Walt Frazier and Willis Reed. The Patrick Ewing-led Knicks of the 1990s came close, making the Finals twice, but ultimately came up short both times.
Now, led by Brunson – who has already placed himself on the Mount Rushmore of all-time great Knicks alongside those three stars listed above – New York comes roaring into the Finals having ripped off 11 straight victories with a point differential of plus-262. That is only the greatest 11-game stretch any team has played in the 80 years the NBA has existed, covering both regular and postseason play.
If these Knicks can rip off four more victories, they will become legendary figures in New York City, and the parade through Manhattan’s Canyon of Heroes will truly be a once-in-a-lifetime event.
A generational talent on one side, hoping to ascend to the throne of the sport – potentially for the next decade or more. A possible team of destiny on the other, with more than 50 years of hopes and dreams at their back propelling them toward what would be a fairytale ending.
This should be a fantastic series to watch. And as for whichever side is fortunate enough to come out on top? History beckons. – Tim Bontemps
When San Antonio faced New York this season
Dec. 16: Knicks 124, Spurs 113
Dec. 31: Spurs 134, Knicks 132
March 1: Knicks 114, Spurs 89
After Feb. 1, the Spurs lost just two games in which Wembanyama played in the regular season. One was an overtime classic in Denver at the end of it. The other was a Sunday afternoon beatdown at Madison Square Garden.
The Knicks defense was suffocating, forcing 21 turnovers and allowing the Spurs to shoot just 41%. Mikal Bridges led the Knicks with 25 points, five steals and five rebounds. It was a glimpse of what the Knicks could do defensively when locked in and continued a level of mastery over Wembanyama, who they slowed in December’s NBA Cup title game in Las Vegas. – Vincent Goodwill
How the Spurs will beat the Knicks
It all starts and ends with Wembanyama. Although the series begins in San Antonio, it’s worth pointing out just how much he loves to perform under the bright lights in the celebrity-laden atmosphere at Madison Square Garden.
Counting the NBA Cup final, San Antonio faced New York on three occasions during the regular season, with the Knicks taking two of those games. Wembanyama averaged 24.7 points, 10.7 rebounds and 2.3 blocks in those matchups.
San Antonio’s lack of success against New York in the regular season stems from the Knicks presenting major matchup issues for the Spurs. The Knicks’ wing defenders swallow up San Antonio’s shooters, and the Spurs will have to deal with physicality even more jaw rattling than what they navigated against Oklahoma City.
New York’s depth in the frontcourt will also prove problematic for the Spurs with three big-time performers in Karl-Anthony Towns, OG Anunoby and Mitchell Robinson, who is expected to play despite a broken right pinkie, patrolling the paint. The Spurs will need Wembanyama to be the best player on the floor for four games in this series for the inexperienced Spurs to have a shot. – Michael C. Wright
How the Knicks will beat the Spurs
New York must bottle up what helped it steamroll through the East bracket. It hasn’t been just the Brunson show, although he gets a lion’s share of credit. Every starter has had his moment in these playoffs.
Bridges, whose game has awakened after calls for his benching in the first three games of the first-round series against the Atlanta Hawks, is shooting nearly 60% from the field. The unsung Anunoby is scoring nearly 20 points per game on elite efficiency. And when Towns stays out of foul trouble, his ability to stretch the floor and be a secondary facilitator could help keep Wembanyama out of the paint.
Have the Knicks, who will enter next week’s Finals with nine days rest, been tested enough throughout this run? Closer games will be the expectation, but that’s where Brunson comes in. There’s no easy individual matchup for him to hunt late in games – he will have to be fresh and excellent in the clutch to help the Knicks capture their first ring since 1973. – Goodwill
One matchup to watch
Stephon Castle vs. Brunson
In theory, Castle’s physicality matches well against Brunson’s repertoire. The young Spurs guard is coming off a series in which he defended two-time MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander about as well as possible; SGA shot just 41% in the conference finals, the second-worst mark in any playoff series in his career. Brunson, however, averaged 26 points in three meetings against the Spurs this season, as New York’s offense hummed. – Zach Kram
Stat that will define the series: 123.3
The Knicks just finished smoking the Eastern Conference competition, posting a 123.3 offensive rating on their way to the NBA Finals. Remarkably, their offensive efficiency was the highest intraconference mark posted by an East champion since the league’s current playoff format was instituted in 2003, supplanting LeBron James’ 2017 Cleveland Cavaliers.
Get this: The Knicks also posted a blistering 123.0 offensive rating in their two regular-season games against San Antonio, and they torched the Spurs in the NBA Cup championship (which doesn’t officially count in the standings).
While the Spurs ranked third in defensive efficiency during the regular season, they conceded more points per possession to the Knicks than any of their opponents.
This Finals will be decided by San Antonio’s ability – or inability – to slow the New York juggernaut. The Knicks enter the Finals on an 11-game playoff winning streak and with full confidence they can execute against Wembanyama, the 2026 Defensive Player of the Year. – Ben Golliver
Scout’s take on Spurs-Knicks
Minutes after the Spurs’ Game 7 victory in Oklahoma City, ESPN’s Tim Bontemps spoke with a veteran NBA scout on the keys to the Finals:
"I think I still give the Spurs the advantage, but there’s a nagging thing from the end of this game: With all the emotion, it immediately hit me that they may have a hangover coming out of this series. The Knicks have the problem of being off for a long time, so you can say that’s its own issue, but it just seems San Antonio put so much into this series … have they already slayed their dragon? Is there any chance the Knicks take advantage early in the series?
"You have two perimeter-oriented bigs. I think that helps Towns more. Towns is not a guy who is going to worry about getting his shot blocked when he’s taking 3s. I don’t hate that matchup. The Knicks are normally trying to figure out who to match Towns up on. … And you saw how Shai was impacted when he would get to the rim and look to pass, where he’s trying to score against 28 other teams. The way the Knicks play, not sure Victor’s presence is going to have as much of an impact against them as it did Oklahoma City.
“The Knicks have more of a chance than I thought they did a few weeks ago, but I’m still picking San Antonio in this series.”
San Antonio’s offseason outlook
A Finals win could mark the start of a potential Spurs dynasty, headed by Wembanyama. Not only will he be on the roster for the foreseeable future – it is more than likely he will extend his contract this summer – but San Antonio will return the same starting lineup (De’Aaron Fox, Castle, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie) from this season. The Spurs also have reserves Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Luke Kornet and Sixth Man of the Year Keldon Johnson under contract next season.
As a result of their young foundation, financial flexibility and future draft capital, San Antonio’s roster is sustainable. The Spurs have four picks in June’s draft – two in the top 35 – and a combined 21 first- and second-rounders from 2026 to 2033. More importantly, the Spurs have the right to swap first-round picks in three different drafts, including with the Atlanta Hawks next year. – Bobby Marks
New York’s offseason outlook
It’s easy to say the Knicks will be the favorite to repeat as East champs – especially with their entire starting five under contract next season – but the cost to keep this roster together could be expensive.
Once a glaring weakness under former coach Tom Thibodeau, the Knicks’ bench is now a strength. But seven of their reserves, including Jose Alvarado (player option), Landry Shamet, Mitchell Robinson and Jordan Clarkson, are free agents this summer, and New York has little flexibility to replace them if they sign elsewhere. Meanwhile, Miles McBride is eligible to sign an extension heading into the final year of his contract.
Despite being close to the second apron, the Knicks can exceed the threshold to re-sign Shamet, Alvarado and Robinson. – Marks
Best bet for the Finals
Brunson to win Finals MVP (+270)
The Knicks just keep winning. If they beat the Spurs, there will be no one more valuable than Brunson, who has averaged 26.9 points and 6.6 assists in 36.1 minutes during the playoffs.
New York’s defensive personnel give the club a real chance to pressure San Antonio’s top ball handlers and make life difficult for Wembanyama. If Brunson takes care of business offensively, he’s a nice value at these odds, given his 29.8% usage rate and the fact that a winning team’s top scorer often has the clearest path to Finals MVP. – Eric Moody
By NBA insiders, via ESPN