By Scott Phillips | The Athletic, 2026-04-14 09:00:09
《The Athletic》正在直播报道NBA附加赛，包括魔术对阵76人以及勇士对阵快船的比赛。
进入2026年NBA季后赛，俄克拉荷马城雷霆队是本年代最强有力的卫冕争夺者。
雷霆队力求成为自2017年和2018年的金州勇士队以来，首支实现蝉联冠军的球队。目前雷霆队的夺冠赔率（DraftKings为+110，FanDuel为+115，BetMGM为+135）是自2019年勇士队冲击三连冠（当时赔率为-178）以来，所有进入季后赛的卫冕冠军中最低的（即最被看好）。
自去年夏天以来，俄克拉荷马城一直是夺冠的最大热门。在MVP头号热门谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大 (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander) 的带领下，这支卫冕冠军球队已连续第三年锁定西部头号种子的位置。
本赛季，俄克拉荷马城在场均净胜分、防守效率和净效率方面均领跑全联盟，同时还增强了板凳深度，为再次冲击季后赛深处做好了准备。尽管在常规赛期间遭遇了核心球员伤病，但只要在季后赛保持健康，雷霆依然是夺冠首选。
然而，众多拥有超级巨星的精英球队正阻碍着俄克拉荷马城的卫冕之路。圣安东尼奥马刺队在排名上一路狂飙，几乎在西部联盟反超雷霆。在统治力十足的三年级中锋维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama) 的带领下，他们已成为真正的争冠威胁。
波士顿凯尔特人队在常规赛初期曾一度被忽视，当时杰森·塔图姆 (Jayson Tatum) 正从去年季后赛遭受的跟腱伤势中恢复。杰伦·布朗 (Jaylen Brown) 的出色发挥让凯尔特人保持了竞争力，直到塔图姆在赛季末回归，使他们成为目前最被看好赢得东部冠军的球队。
在三年前夺冠后，丹佛掘金队依然保持在争冠行列中。
经历了充满伤病和意外冷门的、完全不可预测的2025年NBA季后赛后，俄克拉荷马城能否再次在季后赛中突围，捧起拉里·奥布莱恩杯？
今年雷霆会有所不同吗？
上赛季，俄克拉荷马城同样以+185的赔率作为头号热门进入季后赛。当时他们与波士顿的差距要小得多，作为卫冕冠军的凯尔特人赔率为+200。
塔图姆的伤病完全改变了去年季后赛的走向。凯尔特人在东部半决赛被尼克斯队淘汰。雷霆在2025年的晋级之路也受益于西部2号种子（火箭）和3号种子（湖人）在分区决赛前相继出局。由于波士顿也早早出局，俄克拉荷马城在总决赛中面对的是东部4号种子印第安纳步行者队。在抢七大战中，步行者球星泰瑞斯·哈利伯顿 (Tyrese Haliburton) 遭遇跟腱断裂。
想要实现卫冕，俄克拉荷马城可能无法再指望有这么多冷门和伤病来助阵。但如果能保持健康，雷霆的实力足以让他们无需依赖这些外部因素。
附加赛级别的球队可能不会对雷霆构成太大威胁。上赛季，雷霆在首轮横扫了孟菲斯，从而在次轮与丹佛进行的七场大战前获得了一周的额外休息时间。
本赛季，雷霆将在次轮面对伤兵满营的洛杉矶湖人队（夺冠赔率+25000）或休斯顿火箭队（+6600）。
马刺、凯尔特人、掘金皆为威胁
西部2号种子圣安东尼奥马刺队以30胜4负的战绩结束了常规赛。这四场失利之一发生在常规赛收官战，当时文班亚马缺阵，新秀卡特·布莱恩特 (Carter Bryant) 上场时间达到了赛季最高的30分钟。圣安东尼奥在夺冠市场上的表现大幅提升，赔率从全明星赛期间的+1200一路飙升至目前的+450（BetMGM数据），位列赔率榜第二。
作为首轮淘汰菲尼克斯或波特兰的绝对热门，圣安东尼奥将在次轮迎来首个重大考验，对手将是丹佛或明尼苏达。
在东部，凯尔特人（+550）随着塔图姆在3月的伤愈复出而势头强劲。尽管塔图姆在常规赛末段没有参加背靠背比赛，但当这位明星侧翼在场时，波士顿取得了13胜3负的战绩。
在塔图姆缺席常规赛大部分时间里，布朗承担了重任，而凯尔特人众多的三分火力点让他们在任何夜晚都极具威胁。现在，塔图姆将从面对赛季末的摆烂阵容转而迎接季后赛的肉搏战。
波士顿在首轮对阵费城或奥兰多时都将占据优势。如果在东部半决赛重演对阵3号种子纽约尼克斯的戏码，那将是一个充满话题性的精彩系列赛。
赔率榜上的下一支球队是丹佛掘金队（+1000）。正处于12连胜之中的丹佛作为西部3号种子，签位非常艰难。
首先，他们必须面对极具威胁的6号种子森林狼队（+5000）。明尼苏达连续两年闯入西部决赛，上赛季他们以6号种子身份赢下了两轮系列赛，并在两年前的一场令人难忘的七场大战中击败过掘金。
但安东尼·爱德华兹 (Anthony Edwards) 的健康状况将是森林狼能否让首轮系列赛充满悬念的关键，他在过去一个月里缺席了10场比赛。丹佛在常规赛交锋中以3-1领先。
如果掘金能淘汰明尼苏达，他们在西部决赛对阵俄克拉荷马城之前，很可能还要与圣安东尼奥展开激战。对掘金来说，每一轮系列赛都可能异常艰巨。但如果尼古拉·约基奇 (Nikola Jokić) 保持MVP级别的表现，贾马尔·穆雷 (Jamal Murray) 延续他火热的常规赛状态，且阿隆·戈登 (Aaron Gordon) 保持健康，掘金依然有能力冲击冠军。
丹佛也是上一支以非头号热门身份夺冠的球队，他们在2023年进入首轮时拥有类似的+1000赔率。
骑士、活塞、尼克斯让东部竞争悬念丛生
进入季后赛，东部联盟在夺冠前景上并未获得太多尊重。尽管全联盟前四的热门中只有凯尔特人一支东部球队，但另外三支球队也有可能走得很远。
克利夫兰骑士队（+1400）虽然是东部4号种子，但夺冠赔率排在第五。在截止日交易得到詹姆斯·哈登 (James Harden) 后，骑士依然带有神秘色彩。伤病意味着骑士的四位核心球员——哈登、多诺万·米切尔 (Donovan Mitchell)、埃文·莫布里 (Evan Mobley) 和贾勒特·阿伦 (Jarrett Allen) ——在季后赛开始前共同上场的时间不足10场。从纸面实力看，克利夫兰具备问鼎东部的天赋。但在轮换阵容尚不熟悉的情况下，很难断定骑士的上限。
骑士将在首轮对阵5号种子多伦多猛龙队（+50000）。尽管猛龙在常规赛以3-0横扫了骑士，但两队自11月下旬以来就没交过手——那是在哈登加盟之前。
东部头号种子底特律活塞队在夺冠赔率上并没有得到太多青睐。活塞和3号种子纽约尼克斯队的赔率都在+1800左右。
对于底特律来说，常规赛60胜的表现应该能平息一些关于季后赛经验不足的质疑。凯德·坎宁安 (Cade Cunningham) 最近的伤愈复出是活塞季后赛前景中值得关注的一点。
活塞作为1号种子被看好在首轮晋级，但次轮可能遭遇克利夫兰——这支目前在夺冠赔率上排在他们之上的球队。
尼克斯队一直对核心阵容保持耐心，他们希望在杰伦·布伦森 (Jalen Brunson)、卡尔-安东尼·唐斯 (Karl-Anthony Towns) 和乔什·哈特 (Josh Hart) 的带领下，自1999年以来首次闯入总决赛。在去年惜败于步行者后，纽约在首年执教的主帅迈克·布朗 (Mike Brown) 带领下，正试图在聚光灯下大展宏图。
尼克斯将在首轮面对6号种子亚特兰大老鹰队（+12500）。纽约在常规赛系列赛中以2-1领先，且三场比赛均由客队取胜。
由生成式人工智能翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
点击查看原文：2026 NBA title odds for Thunder, Spurs, Celtics and every playoff team
2026 NBA title odds for Thunder, Spurs, Celtics and every playoff team
The Athletic has live coverage of the NBA Play-In Tournament with Magic-76ers and Warriors-Clippers
Entering the 2026 NBA playoffs, the Oklahoma City Thunder are the strongest repeat contenders for the championship this decade.
Looking to become the first back-to-back winners since the Golden State Warriors in 2017 and 2018, the Thunder (+110 on DraftKings, +115 on FanDuel, +135 on BetMGM) boast the shortest odds of any repeat championship contender entering the playoffs since the Warriors were -178 going for a three-peat in 2019.
Oklahoma City has been the clear favorite since last summer. Having blitzed the regular season behind MVP favorite Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the defending champions are the West’s top seed for the third consecutive year.
Oklahoma City led the league in point differential, defensive rating and net rating this season while fortifying the bench for another deep postseason run. Despite injuries to key players throughout the regular season, the Thunder should remain the favorite if they stay healthy during the postseason.
But plenty of elite teams with superstar talent stand in the way of an Oklahoma City repeat. The San Antonio Spurs charged up the standings and nearly overtook the Thunder in the Western Conference. They are a legitimate title threat behind dominant third-year center Victor Wembanyama.
The Boston Celtics were forgotten in the early regular-season shuffle as Jayson Tatum recovered from an Achilles injury suffered last playoffs. The elevated play of Jaylen Brown kept the Celtics afloat until Tatum’s late-season return made them the current favorite to win the Eastern Conference.
After winning the championship three years ago, the Denver Nuggets are still in the mix as well.
Following a completely unpredictable 2025 NBA playoffs filled with untimely injuries and unexpected upsets, can Oklahoma City navigate another postseason to raise the Larry O’Brien Trophy?
Will this year be different for OKC?
Last season, Oklahoma City entered the playoffs as the favorite as well at +185 odds. The gap was much closer with Boston, which was at +200 as a defending champion.
The injury to Tatum completely changed the trajectory of last year’s playoffs. The Celtics were eliminated by the Knicks in the Eastern Conference semifinals. Oklahoma City’s run in 2025 was also aided by the conference’s No. 2 seed (Houston) and No. 3 seed (Lakers) getting eliminated before the conference finals. With Boston also out early, Oklahoma City faced the East’s No. 4 seed, Indiana, in the NBA Finals. In a Game 7, Pacers star Tyrese Haliburton tore an Achilles.
To repeat as champions, Oklahoma City likely can’t rely on so many upsets and injuries helping its cause. But the Thunder are talented enough not to need that if they stay healthy.
A play-in contender likely won’t offer much of a threat to OKC. Last season, the Thunder swept Memphis in the opening round and earned an extra week of rest before a second-round, seven-game battle against Denver.
This season, the Thunder would play either the injury-riddled Los Angeles Lakers (+25000 to win the title) or the Houston Rockets (+6600) in the second round.
Spurs, Celtics, Nuggets are all threats
The West’s No. 2 seed, the San Antonio Spurs, closed the regular season 30-4. One of those four losses was the regular-season finale, in which Wembanyama didn’t play and rookie Carter Bryant logged a season-high 30 minutes. San Antonio significantly tightened the title-winner market by going from +1200 at the All-Star break to second in the odds at +450 on BetMGM.
A heavy favorite to advance past either Phoenix or Portland in the first round, San Antonio would face its first big test in the second round against either Denver or Minnesota.
In the East, the Celtics (+550) ascended with Tatum’s return from injury in March. Although Tatum didn’t play back-to-back games during the end of the regular season, Boston was 13-3 when the star wing was in the lineup.
Without Tatum for much of the regular season, Brown did the heavy lifting while the Celtics’ plethora of 3-point threats made them dangerous on any night. Now Tatum goes from facing end-of-season tanking lineups to the physicality of the playoffs.
Boston will be favored against either Philadelphia or Orlando during the first round. A rematch against No. 3-seed New York in the Eastern Conference semifinals would be an enticing series filled with storylines.
The next team on the odds board is the Denver Nuggets (+1000). In the midst of a 12-game winning streak, Denver has a very tough draw as the No. 3 seed in the West.
First, they must face a dangerous No. 6 seed in the Timberwolves (+5000). Coming off back-to-back trips to the Western Conference finals, Minnesota won two series as a No. 6 seed last season and beat the Nuggets in a memorable seven-game series two years ago.
But the health of Anthony Edwards, who missed 10 games in the last month, will be key to the T’wolves making the first round an interesting series. Denver claimed the regular-season series 3-1.
Should the Nuggets advance past Minnesota, they’re likely staring at a battle with San Antonio before even reaching a potential matchup with Oklahoma City in the Western Conference finals. Every series is potentially daunting for the Nuggets. But if Nikola Jokić maintains an MVP level of play, Jamal Murray continues his blistering regular season and Aaron Gordon stays healthy, the Nuggets are still capable of making a championship run.
Denver was also the last non-betting favorite to win the NBA championship, doing so with similar +1000 odds entering the first round in 2023.
Cleveland, Detroit, New York keep East race interesting
There isn’t much title respect being given to the Eastern Conference entering the playoffs. Although the league only has the Celtics among the top four title favorites, three more teams could realistically make deep runs.
The Cleveland Cavaliers (+1400) are fifth in title odds despite being the No. 4 seed in the East. Cleveland is still a bit of a mystery after the deadline acquisition of James Harden. Injuries meant the Cavaliers’ four best players — Harden, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen — played fewer than 10 games together before the start of the postseason. On paper, the talent is present for Cleveland to win the East. It’s difficult to ascertain the upside of the Cavaliers with an unfamiliar rotation.
The Cavaliers play the No. 5 seed Toronto Raptors (+50000) in the first round. Although the Raptors swept the regular-season series 3-0, the teams haven’t played since late November — before Harden was acquired.
The East’s top seed, the Detroit Pistons, is not getting as much love in the title odds. The Pistons and the No. 3 seed New York Knicks are both at around +1800.
For Detroit, a 60-win regular season should calm some concerns about minimal playoff experience. Cade Cunningham’s recent return from injury is something to monitor for Detroit’s playoff hopes.
The Pistons will be favored as the No. 1 seed to move on in the first round, but could face Cleveland in the second round — a team currently above them in title odds.
Staying patient with their core, the Knicks are hoping to ride Jalen Brunson, Karl-Anthony Towns and Josh Hart to their first NBA Finals appearance since 1999. After falling just short against the Pacers a year ago, New York is under the spotlight as it attempts to make a run under first-year coach Mike Brown.
The Knicks face the No. 6 seed Atlanta Hawks (+12500) in the first round. New York won the season series 2-1, with the road team winning all three matchups.
By Scott Phillips, via The Athletic