By Scott Phillips | The Athletic, 2026-05-19 10:00:19

《The Athletic》正在为您实时报道 2026年NBA季后赛西部决赛第二场马刺对阵雷霆的对决。
随着2026年NBA季后赛仅剩四支球队,东西部决赛都充满了引人入胜的看点和耀眼的球星光芒。西部决赛的两支队伍——俄克拉荷马城雷霆和圣安东尼奥马刺,依然是夺得总冠军的最大热门。东部则是两支季前赛并列最被看好的球队之间的强强对话:纽约尼克斯与克利夫兰骑士。
俄克拉荷马城和圣安东尼奥依然是博彩公司眼中的绝对热门,而纽约则保持着对克利夫兰的明显优势。
在西部决赛首战开始前,雷霆(DraftKings赔率为-165,BetMGM赔率为-160)在所有球队中最被看好。如今他们依然是头号热门,但赔率已变为正赔(+120),而圣安东尼奥的夺冠赔率则从+310左右提升至+155。
尼克斯(在两家博彩公司的赔率均为+550)和骑士(DK赔率为+2000,BetMGM赔率为+2200)则紧随其后。
西部决赛注定成为经典对决
自3月中旬以来,雷霆和马刺就一直是夺得NBA总冠军的两大最热人选。两个月和两轮季后赛过后,所有篮球迷翘首以盼的系列赛终于拉开了帷幕。
在力求卫冕的道路上,俄克拉荷马城迄今为止表现出了统治级的实力。在本周一晚西部决赛首战输给马刺之前,雷霆在今年季后赛中取得了8胜0负的完美战绩。
在蝉联他的第二座常规赛MVP奖杯后,后卫谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大 (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander) 将继续成为马刺富有运动活力的防守体系在西决中针对的焦点。
在第一场比赛中,马刺送给了雷霆今年季后赛的首场失利。甚至在NBA季后赛开始之前,马刺在夺冠赔率上就已大幅缩小了与这位卫冕冠军的差距。去年12月,圣安东尼奥的夺冠赔率曾低至+4500,但凭借着常规赛持续稳定的表现,他们的排名一路攀升。
圣安东尼奥的超级巨星维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama) 只要在场上,就有能力接管西部决赛,正如他在第一场比赛中所展现的那样。常规赛期间,文班亚马在对阵雷霆的比赛中单场出场时间从未超过28分钟。即便如此,马刺对阵俄克拉荷马城依然取得了4胜1负的战绩——其中包括在NBA季中锦标赛(NBA Cup)半决赛中的胜利。一支健康的圣安东尼奥拥有足以与雷霆抗衡的天赋,尽管缺乏深厚的季后赛经验,但他们绝不会被卫冕冠军吓倒。
由于在分区决赛中遭遇了实力强劲的圣安东尼奥,俄克拉荷马城目前的夺冠赔率比2025年同期略有下滑(去年此时为-175,而本赛季分区决赛首战前为-160)。去年的签运让雷霆在季后赛中避开了西部2号和3号种子,因为6号种子明尼苏达爆冷一路闯入了分区决赛。
一年之后,俄克拉荷马城迎来了马刺的真正考验,而这轮系列赛也已经有了一个令人难忘的西部决赛开局。
纽约更被看好战胜克利夫兰
在东部联盟,尼克斯以绝对热门的姿态(BetMGM给出的晋级赔率为-275)挺进分区决赛对阵骑士。当2026年NBA夺冠赔率在去年6月首次开出时,纽约和克利夫兰的夺冠赔率同为+700,并且在常规赛的大部分时间里,两队都是东部最被看好的两支球队。
今年3月,随着波士顿凯尔特人因当家球星杰森·塔图姆 (Jayson Tatum) 的伤愈复出而意外成为夺冠热门,克利夫兰的赔率有所下滑。在第二轮淘汰了头号种子底特律活塞之后,骑士成为了季后赛仅剩的四支球队中最不被看好的一方。不过在过去一周里,克利夫兰的夺冠赔率已从+3500升至+2200。
休息与调整将立即在东部决赛中发挥关键作用。在第二轮横扫费城76人后,纽约获得了长达八天的休息时间,这让他们在面对骑士时拥有明显的体能优势。
就在尼克斯以逸待劳的同时,克利夫兰则经历了连续两轮打满七场的硬仗,直到本周日在底特律赢下抢七大战才得以晋级。
纽约在今年季后赛中也一直保持着顶级水准。自首轮对阵亚特兰大输掉第三场比赛以来,尼克斯已经豪取七连胜,其中有六场胜利的净胜分至少达到了14分。纽约那高效且均衡的进攻一旦火力全开,克利夫兰恐怕很难招架。控球后卫杰伦·布伦森 (Jalen Brunson) 正处于极佳的状态,同时内线也得到了卡尔-安东尼·唐斯 (Karl-Anthony Towns) 的强力支持。
随着东部决赛的深入,尼克斯侧翼OG·阿奴诺比 (OG Anunoby) 的健康状况将是一个值得关注的焦点。阿奴诺比因腿筋拉伤缺席了纽约次轮战胜费城的最后两场比赛,对于遏制克利夫兰天赋异禀的外线球员来说,他的防守至关重要。
骑士方面同样拥有充足的火力,同时埃文·莫布里 (Evan Mobley) 和贾勒特·阿伦 (Jarrett Allen) 领衔的内线对抗能力也得到了提升。这两位大个子在前两轮对阵多伦多和底特律的比赛中经受住了考验,并最终帮助球队赢下了系列赛。
詹姆斯·哈登 (James Harden) 和多诺万·米切尔 (Donovan Mitchell) 的突破禁区能力让对手的防守在每个回合都面临巨大压力。如果阿奴诺比未能完全康复,纽约可能很难限制住哈登和米切尔的冲击。
尽管纽约在常规赛中对阵克利夫兰取得了2胜1负的战绩,但在哈登交易完成后两队的唯一一次交手中,骑士取得了完胜。
由生成式 AI 翻译,译文内容可能不准确或不完整,以原文为准。
点击查看原文:2026 NBA title odds: Thunder, Spurs still ahead of Knicks, Cavs
2026 NBA title odds: Thunder, Spurs still ahead of Knicks, Cavs

The Athletic has live coverage of Spurs vs. Thunder in Game 2 of the 2026 NBA playoffs Western Conference finals.
With only four teams left in the 2026 NBA playoffs, both conference finals offer intriguing subplots and plenty of star power. Both Western Conference finalists, the Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs, remain the top contenders to win the championship. The East features a matchup between the conference’s two preseason co-favorites: the New York Knicks and Cleveland Cavaliers.
Oklahoma City and San Antonio are still the clear betting favorites, while New York maintains a solid distance ahead of Cleveland.
Before Game 1 of the Western Conference finals, the Thunder (-165 on DraftKings, -160 on BetMGM) were favored against the field. They are now still the favorites, but at plus-money (+120), while San Antonio improved its odds from around +310 to +155.
The Knicks (+550 on both) and Cavaliers (+2000 on DK, +2200 on BetMGM) are further back.
Western Conference set for a memorable clash
Since the middle of March, the Thunder and Spurs have been the top two favorites to win the NBA Finals. Two months and two playoff series later, the series every basketball fan begged for is finally here.
Oklahoma City has been dominant so far during its quest to repeat. The Thunder were a perfect 8-0 this postseason before losing to the Spurs in Game 1 of the Western Conference finals Monday night.
After securing his second straight MVP award, guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will continue to be a focal point in the Western Conference finals for San Antonio’s athletic defense.
In Game 1, the Spurs gave OKC its first loss of the postseason. Even before the NBA playoffs began, the Spurs significantly closed the gap on the reigning NBA champions in the title odds. San Antonio was down to +4500 odds in December but climbed up the board with a consistently solid regular season.
San Antonio superstar Victor Wembanyama is capable of taking over the Western Conference finals when he’s on the floor, as he showed in Game 1. Wembanyama didn’t play more than 28 minutes in a game against the Thunder during the regular season. The Spurs still went 4-1 against Oklahoma City — including a victory in the semifinals of the NBA Cup. A healthy San Antonio brings talent to match the Thunder and shouldn’t be intimidated by the defending champions, despite a lack of deep playoff experience.
Because of a difficult conference finals matchup against San Antonio, Oklahoma City holds slightly worse NBA championship odds than at the same point in 2025 (-175 last year, compared to -160 this season before their first game of the conference finals). Luck of the draw saw the Thunder miss the Western Conference’s No. 2 and No. 3 seeds last postseason as No. 6-seed Minnesota made an unexpected conference finals run.
A year later, Oklahoma City faces a true test from the Spurs in what has started off as a memorable Western Conference finals.
New York big favorite over Cleveland
In the Eastern Conference, the Knicks enter the conference finals as heavy favorites (-275 to advance on BetMGM) over the Cavaliers. When 2026 NBA title odds opened last June, New York and Cleveland opened with identical +700 title odds and stayed the two favorites in the East for most of the regular season.
Cleveland’s odds slipped in March when the Boston Celtics unexpectedly emerged as a title contender with the healthy return of star Jayson Tatum from injury. After eliminating the top-seeded Detroit Pistons in the second round, the Cavaliers are the clear underdog of the remaining four NBA playoff teams. Cleveland’s odds jumped from +3500 to +2200 over the last week.
Rest and recovery will play an immediate role in the Eastern Conference finals. After eight days off following a sweep of the Philadelphia 76ers in the second round, New York enters the conference finals with a clear rest advantage over the Cavaliers.
While the Knicks rested and waited, Cleveland battled through two full seven-game series, winning Game 7 in Detroit on Sunday.
New York is also playing at an elite level so far this postseason. Since dropping Game 3 in the first round against Atlanta, the Knicks have won seven in a row, with six of those wins coming by at least 14 points. Regularly stepping on the gas, New York’s potent and balanced offense could be tough for Cleveland to keep up with. Point guard Jalen Brunson is playing at a high level and getting strong interior play from Karl-Anthony Towns.
The health of Knicks wing OG Anunoby will be something to monitor as the conference finals progress. Anunoby missed the final two games of New York’s second-round win over Philadelphia with a hamstring injury and will be important in helping to slow down Cleveland’s talented perimeter players.
Cleveland counters with plenty of firepower of its own and improved physical play from the interior of Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen. The big men were tested against both Toronto and Detroit in the first two rounds and came away with series wins.
James Harden and Donovan Mitchell pressure opposing defenses on every possession with the ability to touch the paint. If Anunoby isn’t fully healthy, Harden and Mitchell could be tough for New York to slow down.
Although New York claimed the regular-season series 2-1 against Cleveland, the Cavaliers decisively won the only matchup after the Harden trade.
By Scott Phillips, via The Athletic