By MateoMayorga | Pounding The Rock (PtR), 2024-11-13 10:36:01
由生成式 AI 翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
文班亚马的三分出手次数有望创下中锋历史新高，但这真的是一件好事吗？
在最近两场比赛中，维克托·文班亚马(Victor Wembanyama)三分球21投12中，球队分别输给了犹他爵士和战胜了萨克拉门托国王。这是他本赛季第一次和第二次三分命中率达到五成，此前只有一次在三分线外如此高效：10月26日战胜休斯顿火箭的比赛中，他的三分命中率为40%。
除了享受外线技巧之外，文班没有频繁冲击内线也是因为他目前的力量还不足以对抗一些防守球员。但球队并没有对此感到压力。在格雷格·波波维奇(Gregg Popovich)教练因医疗问题离开马刺之前，他曾表示文班亚马更多的是一个外线球员而不是内线球员，他们希望文班无所不能。此外，他还说：“我们不能一口吃成个胖子。”
拥有全面的武器库是一件好事，因为这样的球员更难被对手针对。就像拳击手一样，一个会刺拳、勾拳、上勾拳和直拳，同时还能攻击头部和身体的拳击手，比只会挥大摆拳的拳击手要难对付得多。这就是为什么尼古拉·约基奇(Nikola Jokić)是世界上最好的球员，也是为什么马刺最近两场比赛令人鼓舞的原因。
此外，增肌强壮需要很长时间，因为过度的力量训练可能会很危险。趁着文班的身体还在发育，且球队对战绩的期望值不高，现在正是尝试远投的最佳时机。
本赛季，文班亚马场均出手7.5次三分球，令人瞠目结舌。根据Stathead的数据，NBA历史上唯一一位场均三分出手次数比他更多的中锋是卡尔-安东尼·唐斯 (7.9) ，他在2019-20赛季场均出手7.9次。然而，唐斯那个赛季只打了35场比赛，总共出手了277次三分球。中锋单赛季三分球出手次数的纪录是由布鲁克·洛佩斯在2018-19赛季创造的，他在81场比赛中出手了512次三分球。
如果文班亚马能保持目前的出手节奏，他的赛季三分出手次数将超过600次。上赛季只有8名外线球员做到这一点；2022-23赛季，有9名外线球员投出了这么多三分球，其中包括一名大个子球员（朱利叶斯·兰德尔）。但如果“三分王文班”想要成为真正的威胁，他必须持续拿出像最近两场那样的表现，或者如果他无法保持高命中率，就必须将出手次数降低到上赛季的水平（5.5次）或更低。
要知道，凯文·杜兰特(Kevin Durant)，这位身高2米11的射手，也是文班学习的榜样，他在2015-16赛季的场均三分出手次数达到了职业生涯最高的6.7次。
在现阶段，大多数球队在面对文班亚马时，都更希望他多投三分。他的三分命中率为31.3%，新秀赛季的三分命中率为32.5%，但这并不是唯一的原因。除非防守球员愚蠢到犯规，否则防守端不会有太大压力，因为没有必要对一个在三分线外的如此高大的球员进行包夹，而且投跳投可以确保对手最好的球员留在场上，因为他不会对他们造成犯规麻烦。
在马刺的最近两场比赛中，文班总共只获得了4次罚球机会，并且全部命中。即使考虑到他的力量问题，对于一个可以通过无球跑动获得空位的巨人来说，这个罚球次数也太低了。在新秀赛季，尽管他的肌肉还没有那么发达，但他场均可以获得5.2次罚球机会。本赛季，他的场均罚球次数下降到了3.5次，这是不可接受的。一个显著的变化是，三分球在他出手选择中的占比从33.2%上升到了47.4%。
现实情况是：既然他投了这么多三分，他就必须成为一名顶级射手，否则他的天赋将被浪费。他的内线终结能力太强了，不应该用过多的外线打铁来拯救对手的防守。
前NBA教练比尔·菲奇(Bill Fitch)在20世纪80年代中期执教火箭队时，经常抱怨拉尔夫·桑普森(Ralph Sampson)打得不像一个真正的大个子，每场比赛只投几个跳投。桑普森也很瘦，会被更强壮的球员挤开。但他可以用自己的智慧来弥补这一缺陷，并在最佳状态下像哈基姆·奥拉朱旺(Hakeem Olajuwon)一样具有统治力。
在1986年总决赛的第三场比赛中，桑普森让拥有史上最强锋线的凯尔特人队吃尽了苦头，因为他在近距离区域的7尺4身高实在难以招架。
文班亚马目前的阶段很像受伤前的桑普森：一个拥有历史级别伟大潜力的球员。尝试三分球并不会阻止文班达到那样的高度；但糟糕的三分球却会。最终，他必须找到投篮分布的正确平衡点。
点击查看原文：Victor Wembanyama’s three-point shooting should eventually balance out
Victor Wembanyama’s three-point shooting should eventually balance out
Victor Wembanyama is on pace to take the most threes ever for a center, but is that a good thing?
Victor Wembanyama has converted 12 of 21 trifectas in his last two outings, as the team lost to the Utah Jazz and defeated the Sacramento Kings. These games were the first and second time this season he has made half his long-range attempts, and he was only successful from that territory on one other occasion: the win versus the Houston Rockets on Oct. 26, downing 40 percent of tries.
Aside from enjoying the finesse game, he’s not going inside as often because he’s not strong enough to overpower some defenders. But the team isn’t stressing it. Before coach Gregg Popovich stepped away from the Spurs with a medical concern, he said Wembanyama is more of a perimeter player than post operator and that they want him doing everything. Plus, he said, “We can’t do it all at once.”
Having every weapon in the arsenal is a good thing because those players are harder to scheme out. Compared to a boxer, one who uses the jab, hook, uppercut, and straight hands while attacking head and body is much tougher to stop than the fighter who only comes forward with haymakers. That’s why Nikola Jokić is the best player in the world, and why the Spurs’ last two games are encouraging.
Additionally, getting stronger will take a long time because overdoing work in the weight room could be dangerous. While his body matures and expectations for the team remain low, there is no better time to experiment with the long ball.
Wembanyama is averaging an eye-popping 7.5 3-point attempts per game this season. The only other center in NBA history to try more nightly was Karl-Anthony Towns (7.9) in 2019-20, per Stathead. Yet, Towns played in 35 games that season, attempting 277 3-pointers. The record for most threes fired by a center belongs to Brook Lopez (512) in 2018-19 in 81 matches.
If Wembanyama keeps up his pace for the rest of the year, he’ll cross 600 attempts. Only eight perimeter players did that last season; in 2022-23, nine perimeter players shot so many, including one big man (Julius Randle). But he must consistently follow up on his last two performances for SnipeBanyama to be a real threat or lower the volume to last year’s (5.5) or below if he cannot.
Keep in mind that Kevin Durant, the 6’11 marksman that Wemby has emulated, has a career-high of 6.7 hoisted trifectas in 2015-16.
At this stage, when most teams play Wembanyama, they’d prefer more trays. He shoots 31.3 percent from deep and made 32.5 percent as a rookie, but that’s not the only reason. Unless the player guarding is clueless by fouling, pressure isn’t put on the defense because there’s no need to double someone so tall beyond the arc, and taking jumpers ensures he keeps the opponents’ best players on the floor since he won’t generate penalties against them.
In the Spurs’ last two games, Wemby totaled four free throw attempts, making them all. Even with strength issues, that is too low for a giant who can get open by moving without the ball. As a rookie whose muscles weren’t as defined, he averaged 5.2 freebies per game. This season it has dropped to 3.5 attempts, which is unacceptable. A noticeable change is that three-pointers have increased on his shot diet from 33.2 to 47.4 percent.
Here’s the reality: since he’s taking so many threes, he must become a premier sharpshooter or his talents will be wasted. His inside touch is too lethal to be bailing out defenses with excessive outside misses.
Former NBA coach Bill Fitch used to complain while instructing the Rockets that Ralph Sampson wasn’t playing like a true big man, taking a few jumpers per game in the mid-1980’s. Sampson was also skinny and could be pushed around by stronger players. But he could use his smarts to make up for that deficiency and be on his best day just as dominant as Hakeem Olajuwon.
In Game 3 of the ‘86 Finals, Sampson pieced up the Celtics, who had the greatest front court of all time, because he was too much to deal with at 7’4 at close range.
The current stage of Wembanyama is a lot like pre-injury Sampson: someone with the potential for all-time greatness. Experimenting with the three-point shot won’t stop Wemby from getting there; but being lousy at it can. Eventually, he will have to find the right balance to his shot distribution.
By MateoMayorga, via Pounding The Rock