By Bill Huan | Pounding The Rock (PtR), 2026-04-16 12:30:00
就这样，2025-26 赛季 NBA 常规赛落下了帷幕。
这是联盟历史上最离奇的年份之一。我们从季前赛的“种树争议”开始，经历了关于摆烂和“65 场比赛规则”讨论的白热化，而就在最近，整个华盛顿奇才队几乎因为一个被误解的愚人节玩笑而差点被“取消”。
值得庆幸的是，这一切都已成为过去。不过，在季后赛开打之前，我们需要就各项奖项进行一次诚挚的讨论。
让我们从重头戏开始。
常规赛最有价值球员 (MVP)：谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大 (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
入围名单：维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama)、尼古拉·约基奇 (Nikola Jokic)
MVP 属于谢伊，而且我认为这不应该有太大悬念。他 55.3% 的投篮命中率是历史上所有场均 30 分赛季中的最高值，而他 66.5% 的真实命中率也位列历史第二，仅次于斯蒂芬·库里 (Stephen Curry) 在 2016 年打出的那个惊人的 66.9%。谢伊还追平了自己在两年前创下的场均 30 分赛季中失误最少的纪录，场均仅 2.2 次。哦，我有没有提到雷霆队已经连续三个赛季蝉联西部头号种子了？
反对谢伊的最有力论点是俄克拉荷马城雷霆队拥有精英级的辅助阵容，因为在他下场时，雷霆队仍有 +4.8 的净效率。然而，在谢伊在场且切特·霍姆格伦 (Chet Holmgren) 和杰伦·威廉姆斯 (Jalen Williams) 都不在场的情况下，雷霆队的净效率达到了惊人的 +12.3。而且，雷霆队可以说是 MVP 候选人所在球队中受切身伤病困扰最严重的。支持文班亚马和约基奇的理由是，他们两人的场上/场下正负值差异都比谢伊更大。然而，约基奇在防守端的投入匮乏是不容忽视的；虽然文班这位“外星人”有理由被视为每分钟影响力最大的球员，但这无法弥补他与谢伊之间 400 分钟的出场时间差距（正如他们的总正负值所示，谢伊为 788，而文班为 682）。
如果该奖项只考虑过去三个月，那么文班和卢卡·东契奇 (Luka Doncic) 都有机会。如果只考虑前两个月，那么约基奇会有机会。对这三个人来说不幸的是，MVP 涵盖的是整个常规赛，而他们中没有一个人能整年持续保持最佳状态。谢伊做到了，这就是为什么他是无可争议的 MVP。
年度最佳防守球员 (DPOY)：维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama)
入围名单：切特·霍姆格伦 (Chet Holmgren)、鲁迪·戈贝尔 (Rudy Gobert)
呃……这还需要讨论吗？显然是特雷·杨 (Trae Young) —— 他的防守威慑力直接把本·西蒙斯 (Ben Simmons) 逼成了职业钓鱼佬！
开个玩笑，今年的 DPOY 是自库里 2016 年全票当选 MVP 以来最显而易见的奖项人选，文班在这里也理应获得全票。本赛季文班在场时，圣安东尼奥马刺队的防守效率为 105.1，比雷霆队还要低 2.2 点，而许多人已经认为这支雷霆队是史上最伟大的防守球队之一。但与雷霆队不同的是，马刺队除了斯蒂芬·卡斯尔 (Stephon Castle) 之外，只有文班这一名精英级防守者，数据也证明了这一点：在没有文班的情况下，圣安东尼奥的防守效率为 117.4，仅排在联盟第 21 位。
令人惊讶的是，文班在任何单项护筐统计中都不是绝对的第一，但那是因为对手只有在有一定把握确信他盖不到球时才会选择在篮下出手，而且即便如此，他往往还是能送出火锅。更具揭示性的数据是文班在场与否时对手篮下出手比例的下降：他在场时，对手只有 26.2% 的出手是在篮下（处于 94 分位），而他不在场时，这一比例升至 31.7%（处于 49 分位）。即使对手的这些出手已经经过了精挑细选，他们在篮下的命中率也仅为 60.8%（处于 93 分位）。
文班正稳步迈向成为史上最伟大防守球员的道路，而他才刚刚起步。
年度最佳教练：乔·马祖拉 (Joe Mazzulla)
入围名单：J.B. 比克斯塔夫 (JB Bickerstaff)、米奇·约翰逊 (Mitch Johnson)
在马祖拉和比克斯塔夫之间，我并没有太多犹豫，尽管后者也完全配得上这个奖项。最终，决定取决于以下问题：哪位教练通过将球员置于最易成功的境地，从而使球队的表现更超出了预期？
对我来说，答案是马祖拉。波士顿凯尔特人队在一个休赛期失去了 5 名首发中的 3 名以及整个内线轮换阵容，而且他们的核心球员中没有一个年轻到能像底特律活塞队的球星们那样实现飞跃。马祖拉已经从围绕克里斯塔普斯·波尔津吉斯 (Kristaps Porzingis) 和艾尔·霍福德 (Al Horford) 运行“五外”战术，转型为设计一套以顺下大个子为核心的体系，同时还要轮换一堆以前被称为“他在哪打球？”的球员来填补杰森·塔图姆 (Jayson Tatum) 缺阵留下的空白。比克斯塔夫在最大化杰伦·杜伦 (Jalen Duren) 进步后的进攻能力以及像詹金斯 (Jenkins) 这样的角色球员方面做得非常出色，但在阵容大幅更迭后，马祖拉带领波士顿取得 56 胜显然更令人印象深刻。
最快进步球员 (MIP)：尼基尔·亚历山大-沃克 (Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
入围名单：基昂特·乔治 (Keyonte George)、尼米亚斯·克塔 (Neemias Queta)
亚历山大-沃克是这个奖项设立初衷的缩影：一名职业生涯已进入中期的球员，在大家都认为他的角色已定型时，实现了意想不到的飞跃。诚然，他在亚特兰大老鹰队获得了更多重任，但明尼苏达森林狼队此前也极度渴望另一名能与安东尼·爱德华兹 (Anthony Edwards) 搭档的主控卫，而他们放弃亚历山大-沃克正是因为他从未展现出胜任该角色的能力。
今年，他的场均得分比上赛季翻了一番还多，从 9.4 分增加到 20.8 分。值得注意的是，亚历山大-沃克还提高了效率，而且幅度不小：他 61% 的真实命中率远高于同位置平均水平，而他此前的职业生涯平均水平仅为 55.7%。他在场时，亚特兰大的净效率为 +4.6，而他休息时则跌至 -1.8，这种变化大部分来自进攻端。此外，即使在进攻任务加重的情况下，亚历山大-沃克仍然是一名优秀的外线防守者，在攻防两端都打出了全明星级别的表现。
年度最佳新秀 (ROY)：库珀·弗拉格 (Cooper Flagg)
入围名单：康·克努佩尔 (Kon Knueppel)、V.J. 艾奇库姆 (VJ Edgecombe)
作为近年来竞争最激烈的奖项之一，ROY 确实难分伯仲。然而，如果你基于高阶指标，那差距其实很明显。康凭借其三分球的产量和效率遥遥领先，他也是一名被低估的组织者，有时甚至是夏洛特黄蜂队的进攻连接者。作为一名新秀，在三分命中数上领跑全联盟绝对是疯狂的，而且康已经是同位置效率最高的球员之一，真实命中率为 63.3%。
话虽如此，我选择弗拉格是因为他的赛季表现同样令人印象深刻，而且我认为他是更好的球员——不仅是未来，现在也是。是的，他 54.8% 的真实命中率不仅远低于康，也低于联盟平均水平，但我认为除了投篮之外，他在比赛的每一个环节都是更好的球员。现在，他们投篮能力的差距远大于弗拉格在其他所有技能上的领先优势，但我还认为，康去了一支最能发挥他特定技能的球队，而弗拉格去了一支最差的：如果弗拉格在康的位置上，黄蜂队会一样出色；而如果康在达拉斯独行侠队，他可能根本不会出现在这个讨论中。
再次重申，两名球员都完全配得上这个奖项，这个选择是目前为止最难决定的。在写作过程中我反复横跳了 10 次，可能在一小时后就会后悔，但就在此时此刻，我选择弗拉格。
年度最佳第六人：小海梅·哈克斯 (Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
入围名单：凯尔登·约翰逊 (Keldon Johnson)、纳兹·里德 (Naz Reid)
无意冒犯小海梅·哈克斯，但这是记忆中表现最平庸的一届第六人候选。所有其他候选人要么（替补出场）时间不够，要么基础数据或高阶数据乏善可陈。例如，凯尔登·约翰逊打满了 82 场比赛，但我甚至不认为他是马刺队最有影响力的替补球员。那个位置属于迪伦·哈珀 (Dylan Harper)，如果他打的时间再长一点，我会选他。里德·谢泼德 (Reed Sheppard) 同样出场时间不足，而纳兹·里德不像哈克斯那样全面。后者是唯一一个在拥有亮眼数据（15/5/5）的同时，正负值拆分表现积极且出场时间充足的球员。
恭喜迈阿密！你们可以在 #热火文化 和 #阿德巴约83 旗帜旁边挂上一面新锦旗了。
最佳阵容第一阵：谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大 (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)、尼古拉·约基奇 (Nikola Jokic)、维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama)、卢卡·东契奇 (Luka Doncic)、科怀·伦纳德 (Kawhi Leonard)
伦纳德是今年除四位 MVP 候选人之外表现最好的球员，这就是为什么他能压过杰伦·布朗 (Jaylen Brown) 抢下最后一个一阵席位。考虑到洛杉矶快船队动荡的赛季（以及他们的种树事件），这是一个艰难的决定，但洛杉矶能保持在五成胜率以上，伦纳德几乎功不可没，当然还有赛季初詹姆斯·哈登 (James Harden) 的帮助。与此同时，我更倾向于将波士顿的超预期表现归功于马祖拉的天才而非布朗的发挥，因为无论谁在场，凯尔特人队都很出色。不过，考虑到布朗今年近乎 MVP 级别的表现，让他进入一阵我也没意见。
最佳阵容第二阵：多诺万·米切尔 (Donovan Mitchell)、杰伦·布伦森 (Jalen Brunson)、贾马尔·穆雷 (Jamal Murray)、杰伦·布朗 (Jaylen Brown)、凯文·杜兰特 (Kevin Durant)
贾马尔·穆雷值得特别表扬。与普遍观点相反，他在之前的赛季中从未真正配得上全明星席位，而且因为在 2020 年和 2023 年季后赛中打出了超常表现而被高估了。然而，他终于在整个常规赛中都保持了那种水准，成为了联盟中最具活力的进攻双人组之一（丹佛在穆雷和约基奇同时在场时进攻效率为 130.6，为联盟历史最高），同时在约基奇不在场时也维持了掘金队的进攻（116.5，处于 61 分位）。穆雷还打出了联盟中效率最高的高产三分赛季，场均出手 7.5 次，命中率达 43.5%，这使他的真实命中率飙升至 62.2% —— 这是他职业生涯首次突破 60%。
最佳阵容第三阵：杰伦·杜伦 (Jalen Duren)、杰伦·约翰逊 (Jalen Johnson)、泰瑞斯·马克西 (Tyrese Maxey)、切特·霍姆格伦 (Chet Holmgren)、德尼·阿夫迪亚 (Deni Avdija)
三阵由首次入选最佳阵容的球员组成。马克西在场均出场时间上领跑全联盟，总得分排名第五；切特很可能在 DPOY 投票中排名第二；而约翰逊作为一支季后赛球队的第一选择，场均贡献 22+10+8。与此同时，在我愚蠢地将杜伦排除在我的全明星阵容之外后，他在凯德·坎宁安 (Cade Cunningham) 缺阵的情况下开启了暴走模式，场均砍下 23 分 10 篮板。我仍然不确定他是否能成为一支真正争冠球队的二号人物，但毫无疑问，他已经成长为联盟前 30 的球员之一，而且他才 22 岁。最后一个席位在卡尔-安东尼·唐斯 (Karl-Anthony Towns)、德尼·阿夫迪亚和多伦多猛龙的斯科蒂·巴恩斯 (Scottie Barnes) 之间徘徊。唐斯拥有目前为止最好的高阶数据，并在赛季后半段提升了防守；而斯科蒂可以说是三人中最全面的。我最终选择了德尼，因为他在波特兰基本上是一个人的进攻体系，场均 24/7/7，并带领开拓者队在他在场时打出了高于平均水平的 116.7 进攻效率，而当他下场时，这一数字跌至 110.8 —— 相当于联盟排名第 28 的进攻水平。
本周，请关注 玛丽琳 (Marilyn) 的 常规赛回顾！马刺队是今年联盟最令人惊喜的球队之一，并已准备好迎接他们的第一次季后赛洗礼。
感谢阅读！
所有数据均由 Cleaning the Glass 和 NBA Stats 提供。
由生成式 AI 翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
点击查看原文：Around the NBA: 2026 NBA awards picks
Around the NBA: 2026 NBA awards picks
And just like that, the 2025-26 NBA regular season has come to an end.
It’s been one of the weirder years in league history. We started with a tree-planting controversy in pre-season, to the tanking and 65-game rule discourse hitting overdrive, and most recently, the entire Wizards organization almost got cancelled for a misinterpreted April Fools joke.
Thankfully, that’s all in the rearview mirror. Before the playoffs start, though, we need to have a cordial discussion about awards.
Let’s start with the Big Kahuna.
Most Valuable Player: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Runner-ups: Victor Wembanyama, Nikola Jokic
The MVP is Shai, and I don’t think it should be that close. His 55.3% FG is the highest out of every 30-point-per-game season in history, and his 66.5% true shooting is also the second-highest, only behind Steph’s outlandish 2016 season at a nice 66.9%. Shai also tied his own record for least turnovers per game in any 30ppg season at just 2.2, which he first set two years ago. Oh, and did I mention that the Thunder are the West’s one-seed for the third straight season?
The best argument against Shai is OKC’s elite supporting cast, as the Thunder still have a +4.8 net rating with him off the floor. However, they are also an absurd +12.3 with Shai on and Chet and JDub both off, and OKC has arguably been the most banged-up team amongst the MVP candidates. The case in favor of Wemby and Jokic is that they both have larger on/off splits than Shai does. However, Jokic’s lack of defensive effort is impossible to overlook, and while the Alien has a case as the most impactful player per minute, it doesn’t make up for the 400-minute difference between him and Shai (as shown by their overall plus-minus, with Shai at 788 and Wemby at 682).
If the award only takes into account the last three months, then Wemby and Luka would have a case. If it only takes into account the first two months, then Jokic would have a case. Unfortunately for those three, MVP encompasses the entire regular season, and none of them consistently played at their best for the whole year. Shai did, which is why he is the clear MVP.
Defensive Player of the Year: Victor Wembanyama
Runner-ups: Chet Holmgren, Rudy Gobert
Uhh… do we even need to discuss this? It’s obviously Trae Young — his defensive prowess forced Ben Simmons into a pro fisherman!
Jokes aside, this year’s DPOY is the most obvious award pick since Steph’s 2016 unanimous MVP season, and Wemby should be the unanimous pick here too. San Antonio’s 105.1 defensive rating in Wemby’s minutes is 2.2 points lower than OKC’s this season, and many already consider the Thunder to be one of the greatest defensive teams ever. Unlike OKC, though, the Spurs only have one other elite defender in Castle, and the numbers bear that out too: San Antonio has a 117.4 DRTG without Wemby, which would rank 21st in the league.
Surprisingly, Wemby isn’t the absolute best in any one rim protection stat, but that’s because opponents only take shots around the basket when they’re somewhat confident he can’t block it, and oftentimes, he still does. The more revealing number is the drop in opponent rim attempts when Wemby is on/off the floor: with him playing, 31.7% of opposing shots are at the basket (49th percentile), which drops to just 26.2% when he plays (94th percentile). Opponents are also making just 60.8% (93rd percentile) of their shots around the rim, even with those being very selective attempts.
Wemby is well on his way to becoming perhaps the greatest defensive player ever, and he’s just getting started.
Coach of the Year: Joe Mazzulla
Runner-ups: JB Bickerstaff, Mitch Johnson
I didn’t have much hesitation picking Mazzulla over Bickerstaff, though the latter is very deserving of this award too. Ultimately, the decision came down to the following question: which team exceeded expectations more through the coach putting players in the best position to succeed?
To me, the answer is Mazzulla. Boston lost 3/5 starters and their entire frontcourt rotation in one offseason, and none of their core players are young enough to make the leaps that the Detroit stars have. Mazzulla has gone from running 5-out with Porzingis and Horford to designing a scheme with a rolling big in the middle, while also rotating a bunch of former “who he play for?” guys to fill Tatum’s absence. Bickerstaff has done a great job maximizing Duren’s improved offensive game and role players like Jenkins too, but Mazzulla leading Boston to 56 wins following their roster turnover is simply more impressive.
Most Improved Player: Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Runner-ups: Keyonte George, Neemias Queta
NAW is the epitome of what this award is for: a player well into their career who takes an unexpected leap when everyone thought his role would never change. Yes, he’s been given more responsibility in Atlanta, but the Wolves were also desperate for another lead guard to play alongside Ant, and they moved on from NAW specifically because he never showed the ability to be that guy.
This year, he’s more than doubled his scoring average from last season, going from 9.4 to 20.8 points per game. Remarkably, NAW has increased his efficiency too, and not by a little: his 61% true shooting is way above the positional average, and his previous career average was just 55.7%. Atlanta also has a +4.6 net rating with him playing, which drops to -1.8 when he sits, with most of that change coming from offense. Moreover, NAW has still been a good perimeter defender even with the increased offensive responsibilities, playing at an All-Star level on both ends of the court.
Rookie of the Year: Cooper Flagg
Runner-ups: Kon Knueppel, VJ Edgecombe
One of the tightest award races in recent history, ROY is truly a coin toss. However, if you base this off advanced metrics, it’s not even close. Kon is way ahead due to his three-point volume and efficiency, and he’s also been an underrated playmaker who’s been Charlotte’s connector at times. Leading the league in threes made as a rookie is absolutely bonkers, and Kon’s already one of the most efficient players at his position with a true shooting of 63.3%.
With that said, my pick is Flagg because his season has been just as impressive, and I view him as the better player — not just moving forward, but right now too. Yes, his 54.8% true shooting is way below not just Kon’s, but also the league average, but I think he’s a better player in every facet of the game outside of shooting. Now, the gap between their shooting is much larger than the gap in every other skill that Flagg has an advantage in, but I also believe that Kon went to the absolute best team for his specific skillset while Flagg went to the worst: the Hornets would be just as good with Flagg in Kon’s place, while Kon wouldn’t be in this race if he were on the Mavs.
Again, both players are absolutely deserving of this award and this pick was by far the most difficult one to decide on. I flip-flopped 10 times while writing and could regret this choice in the next hour, but as of this exact moment, I’m going with Flagg.
Sixth Man of the Year: Jaime Jaquez Jr.
Runner-ups: Keldon Johnson, Naz Reid
No offense to Jaime Jaquez, but this is one of the worst sixth-man crops in recent memory. All other candidates either did not play enough minutes (off the bench) or had lackluster counting and/or advanced stats. Keldon Johnson, for instance, played all 82 games, but I didn’t even think he was the most impactful bench player on the Spurs. That belongs to Dylan Harper, who I would’ve picked if he played more minutes. Reed Sheppard also lacks the minutes, while Naz Reid isn’t as well-rounded a player as Jaquez is. The latter is the only player who has somewhat eye-popping stats (15/5/5) with positive plus/minus splits while also playing enough minutes.
Congrats Miami! You can hang a new banner beside the #heatculture and #bam83 ones.
All NBA First Team: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Nikola Jokic, Victor Wembanyama, Luka Doncic, Kawhi Leonard
Kawhi has been the best player this year outside of the four MVP candidates, which is why he snagged that final First-Team spot over Jaylen Brown. It was a hard decision, though, given the Clippers’ turbulent season (and their tree planting), but Kawhi deserves almost all the credit for LA finishing above .500, along with help from Harden at the start of the year. Meanwhile, I would attribute Boston’s overachieving more to Mazzulla’s genius than Brown’s play since the Celtics are good no matter who’s been on the floor, though I’d also have no problem with the latter finishing on the First-Team given his borderline MVP-level play this year.
All NBA Second Team: Donovan Mitchell, Jalen Brunson, Jamal Murray, Jaylen Brown, Kevin Durant
Jamal Murray deserves a special shoutout. Contrary to popular belief, he never deserved to be an All-Star in previous seasons, and was overrated due to playing above his usual level during the 2020 and 2023 playoff runs. However, he’s finally played at that level for a full regular season, being one half of the most dynamic offensive duo in the league (Denver has a 130.6 ORTG with him and Jokic playing, the highest in league history) while also keeping the Nuggets’ offense afloat without Jokic (116.5, 61st percentile). Murray is also having the most efficient high-volume three-point shooting season in the league by making 43.5% on 7.5 attempts per game, vaulting his true shooting to 62.2% — the first time he’s been above 60%.
All NBA Third Team: Jalen Duren, Jalen Johnson, Tyrese Maxey, Chet Holmgren, Deni Avdija
The Third-Team is composed of first-time All-NBA selections. Maxey leads the league in minutes per game and is fifth in overall points, Chet will likely finish second in DPOY voting, and Johnson is averaging 22/10/8 as the first option on a playoff team. Meanwhile, Duren went on a rampage after I foolishly left him off my All-Star team, averaging 23 and 10 with Cade out. I’m still not sure if he can be the second option on a true title team, but there’s no doubt that he’s blossomed into one of the 30 best players in the league and is still just 22. The last spot was a toss-up between KAT, Deni, and Toronto’s own, Scotland Barnes. KAT has by far the best advanced numbers and also improved his defense during the second half of the season, while Scottie is arguably the most well-rounded player of the three. I ultimately went with Deni, though, since he was essentially a one-man offense in Portland, averaging 24/7/7 and leading the Blazers to an above-average 116.7 ORTG with him on, which drops to 110.8 when he sits — equivalent to the 28th-ranked offense in the league.
This week, please check out Marilyn’s regular season recap! The Spurs have been one of the league’s most pleasant surprises this year and are ready to get their first taste of the playoffs.
Thanks for reading!
All stats courtesy of Cleaning the Glass and NBA Stats.
By Bill Huan, via Pounding The Rock