[PtR] 预测马刺新赛季首发阵容和轮换阵容

By Jeje Gomez, Marilyn Dubinski, Mark Barrington, Jacob Douglas, Bill Huan, J.R. Wilco | Pounding The Rock (PtR), 2024-10-19 02:00:00

由生成式人工智能翻译,译文内容可能不准确或不完整,以原文为准。

NBA: 季前赛-奥兰多魔术对阵圣安东尼奥马刺

随着德文·瓦塞尔(Devin Vassell)缺阵到 11 月,再加上板凳席上众多有缺陷但有趣的球员选择,圣安东尼奥的比赛时间分配充满了变数。

你认为马刺队在揭幕战中的首发阵容会是什么?

玛丽莲·杜宾斯基(Marilyn Dubinski): 我认为在迈阿密的那场季前赛很好地预示了我们在揭幕战中将会看到的轮换阵容,所以首发阵容应该是克里斯·保罗(Chris Paul)、朱利安·尚帕尼(Julian Champagnie)、哈里森·巴恩斯(Harrison Barnes)、杰里米·索汉(Jeremy Sochan)和维克托·文班亚马(Victor Wembanyama)。作为马刺队最可靠的外线射手和稳定的 3D 球员,尚帕尼已经赢得了顶替瓦塞尔的机会。

马克·巴灵顿(Mark Barrington): 哈里森·巴恩斯、克里斯·保罗、维克托·文班亚马、杰里米·索汉和朱利安·尚帕尼。基本上就是季前赛中所有人健康时的首发阵容。

杰西·戈麦斯(Jesus Gomez): 我同意其他人的看法。克里斯·保罗、朱利安·尚帕尼、哈里森·巴恩斯、杰里米·索汉和维克托·文班亚马。格雷格·波波维奇(Gregg Popovich)在热火队比赛结束后拒绝证实这一点,但所有迹象都表明这五个人将在揭幕战中首发出场。尚帕尼在防守一些得分后卫时可能会遇到困难,但他的投篮状态太好了,以至于不能为了斯蒂芬·卡斯尔(Stephon Castle)而让他替补出场。一旦瓦塞尔回归,看看是尚帕尼还是巴恩斯替补出场将会很有趣。

J.R. 威尔科(J.R. Wilco): 在报道这支球队十多年的时间里,我学到了一件事,那就是波波维奇在季前赛中对首发阵容所做的安排,就是他在正式比赛中将会做的安排。由于首发阵容有很多种不同的组合(而且瓦塞尔也缺阵了),这是一个合理的问题——但我同意其他人的观点,巴恩斯和保罗将与文班和索汉一起首发,而尚帕尼将在德文康复期间填补空缺。

在瓦塞尔缺阵期间,谁将获得轮换阵容中的一个位置,韦斯利(Wesley)、布拉汉姆(Branham)还是都没有?

杜宾斯基: 同样,如果以热火队的比赛作为参考,可能两个人都没有,因为韦斯利在第四节清空板凳席之前只打了三分钟,而布拉汉姆则一分钟都没有打(尽管他在上场后确实打出了季前赛中最好的一段时间)。总的来说,韦斯利的季前赛表现更好,人们一直认为他的上限比布拉汉姆高,但在进入联盟时更显稚嫩,而布拉汉姆的投篮能力让他更快做好了进入 NBA 的准备。我们可能正处于这样一个节点:韦斯利更加全面的比赛即将超越布拉汉姆,但两人可能仍然落后于斯蒂芬·卡斯尔。看看马刺队如何处理他们的四年级球队选项将会很有趣。

巴灵顿: 我觉得韦斯利凭借着他在季前赛中取得的进步,已经赢得了一个轮换阵容中的位置。布拉汉姆的表现一直不稳定,我认为他可能会被斯蒂芬·卡斯尔在轮换阵容中超越,卡斯尔看起来已经准备好迎接 NBA 的竞争了。

戈麦斯: 我同意韦斯利在季前赛中的表现让他在阵容深度上领先于布拉汉姆,但我可以看到波波维奇会使用九人轮换阵容,就像玛丽莲说的那样,两个人都不会上场。在季前赛中,由特雷·琼斯(Tre Jones)、韦斯利和卡斯尔组成的三后卫阵容既有趣又实用,但如果前九名球员都表现出色,那么留给韦斯利和布拉汉姆的比赛时间就只剩下几分钟了。

威尔科: 我认为是都没有,因为斯蒂芬已经赢得了我的支持。我从来不反对卡斯尔——尽管我在选秀之夜抱怨了不少,因为我想要的是投篮——但现在我绝对是他的支持者了。在本赛季,他肯定会遇到一些困难,我认为我们应该预料到他会经常被联盟中的精英得分手们教训,但我认为他很有机会留在轮换阵容中,并且作为一名新秀来说,他的表现会相当出色(连续两年有一名新秀从波波维奇那里获得了大量的上场时间?这个世界怎么了?)

谁将获得剩余的中锋上场时间,查尔斯·巴斯西(Charles Bassey)、马穆(Mamu)还是都没有?

杜宾斯基: 了解波波维奇的人都知道,他可能会更看重巴斯西的防守,证据就是在健康的情况下,他在轮换阵容中总是领先于马穆,但我们很难忽视马穆的比赛——至少在进攻端——要精彩得多。他能投三分,能转移球,而且在上个赛季,他和文班之间表现出了一些不错的化学反应。问题在于他的防守,当他没有得分的时候,这个问题就更加突出了。现实情况是,他更适合打大前锋而不是中锋,所以巴斯西默认情况下可能是第三中锋。

巴灵顿: 莱利·明尼克斯(Riley Minix)?我真的不知道。我喜欢马穆打球时的激情,但他的防守太糟糕了。巴斯西的防守能力更强,但他还没有在进攻端提供太多贡献。最好的选择是,如果比赛很焦灼,他们两个人都不要上场太多时间。

戈麦斯: 理想情况下,两个人都不要上场。文班亚马和科林斯(Collins)应该能够打满 48 分钟的中锋位置。如果出现犯规麻烦,那么在面对大多数球队时,最好的选择可能是查尔斯·巴斯西,但在大多数比赛中,马穆凯拉什维利(Mamukelashvili)可能很难找到上场时间,所以如果马刺队想让他上场,他们可能会把他变成一个空间型五号位,并忍受他在防守上的问题。

威尔科: 我会说,这要视情况而定。马穆负责进攻,巴斯西负责防守——在维克和扎克(Zach)人手不足的情况下,就像戈麦斯提到的那样。我很想看到马穆多打比赛,因为他转移球和投三分球都很有观赏性,但除非他的防守达到了黄金时期的水平(如果他能达到的话),否则这种情况不太可能发生。

点击查看原文:Predicting the Spurs’ starting lineup and rotation for the regular season

Predicting the Spurs’ starting lineup and rotation for the regular season

NBA: Preseason-Orlando Magic at San Antonio Spurs

With Devin Vassell out until November and plenty of flawed but interesting bench options, a lot of minutes could be up for grabs in San Antonio.

What do you think the Spurs’ starting lineup will be on opening night?

Marilyn Dubinski: I think the preseason game at Miami was a pretty good indicator of the rotations we’ll see on opening night, so for the starters, that would be Chris Paul, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, Jeremy Sochan and Victor Wembanyama. Champagnie has earned the opportunity to replace Vassell by being the Spurs’ most reliable outside shooter and a steadying presence as a 3-and-D player.

Mark Barrington: Harrison Barnes, Chris Paul, Victor Wembanyama, Jeremy Sochan, and Julian Champagnie. Basically the lineup that has been starting in preseason when everyone was healthy.

Jesus Gomez: I agree with everyone else. Chris Paul, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, Jeremy Sochan and Victor Wembanyama. Gregg Popovich refused to confirm it after the Heat game but everything points to those five being the first on the floor on opening night. Champagnie could struggle to defend some shooting guards but he’s been shooting too well to bench him in favor of Stephon Castle. It will be interesting to see whether Champagnie or Harrison Barnes comes off the bench once Vassell returns.

J.R. Wilco: One thing I’ve learned from covering this team for over a decade, is that what Pop does with the starting lineup in the preseason is what he’ll do once the games matter. Since there were so many different starting lineups (and since Vassell is out), this is a legit question to ask — but I agree with the rest that Barnes and Paul will join Wemby and Sochan with Chanpers filling in while Devin recovers

Who’s getting a spot in the rotation while Vassell is out, Wesley, Branham or neither?

Dubinski: Again, if the Heat game was any indication, possibly neither as Wesely got three minutes before the fourth quarter emptying-of-the-benches while Branham got none, (although he did have his best stretch of the preseason once he got in). Overall, Wesley has had a better preseason, and the assumption has always been that he has a higher ceiling than Branham but was more raw coming into the league, while Branham’s shooting made him more NBA-ready. We may be hitting the point where Wesley’s more rounded game is about to surpass Branham, but both may still be behind Stephon Castle. It will be interesting to see what the Spurs do with their fourth-year team options.

Barrington: I feel like Wesley has earned a spot in the rotation with his improved play in preseason. Branham has been inconsistent, and I think he might be leapfrogged in the rotation by Stephon Castle, who looks ready to compete against NBA competition already.

Gomez: I agree that Wesley’s work in preseason puts him ahead of Branham in the depth chart, but I can see Pop playing a nine-man rotation and using neither, as Marilyn said. The three-guard lineups with Tre Jones, Wesley and Castle were fun and functional in preseason, but if everyone in the top nine performs well, there could be only a handful of minutes left for Wesley and Branham.

Wilco: I’m going with neither because Stephon has won me over. I was never anti-Castle — although I didn’t my share of griping on draft night because I wanted shooting — but now I’m definitely on his bandwagon. He’ll certainly have his struggles during the season, and I think we should expect him to get schooled regularly by the elite of the league’s scorers, but I see him having a great shot and sticking in the rotation and being quite productive for a rookie (Two straight years of a rookie getting big minutes from Pop? What’s the world coming to?)

Who’s getting the leftover big man minutes, Charles Bassey, Mamu or neither?

Dubinski: Knowing Pop, he’ll probably value Bassey’s defense more, proof being that when healthy, he has always been ahead of Mamu in the rotation, but it’s hard to ignore how much more exciting Mamu’s game is — at least on offense. He can shoot threes, keep the ball moving, and he showed some nice chemistry with Wemby last season. The problem is his defense, and when he isn’t scoring it stands out even more. The reality is he’s better off as a power forward than center, so Bassey by default is probably the third center.

Barrington: Riley Minix? I have no idea, really. I like the excitement when Mamu plays, but he’s just an awful defender. Bassey can defend better, but he hasn’t provided much offensive output yet. The best option is that neither one of them plays a lot if the game is close.

Gomez: Ideally, neither. Wembanyama and Collins should be able to man the center spot for 48 minutes. If there’s foul trouble, the best option against most teams is probably Charles Bassey, but it could be hard to find minutes for Mamukelashvili at power forward, so if the Spurs want him on the court at all, they might turn him into a stretch five and live with the issues on defense.

Wilco: I’ll say that it’ll be situational. Mamu for offense and Bassey for defense — on those occasions where Vic and Zach aren’t enough, and Gomez mentioned. I’d love to see Mamu play more because he’s fun to watch moving the ball and hitting threes, but until his defense is ready for prime time (if it ever gets there) it’s just not likely to happen.

By Jeje Gomez, Marilyn Dubinski, Mark Barrington, Jacob Douglas, Bill Huan, J.R. Wilco, via Pounding The Rock