By Scott Phillips / The Athletic, 2026-10-20 17:00:31
在结束长达53年的NBA冠军荒之后，纽约尼克斯在这个难忘的夏天横扫季后赛对手，吸引了全美国的目光。但在游行庆典和《周六夜现场》主持秀之后，纽约的狂欢终于落幕，而2026-27赛季的NBA将带来激烈的竞争。
这可能会让一些人感到意外：尽管球队在季后赛中势如破竹，甚至保留了上赛季季后赛轮换前十球员中的九位，但尼克斯在各大博彩公司开出的2027年NBA总决赛夺冠赔率中，仅并列第三或第四。
西部两大豪强圣安东尼奥马刺和俄克拉荷马城雷霆在BetMGM和DraftKings上并列夺冠最大热门。两支球队都保留了大部分首发核心。随后，焕然一新的费城76人在7月底意外超越纽约成为东部夺冠热门，这要归功于勒布朗·詹姆斯和杰伦·布朗的休赛期加盟。
近年来的历史对试图卫冕的NBA冠军并不友好。在群雄逐鹿的格局下，尼克斯能否突出重围，成为自2018年金州勇士队以来首支成功卫冕的球队？
雷霆、马刺赛季伊始并列最大热门
在西部决赛上演令人难忘的七场大战之后，马刺和雷霆在BetMGM上以+260的赔率并列总决赛夺冠热门，这并不令人意外。
尽管圣安东尼奥最终在总决赛中不敌纽约，但对于一支年轻且仍在成长中的马刺阵容来说，能够淘汰俄克拉荷马城已经是一项超出预期的成就。圣安东尼奥赛季前的夺冠赔率仅为+6600，12月时也只有+4500，但他们的夺冠窗口期提前到来了。
随着维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama)、斯蒂芬·卡斯尔 (Stephon Castle) 和迪伦·哈珀 (Dylan Harper) 的预期成长，马刺是否还藏有另一档实力？哈珀在季后赛中的崛起，加上老将前锋托拜厄斯·哈里斯 (Tobias Harris) 的加盟，让圣安东尼奥的轮换时间分配成为一个耐人寻味的问题。抛开轮换问题不谈，文班亚马职业生涯首次成为MVP博彩热门，上赛季总决赛的失利也可能让他斗志更盛。
尽管被马刺淘汰出局，雷霆依然是夺冠行列中的坚定竞争者。俄克拉荷马城的阵容深度因交易走卢·多特、以赛亚·乔和阿隆·威金斯等熟悉的轮换球员而略有受损。补强则来自雷霆囤积的选秀权资产：中锋阿代·马拉和后卫贝内特·斯蒂尔茨都有望立即获得上场时间。
MVP竞争者谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大将获得更多支援，全明星前锋杰伦·威廉姆斯将恢复健康——他在西部决赛中仅出战了三场比赛。雷霆内线切特·霍姆格伦在季后赛表现平平之后，同样面临诸多疑问。
在圣安东尼奥和俄克拉荷马城对西部的强势垄断之下，下一个最接近的西部争冠者要数各自+2500赔率的丹佛掘金和明尼苏达森林狼。后勒布朗时代的洛杉矶湖人赔率为+3500，仍由卢卡·东契奇领衔。休斯顿火箭（+5000）是赛季开始时唯一另一支赔率低于50倍的西部球队。
勒布朗的转会改变东部格局
焕发活力的东部联盟本赛季值得密切关注。詹姆斯和科怀·伦纳德从西部转投东部，加上杰森·塔图姆和泰瑞斯·哈利伯顿伤愈复出打满整个赛季，让东部的球星成色大幅提升。这还没算上迈阿密热火为再度冲击总冠军而交易得到扬尼斯·阿德托昆博的操作。
詹姆斯落户费城才是这个休赛期真正的重磅炸弹。“国王”的降临立竿见影：76人的夺冠赔率从6月底低至+6600，飙升至+850。在费城此前将保罗·乔治交易至波士顿凯尔特人换来布朗之后，随着勒布朗重返东部，76人被一些人视为联盟新的潜在超级球队。当然，这一切的前提是詹姆斯和乔尔·恩比德能够在漫长的季后赛征程中保持健康。
由于费城的崛起，纽约以+1000的夺冠赔率，实际上成为这十年来夺冠赔率最长的卫冕冠军。
尽管夺冠赔率有所上升，纽约依然以强有力的姿态进入新赛季的争冠行列。最值得注意的离队球员是顶级护框者和空接威胁米切尔·罗宾逊，尼克斯用老将中锋安德烈·德拉蒙德填补了他的空缺。
尼克斯横扫2026年季后赛的方式，是他们卫冕之路上的另一个有趣因素。许多冠军球队都要经历一场仿佛又一个完整赛季般的季后赛苦战。而尼克斯在四轮系列赛中仅打了18场季后赛——其中包括两次横扫，以及那场标志性的“尼克斯5场解决战斗！”的NBA总决赛胜利。以极小的阻力轻松穿越东部之后，纽约可能比典型的卫冕冠军拥有更充沛的体能。
纽约13场的季后赛连胜纪录在NBA历史上排名第二，仅次于2017年的金州勇士队——后者以15连胜开启了两连冠中的第一冠。尼克斯希望沿着勇士的蓝图，凭借疯狂的季后赛表现延续到下一个赛季。
随着塔图姆健康回归，波士顿凯尔特人（+1400）仍具备竞争力，但必须解决布朗远走费城换来乔治之后的第二得分点问题。凭借围绕塔图姆的均衡进攻，波士顿依然危险，但失去布朗这样一位久经考验的季后赛悍将，可能会在季后赛中显现影响。
克利夫兰骑士和多伦多猛龙以各自+2500的赔率并列夺冠赔率第六。克利夫兰希望与詹姆斯·哈登打满一个完整赛季，能在又一次早早出局之后带来更稳定的季后赛表现。复苏的多伦多在失去伦纳德七年后迎回了他，作为新的头号得分手。
上赛季东部头号种子底特律活塞，以及完成重组的热火，赔率均为+3000。随着哈利伯顿在缺席整个上赛季之后回归，打进2025年NBA总决赛的印第安纳步行者（+4000）同样值得关注。
由生成式 AI 翻译，翻译内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
查看原文：2027 NBA championship odds: Spurs, Thunder co-favorites, 76ers, Knicks close in Eastern Conference
2027 NBA championship odds: Spurs, Thunder co-favorites, 76ers, Knicks close in Eastern Conference
Ending a 53-year NBA title drought, the New York Knicks captured America’s attention during an unforgettable summer by steamrolling their postseason competition. But after the parades and Saturday Night Live hosting gigs, New York’s party is finally over, and now the 2026-27 NBA season presents stiff competition.
This might surprise some, but despite the team’s commanding postseason run, and even after returning nine of its top-10 playoff performers, the Knicks are either tied for third or fourth at major sportsbooks in the odds to win the 2027 NBA Finals.
Western Conference juggernauts the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder are co-favorites on both BetMGM and DraftKings. Both teams return most of their starting cores. Then the new-look Philadelphia 76ers unexpectedly became Eastern Conference favorites over New York in late July after the offseason additions of LeBron James and Jaylen Brown.
Recent history hasn’t been kind to NBA champions attempting to repeat the next season. Among a crowded field, can the Knicks break through as the league’s first repeat champions since the 2018 Golden State Warriors?
Thunder, Spurs co-favorites to start season
After a memorable seven-game series in the Western Conference Finals, it’s no surprise the Spurs and Thunder open as co-title favorites at +260 on BetMGM to win the NBA Finals.
Although San Antonio came up short to New York in the NBA Finals, getting past Oklahoma City was still an unexpected accomplishment for a young and developing Spurs roster. San Antonio was +6600 to win the title in the preseason and still only +4500 in December, but reached its title window ahead of schedule.
With expected growth from Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle and Dylan Harper, could the Spurs still potentially possess another gear? The playoff emergence of Harper, coupled with the signing of veteran forward Tobias Harris, leads to an intriguing minutes crunch in San Antonio’s rotation. Rotation questions aside, Wembanyama is the betting favorite for the first time in his career and could be extra motivated following last season’s finals loss.
Despite that elimination at the hands of the Spurs, the Thunder are still firmly in the title mix. Oklahoma City’s depth took a slight hit by trading familiar rotation players like Lu Dort, Isaiah Joe and Aaron Wiggins. Reinforcements arrived from the Thunder’s stockpile of draft picks with center Aday Mara and guard Bennett Stirtz both potentially vying for immediate minutes.
MVP contender Shai Gilgeous-Alexander should have more help with forward Jalen Williams healthy after the All-Star only played in three games of the Western Conference Finals. Thunder big man Chet Holmgren also faces question marks after an underwhelming playoff performance.
With San Antonio and Oklahoma City’s stranglehold on the West, the next closest title contender doesn’t show up until the Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves at +2500 each. Post-LeBron, the Los Angeles Lakers are at +3500, with Luka Dončić still leading the way. The Houston Rockets (+5000) are the only other Western Conference team short of 50-to-1 odds as the season begins.
LeBron’s move alters East landscape
A rejuvenated Eastern Conference should be worth watching this season. James and Kawhi Leonard shifting from the Western Conference to the East, along with the full-season injury returns of Jayson Tatum and Tyrese Haliburton, gives the conference significantly more star power. That doesn’t even account for the Miami Heat’s trade for Giannis Antetokounmpo as part of another title push.
James landing in Philadelphia was the real stunner of the offseason. The King’s landing was quickly felt, with the 76ers rising to +850 title odds after being as low as +6600 at the end of June. With LeBron back in the Eastern Conference after Philadelphia previously traded Paul George to the Boston Celtics for Brown, the Sixers are viewed by some as the league’s new potential super team. That, of course, hinges on James and Joel Embiid staying healthy through a long postseason run.
Thanks to Philadelphia’s emergence, New York, at +1000 title odds, actually owns the longest odds of any defending champion this decade.
Even with its title odds getting longer, New York enters the season in a strong position to compete for a title. Ace rim protector and lob threat Mitchell Robinson is the most noteworthy departure, and the Knicks replaced him with veteran center Andre Drummond.
The way the Knicks dismantled the 2026 postseason is another intriguing factor in their repeat attempt. Many champions go through a postseason grind that might feel like another full season. The Knicks only played 18 playoff games across four series — including two sweeps and the iconic “Knicks in 5!” NBA Finals win. By breezing through the Eastern Conference with minimal resistance, New York could be fresher than a typical defending champion.
New York’s 13-game postseason winning streak was second in NBA history behind the 2017 Golden State Warriors — who won 15 in a row as part of the first of back-to-back titles. The Knicks are hoping to follow Golden State’s blueprint by riding a ridiculous postseason run through the next season.
Staying in the mix with Tatum’s healthy return, the Boston Celtics (+1400) have to figure out their secondary scoring with Brown moving to Philly for George. Boston is still dangerous thanks to its balanced scoring around Tatum, but losing a proven playoff performer like Brown could show in the postseason.
The Cleveland Cavaliers and Toronto Raptors are tied for sixth in NBA title odds at +2500 each. Cleveland is hoping a full season with James Harden leads to more playoff consistency after another early exit. Resurgent Toronto gets Leonard back as a new go-to scorer seven years after losing him.
Last year’s Eastern Conference top seed, the Detroit Pistons, along with the revamped Heat, are both at +3000. With Haliburton returning after missing all of last season, the Indiana Pacers (+4000) are also worth monitoring after making the 2025 NBA Finals.
By Scott Phillips / The Athletic