By NBA insiders, 2026-08-25 19:00:00
自2019年以来，NBA已诞生了八支不同的冠军球队：多伦多猛龙、洛杉矶湖人、密尔沃基雄鹿、金州勇士、丹佛掘金、波士顿凯尔特人、俄克拉荷马城雷霆和纽约尼克斯。2027年总决赛会遵循同样的剧本吗？
在东部，卫冕冠军尼克斯将面对勒布朗·詹姆斯、杰伦·布朗以及全新面貌的费城76人等强敌的挑战，纽约人将全力捍卫自己的冠军头衔。而在西部，竞争同样激烈，圣安东尼奥马刺、明尼苏达森林狼以及2024-25赛季冠军雷霆等豪强都在为成为西部代表而战。
随着赛程日历飞速翻向揭幕战之夜，哪些球队能在2027年4月、5月和6月脱颖而出？在预测了每支球队的战绩之后，我们的NBA内部人士正在预测最有可能闯入各自分区决赛的球队，以及谁将赢得本赛季的总冠军。以下是投票规则：第一选票获得5分，第二选票获得3分，第三选票获得1分。（注：夏季预测将于周三继续，届时将公布所有主要NBA奖项的预测。）
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[东部决赛](https://www.espn.com/
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#east) | [西部决赛](https://www.espn.com/
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[NBA总决赛](https://www.espn.com/
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#finals)
谁将赢得东部决赛？
- 纽约尼克斯： 68分
2. 费城76人： 51分
T-3. 波士顿凯尔特人： 17分
T-3. 底特律活塞： 17分
5. 印第安纳步行者： 12分
6. 克利夫兰骑士： 9分
根据我们的预测，尼克斯和76人将争夺一个NBA总决赛席位。一年前，两队曾在第二轮系列赛中相遇，纽约以四场比赛轻松取胜。如果尼克斯能够重返分区决赛，这将是自2019年群雄并起时代以来，第二次有卫冕冠军在次年达到这一高度（2025-26赛季的雷霆是首支做到这一点的球队）。
纽约在季后赛和总决赛中的历史性征程不容忽视——76人在一个令人震惊的休赛期中的操作同样如此。引进杰伦·布朗和勒布朗·詹姆斯是球队自2001年以来首次闯入分区决赛希望的关键拼图。
一场I-95/Amtrak走廊的分区决赛对联盟办公室来说将极具吸引力：詹姆斯在麦迪逊广场花园的背景下打一场高风险的系列赛？但克利夫兰正寄望于再次闯入分区决赛，而底特律在上赛季以一号种子身份在第二轮出局后，也期待迈出下一步。
凯尔特人上赛季拥有东部第二好的战绩，却在首轮对阵76人时浪费了3-1的领先优势。尽管凯尔特人在乔·马祖拉时代已经三次以夺冠热门身份输掉季后赛系列赛，但他们或许能从更低的期望和更好的三分投射中受益。
印第安纳步行者可能是一匹黑马，泰瑞斯·哈利伯顿在2025年总决赛第七场遭遇右脚跟腱撕裂后伤愈复出。当印第安纳阵容齐整时，他们曾在2024年和2025年的季后赛中击败过尼克斯。
未被提及的：由扬尼斯·阿德托昆博领衔的迈阿密热火。同样值得关注。——文森特·古德威尔
谁将赢得西部决赛？
1. 俄克拉荷马城雷霆： 88分
2. 圣安东尼奥马刺： 74分
3. 明尼苏达森林狼： 9分
T-4. 丹佛掘金： 8分
T-4. 休斯顿火箭： 8分
6. 洛杉矶湖人： 2分
如果上赛季西部决赛不会重演，那将令人意外——那轮由马刺赢下的七场大战，仿佛是NBA下一段史诗级宿敌对决的第一章。根据DraftKings的数据，雷霆（60.5胜）和马刺（59.5胜）的预期胜场数遥遥领先于西部其他球队，与第三名之间有着10场的巨大差距。
维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama) 和马刺在5月底于俄克拉荷马城的主场庆祝了第七场胜利。但雷霆在那个系列赛中缺少了杰伦·威廉姆斯（腿筋伤势）和阿杰伊·米切尔（小腿伤势），他们本赛季以微弱优势被视为夺冠热门。
森林狼连续两个赛季闯入西部决赛。在上赛季第二轮被淘汰后，明尼苏达进行了重大阵容调整，送走了朱利叶斯·兰德尔和纳兹·里德，引进了拉梅洛·鲍尔，将这位前夏洛特黄蜂球员与安东尼·爱德华兹组成了可以说是联盟最具天赋的后场组合。——蒂姆·麦克马洪
谁将赢得2027年NBA总决赛？
1. 俄克拉荷马城雷霆： 84分
2. 圣安东尼奥马刺： 74分
3. 纽约尼克斯： 11分
4. 费城76人： 10分
5. 底特律活塞： 6分
NBA会迎来九年内的第九个不同冠军吗？
马刺有机会实现这一目标——文班亚马和他的队友们上赛季获得了五场总决赛经验——但连续两届MVP谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大和2024-25赛季冠军雷霆至少在本专家组看来是略微占优的一方。
上赛季很少有人预测纽约会开启冠军之旅，但杰伦·布伦森带领尼克斯以统治级表现夺得了球队五十多年来的首个总冠军，整个季后赛仅输掉三场比赛。然而，根据本专家组的投票，尼克斯在夺冠热门中仅位列第三，落后于两支拥有大量上升期天赋的西部强队。
说到漫长的冠军荒，76人那个轰动一时的夏天让费城看到了自1983年以来首次捧起NBA总冠军奖杯的希望。但值得注意的是，詹姆斯在过去三次更换球队时，都是在第二个赛季而非第一个赛季赢得总冠军。——麦克马洪
由生成式 AI 翻译，翻译内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
查看原文：NBA Summer Forecast 2026-27: Conference champions and Finals predictions
NBA Summer Forecast 2026-27: Conference champions and Finals predictions
The NBA has had eight different champions since 2019: the Toronto Raptors, Los Angeles Lakers, Milwaukee Bucks, Golden State Warriors, Denver Nuggets, Boston Celtics, Oklahoma City Thunder and New York Knicks. Will the 2027 Finals follow the same script?
In the East, the reigning champion Knicks will face adversaries such as LeBron James, Jaylen Brown and the new-look Philadelphia 76ers as New York attempts to defend its title. Out West, the picture is equally competitive, with juggernauts such as the San Antonio Spurs, Minnesota Timberwolves and the 2024-25 champion Thunder vying to become the conference’s representative.
As the calendar barrels toward opening night, which teams will rise above the rest come April, May and June 2027? After forecasting each team’s record, our NBA insiders are projecting the teams most likely to reach their respective conference finals and which will win this season’s title. Here’s how the voting works: A first-place vote receives five points, a second-place vote receives three and a third-place vote receives one. (Note: Summer Forecast continues Wednesday with predictions for every major NBA award.)
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[Eastern Conference finals](https://www.espn.com/
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#east) | [Western Conference finals](https://www.espn.com/
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[NBA Finals](https://www.espn.com/
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Who will win the Eastern Conference finals?
- New York Knicks: 68 points
2. Philadelphia 76ers: 51 points
T-3. Boston Celtics: 17 points
T-3. Detroit Pistons: 17 points
**5. Indiana Pacers:**12 points
6. Cleveland Cavaliers: 9 points
The Knicks and 76ers will vie for a spot in the NBA Finals, according to our forecast, a year after the two teams met in a second-round series, which New York won handily in four games. If the Knicks make it back to the conference finals, it will be the second time in the parity era (since 2019) that a defending champion reached that level the following season (the 2025-26 Thunder were the first).
New York’s record run through the playoffs and Finals cannot be ignored – nor can the moves the 76ers made in a shocking offseason. The acquisitions of Jaylen Brown and LeBron James are critical pieces to the team’s hopes of reaching its first conference finals since 2001.
An I-95/Amtrak conference finals would be tantalizing for the league office: James in a high-stakes series against the backdrop of Madison Square Garden? But Cleveland is banking on a repeat trip to the conference finals, and Detroit is looking to take another step after falling in the second round as a No. 1 seed last season.
The Celtics had the second-best record in the East last season before blowing a 3-1 lead in Round 1 to the 76ers. Though the Celtics have lost three playoff series as favorites in the Joe Mazzulla era, they could benefit from lower expectations and better 3-point shooting.
The Indiana Pacers could be a sleeper with Tyrese Haliburton’s return from a right Achilles tear in Game 7 of the 2025 Finals. When Indiana was whole, it defeated the Knicks in the playoffs in 2024 and 2025.
Not mentioned: the Giannis Antetokounmpo-led Miami Heat. Interesting as well. – Vincent Goodwill
Who will win the Western Conference finals?
1. Oklahoma City Thunder: 88 points
2. San Antonio Spurs: 74 points
3. Minnesota Timberwolves: 9 points
T-4. Denver Nuggets: 8 points
T-4. Houston Rockets: 8 points
6. Los Angeles Lakers: 2 points
It will be surprising if there isn’t a rematch of last season’s West finals, a seven-game battle won by the Spurs that seemed like the first chapter of the NBA’s next epic rivalry. The Thunder (60.5) and Spurs (59.5) have by far the conference’s highest over/unders for projected wins, according to DraftKings, with a 10-game drop-off to the next West team.
Victor Wembanyama and the Spurs celebrated a Game 7 win on Oklahoma City’s home court in late May. But the Thunder, who were missing Jalen Williams (hamstring) and Ajay Mitchell (calf) in that series, enter this season as slight favorites.
The Timberwolves advanced to the previous two West finals. After being eliminated in the second round last season, Minnesota made major roster changes, moving off of Julius Randle and Naz Reid to bring in LaMelo Ball, pairing the former Charlotte Hornets player with Anthony Edwards in what is arguably the league’s most talented backcourt. – Tim MacMahon
Who will win the 2027 NBA Finals?
1. Oklahoma City Thunder: 84 points
2. San Antonio Spurs: 74 points
3. New York Knicks: 11 points
**4. Philadelphia 76ers:**10 points
5. Detroit Pistons: 6 points
Will the NBA get its ninth different champion in nine years?
The Spurs have a chance to make that happen after Wembanyama & Co. got five games of Finals experience last season, but back-to-back MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the 2024-25 champion Thunder are considered the slight favorites, at least by the panel.
Few forecasted New York to go on a title run last season, but Jalen Brunson led the Knicks on a dominant march to the franchise’s first championship in more than five decades, losing only three games in the playoffs. Nevertheless, the Knicks come in a distant third among title favorites, according to our panel, trailing the two West powers that are loaded with ascending talent.
Speaking of long title droughts, the Sixers’ splashy summer generated hope that Philadelphia could soon celebrate its first NBA championship since 1983. It’s worth noting, however, that James has won a title in the second season, not the first, the past three times he changed teams. – MacMahon
By NBA insiders, via ESPN