[ESPN] 2026年NBA总决赛:尼克斯对阵马刺G5前瞻、X因素及MVP预测

By NBA Insiders, 2026-06-13 19:00:00

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在上演了NBA季后赛历史上最伟大的逆转之一之后,纽约尼克斯和圣安东尼奥马刺将如何应对接下来的比赛?纽约能否在本月拿下他们在圣安东尼奥的第三场胜利,并捧回自1973年以来的首座总冠军奖杯

NBA总决赛第五场(G5)即将打响(美东时间周六晚8:30,ABC/ESPN App直播)。

在第四场比赛中,尼克斯克服了29分的分差惊险击败马刺,目前在系列赛中以3-1领先。纽约在半场结束时落后27分,但凭借杰伦·布伦森 (Jalen Brunson)和OG·阿奴诺比 (OG Anunoby)双双砍下30+的惊艳表现,完成了NBA季后赛历史上半场落后分差最大的逆转。这是总决赛历史上第三次出现前四场比赛在常规时间最后两分钟内均分差在一个球(一回合)以内,也是第二次出现有多场比赛仅以1分决出胜负的总决赛。

在总决赛历史上,只有一支球队在1-3落后的情况下完成了逆转夺冠(2016年的克利夫兰骑士队),而在总决赛中取得3-1领先的球队历史战绩为37胜1负。

但那些球队中没有一支拥有维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama),而且马刺在总决赛的前四场比赛中都曾一度领先达到两位数。在经历了这些势均力敌的较量后,真的有人会提前将文班亚马和马刺排除在争冠行列之外吗?

ESPN NBA记者蒂姆·邦坦普斯 (Tim Bontemps)、本·戈利弗 (Ben Golliver)、文森特·古德威尔 (Vincent Goodwill)和迈克尔·C·莱特 (Michael C. Wright)对第五场比赛进行了前瞻。尼克斯能否顺利收官?马刺能否将系列赛带回纽约?让我们来看看两队在第四场之后的感受,以及双方各自的取胜之匙:

快速链接:
第四场深度解析 | 比赛要点
休赛期指南 | 赛程与赛果

第四场惊天逆转后,尼克斯队内氛围如何?

古德威尔: 释怀。尼克斯深知,如果面对的是一个经验更丰富的总决赛对手,他们给自己挖的这个大坑可能会导致完全不同的结果。但在过去的两个季后赛中,他们展现出了在绝境中逆转的非凡能力。他们并没有大肆宣扬自己距离总冠军仅一步之遥,而是专注于当下,同时也表示马刺在第五场绝不会轻易缴械。

他们知道,在抹平29分分差的过程中,有很多运气成分站在了他们这一边。

“在体育运动中,你必须得有一点运气,”尼克斯主教练迈克·布朗 (Mike Brown)说道,“但你也可以自己创造运气。所以,你既需要一些天意,也需要一些通过自身努力创造的运气,这大概是我想传达的最重要的信息。”

看起来,在这个季后赛中,运气确实一直站在尼克斯这一边。


第四场惨遭崩盘后,马刺队内氛围如何?

莱特: 沮丧。他们说的话都无懈可击。年度最佳第六人凯尔登·约翰逊 (Keldon Johnson)表示:“我不想和除这群兄弟之外的任何人并肩作战,”并补充道,“我们相信我们能做到。”

许多人曾预计,年轻的马刺会因为缺乏经验而在关键时刻栽跟头。也许第四场就是那个时刻,但这并不是他们在本届季后赛中第一次面临淘汰。在西部决赛对阵俄克拉荷马城时,马刺曾以2-3落后,但随后连赢两场晋级。而这一次,他们的落后形势更加严峻,赌注也大得多。

“我们有两天时间把一切都投入到[第五场比赛]中,”主教练米奇·约翰逊 (Mitch Johnson)在周三晚上表示,“那是唯一重要的比赛。我绝非不承认尼克斯的努力和成就,他们打出了精彩的篮球,理应获得赞赏。但我们觉得,前四场比赛的胜负其实都取决于我们自己。”


尼克斯在第四场下半场是找到了什么窍门吗?

古德威尔: 并没有超出他们已知范围的新东西。突破后将球分给外线投手,就能打出高效的进攻。这在一定程度上是因为马刺自乱了阵脚。而尼克斯通过稳扎稳打、拒绝蛮干,加速了圣安东尼奥的崩盘。

尽管尼克斯在上半场打得不够聪明,但他们几乎总能在精神和情绪上保持专注。他们知道,只要在这轮系列赛中保持在可追击的范围内,结果通常都会对他们有利。

虽然花了几场比赛的时间,但他们发现阿奴诺比是不可动摇的,而马刺对他确实束手无策。因此,每当局面陷入胶着,他们就会把球交到他手里。


展望第五场,马刺球迷有什么可以乐观的理由?

莱特: 尽管马刺没能成功收割比赛,但他们在每场比赛中都始终保持着竞争悬念。

马刺在第四场中犯了多个可以纠正的错误。文班亚马打了44分钟。也许在马刺大比分领先的上半场,米奇·约翰逊本可以让他多休息一会儿。球队去年夏天用4100万美元的合同签下前NBA总冠军、替补中锋卢克·科内特 (Luke Kornet),肯定不是为了让他在这场至关重要的第四场比赛中仅出场4分钟。

还有在比赛还剩11.1秒、马刺领先1分时,达龙·福克斯 (De’Aaron Fox)选择尝试上篮,而不是消耗时间逼迫尼克斯犯规。以及文班亚马在最后1分47秒时的两次罚球不中。这些都是可以纠正的问题。


第五场最重要的球员是______。

邦坦普斯: 文班亚马。是的,第四场是一次沉重的打击,但这些比赛的胜负都悬于最后一攻。

因此,如果文班亚马能够发挥出最佳状态,马刺依然有能力摆脱目前的困境。


尼克斯要想赢下第五场,需要______。

戈利弗: ……他们不能沉溺于第四场的奇迹,并且要抵制住提前畅想回到主场打第六场的诱惑。

在经历了可以说是队史最激动人心的胜利之后,尼克斯必须谨防情绪上的松懈,他们不能让自己陷入在麦迪逊广场花园捧起自1973年以来首座总冠军奖杯的幻想中。

布伦森在周三给出了正确的信号:“没什么好庆祝的。一切还没结束,甚至还差得远。”在前往德克萨斯州之际,尼克斯可以感到宽慰的是,在总决赛中取得3-1领先的38支球队中,有37支最终夺得了总冠军。


马刺要想赢下第五场,需要______。

戈利弗: ……他们需要再次打出强势开局,并在领先时展现出更强大的心理韧性。

斯蒂芬·卡斯尔 (Stephon Castle)在周三表示,米奇·约翰逊告诉马刺,他们“几乎主导了所有这些比赛的胜负”。马刺在第四场中成了自己最大的敌人,在关键时刻因为非受迫性失误、罚球不中以及畏首畏尾的打法而彻底崩盘。

在遭遇29分的惨痛逆转后,马刺士气受挫是可以理解的,但他们必须专注于上半场行之有效的战术。在这轮系列赛的每一场比赛中,文班亚马和他的队友们都通过无私的传导球和良好的节奏创造了高质量的出手机会,从而建立起两位数的领先优势,并且他们已经在胶着的第三场中证明了自己有能力击败经验丰富的尼克斯。如果马刺能够在心理上重整旗鼓,在主场的第五场比赛中轻装上阵,他们完全可以将系列赛带回纽约。


做出你的预测:总决赛将打几场?谁将夺得MVP?

邦坦普斯: 系列赛将在五场内结束,阿奴诺比将荣膺MVP。

阿奴诺比在整个季后赛期间的表现都堪称惊艳,轻松打出了他职业生涯中最好的篮球——而这还是在他于纽约第四场逆转中奉献史诗级表现之前。在第四场完成大逆转后,尼克斯将在周六的圣安东尼奥用五场比赛结束这轮系列赛。

但在经历了这轮系列赛的前四场比赛(其中两场仅以1分决出胜负)之后,谁真正能料到接下来会发生什么呢?

由生成式 AI 翻译,译文内容可能不准确或不完整,以原文为准。

点击查看原文:2026 NBA Finals: Knicks-Spurs Game 5 preview, X factors, MVP pick

2026 NBA Finals: Knicks-Spurs Game 5 preview, X factors, MVP pick

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How will the New York Knicks and San Antonio Spurs follow up on one of the greatest comebacks in NBA playoff history? Can New York win its third game in San Antonio this month and take home its first championship since 1973?

It’s almost time for Game 5 of the NBA Finals (Saturday, 8:30 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN App).

The Knicks are up 3-1 in the series after they overcame a 29-point deficit in Game 4 to stun the Spurs. New York trailed by 27 points at halftime and mounted the largest halftime comeback in NBA postseason history, thanks to 30-plus-point performances from Jalen Brunson and OG Anunoby. This is the third Finals in which the first four matchups were all one-possession games in the final two minutes of regulation, and the second Finals with multiple games decided by a point.

Only one team has won a Finals after facing a 3-1 series deficit (the 2016 Cleveland Cavaliers), and teams are 37-1 when leading 3-1 in the Finals.

But none of those teams had Victor Wembanyama on their roster, and the Spurs have led all four Finals games by double digits at some point. Is anyone counting out Wembanyama and the Spurs after these close games?

ESPN NBA reporters Tim Bontemps, Ben Golliver, Vincent Goodwill and Michael C. Wright look ahead to Game 5. Can the Knicks close it out? Can the Spurs send the series back to New York? Let’s get into how both teams feel coming out of Game 4, and how both squads could win:

Quick links:
Game 4 deep dive | Takeaways
Offseason guides | Schedule, results

What’s the feeling around the Knicks after their Game 4 comeback?

Goodwill: Relief. The Knicks knew they put themselves in a situation that, against a more seasoned Finals opponent, would’ve spelled a different result. But they’ve shown a remarkable ability during the past two postseasons to come back from dire circumstances. They didn’t acknowledge that they’re one win from a title. They were in the moment while also saying the Spurs won’t go down easily in Game 5.

They knew a lot went their way as they erased a 29-point hole.

“You’ve got to have a little luck in sports,” Knicks coach Mike Brown said. “But you can also make your luck, too. So, you’ve got to have some natural luck and some luck where you’re going to make your own, and that was probably the biggest message.”

Seems as though luck has been on the Knicks’ side this postseason.


What’s the feeling around the Spurs after their Game 4 collapse?

Wright: Frustration. They’re saying all the right things. Sixth Man of the Year Keldon Johnson said, “I wouldn’t want to be with any other guys,” adding that “we believe we can get it done.”

Many expected that the young Spurs would stumble in a critical moment because of their inexperience. Perhaps Game 4 was that moment, but this isn’t the first time they have faced elimination this postseason. The Spurs fell behind 3-2 in the Western Conference finals against Oklahoma City and won two in a row to advance. This time, the deficit is larger, and the stakes are much higher.

“We have two days to put everything we have into [Game 5],” coach Mitch Johnson said Wednesday night. “That’s the only game that matters. By no means am I not acknowledging the Knicks and what they’ve done. Give them credit for playing good basketball. But we feel like we’ve decided the outcome of all four games.”


Did the Knicks figure out something in the second half of Game 4?

Goodwill: Nothing more than what they already knew. Spreading the ball to shooters after penetration allows for potent offense. Some of this was the Spurs self-destructing. And the Knicks contributed to San Antonio’s collapse by not playing recklessly.

Though the Knicks didn’t play the smartest game in the first half, they almost always stay engaged mentally and emotionally. They know if they remain in striking distance in this series, the result usually bears in their favor.

It took a few games, but they figured out that OG Anunoby is unshakable, and the Spurs don’t really have an answer for him. And when things get tight, they give him the ball.


What can Spurs fans be optimistic about headed into Game 5?

Wright: San Antonio has stayed within reach in each game despite its inability to close.

The Spurs suffered from multiple correctable mistakes in Game 4. Wembanyama played 44 minutes. Maybe Mitch Johnson could’ve rested him more in the first half when the Spurs were up big. Surely the franchise didn’t sign backup Luke Kornet, a former NBA champion, to a $41 million deal last summer for him to play four minutes in a pivotal Game 4.

There’s also De’Aaron Fox attempting a layup with 11.1 seconds left and the Spurs leading by one instead of him forcing the Knicks to foul. And Wembanyama’s two missed free throw attempts with 1:47 left. These are all correctable issues.


The most important player in Game 5 is ______.

Bontemps: Wembanyama. Yes, Game 4 was a gut punch, but each of these games has come down to the final possession.

So, if Wembanyama can summon his best, the Spurs can still dig themselves out of this hole.


The Knicks will win Game 5 if ______.

Golliver: … they avoid dwelling on their Game 4 miracle and fight the temptation to look ahead to a possible Game 6 at home.

The Knicks must guard against an emotional letdown after arguably the most thrilling win in franchise history, and they can’t get caught up in the hypothetical of clinching their first title since 1973 at Madison Square Garden.

Brunson had the right message Wednesday: “There’s nothing to celebrate. It’s not over yet, not even close.” As they head to Texas, the Knicks can find comfort in knowing that 37 out of 38 teams that have held a 3-1 lead in the Finals have won the championship.


The Spurs will win Game 5 if ______.

Golliver: … they start hot again and show better mental resolve while leading.

Stephon Castle said Wednesday that Mitch Johnson told the Spurs they have “pretty much dictated the winner and loser of all these games.” The Spurs were their own worst enemy in Game 4, crumbling down the stretch by committing unforced turnovers, missing free throw attempts and playing not to lose.

The Spurs, who were understandably demoralized after their 29-point collapse, must focus on what worked in the first half. Wembanyama & Co. have built double-digit leads in every game this series by creating high-quality looks thanks to unselfish ball movement and good pace, and they proved they can close out the veteran Knicks in a tight Game 3. If the Spurs can regroup mentally and play free in Game 5 at home, they can force this series back to New York.


Make the call now: How many games will the Finals go, and who will win MVP?

Bontemps: The series will end in five, and Anunoby will be the MVP.

Anunoby has been fantastic throughout the playoffs, easily playing the best basketball of his career – and that was before his epic performance in New York’s Game 4 comeback. After the Knicks’ comeback in Game 4, they will finish this in five Saturday in San Antonio.

But after the first four games of this series – two of which were decided by a point – who really knows what will happen next?

By NBA Insiders, via ESPN