By Boxscorehistory | Pounding The Rock (PtR), 2026-05-16 12:30:00

在这段神奇的季后赛征程中,圣安东尼奥马刺队以一场令人印象极其深刻的胜利,为这轮艰苦的次轮系列赛画上了圆满句号。当然,圣安东尼奥通过这一成就获得的唯一奖励,就是有机会面对NBA历史上数据统治力最强的球队之一(尽管马刺在面对他们时一直战绩不错),但在接下来的日子里,我们有充足的时间来讨论那场对决。与此同时,让我们先深入分析一下本场比赛那疯狂的技术统计:
注: 既然我们已经进入了季后赛,评分所使用的参考周期也从2012-2013赛季以来的常规赛样本,切换为2012-2013赛季以来的季后赛样本。除非下文另有说明,否则该样本集确实包含附加赛。截至2026年5月15日结束,该样本组共包含1,189场比赛。

决定比赛的因素
- 令人难以置信的是,明尼苏达森林狼在失误大战中占据了巨大优势,圣安东尼奥马刺的失误比森林狼整整多了11次。
- 然而,马刺对篮板球的统治几乎是史无前例的,这支银黑军团比明尼苏达多抢了31个篮板。
- 公平地说,如此巨大的总篮板(TRB)差距几乎完全是由后场篮板产生的,而马刺之所以有这么多后场篮板可抓,是因为森林狼经历了一个极其糟糕的投篮之夜。
- 尽管投篮出手数(FGA)少了18次,但凭借着+17.95个百分点的投篮命中率(FG%)优势,马刺反而多进了9个球。
- 圣安东尼奥还多进了6个三分球,这主要归功于他们在三分命中率(3P%)上拥有+12.07个百分点的优势。
- 除此之外,马刺在罚球线上也占据了产量(多出6次罚球)和效率(高出4.23个百分点)的双重优势。因此,圣安东尼奥通过罚球将领先优势扩大了6分。
罕见的技术统计
- 这份技术统计简直离谱。一个直观的体现是:获胜方(即马刺)在17项统计指标中有14项达到了平均甚至卓越水平,其中12项远高于平均水平,4项堪称顶级。与此同时,马刺在剩下的3个领域表现得极其糟糕。
- 让我们先看看在2012-2013赛季以来进行的1,189场季后赛中,本场比赛独一无二的纪录:
- 森林狼:此前从未有球队在失误不超过5次的情况下,输掉30分以上。
- 森林狼:此前从未有球队在助失比达到5:1或更高的情况下,输掉30分以上。此前,助失比如此出色的球队,输球分差从未超过15分。
- 马刺:此前从未有球队在失误净胜值为+11或更糟(即比对手多11次失误)的情况下,还能赢下30分以上。在本场比赛之前,失误表现如此糟糕的获胜者,最大赢球分差为23分。
- 马刺:此前从未有获胜球队在后场篮板(DRB)净胜数上达到28个或以上。
- 马刺:此前从未有获胜球队在进攻篮板(ORB)净胜数仅为+3或更低的情况下,总篮板(TRB)净胜数超过25个。
- 马刺:此前从未有球队在投篮出手数(FGA)落后18次或更多的情况下,赢下30分以上。
- 马刺:此前从未有球队在投篮出手数(FGA)落后18次或更多的情况下,投篮命中数(FGM)还能领先9个或以上。
- 好了,让我们把注意力转向那些虽然不是完全唯一、但在过去14个季后赛中也极其罕见的数据。下列情况在参考周期内的发生概率都不超过1%(即每99场比赛才可能出现一次):
- 此前仅有一次获胜球队的总篮板(TRB)净胜数达到31个或以上。那是在2014年5月13日,华盛顿奇才以102-79击败印第安纳步行者的比赛。
- 这是历史上第五次出现获胜方送出34次以上助攻,却在助失比这一项上输给对手的情况。
- 此前仅有六支获胜球队的盖帽净胜数达到+11或以上。令人啼笑皆非的是,本系列赛的第一场(在那场比赛中,文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama) 仅个人就贡献了12次盖帽)竟然不在这六场比赛之列(马刺在那场比赛中的盖帽净胜数仅为微不足道的+9)。
- 这是历史上第11次出现获胜方的投篮命中率(FG%)、三分命中率(3P%)和罚球命中率(FT%)分别达到或超过55.68%、47.37%和85.19%的情况。
- 本场比赛是历史上第12次出现获胜方失误净胜值为+11或更糟的情况。
什么是球队等级评分技术统计(Team Graded Box Scores)?
简单来说,这些技术统计是对胜负双方基础数据的差值进行评分。评分标准基于获胜球队在特定参考周期内相对于其他NBA获胜者的表现。你可以把它看作是一份成绩单,用来了解某支获胜球队相对于其他获胜者的表现如何。所使用的参考周期从2012-2013赛季开始至今,且仅包含同类型的赛季类别(即常规赛和季后赛不会相互比较)。
数据来源: 用于创建这些技术统计的基础数据收集自 Basketball Reference 。在所有情况下,数据均在比赛结束后的次日早晨收集。虽然罕见,但在数据收集后确实会发生赛后统计修正,这可能会影响最终结果。
由生成式 AI 翻译,译文内容可能不准确或不完整,以原文为准。
点击查看原文:Box Grades: Triumphant Spurs advance in another blowout win over Wolves
Box Grades: Triumphant Spurs advance in another blowout win over Wolves

In this magical postseason run, the Spurs capped off a gritty second round with a victory that was extremely impressive. Of course, the only reward San Antonio has earned through this achievement is the opportunity to face one of the most statistically dominant teams in NBA history (albeit one they’ve enjoyed much success against), but there will be plenty of time to discuss that matchup in the days ahead. In the meantime, let’s dive in to this game’s WILD box score:
Note: Now that we’ve moved into the postseason, the reference period used for grading changes from the set of regular season games since 2012-2013 to the set of postseason games since 2012-2013. Unless otherwise noted below, this set DOES include play-in games. As of the end of May 15, 2026, this group include 1,189 games.

Factors that decided the game
- Unbelievably, Minnesota enjoyed a MASSIVE advantage in the turnover battle, with San Antonio having 11 more that the Timberwolves.
- However, the Spurs’ domination of the glass was nearly unprecedented, as the Silver and Black recorded 31 more rebounds than Minnesota.
- In fairness, that huge TRB differential was almost entirely generated by defensive rebounds, and those were available to the Spurs in abundance because the Timberwolves had a dreadful shooting night.
- Despite taking 18 fewer shots, the Spurs made nine more due to a FG% margin of +17.95 percentage points.
- San Antonio also made six more threes, largely due to a +12.07 percentage-point edge in 3P%.
- On top of everything else, the Spurs enjoyed advantages in volume (+6 FTA) and efficiency (+4.23 percentage points) from the charity stripe. Consequently, San Antonio widened their lead by +6 through free throws.
Rare Box Score Stats
- This box score is BONKERS. One way to tells is that the winner’s (i.e., the Spurs’) grades were average to exceptional in 14 of 17 box score stats, with 12 of those 14 being well above average and four being truly excellent. At the same time, San Antonio was dreadful in the remaining three areas.
- Let’s start with the things that are UNIQUE to this contest in the 1,189 postseason games played since 2012-2013:
- Timberwolves: No one else has lost by 30+ points while having no more than five turnovers.
- Timberwolves: No other team has lost by 30+ points with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 5:1 or better. Previously a team with a ratio that good had never lost by more than 15.
- Spurs: No other team has won by 30+ while having a turnover differential of +11 or more. Prior to this game, the highest margin of victory for a winner with a turnover differential at least this bad was 23 points.
- Spurs: No other winner has logged a DRB margin of +28 or more.
- Spurs: No other winner has had a TRB margin better than +25 while earning an ORB margin of +3 or worse.
- Spurs: No other team has won by 30+ points with a FGA differential of -18 or worse.
- Spurs: No other team has earned a FGM margin of +9 or better while having a FGA differential of – 18 or worse.
- Ok, let’s turn our attention to the stuff is that – while still extremely rare – is not completely unique in the last 14 postseasons. The odds of everything listed below happening have been no better than 1-in-99 games during the reference period:
- There has been only one other case in which a winner has recorded a TRB margin of +31 or better. That occasion was a 102-79 Washington Wizards victory over Indiana on May 13, 2014.
- This is just the fifth time that a winner has had 34+ assists and lost the assist-to-turnover ratio battle.
- Only six other winners have recorded a block differential of +11 or better. Hilariously, Game 1 of this series (in which Wemby alone had 12 blocks) is NOT one of these six cases (the Spurs’ block margin in that game was a paltry +9).
- This is just the 11th time that a winner has recorded FG%, 3P%, and FT% values as good or better than 55.68%, 47.37%, and 85.19%, respectively.
- This game marked the 12th case in which winner has a turnover differential of +11 or worse.
What are Team Graded Box Scores?
Very briefly, these box scores grade winner-loser differentials for basic box score statistics, with the grade being based on the winning team’s differential relative to other NBA winners during a defined reference period. Think of it like a report card for understanding how a given winner performed relative to other winners. The reference period used runs from the start of the 2012-2013 season to the latest date of play, including only games in the same season category (i.e., regular season and playoff games are not compared to each other).
***Data Source:*The underlying data used to create these box scores was collected fromBasketball Reference. In all cases, the data are collected the morning after the game is played. Although rare, postgame statistical revisions after data collection do occur and may affect the results after the fact.
By Boxscorehistory, via Pounding The Rock