By Dan Santaromita | The Athletic, 2026-04-26 05:21:22
丹佛掘金已处于被淘汰的边缘，而底特律活塞在面对8号种子时也陷入了困境。NBA季后赛首轮从来不缺惊喜。
奥兰多魔术在第三场比赛中击败活塞，大比分2-1领先；而丹佛掘金则在明尼苏达遭遇了系列赛的第二场失利，尽管安东尼·爱德华兹 (Anthony Edwards) 和唐特·迪温琴佐 (Donte DiVincenzo) 均因伤在比赛中表现受限，掘金仍未能把握机会。
周日，一日四赛的赛程将拉开帷幕，三支主场球队（多伦多、波特兰、费城）将力求扳平比分，而洛杉矶湖人则将前往休斯顿寻求横扫。
以下是NBA季后赛首轮全部八场系列赛的赔率分析。随着每场比赛结果的出炉，晋级赔率也会随之波动，我们将全程为您实时更新。
东部季后赛
1号种子底特律活塞 VS 8号种子奥兰多魔术
魔术大比分2-1领先
第四场： 北京时间周二上午8点
系列赛赔率： 活塞 -125，魔术 +105
活塞在常规赛赢下了60场比赛，但他们现在的状态完全不像那支常规赛霸主。魔术在第三场以113-105取胜，重新夺回了系列赛的领先优势。
奥兰多在赢球的同时，成功将凯德·坎宁安 (Cade Cunningham) 的命中率限制在23投8中，并迫使他出现了9次失误。而在活塞赢下第二场的比赛中，坎宁安也有7次失误。
尽管如此，底特律仍被看好能晋级，虽然领先优势微乎其微。他们在第四场比赛中被让3.5分，因此东部头号种子仍有翻盘希望。季后赛开始前，博彩公司就对活塞的前景持怀疑态度，他们夺得东部冠军并进入总决赛的赔率仅排在第四位。到目前为止，这种怀疑似乎不无道理。
如果底特律想要成长为真正的竞争者，周一的第四场比赛感觉是必须赢下的生死战。
2号种子波士顿凯尔特人 VS 7号种子费城76人
凯尔特人大比分2-1领先
第四场： 北京时间周一上午7点
系列赛赔率： 凯尔特人 -1400，76人 +850
杰森·塔图姆 (Jayson Tatum) 从跟腱伤势中回归后的表现令人惊叹。虽然他可能还没恢复到巅峰状态，但他已经打出了全明星水准。在周五第三场比赛的最后30秒，塔图姆顶着防守投进了一记干拔三分，为波士顿锁定了一场关键的客场胜利。
塔图姆的这一球让凯尔特人在108-100的胜利中领先6分。他与杰伦·布朗 (Jaylen Brown) 各自砍下25分。
在系列赛战平且第四节比分胶着的关键时刻，波士顿的得分手们挺身而出，完成了夺回领先优势所需的关键球。费城现在必须再次在波士顿赢球才有机会晋级。
即便在输掉第二场后，凯尔特人依然是系列赛更被看好的一方，而在赢下第三场后，他们再次成为了压倒性的热门。
3号种子纽约尼克斯 VS 6号种子亚特兰大老鹰
系列赛战成2-2平
第五场： 北京时间周三上午8点
系列赛赔率： 尼克斯 -220，老鹰 +180
尼克斯在亚特兰大的第四场比赛中表现得极具统治力，以至于让人觉得他们最初大比分1-2落后显得有些不可思议。纽约在客场以114-98轻松取胜，在这场近乎生死战的对决中扳平了比分。
凭借这场胜利，尼克斯夺回了主场优势，并将这轮七场四胜制的系列赛变成了“三局两胜”，且其中两场将在麦迪逊广场花园进行。在老鹰赢下第三场一度被看好后，纽约重新成为了晋级热门。
卡尔-安东尼·唐斯 (Karl-Anthony Towns) 砍下了三双（20分、10个篮板、10次助攻），而老鹰的三分球仅为41投10中。尼克斯在背水一战的情况下，打出了关乎赛季命运的气势。亚特兰大能否做出回应，还是说尼克斯已经找到了克敌制胜的法宝？
4号种子克利夫兰骑士 VS 5号种子多伦多猛龙
骑士大比分2-1领先
第四场： 北京时间周一凌晨1点
系列赛赔率： 骑士 -900，猛龙 +600
周四急需一场胜利的猛龙，在第四节末段打出一波16-0的高潮，锁定了第三场的胜局。多伦多以126-104获胜，成功守住主场，并确保了系列赛将重返克利夫兰。
骑士得分最高的是詹姆斯·哈登 (James Harden)，仅得到18分。哈登、多诺万·米切尔 (Donovan Mitchell) 和埃文·莫布里 (Evan Mobley) 的三分球合计21投仅4中。与此同时，猛龙的RJ·巴雷特 (RJ Barrett) 和斯科蒂·巴恩斯 (Scottie Barnes) 各自砍下33分。
骑士在第四场比赛中被看好3.5分，且依然是晋级的明确热门，但多伦多至少让系列赛保持了悬念。如果猛龙能在周日扳平比分，这轮系列赛才真正有了看头。
西部季后赛
1号种子俄克拉荷马城雷霆 VS 8号种子凤凰城太阳
雷霆大比分3-0领先
第四场： 北京时间周二上午9:30
系列赛赔率： 雷霆 -20000，太阳 +6500
平淡无奇，这不过是雷霆又一场两位数分差的季后赛大胜。俄克拉荷马城在凤凰城赢下了第三场，比分为121-109，在这轮毫无波澜的系列赛中取得了3-0的领先。
太阳在第一节曾领先9分，但雷霆逐渐掌控了局面，并在整个下半场保持领先。随着大比分来到3-0，雷霆晋级只是时间问题。
雷霆在第四场比赛中被看好10.5分。
2号种子圣安东尼奥马刺 VS 7号种子波特兰开拓者
马刺大比分2-1领先
第四场： 北京时间周一凌晨3:30
系列赛赔率： 马刺 -1600，开拓者 +900
没有文班，照样赢球。在维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama) 因脑震荡缺席第三场的情况下，马刺依然在客场取胜。马刺球迷可以松一口气了，因为他们知道球队不仅能在没有文班亚马的情况下赢球，而且现在也没有理由仓促让他复出。
不应忽视的是，马刺在缺少球队基石的情况下依然能在客场赢下季后赛。随着马刺向总冠军发起冲击，角色球员证明自己依然具备季后赛级别的实力，这对马刺作为真正争冠球队的地位是一个积极信号。
斯蒂芬·卡斯尔 (Stephon Castle) 砍下33分，新秀迪伦·哈珀 (Dylan Harper) 替补出场贡献27分和10个篮板。卡斯尔年仅21岁，哈珀20岁。再加上22岁的文班，不难预见马刺只会越来越强。这确实令人畏惧。
既然已经夺回了主场优势，马刺会给文班更多休息时间吗？
3号种子丹佛掘金 VS 6号种子明尼苏达森林狼
森林狼大比分3-1领先
第五场： 北京时间周二上午10:30
系列赛赔率： 森林狼 -155，掘金 +130
迪温琴佐上场一分钟就受伤离场，再未回归。爱德华兹在第二节末段受伤，同样没有回归（受伤前他8投仅1中）。但这都不是问题，阿约·多孙姆 (Ayo Dosunmu) 挺身而出。
如果你在这场比赛前还不知道多孙姆是谁，现在你肯定知道了。森林狼在交易截止日从芝加哥公牛队得到了这位前伊利诺伊大学后卫，他在第四场比赛中17投13中狂砍43分，带领明尼苏达以112-96取胜。
明尼苏达已将掘金逼到了淘汰边缘……但森林狼在系列赛余下的比赛中还能派谁上场？迪温琴佐的小腿伤势看起来很严重，而爱德华兹似乎遭遇了膝盖过度伸展。虽然系列赛大比分显示明尼苏达完全掌控了局面，但赔率显示双方依然接近，伤病正是其中的变数。
如果森林狼缺少两名首发，多孙姆还能再打出一场爆发级的表现吗？
4号种子洛杉矶湖人 VS 5号种子休斯顿火箭
湖人大比分3-0领先
第四场： 北京时间周一上午9:30
系列赛赔率： 湖人 -1400，火箭 +850
在多支高位种子球队打得异常艰难的首轮，湖人成为了第一支取得3-0领先的球队。而在系列赛开始前，湖人甚至不被看好能晋级。
在周五第三场加时取胜后，湖人可以耐心地等待受伤的卢卡·东契奇 (Luka Dončić) 和奥斯汀·里夫斯 (Austin Reaves) 康复。这真是极大的奢侈。
勒布朗·詹姆斯 (LeBron James) 在最后30秒完成抢断并投进三分扳平比分，湖人最终在加时赛中获胜。这位41岁的老将仍在不断为他的传奇生涯增添名场面。
对于火箭来说，情况极其暗淡，凯文·杜兰特 (Kevin Durant) 缺席了本系列赛的第二场比赛。如果杜兰特能比湖人的两位伤员更早康复，休斯顿或许还有一线生机，但就目前而言，这无异于要翻越一座大山。
由生成式 AI 翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
点击查看原文：2026 NBA playoffs first-round series odds: Lakers go for sweep, but Rockets are favored
2026 NBA playoffs first-round series odds: Lakers go for sweep, but Rockets are favored
The Denver Nuggets are on the brink of elimination and the Detroit Pistons are in a hole against a No. 8 seed. The first round of the NBA playoffs has had its fair share of surprises.
Orlando went up 2-1 on the Pistons with a win in Game 3 while Denver lost for the second time in Minnesota, this time despite Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo not playing a big role in the game due to injuries.
On Sunday, the quadruple-header features three home teams (Toronto, Portland, Philadelphia) trying to even things, while the Los Angeles Lakers go for a sweep in Houston.
This is a look at the odds for all eight first-round series in the NBA playoffs. It will be updated daily throughout the playoffs, as the odds to win each series will shift with results.
Eastern Conference playoffs
No. 1 Detroit Pistons vs. No. 8 Orlando Magic
Magic lead series 2-1
Game 4: 8 p.m. ET, Monday
**Series odds:**Pistons -125, Magic +105
The Pistons won 60 games in the regular season, but they don’t look like that team right now. The Magic won Game 3 113-105 to regain the lead in the series.
Orlando did so while limiting Cade Cunningham to 8-for-23 from the field with nine turnovers. This is after Cunningham had seven turnovers in Detroit’s Game 2 win.
Detroit is still favored to advance, albeit by a slim margin, and is favored by 3.5 points in Game 4, so hope is not lost for the top seed in the Eastern Conference. Before the playoffs, the sportsbooks were skeptical of the Pistons’ chances. They were fourth in the odds to grab the East’s spot in the NBA Finals. So far, that skepticism has appeared justified.
If Detroit is going to grow up into a real contender, Monday’s Game 4 feels like a must-win.
No. 2 Boston Celtics vs. No. 7 Philadelphia 76ers
Celtics lead series 2-1
Game 4: 7 p.m. ET, Sunday
Series odds: Celtics -1400, 76ers +850
Jayson Tatum’s return from an Achilles injury has been remarkable. He may not be quite peak Tatum, but he is already playing at an All-Star level. Tatum’s contested pull-up 3-pointer in the final 30 seconds of Friday’s Game 3 sealed a crucial road win for Boston.
Tatum’s shot put the Celtics up six in a 108-100 win. He and Jaylen Brown each scored 25 points.
In a tight fourth quarter in a tied series, Boston’s shot makers came up with the plays needed to regain the series lead. Philadelphia will now have to win in Boston again to advance.
The Celtics were favored to win the series even after losing Game 2, but are once again overwhelming favorites after the Game 3 win.
No. 3 New York Knicks vs. No. 6 Atlanta Hawks
Series tied 2-2
Game 5: 8 p.m. ET, Tuesday
**Series odds:**Knicks -220, Hawks +180
The Knicks were in such control of Game 4 in Atlanta, it seems odd they were down 2-1 in the series in the first place. New York cruised 114-98 in a near must-win on the road to even the series.
With the win, the Knicks regained home-court advantage and turned the best-of-seven series into a best-of-three with two of those at Madison Square Garden. New York has been reinstalled as the favorite to advance after the Hawks were favored following Game 3.
Karl-Anthony Towns had a triple-double (20 points, 10 rebounds, 10 assists) and the Hawks shot just 10-for-41 from 3-point range. The Knicks had their backs against the wall and played like their season depended on that win. Can Atlanta respond, or have the Knicks figured out how to beat this team?
No. 4 Cleveland Cavaliers vs. No. 5 Toronto Raptors
Cavaliers lead series 2-1
Game 4: 1 p.m. ET, Sunday
Series odds: Cavaliers -900, Raptors +600
Desperately in need of a win on Thursday, the Raptors used a 16-0 run late in the fourth quarter to put Game 3 away. Toronto won 126-104 to defend home court and ensure a return trip to Cleveland.
Cleveland’s high scorer was James Harden with only 18 points. Harden, Donovan Mitchell and Evan Mobley shot a combined 4-for-21 from 3-point range. Meanwhile, Toronto got 33 points each from RJ Barrett and Scottie Barnes.
The Cavs are favored by 3.5 points for Game 4 and remain clear favorites to advance, but Toronto at least kept things interesting. It really becomes a series if Toronto evens things up on Sunday.
Western Conference playoffs
No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder vs. No. 8 Phoenix Suns
Thunder lead series 3-0
Game 4: 9:30 p.m. ET, Monday
**Series odds:**Thunder -20000, Suns +6500
Ho hum, just another Thunder playoff win by double digits. Oklahoma City won Game 3 in Phoenix 121-109 to move to 3-0 in a series that has been bereft of major drama.
The Suns led by nine in the first quarter, but the Thunder gradually regained control and led for the entire second half. With the series at 3-0, it’s just a matter of time before OKC advances.
The Thunder are favored by 10.5 points in Game 4.
No. 2 San Antonio Spurs vs. No. 7 Portland Trail Blazers
Spurs lead series 2-1
Game 4: 3:30 p.m. ET, Sunday
Series odds: Spurs -1600, Trail Blazers +900
No Wemby, no problem. The Spurs won on the road while Victor Wembanyama sat out Game 3 with a concussion. Spurs fans can breathe a sigh of relief, knowing their team can not only win without Wembanyama, but there is now also less reason to rush him back.
It shouldn’t be overlooked that the Spurs were able to win a playoff game on the road without their franchise cornerstone. As the Spurs push to win it all, showing the supporting cast is still a playoff-level team is a good sign for the Spurs’ status as true title contenders.
Stephon Castle scored 33 points, and rookie Dylan Harper had 27 points and 10 rebounds off the bench. Castle is 21 years old, and Harper is 20. Throw in 22-year-old Wemby, and it’s easy to see why the Spurs should only continue to get better. Scary.
Will the Spurs give Wemby more time, knowing they already have regained home-court advantage?
No. 3 Denver Nuggets vs. No. 6 Minnesota Timberwolves
Timberwolves lead series 3-1
Game 5: 10:30 p.m. ET, Monday
**Series odds:**Timberwolves -155, Nuggets +130
Donte DiVincenzo got hurt after a minute and didn’t return. Anthony Edwards got hurt late in the second quarter and didn’t return (and was 1-for-8 from the field before the injury). No problem. Ayo Dosunmu has got this.
If you didn’t know who Dosunmu was before this game, now you know. The Timberwolves got the former Illinois guard from the Chicago Bulls at the trade deadline, and he dropped 43 points on 13-of-17 shooting and led Minnesota to a 112-96 win in Game 4.
Minnesota has the Nuggets on the brink of elimination … but who will the Timberwolves have for the rest of the series? DiVincenzo’s lower leg injury looked bad, and Edwards appeared to hyperextend his knee. The series score says Minnesota is in full control of this series, but the odds say it’s still close, and those injuries are why.
Does Dosunmu have another big game in him if the Wolves are down two starters?
No. 4 Los Angeles Lakers vs. No. 5 Houston Rockets
Lakers lead series 3-0
Game 4: 9:30 p.m. ET, Sunday
**Series odds:**Lakers -1400, Rockets +850
In a first round that has seen a number of higher seeds labor, the Lakers are the first team to take a 3-0 series lead. The Lakers weren’t even favored to advance at the start of the series.
After Friday’s overtime win in Game 3, the Lakers can take their time with the injured Luka Dončić and Austin Reaves. What a luxury.
LeBron James had a steal and a 3-pointer in the final 30 seconds to tie the game, and the Lakers ended up winning in overtime. The 41-year-old is still adding legendary plays to his collection.
Things are impossibly bleak for the Rockets, who were without Kevin Durant for the second game this series. If Durant gets healthy before the Lakers’ pair, Houston may have a shot at a comeback, but it’s a steep mountain at this point.
By Dan Santaromita, via The Athletic