[ESPN] 2026年NBA全明星赛:Bontemps解读先发、替补及阵容席位之争

By Tim Bontemps | ESPN, 2026-01-14 20:00:00

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NBA全明星投票将于美国东部时间周三晚11:59截止,东西部五位先发球员将于周一公布,而替补阵容则由联盟教练在2月1日选出。

在球迷们提交最后选票之际,哪些球员应该入选?哪些竞争者正处于入选边缘?又有哪些球星可能遗憾落选?(以及,勒布朗·詹姆斯 (LeBron James) 应该归于哪个群体?)

与下月经过调整的全明星赛制一样,我们的目标是组建一支由16名美国球员和8名国际球员组成的阵容,以适应“美国队对阵世界队”的循环赛模式。(如果任一阵营人数不足,我们将增补球员池,正如NBA总裁亚当·萧华 (Adam Silver) 在实际评选时会做的那样。)

让我们来详细分析东西部联盟的先发和替补阵容,其中既有锁定全明星席位的精英球员,也有年轻的首次入选者,当然也充满了许多艰难的抉择。

章节跳转:
东部: 先发 | 锁定替补 | 边缘球员
西部: 先发 | 锁定替补 | 边缘球员
为何我们的阵容会多出第25名球员

东部联盟

先发阵容

  • 扬尼斯·阿德托昆博 (Giannis Antetokounmpo),密尔沃基雄鹿队
  • 凯德·坎宁安 (Cade Cunningham),底特律活塞队
  • 杰伦·布伦森 (Jalen Brunson),纽约尼克斯队
  • 泰瑞斯·马克西 (Tyrese Maxey),费城76人队
  • 杰伦·布朗 (Jaylen Brown),波士顿凯尔特人队

其中四个选择非常简单,尤其是在NBA允许无位置限制先发五虎的新规下。阿德托昆博有未能满足65场出场次数规则的风险,这可能导致他无缘NBA最佳阵容一阵,并掉出MVP竞赛的前五名。但他本赛季至今无疑是东部最出色的球员,将轻松入选他连续第10届全明星赛。阿德托昆博将成为联盟历史上第45位全明星入选次数达到两位数的球员。

坎宁安继上赛季首次入选全明星和NBA最佳阵容后,本赛季又实现了一次飞跃,作为东部战绩第一的活塞队的领袖,他已经进入了MVP的讨论范围。布伦森再次成为纽约的中流砥柱,理应轻松连续第四次入选全明星。马克西与卢卡·东契奇 (Luka Doncic) 和谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大 (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander) 是联盟仅有的三位场均得分达到30分的球员,他引领着76人队在经历了上赛季伤病满营的灾难后,重返季后赛席位。

这就剩下了第五个先发名额,一场由两位在球迷投票中激烈竞争的球员展开的辩论:布朗和克利夫兰骑士队的后卫多诺万·米切尔 (Donovan Mitchell)。

米切尔场均得到生涯新高的29.5分,可以说正打出他个人最好的一个赛季。为了不让骑士队从目前第7的排名上进一步滑落,这种进攻端的提升是必需的,因为球队阵容中球员因伤轮流缺阵。例如,先发球员马克斯·斯特鲁斯 (Max Strus) 因左脚骨折至今仍未完成赛季首秀。

布朗一直是波士顿在赛季前半段惊艳表现的代表人物,他场均得分(29.5分)和助攻(5.0次)均创下生涯新高,同时,尽管由于杰森·塔图姆 (Jayson Tatum) 的跟腱撕裂缺阵而承担了比以往重得多的担子,他依然保持了出色的效率数据。

鉴于凯尔特人队的成功,这场争夺东部第五个先发席位的难分伯仲的对决,天平向布朗的方向倾斜了。


锁定替补席位

  • 多诺万·米切尔,克利夫兰骑士队
  • 杰伦·约翰逊 (Jalen Johnson),亚特兰大老鹰队
  • 斯科蒂·巴恩斯 (Scottie Barnes),多伦多猛龙队
  • 杰伦·杜伦 (Jalen Duren),底特律活塞队

除了米切尔,约翰逊是东部替补中最无悬念的选择。作为NBA最快进步球员奖的有力竞争者,这位身高6英尺8英寸的前锋上赛季就已取得长足进步,后因伤病提前结束。本赛季,约翰逊已成为一名“三双制造机”(以7次三双并列联盟第二,包括上个月的连续四场),并在球权使用率增加的情况下,场均得分和投篮命中率均创下生涯新高。

巴恩斯继续在多伦多猛龙队发展他强大的攻防两端表现,猛龙队在经历赛季初的艰难开局后,已经稳定成为季后赛主场优势的竞争者。

虽然杜伦的基础数据可能不如这份名单上排在他后面的一些球员,但他与坎宁安之间的二人化学反应以及作为一名防守者的进步,对底特律的迅速崛起至关重要。这支球队本赛季理应获得第二个全明星名额。


边缘球员观察

  • 德斯蒙德·贝恩 (Desmond Bane),奥兰多魔术队
  • 卡尔-安东尼·唐斯 (Karl-Anthony Towns),纽约尼克斯队
  • 诺曼·鲍威尔 (Norman Powell),迈阿密热火队
  • 帕斯卡尔·西亚卡姆 (Pascal Siakam),印第安纳步行者队
  • 小迈克尔·波特 (Michael Porter Jr.),布鲁克林篮网队

好戏从这里开始。

如果尼克斯队有第二位球员入选,那将是唐斯。(并非不尊重米卡尔·布里奇斯 (Mikal Bridges) 和 OG·阿奴诺比 (OG Anunoby),他们为东部二号种子打出了精彩的赛季。)但尽管唐斯仍能交出场均21.2分、11.4个篮板和3.0次助攻的亮眼数据,这些数字却掩盖了他在纽约第二个赛季表现起伏不定,并投出了生涯最差的投篮命中率。

贝恩已成为“从未入选全明星的最佳球员”榜单上的常客,但由于队友保罗·班凯罗 (Paolo Banchero) 和弗朗茨·瓦格纳 (Franz Wagner) 的赛季初伤病,这位魔术队休赛期的最重要引援是唯一现实的选择。与唐斯相似,贝恩本赛季的表现相较于之前在孟菲斯时有所下滑,尽管他常常是奥兰多在关键时刻的首选。

单看数据,西亚卡姆在这份名单中拥有最强的理由,但步行者队在积分榜垫底的位置不容忽视。同样的情况也适用于波特,他正打出个人最好的赛季,但却是作为一支为乐透签位而战的篮网队的头号选择。

鲍威尔在洛杉矶快船队度过了他职业生涯最好的一个赛季后,在迈阿密的首个赛季迎来了更出色的开局,尽管全明星队友泰勒·希罗 (Tyler Herro) 因各种伤病仅出战9场,他依然支撑着热火队的进攻。

在这份选票中, 鲍威尔 凭借热火队对他的严重依赖,尤其是考虑到希罗的伤病问题,获得了三个名额中的第一个。而且,尽管本赛季表现未及他过往的标准, 唐斯 也成功入选。

这就意味着最后一个名额将在贝恩、西亚卡姆和波特之间产生。 西亚卡姆 成为了明确的选择。当他下场时,步行者队每百回合要净负对手近10分——进攻端则要差12分以上——这足以确保他第四次入选全明星。

西部联盟

先发阵容

  • 谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大,俄克拉荷马城雷霆队
  • 尼古拉·约基奇 (Nikola Jokic),丹佛掘金队
  • 卢卡·东契奇,洛杉矶湖人队
  • 维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama),圣安东尼奥马刺队
  • 安东尼·爱德华兹 (Anthony Edwards),明尼苏达森林狼队

与东部一样,西部有四个先发席位是毫无悬念的。即便雷霆队近期经历了一段“艰难”时期,吉尔杰斯-亚历山大在每一份MVP选票上都非第一即第二,仍然是先发阵容的轻松之选。对于约基奇来说,情况也类似,他可能在下月初从膝伤中恢复,继续打出超凡的数据。

湖人队终于在周五对阵密尔沃基的比赛中输掉了他们本赛季第一场关键时刻胶着的比赛,但东契奇目前领跑联盟得分榜,并且仍然是洛杉矶独一无二的进攻核心。而文班亚马在他第三个赛季再次实现了飞跃,带领马刺队一路杀入NBA杯锦标赛决赛,三次战胜卫冕冠军雷霆队,并占据西部第二的种子席位。

最后一个席位留给了爱德华兹或斯蒂芬·库里 (Stephen Curry),这个问题没有错误答案。最终,爱德华兹凭借比库里稍多一些的稳定性,以及相较于这位金州勇士队传奇球星而言更强的攻防两端影响力,获得了优势。


锁定替补席位

  • 斯蒂芬·库里,金州勇士队
  • 切特·霍姆格伦 (Chet Holmgren),俄克拉荷马城雷霆队
  • 贾马尔·穆雷 (Jamal Murray),丹佛掘金队
  • 阿尔佩伦·申京 (Alperen Sengun),休斯顿火箭队
  • 凯文·杜兰特 (Kevin Durant),休斯顿火箭队

让我们从霍姆格伦说起,他的入选可能会让人感到意外。但这位雷霆队的大个子在年度最佳防守球员的竞争中是仅次于文班亚马的轻松亚军,并且一直是一位效率极高的得分手。

穆雷终于可以从“从未入选全明星的最佳球员”这份榜单上“毕业”了,他一贯的慢热开局在本赛季被生涯新高的场均得分(25.6分)、助攻(7.5次)和三分命中率(44.8%)所取代。在掘金队整个轮换阵容都饱受伤病困扰,包括约基奇近期的左膝问题之际,他对球队的重要性前所未有。

接着是火箭队强大的得分二人组——申京和杜兰特。37岁的杜兰特再次向“180俱乐部”(50-40-90命中率)发起冲击,他完全实现了休斯顿在得到这位未来名人堂成员时的一切梦想。但火箭队的最佳投篮创造者一直是申京,这位23岁的大个子作为球队的进攻枢纽,又一次取得了飞跃。


边缘球员观察

  • 德文·布克 (Devin Booker),菲尼克斯太阳队
  • 勒布朗·詹姆斯,洛杉矶湖人队
  • 科怀·伦纳德 (Kawhi Leonard),洛杉矶快船队
  • 德尼·阿夫迪亚 (Deni Avdija),波特兰开拓者队
  • 奥斯汀·里夫斯 (Austin Reaves),洛杉矶湖人队

这份名单上的决定异常艰难。

一场没有勒布朗的全明星赛怎么可能发生?他过去21个赛季都曾被选为先发。在本赛季早些时候看起来完全像个41岁的老将之后,詹姆斯的数据因身体状态的提升以及里夫斯受伤后更多的持球时间而飙升。

说到里夫斯,这位27岁的后卫正迎来一个爆发的赛季,今年夏天他将会拿到一份大合同,无论是在湖人队还是其他球队。但里夫斯只打了23场比赛,而西部有太多值得入选的竞争者。

其中一位球员是联盟中最励志的故事之一。阿夫迪亚在波特兰一跃成为明星球员,是最快进步球员奖项的绝对热门,同时承担起巨大的组织和得分责任。(他场均26.1分的得分比上赛季高出近10分。)

从球队角度来看,联盟最好的故事可能是太阳队,他们现在稳居西部前六——远超任何人在本赛季开始前的合理预期。布克是他们明确的全明星人选,尽管他的效率有所下降,足以让他进入这组边缘候选人名单。

在场外,伦纳德一直是本赛季的焦点人物之一,因为NBA正在等待对快船队可能存在的规避工资帽行为的调查结果。而笼罩着这一切的是什么?全明星赛将在洛杉矶之外的Intuit穹顶球馆举行。

单从个人表现来看,伦纳德正打出一个精彩的赛季,包括场均得分创下生涯新高,在过去一个月里火热的状态使他的场均得分已升至27.8分,这段时期也恰逢快船队自12月20日以来取得10胜2负的战绩,球队正力图扭转赛季颓势。

谁能入选?凭借这组球员中最好的数据, 阿夫迪亚 获得了第一个名额。他的成长加上波特兰冲击前八种子的势头,让他脱颖而出。

两名湖人球员无缘入选。如果里夫斯没有受伤,他很可能已经首次入选全明星了。而将詹姆斯排除在名单之外确实感觉很奇怪。他最近打得好多了,但他的表现——仅仅在21场比赛中——实在无法与布克或伦纳德相提并论。

而在他们两人之间,我们会把最后一个名额给 布克 。支持伦纳德而非布克的理由非常充分。但由于布克是这支太阳队毫无争议的领袖,并且菲尼克斯的表现已经超出预期,这足以让天平向他倾斜。

最终24人名单(及额外一人!)

美国球员 (15人): 坎宁安、布伦森、马克西、布朗、米切尔、约翰逊、巴恩斯、杜伦、唐斯、鲍威尔、霍姆格伦、爱德华兹、库里、杜兰特、布克

国际球员 (9人): 阿德托昆博、西亚卡姆、吉尔杰斯-亚历山大、文班亚马、东契奇、约基奇、穆雷、申京、阿夫迪亚

值得注意的是,曾代表多米尼加共和国出战国际比赛的唐斯,以及已承诺为牙买加国家队效力的鲍威尔,都有可能被分入任一阵营。在这种情况下,我们需要再增加一名美国球员。

考虑到笼罩着球员、球队乃至全明星周末本身的Aspiration事件,再加上将他排在了勒布朗的前面,这无疑会造成一个尴尬的局面——但伦纳德在赛季前半段的表现理应为他锁定最后一个席位。

由生成式人工智能翻译,译文内容可能不准确或不完整,以原文为准。

点击查看原文:NBA All-Star 2026: Bontemps' starters, reserves and roster battles

NBA All-Star 2026: Bontemps’ starters, reserves and roster battles

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NBA All-Star voting will close at 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday, with the five starters from each conference announced Monday and reserves selected by the league’s coaches Feb. 1.

As fans submit their last-minute ballots, which players should get in? Which contenders are on the bubble? Which stars could miss the cut? (And which grouping should include LeBron James?)

The goal, as will be the case in next month’s tweaked All-Star Game structure, will be to roster 16 American and eight international players for the round-robin-style U.S. vs. World format. (If either number falls short, we will add to the player pool, just as NBA commissioner Adam Silver would do for the actual results.)

Let’s map out the starters and reserves for the Eastern and Western Conferences, which are filled with elite All-Star locks, young first-time picks and plenty of agonizing decisions.

Jump to a section:
East: Starters | Reserve locks | Bubble
West: Starters | Reserve locks | Bubble
Why our roster gets a bonus 25th player

Eastern Conference

Starters

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks
  • Cade Cunningham, Detroit Pistons
  • Jalen Brunson, New York Knicks
  • Tyrese Maxey, Philadelphia 76ers
  • Jaylen Brown, Boston Celtics

Four of these choices are simple, especially with the NBA’s new rules to allow a positionless starting five. Antetokounmpo is in danger of falling short of the 65-game rule, which would knock him off the All-NBA first team and out of the top five in the MVP race. But he has been by far the best player in the East this season and will coast into his 10th consecutive All-Star Game. Antetokounmpo will become the 45th player in league history with double-digit NBA All-Star selections.

Cunningham has followed up on last season’s All-Star and All-NBA debuts with another leap, moving into the MVP conversation as the leader of the conference-best Pistons. Brunson has once again been a steady force for New York and should easily make his fourth straight All-Star team. Maxey, who joins Luka Doncic and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander as the league’s 30 point-per-game scorers, has driven the 76ers’ return to playoff positioning after last season’s injury-filled disaster.

That leaves the fifth starter, a debate featuring two players battling for the spot in fan voting: Brown and Cleveland Cavaliers guard Donovan Mitchell.

Mitchell, behind a career-high 29.5 points per game, is having arguably his best individual season. That offensive uptick has been needed to keep Cleveland from falling even further from the 7-seed it occupies now, as the Cavaliers have had a rotating cast of characters sidelined with injuries. Starter Max Strus, for example, has yet to make his season debut due to a fractured left foot.

Brown has been the face of Boston’s surprising first half, setting career highs in points (29.5) and assists (5.0) per game while maintaining strong efficiency numbers despite taking on a far heavier workload than in the past due to Jayson Tatum’s absence with a torn Achilles.

Thanks to the Celtics’ success, a near-coin-flip battle for the East’s fifth starter leans in Brown’s direction.


Reserve locks

  • Donovan Mitchell, Cleveland Cavaliers
  • Jalen Johnson, Atlanta Hawks
  • Scottie Barnes, Toronto Raptors
  • Jalen Duren, Detroit Pistons

After Mitchell, Johnson was the easiest inclusion among East reserves. A leading contender for the NBA’s Most Improved Player, the 6-foot-8 forward was taking major strides last season before injuries cut it short. Johnson has become a triple-double manufacturer this season (tied for second in the league with seven, including four straight last month) and is averaging career highs in points and shooting percentages on increased usage.

Barnes has continued to develop his strong two-way game for Toronto, which has settled in as a contender for home-court advantage in the playoffs after a rough start to the season.

And while Duren might not have quite the same counting stats as some of the players behind him on this list, his two-man chemistry with Cunningham and improvement as a defender have been massive in Detroit’s rapid rise. The franchise deserves a second All-Star this season.


Bubble watch

  • Desmond Bane, Orlando Magic
  • Karl-Anthony Towns, New York Knicks
  • Norman Powell, Miami Heat
  • Pascal Siakam, Indiana Pacers
  • Michael Porter Jr., Brooklyn Nets

This is where the fun begins.

If the Knicks get a second player, it will be Towns. (No disrespect to Mikal Bridges and OG Anunoby, who are having great seasons for the East’s 2-seed.) But while Towns is still putting up impressive averages of 21.2 points, 11.4 rebounds and 3.0 assists, those numbers bely the worst shooting season of his career during an inconsistent second campaign in New York.

Bane has become a staple on “Best players never to be an All-Star” teams, but with early-season injuries to teammates Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner, the Magic’s top offseason pickup is the only realistic choice. Like Towns, Bane has seen a dip in performance compared to his numbers in prior seasons in Memphis, although he has often been Orlando’s go-to option in the clutch.

Numbers alone give Siakam the strongest case among this list, but the Pacers’ bottom placement in the standings can’t be ignored. The same can be said for Porter, who is having his best season but as the No. 1 option on a Nets team playing for lottery odds.

Powell has followed up the best season of his career with the LA Clippers with an even better start in his debut season for Miami, keeping the Heat’s offense rolling despite All-Star Tyler Herro playing just nine games due to various injuries.

In this ballot, Powell gets the first of the three spots, thanks to Miami’s heavy reliance on him, especially due to Herro’s injury issues. And, despite this season falling short of his past standards, Towns makes it in.

That leaves Bane, Siakam and Porter for the final spot. Siakam becomes the clear choice. When he leaves the court, the Pacers are almost 10 points per 100 possessions worse – more than 12 points worse offensively – which is enough to secure his fourth All-Star selection.

Western Conference

Starters

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Nikola Jokic, Denver Nuggets
  • Luka Doncic, Los Angeles Lakers
  • Victor Wembanyama, San Antonio Spurs
  • Anthony Edwards, Minnesota Timberwolves

Like in the East, four West starter spots are automatic. Even with the Thunder’s recent “rough” stretch, Gilgeous-Alexander is either first or second on every MVP ballot and remains an easy choice to start. It will be a similar conversation for Jokic, who could return from his knee injury early next month to continue putting up otherworldly numbers.

The Lakers finally lost their first clutch game Friday against Milwaukee, but Doncic is leading the league in scoring and remains a singular offensive hub in Los Angeles. And Wembanyama has taken another leap in his third season, powering the Spurs to the NBA Cup title game, to three wins over the defending champion Thunder and to the West’s second seed.

That leaves Edwards or Stephen Curry for the final spot, a question with no wrong answer. Ultimately, Edwards gets the edge due to a bit more consistency over Curry and the status as the better two-way force as compared with the Golden State Warriors legend.


Reserve locks

  • Stephen Curry, Golden State Warriors
  • Chet Holmgren, Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Jamal Murray, Denver Nuggets
  • Alperen Sengun, Houston Rockets
  • Kevin Durant, Houston Rockets

Let’s start with Holmgren, whose inclusion might come as a surprise. But the Thunder big man is an easy runner-up to Wembanyama in the Defensive Player of the Year race and has been an incredibly efficient scorer.

Murray should finally graduate from his captaincy of the “Best players never to be an All-Star” team, as his normally slow start has been replaced by career-high averages in points (25.6), assists (7.5) and 3-point rate (44.8%) through the first few months of the season. His importance to the Nuggets has never been greater as the franchise deals with injuries up and down the rotation, including Jokic’s recent left knee issue.

Then comes the Rockets’ tremendous scoring duo of Sengun and Durant. At 37, Durant is flirting with yet another 50-40-90 season and has been everything Houston dreamed of when it acquired the future Hall of Famer. But the Rockets’ best shot creator has been Sengun, as the 23-year-old big man has taken another leap as the team’s offensive hub.


Bubble watch

  • Devin Booker, Phoenix Suns
  • LeBron James, Los Angeles Lakers
  • Kawhi Leonard, LA Clippers
  • Deni Avdija, Portland Trail Blazers
  • Austin Reaves, Los Angeles Lakers

This list features incredibly tough decisions.

How can an All-Star Game take place without LeBron, who has been tapped to start in each of the past 21 seasons? After looking all of 41 years old earlier this season, James’ numbers have skyrocketed behind the combination of improved conditioning and more time on the ball because of an injury to Reaves.

Speaking of Reaves, it has been a breakout season for the 27-year-old guard, who is going to get paid this summer, either by the Lakers or another team. But Reaves has played only 23 games, and the West has featured plenty of worthy contenders.

One of those players is among the best stories in the league. Avdija has burst into stardom for Portland as the clear favorite for Most Improved Player honors, all while taking on a gigantic playmaking and scoring role. (His 26.1 PPG are nearly 10 more than last season.)

From a team standpoint, the league’s best story could be the Suns, who are now firmly in a top-six spot in the West – far better than anyone reasonably expected before this season. Booker is their clear All-Star choice, though his efficiency has dipped enough to put him in this group of bubble candidates.

Off the court, Leonard has been one of the defining players of the season as the NBA awaits results of the investigation into possible salary cap circumvention by the Clippers. Hanging over all of that? The All-Star Game taking place outside Los Angeles at Intuit Dome.

From a pure production standpoint, Leonard is having a fabulous season, including a career high in points per game that is now up to 27.8 after a scorching hot month of play that has coincided with the Clippers’ 10-2 stretch since Dec. 20 as the franchise looks to turn around its season.

Who makes the cut? With the best numbers in the group, Avdija gets the first spot. His growth coupled with Portland’s push for a top-eight seed gives him the nod.

The two Lakers miss out. If Reaves didn’t get hurt, he likely would’ve made his first All-Star team. And it does feel bizarre leaving James off the team. He has played much better recently, but his production – in only 21 games – just doesn’t stack up against Booker’s or Leonard’s.

And between the two of them, we’ll give the nod to Booker for the final spot. There’s a very good case for Leonard over Booker. But since Booker is the undisputed leader of this Suns team and Phoenix has overachieved to the point it has, it’s enough to nudge this in his favor.

The 24 players (plus one!)

American selections (15): Cunningham, Brunson, Maxey, Brown, Mitchell, Johnson, Barnes, Duren, Towns, Powell, Holmgren, Edwards, Curry, Durant, Booker

International selections (9): Antetokounmpo, Siakam, Gilgeous-Alexander, Wembanyama, Doncic, Jokic, Murray, Sengun, Avdija

It should be noted that both Towns, who has played internationally for the Dominican Republic, and Powell, who has committed to the Jamaican national team, could potentially fit in either group. In this scenario, we need to add one more American.

In what would make for an awkward situation, given the Aspiration situation hanging over the player, franchise and All-Star Weekend itself – plus choosing someone over LeBron – Leonard’s play throughout the season’s first half should secure him the final spot.

By Tim Bontemps | ESPN, via ESPN