By Zach Harper | The Athletic, 2026-02-19 10:15:03
在常规赛结束前的每一周，我们都会盘点各大个人奖项的竞争形势。本周，由于全明星周末刚刚结束，我们还没有足够的比赛来对上周的竞争形势进行实质性更新，因此我们将换个思路，看看哪些球员有望入选年度最佳阵容（All-NBA teams）。
以下是“奖项观察”的运作方式：自2019年以来，我一直是参与年度奖项投票的媒体成员之一。我非常看重这份荣誉，并力求选出我认为最实至名归的球员。鉴于投票是公开的，我也不希望因为投出一张离谱的选票而被永远钉在表情包的耻辱柱上。这份分析能很好地衡量我个人的想法和研究，以及《The Athletic》其他撰稿人和读者的观点。
和互联网上所有的排名与观点一样，我确信这会迎来大家握手言和而非大声叫嚷。如果你有不同意见，请在评论区留言。首先让我们把这些说清楚：
- 是的，我看了比赛。
- 是的，我研究过数据。
- 不，我不讨厌那名球员。
- 不，我不讨厌那支球队。
- 如果你有不同意见并想对我开火，没问题，尽管来吧。只需确保你的观点合乎逻辑。我对你对主队或主将的偏见不感兴趣，但我非常感兴趣那些我可能遗漏或考虑不足的视角。我致力于为这些奖项收集尽可能多的信息和观点。
- 在每个奖项板块，我会给出我的评选准则，同时结合我个人的思考以及我认为该奖项在历史上投票时所强调的重点。
- 别忘了“65场规则”！单赛季出场不足65场的球员将失去评选MVP、年度最佳防守球员（DPOY）或进步最快球员（MIP）的资格。
让我们开始吧。
最佳阵容第一阵容
谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大 (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)，雷霆队
目前，他是MVP的头号热门。是的，我们不确定另一位候选人在本赛季余下的时间里是否还能保持评选资格，但吉尔杰斯-亚历山大正凭借其统治力寻求连续第二座MVP奖杯。他场均贡献31.8分，真实命中率达到了惊人的67.0%。他55.4%/39.0%/89.2%的投篮命中率分布让他离“180俱乐部”（50-40-90赛季）仅一步之遥。在2016年全票当选MVP时，斯蒂芬·库里以场均30.1分进入了“180俱乐部”。吉尔杰斯-亚历山大最终可能会成为该俱乐部中场均得分最高的球员。
尼古拉·约基奇 (Nikola Jokić)，掘金队
我们知道，这位“五花肉”（Big Honey）在因膝盖过度伸展缺阵约一个月后，剩下的常规赛只能再缺席一场了。在受伤之前，他可能在MVP竞选中一骑绝尘。当然，只要具备资格，约基奇将轻松入选最佳阵容第一阵容。他场均得到28.7分，真实命中率为联盟领先的69.9%。此外，他还在场均篮板（12.3个）和助攻（10.7次）上领跑全联盟。他正在角逐史上最伟大的个人赛季。
维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama)，马刺队
他终于登上了BetMGM的MVP赔率榜，实至名归。他也面临着因缺阵14场而失去赛季末奖项评选资格的风险，但文班亚马在他那支战绩位居西部第二的球队中表现势不可挡。他场均能砍下24.4分、11.1个篮板、2.8次助攻和2.7次盖帽。尽管可能因缺阵场数无缘MVP，但只要保持健康，文班亚马锁定最佳阵容第一阵容是板上钉钉的事。
凯德·坎宁安 (Cade Cunningham)，活塞队
我听过一些讨论，称如果约基奇和吉尔杰斯-亚历山大最终失去资格，坎宁安将赢得MVP。坎宁安带领活塞队在全明星周末前拿下了联盟最佳战绩。当他坐在替补席上时，活塞依然是一支净效率为+3.6的赢球球队，但当他在场时，球队展现出了统治力，净效率高达+11.0。他唯一的瑕疵是偏低的底角三分命中率（33.0%），但他其他方面都做得无可挑剔。在去年入选第三阵容后，他今年是第一阵容的稳妥人选。
杰伦·布朗 (Jaylen Brown)，凯尔特人队
布朗是另一位处于“如果”情境下的MVP候选人。没有人预料到凯尔特人能有这么出色，他们最终可能会锁定东部第2。在失去了那么多核心轮换后？这对布朗来说是实打实的价值体现。虽然在冲击第一阵容的过程中竞争激烈，但他的理由和任何人一样充分。他一直是一名卓越的攻防一体球员，理应获得职业生涯首次第一阵容的荣誉。
我一直觉得很有趣，人们总是先提到某人入选了多少次全明星，很久之后才会提到最佳阵容的次数。我明白“全明星”作为一个品牌传播力更好，但那通常意味着你：1) 人气极高，2) 在赛季前两个月表现出色，或者 3) 两者兼而有之。而入选最佳阵容意味着你是该赛季表现最好或最具影响力的15名球员之一。既然现在的最佳阵容投票已完全取消了位置限制，那么将你的MVP选票直接平移到第一阵容，然后再从第二和第三阵容开始选择就变得非常简单了。接下来我们要看的就是这些。
最佳阵容第二阵容
安东尼·爱德华兹 (Anthony Edwards)，森林狼队
爱德华兹是试图将布朗挤下第一阵容的球员之一。他通过出色的低位和中距离技巧丰富了本就强悍的进攻手段。这帮助他在比赛进入关键时刻时，能够保持平衡并在投篮选择上做出极佳的决策。他的关键球命中率超过了60%。我们知道爱德华兹还在持续进步，但如果他想让第一阵容的入选变得毫无争议，他需要森林狼的排名高于西部第五。
杰伦·布伦森 (Jalen Brunson)，尼克斯队
布伦森是另一位完全值得进入第一阵容考虑范围的球员。如果尼克斯能再打出一波高潮并锁定东部第2的位置，对他将大有裨益。尽管尼克斯本赛季像过山车一样起伏不定，但布伦森始终保持稳定。他一直都是MVP选票的竞争者。他场均得到27.0分，而且极少出现失误。凭借他在关键时刻的威名，各支球队在比赛的大场面中都对他心生畏惧。
泰瑞斯·马克西 (Tyrese Maxey)，76人队
我不喜欢把前一个赛季发生的事情考虑在内，因为那与当前赛季的奖项无关。但与此同时，很难不注意到76人过去两个赛季之间的鲜明对比。他们目前的成功很大程度上归功于球队成功转变为以马克西为核心。他在前MVP乔尔·恩比德融入之前就奠定了球队基调。马克西场均得到28.9分，场均出场时间（38.9分钟）领跑全联盟。他的组织能力很强，且失误率极低。
科怀·伦纳德 (Kawhi Leonard)，快船队
伦纳德也是一位评选资格存疑的球员，但自11月下旬以来，他一直是不可阻挡的。在过去33场比赛中，伦纳德场均贡献29.0分、6.7个篮板、3.8次助攻和2.0次抢断。在这段时期内，他的投篮分布为49.1%/38.0%/90.2%。这是快船队扭转赛季局面的主要原因。通常情况下，这样的表现理应获得第一阵容的考虑，但我认为他很难达到那个高度。洛杉矶快船的战绩（26胜28负）依然不够理想，而且他花了一个月的时间才打出这种产出。不过，全明星周末提醒了人们他一直在做什么，以及他有能力继续做什么。
科怀·伦纳德在本赛季早些时候的一场快船对阵湖人的比赛中抢断卢卡·东契奇。(Jayne Kamin-Oncea / Imagn Images)
卢卡·东契奇 (Luka Dončić)，湖人队
东契奇在MVP赔率榜上名列前茅主要源于两点：1) 他和湖人队的品牌知名度导致大量资金涌入相关投注；2) 他领跑联盟得分榜（32.8分），同时场均贡献8.6次助攻和7.6个篮板。防守问题是一个大的槽点，但他依然在打出不可思议的水平。他可能会是一个出人意料的第一阵容人选。
最佳阵容第三阵容
多诺万·米切尔 (Donovan Mitchell)，骑士队
骑士队的表现比许多人意识到的要好，但比起一年前的那个赛季还是稍逊一筹。米切尔的表现依然出色，场均得到29.0分，真实命中率为61.9%。当他在场时，骑士队非常强大且极具统治力；而当他在替补席上时，他们则变成了一支输球的队伍。克利夫兰显然无法承受让他长时间休战。
凯文·杜兰特 (Kevin Durant)，火箭队
我猜我们已经习惯了，但杜兰特正在打出另一个现象级的赛季。他也正与“180俱乐部”擦肩而过，罚球命中率（88.0%）是唯一的阻碍。他在砍下场均25.8分的同时，正努力将火箭队提升到他们上赛季所欠缺的高度。
斯蒂芬·库里 (Steph Curry)，勇士队
库里正处于失去资格的边缘。他只能再缺席一场比赛，并且已被排除在周四对阵波士顿的比赛名单之外。此后，他将无法获得职业生涯第12次最佳阵容的评选资格。他场均得到27.2分，真实命中率为63.6%。如果没有他在场，勇士队的进攻会从相当不错直接跌落到让人怀疑是在“摆烂”的水平。
贾马尔·穆雷 (Jamal Murray)，掘金队
穆雷获得了职业生涯首次全明星殊荣，他也正向着首次最佳阵容入选迈进。他场均贡献25.7分和7.6次助攻。他48.5%/42.5%/88.7%的投篮分布同样在向“180俱乐部”靠拢。而他最亮眼的成绩单是：本赛季在约基奇不打的情况下，掘金队取得了10胜6负的战绩。最重要的原因就是穆雷带领他们赢下了比赛。
杰伦·杜伦 (Jalen Duren)，活塞队：杜伦入选最佳阵容的理由非常充分，他很有机会获得职业生涯首次评选，这也将与他的首次全明星之旅交相辉映。他场均得到17.7分和10.4个篮板，同时也让活塞队成为联盟防守最好的球队之一。他在篮筐附近短距离区域的进攻进步，是活塞队进一步成长的主要原因。他可能会同时入选最佳防守阵容和最佳阵容。
本赛季至今，还有其他球员值得考虑进入这15个席位。随着球员表现的下滑或冲刺，我们还有充裕的时间来调整。65场规则确实改变了我们看待这项工作的方式以及我们跟踪赛季进展的模式。最后，我们将列出那些面临失去资格风险或已经失去资格的球员。
面临失去资格风险的球员名单： 约基奇（缺阵16场）、库里（16场）、文班亚马（14场）、布兰登·米勒 (Brandon Miller)（17场）、伦纳德（13场）
已经失去资格的球员名单：****扬尼斯·阿德托昆博 (Giannis Antetokounmpo)、乔尔·恩比德 (Joel Embiid)、奥斯汀·里夫斯 (Austin Reaves)、勒布朗·詹姆斯 (LeBron James)、安东尼·戴维斯 (Anthony Davis)
由生成式人工智能翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
点击查看原文：Where do All-NBA teams stand coming out of the All-Star break?
Where do All-NBA teams stand coming out of the All-Star break?
Each week through the end of the regular season, we’ll check in on where I think the major individual awards races stand. This week, with NBA All-Star Weekend just behind us, we don’t have games to really update races from last week, so we’re going to switch things up a bit and look at who the All-NBA teams might feature.
Here’s how the Awards Watch shakes out: Since 2019, I have been one of the media members selected to vote on the annual awards. It’s an honor I take very seriously, as I strive to select the players I believe are most deserving. With it being public, I also don’t want to end up getting meme’d to eternity for casting a ridiculous vote. This analysis is a pretty good gauge of my thoughts/research and those opinions submitted by other writers and readers of The Athletic.
As is the case with all types of rankings and opinions on the internet, I’m sure this will be met with agreements and handshakes rather than yelling and name-calling. If you have a differing opinion, drop those in the comments. Let’s just get this out of the way first:
- Yes, I watch the games.
- Yes, I have looked at the numbers.
- No, I don’t hate that player.
- No, I don’t hate that team.
- If you have a differing opinion and want to roast me, by all means, have at it. Just try to have a point that makes sense. I’m less interested in your bias toward your favorite player or team, but I am very interested in a possible perspective that I have missed or haven’t considered enough. I’m all about acquiring as much information and as many opinions as possible for these awards.
- With each award section, I’m going to give my criteria for how it should be considered while taking my thoughts and what I feel the award has historically emphasized in voting into consideration.
- Don’t forget the 65-game rule! Players who don’t get to 65 games in a season are not eligible for MVP, Defensive Player of the Year or Most Improved Player.
Let’s get into it.
All-NBA First Team
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Thunder
Right now, he’s the MVP favorite. Yes, we’re unsure if another candidate will remain eligible the rest of this season, but Gilgeous-Alexander is looking to grab his second straight MVP trophy with his dominance. He’s averaging 31.8 points with an absurd 67.0 true shooting percentage. His 55.4/39.0/89.2 shooting splits have him unbelievably close to a 50-40-90 season. On the way to unanimous MVP honors in 2016, Steph Curry put up 50-40-90 splits while averaging 30.1 points. SGA could end up with the highest scoring average among members of the 50-40-90 club.
Nikola Jokić, Nuggets
We know Big Honey can only miss one more regular-season game after missing about a month with a hyperextended knee. Before the injury, he might have been running away with MVP. Of course, an eligible Jokić will easily make the All-NBA First Team. He’s averaging 28.7 points on a league-leading 69.9 percent true shooting. He’s also leading the league in rebounds (12.3) and assists per game (10.7). He’s in the running for the greatest individual season of all time.
Victor Wembanyama, Spurs
He is finally on the betting board for MVP on BetMGM, as he should be. He’s also in danger of being ineligible for end-of-the-season awards consideration with 14 missed games, but Wembanyama has been on a tear for the team with the second-best record in the Western Conference. He’s putting up 24.4 points, 11.1 rebounds, 2.8 assists and 2.7 blocks per game. He may not have a chance at MVP due to missed games, but he’s easily All-NBA First Team if he stays healthy enough.
Cade Cunningham, Pistons
I’ve heard conversations about Cunningham winning MVP if Jokić and SGA find themselves ineligible. Cunningham led the Pistons to the best record in basketball through the All-Star break. They’re still a winning team when Cunningham is on the bench with a plus-3.6 net rating, but they are beyond dominant with Cunningham on the floor with a mark of plus-11.0. The only knock on him is his low 3-point percentage (33.0), but he’s done everything right. He’s an easy selection for All-NBA First Team after making the Third Team last season.
Jaylen Brown, Celtics
Brown is another one of those guys in the “what if” MVP discussions. Nobody had the Celtics being close to this good, and they might end up as the No. 2 seed in the East. After all of those losses from the roster? That’s some true value stuff from Brown. He has some tough competition for trying to edge him out of the first team, but he’s got as good a case as anybody. He’s been a spectacular two-way player and is very deserving of his first first-team selection.
It’s always interesting to me when people mention how many All-Star appearances someone has long before we get the number of All-NBA selections. I get that All-Star just has better branding as a term, but that usually means you’re 1) very popular, 2) you had a great first couple months or 3) both. All-NBA means you were one of the 15 best or most impactful players in a season. Now that the All-NBA voting has gone entirely position-less, it’s very easy to just slap your MVP ballot onto the First Team and take it from there with the Second and Third Teams. That’s where we head next.
All-NBA Second Team
Anthony Edwards, Timberwolves
Edwards is one of those guys trying to knock Brown off the First Team. He has added to his already-robust game with stellar work in the low post and mid-post. That’s helped him find balance and great decision-making on shot selection when games reach clutch moments. He’s making over 60 percent of his clutch shots. We know Edwards continues to get better, but he’ll need the Wolves to get higher than fifth in the West if he wants a no-brainer case for First Team.
Jalen Brunson, Knicks
Brunson is another guy very deserving of first-team consideration. What will help him is if the Knicks go on another run and find themselves in the driver’s seat for the No. 2 seed. Despite the roller-coaster nature of the Knicks’ season, Brunson has remained consistent. He’s always a candidate to find himself on the MVP ballot. He’s scoring 27.0 points per game and really doesn’t turn the ball over. And with his clutch reputation, teams are terrified of him in big moments.
Tyrese Maxey, 76ers
I don’t like factoring in what happened during a prior season because that should have nothing to do with awards in the current season. At the same time, it’s hard not to notice the stark contrast between the 76ers’ last two seasons. A big part of their current success is the team successfully growing to be Maxey’s. He immediately sets the tone before former MVP Joel Embiid fits in. Maxey is averaging 28.9 points and playing the most minutes (38.9) in the league. His playmaking is good with low turnovers.
Kawhi Leonard, Clippers
Leonard is another guy with iffy eligibility, but he’s been unstoppable since about late November. In his last 33 games, Leonard is averaging 29.0 points, 6.7 rebounds, 3.8 assists and 2.0 steals per game. He has 49.1/38.0/90.2 shooting splits over this stretch. And it’s a big reason the Clippers have turned around their season. Normally, this kind of run would grant first-team consideration, but I don’t think he’ll get there. LA’s record (26-28) is still too bad, and it took him a month to get this production going. All-Star Weekend was a reminder of what he’s been doing and what he’s capable of continuing to do, though.
Kawhi Leonard steals the ball from Luka Dončić during a Clippers-Lakers game earlier this season. (Jayne Kamin-Oncea / Imagn Images)
Luka Dončić, Lakers
Dončić is high on MVP betting odds because of two things: 1) name recognition with him and the Lakers causing a lot of money to flow that way in the bets, and 2) he’s leading the league in scoring (32.8) while also averaging 8.6 points and 7.6 rebounds. The defensive issues are a big talking point, but he’s still performing at an unreal level. He might be a sneaky first-team pick.
All-NBA Third Team
Donovan Mitchell, Cavaliers
The Cavs are having a better season than many realize, but it’s not the season they had a year ago. Mitchell has still been stellar. He’s putting up 29.0 points on 61.9 percent true shooting. The Cavs are really good and pretty dominant with him on the floor. They’re a losing team when he’s on the bench. Cleveland simply can’t afford to have him take extended time away.
Kevin Durant, Rockets
I guess we’re just used to it, but Durant is having another phenomenal season. He is also flirting with a 50-40-90 campaign with free-throw shooting (88.0 percent) being the only thing holding him back. All of that while putting up 25.8 points per game as he tries to lift the Rockets to the next level they were missing last season.
Steph Curry, Warriors
Curry is right on the threshold of not being eligible. He can miss only one more game and has already been ruled out of Thursday’s game against Boston. After that, he is not allowed to earn his 12th All-NBA selection. He’s averaging 27.2 points per game with a 63.6 percent true shooting. Without him on the floor, the Warriors go from a pretty good offense to something you’d accuse of tanking.
Jamal Murray, Nuggets
Murray earned the first All-Star nod of his career, and he is also working toward the first All-NBA selection. He’s averaging 25.7 points and 7.6 assists per game. His 48.5/42.5/88.7 shooting splits are also flirting with a 50-40-90 season. And the biggest feather in his cap is that the Nuggets are 10-6 this season when Jokić doesn’t play. The biggest reason for that is Murray leading them to wins.
Jalen Duren, Pistons: Duren’s case for All-NBA is pretty sound, and he has a great chance at getting his first selection, which would coincide with his first All-Star nod. He’s putting up 17.7 points and 10.4 rebounds per game, while also making the Pistons one of the best defensive teams in the league. His improvement on offense in the short areas outside of the basket is a big reason the Pistons have grown even more. He might make All-Defense and All-NBA.
There are other players to consider for the 15 spots given out so far this season. And we have plenty of time to change things around while seeing players drop off or make pushes or both. The 65-game rule has certainly changed the way we view this endeavor and how we keep track of seasons going on. We’ll finish with players either in danger of being ineligible or have already crossed that threshold.
**List of players in danger of being ineligible:**Jokić (missed 16 games), Curry (16), Wembanyama (14), Brandon Miller (17), Leonard (13 games)
**List of players already ineligible:**Giannis Antetokounmpo, Joel Embiid, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Anthony Davis
By Zach Harper, via The Athletic