[PtR] 马刺轮换阵容的“甜蜜烦恼”:并非人人都有出场时间

By Jeje Gomez | Pounding The Rock (PtR), 2025-09-13 07:42:27

由生成式人工智能翻译,译文内容可能不准确或不完整,以原文为准。

过去几个月,马刺对阵容进行了大换血,引进了像德阿隆·福克斯 (De’Aaron Fox) 和卢克·科内特 (Luke Kornet) 这样的关键拼图,同时也增强了阵容深度。那些他们无法信任的球员似乎已成过往,球队告别了过去难以进入轮换阵容的球员。他们正在迈出重建的下一步。

无可否认,拥有更多实力已获证明的球员是件好事,这不仅能让他们在遭遇伤病时处于更有利的位置,也能为队内角色带来良性的竞争。圣安东尼奥现在可以排出各种极具吸引力的阵容搭配。但与此同时,一个问题也随之而来:理应获得出场机会的球员,其上场时间可能无法如愿,甚至可能根本没有。

需要再次强调的是,我们讨论的不是边缘新秀或老将的出场时间。如果马刺要用好今年夏天引进的球员,那么某位此前能贡献高效上场时间的球员,很可能将比以往更多地坐在板凳上。让我们来看看轮换阵容将如何安排。

后卫线的拥堵可能会传导至侧翼

每场比赛,控球后卫位置有48分钟需要分配。我们暂且假设福克斯在他为马刺效力的首个完整赛季里,场均出战33分钟,这与他的生涯平均数据相近。这样一来,还剩下15分钟可供贾里德·哈珀 (Jared Harper) 和斯蒂芬·卡斯尔 (Stephon Castle) 分配。我们先假定哈珀打满这15分钟,而卡斯尔则在二号位(得分后卫)出场27分钟,这与他新秀赛季的数据一致。如此一来,在得分后卫位置上,只剩下21分钟给哈珀和德文·瓦塞尔 (Devin Vassell) 分配。我们假设哈珀只打5分钟,使其总出场时间达到合理的20分钟。那么瓦塞尔在得分后卫位置上将获得16分钟,如果想让他达到上赛季31分钟的出场时间,他就还需要在小前锋位置上再打15分钟。

到目前为止,这似乎还不算一个大问题,但总的来看,一旦我们深入研究轮换阵容,这本质上意味着通过在侧翼位置制造新的拥堵,来解决后卫线的拥堵问题。即便我们假设新秀卡特·布莱恩特 (Carter Bryant) 大部分时间在奥斯汀(发展联盟)度过,而林迪·沃特斯四世 (Lindy Waters IV) 被牢牢摁在板凳上,马刺能在小前锋位置上,同时为凯尔登·约翰逊 (Keldon Johnson) 和朱利安·尚帕尼 (Julian Champagnie) 提供足够的出场时间吗?尤其是在瓦塞尔已经占据一部分时间的情况下,这似乎不太可能。在这个预测的轮换中,剩余的23分钟对于他们其中一人来说是充足的,但另一人就只能得到些零碎时间了。

一个简单的解决方案是将他们中的一人在某些时段顶到四号位,这也是教练组上赛季用过的策略。但这同样难以实现,因为……

如果马刺摆出双中锋阵容,大前锋位置将出现人员拥堵

圣安东尼奥在新赛季拥有两位风格迥异但都非常实用的天然大前锋人选。哈里森·巴恩斯 (Harrison Barnes) 凭借其可靠的外线投射能力,提供了不可或缺的空间;而杰里米·索汉 (Jeremy Sochan) 则带来了身体对抗和防守。这两人完全可以轻松瓜分该位置的48分钟,不给其他人留下任何出场时间。但如果教练组决定摆出“大个阵容”,让维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama) 在某些时段降至四号位,那么即便是他俩,可能都很难获得足够的上场时间——而在球队引进了卢克·科内特之后,这种情况似乎很有可能发生。

科内特在波士顿曾与艾尔·霍福德 (Al Horford) 和克里斯塔普斯·波尔津吉斯 (Kristaps Porziņģis) 共同出场,他在这类阵容配置中的经验很可能也是他在自由市场上吸引马刺的原因之一。不难想象,他会成为圣安东尼奥双中锋阵容的一部分。我们保守估计,这种情况每场只发生7分钟。那么剩下的41分钟,要在索汉和巴恩斯之间分配,同时还要在他们各自的合同年里让他们保持满意,这是可行的。但如果为了让约翰逊或尚帕尼(同样处于合同年)获得稳定的出场时间,而导致这个数字进一步缩水,那任务就变得不可能了。

马刺后卫线的拥堵可以通过将球员摇摆到更高位置来缓解,但这个潜在的解决方案却会导致大前锋位置的瓶颈,尤其是当文班在某些时段降至四号位时,问题会更加突出。

伤病和对位情况会创造出场时间,但艰难的抉择就在眼前

伤病是不可避免的,它会创造出场时间。在一个完整的赛季里,五个位置的总出场时间接近20000分钟。考虑到球员们不可能全勤,从整体上看,所有理应进入轮换的球员应该都能获得上场机会,即便这些机会不像他们期望的那样稳定。

尽管如此,马刺仍需在轮换安排上做出艰难的抉择。刻意为哈珀和卡斯尔分配上场时间,以及在“大个阵容”中让文班亚马出任大前锋,这些做法都合情合理,但一旦发生,必然会影响到其他人的出场时间。从纸面上看,约翰逊或尚帕尼最有可能看到自己过去几年的角色被削弱,但最终被迫做出牺牲的也可能是巴恩斯、索汉,甚至是瓦塞尔,这取决于球员的表现和球队对技术特点的需求。

马刺已经建立了一套深度可观、实力扎实的阵容。其不利之处在于,一些有能力的球员可能会难以获得上场时间。赢球是让每个人都保持开心的关键,但如果赛季中期发生一笔旨在整合天赋、确立队内层级并明确每个人角色的交易,也请不要感到意外。

点击查看原文:The Spurs won’t have minutes for everyone that deserves them

The Spurs won’t have minutes for everyone that deserves them

The Spurs revamped their roster over the past few months, adding key pieces like De’Aaron Fox and Luke Kornet while also shoring up their depth. The days of rostering players that they couldn’t trust seem behind them, as they parted ways with guys that struggled to crack their rotation in the past. They are taking the next step in their rebuild.

It’s undeniably good to have more proven talent in tow to not only be in a better position in case of injuries but also to create healthy competition for roles. San Antonio can now throw together all kinds of intriguing lineups. At the same time, there is an issue that comes with it: deserving players might not get as many minutes as they would like, if any at all.

Again, we are not talking about playing time for fringe prospects or veterans. If the Spurs utilize the players they added this summer, someone who was previously providing productive minutes will likely have to sit more than they did before. Let’s take a look at how the rotation could shake out.

The logjam at the guard spots could roll over to the wing

There are 48 minutes to fill at point guard every night. For now, let’s say Fox plays around his career average of 33 minutes a game in his first full season with the Spurs. That leaves 15 minutes available to be split between Harper and Castle. Let’s pencil in Harper for all 15 minutes while Castle slots at the two for 27 minutes a night, the number he got as a rookie. That only leaves 21 minutes to split between Harper and Devin Vassell at shooting guard. Let’s assume Harper gets just five to get him to a total of 20 minutes a game, a reasonable figure. It leaves Vassell with 16 minutes at shooting guard and 15 at small forward, if we want to get him to the 31 he got last season.

So far, this doesn’t appear to be a significant issue, but in the aggregate, it essentially means clearing up the logjam at guard by creating one at the wing, once we delve deeper into the rotation. Even assuming rookie Carter Bryant spends most of his time in Austin and Lindy Waters IV is glued to the bench, can the Spurs get enough playing time for both Keldon Johnson and Julian Champagnie at small forward with Vassell there? It doesn’t seem possible. The 23 minutes available in this projected rotation are plenty for one of them, but would leave the other with scraps.

The simple solution would be to move one of them to the four for some minutes, which is something the coaching staff did last season. But that would be tough to do because…

The Spurs will have a logjam at power forward if they play two-center lineups

San Antonio heads into the season with two very different but useful options as natural power forwards. Harrison Barnes provides indispensable spacing thanks to his reliable outside shooting, while Jeremy Sochan brings physicality and defense to the table. Those two could easily split the 48 minutes slotted for the position between them, leaving no playing time for others. But it might even be hard to find enough minutes for them if the coaching staff decides to play big with Victor Wembanyama getting some minutes at the four, which seems likely after the addition of Luke Kornet

Kornet played with Al Horford and Kristaps Porzingis in Boston, and his experience in those configurations was likely part of his appeal in free agency. It’s easy to see him being a part of two-center lineups in San Antonio. Let’s be conservative and say it only happens for seven minutes a game. Splitting 41 minutes between Sochan and Barnes while keeping both happy during respective contract years is doable, but if that number gets any smaller as the Spurs try to squeeze in either Johnson or Champagnie (also on a contract year) consistently, it becomes impossible.

The Spurs’ guard logjam can be mitigated by moving guys up a position, but that potential solution results in a bottleneck at the power forward spot, especially if, at the same time, Wemby moves down a spot for stretches.

Injuries and matchups will open up minutes, but tough decisions are ahead

Injuries are unavoidable and will open up playing time. In an entire season, there are almost 20,000 total minutes available across the five positions. Assuming less than perfect health, there should be floor time for all the deserving rotation guys in the aggregate, even if it isn’t as consistent as they would like.

Still, the Spurs will have to make tough decisions when it comes to their rotation. Spoon-feeding Harper and Castle minutes and playing Wembanyama at power forward in big lineups makes sense, but someone else will see their playing time affected by it if it happens. On paper, it seems like Johnson or Champagnie are the most likely candidates to see their role from past years reduced, but it could be Barnes, Sochan, or even Vassell who end up having to sacrifice, depending on performance and skill set needs.

The Spurs have built a deep, solid roster. The downside is that competent players might struggle to get playing time. Winning will be the key to keeping everyone happy, but don’t be surprised if there’s a midseason trade to consolidate talent, establish a hierarchy, and make everyone’s role clear.

By Jeje Gomez, via Pounding The Rock

最好还是没有伤病吧,希望新赛季马刺顺风顺水!!:face_savoring_food: