By NBA insiders | ESPN, 2025-01-06 21:00:00
由生成式人工智能翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
距离2月6日NBA交易截止日还有大约一个月的时间，我们已经看到一些球队做出了动作，以及一些超级巨星的戏剧性事件，比如吉米·巴特勒(Jimmy Butler)与迈阿密热火队的僵局。
但我们还应该关注哪些主要的交易截止日故事情节呢？第二工资帽时代全面生效，与过去相比，本赛季的交易相对平静。但在季后赛开始前，各队仍有机会做出一些大的动作来提升阵容。
新奥良鹈鹕队前锋布兰登·英格拉姆(Brandon Ingram)和芝加哥公牛队后卫扎克·拉文(Zach LaVine)是预计在截止日期前可能被交易的两个大牌球员，但在接下来的一个月里，我们还能期待哪些其他重大动作？
我们的NBA专家们讨论了一些最大的交易截止日问题，包括洛杉矶湖人队是否会采取进一步行动来支持勒布朗·詹姆斯(LeBron James)再次争夺总冠军，以及东西部哪些球队将在2月份迎来焕然一新的阵容。
哪支球队需要做出重磅交易来提升排名？
蒂姆·邦坦普斯(Tim Bontemps): 选择有很多，明尼苏达森林狼队就是其中之一。感觉卡尔-安东尼·唐斯(Karl-Anthony Towns)的交易是一个两步走的计划，我们仍在等待第二步的到来。很大程度上是因为迈克·康利(Mike Conley)看起来年纪大了，森林狼队的进攻一直很笨拙，他们需要另一个能够创造投篮机会和控球的球员。看看他们在2月6日之前是否会有所改变将会很有趣。
鲍比·马克斯(Bobby Marks): 萨克拉门托国王队。国王队在休赛期改变了他们的阵容，将哈里森·巴恩斯(Harrison Barnes)交易到圣安东尼奥，并从公牛队得到了德玛尔·德罗赞(DeMar DeRozan)。德罗赞的加入和马利克·蒙克(Malik Monk)的续约本应提升上赛季赢得46场比赛的阵容。然而，国王队目前却在附加赛之外，并且解雇了教练迈克·布朗(Mike Brown)。由于国王队欠亚特兰大老鹰队2025年的一个前12顺位保护的首轮签，以及如果前一个赛季没有兑现，则欠2026年的一个前10顺位保护的首轮签，所以国王队最早可以在2028年交易首轮签。除了他们的选秀资产，国王队还有凯文·赫尔特(Kevin Huerter)1680万美元的合同（他在2025-26赛季还欠1790万美元）和特雷·莱尔斯(Trey Lyles)800万美元的到期合同。最近，他们与布鲁克林篮网队前锋卡梅隆·约翰逊(Cameron Johnson)联系在一起。
凯文·佩尔顿(Kevin Pelton): 金州勇士队拥有进行交易和利用交易的最佳组合能力。我不确定在斯蒂芬·库里(Stephen Curry)职业生涯的这个阶段，加入吉米·巴特勒是否会让勇士队成为总冠军争夺者，但用一些球员换取另一位全明星球员的整合交易将使勇士队在西部获得前六名的有力位置，并有可能在季后赛首轮成为热门球队。
迈克尔·莱特(Michael Wright): 交易吉米·巴特勒不一定会提升迈阿密热火队的排名，但他们可能需要尽快放弃这位球星，以防止分心导致热火队在东部下滑。在巴特勒因“对球队有害的行为”被禁赛后的第一场比赛中，他们以36分的劣势输给了犹他爵士队。禁赛将于1月19日对阵圣安东尼奥马刺队的比赛前结束，但这引发了人们对这位前锋的持续猜测和质疑。考虑到当前劳资协议的限制，交易巴特勒将很困难。但不交易他最终可能会毁掉迈阿密的赛季。
贾马尔·科利尔(Jamal Collier): 勇士队。在赛季初的快速开局之后，金州勇士队已经连续几周苦苦挣扎，排名也在下滑。勇士队一直在追逐一位球星，很明显，如果他们想摆脱附加赛，更不用说在季后赛中走得更远，他们就需要为库里找到一些帮手。否则，其他球队将非常乐意对库里进行双人和三人包夹，同时挑战勇士队其他角色球员击败他们。
除了吉米·巴特勒之外，哪位球星最有可能在截止日期前被交易？
莱特: 布兰登·英格拉姆似乎是新奥良鹈鹕队的首要任务；他的合同将在本赛季结束后到期，他正在寻求比鹈鹕队所能支付的更多的薪水，而球队未来将面临财务限制。英格拉姆只有在新秀赛季才出战了65场或更多的比赛——而他目前正在进行康复治疗，以从左脚踝扭伤中恢复。据报道，多支球队都对他表示了兴趣，但他们可能会等着看他从伤病中恢复后的状态，他们希望确保他为下半赛季做好准备。
邦坦普斯: 这个答案可能不太有趣，但我认为没有人会被交易。几个月来，我与球探、高管、经纪人和联盟人员的每一次谈话都集中在交易市场的僵化上，这是因为球队账面上有大量的资金，竞争者缺乏选秀权，最重要的是，本赛季的劳资协议全面生效。除非高薪球员之间互相交换，否则很难看到一位巨星在下个月做出转会。
佩尔顿: 布兰登·英格拉姆的交易太合理了，不可能不发生……对吧？英格拉姆即将在一个目前拥有NBA最差战绩的球队成为不受限制的自由球员。新奥良鹈鹕队再也无法对英格拉姆的价值斤斤计较了。考虑到他们未来的工资问题，任何比鹈鹕队今年夏天通过先签后换所能得到的更好的回报都是一种胜利。
马克斯: 正如一位总经理在多里安·芬尼-史密斯(Dorian Finney-Smith)被交易到湖人队后告诉我的那样，在交易方面，预计会有更多的一垒安打和二垒安打，而不是三垒安打和本垒打。因此，巴特勒可能是截止日期前唯一被交易的全明星级别球员，即使这样也不是确定无疑的。除了新奥良鹈鹕队的布兰登·英格拉姆，还要密切关注篮网队的卡梅隆·约翰逊。虽然他不被认为是明星球员，但约翰逊的得分（19.3分）、投篮命中率（49.1%）和三分球命中率（43.2%）都创下了职业生涯新高。他2250万美元的薪水不到巴特勒的一半。
科利尔: 布兰登·英格拉姆。在他今年夏天成为不受限制的自由球员之前，他就已经是被交易的候选人了，而这还是在鹈鹕队的赛季变成一场灾难之前。现在，鹈鹕队拥有联盟最差的战绩之一，并且需要进行改组，根据ESPN的鲍比·马克斯和蒂姆·麦克马洪(Tim MacMahon)的说法，在续约谈判反复失败后，新奥良鹈鹕队为英格拉姆寻找一支新球队是有道理的。
对或错：湖人队将在截止日期前进行另一笔交易
邦坦普斯: 对，虽然我怀疑这更像是多里安·芬尼-史密斯的交易，而不是更大的交易。再说一次，球队很难积累大量的资金，这使得湖人队很难做出大的动作，但他们的确有一些中等规模的交易可以用来获得另一名实力雄厚的球员。然而，其中一些可能取决于球队在下个月的排名，以及勒布朗·詹姆斯和安东尼·戴维斯(Anthony Davis)是否能保持健康。
莱特: 对。这并不容易。但即使在得到了双能锋线多里安·芬尼-史密斯之后，据报道，湖人队仍在寻求增加前场深度。有传言称，洛杉矶希望得到华盛顿奇才队的约纳斯·瓦兰丘纳斯(Jonas Valanciunas)，因为他们仍然持有几个可以作为资产的次轮签。但华盛顿的要价对湖人队来说可能太高了，他们肯定会有竞争对手来争夺瓦兰丘纳斯的服务。幸运的是，对于湖人队来说，瓦兰丘纳斯并不是唯一的选择，因为多支球队都在兜售潜在的替补中锋。
马克斯: 对。湖人队以三个次轮签为代价得到了多里安·芬尼-史密斯，并且仍然拥有选秀权（最多有两个首轮签可用）和财务灵活性（低于第二工资帽350万美元）等资源来继续改进阵容。随着前锋马克斯·克里斯蒂(Max Christie)在首发阵容中的崛起，洛杉矶的首要任务是获得一名能够补充安东尼·戴维斯或作为他替补的中锋。湖人队的禁区得分和二次得分失分都排在倒数前五。
佩尔顿: 对。湖人队有巨大的经济动机交易掉克里斯蒂安·伍德(Christian Wood)并减少他们的奢侈税账单。他们会在交易中增加一名轮换球员吗？这是一个五五开的问题，尽管我更倾向于说是。湖人队仍然可以升级他们的中锋深度，但如果他们需要一个首轮签来略微改进，他们应该等等看买断市场会发生什么。
科利尔: 对。在勒布朗·詹姆斯这位逐渐老去的超级巨星和不断进步的安东尼·戴维斯身边，洛杉矶的期望值总是很高。自从2020年夺冠以来，湖人队在季后赛中一直苦苦挣扎，如果他们希望这支球队继续留在西部前六名并渴望在季后赛中走得更远，他们就不能原地踏步。
截止日期后东部进步最大的球队是 ____?
邦坦普斯: 费城76人队，仅仅是因为达里尔·莫雷(Daryl Morey)有在交易截止日前积极改进球队的历史。76人队有几个首轮签可以交易，还有可以打包交易以增加球员的薪金空间。然而，东部联盟排名靠前的球队都没有很大的灵活性来进行交易，所以这个答案很容易是篮网队，仅仅是因为成功的拆解让他们有机会获得最高的乐透签概率。
马克斯: 奥兰多魔术队。魔术队即使不进行任何交易，到2月6日仍然可能是进步最大的球队。在首发球员保罗·班凯罗(Paolo Banchero)和弗朗茨·瓦格纳(Franz Wagner)缺席的情况下，奥兰多魔术队一直保持在东部联盟前四名。班凯罗在10月下旬右斜肌撕裂之前场均得到29分。瓦格纳在12月初也遭遇右斜肌撕裂之前场均得到职业生涯最高的23分。
莱特: 肯定是76人队，考虑到他们赢在当下的心态、缓慢的开局以及他们目前在东部的排名，篮球运营总裁达里尔·莫雷将寻求最大限度地利用乔尔·恩比德(Joel Embiid)、泰瑞斯·马克西(Tyrese Maxey)和保罗·乔治(Paul George)的争冠窗口期。费城目前的阵容头重脚轻，但他们拥有六个次轮签，可以在交易中用来增加前场的体型。
佩尔顿: 魔术队，因为没有任何交易补充能比让保罗·班凯罗和弗朗茨·瓦格纳恢复健康更好。奥兰多已经退出了东部前三名的争夺，波士顿凯尔特人队、克利夫兰骑士队和纽约尼克斯队已经与其他球队拉开了差距。但我仍然看好魔术队有机会在排名中压制一大批竞争者，只要班凯罗在一月底之前复出。
科利尔: 76人队。他们在下半赛季最需要的事情就是让乔尔·恩比德保持健康并在场上。费城目前在东部排名第11位，但距离第6名只有三场比赛的差距，如果恩比德足够健康，他们很容易就能做到这一点。
截止日期后西部进步最大的球队是 ____?
邦坦普斯: 如果——这是一个很大的如果——休斯顿火箭队能够在外线增加另一个可靠的得分选择，那么就是他们。但休斯顿更有可能将他们的重要筹码留到休赛期，以便进行更大的交易。所以我还要做一个推测性的选择，那就是达拉斯独行侠队，他们在总经理尼科·哈里森(Nico Harrison)的带领下一直很积极，可能会在2月6日之前做出重大举动。
马克斯: 孟菲斯灰熊队。在湖人队最后一刻介入之前，灰熊队已经准备好从篮网队得到前锋多里安·芬尼-史密斯。交易的框架（卢克·肯纳德(Luke Kennard)、约翰·孔查尔(John Konchar)和一个2025年受保护的首轮签）证实，孟菲斯并不满足于西部第二的战绩，并且希望为他们的前场做出一些举动。
佩尔顿: 萨克拉门托国王队。我不仅预计国王队会通过交易进行升级，他们还会仅仅通过在势均力敌的比赛中获得更好的运气来提升自己。萨克拉门托的+1.3净胜分排在西部第八，但国王队在排名中却排在第12位，这主要是因为他们输掉了联盟最高的13场关键比赛（根据NBA高级数据，在最后五分钟的任何时间点分差在五分以内的比赛）。
莱特: 勇士队和火箭队之间很难抉择，因为两队都拥有年轻球员和选秀资产的良好组合来进行交易。但我们选择勇士队，因为他们目前处于附加赛区域，用库里的话说，是一支“非常中游的球队”，除了向上之外别无去路。库里的话听起来像是对总经理迈克·邓利维(Mike Dunleavy)的恳求，邓利维最多可以交易三个首轮签和两个次轮签。
科利尔: 洛杉矶快船队。与76人队类似，他们也将在周六完成赛季首秀的科怀·伦纳德(Kawhi Leonard)重新加入到阵容中。快船队能够在没有他的情况下以19胜15负的战绩保持稳定，并在西部排名第七。现在，如果他们能让伦纳德留在场上，他们就有机会在一个艰难的联盟中取得进步，并在季后赛开始前处于有利位置。
点击查看原文：NBA roundtable: Experts answer key questions ahead of trade deadline
NBA roundtable: Experts answer key questions ahead of trade deadline
We’re about a month out from the NBA’s trade deadline on Feb. 6, and we’ve already seen a few teams make moves, as well as some superstar drama with a standoff between Jimmy Butler and the Miami Heat.
But what other major trade deadline storylines should we be watching? The era of the second apron is in full effect, and trade season has been relatively quiet compared to the past. But there is still room for teams to make some big splashes to help improve their rosters before the postseason.
New Orleans Pelicans forward Brandon Ingram and Chicago Bulls guard Zach LaVine are two of the bigger names expected to be available at the deadline, but what other major moves can we expect to be made in the next month?
Our NBA experts debate some of the biggest trade deadline questions, including whether the Los Angeles Lakers will make another move to address LeBron James’ quest for another championship, and which teams in the East and West will have a new-look roster come February.
Which team needs to make a big trade splash to boost its standings?
Tim Bontemps: There’s no shortage of options here, with the Minnesota Timberwolves being one of them. It felt like the Karl-Anthony Towns trade was a two-step move, and we’re still waiting for the second move to happen. The Wolves, thanks in large part to Mike Conley looking his age, have been clunky offensively and could use another shot creator and ball handler. It’ll be interesting to see whether they look different come Feb. 6.
Bobby Marks: The Sacramento Kings. The Kings changed their roster in the offseason, trading Harrison Barnes to San Antonio and acquiring DeMar DeRozan from the Bulls. The addition of DeRozan and re-signing of Malik Monk were supposed to boost a roster that won 46 games last season. Instead, Sacramento is on the outside of the play-in and fired coach Mike Brown. Because the Kings owe the Atlanta Hawks a top-12 protected first in 2025 and top-10 protected first in 2026 if not conveyed the prior season, the earliest Sacramento can trade a first is in 2028. Besides their draft assets, Sacramento has the $16.8 million contract of Kevin Huerter (he has $17.9 million owed in 2025-26) and $8 million expiring contract of Trey Lyles. Most recently, they have been linked to Brooklyn Nets forward Cameron Johnson.
Kevin Pelton: The Golden State Warriors have the best combination of ability to make a trade and take advantage of one. I’m not sure adding Jimmy Butler would make the Warriors championship contenders at this stage of Stephen Curry’s career, but a consolidation trade for another All-Star would put Golden State in a strong position to claim a top-six seed in the West and potentially be favored in the first round of the playoffs.
Michael Wright: Moving Jimmy Butler won’t necessarily boost Miami’s standings, but it probably needs to jettison the star as soon as possible to prevent distractions that could cause the Heat to slip back in the East. They lost by 36 to the Utah Jazz in their first game after Butler was suspended for “conduct detrimental to the team.” The suspension, which ends before a Jan. 19 matchup against the San Antonio Spurs, has raised constant speculation and questions regarding the forward. Given the limitations that accompany the current collective bargaining agreement, trading Butler will be difficult. But not moving him could end up tanking Miami’s season.
Jamal Collier: The Warriors. After a fast start to the season, Golden State has been struggling for weeks and dipping in the standings. The Warriors have been chasing a star for some time now, and it’s clear they need to find some help for Curry if they want to make it out of the play-in tournament, let alone make a deep playoff run. If not, teams will be more than comfortable sending double- and triple-teams at Curry while daring the rest of the Warriors’ role players to beat them.
Which star (other than Jimmy Butler) is most likely to be moved at the deadline?
Wright: Brandon Ingram appears to be a major priority for the New Orleans Pelicans; he’s in the final year of his contract, seeking more than the Pels can pay and in an environment in which the team faces future financial restrictions. Ingram has played in 65 games or more only once – his rookie season – and he’s currently advancing through the rehab process to return from a sprained left ankle. Multiple teams are reportedly showing interest, but they’ll likely wait to see how he looks returning from injury, and they’ll want to be certain he’s ready for the second half of the season.
Bontemps: This might not be a fun answer, but I’m going with no one. Every conversation I’ve had with scouts, executives, agents and league personnel for months has been centered around how stiff the trade market is due to the combination of money on teams’ books, the lack of draft capital among contenders and, most importantly, the collective bargaining agreement coming fully online this season. Unless big salary players are being swapped for each other, it’s hard to see a huge star making a move in the next month.
Pelton: A Brandon Ingram trade makes too much sense not to happen … right? Ingram is heading toward unrestricted free agency on a team that now has the NBA’s worst record. New Orleans can no longer afford to be picky about getting value for Ingram. Anything better than what the Pelicans could get this summer in a sign-and-trade would still be a win, given their payroll issues going forward.
Marks: As one GM told me after the Dorian Finney-Smith trade to the Lakers, expect more singles and doubles, less triples and home runs when it comes to transactions. As a result, Butler could be the lone All-Star-level player moved at the deadline, and even that is not a certainty. Besides the New Orleans Pelicans’ Brandon Ingram, keep an eye on the Nets’ Cameron Johnson. Although he is not considered a star player, Johnson is averaging a career high in points (19.3), field goal percentage (49.1%) and 3-point percentage (43.2%). His $22.5 million salary is less than half of Butler’s.
Collier: Brandon Ingram. He was already a candidate to be traded before he hit unrestricted free agency this summer, and that was before the Pelicans’ season turned into a disaster. Now with one of the league’s worst records and in need of a shakeup, it makes sense for New Orleans to find Ingram a new team after contract extension talks have repeatedly fizzled, according to ESPN’s Bobby Marks and Tim MacMahon.
Fact or fiction: The Lakers will make another trade before the deadline
Bontemps: Fact, though I’d suspect it’s something along the lines of the Dorian Finney-Smith deal rather than something bigger. Again, it’s hard for teams to stack up a bunch of money, making it hard for the Lakers to make a big swing, but they do have a couple of midsized deals that they could swing to get another solid player. Some of this, though, will likely depend on where the team sits in the standings in the next month, and whether LeBron James and Anthony Davis can remain healthy.
Wright: Fact. It won’t be easy. But even after acquiring two-way wing Dorian Finney-Smith, the Lakers are reportedly still looking to add some frontcourt depth. It has been rumored that Los Angeles is hoping to land the Washington Wizards’ Jonas Valanciunas as it still holds a couple of second-round picks as assets. But Washington’s asking price might be too rich for the Lakers, which will surely have competition for Valanciunas’ services. Luckily for the Lakers, Valanciunas isn’t the only option, as multiple teams are shopping potential backup centers.
Marks: Fact. The Lakers added Dorian Finney-Smith at the cost of three second-round picks and still have the resources in draft picks (up to two firsts available) and financial flexibility ($3.5 million below the second apron) to continue improving the roster. With the emergence of forward Max Christie in the starting lineup, the priority in Los Angeles is acquiring a center who can complement Anthony Davis or back him up. The Lakers rank in the bottom five in points in the paint and second-chance points allowed.
Pelton: Fact. The Lakers have overwhelming financial incentive to trade away Christian Wood and cut their tax bill. Will they add a rotation player in a trade? It’s a toss-up, though I’d lean more toward yes than no. The Lakers could still use an upgrade to their center depth, but if it costs them a first-round pick to improve marginally, they should wait to see what happens on the buyout market.
Collier: Fact. The expectations are always high in Los Angeles with an aging superstar in LeBron James and an improving Anthony Davis. Since their championship in 2020, the Lakers have struggled in the postseason and can’t stand pat if they expect this team to remain in the top six in the West with aspirations of a deep playoff run.
The team in the East that will be most improved after the deadline is ____?
Bontemps: The Philadelphia 76ers, just because Daryl Morey has a history of being aggressive at the trade deadline to improve his team. The 76ers have several first-round picks to move and salary that they can package to add players. However, none of the teams at the top of the Eastern Conference have a ton of flexibility to make moves, so this answer could easily be the Nets, simply because of a successful teardown putting them in position to secure the highest possible lottery odds.
Marks: The Orlando Magic. The Magic could pass on the trade deadline and still be the most improved team on Feb. 6. Orlando has consistently remained in the top four of the Eastern Conference without starters Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner. Banchero was averaging 29 points per game before he suffered a torn right oblique in late October. Wagner averaged a career-high 23 points before also sustaining a torn right oblique in early December.
Wright: It has got to be the 76ers, given their win-now mentality, slow start and where they currently sit in the East standings with a president of basketball operations in Daryl Morey who will be looking to maximize the team’s window for contention with Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey and Paul George. Philadelphia’s roster is currently top-heavy, but it does own six second-round picks it can use in a trade to add size in the frontcourt.
Pelton: The Magic, because there are no trade additions who can possibly be as good as getting Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner back healthy. Orlando has slipped out of the race for a top-three seed in the East, where the Boston Celtics, Cleveland Cavaliers and New York Knicks have separated themselves from the pack. But I still like the Magic’s chances of holding off a large group of contenders for fourth in the standings so long as Banchero returns before the end of January.
Collier: The Sixers. The biggest things they need in the second half of the season will be actually having Joel Embiid healthy and on the court. Philly is currently No. 11 in the East standings but is still only three games out of the No. 6 seed, something it can easily achieve if Embiid is healthy enough to take it there.
The team in the West that will be most improved after the deadline is ____?
Bontemps: The Houston Rockets if – and it’s a very big if – they can add another reliable scoring option on the perimeter. But Houston is more likely to save its big chips for the offseason to make a much larger move. So I’ll also make a speculative pick with the Dallas Mavericks, who have been aggressive under general manager Nico Harrison and will probably make a significant move between now and Feb. 6.
Marks: The Memphis Grizzlies. Before the Lakers came in at the last minute, the Grizzlies were positioned to acquire forward Dorian Finney-Smith from the Nets. The framework of the trade (Luke Kennard, John Konchar and a 2025 protected first) confirms that Memphis is not content with the second-best record in the Western Conference and will want to make some type of move for its frontcourt.
Pelton: The Sacramento Kings. Not only do I expect the Kings to upgrade via trade, they figure to improve simply with better fortune in close games. Sacramento’s plus-1.3 differential ranks eighth in the West, yet the Kings are 12th in the standings in large part because they’ve lost a league-high 13 games that qualify as clutch per NBA Advanced Stats (game within five points at any point in the last five minutes).
Wright: It’s a toss-up between the Warriors and Rockets because both own nice mixes of young players and draft assets to make deals. But let’s go with the Warriors because they’re currently in play-in territory as a “very mid [team] right now,” according to Curry, with nowhere to go but up. Curry’s comments sounded like a plea to general manager Mike Dunleavy, who has a maximum of three first-rounders and a pair of second-round picks available to trade.
Collier: The LA Clippers. Similar to the Sixers, they’re also adding back into the mix a big piece with Kawhi Leonard, who made his season debut Saturday. The Clippers were able to stay afloat without him at 19-15 and are seventh in the West. Now they’ve got a chance to improve in a difficult conference and be well positioned heading into the playoffs if they can keep Leonard on the floor.
By NBA insiders | ESPN, via ESPN