By Jeremy Woo, 2026-06-26 19:10:00

2026年NBA选秀或许已经落幕,但这不意味着我们得停止讨论它。虽然乐透区并未提供太多惊喜——我在最终模拟选秀榜单中命中了前八个顺位——但这届选秀深度十足且充满趣味,并且贯穿始终地呈现出几个引人注目的主题。
首先是:乐透区中没有任何交易发生。很明显,各支球队真的非常喜欢这届新秀,并且更看重将自家榜单上前列的新星收入囊中,而非换取未来资产。随着全新乐透抽签制度将于2027年实施,这一趋势或许不会改变。
另一个主题是:NBA正在重新重视大个子球员。
哪支球队做出了我最心仪的选择——无论是在前十顺位之内还是之外?哪支球队选到了最好的成色?联盟高管们在热议什么?又有哪些球员将入选最佳新秀一阵?我花了数年时间研究这些潜力新星,对于选秀结果如何,我有一些自己的见解。让我们通过回答13个关键问题,来深入探究本次选秀的余波:
跳转至话题:
最心仪的选择 | 理想落脚地 | 最佳价值
最大惊喜 | 最佳选秀班级 | 高管热议
交易都去哪了? | 最佳新秀选择
最佳新秀阵容 | 落选秀黑马
大胆预测 | 总体结论
整届选秀中,你最心仪的选择是哪个?
让我们把这个分为两类来讨论。我最心仪的高顺位选择是犹他爵士队在第二顺位选中的达林·彼得森 (Darryn Peterson)。
我本会用状元签选他,所以很难不喜欢爵士队的这个结果。这一点我已经解释过很多次了——可以看看我在首轮结束后关于他的专题报道。他会走上正轨,变得极其出色。
我最心仪的乐透区之外的选择是俄克拉荷马城雷霆队在第十二顺位选中的阿代·马拉 (Aday Mara)。
俄克拉荷马城雷霆队与圣安东尼奥马刺队之间的这盘棋局将在未来几个赛季如何演变,让我深深着迷。我喜欢观察选秀大会上这盘棋局的逐步展开。我不认为两支球队都囤积大个子球员是巧合。马拉是这届新秀中唯一一个能带给雷霆队他们尚不具备的阵容类型的球员。他将为球队在中锋位置上提供更多的体型优势和技巧,而雷霆队拥有足够的阵容深度来优化他的上场时间。
你最心仪的价值选择是哪个?
圣安东尼奥马刺队在第二十顺位选中的杰登·昆坦斯 (Jayden Quaintance)。
从潜力角度来看,我喜欢马刺队的操作。昆坦斯本周向记者证实,在2025年2月前十字韧带撕裂后,他将需要再次接受手术来修复受伤的右膝。在选秀前准备过程中,多支球队告诉我,他最终可能不得不缺席下个赛季的全部比赛。但他是一名球探们赞不绝口的球员,拥有出色的身体素质和防守潜力。健康版本的他正是马刺队所需要的,但目前无法保证他能很快恢复健康。
由于伤病恢复难以预测,这件事存在多种变数。但如果这笔操作成功了,圣安东尼奥将拥有一对出色的长期前场搭档,而且昆坦斯也能在维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama) 不在场时,撑起马刺队的防守体系。我们还需要一段时间才能确切知道结果,但对于一支能够承担风险的球队来说,这是一次正确的博弈。
哪位球员去到了能将自身天赋最大化的理想境地?
第十一顺位被金州勇士队选中的亚克塞尔·伦德伯格 (Yaxel Lendeborg)。
在某种程度上,伦德伯格注定会加盟一支强队,这纯粹是因为他的年龄(他将在今年9月年满24岁)。但如果勇士队想要有机会取得巨大成功,他们将迫切需要他拿出最佳状态,因为他将立即成为球队在德雷蒙德·格林身边另一个前锋位置上的最佳人选。
我们应该很快就能知道这个选择是否能奏效,但从纸面上看,他正是勇士需要的球员。
哪个选择最让你感到意外?
第九顺位被达拉斯独行侠队选中的小莫雷兹·约翰逊 (Morez Johnson Jr.)。
这是少数几个我没有预料到的选择之一。不过,我倒是觉得这对达拉斯来说是一个非常精明的操作。没有人能确定新任主教练达斯蒂·梅——他曾在密歇根大学执教过约翰逊——对这个选择有多大的影响力,而且独行侠队当时还有其他几个不错的选择。约翰逊是密歇根三人组中年纪最小、最不耀眼的那个,独行侠队最终选择了他,这足以说明很多问题。
尽管当时选秀板上还有潜力上限更高的选择——尤其是内特·阿门特 (Nate Ament) 和阿代·马拉,我认为他们对独行侠来说是很有趣的适配人选——但约翰逊是一个契合球队文化的选择,他能匹配库珀·弗拉格的比赛强度,并帮助独行侠立即赢下比赛。
哪支球队选到了你最欣赏的选秀班级?
亚特兰大老鹰队
老鹰队是最令我感到振奋的球队,他们得到了金斯顿·弗莱明斯 (Kingston Flemings) (第八顺位)和祖比·埃吉奥福 (Zuby Ejiofor) (第二十三顺位)。随着亚特兰大继续打造一支常胜之师,这两名球员将提升球队在强度和韧性方面的标准。
但我也必须指出,我认为各支球队普遍选得很好——我没有看到任何违背常理的决定。
选秀大会结束后的第二天,联盟高管们在热议什么?
我捕捉到的一个有趣消息是,洛杉矶快船队在用第五顺位选中基顿·瓦格勒 (Keaton Wagler) 之前,显然一直在接听交易电话。我的理解是,亚特兰大老鹰队和孟菲斯灰熊队都在追逐这个签位。
然而,各队真的很喜欢这次选秀——并且高度珍视他们的乐透签——所以快船队的要价理所当然地很高。快船队最终坚持己见选择了瓦格勒,我相信这是一个正确的选择。他会是达里厄斯·加兰身边一个非常出色的搭档。
今年的首轮选秀只出现了几笔小交易。我们应该预期这种趋势会持续下去吗?
最终,乐透区内没有任何交易,因为各队都爱上了前十四顺位中可选的潜力新星。所有的人员变动都发生在第十五顺位之后,各队开始追逐特定球员,而孟菲斯灰熊队和纽约尼克斯队则玩起了积累未来资产的游戏。
2025年的乐透区也没有任何交易——高顺位选秀权本来就很少易手。但我很好奇这种情况在2027年会是什么样子,届时选秀前景会非常平均,而且这届选秀的球员质量可能不会那么强。
五年后,我们都会纳闷为什么 ____________ 会在选秀中滑落。
小克里斯·塞纳克 (Chris Cenac Jr.)
市场行情完全没有对他有利,几支季后赛球队在他之前选择了经验丰富的大个子球员。他最终在第二十七顺位被波士顿凯尔特人队选中。凯尔特人队近年来在培养非乐透区新秀并让他们逐步融入角色方面做得非常出色。
身高6英尺11英寸的塞纳克有能力成为一名有用的NBA球员,而凯尔特人队会帮助他确立自己的赛场定位。
现在就下判断:谁将赢得NBA年度最佳新秀?
卡梅伦·布泽尔 (Cameron Boozer),孟菲斯灰熊队
这位探花秀拥有迄今为止最清晰的途径来获得产出、上场时间以及核心角色。这将会是一场有趣的竞争,但基于球队状况和NBA准备程度,我会说他是最热门的人选。
现在就下判断:哪些球员将入选NBA最佳新秀一阵?
我的选择将会相当常规,但这五位前七顺位的新秀都有机会打出非常出色的赛季:
F AJ·迪班萨 (AJ Dybantsa),华盛顿奇才队
F 卡梅伦·布泽尔 (Cameron Boozer),孟菲斯灰熊队
F 凯莱布·威尔逊 (Caleb Wilson),芝加哥公牛队
G 达林·彼得森 (Darryn Peterson),犹他爵士队
G 小达柳斯·阿卡夫 (Darius Acuff Jr.),萨克拉门托国王队
你最感兴趣追踪的落选秀是哪位?
奥斯卡·克拉夫 (Oscar Cluff),他将代表休斯顿火箭队参加夏季联赛,最终应该值得一份两年的合同。
我不太理解为什么他会普遍缺乏关注:他身体强壮,效率很高,身高6英尺11英寸,而且联盟明显又在重新向重视优秀大个子球员的趋势倾斜。可以把克拉夫看作一名类似约纳斯·瓦兰丘纳斯或阿隆·贝恩斯类型的球员,他最终可能作为一名功能型角色球员,在替补席上发挥价值。我毫无理由地喜欢上赛季看他在普渡大学打球,他场均能得到10.6分和7.5个篮板。
对五年后的这届新秀做一个预测:
前四顺位的所有球队都会觉得他们做出了正确的决定。
虽然相比迪班萨,我更偏爱彼得森,但在奇才队顶薪续约特雷·杨之后,适配性因素对他们至关重要,我理解这个逻辑。彼得森、布泽尔以及凯莱布·威尔逊 (芝加哥,第四顺位)最终都落脚于非常重视他们技术特点的组织,并且拥有即时的、清晰的获得上场时间的路径。
即使是对最出色的潜力股来说,要想最大化潜力,依然离不开去到正确的地方,我很有信心他们最终都会成才。
你对这届选秀最重要的总体结论是什么?
我们看到,在整个首轮选秀过程中,数据分析的影响力比以往任何时候都要大。像埃布卡·奥科里 (Ebuka Okorie) (底特律活塞,第十七顺位)、克里斯蒂安·安德森 (Christian Anderson) (夏洛特黄蜂,第十八顺位) 和艾伦·格雷夫斯 (Allen Graves) (多伦多猛龙,第十九顺位) 这样的球员,正是这一趋势的直接结果,他们在选秀过程中行情上涨。
那些更符合“肉眼观感”的球员,比如小拉巴隆·菲隆 (Labaron Philon Jr.) (费城76人,第二十二顺位)和卡梅伦·卡尔 (Cameron Carr) (洛杉矶湖人,第二十四顺位) 则滑落到了二十顺位左右。超级高效但身材敦实的控球后卫布鲁斯·桑顿 (Bruce Thornton) 是休斯顿火箭队向上交易,不惜代价在第三十一顺位选中的球员。尽管预测性选秀模型的力量还不足以让布泽尔当选状元,但这是一个会持续下去的趋势。
我还认为,很明显大个子球员回来了。像约翰逊、马拉、埃吉奥福、汉内斯·施泰因巴赫 (Hannes Steinbach) (夏洛特,第十四顺位) 以及小塔里斯·里德 (Tarris Reed Jr.) (圣安东尼奥,第二十六顺位) 这些强硬、可靠、能以不同方式稳定球队的球员行情上涨,恰恰说明了现在球队重视的是什么。
多伦多和圣安东尼奥在前二十顺位分别用格雷夫斯和昆坦斯碰运气,而马刺队随后又用里德加倍押注。我们看到,球队需要优质的大个子才能在季后赛中取胜,而这届新秀中这样的大个子并不多。这种稀缺性在过去几个月里这些球员选秀行情飙升的过程中得到了体现。
由生成式人工智能翻译,译文内容可能不准确或不完整,以原文为准。
点击查看原文:2026 NBA draft recap: Best picks, execs buzz, ROY prediction
2026 NBA draft recap: Best picks, execs buzz, ROY prediction

The 2026 NBA draft might be over, but that doesn’t mean we have to stop talking about it. While the lottery didn’t offer many surprises – I hit the first eight picks in my final mock draft – this was a deep and interesting class, and there were a few compelling themes throughout.
The first: There were zero trades in the lottery. It’s clear teams really liked this class and valued taking the top guys on their boards instead of acquiring future assets. That trend might not change with the new lottery system coming in 2027.
Another theme: The NBA is valuing big men again.
Which team had my favorite pick – in the top 10 and outside it? Which team drafted the best class? What are execs buzzing about? And which players will be named first-team All-Rookie? I’ve spent years studying these prospects, and I have a few opinions about how things turned out. Let’s dig into the fallout of this draft by answering 13 big questions:
Jump to a topic:
Favorite picks | Ideal situation | Best value
Biggest surprise | Top class | Execs buzz
Where were the trades? | ROY pick
All-Rookie team | Undrafted underdog
Big prediction | Overall takeaway
What was your favorite pick of the entire draft?
Let’s separate this into two categories. My favorite high-profile pick was Darryn Peterson to the Utah Jazz at No. 2.
I would have taken him first, so it’s hard not to like this outcome for the Jazz. I’ve explained this plenty – check out my writeup on him after Round 1. He’s going to get right and be extremely good.
My favorite pick outside the top 10 was Aday Mara to the Oklahoma City Thunder at No 12.
Color me fascinated by how the chess match between OKC and San Antonio is going to evolve over the next few seasons. I enjoyed watching it unfold in the draft. I don’t think it’s a coincidence both teams loaded up on size. Mara was the only prospect in the class who could give the Thunder the type of lineup they didn’t already have. He will give them more size and skill at center, and they have the depth to optimize his minutes.
What was your favorite value pick?
Jayden Quaintance to the San Antonio Spurs at No. 20.
I liked what the Spurs did from an upside perspective. Quaintance confirmed to reporters this week that he will need another surgery to repair his injured right knee after tearing an ACL in February 2025. Multiple teams told me during the predraft process that he might end up having to miss all of next season. But he’s a player who scouts rave about, with excellent physical skills and defensive upside. The healthy version of him is exactly what the Spurs need, but there’s no guarantee he will be healthy soon.
There are a lot of ways this can break since an injury recovery is hard to predict. But if this works out, San Antonio will have a stellar long-term frontcourt pairing, and Quaintance could also prop up the Spurs defense with Victor Wembanyama off the floor. It’ll be a while before we know for sure, but this was the correct gamble for a team that can afford the risk.
Which player landed in the ideal situation to maximize his talent?
Yaxel Lendeborg to the Golden State Warriors at No. 11.
In a way, Lendeborg was predestined to land on a winning team, purely due to his age (he will turn 24 in September). But if the Warriors are going to have a chance to win big, they’ll sorely need him at his best since he will immediately be their best option at the other forward slot next to Draymond Green.
We should know quickly if this pick is going to work out, but he’s exactly what they need on paper.
Which pick most surprised you?
Morez Johnson Jr. to the Dallas Mavericks at No. 9.
This was one of the few picks I didn’t see coming. I actually liked how shrewd it was for Dallas, though. No one was sure of the level of influence new coach Dusty May – who coached Johnson at Michigan – would have on this pick, and there were several good options available for the Mavericks. It should tell you plenty that Johnson, the youngest and least flashy of the Michigan trio, was the player Dallas selected.
While there were bigger upside swings on the board – Nate Ament and Aday Mara in particular were fits I thought were interesting for the Mavericks – Johnson was a culture pick who will match Cooper Flagg’s intensity and help Dallas win games right away.
Which team drafted your favorite class?
Atlanta Hawks
The Hawks were the team that most inspired me, adding Kingston Flemings (No. 8) and Zuby Ejiofor (No. 23), two players who will raise the bar for intensity and toughness as Atlanta continues to configure a winner.
But I should note that I thought teams generally drafted well – I didn’t see any decisions that defied logic.
What are execs in the league buzzing about the day after the draft?
One interesting thing I caught wind of is that the LA Clippers were apparently taking calls up until they used the No. 5 pick on Keaton Wagler. My understanding is that the Hawks and Memphis Grizzlies were in pursuit.
However, teams really loved this draft – and highly valued their lottery picks – and LA’s asking price was justifiably high. The Clippers stood pat with Wagler, who I believe was the correct pick. He’ll be an outstanding fit next to Darius Garland.
Round 1 featured only minor trades this year. Should we expect that trend to continue?
There were ultimately no trades within the lottery because teams loved the prospects available in the top 14. All the movement happened after No. 15, as franchises began chasing specific players, and Memphis and the New York Knicks played the asset accumulation game.
There were no trades in the 2025 lottery either – top picks simply don’t change hands that often. But I’m curious how this will look in 2027, with the draft landscape very flat and the draft class not likely to be as strong.
In five years, we’re all going to wonder why ____________ fell in the draft.
Chris Cenac Jr.
The market simply didn’t go his way, with several playoff teams opting for veteran bigs ahead of him. He landed at No. 27 with the Boston Celtics, who have done a fantastic job of developing non-lottery picks in recent years and easing them into roles.
The 6-foot-11 Cenac has the ability to be a useful NBA player, and the Celtics will help him develop an identity.
Call it now: Who will win NBA Rookie of the Year?
Cameron Boozer, Memphis Grizzlies
The No. 3 pick has by far the clearest path to production, minutes and a featured role. This will be a fun race to track, but I would call him the favorite based on situation and NBA-readiness.
Call it now: Which players will be named to the NBA All-Rookie first team?
My picks will be pretty chalky, but all five of these top-seven picks have a chance at outstanding seasons:
F AJ Dybantsa, Washington Wizards
F Cameron Boozer, Memphis Grizzlies
F Caleb Wilson, Chicago Bulls
G Darryn Peterson, Utah Jazz
G Darius Acuff Jr., Sacramento Kings
Which undrafted player are you most interested to follow?
Oscar Cluff, who is going to play summer league with the Houston Rockets, should eventually be worth a two-year deal.
I don’t totally understand the general lack of interest in him: He’s physical, productive, 6-foot-11 and the league is clearly tilting back toward teams valuing good bigs. Think of Cluff as a player similar to Jonas Valanciunas or an Aron Baynes-type who could eventually have value as a niche role player off the bench. I irrationally enjoyed watching him last season at Purdue, where he averaged 10.6 points and 7.5 rebounds.
Make one prediction about this class five years from now:
All of the top four teams walk away feeling like they made the right decisions.
While I preferred Peterson to Dybantsa, the fit factor was critical for the Wizards after they paid Trae Young, and I don’t question the logic. Those two, Boozer and Caleb Wilson (Chicago, No. 4), wound up in organizations that strongly value their skills and have immediate, clear paths to playing time.
Even for the best prospects, maximizing potential still has to do with landing in the right spot, and I’m confident they’ll all pan out.
What is your top overarching takeaway from this draft?
We’re seeing the influence of analytics more than ever up and down the first round. Players such as Ebuka Okorie (Detroit Pistons, No. 17), Christian Anderson (Charlotte Hornets, No. 18) and Allen Graves (Toronto Raptors, No. 19) rose during the process as a direct result of that.
Flashier eye-test players such as Labaron Philon Jr. (Philadelphia 76ers, No. 22) and Cameron Carr (Los Angeles Lakers, No. 24) slipped into the 20s. Super-efficient but stout point guard Bruce Thornton was a player Houston traded up to make sure they got at No. 31. While the power of predictive draft models wasn’t enough to get Boozer drafted No. 1, this is a trend that’s here to stay.
I also think it’s clear that big men are back. The rise of Johnson, Mara, Ejiofor, Hannes Steinbach (Charlotte, No. 14) and Tarris Reed Jr. (San Antonio, No. 26) – tough, reliable players who stabilize teams in different ways – goes to show what teams now value.
Toronto and San Antonio threw darts on Graves and Quaintance in the top 20, and the Spurs doubled down with Reed. We’re seeing that teams need quality bigs to win in the playoffs, and there just weren’t that many of them in this class. That scarcity was reflected as those players moved up the board over the past few months.
By Jeremy Woo, via ESPN