By Zach Harper | The Athletic, 2026-02-27 15:09:06
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开启周五的最佳方式是观看八分钟 90 年代“我爱这比赛 (I love this game)”的 NBA 经典广告。我为你找到了链接。不过，能不能帮个忙先读完这期简报？如果你能这么做就太好了。谢谢。
“主宰”艾顿？
先生，你可不是卡佩拉
“他们想把我变成克林特·卡佩拉。我才不是什么克林特·卡佩拉！”
这是德安德烈·艾顿 (Deandre Ayton) 昨天在社交媒体上广为流传的一段话。你可能在群聊里见过，也可能在某个搬运号的配图中看过。这位洛杉矶湖人队的中锋兼前状元秀，因为将自己与休斯顿火箭队的替补中锋（前首轮 25 号秀）卡佩拉相提并论而成为了互联网上的笑柄。网友们倒是很认同艾顿的话——只不过认同的方式并非他所希望的那样。
这段引言出自 ESPN 的一篇报道，文章坚称湖人本赛季的成败将取决于艾顿在场上的表现。我并不认同，这点我们稍后再谈。艾顿是在周二湖人惜败奥兰多魔术后，在更衣室媒体采访结束后走向浴室时说出这番话的。在媒体镜头前，他给出了一个关于“球权带动能量”的职业回答，以此解释他为何能交出 21 分 13 个篮板的数据。但他的真实想法是在避开媒体时表达的，只不过声音大到足以让旁人听见。
在职业生涯的表现上，克林特·卡佩拉 (Clint Capela) 绝对比艾顿更出色。 卡佩拉曾两次获得年度最佳防守球员投票，生涯场均贡献 11 分 10 篮板。艾顿的生涯场均数据为 16 分 10 篮板，但他每场比卡佩拉多出手四次。然而，卡佩拉始终清楚自己需要扮演的角色；而艾顿显然还没搞明白。
据报道，湖人一直在设法满足艾顿的自尊心。这可能是为了让他尽可能保持专注，因为这一直是他职业生涯中的一个难题：
“湖人队也在迎合这种自尊心：篮球运营总裁兼总经理罗伯·佩林卡 (Rob Pelinka) 特意定制了一件黑色 T 恤，上面印着一半是狮子脸、一半是艾顿脸的金边图案，并送给了这位 27 岁的球员。训练人员在赛前会用运动胶带缠住艾顿的水壶，并用黑笔在上面写着‘DA 的活力神水——喝掉它，释放野兽’。”
这段文字读起来就像是一个被毙掉的《基和皮尔》(Key and Peele) 喜剧短剧。讽刺的是，昨天这段语录在网上爆火时，恰逢艾顿表现最糟糕的一天。这位自封绰号为“主宰艾顿 (DominAyton)”的球员，在负于老东家太阳队的比赛中，上场 23 分钟仅得 2 分 4 篮板。他在场时湖人净负 24 分，而最终他们仅输了 3 分。反观卡佩拉（现在只是火箭队二度效力的角色球员），在火箭取胜的 17 分钟里贡献了 4 分、6 篮板、3 助攻和 4 盖帽。当卡佩拉在场时，休斯顿的正负值为零。
我之所以不认为艾顿会成为湖人本赛季的变数，是因为湖人已经彻底“凉了”。他在场时（净效率值 -1.9）的表现甚至不如他不在场时（+0.4）。尽管湖人目前战绩为 34 胜 24 负，但他们仍在努力寻找状态，而球队的口号一直是随着核心球员伤愈复出，情况会好转。
问题在于，当队内最强的三名球员——勒布朗·詹姆斯 (LeBron James)、卢卡·东契奇 (Luka Dončić) 和奥斯汀·里夫斯 (Austin Reaves) 同时在场时，这支球队的表现简直糟透了。 截至昨晚，他们在共同上场的 13 场比赛中，每百回合净负 8.4 分。如果再加上艾顿，这一数据会跌至 -12.5。
湖人无法找到稳定性，因为他们的防守烂得一塌糊涂，而进攻端在“最强核心”们共享球权时也显得无所适从。是的，艾顿最终可能会获得更多触球机会，并在防守端表现得更积极，但这并不能让湖人从平庸变得伟大。这只会让他们在季后赛首轮变成一个稍微难缠一点的对手。
事实上，他们真的很需要一两个像克林特·卡佩拉这样的球员。
过去 24 小时简讯
新秀失灵？ 2024 年 NBA 选秀目前尚未产生理想的结果。约翰·霍林格 (John Hollinger) 表示，这一届新秀已经走到了十字路口。
满载“武器”： 我们超级有趣的嘻哈与篮球系列的最后一期，回顾了 匡威 (Converse) 在一支广告中将多位 NBA 传奇变成说唱歌手的往事。
奇幻之城之夜。 老鹰队打算在没有舞者的情况下营造出脱衣舞俱乐部的氛围。所以这就是柠檬胡椒鸡翅之夜吗？
谢天谢地。 克里斯·波什 (Chris Bosh) 表示自己能活下来很幸运。他醒来时发现自己满身是血。
禁区猛兽。 骑士队显然觉得詹姆斯·哈登 (James Harden) 提升了球队水平。但贾勒特·阿伦 (Jarrett Allen) 本就已经处于爆发状态了。
在 Fubo 上观看 NBA 直播（免费试用！），并可通过 League Pass 观看非本地直播。
预言水晶球
三支竞争者符合关键预测标准
事实证明，有一项重要统计数据可以预测哪些球队最有可能赢得 NBA 总冠军。不，不是比尔·拉塞尔的每 48 分钟效率，虽然这在历史上也很靠谱。这项统计实际上是：一支球队是否在输掉第 20 场比赛之前赢得了第 40 场。这是菲尔·杰克逊 (Phil Jackson) 曾要求他的球队在赛季中达成的目标，斯科特·菲利普斯 (Scott Phillips) 对此进行了报道。在文章中，斯科特采访了我们最优秀的 NBA 专栏作家之一劳·默里 (Law Murray)，劳对此进行了深入研究。
“我非常相信菲尔·杰克逊创立的‘40胜先于20负’法则，”默里说，“在 NBA 历史上的 79 支冠军球队中，只有 17 支是在未能达成 40 胜先于 20 负的情况下夺冠的，占比 21.5%。此外，在三分球时代（自 1979 年以来），只有四支球队能在不符合该标准的情况下夺冠（8.7%）。
“而且过去 19 支冠军球队中有 18 支（达成了该标准）。唯一的例外是 2021 年的密尔沃基雄鹿队，即便如此，雄鹿队在总决赛中击败的也是符合该标准的菲尼克斯太阳队。”
这是一个极具压倒性的统计数据！而本赛季，只有活塞、马刺和雷霆达成了 40 胜先于 20 负。 事实上，这三支球队离 20 负还远得很。正如劳指出的，那四支在不符合标准的情况下夺冠的球队，最终都必须击败一支“40胜前不到20负”的球队才能登顶。
- 2021 年雄鹿： 总决赛击败太阳。
- 2006 年热火： 季后赛击败活塞，总决赛击败小牛。
- 2004 年活塞： 东决击败步行者。
- 1995 年火箭： 作为 6 号种子，接连击败爵士、太阳、马刺和魔术夺冠。
这四支球队当时也有一些特殊背景。扬尼斯·阿德托昆博在那支雄鹿队的 72 场比赛中只打了 61 场（他在场时球队 40 胜 21 负），这可能影响了球队达成目标的能力。热火队的沙奎尔·奥尼尔在 82 场比赛中只打了 59 场，他在场时球队战绩为 42 胜 17 负。活塞队在赛季中期交易来了拉希德·华莱士后实现腾飞。火箭队则在赛季中期引进了克莱德·德雷克斯勒。
对于本赛季未能达成标准的球队来说，丹佛掘金（考虑到尼古拉·约基奇 (Nikola Jokić) 的伤病）可能是最有希望对抗历史的球队。但掘金可能需要越过雷霆、文班亚马领衔的马刺或底特律活塞——甚至可能要击败全部三支球队——才能卫冕。凯尔特人可能会迎来杰森·塔图姆 (Jayson Tatum) 的回归，这肯定会改变他们的竞争格局。但如果我们遵循这无可辩驳的历史规律，也许你对最终冠军的猜测，真的应该落在底特律、俄克拉荷马城或圣安东尼奥。
赛况回顾
火箭力克魔术；马刺斩获 11 连胜
火箭 113, 魔术 108： 这场比赛完美诠释了为什么这两支球队在季后赛中都不被看好能走远。魔术（31胜27负）在比赛早期控制了局面，但下半场突然崩盘。而火箭（37胜21负）开局挣扎，随后依靠凯文·杜兰特 (Kevin Durant) 的 40 分以及里德·谢泼德 (Reed Sheppard) 在下半场的热火手感，才逆转了一个平庸的对手。两支球队都没有给人一种能够统治比赛的感觉。
76人 124, 热火 117： 泰瑞斯·马克西 (Tyrese Maxey) 砍下 28 分 11 助攻 5 抢断，配合乔尔·恩比德 (Joel Embiid) 的 26 分 11 篮板 4 助攻。76人（33胜26负）在最后时刻执行力更强，击败热火，距离追平排名第五的多伦多猛龙仅差一场胜差。
森林狼 94, 快船 88： 安东尼·爱德华兹 (Anthony Edwards) 拿下 31 分，森林狼（37胜23负）险胜人员不整、顽强抵抗的快船。重点是：华子在比赛还剩 42.9 秒时投进了一个高难度的后撤步三分，让明尼苏达领先 4 分。然后他对着……自己的主教练克里斯·芬奇 (Chris Finch) 喷起了垃圾话。华子赛后表示，芬奇曾告诉他在前一次投篮后应该传球。“华子体验”确实无与伦比。
马刺 126, 篮网 110： 朱利安·尚帕尼 (Julian Champagnie) 在 24 分钟内贡献 26 分、3 抢断和 2 盖帽，带领马刺（43胜16负）豪取 11 连胜。他们现在距离西部第一的雷霆仅差 1.5 个胜场。
国王 130, 独行侠 121： 普雷舍斯·阿丘瓦 (Precious Achiuwa) 砍下 29 分 12 篮板，带领状态火热的国王队（14胜47负）取得近三场比赛中的第二场胜利。独行侠（21胜37负）的两连胜被终结，遭遇惨痛失利。
黄蜂 133, 步行者 109： 布兰登·米勒 (Brandon Miller) 拿下 33 分并命中 6 记三分。孔·克努佩尔 (Kon Knueppel) 贡献 28 分并命中 8 记三分。黄蜂（29胜31负）在过去的 35 场比赛中赢下了 22 场。
老鹰 126, 奇才 96： 科里·基斯珀特 (Corey Kispert) 的复仇之战！他替补出场 28 分钟狂砍 33 分，亲手埋葬了老东家。
开拓者 121, 公牛 112： 杰拉米·格兰特 (Jerami Grant) 砍下 27 分，带领开拓者 8 人得分上双，波特兰终于为 1992 年总决赛复仇成功。正处于摆烂状态的公牛队已经遭遇 11 连胜。
鹈鹕 129, 爵士 118： 萨迪克·贝 (Saddiq Bey) 狂轰 42 分让爵士再次吞下败仗。顺便说一句，你知道锡安·威廉姆森 (Zion Williamson) 已经连续出战了 34 场比赛吗？他本场贡献了 20 分、4 篮板、4 助攻和 4 抢断。
由生成式人工智能翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
点击查看原文：Why the internet is roasting the Lakers' Deandre Ayton
Why the internet is roasting the Lakers’ Deandre Ayton
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DominAyton?
You, sir, are no Clint Capela
“They’re trying to make me Clint Capela. I’m not no Clint Capela!”
That was the Deandre Ayton quote circulating on social media yesterday. You may have seen it in a group chat. You may have seen it on an infographic from an aggregation account. The Los Angeles Lakers center and former No. 1 pick was immortalized on the internet for comparing himself to Capela, the Houston Rockets’ backup center (and former No. 25 pick). The internet agreed with Ayton — but not in the way he’d hope.
The quote came from an ESPN article asserting that the Lakers’ season would come down to Ayton’s play on the court. I disagree, but we’ll get to that in a second. Ayton said it as he walked to the showers after a media scrum in the locker room, following the Lakers’ last-second loss to Orlando on Tuesday. Ayton gave a professional answer about the ball finding energy, and that’s why he was able to find his way to a 21-point, 13-rebound game. His true thoughts came away from the media, but loud enough for them to hear.
Capela has absolutely been a better player in his career than Ayton. Capela has twice received Defensive Player of the Year votes and has career averages of 11 points and 10 rebounds. Ayton has career averages of 16 points and 10 rebounds, but he also takes four more shots per game than Capela. However, Capela has always known the role he needs to fill; Ayton simply doesn’t get it.
According to the article, the Lakers have tried to help fuel Ayton’s ego. It’s probably to keep him engaged as much as possible, which has been an issue in his career:
“The Lakers have stoked that ego, too: Rob Pelinka, team president of basketball operations and general manager, commissioned a black T-shirt with a gold screen print depicting half of a lion’s face and half of Ayton’s face that he presented to the 27-year-old. Members of the training staff wrap Ayton’s water bottle in athletic tape and write ‘DA’s Crunk Juice — Drink this to unleash the beast’ in black marker on it before games.”
This reads like a rejected “Key and Peele” sketch. Funny enough, yesterday was a terrible day for Ayton to have this quote hit the internet. The self-proclaimed and nicknamed “DominAyton” had two points and four rebounds in 23 minutes in a loss to his former Suns team. The Lakers were minus-24 in those minutes. They lost by three points. On the flip side, Capela (now just a role player in Houston in his second stint) had four points, six boards, three assists and four blocks in 17 minutes in a Rockets win. Houston had a neutral plus-minus with Capela on the floor.
The reason I don’t agree that Ayton will be the difference-maker in this season for the Lakers is that they’re already cooked. This team is worse with Ayton on the floor (minus-1.9 net rating) than with him off the floor (plus-0.4). As the Lakers have struggled to find their footing (despite a 34-24 record), the battle cry has been that they will get better because they’ve been dealing with key injuries.
The problem with that is this team is awful when their three best players (LeBron James, Luka Dončić and Austin Reaves) are on the floor together. Going into last night, they were minus-8.4 per 100 possessions in 13 games together. Add Ayton to the mix, and that drops to a minus-12.5 net rating.
The Lakers can’t find any consistency because their defense is so awful, and their offense doesn’t know what to do with their “best options” sharing the court. Yes, Ayton could end up getting more touches and then engaging defensively better, but that won’t take them from mediocre to great. It’ll just make them a slightly more difficult out in the first round.
They actually could really use a Clint Capela or two.
The last 24
Class dismissed? The 2024 NBA Draft has not produced the best results so far. John Hollinger says the class is already at a crossroads.
Loaded “Weapons:” The last installment of our super fun hip-hop and basketball series looks back on the time Converse turned NBA legends into rappers for a commercial.
Magic City Night. The Hawks are going to bring the strip club vibe without the dancers. So it’s lemon pepper wing night?
Thank goodness. Chris Bosh says he’s lucky to be alive. He woke up covered in his own blood.
Big man in the paint. The Cavs definitely feel like they upgraded with James Harden. But Jarrett Allen was already on a roll.
Stream the NBA on Fubo (**try it for free!)and catch out-of-market games onLeague Pass.
Fortune-telling
Three contenders qualify for a key predictor
Turns out there’s an important stat for projecting which teams are most likely to win an NBA championship. No it’s not Bill Russell’s Per 48 Minutes, although historically that’s a good one too. The stat is actually whether a team wins its 40th game before it loses its 20th. That was a goal Phil Jackson tried to get his teams to achieve during a season, and Scott Phillips wrote about it. In the article, Scott talked to Law Murray, one of our best NBA scribes, and Law has researched this heavily.
“I’m a strong believer of the 40-before-20 rule that Phil Jackson established,” Murray said. “Of the 79 champions in NBA history, only 17 won the title after failing to win 40 games before they lost 20 games. That’s 21.5 percent. Moreover, only four teams in the 3-point line era (since 1979) have won a championship without being a 40-before-20 contender (8.7 percent).
“And 18 of the last 19 champions (have cleared 40 before 20). The exception was the 2021 Milwaukee Bucks, and even the Bucks had to beat a 40-before-20 team in the NBA Finals in the Phoenix Suns.”
That is a pretty overwhelming statistic! And this season, only the Pistons, Spurs and Thunder have reached 40 wins before 20 losses. In fact, those three teams aren’t anywhere close to 20 losses yet. As Law also pointed out, the four teams to win the championship without being a “40 before 20” team had to get through a “40 before 20” team to eventually win the championship.
- 2021 Bucks: Beat the Suns in the finals.
- 2006 Heat: Beat the Pistons and Mavs in the finals.
- 2004 Pistons: Beat the Pacers in the East finals.
- 1995 Rockets: Beat the Jazz, Suns, Spurs and Magic to win it all as a No. 6 seed.
Those four teams also had some unique context. Giannis Antetokounmpo only played 61 of 72 games for those Bucks (the team went 40-21 with him), which probably affected its ability to win 40 before 20. The Heat saw Shaquille O’Neal play just 59 of 82 games and were 42-17 in the games he played. The Pistons traded for Rasheed Wallace midseason and took off. The Rockets acquired Clyde Drexler midseason.
For the teams that aren’t on the 40-before-20 side of things this season, Denver (with the Nikola Jokić injury) is probably best set up to fight history. But the Nuggets would likely have to get through OKC San Antonio or Detroit — or maybe even all three — to win the title. The Celtics might get Jayson Tatum back, and that would certainly change their dynamic. But if we’re sticking to this pretty overwhelming history, maybe your best guess for the eventual champion does reside in Detroit, OKC or San Antonio.
About last night
Rockets outlast Magic; Spurs win 11th straight
Rockets 113, Magic 108: This game was a perfect display for why both teams don’t seem to garner much hope for deep playoff runs. The Magic (31-27) had control of this game early, but they fell apart in the second half. Whereas the Rockets (37-21) struggled early and then needed 40 points from Kevin Durant and a hot second half by Reed Sheppard to put away a mediocre opponent. Neither team made you feel like it can figure this out.
76ers 124, Heat 117: Tyrese Maxey had 28 points, 11 assists and five steals to go with Joel Embiid’s 26 points, 11 rebounds and four assists. The Sixers (33-26) out-executed the Heat in the final minutes to move within one game of fifth place behind Toronto.
Wolves 94, Clippers 88: Anthony Edwards had 31 points, and the Wolves (37-23) barely survived a scrappy, injured Clippers squad. But the thing to know is Ant hit a ridiculous step-back 3-pointer to put Minnesota up four with 42.9 seconds left. Then he talked trash to … his own coach, Chris Finch. Ant said after the game that Finch told him to pass the ball after his previous shot. The Ant Experience is unmatched.
Spurs 126, Nets 110: Julian Champagnie had 26 points, three steals and two blocks in 24 minutes, as the Spurs (43-16) won their 11th straight. They are now just 1.5 games behind OKC for first in the West.
Kings 130, Mavs 121: Precious Achiuwa had 29 points and 12 rebounds to give the red hot Kings (14-47) their second win in their last three games. Big loss for the Mavs (21-37) to snap their two-game win streak.
Hornets 133, Pacers 109: Brandon Miller had 33 points and six made 3-pointers. Kon Knueppel had 28 points and eight made 3-pointers. And the Hornets (29-31) have now won 22 of their last 35.
Hawks 126, Wizards 96: The Corey Kispert revenge game is cliché for a reason! He had 33 points in 28 minutes off the bench to bury his former team.
Blazers 121, Bulls 112: Jerami Grant had 27 points to lead eight Blazers in double figures as Portland finally got revenge for the 1992 NBA Finals. The tanking Bulls have lost 11 straight.
Pelicans 129, Jazz 118: Another big Jazz loss thanks to 42 points from Saddiq Bey. By the way, did you know Zion Williamson has played in 34 straight games? He had 20 points, four boards, four assists and four steals.
By Zach Harper, via The Athletic