[PtR] 马刺主场不敌勇士，我们能学到什么？

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By august-bembel | Pounding The Rock (PtR), 2025-11-16 00:48:53

由生成式人工智能翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。

赛季开打十二场，马刺队取得了 8 胜 4 负的战绩。如果他们能保持这个节奏，赛季结束时将取得 56 胜 28 负的成绩——这足以在季后赛中获得主场优势。还不错，是吧？

确实不错。但马刺队或许无法一直保持两倍于失利场次的胜场数。好消息是：他们也无需如此。

在过去两个赛季，49 场胜利就足以锁定西部第六的席位；而再往前一个赛季，44 胜便已足够。对于这支球队而言，取得 44 到 49 场胜利似乎是一个可以实现的目标。

一个可能的首轮对手或许就是金州勇士队——巧合的是，马刺刚刚在主场连续两次输给了他们。如果这是季后赛，那么马刺基本已经出局了。所以，让我们用季后赛的视角来审视昨晚的这场对决。

几点观察

  • 缺乏调整：马刺在周三的比赛中没有给予斯蒂芬·库里 (Steph Curry) 足够的重视——昨晚他们同样如此。为什么他们没有持续用最好的防守者去对位他？为什么他们没有更频繁地使用包夹战术？为什么在第三节末段库里手感滚烫时，上前试图防守他的人偏偏是德阿隆·福克斯 (De’Aaron Fox)（坦白说，他防得也并不卖力）？无论你怎么看：当一名 37 岁的老将背靠背砍下 49 分时，教练组也需要成长和反思了。
  • 福克斯的防守恐怕不会再有任何“成长”了；他是进攻端的王牌，却是防守端的巨大漏洞。仅在开场三分钟内，他就两次被掩护挡死，两次漏掉了库里（之后又漏掉了好几次），还让德雷蒙德·格林 (Draymond Green) 轻松一步过掉。到了季后赛，福克斯必将成为对手的集火目标。
  • 仅看技术统计，福克斯和维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama) 都打出了不错的进攻表现：分别以 21 次和 22 次出手得到 24 分和 26 分。但问题在于，他们是否将彼此的作用最大化了。答案是：效果不错，但仍有提升空间。
  • 两人之间的挡拆——被广泛视为联盟潜在的顶级武器——实际上发生的频率并不高。尽管如此，根据 Statmuse 的数据，自从福克斯回归以来，马刺的进攻效率从 112.3 跃升了 6 个点，达到了 118.3。原因之一是：在过去四场比赛中，文班场均三分出手 8.3 次，远高于缺少福克斯的前八场比赛中的 3.1 次，并且命中率高达 42%。这非常出色。
  • 即便如此，马刺仍在经历成长的阵痛。福克斯和文班或许可以做得更多，以带动其他首发队友——但斯蒂芬·卡斯尔 (Stephon Castle) 和德文·瓦塞尔 (Devin Vassell) 也需要更主动地参与进来。这对组合共计出场 67 分钟，却仅出手 16 次。当卡斯尔持球突破时，好事就会发生；当瓦塞尔在外线远投时，同样如此。但昨晚，他们两人都没有足够频繁地发挥自己的优势。
  • 积极的一面是，朱利安·尚帕尼 (Julian Champagnie) 在替补席上提供了得分爆发力，并继续成为高阶数据的宠儿。本赛季（以及上个赛季），当他在场时，马刺的表现总是优于他不在场时，他的在场正负值已经攀升至 +7.2。他的合同廉价得令人难以置信，但如果他能保持这样的表现，马刺应该优先考虑让他在这份合同到期后，长久地身披银黑战袍。
  • 尽管如此，马刺的未来，终究系于一人之名：维克托·文班亚马。德雷蒙德·格林试图激怒他的行为就像日出一样可以预见，但文班处理此事的方式尽显风度。或许，在未来可能的季后赛对决中，他不会再让格林在最后一攻中将自己卡在身后，抢走篮板。
点击查看原文：What we learned from the Spurs’ home loss to the Warriors

What we learned from the Spurs’ home loss to the Warriors

Twelve games into the season, the Spurs sit at 8–4. If they keep that pace, they’d finish with 56 wins and 28 losses – strong enough for home-court advantage. Not bad, is it?

Not bad indeed. But the Spurs may not win twice as many games as they lose. The good news is: they don’t have to.

In the last two seasons, 49 wins were enough for the sixth seed in the West; the season before, 44 wins did the job. Landing somewhere between 44 and 49 feels doable for this team.

A likely first-round opponent could be the Golden State Warriors – incidentally, the team they’ve just lost to twice in a row at home. If those were playoff games, the Spurs would basically be gone. So let’s look at last night’s matchup through a playoff lens.

Takeaways

  • Lack of adjustment: The Spurs didn’t take Steph Curry seriously on Wednesday – and they didn’t take him seriously last night either. Why wasn’t their best defender on him consistently? Why didn’t they send double teams more frequently? Why was De’Aaron Fox, of all people, the one trying (not especially hard, to be fair) to guard Curry when he got hot late in the third quarter? However you frame it: when a 37-year-old goes off for 49 points in back-to-back games, the coaching staff has some growing up to do.
  • Fox probybly won’t “grow” any further; he’s an ace on offense and a major liability on the other end. In the opening three minutes alone he died on two screens, lost Curry twice (and several more times later) and let Draymond Green blow by him. Come playoff time, Fox is going to be an instant target.
  • Looking only at the box score, both Fox and Wembanyama had good offensive games: 24 and 26 points on 21 and 22 shots. The question is whether they maximized each other. The answer: it’s good, but there’s room for improvement.
  • The pick-and-roll between the two – widely seen as a potential league-best weapon – isn’t happening particularly often. Still, per Statmuse, the Spurs’ offensive rating has jumped by six points, from 112.3 to 118.3, since Fox’s return. One reason: Wemby has averaged 8.3 three-point attempts over his last four games, up from 3.1 in the first eight without Fox, and he has hit 42 percent. That’s excellent.
  • Even so, the Spurs are experiencing growing pains. Fox and Wemby could probably do more to involve their fellow starters – but Castle and Vassell also need to involve themselves more. The duo played 67 combined minutes but took only 16 shots. Good things happen when Castle drives; good things happen when Vassell shoots from deep. Neither leaned into their strengths often enough last night.
  • On the positive side, Champagnie provided a scoring punch off the bench and continues to be a play-by-play darling. The Spurs have been better with him on the floor than off all season (and the season’s before the current one), and his on-court plus/minus has climbed to +7.2. He’s on a ludicrously cheap contract, but if this continues, the Spurs should make it a priority to keep him in Silver and Black well beyond that deal.
  • Still, the future of the Spurs is spelled with one name: Victor Wembanyama. Draymond Green trying to get under his skin is as predictable as sunrise, but the way Wemby handled it was pure class. And maybe, in a future playoff matchup, he won’t allow Green to box him out on the final possession.

By august-bembel, via Pounding The Rock

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由生成式人工智能翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。

点击查看原文：

via Pounding The Rock