By Paul Fogerty | SpursTalk, 2025-08-22 18:59:00
由生成式人工智能翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
经过一个忙碌的休赛期，圣安东尼奥马刺队展现出了一支崛起之师的所有迹象。从激动人心的新秀选择到明智的自由球员签约，马刺似乎已经为重返季后赛做好了准备。作为NBA历史上最成功的球队之一，圣安东尼奥自2018-19赛季以来就再未踏足季后赛。
从一个客观的角度来看，我们对本赛季的马刺能有何期待？从观看比赛直播，到玩在线掷骰子游戏，再到为2025-26赛季的NBA球队预测胜场数下注，互联网的力量是无穷的。让我们来看看这些预测胜场数，分析一下马刺队目前所处的位置。
西部联盟球队预测胜场数
尽管马刺队自我们上次在赛场上看到他们以来无疑取得了进步，但西部联盟在2025-26赛季的竞争仍将异常激烈。根据博彩赔率，马刺目前预计将位列西部第八。这意味着马刺预计将需要通过附加赛来争取季后赛名额。
在预测者眼中，哪些球队排在马刺之前？毫无疑问，俄克拉荷马城雷霆队以62.5场的预测胜场数高居榜首。在上赛季常规赛豪取68胜并最终赢得总冠军后，如果雷霆下赛季没能拿下头号种子的位置，那将是巨大的意外。卫冕MVP谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大 (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander) 正值巅峰，而且雷霆队阵容深度足够，即便他们稍有松懈，也能够累积大量胜场。
休斯顿火箭队和丹佛掘金队预计将分别以55.5胜和53.5胜的战绩，位列西部第二和第三。火箭队上赛季排名第二，并且在他们众多后起之秀的阵容中又增添了凯文·杜兰特 (Kevin Durant)。而拥有超级巨星尼古拉·约基奇 (Nikola Jokic) 坐镇内线的掘金队，将再次成为一支不可忽视的力量。
安东尼·爱德华兹 (Anthony Edwards) 和他的明尼苏达森林狼队预计将以50.5胜成为四号种子。排在前七名末尾的三支球队均来自加利福尼亚州：卢卡·东契奇 (Luka Doncic)、勒布朗·詹姆斯 (LeBron James) 和他们的洛杉矶湖人队（47.5胜），斯蒂芬·库里 (Stephen Curry) 和他的金州勇士队（47.5胜），以及科怀·伦纳德 (Kawhi Leonard) 和他的洛杉矶快船队（46.5胜）。以上七支球队在2024-25 NBA赛季中，均位列西部前七。
在博彩专家眼中，紧随其后的便是马刺队。预测者们认为马刺下赛季将取得43.5场胜利。对于这支引以为傲的球队来说，这个胜场数听起来不算多，但这将是他们自2018-19赛季以来的最高胜场数。同时，这也将是自那个赛季以来，圣安东尼奥首次以超过五成的胜率结束赛季。
预计将完成附加赛阵容的球队是孟菲斯灰熊队（第九，40.5胜）和达拉斯独行侠队（第十，39.5胜）。距离季后赛版图最近的下一支球队是萨克拉门托国王队，预测胜场为36.5场。
为何马刺被看好能够进步
尽管新秀和自由球员的签约备受关注，但马刺被看好能够进步的最大原因，是维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama) 的回归。由于肩部的血凝块，这位法国天才上赛季仅出战了46场比赛。如果马刺能让他们的超级巨星打满一个完整的赛季，圣安东尼奥的胜场数自然会增加。
其次，德阿龙·福克斯 (De’Aaron Fox) 的完整赛季也必将带来帮助。在从萨克拉门托国王队被交易而来后，福克斯上赛季因接受手指手术仅为马刺出战了17场比赛。为了表示对这位明星控卫的承诺，圣安东尼奥在今年休赛期与他签下了一份为期四年、价值2.29亿美元的续约合同。
在又一轮乐透抽签的好运加持下，马刺在2025年NBA选秀中获得了榜眼签，并选中了迪伦·哈珀 (Dylan Harper)。这位青少年后卫被期望在他的新秀赛季就能产生影响。在乐透区后段，马刺选中了卡特·布莱恩特 (Carter Bryant)，他在夏季联赛中充分展示了自己巨大的防守潜力。
在自由球员市场上，马刺从波士顿凯尔特人队签下了中锋卢克·科内特 (Luke Kornet)，填补了文班亚马身后阵容的空缺。这位防守专家有望在文班亚马下场休息时，帮助马刺保持防守端的竞争力。
为了进一步增加阵容尺寸，马刺从华盛顿奇才队交易来了凯利·奥利尼克 (Kelly Olynyk)。奥利尼克为马刺带来了一位经验丰富的老将，他既能帮助球队拉开场上空间，也能在内线提供强硬度。
对马刺而言，怎样的赛季才算成功
尽管马刺球迷渴望球队重返争冠行列，但如果圣安东尼奥能够成功进入季后赛，那对这支球队来说就必须被视为一个成功。马刺已经连续六个赛季无缘季后赛，因此成为竞争者的第一步就是先体验一下季后赛的滋味。从长远来看，马刺仍然拥有一个非常年轻的核心阵容，由文班亚马（21岁）、哈珀（19岁）、布莱恩特（19岁）、斯蒂芬·卡斯尔 (Stephon Castle)（20岁）、杰里米·索汉 (Jeremy Sochan)（22岁）、德文·瓦塞尔 (Devin Vassell)（24岁）和凯尔登·约翰逊 (Keldon Johnson)（25岁）领衔。再加上27岁的福克斯，马刺拥有一个相当宽广的竞争窗口，可以用这套阵容在未来几个赛季中力争上游。在本赛季取得43或44场胜利并进入季后赛，应该会是一个让队内每个人都感到满意的结果。
点击查看原文：Are the Spurs Playoff Bound? Looking at the Betting Odds
Are the Spurs Playoff Bound? Looking at the Betting Odds
After a busy offseason, the San Antonio Spurs have all the markings of a team on the rise. From exciting draft picks to wise free agent signings, it appears as if the Spurs have put themselves in the position to once again get back to the playoffs. San Antonio, home of one of the most successful franchises in NBA history, hasn’t made the playoffs since the 2018-19 campaign.
From an unbiased perspective, what can we expect from the Spurs this season? From watching live games to playing craps online to betting on NBA win totals for the 2025-26 season, the power of the internet is unlimited. Let’s take a look at those projected win totals to figure out where the Spurs stand.
Projected Win Totals for Western Conference Teams
While the Spurs have undoubtedly improved since we last saw them on the court, the Western Conference will remain highly competitive in the 2025-26 season. According to the betting odds, the Spurs are currently expected to finish eighth in the West. That means that the Spurs are projected to be forced to make the playoffs via the Play-in Tournament.
Who is ahead of the Spurs in the eyes of prognosticators? To nobody’s surprise, the Oklahoma City Thunder are at the top of the pile with 62.5 projected wins. After winning 68 regular season games last season and going on to win the championship, it’d be a massive surprise if OKC isn’t the first seed next season. Reigning MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is in his prime and the Thunder have the depth to rack up the wins, even if they take their foot off the gas.
The Houston Rockets and Denver Nuggets are projected to finish second and third in the standings in the West, with 55.5 and 53.5 wins respectively. The Rockets finished second last season and have added Kevin Durant to a stable of up-and-coming youngsters. The Nuggets, with superstar Nikola Jokic in the middle, will again be a force to be reckoned with.
Anthony Edwards and the Minnesota Timberwolves are projected to be the fourth seed with 50.5 wins. To round out the top seven, the next three teams are out of the state of California: Luka Doncic, LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers (47.5 wins), Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors (47.5 wins), and Kawhi Leonard and the Los Angeles Clippers (46.5 wins). All seven of the above teams finished in the top seven in the West in the 2024-25 NBA season.
Next up in the eyes of the betting experts are the Spurs. Prognosticators have the Spurs finishing with 43.5 wins next season. That doesn’t sound like a ton of wins for this proud franchise, but it’d mark the most wins since the 2018-19 season. It’d also be the first time since that season that San Antonio finishes with a record above .500.
Completing the Play-In Tournament is projected to be the Memphis Grizzlies in the ninth seed with 40.5 wins and the Dallas Mavericks in tenth seed with 39.5 wins. The next closest team to the playoff picture is the Sacramento Kings with 36.5 wins.
Why the Spurs are Expected to Improve
While the draft picks and free agent signings get a lot of attention, the biggest reason why the Spurs are expected to improve is the return of Victor Wembanyama. A blood clot in his shoulder limited the French phenom to only 46 games last season. If the Spurs can get a full season out of their superstar, San Antonio’s win total will naturally increase.
Secondly, a full season out of De’Aaron Fox is bound to help. After being acquired from the Sacramento Kings, Fox only played 17 games for the Spurs last season before undergoing finger surgery. To show their commitment to the star point guard, San Antonio signed him to a four-year, $229 million contract extension this offseason.
After another round of lottery luck, the Spurs moved up to the second pick in the 2025 NBA Draft and selected Dylan Harper. The teenage guard is expected to make an impact during his rookie season. Later in the lottery, the Spurs picked Carter Bryant, who illustrated his vast defensive upside during summer league.
In free agency, the Spurs filled the hole in their roster behind Wembanyama by signing center Luke Kornet away from the Boston Celtics. The defensive expert is expected to help the Spurs remain competitive defensively when Wembanyama is on the sidelines.
Adding in even more size, the Spurs acquired Kelly Olynyk from the Washington Wizards. Olynyk gives the Spurs a veteran who can help space the court while also providing toughness in the middle.
What Would be a Successful Season for the Spurs
While Spurs fans are itching for a return to championship contention, if San Antonio is able to make it to the playoffs, that would have to be considered a success for the franchise. The Spurs have missed the playoffs the last six seasons so the first step to being a contender would be to get a taste of the postseason. In the big picture, the Spurs still have a really young core headlined by Wembanyama (21), Harper (19), Carter (19), Stephon Castle (20), Jeremy Sochan (22), Devin Vassell (24) and Keldon Johnson (25). Add in the 27-year-old Fox and the Spurs have a wide open window to compete with this squad for a handful of seasons. Winning 43 or 44 games this season and making the playoffs should be an outcome that makes everyone in the organization smile
By Paul Fogerty, via SpursTalk