By Tom Orsborn, Staff writer | San Antonio Express-News (SAEN), 2025-06-21 12:04:58
由生成式人工智能翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
2024年11月30日星期六，在拉斯维加斯举行的NCAA大学篮球比赛上半场，罗格斯大学后卫迪伦·哈珀 (Dylan Harper) (2号) 在德州农工大学后卫曼尼·奥巴塞基 (Manny Obaseki) (35号) 和德州农工大学前锋安德森·加西亚 (Andersson Garcia) (11号) 的防守下投篮。哈珀被广泛认为是圣安东尼奥马刺队将在周三的2025年NBA选秀大会上用榜眼签选中的球员。
谈到2025年NBA选秀的状元签，毫无悬念可言。
许多预测者也相信，榜眼签的归属将同样是意料之中。
就像两年前马刺队拥有状元签，维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama) 是毫无疑问的选择一样，选秀专家们认为，在达拉斯独行侠队于周三晚间做出首选后，马刺队应该选择哪名球员，将不会有任何争议。
独行侠队几乎可以肯定会选择杜克大学前锋库珀·弗拉格 (Cooper Flagg)。大多数观察家也认为，榜眼签同样不会出人意料。
一份又一份模拟选秀榜单都显示马刺队将选中罗格斯大学后卫迪伦·哈珀。尽管这支球队已经拥有达龙·福克斯 (De’Aaron Fox) 这位爆发力十足的老将和2024-25赛季年度最佳新秀斯蒂芬·卡斯尔 (Stephon Castle) 等深度后场，存在位置重叠的担忧，但评论员们认为，哈珀的高上限潜力不容错过。
ESPN的乔纳森·吉沃尼 (Jonathan Givony) 写道：“大多数球探认为，哈珀在本次选秀中处于一个独特的梯队，是毫无争议的第二号新秀，这足以打消马刺队可能对他与达龙·福克斯和斯蒂芬·卡斯尔后场搭档不完美，以及明显缺乏外线投射能力方面的顾虑。”
这位身高6英尺6英寸、体重215磅的19岁新泽西人，拥有一套NBA球队梦寐以求的技术组合。他擅长创造投篮机会、突破、篮下终结和组织进攻，这种全面的能力让他被拿来与底特律活塞队的凯德·坎宁安 (Cade Cunningham) 进行比较。凯德·坎宁安这位6英尺6英寸的底特律后卫在上赛季入选了全明星赛，并在活塞队以状元签选中他四年后，场均贡献26.1分、9.1次助攻和6.1个篮板。
鉴于以上种种，不难理解为何马刺队迄今为止对上个月他们在乐透抽签中获得的榜眼签的交易报价不感兴趣。
吉沃尼写道：“试图与马刺队进行交易谈判的竞争对手球队，普遍认为他们不太可能向下交易或放弃榜眼签；圣安东尼奥似乎对能引进哈珀这种级别的天才感到兴奋，并愿意保持耐心，把阵容构建的问题留到以后再解决。”
他补充道：“获得这类球员的挑战性，使得很难想象马刺队最终会放弃引进哈珀的机会。”
《今日美国》的布莱恩·卡尔布罗斯基 (Bryan Kalbrosky) 和许多其他人与吉沃尼一道表示，如果马刺队不交易这个签位，那么最明智的选择就是选中哈珀。
卡尔布罗斯基写道：“尽管如果马刺队愿意兜售这个签位，他们可能会有很多追求者，但除非能换来扬尼斯·阿德托昆博 (Giannis Antetokounmpo)，否则进行交易并不值得，而且这样的交易看起来越来越不太可能。”“相反，他们可以得到一位具有真正明星潜力的球员，与文班亚马配对。”
Yahoo.com的凯文·奥康纳 (Kevin O’Connor) 也认为哈珀是马刺队的选择。
奥康纳写道：“哈珀是一名身体强壮的左手双能卫，家族有NBA背景，他的父亲罗恩·哈珀 (Ron Harper) 在作为角色球员赢得五次总冠军之前，也曾是场均20分、5篮板、5助攻的球员。”“和他的父亲一样，哈珀拥有较高的下限，具备通过技术、沉着和组织进攻本能来掌控比赛节奏的能力。然而，由于他的跳投存在疑问，他并非达龙·福克斯和斯蒂芬·卡斯尔身边的理想搭档。”
马刺队上赛季以34胜48负的战绩收官，将他们队史最长的季后赛荒延续到了六个赛季。球队最大的弱点之一就是缺乏稳定的外线威胁，无法为文班亚马拉开空间。奥康纳在他的模拟选秀和另一篇长文中都强调，引进哈珀对改变这一现状帮助不大。
考虑到这一点，奥康纳在马刺队选中哈珀的预测上稍微做了一些保留，他表示如果马刺队选择不同的方向，那将是因为他们需要一名射手。
奥康纳写道：“哈珀在罗格斯大学大一时，他的接球投篮三分命中率只有36.8%，运球后跳投命中率更是只有28.7%。”“达龙·福克斯和斯蒂芬·卡斯尔也都是以内线进攻为主的后卫，前场的杰里米·索汉 (Jeremy Sochan) 也是如此。马刺队到底能把多少个投篮不稳定的球员放在文班亚马身边呢？”
对于马刺球迷来说，首轮的其余部分可能会更具吸引力。
马刺队是唯一一支拥有两个乐透签的球队，他们在2022年德章泰·穆雷 (Dejounte Murray) 的交易中从亚特兰大老鹰队得到了第14号签。考虑到他们对射手和一名能支援文班亚马的内线球员的需求，他们很可能正在探索第14号签的多种选择，包括交易它以补充一名老将或更多的未来选秀资产。
马刺队可能一直在关注的一名老将是布鲁克林篮网队前锋卡梅隆·约翰逊 (Cam Johnson)，他上赛季场均得到生涯新高的18.8分，三分命中率达到39.0%，使其生涯平均命中率为39.2%。
如果马刺队保留第14号签，希望选中另一名年轻球员与文班亚马、斯蒂芬·卡斯尔和预计将加盟的迪伦·哈珀一同成长，那么该签位的模拟选秀热门人选包括亚利桑那大学后卫卡特·布莱恩特 (Carter Bryant) 和康涅狄格大学前锋利亚姆·麦克尼利 (Liam McNeeley)。其他可能性还包括法国前锋诺阿·埃森格 (Noa Essengue) 和乔治亚大学前锋阿萨·纽维尔 (Asa Newell)。
马刺队还拥有一个次轮签，总第38顺位。
Spurs general manager Brian Wright fields questions from the media at the Victory Capital Performance Center following the first round of the 2024 NBA Draft on Wednesday, June 26, 2024. NBA mock drafts overwhelmingly have Wright and the Spurs selecting Rutgers freshman guard Dylan Harper with the No. 2 overall pick in the 2025 NBA Draft on Wednesday.
点击查看原文：NBA Draft experts certain Spurs select Dylan Harper with No. 2 pick
NBA Draft experts certain Spurs select Dylan Harper with No. 2 pick
Rutgers guard Dylan Harper (2) shoots against Texas A&M guard Manny Obaseki (35) and Texas A&M forward Andersson Garcia (11) during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Saturday, Nov. 30, 2024, in Las Vegas. Harper is widely considered to be the player the San Antonio Spurs select with the No. 2 overall pick in the 2025 NBA Draft on Wednesday.
There’s zero suspense when it comes to the No. 1 pick in the 2025 NBA Draft.
And many prognosticators believe the second selection will have a predictable outcome as well.
Much like two years ago when the Spurs owned the first pick and Victor Wembanyama was the obvious choice, draftniks believe there shouldn’t be any debate as to which player they should select after Dallas makes the first pick Wednesday night.
It’s all but certain the Mavericks will select Duke forward Cooper Flagg. And most observers believe the second pick will be just as unsurprising.
Mock draft after mock draft has the Spurs selecting Rutgers guard Dylan Harper. While there are concerns of position overlap on a team that already boasts backcourt depth in the form of explosive veteran De’Aaron Fox and 2024-25 Rookie of the Year Stephon Castle, Harper’s high-ceiling potential is too good to pass up, the pundits reason.
“Most talent evaluators consider Harper to be in a tier of his own as the draft’s clear-cut second-best prospect, overriding potential concerns the Spurs might have about his imperfect backcourt fit with De’Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle, due to a distinct lack of perimeter shooting,” ESPN’s Jonathan Givony wrote.
Standing 6-foot-6 and weighing a sturdy 215 pounds, the 19-year-old New Jerseyan has a skill set coveted by NBA teams. He’s gifted at creating shots, penetrating, finishing at the rim and playmaking, a package that has prompted comparisons with Detroit’s Cade Cunningham, the 6-6 Detroit guard who made the All-Star tournament last season and finished the season averaging 26.1 points, 9.1 assists and 6.1 rebounds four years after the Pistons selected him No. 1 overall.
Given all that, it’s easy to see why the Spurs so far haven’t been receptive to trade offers for the No. 2 pick, which they won in the lottery last month.
“Rival teams attempting to engage in trade talks with the Spurs have come away with the impression it’s unlikely they move down or off the pick at No. 2; it seems San Antonio is excited about the possibility of adding a talent of Harper’s caliber and is willing to be patient, figuring out roster construction concerns later,” Givony wrote.
“The challenge of acquiring these types of players makes it difficult to envision the Spurs passing on the opportunity to add Harper ultimately,” he added.
USA Today’s Bryan Kalbrosky and many others joined Givony in saying the smart money is on the Spurs selecting Harper - if they don’t trade the pick.
“While the Spurs could have plenty of suitors if they wanted to shop this pick, it isn’t worth it to make a move unless it could land them Giannis Antetokounmpo, and such a trade is seeming more and more unlikely,” Kalbrosky wrote. “Instead, they could get someone with legitimate star potential to pair with Victor Wembanyama.”
Yahoo.com’s Kevin O’Connor also views Harper as the Spurs’ choice.
“Harper is a big-bodied lefty combo guard with NBA blood in his veins, as the son of Ron Harper, who was a 20/5/5 guy before winning five titles as a role player,” O’Connor wrote. “Like his father, Harper has a high floor with the skill, poise and playmaking instincts to dictate the game at his pace. He isn’t an ideal fit, though, next to De’Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle because of questions about his jumper.”
One of the Spurs’ biggest weaknesses coming out of last season’s 34-48 finish, which stretched their franchise-worst playoff drought to six seasons, is their lack of a consistent outside threat to open the floor up for Wembanyama. In his mock draft and in another lengthy piece, O’Connor focused on how the addition of Harper wouldn’t do much to change things.
With that in mind, O’Connor hedged his bet a bit on the Spurs taking Harper, saying if they go in a different direction, it will be because of their need for a shooter.
“Harper made only 36.8% of his catch-and-shoot 3s and just 28.7% of his dribble jumpers as a Rutgers freshman,” O’Connor wrote. "Fox and Castle are more interior-focused guards, too, and so is Jeremy Sochan in the frontcourt. How many shaky shooters can the Spurs really put around Victor Wembanyama?”
The rest of the first round could be more intriguing for Spurs fans.
The Spurs are the only team with two lottery picks after obtaining the No. 14 pick from Atlanta in the trade for Dejounte Murray in 2022. With their need for a shooter and a big man to back up Wembanyama, they are likely exploring several options at No. 14, including trading it to add a veteran or more draft assets for the future.
One veteran the Spurs likely have been eyeing is Brooklyn forward Cam Johnson, who averaged a career-high 18.8 points last season and shot 39.0% from 3-point range, giving him a career norm of 39.2%.
If the Spurs keep the 14th pick in the hopes of selecting another youngster to grow with Wembanyama, Castle and presumably Harper, the mock draft favorites at that slot include Arizona guard Carter Bryant and Connecticut forward Liam McNeeley. Other possibilities include French forward Noa Essengue and Georgia forward Asa Newell.
The Spurs also own a second-round pick, No. 38 overall.
By Tom Orsborn, Staff writer, via San Antonio Express-News