By Jacob Douglas | Pounding The Rock (PtR), 2025-05-16 22:01:13
由生成式人工智能翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
普遍认为的选秀榜眼将为马刺队带来另一位有天赋的双能后卫。
圣安东尼奥马刺队将连续第三年在NBA选秀中获得前四顺位。幸运女神再次眷顾他们，他们在选秀顺位抽签中从第八位跃升至第二位。本次选秀普遍认为有四位顶尖新秀领衔。在前几个赛季选中维克托·文班亚马和斯蒂芬·卡斯尔之后，马刺队可以再选一位他们不断壮大的年轻核心的关键球员。
迪伦·哈珀(Dylan Harper)一直被认为是选秀中仅次于库珀·弗拉格的第二大热门。当弗拉格频频登上头条时，哈珀在罗格斯大学也度过了一个出色的新秀赛季。尽管他的球队表现挣扎，但哈珀场均得到19.4分和4次助攻，投篮命中率高达48.4%，这使他获得了十大联盟荣誉提名，并入选了十大联盟最佳新秀阵容。很难将罗格斯大学令人失望的15胜17负的赛季归咎于哈珀或他的另一位选秀前景前五的队友，艾斯·贝利。球队的整体天赋水平没有达到这个实力雄厚的联盟的水平。
尽管身处一个不太理想的环境，哈珀还是度过了一个高产的赛季。这位高大的双能后卫是前NBA球员罗恩·哈珀的儿子，并被拿来与詹姆斯·哈登和凯德·坎宁安等NBA超级巨星相提并论。他兼具终结能力、控球能力、得分能力和挡拆中的组织能力，并拥有胜任多个位置的身材。尽管人们可能会担心他在位置上与马刺队阵容重叠，但他的技术和潜力相结合，将使马刺队在选秀之夜做出选择时难以错过他。
迪伦·哈珀，罗格斯大学大一双能后卫
体测数据： 6尺4.5寸（不穿鞋），213磅，6尺10.5寸臂展
2024-2025赛季数据： 19.4分，4.6个篮板，4次助攻，48.4%投篮命中率，33.3%三分命中率，75%罚球命中率，54.6%真实命中率
球员对比： 大号版杰伦·布伦森
优势
哈珀是一位罕见的天才球员，他有潜力成为NBA的进攻引擎。他是一位精英级别的篮下终结者，在挡拆中表现出色，控球能力出色，篮球智商高，并且凭借出色的脚步以自己的节奏比赛。他爆发出了惊人的得分表现，例如在对阵圣母大学的比赛中得到36分，在对阵阿拉巴马大学的比赛中得到37分。
想要预测他能否在NBA中组织进攻，最清楚的莫过于观察他如何进行挡拆。哈珀有能力通过多种方式击败防守。当他在罗格斯大学被包夹时（这种情况经常发生），他非常擅长迅速突破包夹上篮，或者将球传出找到队友得分，或者避免失误并保持球的运转。他是一位挡拆换防后大个子的杀手，他能够利用节奏变化或假动作和油漆区周围的轴心脚运球来攻击大个子，从而在护筐者面前或绕过护筐者投篮。他的助攻数据可能不会让人眼前一亮，但哈珀作为一名大一新生，在挡拆中做出了一些高水平的判断。
哈珀进攻端最令人兴奋的部分是他在篮筐周围的终结能力。本赛季他将67.6%的篮下投篮转化为得分。这些数据通常只会在大个子身上看到。他富有创造力地使用双手寻找角度，将球挑起并送入篮筐。他很好地利用了自己的身材和力量来突破较弱的防守者。他的许多篮下终结都让我想起了杰伦·布伦森，但拥有更大的体格。虽然哈珀不是一个运动能力爆炸的运动员，不会像马刺队的卡斯尔那样用纯粹的运动能力将防守者扣飞，但他确实展现出了一定的爆发力，可以直接运球上篮。
很明显，哈珀是一位聪明的篮球运动员。尽管他在大学中的使用率很高，但他的助攻失误比为2-1（如果他的队友能够将更多轻松上篮转化为得分，这个比率会更高），失误率仅为12.7%，这甚至优于本赛季的卡斯尔和克里斯·保罗。很少看到他在进攻端做出错误的决定，或者勉强投篮。他可以通过控球或进攻端的位置选择来控制或影响防守。虽然他没有太多机会这样做，但他展示了一些不错的空切和跑位的闪光点。在防守端，他是一位积极的沟通者，有时你可以听到他在广播中对他的队友大喊。
他并不以神射手著称，但哈珀本赛季是一位高效的接球跳投投手。他命中了37%的接球跳投。他的左手投篮姿势流畅且可复制，即使它有点平，并且下半身缺乏一些高度。
弱点
哈珀非常接近拥有作为球队头号得分手的所有条件。不幸的是，他的急停跳投还远未达到及格水平。哈珀的许多中距离和远距离急停跳投都偏短。他在中距离急停跳投中的每回合得分只有0.54分。他在这些投篮中的脚步相当不稳定，平衡感也很差。他命中了一些所有距离的高级后撤步投篮，这应该会让球队乐观地认为，他总有一天会在这些类型的投篮中发展出一些稳定性。
哈珀在防守端的表现好坏参半。他不是一个在有球或无球时都积极的防守者。不要指望他能制造很多失误或锁死对方球队中最好的球员。他有时会在轮换中迟到，或者像其他年轻球员一样陷入盯球或盯人的困境。他足够高大强壮，可以自力更生，并且很有可能最终能够防守1到3号位。哈珀有潜力成为一名出色的防守者，但他在新秀赛季的表现并不稳定。
就像一些与他相提并论的球星一样，哈珀不是一个超级运动员。他并不慢或束缚于地面，但你不会看到他使用纯粹的运动能力为自己创造机会。他的横向移动速度一般，这意味着如果他在NBA中失去位置，速度更快的后卫可能会抓住他。他可以用身材和篮球智商来弥补这方面的不足，但他的运动能力将是一个因素。
哈珀需要加强他作为无球球员的能力，他在罗格斯大学没有得到很多机会来提高他在这方面的能力。当他发现自己手中没有球时，他会站着不动，等待再次拿到球。他需要成为一个更积极的跑动者，并更多地参与进攻，特别是如果他去像马刺队这样的球队。他本赛季完成了一些不错的空切，这表明在不同的环境下，他可能会在无球方面表现得更好。
与马刺队的契合度
当圣安东尼奥获得第二顺位时，人们立即担心的是哈珀在已经拥挤的后场中的位置。德阿隆·福克斯和卡斯尔是马刺队未来的核心组成部分。
做出这样的结论是可以理解的。所有三位球员都最擅长控球（尽管你可以争辩说卡斯尔在空切或直线突破方面做了很多无球工作），而且他们都不是精英级别的投手。但是NBA季后赛已经表明，同时上场多名控球手是可以接受的，而且你拥有的能够创造自己进攻机会的球员越多，当防守收紧时，你就会越有优势。
雷霆队在谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大身边安排了多名后卫，比如卡森·华莱士、阿历克斯·卡鲁索和杰伦·威廉姆斯。步行者队让泰瑞斯·哈利伯顿和安德鲁·内姆哈德并肩作战。掘金队会让拉塞尔·威斯布鲁克、贾马尔·穆雷和克里斯蒂安·布劳恩同时出现在阵容中。联盟中最好的球队都在使用多名控球手，以使对手的防守更难覆盖。
圣安东尼奥一直以来都是以拥有多名组织者，打出无私、充满传球的比赛的球队而蓬勃发展。哈珀、福克斯和卡斯尔将融入这种比赛风格。哈珀拥有打得分后卫的身材，并且有潜力在NBA中防守一些侧翼球员。虽然他在罗格斯大学没有得到大量的无球机会，但他的接球投篮数据、对比赛的高度理解和空切的闪光点表明他可以适应马刺队的体系。他和卡斯尔、福克斯的配合是否理想？不完全是，但他们都具备与其他得分后卫并肩作战的特质。
底线：马刺队需要更多的进攻天赋。他们还没有到为了一个“更契合”的球员而放弃一个有潜力成为全明星级别得分手的地步。哈珀和文班亚马可能会成为未来多年的标志性得分组合，这位罗格斯大学的后卫应该会受益于与另一位出色的左手球员福克斯并肩作战。如果圣安东尼奥队选中哈珀，他们将为文班亚马配备另一位富有创造力、聪明且令人兴奋的得分手。
种种迹象表明，哈珀将成为马刺队第二顺位的选择。ESPN的乔纳森·吉沃尼表示他有99.9%的把握圣安东尼奥将用第二顺位选择哈珀。迈克尔·C·莱特发推说马刺队对第二顺位感到满意。如果属实，哈珀应该会立即帮助马刺队重返季后赛，并为他们带来一位未来多年的出色得分手。
点击查看原文：Spurs prospect profile: Dylan Harper
Spurs prospect profile: Dylan Harper
The consensus number two player in the draft would give the Spurs another talented combo guard.
The San Antonio Spurs are selecting in the top four of the NBA Draft for the third year in a row. Luck was on their side once again as they jumped from eighth to second in a draft heavily considered to be headlined by four top-tier prospects. After grabbing Victor Wembanyama and Stephon Castle in previous seasons, the Spurs can draft another key piece of their growing young core.
Dylan Harper has been considered the second-best prospect in the draft behind Cooper Flagg all year long. While Flagg grabbed headlines, Harper also had a stellar freshman season at Rutgers. Despite his team’s struggles, Harper averaged 19.4 points and 4 assists on 48.4% shooting, earning him an All-Big Ten honorable mention and a spot on the Big Ten all-freshman team. It’s hard to pin Rutgers’ disappointing 15-17 season on Harper or his top-5 draft prospect teammate, Ace Bailey. The team’s overall talent level did not rise to the level of a stacked conference.
Despite a less-than-ideal context, Harper had a super productive season. The big combo guard is the son of former NBA player Ron Harper and has been compared to NBA superstars like James Harden and Cade Cunningham. He brings a combination of finishing, ball-handling, scoring, and playmaking in the pick-and-roll with the size to play multiple positions. While there may be concerns about his positional overlap with the Spurs roster, his combination of skills and potential will make him tough to pass on when San Antonio’s on the clock on draft night.
Dylan Harper, freshman combo-guard, Rutgers
Measurements: 6’4.5 (no shoes), 213 lbs, 6’10.5 wingspan
2024-2025 stats: 19.4 points, 4.6 rebounds, 4 assists, 48.4% FG, 33.3% 3PT, 75% FT, 54.6% EFG
Player comparison: Big Jalen Brunson
Strengths
Harper is a rare prospect who could be an offensive engine in the NBA. He’s an elite finisher at the basket, shows prowess in the pick-and-roll, has a good handle, shows a high basketball IQ, and plays the game at his own pace with some stellar footwork. He exploded for major scoring performances like a 36-point game against Notre Dame and 37 points against Alabama.
Projecting his ability to run an NBA offense is most clear when watching him operate the pick-and-roll. Harper is capable of beating defenses in a number of ways in the action. When he was doubled at Rutgers (which happened a lot) he was excellent at quickly splitting the double team to get to the basket, or passing the ball out of it to find a teammate for a bucket, or to avoid a turnover and keep the ball moving. He’s a drop defense killer, attacking big men in space with his ability to change pace or use fakes and pivots around the paint to get shots over and around rim protectors. His assist numbers won’t jump off the page, but Harper made some high-level reads in the pick-and-roll as a freshman.
The most exciting part of Harper’s offensive game is his finishing around the basket. He converted 67.6% of his shots around the rim this season. Those are numbers you’d typically see with a big man. He’s creative using both hands to find angles to flip the ball up and in. He uses his size and strength well to go through weaker defenders. A lot of his finishes around the basket remind me of Jalen Brunson, but in a bigger body. While Harper isn’t an explosive athlete who will put defenders through the basket like Castle does with the Spurs, he does show some decent burst getting straight to the rim off of one-dribble drive.
It’s evident that Harper is a smart basketball player. Despite his high usage rate in college, he had a 2-1 assist to turnover ratio (would have been much higher had his teammates converted more easy looks) and posted a 12.7 turnover rate, which would have been better than both Castle and Chris Paul this season. It’s rare to see him make the wrong decision offensively, or settle for a bad shot. He can manipulate or bend the defense with his ball-handing or positioning on offense. While he didn’t get the chance to do it much, he showed a few good flashes of cutting and relocating to the right spots off the ball. Defensively he’s an active communicator that you can sometimes hear barking at his teammates on the broadcast.
He’s not known as a sharpshooter, but Harper was an effective catch-and-shoot jump shooter this season. He knocked down 37% of his catch and shoot jumpers. His lefty form is smooth and replicable, even if its a little flat and lacking some elevation in his bottom half.
Weaknesses
Harper is oh-so-close to having the total package as a go-to scorer. Unfortunately his pull-up jump shot is pretty far off from being passable. Harper was short on a lot of his pull-ups from both mid-range and deep. He had just .54 points per possession on pull-ups in the mid-range. His footwork on those shots is fairly inconsistent, and his balance is way off. He knocked down a couple of advanced step backs from all ranges that should make teams optimistic that he’ll one day develop some consistency on those types of looks.
It’s a mixed bag defensively for Harper. He’s not an aggressive defender on and off the ball. Don’t expect him to create a lot of turnovers or lock down the opposing teams best player. He can sometimes be late on a rotation or get caught ball or man watching, like any other young player. He’s big and strong enough to hold his own, and could very well end up guarding 1 through 3 at the next level. Harper has the tools to be a plus-defender at the next level, but he was inconsistent in his freshman season.
Much like some of the stars he’s been compared to, Harper isn’t a super athlete. He’s not slow or ground bound, but you won’t see him using his sheer athleticism to create opportunities for himself. He’s got average lateral speed, which means quicker guards may be able to catch him if he’s out of position in the NBA. He can make up for some of this on both ends with size and IQ, but his athleticism will be a factor.
Harper needs some work as an off-ball player, and he didn’t get a lot of reps at Rutgers to improve that part of his game. When he found himself without the ball in his hands, he stood around a bit too much, waiting to get it back. He’ll need to be a more active mover and participant in the offense, especially if he goes to a team like the Spurs. He made some nice cuts this season, which points to that in a different context, he may perform better off the ball.
Spurs fit
When San Antonio got the second pick, the immediate concern was Harper’s fit in an already crowded back court. De’Aaron Fox and Castle are core parts of the Spurs’ future.
It’s an understandable conclusion to make. All three players are at their best with the ball in their hands (although you could argue Castle did a lot of work off the ball on cuts or straight line drives) and none of them are elite shooters yet. But the NBA Playoffs have shown that it’s okay to play multiple ball-handlers together, and the more players you have that can create their own offense, the better off you’ll be when defenses tighten up.
The Thunder play multiple guards alongside Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, like Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso and Jalen Williams. The Pacers play Tyrese Haliburton and Andrew Nembhard next to each other. Denver will run out Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray and Christian Braun in the same lineup. The best teams in the league are playing multiple ball-handlers to make themselves harder for opposing defenses to cover.
San Antonio has always thrived with teams that featured multiple playmakers playing an unselfish, pass-heavy game. Harper, Fox and Castle would fit into that style of play. Harper has the size to play off guard, and potentially defend some wings in the NBA. While he didn’t get a ton of reps off the ball at Rutgers, his catch and shoot numbers, high feel for the game and cutting flashes make it seem like he could fit into the Spurs scheme. Is the fit ideal alongside Castle and Fox? Not exactly, but they all have the traits to play alongside other scoring guards.
Bottom line: the Spurs need more offensive talent. They are not at the point where they pass on a potential All-Star level scorer for a player with a “better fit.” Harper and Wembanyama could be an iconic scoring duo for years to come, and the Rutgers’ guard should benefit from playing alongside another stud lefty in Fox. If San Antonio drafts Harper, they’ll be surrounding Wembanyama with another creative, smart and exciting scorer.
Signs point to Harper being the Spurs’ choice with the number two pick. ESPN’s Jonathan Givony said he’s 99.9% sure San Antonio will select Harper with the second pick. Michael C Wright tweeted that the Spurs are happy with the second pick. If true, Harper should immediately help the Spurs get back into the playoffs, and give them an awesome scorer for years to come.
By Jacob Douglas, via Pounding The Rock