[SpursTalk] 圣安东尼奥马刺队2025年NBA选秀预测榜 1.0

By LJ Ellis | SpursTalk, 2025-05-13 03:55:20

由生成式人工智能翻译,译文内容可能不准确或不完整,以原文为准。

圣安东尼奥马刺队保证在2025年NBA选秀中拥有两个前14顺位的选秀权。今晚中部时间下午6点,选秀抽签的结果将会揭晓,马刺队将会清楚地知道他们的选秀顺位。

在以34胜48负的战绩结束后,圣安东尼奥进入抽签,拥有第八好的机会获得前四顺位的选秀权。马刺队还将获得亚特兰大老鹰队的乐透选秀权,这是在交易德章泰·默里(Dejounte Murray)时获得的。

将马刺队自己选秀权和老鹰队选秀权的概率结合起来,马刺队有6.7%的机会赢得抽签,有7.1%的机会获得第二顺位,有7.6%的机会获得第三顺位,有8.2%的机会获得第四顺位。总而言之,圣安东尼奥有29.6%的机会进入前四。

最有可能的结果是,马刺队用自己的选秀权选择第八顺位(34.5%)或第九顺位(32.0%),用老鹰队的选秀权选择第14顺位(96.6%)。马刺队计划如何处理这两个选秀权?以下是我们本届选秀周期第一个预测榜。

1. 库珀·弗拉格(Cooper Flagg)

弗拉格是本次选秀中毫无疑问的状元人选。他是一位具有超级巨星潜力的大前锋,可以与 文班亚马 无缝衔接。马刺队能够签下弗拉格似乎好得令人难以置信——但是,在南德克萨斯州,抽签带来的奇迹并非新鲜事。

2. 迪伦·哈珀(Dylan Harper)

哈珀是一位6英尺6英寸的组织者,极有可能成为本次选秀的第二顺位——无论谁获得这个选秀权。公平地说,他独自处在弗拉格之后、本届其他球员之前的一个档次。哈珀拥有成为球星的潜力,尽管由于德阿隆·福克斯(De’Aaron Fox)和斯蒂芬·卡斯尔(Stephon Castle)的存在,球队对首席控球后卫的需求并不迫切,但圣安东尼奥仍然会非常渴望得到他。

3. VJ·埃奇科姆(VJ Edgecombe)

在贝勒大学度过了一个成功的大学一年级赛季后,埃奇科姆巩固了他作为本次选秀顶级新秀的地位。他是一位出色的运动员,对比赛有着被低估的理解。埃奇科姆的身材并不出众(在联合试训中,他很可能会低于6英尺5英寸),但他是一位非常出色的运动员,所以他的比赛风格显得很大气,并且可以适应大多数的战术体系。

4. 王牌·贝利(Ace Bailey)

贝利还很粗糙,但很难拒绝一位身高6英尺10英寸、拥有天生得分本能的侧翼球员。他应该成长为一名优秀的射手,并且至少是一名合格的防守者。贝利需要在多个方面成熟起来,但他绝对是一个引人注目的球员。

5. 特雷·约翰逊(Tre Johnson)

这位来自德克萨斯大学的球员具备了成为精英射手的所有特质。身高6英尺6英寸的他,可以命中移动中的投篮,并且立刻就能成为NBA级别的优秀地板空间型球员。他的防守将是一个疑问,但他的投篮能力将使他非常适合圣安东尼奥。

6. 孔·克纽佩尔(Kon Knueppel)

克纽佩尔身高6英尺7英寸,身材不错,并且对比赛有着很高的理解力。与约翰逊一样,克纽佩尔很有可能成为NBA级别的精英射手。他也是一位优秀的传球手,并且在球场的两端都充满竞争力。在预测他的未来时,人们主要担心的是他缺乏运动能力。

7. 卡特·布莱恩特(Carter Bryant)

布莱恩特符合马刺队典型的选秀风格。他在亚利桑那州一直默默无闻,场均仅得到6.5分,上场时间为19.3分钟。但身高6英尺8英寸的他,在防守和投篮方面都展现出了天赋。卡特甚至展现出了一些组织能力。还有很多工作要做,但人们很容易想象他成为一名非常有价值的侧翼球员。

8. 卡曼·马卢阿奇(Khaman Maluach)

虽然马刺队已经有了他们的首发中锋 文班亚马 ,但马卢阿奇将为这个位置提供急需的深度。但让他比大多数替补中锋更有吸引力的是,他有可能与 文班亚马 并肩作战。即使他身高高达7英尺2英寸,马卢阿奇在防守端也很灵活——甚至可能灵活到足以与 文班亚马 一起上场。在进攻端,他在杜克大学的罚球命中率(76.6%)足以让人抱有希望,认为他可以在未来增加一记外线跳投。

9. 卡斯帕拉斯·雅库西奥尼斯(Kasparas Jakucionis)

雅库西奥尼斯是一位来自立陶宛的6英尺6英寸的双能卫,在伊利诺伊州度过了一个非常高效的赛季。在他目前的发展阶段,他很容易犯错,而且他的运动能力不是最好的,但他全面的技术令人印象深刻。

10. 杰里迈亚·菲尔斯(Jeremiah Fears)

菲尔斯是一位来自俄克拉荷马州的6英尺4英寸的组织者,他度过了一个非常出色的大学一年级赛季。他速度很快,可以运球,并且可以在眨眼之间突破防守。菲尔斯还很粗糙,但本届选秀中很少有球员能像他一样拥有如此巨大的潜力。

11. 杰斯·理查德森(Jase Richardson)

理查德森是密歇根州立大学的一名非常高效的大一新生。对于一个青少年来说,他拥有非常成熟的比赛风格。虽然他在身材(6英尺3英寸)或运动能力方面并不突出,但理查德森知道如何打球,并且有机会成为一名可靠的进攻威胁。

12. 诺阿·埃森格(Noa Essengue)

埃森格是一位来自法国的6英尺9英寸的前锋,拥有巨大的潜力。他是本届选秀中第二年轻的球员,年仅18岁,并且他的运动能力非常出色。他需要大量的培养,但最终的结果可能会非常特别。

13. 诺兰·特拉奥雷(Nolan Traore)

特拉奥雷曾经被认为是前五顺位的人选,他是另一位拥有很高上限的法国球员。他是一位6英尺4英寸的控球后卫,速度很快,视野开阔,并且在困难情况下拥有丰富的经验。他在法国度过了一个平庸的赛季,但马刺队在评估他的发展轨迹时,可能会考虑到更大的前景。

14. 雨果·冈萨雷斯(Hugo Gonzalez)

冈萨雷斯本赛季在皇家马德里队的上场时间不多,场均只有大约10分钟。但他是一位6英尺7英寸的前锋,打着一种制胜的篮球风格。他充满活力,并且做出明智的决定。如果他能学会投篮,冈萨雷斯应该能在联盟中找到一席之地。

点击查看原文:San Antonio Spurs Big Board 1.0 for the 2025 NBA Draft

San Antonio Spurs Big Board 1.0 for the 2025 NBA Draft

The San Antonio Spurs are guaranteed to have two selections in the top 14 picks in the 2025 NBA Draft. Tonight at 6pm CST, the results of the draft lottery will be revealed and the Spurs will know exactly where they will be picking.

After finishing with a record of 34-48, San Antonio enters the lottery with the eighth best odds of landing a top four pick. The Spurs will also get the Atlanta Hawks lottery pick, which was acquired in the Dejounte Murray trade.

When combining the odds for both their own pick and Atlanta’s selection, the Spurs have a 6.7% chance of winning the lottery, a 7.1% chance of picking second, a 7.6% chance of getting the third pick and a 8.2% chance of selecting fourth. All told, San Antonio has a 29.6% chance of moving into the top four.

The most likely outcomes have the Spurs picking either eighth (34.5%) or ninth (32.0%) with their own selection and 14th (96.6%) with the pick from the Hawks. What do the Spurs plan to do with their pair of picks? Here’s a look at our first Big Board of this draft cycle.

1. Cooper Flagg

Flagg is the no-brainer No. 1 pick in this draft. He’s a big forward with superstar potential who would fit seamlessly next to Victor Wembanyama. The Spurs being able to add Flagg seems almost too good to be true — but, then again, lottery magic wouldn’t be new in South Texas.

2. Dylan Harper

Harper is a 6-foot-6 playmaker who is very likely to be the second pick in this draft — no matter who lands the pick. It’s fair to say he’s in his own tier behind Flagg but ahead of everyone else in this class. Harper has star potential and San Antonio would love to land him even though lead ball-handler isn’t a pressing need due to the presence of De’Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle.

3. VJ Edgecombe

After a successful freshman season at Baylor, Edgecombe has solidified himself as a top prospect in this draft. He’s a fantastic athlete with an underrated feel for the game. Edgecombe doesn’t have great size (he’s likely to come in shorter than 6-foot-5 at the combine) but he’s such a good athlete that he plays big and could fit most schemes.

4. Ace Bailey

Bailey is raw but it’d be very difficult to pass on a 6-foot-10 wing with natural scoring instincts. He should develop into a plus shooter and at least a decent defender. Bailey needs to mature in multiple areas but he’s definitely intriguing.

5. Tre Johnson

This product out of the University of Texas has all the markings of an elite shooter. At 6-foot-6, he can hit shots off of movement and would instantly be an above average floor-spacer at the NBA level. His defense will be a question mark but his shooting would make him a strong fit in San Antonio.

6. Kon Knueppel

Knueppel has good size at 6-foot-7 and understands the game at a high level. Like Johnson, Knueppel has a very strong chance of becoming an elite shooter at the NBA level. He’s also a good passer who competes on both ends of the court. His lack of athleticism is the main worry when projecting his future.

7. Carter Bryant

Bryant fits the mold of a typical Spurs draft pick. He flew under the radar at Arizona, averaging only 6.5 points in 19.3 minutes per game. But at 6-foot-8, he exhibited flashes of ability as a defender and shooter. Carter even showed playmaking glimpses. There’s work to be done but it doesn’t take much imagination to picture him as a very valuable wing.

8. Khaman Maluach

While the Spurs have their starting center, Maluach would provide much-needed depth at the position. But what makes him more exciting than most backup center prospects is the possibility that he could play next to Wembanyama. Even though he’s a towering 7-foot-2, Maluach is mobile defensively — perhaps even mobile enough to play with Wembanyama. Offensively, he shot free throws well enough at Duke (76.6%) to give hope that he could add a perimeter jumper down the line.

9. Kasparas Jakucionis

Jakucionis is a 6-foot-6 combo guard out of Lithuania who had a very productive season at Illinois. He’s mistake-prone at this point of his development and he’s not the best athlete, but his all-around skills are impressive.

10. Jeremiah Fears

Fears is a 6-foot-4 playmaker out of Oklahoma who had a very good freshman season. He’s fast, he can handle the ball and he can crack a defense in the blink of an eye. Fears is raw but few players in this draft have his upside.

11. Jase Richardson

Richardson was a very efficient freshman at Michigan State. He has an extremely mature game for a teenager. While he isn’t a standout in terms of size (6-foot-3) or athleticism, Richardson knows how to play the game and has a chance to become a dependable offensive threat.

12. Noa Essengue

Essengue is a 6-foot-9 forward out of France with a vast amount of potential. He’s the second youngest player in the draft at 18 and his athleticism is elite. He needs a lot of development but the end result could be special.

13. Nolan Traore

Once considered a top five pick, Traore is another Frenchman with a high ceiling. He’s a 6-foot-4 point guard who is fast, sees the floor well and has a lot of experience in difficult situations. He had an underwhelming season in France but the Spurs could consider the bigger picture when viewing the track of his development.

14. Hugo Gonzalez

Gonzalez hasn’t played much for Real Madrid this season, averaging only around ten minutes per game. But he’s a 6-foot-7 forward who plays a winning brand of basketball. He’s athletic, plays with energy and makes smart decisions. If he can learn to shoot, Gonzalez should find a spot in the association.

By LJ Ellis, via SpursTalk