By Jacob Douglas | Pounding The Rock (PtR), 2025-01-11 02:06:30
由生成式人工智能翻译,译文内容可能不准确或不完整,以原文为准。
关于马刺选秀权及他们在选秀之夜可能选择的球员的最新消息。
圣安东尼奥马刺队在经历了近 41 场比赛后,正处于 NBA 赛季中期的低迷期。马刺队的表现超过了季前赛的预期,但一段时间的糟糕表现,包括三连败,使他们的战绩跌至 18 胜 19 负,胜率低于 50%。现在还不是恐慌的时候,因为交易截止日期即将到来,在全明星周末之前有机会进行外部补强。
尽管如此,我看到越来越多的人开始关注 2025 年 NBA 选秀 的前景。圣安东尼奥看起来已经过了为乐透签摆烂的阶段,但他们的阵容仍然可能得到重大提升,因为预计在即将到来的选秀中他们将有多个选秀权。
与此同时,随着各支球队最终进入分区赛,大学篮球赛季正在升温。现在正是潜在新秀们脱颖而出的时候,人们对他们彼此之间实力的更广泛共识开始形成。现在是评估马刺在选秀之夜可能处于什么位置的最佳时机。
马刺潜在的选秀权
目前,马刺最有价值的潜在选秀权属于芝加哥公牛队。公牛队目前战绩为 17 胜 20 负,在选秀榜上排名第九。如果该签位跌出前十,圣安东尼奥将获得这个选秀权。他们需要芝加哥队进入季后赛争夺才能得到这个选秀权。由于尼古拉·武切维奇和扎克·拉文等多位芝加哥老将都卷入了交易传闻,公牛队有可能选择推倒重建并在赛季末摆烂。如果是这样的话,马刺队可能需要等到未来才能获得这个选秀权。
圣安东尼奥凭借自己的首轮签掌握着自己的选秀命运。目前,该签位预计将在第 11 顺位进入乐透区。上赛季,亚特兰大老鹰队 在乐透抽签之夜从第 10 位跃升至第 1 位。当你的名字出现在抽签中时,一切皆有可能。圣安东尼奥最近的乐透运气不错。今年夏天这种情况可能会继续下去。
说到老鹰队,由于德章泰·穆雷的交易,他们今年欠马刺一个首轮签。该签位目前预计在第 13 顺位进入乐透区。亚特兰大目前的战绩是 19 胜 19 负,看起来他们可能会进入东部联盟的季后赛。考虑到他们最近的表现,我不指望这个签位会落在乐透区。如果他们保持现状,马刺队有可能在乐透区末段拥有 3 个选秀权。
值得关注的潜在新秀
在上一期中,我们介绍了:库珀·弗拉格、康·克努佩尔、叶戈尔·杰明和特雷·约翰逊。
康涅狄格大学的锋线球员:
圣安东尼奥去年从康涅狄格大学哈士奇队的冠军阵容中获益,选中了斯蒂芬·卡斯尔(Stephon Castle)。尽管他经历了起伏,但很难说这位新秀看起来还没有为 NBA 的竞争做好准备。这很大程度上要归功于他在康涅狄格大学主教练丹·赫尔利(Dan Hurley)的指导下所做的准备。哈士奇队目前在美联社排名前 25 位中排名第 9,他们已经回到了冠军争夺者的行列。他们由两名引人注目的 NBA 潜在新秀锋线球员领衔。
新生利亚姆·麦克尼利(Liam McNeeley)在康涅狄格大学表现出色,场均得到 13.6 分和 5.8 个篮板,三分球命中率为 37.9%。麦克尼利拥有出色的身材和柔和的远投手感。他更多的是一个串联型球员,但他在攻防两端都很有身体对抗性,并且善于沟通。我不认为你会因为他有潜力而选择他,但圣安东尼奥需要更多能够投篮的双向球员。他身高 6 尺 7 寸(我认为他看起来更高一些),应该能够胜任多个位置,并且防守阵容中的高矮球员,从而让马刺在维克多·文班亚马(Victor Wembanyama)身边拥有更大的灵活性。
同样,大三锋线球员亚历克斯·卡拉班(Alex Karaban)在哈士奇队继续着他良好的表现,场均得到 15.9 分、5 个篮板和 1.7 次盖帽,三分球命中率为 41.5%。卡拉班是一名出色的防守者,尤其是在无球时作为第二护框手,而且他是一名专业的远程射手。同样,你看到的更多的是他在下一个级别的角色球员,如果马刺的某个签位顺位下滑,他们很可能在十几顺位到二十几顺位选中他。卡拉班已经在康涅狄格大学赢得了两次冠军,他可能是队里唯一一个能够完成三连冠的球员。这种血统对于一支试图赢得更多比赛的球队来说很有意义。
替补内线:
圣安东尼奥存在替补中锋的问题。扎克·科林斯和查尔斯·巴斯西都没有表现出足以保证他们获得大量替补上场时间的实力。这给马刺带来了很大的问题,他们现在不得不让文班和索汉(Jeremy Sochan)上场更多时间,导致他们在比赛后期出现一些退步。马刺需要解决这个问题,要么通过交易,要么通过选秀。
选秀中有很多有趣的内线球员可以长期填补这个空缺。杜克大学的卡曼·马鲁奇(Khaman Maluach)(8.1 分、5.6 个篮板、1.1 次盖帽)是一位运动能力强但技术粗糙的潜在新秀。马里兰大学的德里克·奎因(Derik Queen)(16 分、8 个篮板、1.1 次盖帽)是一位强壮的内线球员,他可以运球、传球和投篮,脚步也很扎实,但在防守端存在不足。乔治城大学的托马斯·索伯(Thomas Sorber)(15.1 分、8.4 个篮板、2.3 次盖帽)作为一名新生一直是一股统治力量,并且展现出三分球发展的迹象。奥本大学的约翰尼·布鲁姆(Johni Broome)(18.7 分、11.2 个篮板、2.7 次盖帽)是一位年龄较大的潜在新秀,但可能是大学篮球界最好的球员。
用首轮签选择一名替补中锋感觉很奇怪,但如果最终选中的球员能够在他巅峰时期的大部分时间里和他一起上场,那么在这个位置上进行投资可能是有意义的。在所有这些球员中,我最感兴趣的是索伯,他可能会在选秀后期被选中。他的身材和技术是马刺可以培养成一名真正强大的替补内线球员的。如果他的投篮有所发展,他甚至可以凭借他的运动能力和力量与文班亚马一起上场。
双能卫:
我最喜欢的 2025 届新秀是伊利诺伊大学新生卡斯帕拉斯·雅库西奥尼斯(Kasparas Jakucionis)。这位立陶宛球员在伊利诺伊大学无论有球还是无球都表现出色。他场均得到 16.4 分、5.6 个篮板和 5.4 次助攻,投篮命中率为 49.6%,三分球命中率为 41.4%,罚球命中率为 87.5%。他在对阵西北大学、阿肯色大学和密苏里大学等优秀 NCAA 球队的比赛中都有过精彩的表现。雅库西奥尼斯可以在三个级别得分,为队友创造机会,而且他拼尽全力。他最大的缺点是有点容易失误(场均 3.6 次),因为他试图在持球时做太多事情。
他正是马刺在进攻陷入困境时需要的那种强硬的得分型双能卫。他将非常适合与文班亚马打挡拆,并且可以与卡斯尔一起打球,组成后卫位置上一个有趣的 1-2 组合。要得到他需要一个前五顺位的选秀权,这意味着马刺要么需要乐透运气,要么在选秀日进行交易才能得到他。
如果他们在选秀后期仍在寻找一名双能卫,马刺应该关注马凯特大学的大四学生卡姆·琼斯(Kam Jones)。在泰勒·科莱克(Tyler Kolek)去年被纽约尼克斯队选中后,他承担了更大的责任。他表现出色,场均得到 19.7 分和 6.4 次助攻。随着使用率的提高,琼斯的三分球命中率有所下降(从 40.6% 下降到 34.6%),但他仍然是一位令人印象深刻的射手。凭借他的得分能力,琼斯最终可能会成为选秀中最大的惊喜之一。圣安东尼奥最终需要开始在文班亚马身边增加进攻武器。
点击查看原文:Spurs 2025 NBA Draft preview: mid-season update
Spurs 2025 NBA Draft preview: mid-season update
An update on the Spurs’ draft picks and who they might take on draft night.
With almost 41 games under their belts, the San Antonio Spurs are firmly hitting the doldrums of the NBA mid-season. The Spurs have outperformed their preseason expectations, but a stretch of poor play, including a three-game losing streak, has dropped them to below .500 at 18-19. It’s not panic time yet, as the trade deadline looms with the opportunity for external improvement heading into the All-Star break.
Still, I’ve seen more and more folks focusing on what lies ahead in the 2025 NBA Draft. San Antonio looks like it’s past the point of playing for ping pong balls, but they still could see major improvements to their roster, with multiple selections expected in the upcoming draft.
Meanwhile, the college basketball season is heating up, with teams finally getting into conference play. Now is when prospects separate themselves and a larger consensus on where they stack up against each other starts to take shape. It’s the perfect time to take stock of where the Spurs may find themselves come draft night.
Potential Spurs picks
Currently, the Spurs’ highest potential draft pick belongs to the Chicago Bulls. At 17-20, the Bulls are 9th on the board in the draft. San Antonio acquires this pick if it falls outside of the top 10. They’ll need Chicago to get into the playoff hunt to get the pick. With multiple Chicago veterans like Nikola Vucevic and Zach Lavine involved in trade rumors, there is a chance the Bulls elect to blow things up and tank toward the end of the season. If that’s the case, the Spurs will likely need to wait for this pick to convey in the future.
San Antonio controls its draft destiny with their own first-round selection. Currently, that pick is slated to go inside the lottery at 11. Last season, the Atlanta Hawks jumped from 10 to 1 on lottery night. Anything is possible when your name is in the running. San Antonio has experienced good lottery luck lately. That could continue this summer.
Speaking of the Hawks, they owe the Spurs their first-round pick this year courtesy of the Dejounte Murray trade. That pick is also headed for the lottery at 13. Atlanta is 19-19, and it seems like they could be headed for the playoffs in the Eastern Conference. I wouldn’t count on this pick landing in the lottery with how they’ve been playing. If they maintain, it’s possible the Spurs could have 3 selections in the late lottery.
Prospects to watch
In the last edition, we profiled: Cooper Flagg, Kon Knueppel, Egor Demin, and Tre Johnson.
UCONN Wings:
San Antonio reaped the benefits of the UCONN Huskies championship roster last year, selecting Stephon Castle. Despite his ups and downs, it’s hard to argue the rookie hasn’t looked ready for NBA competition. A lot of that is thanks to the preparation he received under UCONN head coach, Dan Hurley. The Huskies are back in the title conversation, currently 9th in the AP Top 25. They’ve been led by two wings who are intriguing NBA prospects.
Freshman Liam McNeeley has been great for UCONN, averaging 13.6 points and 5.8 rebounds while shooting 37.9% from three. McNeeley has a great frame and a sweet shooting touch from deep. He’s more of a connective piece, but he’s physical and communicates on both ends of the floor. I don’t think you’d draft him for his upside, but San Antonio needs more two-way players who can shoot. At 6-7 (I think he looks a bit taller) he should be able to play multiple positions and guard up and down the lineup, giving the Spurs more flexibility around Victor Wembanyama.
Similarly, Junior wing Alex Karaban has continued his streak of good play with the Huskies, averaging 15.9 points, 5 rebounds, and 1.7 blocks while shooting 41.5% from deep. Karaban is an awesome defender, especially off the ball as a secondary rim protector, and is a professional shooter with long range. Again, you’re looking at more of a role player at the next level and someone who the Spurs could probably get in the late teens to 20s if one of their picks falls down the draft order. Karaban has won two championships at UCONN and may be the only player on the team to three-peat. That’s the type of pedigree that makes sense for a team trying to win more games.
Backup bigs:
San Antonio has a backup center issue. Neither Zach Collins nor Charles Bassey have shown enough to warrant big minutes off the bench. That’s causing big issues for the Spurs who now have to play Wembanyama and Sochan more minutes than they’d like, leading to some regression late in games. The Spurs need to address this issue, either via trade or in the draft.
There are plenty of intriguing big men in the draft that could fill that need long-term. Duke’s Khaman Maluach (8.1 points, 5.6 rebounds, 1.1 blocks) is an athletic, yet raw prospect. Maryland’s Derik Queen (16 points, 8 rebounds, 1.1 blocks) is a bruising big who can dribble, pass and shoot with strong footwork, but is a defensive liability. Georgetown’s Thomas Sorber (15.1 points, 8.4 rebounds, 2.3 blocks) has been a dominant force as a freshman and shows signs of developing a three-ball. Auburn’s Johni Broome (18.7 points, 11.2 rebounds, 2.7 blocks) is an older prospect but might be the best player in college basketball.
It feels odd to spend a first-round selection on a backup center, but if it ends up being a player who can play alongside him for the bulk of his prime, it may make sense to invest in the position. Out of all these players, I’m most intrigued by Sorber who may be available later in the draft. His frame and skillset are something the Spurs could develop into a really strong backup big man. If his shot develops, he could even play alongside Wembanyama thanks to his athleticism and strength.
Combo guards:
My favorite player in the 2025 draft class is Illinois freshman Kasparas Jakucionis. The Lithuanian has been incredible on and off the ball for the Illini. He’s averaging 16.4 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 5.4 assists while shooting 49.6% from the field, 41.4% from three, and 87.5% from the free throw line. He’s had awesome games against good NCAA teams like Northwestern, Arkansas, and Missouri. Jakucionis can score at all three levels, set up his teammates and he competes like hell. His biggest downfall is that he’s a bit turnover-prone (3.6 per game), as he tries to make too much happen with the ball in his hands.
He’s exactly the type of tough-scoring combo guard the Spurs could use when they face offensive droughts. He’d be a great fit in the pick-and-roll with Wembanyama and could play well next to Castle as a fun 1-2 punch at the guard position. He’ll require a top-5 pick to get him, which means the Spurs will either need lottery luck or make a draft-day trade to go get him.
If they are still looking for a combo guard later in the draft, the Spurs should look at Marquette senior, Kam Jones. He’s taken on an even bigger role after Tyler Kolek was drafted by the New York Knicks last year. He’s been great, averaging 19.7 points and 6.4 assists. Jones’s shooting has taken a dip (going from 40.6% to 34.6% from three) with the increased usage, but he’s still an impressive shot-maker. Jones could end up being one of the biggest steals in the draft with his scoring ability. San Antonio will eventually need to start adding offensive weapons next to Wembanyama.
By Jacob Douglas, via Pounding The Rock