By Bobby Marks, 2024-09-11 20:00:00
由生成式人工智能翻译,译文内容可能不准确或不完整,以原文为准。
五年前,俄克拉荷马雷霆队用保罗·乔治交易得到谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大、五枚首轮签和两次选秀权互换权,震惊了整个 NBA。
雷霆队在本赛季成为西部联盟冠军的有力争夺者,这在一定程度上要归功于他们在选秀中收获颇丰,以及吉尔杰斯-亚历山大成长为 MVP 候选人。
快船队和雷霆队之间那笔交易的回报,为季后赛边缘球队如何通过获得多个未来首轮签和增加更多年轻球员来重建球队树立了标杆。
在那笔改变了球队命运的 2019 年交易之后的几年里,其他球队也纷纷效仿雷霆队的模式,开始积累选秀权和年轻球员。休斯顿火箭队、犹他爵士队、圣安东尼奥马刺队和布鲁克林篮网队在六笔不同的交易中获得了 22 个首轮签和七年的选秀权互换权。每支球队都至少获得了三个首轮签。
在与菲尼克斯太阳队和纽约尼克斯队的两笔独立交易中,布鲁克林队获得了九个首轮签,其中八个是无保护的。
由于所有这些交易,五支球队在未来七年内控制着高达 62 个首轮签。布鲁克林、俄克拉荷马城、犹他和圣安东尼奥占据了 30 个首轮签中的 13 个。
这些重磅交易为 2025 年 NBA 选秀大会创造了完美的风暴,届时可能会涌现出下一批球星,例如杜克大学的库珀·弗拉格、罗格斯大学的艾瑞斯·“王牌”·贝利和迪伦·哈珀,以及法国后卫诺兰·特拉奥雷。根据 ESPN 最新的 2025 年模拟选秀,这四名球员预计将进入前五名。
为了更好地了解哪些球队有望在本十年剩余时间里统治联盟的年度选秀大会,以下是我对截至 2024 年 9 月 10 日拥有最多首轮签的五支球队的选秀权储备排名。
排名第一的是圣安东尼奥,他们可能在六月份拥有四个首轮签,并有可能选择一位球星来辅佐维克托·文班亚马。
前五名以外的球队:
灰熊、鹈鹕、猛龙、魔术
勇士、湖人 | 凯尔特人、尼克斯、76人 | 更多
1. 圣安东尼奥马刺队
交易出去的关键球员: 科怀·伦纳德、德玛尔·德罗赞、德里克·怀特、德章泰·穆雷和雅各布·珀尔特尔
通过之前获得的选秀权进入圣安东尼奥阵容的球员: 凯尔登·约翰逊、布雷克·韦斯利和马拉基·布拉纳姆
获得的首轮签(12 个):
– 他们自己的全部七个首轮签
– 来自亚特兰大的两个无保护首轮签(2025 年和 2027 年)
– 来自夏洛特的乐透保护首轮签(2025 年,前 14 顺位保护)
– 来自芝加哥的乐透保护首轮签(2025 年,前 10 顺位保护;2026 年和 2027 年,前 8 顺位保护)
– 来自明尼苏达的无保护首轮签(2031 年)
– 互换权:亚特兰大(2026 年)
– 互换权:波士顿(2028 年,前 1 顺位保护)
– 互换权:达拉斯和明尼苏达中更有利的那个(前 1 顺位保护)(2030 年)
– 互换权:萨克拉门托(2031 年)
可交易的首轮签: 9 个
最有价值的首轮签: 2025 年和 2027 年来自亚特兰大的首轮签
价值最低的首轮签: 2025 年来自夏洛特的前 14 顺位保护首轮签
次轮签: 17 个
送出的首轮签: 无
对于圣安东尼奥来说,质量比数量更重要,尽管他们的首轮签比布鲁克林少了三个,但他们在我的排名中仍然位居榜首。
老鹰队 2025 年和 2027 年无保护首轮签的价值,以及在 2026 年与亚特兰大互换首轮签的权利,超过了布鲁克林积累的任何首轮签。
老鹰队上赛季赢了 36 场比赛,并在休赛期交易走了德章泰·穆雷。在特雷·杨效力期间,他们从未赢过超过 43 场比赛。
除了 2025 年来自亚特兰大的首轮签外,马刺队还可以再增加两个乐透签,与维克托·文班亚马一起加入球队——他们自己的签和来自芝加哥的前 10 顺位保护首轮签。
尽管圣安东尼奥在本赛季休赛期签下了克里斯·保罗和哈里森·巴恩斯等老将,但由于西部联盟竞争激烈,马刺队仍有可能无缘季后赛。
来自芝加哥的首轮签可能会落在乐透区的后半段。公牛队选择不与德玛尔·德罗赞签约,而是将他交易到了萨克拉门托国王队,并且他们还将后卫亚历克斯·卡鲁索交易到了雷霆队。
圣安东尼奥在 2027 年拥有来自亚特兰大的无保护首轮签,以及在 2031 年拥有来自明尼苏达的无保护首轮签。马刺队还可以在未来七年内的四年里与其他球队互换首轮签。
从 2026 年的亚特兰大开始,圣安东尼奥可以依次与波士顿(2028 年)、达拉斯或明尼苏达(2029 年)以及萨克拉门托(2031 年)互换首轮签。
马刺队的 12 个首轮签和四年的选秀权互换权,应该会加速球队的重建进程,这一进程始于 2018 年科怀·伦纳德被交易,并将以文班亚马作为球队门面继续下去。
2. 俄克拉荷马雷霆队
交易出去的关键球员: 保罗·乔治(Paul George)、拉塞尔·威斯布鲁克、史蒂文·亚当斯、艾尔·霍福德和克里斯·保罗(Chris Paul)
通过之前获得的选秀权进入俄克拉荷马城阵容的球员: 杰伦·威廉姆斯、乌斯曼·迪昂和迪伦·琼斯
获得的首轮签(13 个):
– 他们自己的全部七个首轮签
– 来自洛杉矶快船队的无保护首轮签(2026 年)
– 来自休斯顿的前四顺位保护首轮签(2026 年)
– 来自犹他的乐透保护首轮签(2025 年,前 10 顺位保护;2026 年,前 8 顺位保护)
– 来自迈阿密的乐透保护首轮签(2025 年,前 14 顺位保护;2026 年,无保护)
– 来自费城的前六顺位保护首轮签(2025 年,前 6 顺位保护;2026 年和 2027 年,前 4 顺位保护)
– 来自丹佛的前五顺位保护首轮签(2027 年,前 5 顺位保护;如果首轮签在 2027 年兑现,则 2028 年为前 5 顺位保护;如果首轮签在 2028 年兑现,则 2030 年为前 5 顺位保护)
– 互换权:洛杉矶快船队(2025 年和 2027 年)
– 互换权:休斯顿(2025 年,前 10 顺位保护)
– 互换权:达拉斯(2028 年)
注释 1: 在 2026 年,俄克拉荷马城拥有三个首轮签中更有利的两个,分别是他们自己的签、休斯顿的签(如果顺位在 5-30 位之间)和洛杉矶快船队的签。这三个首轮签中最不利的那个将归费城所有。
注释 2: 在 2027 年,雷霆队可以与洛杉矶快船队互换他们自己的签和丹佛的签(如果顺位在 6-30 位之间)中更有利的那个。
可交易的首轮签: 10 个
最有价值的首轮签: 2026 年来自快船队的无保护首轮签,2025 年和 2027 年与快船队的互换权
价值最低的首轮签: 2025 年来自费城的前 4 顺位保护首轮签
次轮签: 16 个
送出的首轮签: 无
很难不让俄克拉荷马城占据榜首位置,但雷霆队欠下的首轮签上的保护条款让他们排在了圣安东尼奥之后。
在控制着 2025 年首轮选秀权的五支球队中,没有哪支球队比俄克拉荷马城更有能力在现在赢得胜利,并在未来取得持续的成功。
在吉尔杰斯-亚历山大的带领下,雷霆队保留了上赛季赢得 57 场比赛的首发阵容。他们还增加了卡鲁索(Alex Caruso)和以赛亚·哈尔滕施泰因,而没有放弃任何选秀权。值得注意的是,由于吉尔杰斯-亚历山大、杰伦·威廉姆斯、切特·霍姆格伦和卡鲁索可能会获得续约合同,预计俄克拉荷马城的工资帽将会增加。
雷霆队的优势在于,他们拥有 13 个首轮签(和廉价的合同),可以用来重塑他们的阵容。其中一个首轮签是 2026 年来自快船队的无保护首轮签。雷霆队还有权在 2025 年和 2027 年与没有保罗·乔治的快船队互换首轮签。
一个需要密切关注的趋势是,俄克拉荷马城正在整合和交易首轮签,以获得在未来互换首轮签的能力。上赛季,雷霆队将 2024 年末的一个首轮签交易给了达拉斯(最终被交易到了华盛顿奇才队,换来了丹尼尔·加福德),以获得在 2028 年互换首轮签的权利。
雷霆队还将他们自己的 2027 年首轮签和丹佛的签(如果顺位在 6-30 位之间)中价值较低的一个交易给了快船队,以获得在 2027 年互换首轮签的权利。这笔交易为快船队获得詹姆斯·哈登铺平了道路。
由于从其他球队获得了六个首轮签,以及与快船队有两年的互换权,雷霆队可以在乐透区选中球员,并且每个赛季都能以 NBA 最好的战绩之一结束。
米卡尔·布里奇斯(Mikal Bridges)上赛季作为篮网队的首发组织者,效率有所下降,在他之前维拉诺瓦大学的队友身边,他的角色可能会发生变化。图片来自 Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images## 3. 布鲁克林篮网队
交易出去的关键球员: 詹姆斯·哈登、凯里·欧文、凯文·杜兰特、罗伊斯·奥尼尔和米卡尔·布里奇斯(Mikal Bridges)
通过之前获得的选秀权进入布鲁克林阵容的球员: 诺厄·克洛尼
获得的首轮签(15 个):
– 他们自己的全部七个首轮签
– 来自纽约的四个无保护首轮签(2025 年、2027 年、2029 年和 2031 年)
– 来自密尔沃基的前五顺位保护首轮签(2025 年)
– 菲尼克斯、休斯顿(如果顺位在 11-30 位之间)和俄克拉荷马城三个首轮签中最不利的那个(2025 年)
– 来自费城的前八顺位保护首轮签(2027 年或 2028 年)
– 达拉斯、菲尼克斯和休斯顿三个首轮签中最不利的那个(2029 年)
– 互换权:菲尼克斯或纽约(2028 年)
可交易的首轮签: 12 个
最有价值的首轮签: 2025 年和 2026 年他们自己的首轮签
价值最低的首轮签: 2025 年菲尼克斯、休斯顿(如果顺位在 11-30 位之间)和俄克拉荷马城三个首轮签中最不利的那个
次轮签: 11 个
送出的首轮签: 互换权——休斯顿(2027 年)
篮网队是 NBA 中情况变化多快的例证。三个赛季前,拥有哈登、欧文和杜兰特的阵容曾让布鲁克林距离东部决赛只有一步之遥。
但随着哈登在 2022 年提出交易申请,以及欧文和杜兰特在一年后也提出申请,布鲁克林从一支争冠球队变成了没有方向的球队,尽管他们用这三名球员换来了八个首轮签。
由于 2021 年与火箭队的那笔哈登交易,篮网队没有他们自己首轮签的控制权,而且当时重建对球队没有任何好处。
但这一切在今年 6 月发生了改变,当时火箭队将他们自己的 2025 年首轮签交易回给了篮网队,然后取消了 2026 年的选秀权互换权。与火箭队的交易让布鲁克林能够将他们最好的球员米卡尔·布里奇斯送到纽约尼克斯队,换来四个无保护首轮签和 2028 年的选秀权互换权。
“它们绝对是相关的,”篮网队总经理肖恩·马克斯在 7 月份表示。“当你回顾我们与尼克斯队的那笔交易时,只有在我们更多地掌控自己命运的情况下才有可能……我们从休斯顿拿回了我们的选秀权。”
布里奇斯的交易让篮网队在未来七年内拥有联盟最多的 15 个首轮签,其中包括 2025 年选秀大会上的四个首轮签。其中三个首轮签(密尔沃基、纽约和俄克拉荷马城)可能会落在首轮后段,即 20 多顺位。
4. 犹他爵士队
交易出去的关键球员: 鲁迪·戈贝尔、多诺万·米切尔、罗伊斯·奥尼尔、迈克·康利和凯利·奥利尼克
通过之前获得的选秀权进入犹他阵容的球员: 基昂特·乔治、布莱斯·森斯鲍和以赛亚·科利尔
获得的首轮签(13 个):
– 他们未来七个首轮签中的六个
– 来自明尼苏达的两个无保护首轮签(2025 年、2027 年)
– 来自克利夫兰的三个无保护首轮签(2025 年、2027 年、2029 年)
– 来自洛杉矶湖人队的前五顺位保护首轮签(2027 年)
– 来自明尼苏达的前五顺位保护首轮签(2029 年)
– 互换权:明尼苏达或克利夫兰(2026 年)以及克利夫兰(2028 年)
可交易的首轮签: 9 个
最有价值的首轮签: 2027 年来自湖人队的前 5 顺位保护首轮签和 2029 年来自克利夫兰的首轮签
价值最低的首轮签: 2025 年来自明尼苏达和克利夫兰的首轮签
次轮签: 3 个
送出的首轮签: 2025 年送往俄克拉荷马城的前 10 顺位保护首轮签(2026 年为前 8 顺位保护,否则为 2028 年的次轮签)
爵士队继续处于观望状态。在鲁迪·戈贝尔和多诺万·米切尔的重磅交易中获得的七个首轮签中,只有一个已经兑现。犹他用 2023 年来自明尼苏达的首轮签选中了后卫基昂特·乔治。
犹他确实拥有与雷霆队相同数量的首轮签,其中包括五个无保护首轮签,但他们缺乏一名能够快速推进重建进程的球星。
爵士队也可能会受到骑士队和森林狼队首轮签价值的影响。克利夫兰在本赛季休赛期与米切尔、贾莱特·阿伦和埃文·莫布里续约。与此同时,明尼苏达保留了上赛季打入分区决赛的首发五人组。安东尼·爱德华兹、卡尔-安东尼·唐斯和杰登·麦克丹尼尔斯也至少续约到了 2027-28 赛季。
犹他在 2025 年拥有来自这两支球队的无保护首轮签。他们最有价值的首轮签可能是 2027 年来自湖人队的首轮签。虽然这是一个前 5 顺位保护的首轮签,但不能保证勒布朗·詹姆斯会在 2026-27 赛季留在球队,因为这位将在 12 月 30 日年满 40 岁的四届 NBA 总冠军已经暗示他的职业生涯即将结束。
爵士队在 2022 年开始了他们的重建之路,现在已经进入第三个年头,但尽管在过去两个赛季的交易截止日期之后都取得了 13 胜 41 负的战绩,但他们仍然无法获得一个高顺位的乐透签。
犹他与劳里·马尔卡宁签署了一份价值 2.2 亿美元的续约合同,但球队的大名单上主要由九名年龄在 23 岁或以下的球员组成。
5. 休斯顿火箭队
交易出去的关键球员: 哈登和埃里克·戈登
通过之前获得的选秀权进入休斯顿阵容的球员: 卡姆·惠特莫尔、塔里·伊森和里德·谢泼德
获得的首轮签(9 个):
– 他们自己在 2025 年*、2026 年(如果顺位在 1-4 位之间)、2027 年、2028 年、2029 年、2030 年和 2031 年的首轮签
– 来自菲尼克斯的无保护首轮签(2027 年)
– 他们自己、达拉斯和菲尼克斯三个首轮签中更有利的两个(2029 年)
– 互换权:与菲尼克斯互换更有利的首轮签(2025 年),以及与布鲁克林互换他们自己(如果顺位在 11-30 位之间)和俄克拉荷马城的首轮签中价值较低的那一个
– 互换权:布鲁克林(2027 年)
可交易的首轮签: 4 个
最有价值的首轮签: 2027 年与布鲁克林的互换权,以及 2029 年他们自己、达拉斯和菲尼克斯三个首轮签中更有利的两个
价值最低的首轮签: 2025 年与菲尼克斯的互换权
次轮签: 5 个
送出的首轮签:
– 互换权:与俄克拉荷马城互换前 10 顺位保护的首轮签(2025 年)
– 送往俄克拉荷马城的前 4 顺位保护首轮签(2026 年)
我们现在还无法判断休斯顿在 6 月底与布鲁克林的那笔交易是一步妙棋还是一个历史性的错误。
火箭队取消了 2025 年与布鲁克林互换首轮签的权利,并送回了篮网队 2026 年的首轮签。他们仍然拥有 2027 年与布鲁克林互换首轮签的权利。
作为回报,火箭队获得了四项选秀资产:2025 年与菲尼克斯互换首轮签的权利;太阳队 2027 年的无保护首轮签;2029 年达拉斯或菲尼克斯首轮签中更有利的那个;2029 年与达拉斯和菲尼克斯首轮签中价值较低的那个互换首轮签的权利。
“这 diversifies 了我们未来的选秀权组合,这将它们推迟了一点时间,这对我们来说真的很好,”火箭队总经理拉斐尔·斯通(Rafael Stone)当时说道。“我们现在是一支非常年轻的球队,所以推迟这些选秀权并在更远的未来拥有一些选秀权,我们认为这是有意义的。”
火箭队获得了两个未来的无保护首轮签,但这可能是以牺牲获得预计 2025 年状元秀库珀·弗拉格和预计 2026 年高顺位新秀卡梅隆·布泽尔和 AJ·迪班萨为代价的。
布鲁克林上赛季以自 2017-18 赛季以来的最差战绩(32 胜 50 负)结束,并将 2023 年的探花签送给了休斯顿(作为 2021 年哈登交易的结果),火箭队用这个签选中了谢泼德。
火箭队没有上述四支球队那么多首轮签,而且与雷霆队一样,他们拥有一套可以争夺本赛季季后赛席位的阵容。
哪些球队拥有未来七年的 NBA 选秀权?
球队 | 首轮签数量 | 可交易首轮签 | 交易价值最高的首轮签 |
---|---|---|---|
亚特兰大老鹰队 | 8 | 5 | 2025 年(湖人) |
波士顿凯尔特人队 | 6 | 3 | 2031 年(自己) |
布鲁克林篮网队 | 15 | 12 | 2025 年(自己)和 2026 年(自己) |
夏洛特黄蜂队 | 8 | 5 | 2028 年(热火) |
芝加哥公牛队 | 7 | 2 | 2030 年(自己) |
克利夫兰骑士队 | 4 | 1 | 2031 年(自己) |
达拉斯独行侠队 | 5 | 2 | 2031 年(自己) |
丹佛掘金队 | 4 | 0 | 2031 年(互换权) |
底特律活塞队 | 6 | 2 | 2028 年(自己) |
金州勇士队 | 6 | 3 | 2028 年(自己) |
休斯顿火箭队 | 8 | 5 | 2029 年(达拉斯或菲尼克斯) |
印第安纳步行者队 | 6 | 2 | 2030 年(自己) |
洛杉矶快船队 | 4 | 1 | 2031 年(自己) |
洛杉矶湖人队 | 5 | 2 | 2029 年(自己) |
孟菲斯灰熊队 | 7 | 4 | 2029 年(自己) |
迈阿密热火队 | 5 | 1 | 2030 年(自己) |
密尔沃基雄鹿队 | 4 | 1 | 2031 年(自己) |
明尼苏达森林狼队 | 3 | 0 | 2028 年(互换权) |
新奥尔良鹈鹕队 | 9 | 6 | 2929 年(自己) |
纽约尼克斯队 | 5 | 2 | 2025 年(奇才;如果顺位在 11-30 位之间) |
俄克拉荷马雷霆队 | 13 | 10 | 2026 年(快船) |
奥兰多魔术队 | 8 | 5 | 2026 年(掘金;如果顺位在 6-30 位之间) |
费城 76 人队 | 7 | 4 | 2028 年(快船) |
菲尼克斯太阳队 | 4 | 1 | 2031 年(自己) |
波特兰开拓者队 | 7 | 2 | 2029 年(雄鹿或凯尔特人) |
萨克拉门托国王队 | 6 | 2 | 2028 年(自己) |
圣安东尼奥马刺队 | 12 | 9 | 2025 年(老鹰) |
多伦多猛龙队 | 8 | 5 | 2025 年(自己) |
犹他爵士队 | 13 | 9 | 2029 年(骑士) |
华盛顿奇才队 | 8 | 4 | 2029 年(自己) |
注意:一支球队最多可以交易未来七个选秀大会(2025 年至 2031 年)的首轮或次轮签。第七个选秀大会之后,选秀权不能再被交易,而且任何球队都不能在未来连续两年都没有首轮签的情况下交易未来的首轮签。 | |||
— | — | — | — |
灰熊、鹈鹕、猛龙、魔术紧随其后
有四支值得注意的球队——孟菲斯灰熊队、新奥尔良鹈鹕队、多伦多猛龙队和奥兰多魔术队——完全控制着他们未来七个首轮签。这意味着每支球队都可能在交易中最多送出四个无保护首轮签和三个选秀权互换权,以换取一名能够帮助他们更上一层楼的超级球星。
魔术队仍然欠丹佛掘金队一个首轮签,他们可能会在交易中送出这个签。这个签在 2025 年、2026 年和 2027 年都是前 5 顺位保护的。
猛龙队还拥有一个来自印第安纳步行者队的 2026 年前 4 顺位保护首轮签。如果这个首轮签在前一个赛季没有兑现,那么它将在 2027 年成为前 4 顺位保护的。
新奥尔良还有两个来自密尔沃基雄鹿队的前 4 顺位保护首轮签(2025 年和 2027 年)可以用来交易。但是,如果首轮签落在了前 4 顺位之外,那么选秀条件就会失效,他们也不需要送出任何选秀权。
在西部:勇士队和湖人队的首轮签怎么样?
金州勇士队和洛杉矶湖人队的未来首轮签将在今年成为人们关注的焦点,特别是如果这两支球队在 2024-25 赛季都无法取得好成绩的话。
金州勇士队在克里斯·保罗(Chris Paul)的交易中欠华盛顿一个 2030 年的前 20 顺位保护首轮签,但他们最多可以交易三个首轮签——2026 年、2028 年和 2030 年(如果顺位在 1-20 位之间)。勇士队还可以与其他球队在每个赛季(包括 2030 年)互换首轮签,但只能互换前 20 顺位的签。
湖人队在德安吉洛·拉塞尔的交易中将他们 2025 年的首轮签(后来在穆雷的交易中被送到了亚特兰大)和 2027 年的前 5 顺位保护首轮签送给了新奥尔良和犹他。洛杉矶还有三个首轮签可用(2029 年、2030 年和 2031 年),但最多只能交易两个(2029 年和 2031 年)。湖人队可以交易这两个签,并为它们设置保护条款,但根据七年规则,保护条款只能针对选秀年的顺位,而不能延续到下一年。
例如,湖人队可以将一个 2031 年的前 4 顺位保护首轮签交易给亚特兰大,条件是如果首轮签没有兑现,就送出一个 2031 年的次轮签——这将增加老鹰队的风险,因为他们无法保证自己最终能从这笔交易中得到一个首轮签。
“我认为,如果合适的交易出现,而我们必须加入选秀权,我们会的,”湖人队总经理罗勃·佩林卡(Rob Pelinka)在 7 月份说道。
在东部:凯尔特人队、尼克斯队和 76 人队的首轮签情况如何?
尽管本赛季的工资帽已经超过了奢侈税线,但波士顿、纽约和费城仍然有首轮签可用。
凯尔特人队在德里克·怀特的交易中将与圣安东尼奥互换首轮签的权利(前 1 顺位保护)送了出去,然后在朱·霍勒迪的交易中将 2029 年的首轮签送给了波特兰,但他们仍然可以在任何交易中送出 2025 年、2027 年和 2031 年的首轮签。他们还可以与其他球队在未来七年内(除了 2028 年和 2030 年)的每个赛季互换首轮签。
尽管本赛季的工资帽已经超过了第二奢侈税线,但波士顿仍然可以交易他们 2031 年的首轮签。如果凯尔特人队在本赛季结束后仍然超过第二奢侈税线,那么他们将不能在交易中加入 2032 年的首轮签。
纽约在布里奇斯的交易中送出了四个首轮签,但他们仍然可以交易两个未来的首轮签。尼克斯队拥有一个来自底特律的 2025 年前 13 顺位保护首轮签和一个来自华盛顿的前 10 顺位保护首轮签。如果这两个首轮签在 2025 年没有兑现,那么它们将在 2026 年继续受到保护。纽约还可以与其他球队在 2026 年、2030 年和 2031 年互换他们自己的首轮签。
费城欠俄克拉荷马城和布鲁克林首轮签,但他们拥有完成一笔重磅交易的选秀资产。76 人队在哈登的交易中从快船队那里获得了两个首轮签(他们还有权在 2028 年与快船队互换首轮签),并且最多可以送出四个首轮签。
关于 2025 年选秀大会及以后的更多信息
– 马刺队在穆雷的交易中获得了老鹰队未来三个赛季的首轮签。然而,亚特兰大在将穆雷送到新奥尔良的交易中重新获得了两个宝贵的首轮签。老鹰队拥有湖人队 2025 年的无保护首轮签,以及 2027 年新奥尔良或密尔沃基首轮签中更有利的那个(前 4 顺位保护)。
– 达拉斯独行侠队在三笔独立的交易中送出了 2024 年、2027 年和 2029 年的首轮签,以获得丹尼尔·加福德、凯里·欧文和 PJ·华盛顿。由于泰德·斯蒂芬规则(限制球队在连续两个赛季交易首轮签)只适用于未来的赛季,因此达拉斯可以交易他们 2025 年的首轮签。独行侠队也可以交易 2031 年的首轮签,但他们不能加入可以延续到下一年的保护条款。
– 由于之前的交易,克利夫兰、洛杉矶快船队、迈阿密、密尔沃基和菲尼克斯只能交易一个未来的首轮签。
– 丹佛和明尼苏达没有可以交易的首轮签。
– 预计太阳队、雄鹿队和森林狼队本赛季的工资帽将超过第二奢侈税线。从 7 月份开始,他们 2032 年的首轮签将被冻结,无法交易。
点击查看原文:Ranking 5 NBA teams that hold most first-round draft picks
Ranking 5 NBA teams that hold most first-round draft picks
The Oklahoma City Thunder shocked the NBA world five years ago when they received a record five first-round draft picks, two pick swaps and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander from the LA Clippers in a trade for Paul George.
Thanks in part to that load of draft picks and Gilgeous-Alexander developing into an MVP contender, the Thunder are a favorite to win the Western Conference this season.
The return value from that trade between the Clippers and Thunder set the standard in how fringe playoff teams would rebuild by acquiring multiple future draft picks and adding more young prospects to the roster.
In the years following that franchise-altering trade in 2019, other teams have followed the Thunder’s blueprint to acquire picks and prospects. The Houston Rockets, Utah Jazz, San Antonio Spurs and Brooklyn Nets have acquired 22 first-round picks and seven years of pick swaps in six different trades. Each team received a minimum of three first-rounders.
In two separate trades with the Phoenix Suns and the New York Knicks, Brooklyn acquired nine first-round picks, including eight unprotected.
As a result of all the transactional movement, five teams control a whopping 62 first-round picks over the next seven years. Brooklyn, Oklahoma City, Utah and San Antonio hold 13 out of the 30 first-round selections.
The blockbuster trades have resulted in a perfect storm as it relates to the 2025 NBA draft that could feature the next franchise stars, Duke’s Cooper Flagg, the Rutgers duo of Airious “Ace” Bailey and Dylan Harper and French guard Nolan Traore. The four players are projected top-5 picks in ESPN’s latest 2025 mock draft.
To gain a better understanding of which teams are positioned to dominate the league’s annual draft for the rest of this decade, here’s my ranking of the cache of picks for the five teams that hold the most first-round choices as of Sept. 10, 2024.
It starts with San Antonio, which could have four first-round picks in June and the possibility of selecting a franchise player to complement star Victor Wembanyama.
More teams beyond top 5:\
Grizzlies, Pelicans, Raptors, Magic\
Warriors, Lakers | Celtics, Knicks, 76ers | More
1. San Antonio Spurs
Key players traded: Kawhi Leonard, DeMar DeRozan, Derrick White, Dejounte Murray and Jakob Poeltl
Players who are on San Antonio’s roster from previously acquired picks: Keldon Johnson, Blake Wesley and Malaki Branham
Incoming first-round picks (12):
– All seven of their own\
– Two unprotected from Atlanta (2025 and 2027)\
– Top-14 protected from Charlotte (2025)\
– Top-10 protected from Chicago (2025, top-8 protected in 2026 and 2027)\
– Unprotected from Minnesota (2031)\
– Swap rights: Atlanta (2026)\
– Swap rights: Boston (2028, top-1 protected)\
– Swap rights: More favorable of Dallas and Minnesota (top-1 protected) (2030)\
– Swap rights: Sacramento (2031)
Tradable first-round picks: 9
Best value in first-round picks: 2025 and 2027 Atlanta
Least valuable first-round pick: 2025 top-14 protected Charlotte
Second-round picks: 17
Outgoing first-round picks: None
It’s all about quality over quantity for San Antonio, which sits in the top spot of my ranking despite having three fewer first-round picks than Brooklyn.
The value of the Hawks’ unprotected 2025 and 2027 first-round picks and the right to swap a first in 2026 with Atlanta trumps any first-round pick that Brooklyn has accumulated.
The Hawks won 36 games last season and traded Dejounte Murray in the offseason. They have never won more than 43 games with Trae Young on their roster.
Besides a first from Atlanta in 2025, the Spurs could add two additional lottery picks to join Victor Wembanyama – their own pick and a top-10 protected first from Chicago.
Despite San Antonio adding veterans Chris Paul, Harrison Barnes this offseason, the Spurs could still find themselves outside of the playoffs because of a deep Western Conference contingency.
The first from Chicago could be in the back end of the lottery. The Bulls elected not to sign DeMar DeRozan, trading him to the Sacramento Kings, and they traded guard Alex Caruso to the Thunder.
San Antonio has an unprotected first from Atlanta in 2027 and one from Minnesota in 2031. The Spurs can also swap firsts in four out of the next seven years.
Starting with Atlanta in 2026, San Antonio has the ability to swap firsts with Boston (2028), Dallas or Minnesota (2029) and finally Sacramento in 2031.
The Spurs’ 12 first-round picks and four years of pick swaps should accelerate a rebuild that started when Kawhi Leonard was traded in 2018 and continues with Wembanyama as the face of the franchise.
2. Oklahoma City Thunder
Key players traded: Paul George, Russell Westbrook, Steven Adams, Al Horford and Chris Paul
Players who are on Oklahoma City’s roster from previously acquired picks: Jalen Williams, Ousmane Dieng and Dillon Jones
Incoming first-round picks (13):
– All seven of their own\
– Unprotected from LA Clippers (2026)\
– Top-4 protected from Houston (2026)\
– Top-10 protected from Utah (2025, top-8 in 2026)\
– Top-14 protected from Miami (2025, unprotected in 2026)\
– Top-6 protected from Philadelphia (2025, top-4 protected in 2026 and 2027)\
– Top-5 protected from Denver (2027, top-5 protected in 2028)\
– Top-5 protected from Denver (2029, if first conveyed in 2027, top-5 protected in 2030 if first is conveyed by 2028)\
– Swap rights: LA Clippers (2025 and 2027)\
– Swap rights: Houston (2025, top-10 protected)\
– Swap rights: Dallas (2028)
Note 1: In 2026, Oklahoma City has two of the most favorable of its own, Houston (if 5-30) and the LA Clippers. The least favorable of the three firsts will go to Philadelphia.
Note 2: In 2027, the Thunder can swap the more favorable of their own and Denver (if 6-30) with the LA Clippers.
Tradable first-round picks: 10
Best value in first-round picks: 2026 unprotected from the Clippers, swap rights with the Clippers in 2025 and 2027
Least valuable first-round pick: 2025 top-4 protected from Philadelphia
Second-round picks: 16
Outgoing first-round picks: None
It was hard not to keep Oklahoma City out of the top spot, but protections on first-round picks that are owed to the Thunder has them right behind San Antonio.
Out of the five teams that control the draft’s 2025 first round, no team is better positioned to win now and have sustainable success in the future than Oklahoma City.
Behind Gilgeous-Alexander, the Thunder return the same starting lineup that won 57 games last season. They also added Caruso and Isaiah Hartenstein without giving up draft compensation. Of note, Oklahoma City’s payroll is expected to increase because of likely extensions for Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren and Caruso.
Where the Thunder have an advantage over other high-spending teams is the surplus of 13 first-round picks (and inexpensive contracts) available to retool their roster. One of those first-round picks is unprotected in 2026 from the Clippers. The Thunder also have the right to swap firsts with a Paul George-less Clippers team in 2025 and 2027.
One trend to closely monitor is Oklahoma City consolidating and trading first-round capital for the ability to swap firsts in the future. Last season, the Thunder traded a late 2024 first to Dallas (it was eventually rerouted to the Washington Wizards for Daniel Gafford) for the right to swap firsts in 2028.
The Thunder also traded the least favorable of their own 2027 first and Denver (if 6-30) to the Clippers for the right to swap firsts in 2027. The trade helped paved the way for the Clippers to acquire James Harden.
Because of the six first-round picks acquired from other teams and two years of swaps with the Clippers, the Thunder could select in the lottery and also finish each season with one of the best records in the NBA.
Mikal Bridges saw a dip in production as the primary playmaker for the Nets last season and might see a change in his role alongside his former Villanova teammates on the Knicks. Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images## 3. Brooklyn Nets
Key players traded: James Harden, Kyrie Irving, Kevin Durant, Royce O’Neale and Mikal Bridges
Players who are on Brooklyn’s roster from previously acquired picks: Noah Clowney
Incoming first-round picks (15):
– All seven of their own\
– Four unprotected from New York (2025, 2027, 2029 and 2031)\
– Top-5 protected from Milwaukee (2025)\
– Least favorable of Phoenix, Houston (if 11-30) and Oklahoma City (2025)\
– Top-8 protected from Philadelphia (2027 or 2028)\
– Least favorable of Dallas, Phoenix and Houston (2029)\
– Swap rights: Phoenix or New York (2028)
Tradable first-round picks: 12
Best value in first-round picks: 2025 and 2026 own
Least valuable first-round pick: Least favorable of Phoenix, Houston (if 11-30) and Oklahoma City in 2025
Second-round picks: 11
Outgoing first-round picks: Swap rights – Houston (2027)
The Nets are an example of how quickly things can change in the NBA. Three seasons ago, a lineup that included Harden, Irving and Durant had Brooklyn one win away from the conference finals.
But after Harden asked out in 2022, then Irving and Durant a year later, Brooklyn went from a contender to a team with no identity, despite acquiring eight first-round picks in exchange for the three players.
The Nets had no control of their own first-round picks because of the Harden trade in 2021 with the Rockets, and there were no benefits for the team to rebuild at that time.
But that all changed this past June when the Rockets traded the Nets back their own 2025 first-round pick and then eliminated the right to swap firsts in 2026. The trade with the Rockets allowed Brooklyn to send their best player, Mikal Bridges, to the New York Knicks for four unprotected first-round picks and the right to swap firsts in 2028.
“They’re absolutely connected,” Nets general manager Sean Marks said in July. “When you look at doing the deal we did with the Knicks, that was really only possible by controlling our own destiny a little bit more… where we get our picks back from Houston.”
The Bridges trade has Brooklyn possessing a league-high 15 first-round picks over the next seven years, including four in the 2025 draft. Three of those firsts (Milwaukee, New York and Oklahoma City) could fall later in the first round, in the 20s.
4. Utah Jazz
Key players traded: Rudy Gobert, Donovan Mitchell, Royce O’Neale, Mike Conley and Kelly Olynyk
Players who are on Utah’s roster from previously acquired picks: Keyonte George, Brice Sensabaugh and Isaiah Collier
Incoming first-round picks (13):
– Six of their next seven own\
– Two unprotected from Minnesota (2025, 2027)\
– Three unprotected from Cleveland (2025, 2027, 2029)\
– Top-5 protected from Los Angeles Lakers (2027)\
– Top-5 protected from Minnesota (2029)\
– Swap rights: Minnesota or Cleveland (2026) and Cleveland (2028)
Tradable first-round picks: 9
Best value in first-round picks: 2027 top-5 protected Lakers first and 2029 Cleveland first
Least valuable first-round pick: 2025 Minnesota and Cleveland first
Second-round picks: 3
Outgoing first-round picks: Top-10 protected to Oklahoma City in 2025 (top-8 in 2026, else 2028 second-round pick)
The Jazz continue to sit in a holding pattern. Out of the seven first-round picks acquired in the Rudy Gobert and Donovan Mitchell blockbuster trades, only one has been conveyed. Utah drafted guard Keyonte George with the 2023 first-round pick from Minnesota.
Utah does have the same number of first-round picks as the Thunder, including five unprotected, but it lacks a franchise player to fast forward its rebuild.
The Jazz could be impacted also by the value of the Cavaliers’ and Timberwolves’ first-round picks, too. Cleveland extended Mitchell, Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley this offseason. Meanwhile Minnesota returns the same starting five who reached the conference finals last season. Anthony Edwards, Karl-Anthony Towns and Jaden McDaniels are also under contract through at least the 2027-28 season.
Utah has an unprotected first-round pick from each team in 2025. Its most valuable first could be from the Lakers in 2027. Although it is a protected top-5, there is no guarantee LeBron James will be on the roster in 2026-27 since the four-time NBA champion, who turns 40 on Dec. 30, has indicated that the end of his playing career is drawing near.
The Jazz enter Year 3 of a rebuild that started in 2022 but have still not been able to secure a high lottery pick despite going 13-41 after the trade deadline the past two seasons.
Utah signed Lauri Markkanen to a $220 million extension, but the majority of the roster consists of nine players who are 23 years old or younger.
5. Houston Rockets
Key players traded: Harden and Eric Gordon
Players who are on Houston’s roster from previously acquired picks: Cam Whitmore, Tari Eason and Reed Sheppard
Incoming first-round picks (9):
– Own first in 2025*, 2026 (if 1-4), 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030 and 2031\
– Unprotected from Phoenix (2027)\
– Two most favorable of own, Dallas and Phoenix (2029)\
– Swap: More favorable of Phoenix (2025) and less favorable of own (if 11-30) and Oklahoma City then other to Brooklyn\
– Swap: Brooklyn (2027)
Tradable first-round picks: 4
Best value in first-round picks: 2027 Brooklyn swap and the two most favorable of own, Dallas and Phoenix in 2029
Least valuable first-round pick: 2025 swap with Phoenix
Second-round picks: 5
Outgoing first-round picks:
– Swap: Top-10 protected with Oklahoma City (2025)\
– Top-4 protected to Oklahoma City (2026)
We are still many moons away from judging if Houston’s trade with Brooklyn in late June was a smart move or a historic mistake.
The Rockets eliminated the right to swap firsts with Brooklyn in 2025 and sent back the 2026 first from the Nets. They still have the right to swap firsts with Brooklyn in 2027.
In return, the Rockets received four draft assets: the right to swap firsts with Phoenix in 2025; the Suns’ 2027 unprotected first; the more favorable 2029 Dallas or Phoenix first; the right to swap their 2029 first with the less favorable of Dallas and Phoenix
“It diversified our portfolio of picks going out, it pushed them out a little bit, which is really good for us,” Rockets GM Rafael Stone said at the time. “We’re a very young team right now, so pushing those picks out and having some draft picks a little further out, we think make sense.”
The Rockets picked up two future unprotected firsts but possibly at the cost of landing projected 2025 No. 1 pick in Cooper Flagg and projected 2026 top draft picks Cameron Boozer and AJ Dybantsa.
Brooklyn finished last season with its worst record (32-50) since 2017-18 and sent Houston the No. 3 pick in the draft (as a result of the 2021 Harden trade), with which the Rockets drafted Sheppard.
The Rockets do not have the quantity of first-round picks that the four teams mentioned above have, and along with the Thunder, have a roster that can compete for a playoff spot this season.
Which teams own the next seven NBA drafts?
Team | First-roundpicks | Tradablefirsts | Value firststo trade |
---|---|---|---|
Atlanta Hawks | 8 | 5 | 2025 (LAL) |
Boston Celtics | 6 | 3 | 2031 (Own) |
Brooklyn Nets | 15 | 12 | 2025 (Own) and 2026 (Own) |
Charlotte Hornets | 8 | 5 | 2028 (MIA) |
Chicago Bulls | 7 | 2 | 2030 (Own) |
Cleveland Cavaliers | 4 | 1 | 2031 (Own) |
Dallas Mavericks | 5 | 2 | 2031 (Own) |
Denver Nuggets | 4 | 0 | 2031 (Swap) |
Detroit Pistons | 6 | 2 | 2028 (Own) |
Golden State Warriors | 6 | 3 | 2028 (Own) |
Houston Rockets | 8 | 5 | 2029 (DAL or PHX) |
Indiana Pacers | 6 | 2 | 2030 (Own) |
LA Clippers | 4 | 1 | 2031 (Own) |
Los Angeles Lakers | 5 | 2 | 2029 (Own) |
Memphis Grizzlies | 7 | 4 | 2029 (Own) |
Miami Heat | 5 | 1 | 2030 (Own) |
Milwaukee Bucks | 4 | 1 | 2031 (Own) |
Minnesota Timberwolves | 3 | 0 | 2028 (Swap) |
New Orleans Pelicans | 9 | 6 | 2929 (Own) |
New York Knicks | 5 | 2 | 2025 (WAS; if 11-30) |
Oklahoma City Thunder | 13 | 10 | 2026 (LAC) |
Orlando Magic | 8 | 5 | 2026 (DEN; if 6-30) |
Philadelphia 76ers | 7 | 4 | 2028 (LAC) |
Phoenix Suns | 4 | 1 | 2031 (Own) |
Portland Trail Blazers | 7 | 2 | 2029 (MIL or BOS) |
Sacramento Kings | 6 | 2 | 2028 (Own) |
San Antonio Spurs | 12 | 9 | 2025 (ATL) |
Toronto Raptors | 8 | 5 | 2025 (Own) |
Utah Jazz | 13 | 9 | 2029 (CLE) |
Washington Wizards | 8 | 4 | 2029 (Own) |
Note: A team is allowed to trade a first- or second-round pick in up to seven drafts (2025 to 2031).A draft pick cannot be conveyed after the seventh draft, and no team may trade a future first-round pickif it leaves the team without first-round picks in any two consecutive future years. | |||
— | — | — | — |
Grizzlies, Pelicans, Raptors, Magic among next tier of teams
There are four notable teams – the Memphis Grizzlies, New Orleans Pelicans, Toronto Raptors and Orlando Magic – that have full control of their next seven first-round picks. That means each team could potentially trade up to four unprotected picks plus three pick swaps in a deal for a superstar to help put them over the top.
The Magic are still owed a first-round pick from the Denver Nuggets that they could potentially move in a trade. The pick is top-5 protected in 2025, 2026 and 2027.
The Raptors also have a 2026 top-4 protected first from the Indiana Pacers. The first is top-4 protected in 2027 if not conveyed in the prior season.
New Orleans also has two Milwaukee Bucks’ top-4 protected firsts (2025 and 2027) it can use in a trade. However, if the first-round pick falls outside of the top-4, the draft conditions are extinguished and no pick is sent.
In the West: What about the Warriors’ and Lakers’ first-round picks?
The future first-round picks for both Golden State and Los Angeles will be highlighted this year, especially if both teams fail to put up wins in 2024-25.
Golden State owes Washington a top-20 protected first in 2030 from the Chris Paul trade, but can trade up to three firsts – 2026, 2028 and 2030 (if 1-20). The Warriors can also swap firsts in every season, including 2030, but only for the top-20 picks.
The Lakers sent New Orleans their 2025 first (which was then sent to Atlanta in the Murray trade) and Utah a 2027 top-5 protected first as part of the D’Angelo Russell trade. Los Angeles has three firsts available (2029, 2030 and 2031) but can only trade a maximum of two (2029 and 2031). The Lakers can trade both picks and put protections on them, but because of the seven-year rule, the protection can only be for the year of the pick and cannot carry over.
For example, the Lakers can trade a top-4 protected 2031 to Atlanta with the condition that a 2031 second is sent if the first is not conveyed – which would increase the risk for the Hawks, because there’d be no assurance that they’d actually get a first-round pick out of the deal.
“I think if the right deal comes and we have to put in draft picks, we will,” Lakers GM Rob Pelinka said in July.
In the East: Where do the Celtics, Knicks and 76ers stand with their first-round picks?
Boston, New York and Philadelphia still have first-round picks available despite being in the apron this season.
The Celtics sent San Antonio the right to swap firsts (top-1 protected) for Derrick White and then a 2029 first to Portland as part of the Jrue Holiday trade but are still allowed to move their 2025, 2027 and 2031 first in any trade. They can also swap firsts over the next seven years except for 2028 and 2030.
Boston is allowed to trade its 2031 first despite being over the second apron this season. If the Celtics finish over the apron after the season ends, their 2032 first is not allowed to be included in a trade.
New York traded four first-round picks in the Bridges trade but is allowed to trade two future firsts. The Knicks have a 2025 top-13 protected first from Detroit and top-10 protected first from Washington. Both firsts are protected in 2026 if they do not convey in 2025. New York can also swap its own first in 2026, 2030 and 2031.
Philadelphia owes firsts to Oklahoma City and Brooklyn, but has the draft assets to pull off a blockbuster trade. The 76ers received two first-round picks from the Clippers (they also have the right to swap firsts with L.A. in 2028) as part of the Harden trade and can send up to four firsts.
More to know for the 2025 draft and beyond
– The Spurs control the Hawks’ first-round pick in the next three seasons from the Murray trade. Atlanta, however, recouped two valuable firsts when Murray was sent to New Orleans. The Hawks have the Lakers’ unprotected first in 2025 and more favorable 2027 top-4 protected New Orleans or Milwaukee first.
– In three separate trades, the Dallas Mavericks sent a 2024, 2027 and 2029 first to acquire Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving and PJ Washington. Because the Ted Stepien rule (the restriction of teams trading first-round picks in back-to-back consecutive seasons) only applies to future seasons, Dallas is allowed to trade its 2025 first. The Mavericks can also trade a 2031 first but are not allowed to include protections that roll over to the next year.
– Because of prior trades, Cleveland, the LA Clippers, Miami, Milwaukee and Phoenix are allowed to trade only one future first-round pick.
– Denver and Minnesota have no first-round picks available to trade.
– The Suns, Bucks and Timberwolves are projected to finish over the second apron this season. Their 2032 first-round picks would become frozen and unable to trade starting in July.
By Bobby Marks, via ESPN