By Lee Dresie / Pounding The Rock, 2026-10-23 03:58:52
马刺目前和一众鱼腩球队并列倒数第一。其他同样未尝胜绩的难兄难弟包括公牛、雄鹿、篮网、鹈鹕、太阳以及国王。这可不是什么让人想扯上关系的群体。不仅如此，马刺还和“世界冠军纽约尼克斯”并列。时隔53年写下这几个词，感觉真是奇妙。而由于周二晚上的那场比赛，马刺的宿敌本赛季至今保持不败。
诚然，马刺当家球星在对阵雷霆时交出了一场灾难级的进攻端表现。第二节接近尾声时，我问身边一起看球的朋友：“维克托进球了吗？”得到的回答是“还没”。事实上他整晚都没投进哪怕一个“跳投”——他唯一的运动战得分来自下半场一次空接扣篮。
诚然，马刺效力时间第二长的球员德文·瓦塞尔 (Devin Vassell) 出场31分钟，投篮命中率仅为25%，只得到7分。也许是因为在防守端不得不硬顶霍姆格伦这样的OKC大个子，消耗了太多体力？
诚然，雷霆当家球星在进攻端表现出色。看到技术统计上SGA（谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大）全场27投仅13中时，我还挺惊讶的。在比赛里感觉他简直弹无虚发，而且好多球都伴随着裁判“加罚！”的哨声，这感觉向来糟透了。
诚然，雷霆的大个子们看起来相当抢眼。“出气包”切特·霍姆格伦 (Chet Holmgren) 以14比12的得分压过了维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama)，并且至少封盖了他一次，完全看不出上赛季西决时那种畏缩的样子。雷霆的新秀阿达伊·马拉 (Aday Mara) 在高效的12分钟里，运动战进球数是文班的三倍，甚至还做出了前所未见的壮举：正面封盖了我们法国巨人的空接扣篮。这个西班牙小伙子日后恐怕是个大麻烦。
而且雷霆的防守极其强悍，丝毫没有受到吕冈茨·多尔特 (Luguentz Dort) 缺阵的影响。亚历克斯·卡鲁索 (Alex Caruso) 在防守端一如既往地令人厌烦，三分线外更是两投全中。SGA在防守端同样统治力十足，送出了3次抢断和3次封盖——就本赛季目前的表现而言，他在MVP争夺战中显然处于领跑位置。（虽然安东尼·爱德华兹可能对此有话要说。）
基于这一切，媒体以及大概所有看了这场比赛的人得出的共识是：雷霆彻底压制了马刺，“他们对胜利的渴望更加强烈”。这个结论完全可以理解，尤其是考虑到雷霆上赛季的结局——他们不得不眼睁睁看着年轻的马刺在自己的主场庆祝西决抢七大战的胜利，并且整个夏天都在被这段记忆反复折磨。
在冷静下来像教练（以及前教练）那样仔细审视技术统计之前，我也是赞同这一共识的。
当我查看技术统计时，首先看的是两队的额外进攻球权——也就是失误和进攻篮板。马刺只多出现了2次失误（13比11），进攻篮板两队持平（均为10个）。OKC运动战出手多了2次，但马刺多罚了5次球。马刺的罚球命中率也稍好一些——88%对80%。在两分球方面，马刺的效率更高——56投26中，而雷霆则是64投27中。马刺的三分出手也更多，37对31。看到这里，你应该明白问题出在哪了。OKC能赢下这12分，是因为他们的三分球命中率显著更高。他们在出手比马刺少6次的情况下，投进的三分球却比马刺多了4个。我用AI核算了一下我的数学题，确认多进4个三分球正好等于多得12分——也就是本场比赛的分差。
OKC在三分线外压制马刺，很大程度上是因为替补登场的贾里德·麦凯恩 (Jared McCain) 投出了8投6中的三分球，再加上卡鲁索打进的两记补刀。如果麦凯恩投出他的生涯平均水平，他只能投进3个三分球，而不是6个。如果卡鲁索两记三分投丢一个，命中率依然有50%。而如果这两件事同时发生，OKC就会少得12分，也就是漫长82场赛季的首战分差。这绝非巧合，麦凯恩在出场的22分钟内正负值达到全场最高的+20，卡鲁索在25分钟内也达到了+16。
总而言之，抛开最终比分不谈，在马刺几乎事事不顺、雷霆近乎万事皆顺的情况下，比赛的实际进程其实势均力敌。因此，在仔细分析了技术统计之后，对于周二晚上的失利，我释怀了不少。
然而，当我看到尼克斯对阵76人的技术统计时，心情瞬间又变糟了。杰伦·布伦森 (Jalen Brunson) 全场19投仅6中，而在总决赛打马刺时，他似乎怎么投怎么有。OG·阿奴诺比 (OG Anunoby) 三分球10投1中，而总决赛期间他的三分命中率高得离谱（实际上是50%）。现在我又郁闷了。这该死的技术统计。
由生成式 AI 翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
查看原文：A moment of Zen about the Spurs’ opening night loss to the Thunder
A moment of Zen about the Spurs’ opening night loss to the Thunder
The Spurs are tied for last place with a bunch of bad teams. Other winless teams the Spurs are tied with include the Bulls, Bucks, Nets, Pelicans, Suns and Kings. Not a group to be associated with. The Spurs are also tied with the “world champion New York Knicks”. Feels odd to write those words after 53 years. And because of Tuesday’s night’s game, the Spurs main rival is undefeated on the season.
And yes, the Spurs’ best player had a dreadful offensive game against the Thunder. Near the end of the second quarter, I asked my friend who was watching the game with me, “Does Victor have a basket yet?” The answer was “no”. And he didn’t actually make a “shot” all night – his one basket came in the second half on a dunk off a lob pass.
And yes, the Spurs second-longest tenured player, Devin Vassell, scored only 7 points in 31 minutes, on 25% shooting. Perhaps being forced to defend OKC bigs like Holmgren on the other end was a bit draining?
And yes, the Thunder’s best player had a great offensive game. I was surprised to see that the box score had SGA at only 13 for 27 from the floor. It felt like he didn’t miss any. It also felt like a bunch of shots were punctuated with “and one!” Which always sucks.
And yes, the Thunder’s bigs looked pretty good. Punching bag Chet Holmgren outscored Victor Wembanyama 14-12 and blocked his shot at least once, looking not at all like the cowering Chet from last season’s WC Finals. And the Thunder new kid, Aday Mara, played a very effective 12 minutes, making three times as many shots as Victor, and doing something never before seen: blocking a lob-dunk by our Frenchman. The Spanish dude might be a problem going forward.
And the Thunder defense looked very strong, not missing Lu Dort at all. Alex Caruso was his usual pesky self on D and also nailed both of this three-pointers. SGA was also great on D, getting three steals and three blocks – he is clearly ahead in the MVP race thus far in the season. (Though Anthony Edwards may want a word.)
Based on all of that, the consensus among the media, and presumably everyone who watched the game, is that the Thunder dominated the Spurs, “They just wanted it more”. An understandable conclusion, especially because of how the Thunder ended last season, having to watch the young Spurs emotionally celebrate after Game Seven of the Western Conference Finals on their own floor. And then hearing about it all summer.
I agreed with the consensus until I calmed down and looked at the box score, as coaches (and former coaches) like to do.
When I look at the box score, I first look at extra possessions by each team – turnovers and offensive rebounds. The Spurs had two more turnovers (13-11) and the same number of offensive rebounds (10). OKC took two more shots from the field, but the Spurs shot five more free throws. The Spurs also shot a bit better on those free throws – 88% t0 80%. On two-point shots, the Spurs shot better – 26-56 as opposed the Thunder’s 27-64. The Spurs also took more threes, 37-31. You can see where this is going. OKC won the game by 12 points because they shot significantly better on threes. They made four more threes than the Spurs on six less attempts. I checked my math with AI, and confirmed that four more three pointers equals 12 more points – the margin of victory in the game.
OKC outshot the Spurs from three largely because Jared McCain came off the bench to go 6-8 from three, with Caruso chipping in his two. If McCain shoots his career average, he only makes three three-pointers, not six. If Caruso misses one of his two, he is still at 50%. And if both of those things happen, OKC has 12 less points, the margin of victory in Game One of Eighty-Two. Not coincidentally, McCain was a game-high plus 20 in his 22 minutes, Caruso plus 16 in his 25 minutes.
All in all, despite the final score, with everything that went wrong for the Spurs and everything that went right for the Thunder, the game was actually quite even. So after carefully analyzing the box score, I felt a bit better about Tuesday night.
And then I looked at the Knicks-76ers box score, and felt worse again. Jalen Brunson shot 6-19 from the floor after seemingly making all his shots against the Spurs in the Finals. OG Anunoby went 1-10 from three, after shooting a bazillion percent from three (actually 50%) in the Finals. Now I am unhappy again. Stupid box scores.
By Lee Dresie / Pounding The Rock