[ESPN] NBA投注:每支球队一个推荐投注

By Andre Snellings, Eric Moody / ESPN, 2026-10-16 18:38:00

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2025-26赛季NBA将于周二拉开帷幕,圣安东尼奥马刺和俄克拉荷马城雷霆并列成为夺冠最大热门(+270)。紧随其后的是卫冕冠军纽约尼克斯和完成升级的费城76人,两队均为+900。

虽然并非每支球队都是争冠者,但每支球队都提供了投注机会。我们邀请NBA投注专家安德烈·斯内林斯 (Andre Snellings) 和埃里克·穆迪 (Eric Moody) 梳理各种可能性,为本赛季每支球队推荐一个未来投注。

赔率来自 DraftKings ,且可能随时变动。


斯内林斯看东部联盟

亚特兰大老鹰

投注:进入季后赛(-145),赢得东南分区冠军(+320)

老鹰在1月7日交易了特雷·杨 (Trae Young),此后以29胜15负的常规赛战绩收官,为同期NBA第七佳。随后老鹰在季后赛中对最终夺冠的纽约尼克斯取得2比1的领先,成为上赛季季后赛唯一一支从尼克斯身上赢下两场的球队。老鹰保留了赛季末的核心阵容,由冉冉升起的新星杰伦·约翰逊 (Jalen Johnson) 领衔,并补充了两名来自雷霆冠军阵容的贡献者(吕盖尔茨·多特和阿隆·威金斯)以及乐透秀金斯顿·弗莱明斯。他们似乎有望延续强劲的收官势头,继续提升。

波士顿凯尔特人

投注:胜场超过51.5场(-105)

杰伦·布朗 (Jaylen Brown) 被交易后,凯尔特人进入新时代,但从很多方面来看,这支球队与上赛季杰森·塔图姆 (Jayson Tatum) 缺阵时的情况类似。两种情况下,他们都是围绕过去近十年带领球队的两位球星之一来建队。上赛季,布朗带领凯尔特人取得56胜。本赛季的球队阵容比上赛季更加均衡,中锋位置引进了米切尔·罗宾逊,保罗·乔治(健康时)也加入了核心阵容。上赛季的56胜对这支球队来说是一个合理的目标,因此超过51.5胜的盘口颇具价值。

布鲁克林篮网

投注:小迈克尔·布朗 (Mikel Brown Jr.) 入选最佳新秀第一阵容(+220)

布朗是本届NBA选秀的第五顺位新秀,预计从第一天起就将成为篮网的首发后卫。他是一名技术成熟的外线进攻创造者,有潜力在这届新秀中领跑得分和助攻榜。虽然这届新秀人才济济、深度十足,但布朗打出进入第一阵容表现的赔率优于2比1。

夏洛特黄蜂

投注:参加附加赛(+130)

黄蜂上赛季是东部第九种子,是四支附加赛球队之一。他们领先第11种子的雄鹿12个胜场,而雄鹿此后交易走了球队MVP扬尼斯·阿德托昆博 (Giannis Antetokounmpo)。黄蜂是一支上升期的球队,由布兰登·米勒 (Brandon Miller) 和康·克尼普尔 (Kon Knueppel) 两位外线得分手领衔,并且本赛季休赛期用控卫拉梅洛·鲍尔 (LaMelo Ball) 换来纳兹·里德后,前场实力也得到加强。缺少鲍尔可能会限制他们的上限,使其无缘季后赛,但他们仍应明显强于非附加赛级别的球队。

芝加哥公牛

投注:凯莱布·威尔逊 (Caleb Wilson) 当选年度最佳新秀(+350)

威尔逊是今年这届历史级NBA选秀中四位状元候选之一,凭借的是他在大学时期展现的顶级运动能力、防守潜质以及突破手/终结者的进攻打法。但在拉斯维加斯夏季联赛中,威尔逊展现出了全新的三分投射倾向,无论接球投还是运球后出手都能命中。如果威尔逊能在NBA延续这种投射表现,他将具备冲击年度最佳新秀的巨大潜力,尤其是随着他逐渐成为这支快节奏公牛的门面和建队核心,有望打出亮眼数据。

克利夫兰骑士

投注:晋级分区半决赛(+125),赢得中部分区冠军(+195)

骑士两个赛季前曾以64胜、场均净胜9.5分的战绩成为东部头号种子。上赛季,常规赛因控卫达里厄斯·加兰 (Darius Garland) 的伤病等因素而表现低迷,随后骑士在赛季末将加兰交易换来詹姆斯·哈登 (James Harden),一路打进东部决赛。虽然东部整体在今夏变得更强,但骑士应能迎回同一批核心球员,他们在常规赛和季后赛都证明过成功的能力。以正赔率投注他们比上赛季多走一轮,即便在新的东部格局下也是有价值的选择。

底特律活塞

投注:凯德·坎宁安 (Cade Cunningham) 入选最佳阵容第一阵容(+275)

坎宁安连续两个赛季入选最佳阵容,2024-25赛季入选第三阵容,上赛季入选第一阵容。他连续两个赛季在MVP投票中位列前七,年仅25岁仍在进步。坎宁安上赛季带领年轻的活塞夺得东部头号种子,如果他本赛季打出类似水准,他再次入选第一阵容的概率将远高于2.75比1。

印第安纳步行者

投注:泰瑞斯·哈利伯顿 (Tyrese Haliburton) 当选常规赛场均助攻王(+450)

哈利伯顿因跟腱撕裂缺席了整个上赛季,如今即将回归。在受伤前为步行者效力的三个完整赛季中,哈利伯顿场均送出10.2次助攻,并在2023-24赛季以10.9次助攻领跑全联盟。步行者的整个进攻体系都围绕哈利伯顿运转;在他效力期间,球队进攻效率曾位列NBA前十(2023-24赛季排名第二),而缺少他的上赛季则跌至第29位。随着哈利伯顿回归掌舵,球队进攻应能重回高效,哈利伯顿也应再度大量送出助攻。

迈阿密热火

投注:扬尼斯·阿德托昆博当选MVP(+1200)

阿德托昆博被交易至热火后,本赛季迎来全新开始。从2018-19赛季到2024-25赛季的八个赛季中,他全部位列MVP投票前四,并两度获奖。上赛季他因伤病困扰仅出战生涯最低的36场比赛。如果阿德托昆博能保持健康打出常规出场时间,他依然拥有巨大的场上影响力(上赛季雄鹿在他上场时每百回合净胜14.4分),而热火若能重返前三种子争夺行列,阿德托昆博将再次成为MVP热门。虽然这些假设很多,但随着他加盟新球队,任何球队进步都会为他的MVP叙事加分。以12赔1的赔率投注阿德托昆博获MVP,是少有的具备实际发生概率的冷门投注。

密尔沃基雄鹿

投注:胜场低于24.5场(+110)

上赛季在没有阿德托昆博的46场比赛中,雄鹿的净效率为场均-7.7分。虽然本赛季阵容会有所不同,但雄鹿在今夏交易阿德托昆博时已选择重建,上赛季“无字母哥”时期的数据可以作为本赛季预期水平的合理参考。在过去四个NBA赛季中,16支场均净负超过7.5分的球队无一胜场超过22场,平均每季仅19.2胜。

纽约尼克斯

投注:杰伦·布伦森 (Jalen Brunson) 入选最佳阵容第一阵容(+200)

布伦森已连续三个赛季入选最佳阵容第二阵容,凭借带领尼克斯重返争冠行列,巩固了他纽约超级巨星的地位。而上赛季,他带领尼克斯夺得NBA总冠军并荣膺总决赛MVP。这让布伦森在全联盟的地位更上一层楼。他如今被普遍视为联盟最佳球员之一,如果他再次带领尼克斯打出强势常规赛,他将有很大机会获得足够选票,首次入选最佳阵容第一阵容。

奥兰多魔术

投注:参加附加赛(+110)

魔术过去两个赛季均参加了附加赛,上赛季取得45胜,前一赛季41胜。这两个赛季他们都饱受核心球员伤病困扰,尤其是年轻球星保罗·班切罗 (Paolo Banchero) 和弗朗茨·瓦格纳 (Franz Wagner),因此若能保持健康,他们具备提升的上限。另一方面,东部在今夏变得更强,本赛季争夺前六种子的难度可能大于近年。综合来看,魔术预计将处于东部前十的下半区,很有机会连续第三个赛季参加附加赛。

费城76人

投注:晋级分区半决赛(-125)/分区决赛(+200)

76人上赛季赢得附加赛后,又在首轮爆冷击败二号种子凯尔特人,晋级分区半决赛。随后他们在今夏完成NBA最大手笔,引进前总决赛MVP杰伦·布朗和勒布朗·詹姆斯 (LeBron James),补充泰瑞斯·马克西 (Tyrese Maxey)、乔尔·恩比德 (Joel Embiid) 和VJ·埃奇科姆组成的核心阵容。虽然如此巨大的变动可能带来磨合阵痛,且两位前MVP(詹姆斯和恩比德)都存在年龄和伤病隐忧,但这支球队的天赋表明他们有能力争夺总冠军。以接近平赔的赔率投注这支球队至少达到上赛季的成绩,感觉是相当稳健的价值选择。

多伦多猛龙

投注:常规赛胜场超过46.5场(-105)

猛龙上赛季取得46胜,一支令人惊喜的上升期阵容凝聚成型,打出了超出预期的表现。今夏,他们将头号得分手布兰登·英格拉姆 (Brandon Ingram) 交易换来科怀·伦纳德 (Kawhi Leonard)。伦纳德作为一名冠军级球员,曾在此前效力猛龙期间为球队带来总冠军,他提升了球队的上限。猛龙具备货真价实的50胜以上实力,预计将更接近争冠者而非上赛季的黑马角色,因此46.5胜的门槛更像是这支球队健康状态下的下限。

华盛顿奇才

投注:特雷·杨当选场均助攻王(+290)

在职业生涯的前八个赛季中,杨的场均助攻逐年提升,并在2024-25赛季达到联盟领先的11.6次。上赛季,杨先是受到伤病困扰,随后被老鹰交易至奇才,打出了职业生涯最差的助攻赛季。本赛季他将带领一支年轻但有天赋的奇才阵容,各个位置都有终结点,包括安东尼·戴维斯 (Anthony Davis)、AJ·迪班萨 (AJ Dybantsa) 和亚历克斯·萨尔 (Alex Sarr) 三位前场得分手,他们都是潜在的挡拆/挡拆外弹搭档。杨职业生涯一直大量且高效地利用持球掩护来创造个人和团队进攻。


穆迪看西部联盟


凯里·欧文 (Kyrie Irving) 缺席一个赛季后回归,与库珀·弗拉格 (Cooper Flagg) 联手。Zhizhao Wu/Getty Images

达拉斯独行侠

投注:胜场超过33.5场(-105)

独行侠本赛季的胜场应能超过26场。库珀·弗拉格在新秀赛季不断进步,没有理由认为这种趋势会停止。凯里·欧文的回归也将为这支半场进攻效率垫底的球队带来巨大改变。达拉斯还拥有一些颇具潜力的防守拼图,尤其是P.J.·华盛顿 (P.J. Washington) 和德里克·莱夫利二世 (Dereck Lively II)。如果欧文和莱夫利能保持健康,独行侠有望争夺附加赛席位。

丹佛掘金

投注:胜场超过48.5场(-110)

掘金上赛季取得54胜,尽管阿隆·戈登 (Aaron Gordon) 仅出战36场,他们的首选首发五人组共同出战时战绩为18胜5负。尼古拉·约基奇 (Nikola Jokić) 和贾马尔·穆雷 (Jamal Murray) 依然领衔着NBA最好的进攻之一,德玛尔·德罗赞 (DeMar DeRozan) 的加入又增加了一个得分选择。失去佩顿·沃森 (Peyton Watson) 对防守有所影响,但戈登更健康以及角色球员更多产出,应能推动掘金超过这一盘口。

金州勇士

投注:胜场超过37.5场(-120)

勇士上赛季仅取得37胜,斯蒂芬·库里 (Stephen Curry) 和吉米·巴特勒三世 (Jimmy Butler III) 合计缺席83场。库里依然场均得到26.6分,但与克里斯塔普斯·波尔津吉斯 (Kristaps Porzingis)(含附加赛)仅共同出战五场。更多的磨合时间应有助于进攻,而布兰丁·波杰姆斯基 (Brandin Podziemski) 和新秀亚克塞尔·伦德博格 (Yaxel Lendeborg) 则增加了阵容深度。如果库里保持健康、巴特勒在赛季中期前后回归,勇士应会有所提升。

休斯顿火箭

投注:胜场超过47.5场(-125)

火箭上赛季在没有弗雷德·范弗利特 (Fred VanVleet) 且史蒂文·亚当斯 (Steven Adams) 一月后缺阵的情况下取得52胜。范弗利特的回归应能减轻阿尔佩伦·申京 (Alperen Sengun) 的组织压力,而亚当斯在场时火箭的净效率高达+11.8。凯文·杜兰特 (Kevin Durant) 和申京也多了一年磨合化学反应的时间,阿门·汤普森 (Amen Thompson) 则为火箭超过这一盘口提供了又一个理由。

洛杉矶快船

投注:胜场低于28.5场(-115)

快船上赛季取得42胜,但如今已是一支截然不同的球队。科怀·伦纳德、詹姆斯·哈登和伊维察·祖巴茨 (Ivica Zubac) 均已离队,而上赛季伦纳德不在场时,快船每百回合净负6.3分。达里厄斯·加兰和布兰登·英格拉姆能带来得分,但前场单薄,阵容也需要时间培养化学反应。

洛杉矶湖人

投注:卢卡·东契奇 (Luka Doncic) 当选常规赛场均三分命中王(+330)

东契奇上赛季场均命中4.0记三分位列联盟第二,场均出手10.8次。他在2023-24赛季也曾场均命中4.1记三分。随着勒布朗·詹姆斯如今转投费城,东契奇将拥有更多自主创造进攻的机会。很少有球员能兼具他这样的三分出手量和命中率,这使他成为领跑联盟场均三分榜的有力候选。

孟菲斯灰熊

投注:卡梅隆·布泽尔 (Cameron Boozer) 当选年度最佳新秀(+300)

布泽尔在杜克大学场均得到22.5分和10.2个篮板,荣获美联社全国年度最佳球员称号。他可以说是这届新秀中即战力最强的球员,并在孟菲斯迎来了绝佳的处境。随着贾·莫兰特 (Ja Morant) 离队、灰熊进入重建期,布泽尔从第一天起就应扮演重要角色。他具备锁定这一奖项的天赋和机会。

明尼苏达森林狼

投注:拉梅洛·鲍尔常规赛拿下5次以上三双(+900)

鲍尔上赛季场均送出7.1次助攻,与安东尼·爱德华兹 (Anthony Edwards) 搭档应能创造更多助攻机会。得分不成问题,关键在于篮板。身高6尺7寸的鲍尔具备在任何一晚抢下两位数篮板的身体条件。五次三双目标不小,尤其考虑到他的伤病史,但一个健康的赛季将让他拥有切实的机会。

新奥尔良鹈鹕

投注:德里克·奎因 (Derik Queen) 场均抢下8个以上篮板(+140)

奎因新秀赛季场均仅出战25分钟便抢下7.1个篮板。在手腕伤病打乱去年备战之后,奎因迎来了职业生涯第一个完整的NBA休赛期进入第二年,并表示自己更强壮、状态更好。出场时间仍是最大疑问,但即使出场时间适度增加,也可能推动他场均篮板突破8.0个。

俄克拉荷马城雷霆

投注:胜场低于62.5场(-110)

雷霆上赛季取得64胜,但失去吕盖尔茨·多特、以赛亚·乔 (Isaiah Joe) 和阿隆·威金斯,意味着外线防守、投射和替补得分同时流失。这些离队球员留下了近60分钟的出场时间需要填补,卡森·华莱士 (Cason Wallace)、阿杰伊·米切尔 (Ajay Mitchell) 和几名年轻球员将承担更多责任。俄克拉荷马城依然是争冠热门,但要赢下63场绝非易事。

菲尼克斯太阳

投注:胜场超过40.5场(+105)

太阳上赛季在杰伦·格林 (Jalen Green) 仅出战32场的情况下取得45胜,而他们只需41胜即可超过这一盘口。德文·布克 (Devin Booker) 依然是进攻核心,迈尔斯·布里奇斯 (Miles Bridges) 增加得分火力,卢克·肯纳德 (Luke Kennard) 则提供外线投射。太阳上赛季防守效率还排名联盟第九。如果格林保持健康,太阳完全有能力超过这一盘口。

波特兰开拓者

投注:胜场低于42.5场(-130)

开拓者上赛季取得42胜,但本赛季想达到43胜并不容易。达米安·利拉德 (Damian Lillard) 正从跟腱撕裂中回归,贾·莫兰特仅出战20场,谢登·夏普 (Shaedon Sharpe) 可能缺席大半个赛季。波特兰上赛季进攻效率仅列第21位,如何将莫兰特和利拉德与德尼·阿夫迪亚 (Deni Avdija) 融合也是另一大挑战。

萨克拉门托国王

投注:多曼塔斯·萨博尼斯 (Domantas Sabonis) 当选常规赛场均篮板王(+900)

萨博尼斯从2022-23赛季到2024-25赛季连续三个赛季领跑联盟场均篮板,在最近一个健康赛季中场均抢下生涯最高的13.9个。膝伤使他上赛季仅出战19场,但萨博尼斯预计能在揭幕战前做好准备。如果能恢复常规出场负荷,萨博尼斯很有机会重夺篮板王头衔。

圣安东尼奥马刺

投注:迪伦·哈珀 (Dylan Harper) 当选年度进步最快球员(+900)

哈珀新秀赛季场均仅出战22.6分钟便得到11.8分和3.9次助攻。他折算每36分钟可得18.8分、5.4个篮板和6.1次助攻的数据,展现了获得更多出场时间后的潜力。哈珀在季后赛中也有出色发挥,在连续两场NBA总决赛比赛中分别砍下21分和25分。马刺后场深度充足,但哈珀应有机会承担更重要的角色。

犹他爵士

投注:达林·彼得森 (Darryn Peterson) 场均得到20分以上(+190)

彼得森在堪萨斯大学期间尽管受到伤病困扰,仍场均得到20.2分,三分命中率达38.2%。这位榜眼秀可以在场上任何位置得分,并具备自主创造机会的能力。彼得森将与基翁特·乔治 (Keyonte George) 和劳里·马尔卡宁 (Lauri Markkanen) 争夺球权,但爵士应会给他充足的进攻发挥空间。

由生成式 AI 翻译,翻译内容可能不准确或不完整,以原文为准。

查看原文:NBA betting: One bet to make on every team

NBA betting: One bet to make on every team

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The 2025-26 NBA season tips off Tuesday, and the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder are co-favorites to win the NBA championship (+270). Right behind them are the defending champion New York Knicks and upgraded Philadelphia 76ers, both at +900.

While not every team is a contender, every team still offers a chance to make a bet. We tasked NBA betting experts Andre Snellings and Eric Moody to sort through the possibilities and suggest a future bet on every team this season.

Odds by DraftKings and subject to change.


Snellings on the Eastern Conference

Atlanta Hawks

Bet: To make playoffs (-145), to win Southeast Division (+320)

The Hawks traded Trae Young on Jan. 7, and after that trade finished with a 29-15 regular-season record that was the seventh best in the NBA in that span. The Hawks then went up two games to one on the eventual champion New York Knicks in the playoffs, the only team to win two games against the Knicks this past postseason. The Hawks return their core that finished the season, led by budding star Jalen Johnson, and supplemented that with two contributors from the Oklahoma City Thunder championship team (Luguentz Dort and Aaron Wiggins) as well as a lottery pick in Kingston Flemings. They seem poised to continue to improve upon their strong finish.

Boston Celtics

Bet: OVER 51.5 wins (-105)

The Celtics are in a new regime after the Jaylen Brown trade, but in many ways this team is analogous to the one last season when Jayson Tatum was out. In both situations, they built a team around one of the two stars who have led them for the past near-decade. Last season, Brown led the Celtics to 56 wins. This season’s team has better balance than last, with Mitchell Robinson brought in at center and Paul George, when healthy, as new additions to the rest of the core. Last season’s 56 wins are a reasonable goal for this team, making over 51.5 wins solid value.

Brooklyn Nets

Bet: Mikel Brown Jr. to be named first-team All-Rookie (+220)

Brown was the fifth pick in the NBA draft and projects to be the starting guard for the Nets from Day 1. He is a polished perimeter offense creator and has the potential to be among the leaders in both points and assists in this class. While this is a deep draft class with a lot of talent, Brown has a better than 2-to-1 chance to play his way onto the first team.

Charlotte Hornets

Bet: To participate in play-in tournament (+130)

The Hornets were the ninth seed in the Eastern Conference last season, one of four play-in teams. They finished 12 games ahead of the 11th-seeded Bucks, who have since traded away franchise MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo. The Hornets are an up-and-coming team, led by two perimeter scoring wings in Brandon Miller and Kon Knueppel, and they also have a strengthened front line after bringing in Naz Reid in exchange for point guard LaMelo Ball this offseason. The lack of Ball may limit their upside enough to keep them out of the playoffs, but they should still be significantly better than the non-play-in caliber teams.

Chicago Bulls

Bet: Caleb Wilson to win Rookie of the Year (+350)

Wilson was one of the four candidates to be drafted No. 1 overall in this year’s historic NBA draft, and that was on the strength of his elite athleticism, defensive upside and slasher/finisher offensive game he displayed in college. But in the Las Vegas Summer League, Wilson displayed a brand new proclivity for taking and making 3-pointers off both the catch-and-shoot and off the dribble. If Wilson continues to display that shooting in the NBA, he has serious Rookie of the Year upside, particularly as he settles in as the face and franchise player for a fast-paced Bulls unit, which could lead to big numbers.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Bet: To qualify for conference semifinals (+125), win Central Division (+195)

The Cavaliers were the top seed in the Eastern Conference two seasons ago after winning 64 games with a +9.5 PPG scoring margin. Last season, after a down regular season inspired in part by injuries to point guard Darius Garland, the Cavaliers rode the late-season trade of Garland for James Harden and played their way to the Eastern Conference finals. While the Eastern Conference as a whole got stronger this offseason, the Cavaliers should return a team with the same key players who have demonstrated the capacity for success in both the regular season and playoffs. To be able to bet them, at plus money, to make it a round earlier than they made it last season is value, even in the new Eastern Conference.

Detroit Pistons

Bet: Cade Cunningham to be named first-team All-NBA (+275)

Cunningham has been All-NBA in each of the last two seasons, was third team in 2024-25 and first team last season. He finished top seven in the MVP voting in both seasons, and at age 25 he is still improving. Cunningham led a young Pistons team to the top seed in the Eastern Conference last season, and if he plays at a similar level this season he has a much better than 2.75-to-1 chance to repeat his slot on the First Team.

Indiana Pacers

Bet: Tyrese Haliburton regular-season assists-per-game leader (+450)

Haliburton is returning after missing all last season with a torn Achilles. In his three full seasons with the Pacers before his injury, Haliburton averaged 10.2 APG. He led the NBA in the 2023-24 season with 10.9 APG. The Pacers run their entire offense through Haliburton; they ranked top 10 in the NBA in team offensive rating in his last two seasons with them (second in 2023-24) but fell to 29th last season without him. With Haliburton back at the helm, the offense should return to high efficiency and Haliburton should again rack up assists.

Miami Heat

Bet: Giannis Antetokounmpo to win MVP (+1200)

Antetokounmpo gets a fresh start this season after being traded to the Heat. He finished top four in MVP voting in all eight campaigns from 2018-19 through 2024-25, winning twice. Last season he played a career-low 36 games as he battled injury. If Antetokounmpo is healthy enough to play his typical minutes, he continues to have a massive on-court impact (the Bucks were 14.4 points per 100 possessions better with Antetokounmpo on the court versus off the court last season) and the Heat are able to return to top-three seed contention this season, then Antetokounmpo would again be among the MVP favorites. Those are a lot of ifs, but with him joining a new team, he’ll gain a narrative bump from any team improvement. And getting 12-1 odds, Antetokounmpo for MVP is the rare long shot with a tangible probability to occur.

Milwaukee Bucks

Bet: UNDER 24.5 wins (+110)

The Bucks had a net rating of -7.7 PPG in 46 games without Antetokounmpo last season. While this season’s lineup will be different, the Bucks embraced a rebuild when they traded Antetokounmpo this offseason, and last season’s “without Giannis” numbers make a reasonable estimate to their expected level this season. In the last four NBA seasons, none of the 16 teams with point differentials worse than -7.5 won more than 22 games, with an average of 19.2 wins per season.

New York Knicks

Bet: Jalen Brunson to be named first-team All-NBA (+200)

Brunson has been named second-team All-NBA in three straight seasons, cementing his status as a New York superstar for leading the Knicks back into contention. But last season, he led the Knicks to the NBA championship and earned the Finals MVP. This lifted Brunson to a new status around the league. He is now widely considered one of the best players in the league, and if he once again leads the Knicks to a strong regular season, he will have a good chance to earn enough votes to earn his inaugural first-team All-NBA nod.

Orlando Magic

Bet: To participate in play-in tournament (+110)

The Magic have participated in the play-in tournament in each of the past two seasons, winning 45 games last season and 41 the season before. They battled injury to key players during both seasons, particularly to young stars Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner, so with complete health, they have the upside to improve. On the other hand, the Eastern Conference has gotten tougher this offseason, so it is likely that it will be more difficult to earn a top six seed this season than in recent years. All told, the Magic project to be a team in the bottom half of the top 10 in the East, giving them a good chance to be in the play-in for the third straight season.

Philadelphia 76ers

Bet: To reach conference semifinals (-125)/conference finals (+200)

The 76ers reached the conference semifinals last season after winning their play-in game and then upsetting the second-seeded Celtics in the first round. They then proceeded to make the biggest splash in the NBA this offseason, bringing in former Finals MVPs Jaylen Brown and LeBron James to supplement their core of Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid and VJ Edgecombe. While changes this big could lead to some growing pains, and with both former MVPs (James and Embiid) having age and injury concerns, the talent on this team suggests they could contend for the NBA title. Getting essentially even money for the team to just get as far as they made it last season feels like solid value.

Toronto Raptors

Bet: OVER 46.5 regular-season wins (-105)

The Raptors won 46 games last season, as a surprising up-and-coming roster came together and played above expectations. This offseason, they traded leading scorer Brandon Ingram for Kawhi Leonard. Leonard gives them a higher ceiling as a championship-caliber player who brought the Raptors a championship in his previous tenure with the squad. They have legitimate 50-plus win capability and are expected to be closer to a contender than the plucky underdogs of a season ago, so the 46.5-win threshold seems more like the healthy floor for this group.

Washington Wizards

Bet: Trae Young assists per game leader (+290)

In the first eight seasons of his career, Young increased his assists per game output each campaign and peaked at a league-leading 11.6 APG in 2024-25. Last season, Young battled injury before being traded from the Hawks to the Wizards and had his worst assists season as a pro. He enters this season with a young but talented Wizards roster with finishers at every position, including three frontcourt scorers in Anthony Davis, AJ Dybantsa and Alex Sarr that are all potential pick-and-roll/pop partners. Young has been a high-volume strong utilizer of on-ball picks as a way to generate both individual and team offense in his career.


Moody on the Western Conference


Kyrie Irving returns after a missed season to pair with Cooper Flagg. Zhizhao Wu/Getty Images

Dallas Mavericks

Bet: OVER 33.5 wins (-105)

The Mavericks should win more than 26 games this season. Cooper Flagg improved throughout his rookie year, and there’s no reason to think that won’t continue. Getting Kyrie Irving back should also make a big difference for an offense that ranked last in half-court efficiency. Dallas has some intriguing defensive components, too, particularly P.J. Washington and Dereck Lively II. If Irving and Lively can stay healthy, the Mavericks could compete for a play-in spot.

Denver Nuggets

Bet: OVER 48.5 wins (-110)

The Nuggets won 54 games last season despite Aaron Gordon playing in just 36, and their preferred starting five went 18-5 together. Nikola Jokić and Jamal Murray still lead one of the NBA’s best offenses, with DeMar DeRozan adding another scoring option. Losing Peyton Watson hurts defensively, but better health from Gordon and more production from the supporting cast should push Denver past this total.

Golden State Warriors

Bet: OVER 37.5 wins (-120)

The Warriors won just 37 games last season, with Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler III missing a combined 83 games. Curry still averaged 26.6 PPG and played just five games alongside Kristaps Porzingis, including the play-in. More time together should help offensively, while Brandin Podziemski and rookie Yaxel Lendeborg add depth. If Curry stays healthy and Butler returns around midseason, Golden State should improve.

Houston Rockets

Bet: OVER 47.5 wins (-125)

The Rockets won 52 games last season without Fred VanVleet and with Steven Adams sidelined after January. VanVleet’s return should take some playmaking pressure off Alperen Sengun, while Houston posted a plus-11.8 net rating with Adams on the floor. Kevin Durant and Sengun also have another year to build chemistry, and Amen Thompson gives Houston another reason for the Rockets to surpass this line.

LA Clippers

Bet: UNDER 28.5 wins (-115)

The Clippers won 42 games last season, but this is a very different team. Kawhi Leonard, James Harden and Ivica Zubac are gone, and LA was outscored by 6.3 points per 100 possessions with Leonard off the floor. Darius Garland and Brandon Ingram bring scoring, but the frontcourt is thin and the roster will need time to develop chemistry.

Los Angeles Lakers

Bet: Luka Doncic regular-season 3-pointers made per game leader (+330)

Doncic finished second in the league in 3-pointers made per game (4.0) while averaging 10.8 attempts per game. He also averaged 4.1 triples in 2023-24. With LeBron James now in Philadelphia, Doncic should have even more opportunities to create his own offense. Few players can match his combination of shooting volume and production, positioning him as a legitimate candidate to lead the league in 3s per game.

Memphis Grizzlies

Bet: Cameron Boozer to win Rookie of the Year (+300)

Boozer averaged 22.5 PPG and 10.2 RPG at Duke, earning AP National Player of the Year honors. He is arguably the most NBA-ready player in this rookie class and steps into a great situation in Memphis. With Ja Morant is gone and the Grizzlies rebuilding, Boozer should have a major role from day one. He has the talent and opportunity to lock down this award.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Bet: LaMelo Ball to record 5+ triple-doubles in the regular season (+900)

Ball averaged 7.1 APG last season, and playing alongside Anthony Edwards should create more assist opportunities. Scoring won’t be an issue, so rebounding will be the key. At 6-foot-7, Ball has the size to reach double-digit rebounds on any given night. Five triple-doubles is ambitious, especially given his injury history, but a healthy season gives him a legitimate shot.

New Orleans Pelicans

Bet: Derik Queen to average 8+ RPG (+140)

Queen averaged 7.1 RPG in just 25 MPG as a rookie. After a wrist injury disrupted his preparation last year, Queen enters Year 2 coming off his first full NBA offseason and says he’s stronger and in better shape. Playing time remains the biggest question, but even a modest increase in minutes could push him past 8.0 RPG.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Bet: UNDER 62.5 wins (-110)

The Thunder won 64 games last season, but losing Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe and Aaron Wiggins takes away perimeter defense, shooting and bench scoring. Those departures leave nearly 60 minutes per game to fill, putting more responsibility on Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell and several young players. Oklahoma City remains a championship contender, but winning 63 games is a tall order.

Phoenix Suns

Bet: OVER 40.5 wins (+105)

The Suns won 45 games last season despite Jalen Green playing just 32, and they only need 41 to clear this total. Devin Booker remains the offensive centerpiece, while Miles Bridges adds scoring and Luke Kennard provides outside shooting. Phoenix also ranked ninth in defensive rating last season. If Green stays healthy, the Suns are well positioned to surpass this line.

Portland Trail Blazers

Bet: UNDER 42.5 wins (-130)

The Blazers won 42 games last season, but getting to 43 this season won’t be easy. Damian Lillard is returning from a torn Achilles, Ja Morant played just 20 games, and Shaedon Sharpe could miss much of the season. Portland also ranked 21st in offensive rating, and fitting Morant and Lillard alongside Deni Avdija presents another challenge.

Sacramento Kings

Bet: Domantas Sabonis regular-season rebounds-per-game leader (+900)

Sabonis led the league in RPG for three consecutive seasons from 2022-23 through 2024-25, averaging a career-high 13.9 in his most recent healthy campaign. A knee injury limited him to 19 games last season, but Sabonis is expected to be ready for the opener. If he returns to his usual workload, Sabonis has a good chance to reclaim the rebounding title.

San Antonio Spurs

Bet: Dylan HarperMost Improved Player of the Year (+900)

Harper averaged 11.8 PPG and 3.9 APG in just 22.6 MPG as a rookie. His per-36 averages of 18.8 points, 5.4 rebounds and 6.1 assists show what he could do with more playing time. Harper also stepped up in the playoffs, scoring 21 and 25 points in consecutive NBA Finals games. The Spurs have plenty of depth in the backcourt, but Harper should have an opportunity to take on a larger role.

Utah Jazz

Bet: Darryn Peterson to average 20+ PPG (+190)

Peterson averaged 20.2 PPG at Kansas despite dealing with injuries and shot 38.2% from beyond the arc. The second overall pick can score from anywhere on the floor and create his own opportunities. Peterson will compete for touches with Keyonte George and Lauri Markkanen, but Utah should give him ample opportunities to contribute offensively.

By Andre Snellings, Eric Moody / ESPN