[MURRAY] NBA球员分档：哪些球星有望攀升——又有谁可能下滑？
By TheAthletic / r/NBASpurs / Reddit, 2026-10-10 06:38:53
今年春季，The Athletic 推出了年度 NBA球员分档 (NBA Player Tiers)， 将125名球员划分到了五个档次中。然而，聚光灯显然更多地聚焦在第一档和第二档的这30位球员身上——他们基本上就是最常决定谁能争冠、谁能进季后赛并最终问鼎总冠军的超级巨星。他们是联盟的门面，也是全世界最优秀的球员。
这些分档并非一成不变。年龄、健康状况、球队环境、季后赛表现以及个人成长，都能迅速改变一名球员所处的排位。
因此，随着新赛季的拉开帷幕，我们不禁要问：谁的身价行情最有可能发生变动？
这并非2026年球员分档的官方重新洗牌，而是审视那些上升通道最明确的球员、急需证明自己的球星，以及排位最岌岌可危、极易下滑的群体。
在对他们进行评估时，我主要思考五个问题：该球员的上限究竟有多高？他的出勤率能有多少？他对球队取胜的贡献有多大？他能将这一水准维持多久？以及他身处的球队环境又会对以上所有方面产生怎样的影响？
基于这些考量，以下是我在2026-27赛季将重点关注的内容：https://chinaspurs.com/t/topic/48736
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由生成式 AI 翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
查看原文：[MURRAY] NBA Player Tiers: Which stars are poised to rise — and who could fall?
[MURRAY] NBA Player Tiers: Which stars are poised to rise — and who could fall?
In the spring, The Athletic presented the annual NBA Player Tiers, placing 125 players across five tiers. But there is certainly a brighter spotlight for the 30 players in Tiers 1 and 2, essentially the stars who most often decide who contends, who makes the playoffs and ultimately who wins a championship. They are the faces of the league and the best players in the world.
These tiers weren’t designed to be permanent. Age, health, team context, postseason performance and individual development can change a player’s standing quickly.
So with another season beginning, it’s worth asking: Whose stock is most likely to move?
This isn’t an official reordering of the 2026 Player Tiers. Instead, it’s a look at the players with the clearest path upward, the stars with something to prove and the ones most vulnerable to slipping.
When evaluating them, I’m primarily thinking about five questions: How good can that player be? How often can he play? How much can he contribute to winning? How long can he sustain this level? And how does his team context affect all of the above?
With that in mind, here’s what I’ll be watching in 2026-27: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7657624/2026/10/09/player-tiers-nba-preseason-rise-fall/?unlocked_article_code=1.HVE.I-4w.lmuTf9jzTgy0&source=emp_shared_article&smid=url-share-ta
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By TheAthletic / r/NBASpurs / Reddit