By ESPN, 2026-05-04 22:39:00
NBA季后赛将于周一继续进行分区半决赛。此前经历了一个疯狂的首轮，波士顿凯尔特人 (Boston Celtics)、丹佛掘金 (Denver Nuggets) 和休斯顿火箭 (Houston Rockets) 分别在费城76人 (Philadelphia 76ers)、明尼苏达森林狼 (Minnesota Timberwolves) 和洛杉矶湖人 (Los Angeles Lakers) 的出色表现下遗憾出局。
你应该期待次轮出现更多冷门吗？有哪些值得下注的选择？
以下是安德烈·斯内林斯 (Andre Snellings)、埃里克·穆迪 (Eric Moody)、埃里克·卡拉贝尔 (Eric Karabell)、吉姆·麦考密克 (Jim McCormick) 和史蒂夫·亚历山大 (Steve Alexander) 为大家带来的解答，并提供了他们对次轮各系列赛的最佳投注建议。
赔率由 DraftKings Sportsbook 提供，可能会发生变动。
西部联盟最佳投注建议
第1号种子俄克拉荷马城雷霆 vs 第4号种子洛杉矶湖人
系列赛精确比分：雷霆 4-1 (+205)： 湖人在缺少关键球员的情况下击败了火箭，这确实很棒，但雷霆完全是另一种级别的对手。谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大 (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander) 是不可阻挡的，湖人也防不住他。这个系列赛不应该有太多悬念。雷霆将轻松取胜，唯一的问题是湖人能否赢下一场。—— Karabell
系列赛精确比分：雷霆 4-0 (+120)： 湖人击败火箭晋级的表现非常令人印象深刻，现在他们将目光转向雷霆，后者在首轮悄无声息地横扫了菲尼克斯。我们不知道卢卡·东契奇 (Luka Doncic) 何时能再次上场，但雷霆很有可能横扫湖人，而我们本赛季可能再也见不到东契奇了。我不认为在没有东契奇的情况下，湖人能赢下哪怕一场比赛。—— Alexander
湖人 +2.5 场 (+220)： 在常规赛末段东契奇受伤的那场对决中，雷霆大胜湖人，且在东契奇受伤前就领先了30多分。但由卢卡领衔的湖人对雷霆的防线来说是一个极其糟糕的对位，雷霆拥有像吕冈茨·多尔特 (Lu Dort) 这样强壮的侧翼防守者，可以一对一防守卢卡而无需包夹，从而不给他传球角度。另一方面，在勒布朗·詹姆斯 (LeBron James) 的带领下，湖人打出了更以团队为中心的进攻，这可能会给雷霆带来更多麻烦。这个投注要求湖人至少赢下两场，显然这被认为是不太可能的，因为你可以获得相当丰厚的高赔。但我认为湖人有合理的理由将系列赛推至第六场，额外的赔率回报值得去冒这个险。—— Snellings
奥斯汀·里夫斯 (Austin Reaves) 系列赛三分球命中数领跑 (+330)： 在这个系列赛三分榜首的赔率中，里夫斯是最被看好的，仅领先于吉尔杰斯-亚历山大。在本赛季常规赛中，里夫斯每36分钟的三分出手次数比吉尔杰斯-亚历山大高出约40%，这一投注是看好里夫斯随着系列赛的进行状态会越来越好。本赛季在东契奇不在场的情况下，里夫斯的使用率提升了8.6%（全队最高），且每36分钟多出手1.5个三分球，这扩大了他在该项数据上对其他球员的优势。—— McCormick
第2号种子圣安东尼奥马刺 vs 第6号种子明尼苏达森林狼
系列赛总场数超过 5.5 场 (+230)： 是的，森林狼可能缺少关键球员，而文班 (Wemby) 领衔的马刺看起来极具统治力，但现在还不是质疑森林狼的时候。他们在没有安东尼·爱德华兹 (Anthony Edwards) 和其他几名球员的情况下，在第六场击败了掘金。此外，森林狼在常规赛对阵马刺的系列赛中占优。他们不需要赢得这轮系列赛就能让这个投注胜出。—— Karabell
第一场森林狼 +13.5 (-105)： 这两支球队在常规赛交手三次，森林狼赢了两场，且三场比赛中有两场的分差在3分以内。是的，在失去丹特·迪温琴佐 (Donte DiVincenzo) 和爱德华兹后，森林狼伤痕累累，但阿约·多孙穆 (Ayo Dosunmu)（小腿伤势）有机会出战，将是赛前决定。杰登·麦克丹尼尔斯 (Jaden McDaniels) 状态火热，朱利叶斯·兰德尔 (Julius Randle) 和多孙穆也是森林狼可靠的进攻武器。我可以预见马刺会轻视这支没有爱德华兹、迪温琴佐甚至可能没有多孙穆的球队，但13.5分确实太多了，我认为森林狼在淘汰尼古拉·约基奇 (Nikola Jokic) 和掘金后会继续保持良好的表现。—— Alexander
东部联盟最佳投注建议
在首轮对阵奥兰多的系列赛中，尽管背水一战，1号种子活塞依然找到了晋级之路。AP Photo/Duane Burleson
第1号种子底特律活塞 vs 第4号种子克利夫兰骑士
骑士胜活塞 (+100)： 活塞整个赛季都保持着东部最佳战绩并获得了头号种子，但季后赛讲究的是对位。如果两队都发挥出最佳水平，我怀疑活塞是否拥有足够的进攻多样性来击败骑士四次。凯德·坎宁安 (Cade Cunningham) 作为进攻发起者表现惊人，托拜亚斯·哈里斯 (Tobias Harris) 也打得很强硬，但骑士在后场拥有两位顶级的进攻创造者——多诺万·米切尔 (Donovan Mitchell) 和詹姆斯·哈登 (James Harden)，而且骑士还拥有两位功能互补的强力大个子：埃文·莫布里 (Evan Mobley) 和贾勒特·阿伦 (Jarrett Allen)。两队在常规赛战成2-2平，且大多数比赛分差都在几分之内。活塞拥有坚韧的底色，但我认为骑士可以从更多角度发起进攻，最终这将帮助他们赢得系列赛。—— Snellings
比赛场数恰好为六场 (+200)： 投注本系列赛超过5.5场的赔率为-190，而恰好打六场或七场的赔率均设定为+200。我更倾向于六场，预计其中一支球队会找到一种可复制的策略——即谁能赢得球权争夺战或维持半场进攻。瞄准七场看起来也是可行的。第一场活塞仅作为3.5分的夺冠热门开盘，这一事实突显了这个系列赛可能会有多么接近。—— McCormick
活塞 4-3 (+380)： 活塞在深度、防守和平衡性上略占优势，尽管骑士仍然是一个强大的对手。坎宁安作为球星和MVP候选人的崛起，以及他本届季后赛场均32.4分和7.1次助攻的表现，为底特律的进攻提供了动力，而杰伦·杜伦 (Jalen Duren) 场均9.4个篮板的表现则稳固了内线。两队在常规赛战平，且在首轮经历七场大战后都展现了应对逆境的能力。这个系列赛具备了战至最后一刻的所有要素。—— Moody
第3号种子纽约尼克斯 vs 第7号种子费城76人
总场数超过 5.5 场 (-130)： 这轮系列赛具备了打持久战的所有要素：球星力量、宿怨以及势均力敌的实力。尼克斯以全联盟第五高的净效率 (+6.4) 结束了常规赛，但76人拥有乔尔·恩比德 (Joel Embiid)、泰瑞斯·马克西 (Tyrese Maxey) 和保罗·乔治 (Paul George) 可以与之抗衡。马克西在上轮系列赛场均贡献26.9分和6.6次助攻，由于两队都有能力交替取胜，打到六场或七场似乎是大概率事件。—— Moody
76人 +2.5 场 (-180)： 虽然这需要支付较高的水钱，但这个投注非常适合与其他系列赛的长期投注搭配，例如通过过关投注将“雷霆在5.5场内获胜”结合起来以产生正向赔率。独立来看，考虑到76人在对阵凯尔特人时展现出的全新凝聚力，他们在这个系列赛中仅赢一场的可能性极低，因此这个投注物有所值。—— McCormick
76人 +1.5 场 (+105)： 76人是一个谜，但他们拥有东部剩余球队中最高的上限。本赛季，他们学会了如何在没有恩比德和乔治的情况下打球，并建立了一支仍能取得成功并获得季后赛资格的球队。随着恩比德和乔治的回归，他们击败了曾被视为东部冠军大热门的凯尔特人。尼克斯也是一支强队，但我认为76人至少能让系列赛保持悬念，并且有合理的胜算直接晋级。因此，同时获得1.5场的让分和正向赔率让这个投注极具价值。—— Snellings
由生成式 AI 翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
点击查看原文：2026 NBA playoffs betting: How to bet each second-round series
2026 NBA playoffs betting: How to bet each second-round series
The NBA playoffs continue Monday with the conference semifinals, after a wild opening round that saw the Boston Celtics, Denver Nuggets and Houston Rockets all bow out thanks to impressive performances by the Philadelphia 76ers, Minnesota Timberwolves and Los Angeles Lakers.
Should you expect more upsets in the second round? And what are the bets to make?
Here are Andre Snellings Eric Moody, Eric Karabell, Jim McCormick and Steve Alexander to answer that and provide their best bets for each second-round series.
Odds by DraftKings Sportsbook and subject to change.
Best bets for the Western Conference
No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder vs. No. 4 Los Angeles Lakers
Series correct score OKC 4-1 (+205): It’s great that the Lakers, missing key players, hammered the Rockets, but the Thunder are a different animal. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander can’t be stopped, not by Lakers. This series shouldn’t be close. Thunder romp, and the question is whether the Lakers take a game or not. – Karabell
Series correct score OKC 4-0 (+120): The Lakers pulled off a very impressive win over the Rockets to advance and will now focus their sights on the Thunder, who quietly swept Phoenix in Round 1. We don’t know when Luka Doncic will play again, but it’s possible the Thunder sweep the Lakers and we won’t see Doncic again this season. I don’t see how the Lakers win even one game without Doncic. – Alexander
Lakers +2.5 games (+220): The Thunder blew the Lakers out in their late-season matchup where Doncic got hurt, and were winning by more than 30 points before the injury. But the Luka-led Lakers are a horrible matchup against the Thunder defense, where they have physical wing defenders like Lu Dort that can defend Luka 1-on-1 without doubling and giving him passing angles. With LeBron James leading the way, on the other hand, the Lakers play a more team-centric offense that could give the Thunder more trouble. This bet would require the Lakers to win two games, and that is clearly considered unlikely because you can get this at significant plus money. But I think there is a reasonable chance the Lakers push this to six games, and the extra juice makes it worth taking the chance. – Snellings
Austin Reaves to lead series in 3-pointers made (+330): Reaves has the shortest odds to pace this series in 3-pointers, just ahead of Gilgeous-Alexander. Taking roughly 40% more 3-pointers per 36 minutes than Gilgeous-Alexander this regular season, this is a bet on Reaves getting healthier as the series unfolds. Reaves enjoys a team-high 8.6% jump in usage rate while taking 1.5 more 3-pointers per 36 minutes with Doncic off the court this season, extending his shooting advantage over the field in this series. – McCormick
No. 2 San Antonio Spurs vs. No. 6 Minnesota Timberwolves
Series total games over 5.5 (+230): Yes, the Wolves may be missing key players and the Wemby-led Spurs look dominant, but now is not the time to doubt the Wolves. They handled the Nuggets in Game 6 without Anthony Edwards and several others. Also, the Wolves won the season series against the Spurs. They don’t need to win this series to win this bet. – Karabell
Timberwolves +13.5 in Game 1 (-105): These two teams clashed three times in the regular season and the Wolves won two of them, while two of the three games were decided by three points or less. Yes, the Wolves are banged up after losing Donte DiVincenzo and Edwards, but Ayo Dosunmu (calf) has a chance to play and will be a game-time call. Jaden McDaniels is cooking and Julius Randle and Dosunmu are also solid offensive weapons for the Wolves. I can see the Spurs overlooking this team without Edwards, DiVincenzo and possibly Dosunmu, but 13.5 points is a lot and I think the Wolves will keep playing well after eliminating Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets. – Alexander
Best bets for the Eastern Conference
With their backs against the wall in the opening series against Orlando, the No. 1 seed Pistons still found a way. AP Photo/Duane Burleson
No. 1 Detroit Pistons vs. No. 4.Cleveland Cavaliers
Cavaliers over Pistons (+100): The Pistons had the best record in the Eastern Conference all season and earned the top seed, but the playoffs are about matchups. And if both teams play at their best, I question whether the Pistons have enough diversity to their offensive game plan to be able to beat the Cavaliers four times. Cade Cunningham is amazing as an offense generator and Tobias Harris is playing strong ball, but the Cavaliers have two elite offense creators in the backcourt in Donovan Mitchell and James Harden, and the Cavs also have two strong big men that do different things in Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen. These teams split their regular season series 2-2, with most of the games settled by just a few points. The Pistons have the grit on their side, but I think the Cavaliers can attack from more angles and ultimately that will let them win the series. – Snellings
Exactly six games played (+200): It costs -190 to bet on more than 5.5 games played in this series, while the prices for exactly six or seven games are set equally at +200. I lean to six games, expecting one of these teams to identify a repeatable strategy – namely, who can win the possession battle or sustain half-court offense. Aiming for seven games appears viable, as well. The fact Game 1 opened with the Pistons as just 3.5-point favorites underscores how close this series could prove. – McCormick
Pistons 4-3 (+380): The Pistons have a slight edge with their depth, defense and balance, though the Cavaliers remain a formidable opponent. Cunningham’s emergence as a star and MVP candidate, along with his 32.4 PPG and 7.1 APG this postseason, powers Detroit’s offense, while Jalen Duren’s 9.4 RPG anchors the interior. The teams split the regular-season series 2-2, and both have shown they can handle adversity after seven-game series in the first round. This series has all the makings of one that goes the distance. – Moody
No. 3 New York Knicks vs. No. 7 Philadelphia 76ers
Over 5.5 games (-130): This series has all the ingredients to go long, with star power, bad blood and evenly matched talent. The Knicks finished the regular season with the fifth highest net rating (+6.4), but the 76ers can counter with Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey and Paul George. Maxey just averaged 26.9 PPG and 6.6 APG in the last series, and with both teams capable of trading wins, six or seven games seems likely. – Moody
76ers +2.5 games (-180): This is a lot of juice to pay, yet it’s also a bet that pairs well with other series-long wagers, such as the Thunder to win in under 5.5 games to create plus odds via a parlay. Independently, this bet is worth the cost given the unlikely outcome that the Sixers win just one game in this series after showing a new level of cohesion against the Celtics. – McCormick
76ers +1.5 games (+105): The 76ers are an enigma, but they have the highest ceiling of any team left in the Eastern Conference. This season, they learned how to play without Embiid and George and built a team that could still find success and qualify for the postseason. With Embiid and George back, they were able to topple the Celtics that were the favorites to win the Eastern Conference. The Knicks are a strong team as well, but I think the 76ers at least keep the series close and have a reasonable chance to win outright. So, getting both 1.5 games and plus money give this bet value. – Snellings
By ESPN, via ESPN