[PtR] 数据评分:投篮低效葬送马刺,系列赛次战不敌开拓者

By Boxscorehistory | Pounding The Rock (PtR), 2026-04-22 12:30:00

这场比赛开局就很糟糕,波特兰打出了 15-4 的攻势;当文班因脑震荡离场时,情况变得愈发严峻;第四节马刺领先达到两位数时,局势稍有缓和;但随后他们在最后几分钟挥霍了领先优势,结局就像一份变质的蛋沙拉一样令人作呕。直白点说:即便没有维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama),马刺也比开拓者更强,正如他们今年早些时候以及本场比赛大部分时间所证明的那样。然而,这支圣安东尼奥马刺极度缺乏季后赛经验,而这一点在关键时刻暴露无遗。话虽如此,昨晚的比赛确实产生了一些有趣的(尽管通常令人失望的)技术统计,希望大家在回顾比赛精华时能得到些许慰藉:

注: 既然我们已经进入了季后赛,评分所使用的参考周期也随之改变,从 2012-2013 赛季以来的常规赛样本,切换为 2012-2013 赛季以来的季后赛样本。除非下文另有说明,否则该样本确实包含附加赛。截至 2026 年 4 月 21 日结束,该样本组共包含 1,135 场比赛。

决定比赛的因素

  • 波特兰在进攻篮板 (+3) 和失误 (-2) 方面略占优势,但这些优势对进攻机会的影响微乎其微。事实上,虽然开拓者的投篮次数确实多了 3 次,但他们的犯规也更频繁,且犯规时机更糟,导致圣安东尼奥在罚球次数上领先 5 次。
  • 遗憾的是,银黑军团的罚球命中率仅为令人失望的 71.43%,白白丢掉了 8 个关键分。
  • 鉴于圣安东尼奥在罚球线上确实比波特兰多得了 3 分,比赛最终是在运动战中决出的。有趣的是,两队都命中了 38 个进球,这意味着马刺在投篮命中率上实际上还保持着微弱优势 (+1.49 个百分点)。
  • 然而,开拓者更加倚重外线投射,三分出手数多出 14 次。马刺极低的三分效率也让波特兰在三分命中率上取得了 5.04 个百分点的优势。综合来看,这些因素让开拓者在三分命中数上领先 6 个,导致波特兰在运动战得分上比圣安东尼奥多出 6 分。

罕见的技术统计

  • 本场比赛出现了大量的抢断和盖帽,且分布极不均衡。事实上,这是自 2012-2013 赛季以来,仅有的第 8 场获胜方在盖帽差值达到 +6 或以上的同时,抢断差值却在 -5 或以下的季后赛(发生频率为每 142 场比赛一次)。
  • 在 2012-2013 赛季以来的 1,135 场季后赛中,这仅是第 11 次有球队在运动战进球数差值不高于 +0 且罚球命中数差值低至 -3 或更糟的情况下赢得比赛。
  • 尽管斯蒂芬·卡斯尔 (Stephon Castle) 最终仅得到 18 分,但他仍是马刺队的得分王。这绝非成功的秘诀,因为自 1996-1997 赛季以来,获胜方得分王仅拿到如此低分的季后赛只有 74 场。此外,随着时间的推移,这种情况变得越来越罕见,在昨晚之前,上一次出现还是在 2021 年。

什么是球队评分表 (Team Graded Box Scores)?

简而言之,这些数据表是对胜负双方基础统计数据的差值进行评分,评分标准基于获胜方的差值相对于特定参考周期内其他 NBA 获胜方的表现。可以把它看作是一张成绩单,用来了解某场比赛的获胜方相对于其他获胜方的表现如何。所使用的参考周期从 2012-2013 赛季开始至今,且仅包含相同类型的赛季比赛(即常规赛和季后赛不会相互比较)。

数据来源: 制作这些数据表所使用的基础数据收集自 Basketball Reference。在所有情况下,数据均在比赛结束后的次日早晨收集。虽然罕见,但数据收集后可能会出现赛后统计修正,并可能影响最终结果。

由生成式人工智能翻译,译文内容可能不准确或不完整,以原文为准。

点击查看原文:Box Grades: Inefficient shooting doomed Spurs in Game 2 vs. Blazers

Box Grades: Inefficient shooting doomed Spurs in Game 2 vs. Blazers

This game started off bad when Portland jumped to a 15-4 lead, became terrible when Wemby went down with a concussion, softened somewhat when the Spurs led by double digits in the fourth, and then landed like bad egg salad when they squandered that lead in the final minutes. Let’s be blunt: the Spurs are better than the Blazers even in the absence of Victor, as they proved earlier this year and for a big chunk of playing time in this game. However, this iteration of San Antonio is sorely lacking in playoff experience, and that absolutely showed down the stretch. Having said all of this, last night’s game did produce some interesting (albeit often disappointing) box score stats, and I hope you all will take solace in reviewing the highlights:

Note: Now that we’ve moved into the postseason, the reference period used for grading changes from the set of regular season games since 2012-2013 to the set of postseason games since 2012-2013. Unless otherwise noted below, this set DOES include play-in games. As of the end of April 21, 2026, this group include 1,135 games.

Factors that decided the game

  • Portland held minor edges in offensive boards (+3) and turnovers (-2), but these advantages had a minimal effect on offensive opportunity. In fact, while the Blazers did have three more field goal attempts, they also fouled the Spurs more often and at worse times, resulting in a FTA margin of +5 for San Antonio.
  • Unfortunately, the Silver and Black logged a disappointing free throw percentage of 71.43%, leaving eight crucial points on the table.
  • Given that San Antonio did outscore Portland by three at the charity stripe, the game ultimately was decided from the field. Interestingly, both teams made exactly 38 shots, meaning that the Spurs actually held a small edge in FG% (+1.49 percentage points).
  • However, the Blazers leaned much more heavily into shooting from distance, with a 3PA margin of +14. The Spurs’ terrible efficiency from three also gave Portland a +5.04 percentage-point edge in 3P%. Taken together, these forces generated a +6 3PM differential for the Blazers, resulting in Portland outscoring San Antonio by six from the field.

Rare Box Score Stats

  • There were quite a lot of steals and blocks in this game, and they were really unevenly distributed. In fact, this was just the eighth playoff games since 2012-2013 in which the winning team had a block differential of +6 or more while having a steal differential of -5 or less (that’s a frequency of once in every 142 games).
  • In the 1,135 playoff games since 2012-2013, this was just the 11th time that a team won while notching FGM and FTM differentials as bad or worse than +0 and -3, respectively.
  • Even though he finished with just 18 points, Castle was the Spurs’ leading scorer. This is not a great recipe for success, as there have only been 74 playoff games dating all the way back to 1996-1997 in which the winning team’s leading scorer register a point total at least this low. Furthermore, this event has become increasingly rare over time, with the last occurrence prior to last night being in 2021.

What are Team Graded Box Scores?

Very briefly, these box scores grade winner-loser differentials for basic box score statistics, with the grade being based on the winning team’s differential relative to other NBA winners during a defined reference period. Think of it like a report card for understanding how a given winner performed relative to other winners. The reference period used runs from the start of the 2012-2013 season to the latest date of play, including only games in the same season category (i.e., regular season and playoff games are not compared to each other).

***Data Source:*The underlying data used to create these box scores was collected fromBasketball Reference. In all cases, the data are collected the morning after the game is played. Although rare, postgame statistical revisions after data collection do occur and may affect the results after the fact.

By Boxscorehistory, via Pounding The Rock