[ESPN] NBA实力榜：常规赛最后两周，30支球队的关注焦点

阿拉莫议事厅
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By ESPN | ESPN, 2026-04-01 19:00:00

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NBA常规赛已进入最后两周。随着赛程接近尾声，大多数非乐透区球队仍有很多目标需要去争取。

俄克拉荷马城雷霆队正试图抵挡势头强劲的圣安东尼奥马刺队，以保住西部榜首位置及整个季后赛期间的主场优势。就在这两支相互竞争的球队之后，洛杉矶湖人队正力求锁定西部第三号种子，而丹佛掘金队、明尼苏达森林狼队和休斯顿火箭队则紧随其后。

在东部，底特律活塞队在分区榜首拥有明显的领先优势。但接下来的季后赛对阵形势将如何演变？哪些球队又会跌入附加赛？

每支球队的赛程仅剩寥寥数场，但仍有许多悬念待解。本周，我们的NBA专家团将为您剖析实力榜全部30支球队在最后阶段的核心看点。

注：球队排名基于专家团成员（ESPN的Anthony Slater、Dave McMenamin、Jamal Collier、Michael C. Wright、Ohm Youngmisuk、Tim Bontemps、Tim MacMahon、Vincent Goodwill和Zach Kram）的投票结果。

往期排名： 季前赛 | 10月29日 | 11月5日 | 11月12日 | 11月19日 | 11月26日 | 12月3日 | 12月10日 | 12月17日 | 12月24日 | 12月31日 | 1月7日 | 1月14日 | 1月21日 | 1月28日 | 2月4日 | 2月11日 | 2月25日 | 3月4日 | 3月11日 | 3月18日 | 3月25日

跳转至特定球队：
ATL | BOS | BKN | CHA | CHI | CLE
DAL | DEN | DET | GS | HOU | IND
LAC | LAL | MEM | MIA | MIL | MIN
NO | NY | OKC | ORL | PHI | PHX
POR | SAC | SA | TOR | UTAH | WAS

1. 俄克拉荷马城雷霆 (Oklahoma City Thunder)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 60胜16负
  • 往期排名： 1
  • 后续赛程： 对阵 湖人 (4月2日)，对阵 爵士 (4月5日)，客战 湖人 (4月7日)

俄克拉荷马城能否保住头号种子的位置？雷霆在过去20场比赛中取得了18胜2负的佳绩，但面对在过去27场比赛中打出25胜2负的圣安东尼奥马刺队，他们仍未能拉开差距。截至周三，雷霆在胜率榜上仍领先2.5个胜场。然而，马刺凭借4胜1负的交锋战绩握有平分决胜权（tiebreaker）。雷霆还剩六场比赛：湖人、爵士、湖人、快船、掘金和太阳。如果雷霆能至少赢得五场，他们将锁定季后赛全过程的主场优势；如果输掉两场，他们将为势头正盛的马刺打开反超的大门。—— Anthony Slater

2. 圣安东尼奥马刺 (San Antonio Spurs)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 57胜18负
  • 往期排名： 4
  • 后续赛程： 客战 勇士 (4月1日)，客战 快船 (4月2日)，客战 掘金 (4月4日)，对阵 开拓者 (4月6日)

圣安东尼奥似乎在最正确的时机达到了巅峰。但现在的疑问是，马刺能否在让核心球员为季后赛轮休的同时，将状态再提升一个档次。自2月1日以来，这支年轻且充满自信的球队取得了25胜2负的战绩，目前正处于九连胜中，他们坚信最好的时刻尚未到来，尤其是法国天才维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama) 正在开启一段疯狂表现，力争夺得职业生涯首个MVP。由达龙·福克斯 (De’Aaron Fox)、斯蒂芬·卡斯尔 (Stephon Castle) 和迪伦·哈珀 (Dylan Harper) 组成的后场三人组在冲击禁区方面表现出色，这为朱利安·尚帕尼 (Julian Champagnie)、哈里森·巴恩斯 (Harrison Barnes) 和德文·瓦塞尔 (Devin Vassell) 创造了大量空位外线机会。—— Michael C. Wright

3. 底特律活塞 (Detroit Pistons)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 52胜19负
  • 往期排名： 2
  • 后续赛程： 对阵 森林狼 (4月2日)，客战 76人 (4月4日)，客战 魔术 (4月6日)

活塞领先凯尔特人四个胜场并握有平分决胜权，看起来很有希望保住头号种子。凯德·坎宁安 (Cade Cunningham) 因伤预计缺阵至季后赛，为了在空窗期维持竞争力，主教练 J.B. 比克斯塔夫 (J.B. Bickerstaff) 提升了部分球员的角色。杰伦·杜伦 (Jalen Duren) 正逐渐成为核心得分手，而达尼斯·詹金斯 (Daniss Jenkins) 在承担更多责任后表现亮眼。活塞还重新找回了赛季后半段曾一度滑坡的窒息防守。考虑到坎宁安即将回归，比克斯塔夫必须让球员们重新回到更适合季后赛的角色中——前提是活塞能尽快锁定胜局。—— Vincent Goodwill

4. 波士顿凯尔特人 (Boston Celtics)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 50胜25负
  • 往期排名： 3
  • 后续赛程： 客战 热火 (4月1日)，客战 雄鹿 (4月3日)，对阵 猛龙 (4月5日)，对阵 黄蜂 (4月7日)

波士顿最终将排在东部第二或第三位，因此最后几场比赛围绕凯尔特人的核心问题是：杰森·塔图姆 (Jayson Tatum) 在季后赛会呈现出怎样的状态？他上周确实获得了东部周最佳球员，但周日在客场战胜夏洛特的比赛中爆发的投篮表现，在他复出后的整体表现中仍属个例。随着赛程末段将面对多支季后赛级别的对手，塔图姆将有更多机会将竞技状态调整到最佳。—— Tim Bontemps

5. 纽约尼克斯 (New York Knicks)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 48胜28负
  • 往期排名： 6
  • 后续赛程： 客战 灰熊 (4月1日)，对阵 公牛 (4月3日)，客战 老鹰 (4月6日)

争取更好的排名与让球员为季后赛做好准备，哪一个更重要？这是迈克·布朗 (Mike Brown) 必须面对的微妙平衡。随着迈尔斯·麦克布莱德 (Miles McBride) 从疝气手术中回归，这意味着教练在季后赛可以采用多达九人的轮换。这与他2023年在萨克拉门托执教的上一支季后赛球队有所不同，当时他在首轮系列赛中只有七名球员场均出场超过20分钟。尼克斯首发球员的场均出场时间较上赛季全面下降，乔什·哈特 (Josh Hart) 场均少打7分钟，卡尔-安东尼·唐斯 (Karl-Anthony Towns) 减少了5分钟。但这支球队能否找到节奏，尤其是在麦迪逊广场花园以三场主场比赛收尾的情况下？他们会尝试追赶凯尔特人争夺二号种子，还是安于第三名，即便克利夫兰骑士队正在步步紧逼？—— Goodwill

6. 洛杉矶湖人 (Los Angeles Lakers)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 50胜26负
  • 往期排名： 5
  • 后续赛程： 客战 雷霆 (4月2日)，客战 独行侠 (4月5日)，对阵 雷霆 (4月7日)

湖人在冲刺阶段有两场“竞赛”要赢。第一场是压制住丹佛、明尼苏达和休斯顿，保住西部第三号种子的位置。另一场是继续为卢卡·东契奇 (Luka Doncic) 职业生涯首次荣膺MVP制造声势。湖人主帅 JJ·雷迪克 (JJ Redick) 本周表示，如果洛杉矶和东契奇在最后阶段能保持目前的火热状态，那么“对我来说，他就是MVP”。—— Dave McMenamin

7. 丹佛掘金 (Denver Nuggets)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 48胜28负
  • 往期排名： 8
  • 后续赛程： 客战 爵士 (4月1日)，对阵 马刺 (4月4日)，对阵 开拓者 (4月6日)

随着阿隆·戈登 (Aaron Gordon) 和佩顿·沃特森 (Peyton Watson) 从长时间的腿筋拉伤缺阵中回归，掘金终于恢复了完整阵容。球队希望在首轮主场优势争夺战白热化之际，能在最后阶段建立起稳固的防守体系。丹佛目前的防守效率排名联盟第21位，每百回合失分116.0分，是所有季后赛球队中最差的。但在戈登在场时，他们的防守效率为111.3，这一数据可排在联盟第四。—— Tim MacMahon

8. 克利夫兰骑士 (Cleveland Cavaliers)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 47胜29负
  • 往期排名： 7
  • 后续赛程： 客战 勇士 (4月2日)，对阵 步行者 (4月5日)，客战 灰熊 (4月6日)

谁会成为骑士队首轮的对手？克利夫兰在下半赛季的大部分时间里都锁定在东部第四的位置，但他们的对手一直在变动。目前猛龙和老鹰并列第五，而费城仅落后1.5个胜场。骑士也有提升排名的机会。截至周二，骑士仅落后排名第三的尼克斯一个胜场。—— Jamal Collier

9. 明尼苏达森林狼 (Minnesota Timberwolves)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 46胜29负
  • 往期排名： 9
  • 后续赛程： 客战 活塞 (4月2日)，客战 76人 (4月3日)，对阵 黄蜂 (4月5日)，客战 步行者 (4月7日)

安东尼·爱德华兹 (Anthony Edwards) 已于周一回归赛场，但森林狼现在必须应对杰登·麦克丹尼尔斯 (Jaden McDaniels) 因左膝骨挫伤缺阵的局面。现在的问题是，森林狼最终会进入4-5名的对阵（几乎确定对手是丹佛），还是会掉到休斯顿之后进入3-6名的对阵，从而连续第二年在季后赛首轮遭遇湖人。—— Bontemps

10. 休斯顿火箭 (Houston Rockets)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 46胜29负
  • 往期排名： 10
  • 后续赛程： 对阵 雄鹿 (4月1日)，对阵 爵士 (4月3日)，客战 勇士 (4月5日)，客战 太阳 (4月7日)

稳定性以及关键时刻的执行力仍是火箭希望在季后赛开始前解决的问题。除此之外，火箭还发现自己需要设法让老将凯文·杜兰特 (Kevin Durant) 在季后赛前获得休息。这位37岁的前锋在出战72场比赛后，场均出场时间（36.4分钟）位列联盟第三。由于火箭在西部排名中紧咬丹佛和明尼苏达，同时还要防备排名第七的太阳，他们既需要赢球、提升稳定性，又要设法让最强大的进攻利器得到喘息。这绝非易事。—— Michael C. Wright

11. 亚特兰大老鹰 (Atlanta Hawks)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 43-33
  • 往期排名： 11
  • 后续赛程： 客战 魔术 (4月1日)，客战 篮网 (4月3日)，对阵 尼克斯 (4月6日)

老鹰将寻求在最后两周保持火热状态并持续磨合。奎因·斯奈德 (Quin Snyder) 对这支阵容的调教非常出色，在过去18场比赛中取得了16胜2负。老鹰希望保住第六或更好的排名以避开附加赛。他们将通过与魔术、尼克斯、骑士（两次）以及常规赛收官战对阵热火的关键比赛，来检验自己近期的强势表现。杰伦·约翰逊 (Jalen Johnson) 的星光愈发耀眼，本赛季的核心目标就是让这些年轻的老鹰球员在季后赛系列赛中积累宝贵的经验。—— Ohm Youngmisuk

12. 多伦多猛龙 (Toronto Raptors)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 42胜33负
  • 往期排名： 13
  • 后续赛程： 对阵 国王 (4月1日)，客战 灰熊 (4月3日)，客战 凯尔特人 (4月5日)，对阵 热火 (4月7日)

部分得益于周日以52分大胜（！）奥兰多魔术，猛龙仍被看好能锁定东部前六并避开附加赛。只要猛龙能在对阵赛程中三支摆烂球队（国王、灰熊和篮网）时稳扎稳打，并且不被非摆烂球队（凯尔特人、尼克斯，以及两次对阵热火）横扫，他们就应该能自动获得自2021-22赛季以来的首次季后赛资格。—— Zach Kram

13. 菲尼克斯太阳 (Phoenix Suns)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 42胜34负
  • 往期排名： 12
  • 后续赛程： 客战 黄蜂 (4月2日)，客战 公牛 (4月5日)，对阵 火箭 (4月7日)

对于排名第七的太阳来说，最后四场比赛中有三场可能对季后赛形势产生重大影响。他们将在主场迎战目前西部第六的火箭，随后前往洛杉矶挑战湖人，最后客场对阵俄克拉荷马城。尽管仍落后火箭3.5个胜场，但如果太阳能在冲刺阶段保持连胜，或许他们能赶超火箭，从而避开附加赛。—— Dave McMenamin

14. 洛杉矶快船 (LA Clippers)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 39胜37负
  • 往期排名： 18
  • 后续赛程： 对阵 马刺 (4月2日)，客战 国王 (4月5日)，对阵 独行侠 (4月7日)

快船还剩两场对阵波特兰和一场对阵金州的比赛。他们目前排名西部第八，开拓者第九，勇士第十。这些最后阶段对决的结果可能会搅动附加赛的种子顺位，并决定快船是拥有主场优势，还是必须远赴客场来延续他们的赛季。—— Dave McMenamin

15. 夏洛特黄蜂 (Charlotte Hornets)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 40胜36负
  • 往期排名： 14
  • 后续赛程： 对阵 太阳 (4月2日)，对阵 步行者 (4月3日)，客战 森林狼 (4月5日)，客战 凯尔特人 (4月7日)

黄蜂上周末在主场接连负于76人和凯尔特人，但这被视为一次积极的经历。114-118负于费城的比赛展现出了季后赛般的强度，年轻的黄蜂队正在吸收每一个学习时刻。在最后两周，黄蜂将努力争取东部最佳排名——很可能是附加赛席位——并继续积累经验。夏洛特必须在关键时刻表现得更好，最后三场客战波士顿、主战活塞以及客战尼克斯的比赛将是巨大的考验。—— Ohm Youngmisuk

16. 费城76人 (Philadelphia 76ers)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 41胜34负
  • 往期排名： 15
  • 后续赛程： 客战 奇才 (4月1日)，对阵 森林狼 (4月3日)，对阵 活塞 (4月4日)，客战 马刺 (4月6日)

在经历了近乎整套首发阵容缺阵数周的困境后，费城在还剩几场比赛的情况下，正处于冲入东部前六名的边缘。可能没有哪支球队比费城更需要冲出附加赛区，以避免任何额外的受伤风险，并确保在季后赛开始时全员齐整。如果76人能做到这一点，对于上半区的任何球队来说，他们都将是一个危险的首轮对手。—— Tim Bontemps

17. 迈阿密热火 (Miami Heat)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 40胜36负
  • 往期排名： 16
  • 后续赛程： 对阵 凯尔特人 (4月1日)，对阵 奇才 (4月4日)，客战 猛龙 (4月7日)

迈阿密必须设法找回3月初七连胜期间的节奏。他们在过去九场比赛中输掉了七场，但周一以119-109战胜费城的比赛在东部排名中至关重要，因为76人此前领先热火1.5个胜场。热火现在必须在两场对阵华盛顿的比赛中稳拿胜局，然后通过客战猛龙（两场）、主战凯尔特人和收官战对阵老鹰的比赛来确定最终位次。健康，一如既往地是热火的命脉。—— Ohm Youngmisuk

18. 奥兰多魔术 (Orlando Magic)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 40胜35负
  • 往期排名： 17
  • 后续赛程： 对阵 老鹰 (4月1日)，客战 独行侠 (4月3日)，客战 鹈鹕 (4月5日)，对阵 活塞 (4月6日)

魔术必须在最后两周调整心态并恢复健康。在击败国王终结六连败后，魔术周日在多伦多甚至没表现出斗志，以52分的耻辱分差落败，期间还被对手打出了一波创纪录的31-0。但魔术仍有机会以积极的能量结束这个令人失望的赛季。弗朗茨·瓦格纳 (Franz Wagner)（左脚踝）已接近复出。他自2月11日以来就没打过球，魔术急需他回归才能在季后赛有所作为。全能后卫安东尼·布莱克 (Anthony Black)（左侧腹肌）也有机会在常规赛结束前回归。—— Ohm Youngmisuk

19. 波特兰开拓者 (Portland Trail Blazers)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 39胜38负
  • 往期排名： 19
  • 后续赛程： 对阵 鹈鹕 (4月2日)，客战 掘金 (4月6日)

开拓者能否挤掉快船升至第八？周二晚上，波特兰在洛杉矶取得了一场关键胜利，将与快船的胜场差缩小到半场。两队将在常规赛倒数第二场于波特兰再次交锋。这给了开拓者一个提升至第八名的真实机会，这将显著增加他们闯入季后赛的概率——因为第八名拥有两次赢球晋级的机会，而无需连续赢得两场生死战。—— Anthony Slater

20. 金州勇士 (Golden State Warriors)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 36胜39负
  • 往期排名： 20
  • 后续赛程： 对阵 马刺 (4月1日)，对阵 骑士 (4月2日)，对阵 火箭 (4月5日)，对阵 国王 (4月7日)

斯蒂芬·库里 (Stephen Curry) 的状态如何？在尝试从顽固的右膝伤势中复出却遭遇多次挫折后，库里终于在周二下午获准参加对抗训练。如果他的膝盖对5对5实战对抗反应良好，勇士计划在未来几天提升他的训练强度，并让他参加最后几场常规赛。这将为他在附加赛周面对两场生死战、力争季后赛第八席位之前提供一段找回节奏的“跑道”。—— Anthony Slater

21. 芝加哥公牛 (Chicago Bulls)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 29胜46负
  • 往期排名： 23
  • 后续赛程： 对阵 步行者 (4月1日)，客战 尼克斯 (4月3日)，对阵 太阳 (4月5日)，客战 奇才 (4月7日)

公牛在交易截止日到底完成了什么目标吗？

本周，在杰登·艾维 (Jaden Ivey) 在社交媒体上发表反同性恋言论后，公牛裁掉了这位后卫。艾维是公牛在截止日冒险签下的年轻球员之一，球队与他分道扬镳再次凸显了又一个灾难性的交易周期。公牛在2月份交易了七名球员，但没有一笔交易显著改善了他们的乐透签概率，也没有增加任何看起来契合未来的年轻球员。赛季最后几周将是公牛寻找转机的机会。—— Jamal Collier

22. 新奥尔良鹈鹕 (New Orleans Pelicans)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 25胜51负
  • 往期排名： 21
  • 后续赛程： 客战 开拓者 (4月2日)，客战 国王 (4月3日)，对阵 魔术 (4月5日)，对阵 爵士 (4月7日)

在周日以32分惨败给火箭并遭遇五连败后，临时主教练詹姆斯·博雷戈 (James Borrego) 批评了鹈鹕队懒散的态度。这也是新奥尔良本赛季第四次输掉30分以上（在队史上仅次于2024-25赛季的七次）。请记住，这是一支才华横溢的球队，他们本希望能以强势表现收官，为可能面临变动的休赛期注入一些乐观情绪。新奥尔良正寻求止颓，而博雷戈则希望能留任鹈鹕主帅。—— Michael C. Wright

23. 密尔沃基雄鹿 (Milwaukee Bucks)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 30胜45负
  • 往期排名： 22
  • 后续赛程： 客战 火箭 (4月1日)，对阵 凯尔特人 (4月3日)，对阵 灰熊 (4月5日)，客战 篮网 (4月7日)

扬尼斯·阿德托昆博 (Giannis Antetokounmpo) 本赛季还会上场吗？密尔沃基将九年来首次无缘季后赛，尽管在周日对阵快船的比赛中有多达九名球员缺阵，但球队仍未排除这位超级巨星复出的可能性。尽管雄鹿官方尚未给出定论，但主教练道格·里弗斯 (Doc Rivers) 上周表示，自3月15日膝盖再次受伤以来，仅出战36场的扬尼斯仍未随队参加训练。—— Jamal Collier

24. 孟菲斯灰熊 (Memphis Grizzlies)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 25胜50负
  • 往期排名： 24
  • 后续赛程： 对阵 尼克斯 (4月1日)，对阵 猛龙 (4月3日)，客战 雄鹿 (4月5日)，对阵 骑士 (4月6日)

在被伤病摧残的本赛季，孟菲斯目前排在西部第11位。让我们看看这支“摆烂”球队在收官阶段还能跌到什么程度。球队周二宣布了最新的伤病名单，二年级侧翼杰伦·威尔斯 (Jaylen Wells) 接受了右脚趾手术，将赛季报销。如果你在计数的话，目前已有八名球员缺阵，包括明星后卫贾·莫兰特 (Ja Morant) 和中锋扎克·伊迪 (Zach Edey)，而灰熊在最后七场比赛中将面对五支预期的季后赛球队。—— Michael C. Wright

25. 达拉斯独行侠 (Dallas Mavericks)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 24胜52负
  • 往期排名： 25
  • 后续赛程： 对阵 魔术 (4月3日)，对阵 湖人 (4月5日)，客战 快船 (4月6日)

库珀·弗拉格 (Cooper Flagg) 对最佳新秀的追逐，是这支正蹒跚滑向另一个乐透签的独行侠队唯一值得关注的理由。弗拉格打出了一个史诗级的新秀赛季——成为自ABA与NBA合并以来，继拉里·伯德、迈克尔·乔丹和卢卡·东契奇之后，第四位场均至少贡献20分、6个篮板和4次助攻的新秀。然而，弗拉格曾经的杜克室友康·克努佩尔 (Kon Knueppel) 已经取代他成为了最佳新秀的博彩头号热门。—— MacMahon

26. 犹他爵士 (Utah Jazz)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 21胜55负
  • 往期排名： 26
  • 后续赛程： 对阵 掘金 (4月1日)，客战 火箭 (4月3日)，客战 雷霆 (4月5日)，客战 鹈鹕 (4月7日)

爵士球迷肯定更希望直接快进到下个赛季，届时球队计划在经历了为期四年的摆烂重建后重新具备竞争力。在此期间，犹他可以专注于五号秀艾斯·贝利 (Ace Bailey) 的潜力和成长，他在3月份曾三次砍下30+。—— MacMahon

27. 萨克拉门托国王 (Sacramento Kings)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 19胜57负
  • 往期排名： 27
  • 后续赛程： 客战 猛龙 (4月1日)，对阵 鹈鹕 (4月3日)，对阵 快船 (4月5日)，客战 勇士 (4月7日)

国王能否提升他们的乐透签概率？国王近期在八场比赛中赢下五场，在排名上超过了步行者、奇才和篮网。这使得萨克拉门托获得状元签的概率从14%降至12.5%，获得前四签的概率从52.1%降至48.1%。目前国王19胜，而篮网18胜，步行者和奇才均为17胜。如果国王能跌到这三支球队中的任何一支之后，他们就能重新获得那些略高一点的概率。这虽然不是什么精彩的戏码，但本赛季的国王队确实也没什么引人入胜的表现。—— Anthony Slater

28. 布鲁克林篮网 (Brooklyn Nets)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 18胜58负
  • 往期排名： 28
  • 后续赛程： 对阵 老鹰 (4月3日)，对阵 奇才 (4月5日)，对阵 雄鹿 (4月7日)

布鲁克林只需要完成任务。篮网本赛季开始时致力于让五名首轮秀上场并寄希望于有人能打出来，同时也致力于摆烂。尽管小迈克尔·波特 (Michael Porter Jr.) 在承担第一得分点方面表现尚可，但他们的进攻效率仍排在联盟垫底。卡姆·托马斯 (Cam Thomas) 的表现起伏不定。现在剩下的就是向底部冲刺。如果篮网能留在倒数前三，他们将有14%的机会获得状元签，并有更高概率在这一届可能拥有四名基石球员的选秀中抽中前四。既然过程已经刻意变得如此丑陋，不如索性完成它。—— Vincent Goodwill

29. 印第安纳步行者 (Indiana Pacers)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 17胜58负
  • 往期排名： 30
  • 后续赛程： 客战 公牛 (4月1日)，客战 黄蜂 (4月3日)，客战 骑士 (4月5日)，对阵 森林狼 (4月7日)

步行者目前并列联盟战绩最差，有望获得极佳的乐透赔率。但由于篮网仅领先一个胜场（且双方还有一场直接对话），而国王领先两个胜场，对于这支希望在2026-27赛季重返争冠行列前签下一名顶级新秀的球队来说，每一场比赛依然至关重要。—— Zach Kram

30. 华盛顿奇才 (Washington Wizards)

  • 2025-26赛季战绩： 17胜58负
  • 往期排名： 29
  • 后续赛程： 对阵 76人 (4月1日)，客战 热火 (4月4日)，客战 篮网 (4月5日)，对阵 公牛 (4月7日)

如果这话你听着耳熟……奇才目前并列联盟战绩最差，有望获得极佳的乐透赔率。但由于篮网仅领先一个胜场（且双方还有一场直接对话），而国王领先两个胜场，对于这支希望在2026-27赛季重返争冠行列前签下一名顶级新秀的球队来说，每一场比赛依然至关重要。—— Zach Kram

由生成式人工智能翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。

点击查看原文：NBA Power Rankings: What to watch over the final two weeks for all 30 teams

NBA Power Rankings: What to watch over the final two weeks for all 30 teams

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The NBA’s regular season has reached its final two weeks, but most non-lottery teams still have plenty to play for as the schedule winds down.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are attempting to fend off the streaking San Antonio Spurs for the Western Conference’s top spot and home-court advantage throughout the playoffs. Just below those dueling teams, the Los Angeles Lakers are trying to clinch the West’s third seed as the Denver Nuggets, Minnesota Timberwolves and Houston Rockets chase them.

In the East, the Detroit Pistons have a strong lead atop the conference. But which playoff matchups will follow and which teams will fall into the play-in tournament?

With only a handful of games left on each team’s schedule but lots still to be decided, our NBA insiders look at the top storylines to watch for each of the 30 teams in this week’s Power Rankings.

Note: Team rankings are based on where members of our panel (ESPN’s Anthony Slater, Dave McMenamin, Jamal Collier, Michael C. Wright, Ohm Youngmisuk, Tim Bontemps, Tim MacMahon, Vincent Goodwill and Zach Kram) think teams belong.

Previous rankings: Preseason | Oct. 29 | Nov. 5 | Nov. 12 | Nov. 19 | Nov. 26 | Dec. 3 | Dec. 10 | Dec. 17 | Dec. 24 | Dec. 31 | Jan. 7 | Jan. 14 | Jan. 21 | Jan. 28 | Feb. 4 | Feb. 11 | Feb. 25 | Mar. 4 | Mar. 11 | Mar. 18 | Mar. 25

Jump to a team:
ATL | BOS | BKN | CHA | CHI | CLE
DAL | DEN | DET | GS | HOU | IND
LAC | LAL | MEM | MIA | MIL | MIN
NO | NY | OKC | ORL | PHI | PHX
POR | SAC | SA | TOR | UTAH | WAS

1. Oklahoma City Thunder

  • 2025-26 record: 60-16
  • Previous ranking: 1
  • Next games: vs. LAL (April 2), vs. UTAH (April 5), @ LAL (April 7)

Does Oklahoma City maintain its grip on the top seed? The Thunder have gone 18-2 across their past 20 games but haven’t generated any separation from a San Antonio Spurs team that has gone 25-2 over their prior 27 outings. Entering Wednesday, the Thunder were still up 2.5 games in the standings. But the Spurs own the tiebreaker with a 4-1 head-to-head record. OKC has six games left: Lakers, Jazz, Lakers, Clippers, Nuggets and Suns. If the Thunder win at least five, they’ll secure home-court advantage throughout the postseason; if they lose two, they’ll crack open the door for the surging Spurs. – Anthony Slater

2. San Antonio Spurs

  • 2025-26 record: 57-18
  • Previous ranking: 4
  • Next games: @ GS (April 1), @ LAC (April 2), @ DEN (April 4), vs. POR (April 6)

It appears San Antonio is peaking at just the right time. But the question now is whether the Spurs can take it up another notch while resting key contributors for the postseason. As winners of nine consecutive games with a record of 25-2 since Feb. 1, this young and confident team still believes the best is yet to come, especially with French phenom Victor Wembanyama embarking on a tear to try to capture his first MVP. The guard trio of De’Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle and Dylan Harper is flourishing at attacking the paint, which provides clean looks from deep for Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes and Devin Vassell. – Michael C. Wright

3. Detroit Pistons

  • 2025-26 record: 52-19
  • Previous ranking: 2
  • Next games: vs. MIN (April 2), @ PHI (April 4) @ ORL (April 6)

With a four-game lead on the Celtics and the tiebreaker, the Pistons look like a team that can hold onto the top seed. To keep Detroit afloat in Cade Cunningham’s injury absence that is expected to last until the playoffs, coach J.B. Bickerstaff has thrust players into increased roles. Jalen Duren is becoming more of a primary scorer, while Daniss Jenkins has thrived with the added responsibility. The Pistons also have rediscovered their hellacious defense, which had suffered some slippage in the second half of the campaign. Knowing that Cunningham will return, Bickerstaff has to get his players back into roles more suited to the playoffs – assuming the Pistons clinch soon. – Vincent Goodwill

4. Boston Celtics

  • 2025-26 record: 50-25
  • Previous ranking: 3
  • Next games: @ MIA (April 1), @ MIL (April 3), vs. Toronto (April 5), vs. CHA (April 7)

Boston will wind up either second or third in the East standings, so the question surrounding the Celtics for the final few games is, what will Jayson Tatum look like in the playoffs? He did win Eastern Conference Player of the Week honors last week, but Sunday’s breakout shooting performance in a win at Charlotte was an outlier following his return. With several playoff-caliber opponents on the schedule down the stretch, Tatum will get more chances to round his game into form. – Tim Bontemps

5. New York Knicks

  • 2025-26 record: 48-28
  • Previous ranking: 6
  • Next games: @ MEM (April 1), vs. CHI (April 3), @ ATL (April 6)

How important is the best seed versus getting players ready for the postseason? It’s a delicate balance that Mike Brown has to walk as the return of Miles McBride from hernia surgery means the coach can go as deep as nine in his rotation for the postseason. It would be a deviation from his last playoff team with Sacramento, which had seven players getting 20 minutes or more in its first-round playoff series in 2023. The starters’ minutes are down across the board for the Knicks from last season, as Josh Hart is playing seven fewer minutes per game and Karl-Anthony Towns is down five. But will this team be in a rhythm, especially with three games at Madison Square Garden to finish? Will they try to catch the Celtics as the second seed or sit comfortably in third, even as the Cavaliers are closing in? – Goodwill

6. Los Angeles Lakers

  • 2025-26 record: 50-26
  • Previous ranking: 5
  • Next games: @ OKC (April 2), @ DAL (April 5), vs. OKC (April 7)

The Lakers have two races they will try to win as they sprint toward the finish line. The first is holding off Denver, Minnesota and Houston to keep the No. 3 seed in the Western Conference. The other is continuing to make a case for Luka Doncic to be named MVP for the first time in his career. Lakers coach JJ Redick said this week that if Los Angeles and Doncic stay as hot as they’ve been down the stretch, then “to me, he is the MVP.” – Dave McMenamin

7. Denver Nuggets

  • 2025-26 record: 48-28
  • Previous ranking: 8
  • Next games: @ UTAH (April 1), vs. SAS (April 4), vs. POR (April 6)

The Nuggets are finally whole again with Aaron Gordon and Peyton Watson returning from extended absences due to hamstring strains. The hope is that Denver can create some decent defensive identity down the stretch as the fight for home-court advantage in the first round heats up. Denver ranks 21st in defensive efficiency, allowing 116.0 points per 100 possessions as the worst mark among teams headed for the postseason. Its defensive rating with Gordon on the floor is 111.3, which would rank fourth in the league. – Tim MacMahon

8. Cleveland Cavaliers

  • 2025-26 record: 47-29
  • Previous ranking: 7
  • Next games: @ GS (April 2), vs. IND (April 5), @ MEM (April 6)

Who will emerge as the Cavaliers’ first-round foe? Cleveland has spent most of the second half locked into the No. 4 spot in the East, but its opponent has been in flux. There are two teams, Toronto and Atlanta, currently tied for the No. 5 seed, with Philadelphia only 1.5 games behind. There’s also a chance Cleveland moves up in the standings. Entering Tuesday, the Cavs trailed the Knicks by one game for the third seed. – Jamal Collier

9. Minnesota Timberwolves

  • 2025-26 record: 46-29
  • Previous ranking: 9
  • Next games: @ DET (April 2), @ PHI (April 3), vs. CHA (April 5), @ IND (April 7)

With Anthony Edwards back on the court after returning Monday, Minnesota now has to navigate being without Jaden McDaniels, who is sidelined with a bone bruise in his left knee. The question, however, is whether the Wolves will land in the 4-5 matchup – all but certainly with Denver – or fall behind Houston into the 3-6 matchup and a first-round series with the Lakers for a second straight year. – Bontemps

10. Houston Rockets

  • 2025-26 record: 46-29
  • Previous ranking: 10
  • Next games: vs. MIL (April 1), vs. UTAH (April 3), @ GS (April 5), @ PHX (April 7)

Consistency and late-game execution remain issues Houston hopes to solve before the start of the postseason. On top of everything else, the Rockets find themselves looking to create ways to rest veteran Kevin Durant ahead of the playoffs. The 37-year-old swingman ranks third in the NBA in average minutes (36.4) after playing in 72 games. With Houston in striking distance of Denver and Minnesota in the West standings and trying to hold off seventh-place Phoenix, the Rockets need to win games, improve consistency and find ways to rest their most potent offensive weapon. Not an easy task. – Wright

11. Atlanta Hawks

  • 2025-26 record: 43-33
  • Previous ranking: 11
  • Next games: @ ORL (April 1), @ BKN (April 3), vs. NYK (April 6)

The Hawks will look to continue their red-hot play and keep meshing at the right time in the final two weeks. Quin Snyder has done an amazing job with this roster, going 16-2 over the past 18 games . The Hawks want to hold onto the sixth seed or better and avoid the play-in. They will get a chance to really test their surging play with key games against the Magic, Knicks and Cavs (twice) then at Miami in the regular-season finale. Jalen Johnson’s star continues to rise, and this season is all about getting these young Hawks some valuable experience in a playoff series. – Ohm Youngmisuk

12. Toronto Raptors

  • 2025-26 record: 42-33
  • Previous ranking: 13
  • Next games: vs. SAC (April 1), @ MEM (April 3), @ BOS (April 5), vs. MIA (April 7)

Thanks in part to a 52-point win (!) over Orlando on Sunday, the Raptors remain favored to finish in the top six in the East and avoid the play-in tournament. As long as the Raptors take care of business against the three tanking teams left on their schedule (Sacramento, Memphis and Brooklyn) and don’t get swept by the non-tanking teams (Boston, Miami, twice, and New York), they should automatically qualify for their first postseason appearance since the 2021-22 campaign. – Zach Kram

13. Phoenix Suns

  • 2025-26 record: 42-34
  • Previous ranking: 12
  • Next games: @ CHA (April 2), @ CHI (April 5), vs. HOU (April 7)

Three of Phoenix’s final four games could have major playoff implications for the seventh-place Suns. They host the Rockets, currently No. 6 in the West, then play the Lakers in L.A. before finishing off at Oklahoma City. Despite remaining 3.5 games behind Houston, if the Suns can keep winning down the stretch, maybe they can catch the Rockets and avoid the play-in. – McMenamin

14. LA Clippers

  • 2025-26 record: 39-37
  • Previous ranking: 18
  • Next games: vs. SAS (April 2), @ SAC (April 5), vs. DAL (April 7)

The Clippers have two games remaining against Portland and one versus Golden State. They are currently No. 8 in the West, the Blazers are No. 9 and the Warriors are No. 10. The outcome of those matchups down the stretch could shake up the order of the play-in seeding and determine if the Clips will host a game or go on the road to try to extend their season. – McMenamin

15. Charlotte Hornets

  • 2025-26 record: 40-36
  • Previous ranking: 14
  • Next games: vs. PHX (April 2), vs. IND (April 3), @ MIN (April 5), @ BOS (April 7)

The Hornets lost back-to-back home games last weekend, to the Sixers and the Celtics, but it was viewed as a positive experience. The 118-114 defeat versus Philadelphia came in a game that featured playoff-like intensity, and the young Hornets are soaking in every learning moment. In the final two weeks, the Hornets will try to gain the best position possible in the East standings – likely for the play-in – and continue to gain experience. Charlotte has to do better in close games, and the final three contests will be massive tests at Boston, against the Pistons and at the Knicks. – Youngmisuk

16. Philadelphia 76ers

  • 2025-26 record: 41-34
  • Previous ranking: 15
  • Next games: @ WAS (April 1), vs. MIN (April 3), vs. DET (April 4), @ SAS (April 6)

With a handful of games left, Philadelphia – after dealing with almost its entire starting five being out for several weeks – is on the verge of making it into the top six in the East playoff race. There might not be a team that needs to climb out of the play-in more than Philadelphia, to avoid any extra chances for injury while having its full group ready when the playoffs arrive. If the 76ers can manage to do that, they will be a dangerous first-round opponent for whichever team in the top half of the bracket lands them. – Bontemps

17. Miami Heat

  • 2025-26 record: 40-36
  • Previous ranking: 16
  • Next games: vs. BOS (April 1), vs. WAS (April 4), @ TOR (April 7)

Miami has to find a way to get back the rhythm it had during a seven-game winning streak at the start of March. It had lost seven of the past nine, but Monday’s 119-109 win over Philadelphia was important in the East standings with the Sixers 1.5 games above Miami. The Heat now have to care of business with two tilts against Washington then see where they stand with two games at Toronto, one against the Celtics and the season-finale against the Hawks. Health, as always, is vital for the Heat. – Youngmisuk

18. Orlando Magic

  • 2025-26 record: 40-35
  • Previous ranking: 17
  • Next games: vs. ATL (April 1), @ DAL (April 3), @ NO (April 5), vs. DET (April 6)

Orlando has to fix its vibes and get healthy in the final two weeks. After snapping a six-game slide with a win over Sacramento, the Magic didn’t even bother to show up in Toronto on Sunday, losing by a humiliating 52 points while giving up a record-setting 31-0 run. But Orlando has a chance to end a disappointing season with positive energy. Franz Wagner (left ankle) is nearing a return to the court. He hasn’t played since Feb. 11, and the Magic need him badly for a chance to make any noise in the postseason. Versatile guard Anthony Black (left lateral abdominal) also has a chance to return before the end of the regular season. – Youngmisuk

19. Portland Trail Blazers

  • 2025-26 record: 39-38
  • Previous ranking: 19
  • Next games: vs. NO (April 2), @ DEN (April 6)

Can the Blazers sneak past the Clippers for the eighth seed? Portland secured a monster win in Los Angeles on Tuesday night to pull within half a game of the Clips in the standings. The teams will meet again in Portland in the second-to-last game of the regular season. That offers the Blazers a real chance to move into the eighth seed, which would give them a significantly better chance at sneaking into the playoffs, with two cracks at one win instead of needing to win two elimination games. – Slater

20. Golden State Warriors

  • 2025-26 record: 36-39
  • Previous ranking: 20
  • Next games: vs. SAS (April 1), vs. CLE (April 2), vs. HOU (April 5), vs. SAC (April 7)

What’s the status of Stephen Curry? After a number of setbacks in his attempted return from a persistent right knee issue, Curry was finally given the green light to scrimmage Tuesday afternoon. If his knee responds well to the 5-on-5 live contact, the Warriors plan to rev up Curry in the coming days and get him back on the court with a few regular-season games left. It will give him a “runway” to catch a rhythm before the Warriors face two elimination games during the play-in week to attempt to claim the eighth playoff spot. – Slater

21. Chicago Bulls

  • 2025-26 record: 29-46
  • Previous ranking: 23
  • Next games: vs. IND (April 1), @ NYK (April 3), vs. PHX (April 5), @ WAS (April 7)

Did Chicago actually accomplish anything at the trade deadline?

Chicago released guard Jaden Ivey this week after he shared his anti-gay sentiments on social media. Ivey was one of the young players that Chicago took a chance on at the deadline, and the organization parting ways with him underscored another disastrous transaction cycle. The Bulls traded seven players in February, but none of the moves dramatically improved their lottery odds or added any young players who look like fits in their future. The final few weeks of the season will be the Bulls’ opportunity to find something that could change that. – Collier

22. New Orleans Pelicans

  • 2025-26 record: 25-51
  • Previous ranking: 21
  • Next games: @ POR (April 2), @ SAC (April 3), vs. ORL (April 5), vs. UTAH (April 7)

Interim coach James Borrego called out the Pelicans for a lackadaisical approach in a 32-point loss to the Rockets on Sunday that extended the team’s losing streak to five games. It also marked New Orleans’ fourth 30-point defeat this season (second most in franchise history behind the team’s seven in 2024-25). Keep in mind, this is a squad teeming with talent trying to finish strong to generate some optimism headed into an offseason that’s likely to feature some changes. New Orleans is looking to snap its skid, and Borrego is hoping to remain the coach of the Pels. – Wright

23. Milwaukee Bucks

  • 2025-26 record: 30-45
  • Previous ranking: 22
  • Next games: @ HOU (April 1), vs. BOS (April 3), vs. MEM (April 5), @ BKN (April 7)

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play again this campaign? Milwaukee will miss the playoffs for the first time in nine seasons, and although nine players sat out Sunday against the Clippers, the team still hasn’t ruled its superstar out. Even though the Bucks haven’t made an official distinction, coach Doc Rivers said last week that Antetokounmpo – who has appeared in only 36 games – still hasn’t practiced with the team since his latest knee injury on March 15. – Collier

24. Memphis Grizzlies

  • 2025-26 record: 25-50
  • Previous ranking: 24
  • Next games: vs. NYK (April 1), vs. TOR (April 3), @ MIL (April 5), vs. CLE (April 6)

Memphis is sitting at 11th in the West standings after being decimated by injuries this season. Let’s see just how far this tanking team can fall to close it out. The team announced its latest addition to the injury list on Tuesday, as second-year wing Jaylen Wells underwent a procedure on a toe on his right foot that will put him out for the remainder of the campaign. If you’re keeping count, that’s now eight players out, including star guard Ja Morant and center Zach Edey, as the Grizzlies will finish by facing five expected postseason participants in their final seven games. – Wright

25. Dallas Mavericks

  • 2025-26 record: 24-52
  • Previous ranking: 25
  • Next games: vs. ORL (April 3), vs. LAL (April 5), @ LAC (April 6)

Cooper Flagg’s pursuit of Rookie of the Year is the only reason worth watching the Mavs as they limp toward another lottery pick. Flagg has had a historic rookie season – joining Larry Bird, Michael Jordan and Luka Doncic as the only first-year players since the ABA-NBA merger to average at least 20 points, six rebounds and four assists. However, Flagg’s former Duke roommate Kon Knueppel has supplanted him as the ROY betting favorite. – MacMahon

26. Utah Jazz

  • 2025-26 record: 21-55
  • Previous ranking: 26
  • Next games: vs. DEN (April 1), @ HOU (April 3), @ OKC (April 5), @ NO (April 7)

Jazz fans surely would prefer to fast-forward to next season, when the franchise intends to be competitive after a tank-filled four-year rebuild. In the meantime, Utah can focus on the potential and the development of rookie Ace Bailey, the fifth pick who had three 30-point performances in March. – MacMahon

27. Sacramento Kings

  • 2025-26 record: 19-57
  • Previous ranking: 27
  • Next games: @ TOR (April 1), vs. NO (April 3), vs. LAC (April 5), @ GS (April 7)

Can the Kings improve their lottery percentages? The Kings won five of eight recently to jump ahead of the Pacers, Wizards and Nets in the standings. That dipped Sacramento’s chances of securing the No. 1 pick from 14% to 12.5% and a top-four pick from 52.1% to 48.1%. Sacramento is currently at 19 wins, while the Nets are at 18 and the Pacers and Wizards sit at 17. If the Kings can fall behind one of those three teams, they’ll regain those slightly better percentages. Not exactly thrilling theater, but nothing about this Kings season has been too riveting. – Slater

28. Brooklyn Nets

  • 2025-26 record: 18-58
  • Previous ranking: 28
  • Next games: vs. ATL (April 3), vs. WAS (April 5), vs. MIL (April 7)

Brooklyn just needs to complete the task. The Nets started this season committed to playing five first-round picks and hoping someone could develop, while also devoting to the tank. Despite Michael Porter Jr.'s handling of being a primary scoring option, they’re still last in the league in efficiency. Cam Thomas has come and gone. And all that’s left is to race to the bottom. If the Nets stay in the bottom three, they’ll have a 14% chance at the top pick and an increased chance at getting to at least fourth in a draft that could hold four franchise players. It’s been intentionally ugly; they might as well finish it. – Goodwill

29. Indiana Pacers

  • 2025-26 record: 17-58
  • Previous ranking: 30
  • Next games: @ CHI (April 1), @ CHA (April 3), @ CLE (April 5), vs. MIN (April 7)

Tied for the worst record in the league, the Pacers are on track to finish with primo lottery odds. But with the Nets at 18 wins (and with one game left against Indiana) and the Kings at 19, every game still counts for a team that is hoping to land one big prospect before returning to contention in 2026-27. – Kram

30. Washington Wizards

  • 2025-26 record: 17-58
  • Previous ranking: 29
  • Next games: vs. PHI (April 1), @ MIA (April 4), @ BKN (April 5), vs. CHI (April 7)

Stop us if you’ve heard this before … Tied for the worst record in the league, the Wizards are on track to finish with primo lottery odds. But with the Nets at 18 wins (and with one game left against Washington) and the Kings at 19, every game still counts for a team that is hoping to land one big prospect before returning to contention in 2026-27. – Kram

By ESPN | ESPN, via ESPN