By Jeje Gomez, Marilyn Dubinski, Bill Huan, Devon Birdsong | Pounding The Rock (PtR), 2026-03-18 22:42:02
维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama) 似乎已经锁定了年度最佳防守球员（DPOY），并且只要符合评选资格，入选年度最佳阵容也是板上钉钉。如果马刺队能保持火热势头，他是否有机会染指 MVP？
Marilyn Dubinski： 关于文班夺得 MVP 的呼声确实在日益高涨，但我认为在他职业生涯的这个阶段，由于几个原因，他很难在同一个赛季包揽这两项大奖。首先是投票者可能担心过早产生“审美疲劳”，所以不想在这么早的时候给他太多荣誉。我还认为许多投票者心理上排斥在单赛季给同一名球员颁发多个奖项。（我认为这也是蒂姆·邓肯 (Tim Duncan) 从未获得过 DPOY 的原因：投票者的 MVP 选票上已经有他了。）这并不是说文班永远无法在单赛季包揽双奖，但他若做到，将成为继迈克尔·乔丹 (Michael Jordan)、哈基姆·奥拉朱旺 (Hakeem Olajuwon) 和扬尼斯·阿德托昆博 (Giannis Antetokounmpo) 之后历史上第四位达成此成就的球员，这也引出了我认为本赛季不会发生的最后一个原因：以媒体的尿性，他们会希望文班在进入那个伟大的行列之前，先在季后赛证明自己（即便这些是常规赛奖项）。
Bill Huan： 我爱死文班了，但 MVP 确实还触不可及。亚历山大已经锁定了这个奖项，而且实至名归：他是今年联盟中表现最好的球员（这话还是出自一个约基奇的“狂热粉”之口），同时效力于战绩最好的球队，在打破威尔特·张伯伦连续 20+ 得分纪录后，舆论势头也站在他这一边。文班的时代会到来的，也许最快就是明年，但现在，这是属于亚历山大的时刻。
Devon Birdsong： 正如 Marilyn 准确指出的那样，在两项奖项并存的历史上，包揽 MVP 和 DPOY 的情况只发生过三次。这本身就极其罕见。文班有理由竞争这两个奖项吗？是的，我认为他有。但大卫·罗宾逊 (David Robinson) 和邓肯也曾有过充分的理由，1995 年和 2002 年或许就是最应该获得这一双重荣誉却失之交臂的典型例子。你可以称之为媒体偏见，也可以称之为投票者审美疲劳，甚至可以称之为某种程度上的隐晦嫉妒，但我认为本赛季不会发生（除非领跑者们没能达到出场场次门槛）。而且平心而论，大卫和蒂姆当年的赛季表现都比文班本赛季要好。我绝对看好这在未来发生，甚至可能不止一次，但我觉得我们现在只需满足于一点：文班在攻防两端的表现已经足够优秀，以至于我们能展开这种讨论。此外，按照目前的趋势，文班有机会达成一项更罕见的壮举：成为历史上第二位在同赛季包揽 DPOY 和总决赛 MVP 的球员。
Jeje Gomez： 我不认为这会在本赛季发生，除非他是竞争者中唯一符合评选资格的人。媒体中关于马刺的很多讨论——甚至在一些支持者中——都认为他们的成功令人印象深刻，但他们需要在季后赛证明自己的成色。我觉得他们对文班亚马的看法可能也是如此。这虽然不是最合理的观点，但我能理解那种“担心册封某人为联盟 MVP 后，却看着他们在季后赛首轮折戟”的恐惧。另外，谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大 (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander) 实际上拥有更强的竞争力，他在上赛季的基础上打出了效率更高的得分赛季，并且在杰伦·威廉姆斯 (Jalen Williams) 长期缺阵的情况下，很可能带领雷霆队夺得联盟最佳战绩。
凯尔登·约翰逊 (Keldon Johnson) 在年度最佳第六人的竞争中拥有很强的竞争力，而斯蒂芬·卡斯尔 (Stephon Castle) 也应该被考虑入选最佳防守阵容。他们最终能获得这些殊荣吗？
Dubinski： 虽然两人都实至名归，但我认为卡斯尔入选最佳防守阵容的机会比凯尔登获得最佳第六人的机会更大。我整个赛季都在为凯尔登造势，但他的影响力似乎相对被外界忽视了，赔率一直显示他落后于纳兹·里德 (Naz Reid)、海梅·哈克斯 (Jaime Jaquez Jr.)，甚至有时还排在里德·谢泼德 (Reed Sheppard) 之后。马刺第二阵容深度如此之厚，加上像迪伦·哈珀 (Dylan Harper) 这样的球员夺走了不少好奇读者的目光，这些事实可能对他的评选不利。但好在，就像前辈马努·吉诺比利 (Manu Ginobili) 一样，他并不在乎这些。
Huan： 我认为凯尔登实际上没有任何机会赢得最佳第六人，我甚至敢打赌卡斯尔入选最佳防守阵容的概率要高于凯尔登入围最佳第六人决选名单的概率。目前，我认为有 12 个人在争夺 10 个最佳防守阵容席位，而凯尔登在最佳第六人的竞争中似乎排在里德、以赛亚·斯图尔特 (Isaiah Stewart)、哈克斯甚至谢泼德之后。这是否公平是另一个话题，但这些就是我更看好卡斯尔而非凯尔登的原因。
Birdsong： 凯尔登在赛季前三分之二的时间里可以说是领跑者，但自从肩伤以后，他的表现变得起伏不定，这在马刺输给尼克斯和掘金的比赛中尤为明显。现实情况是，现在的奖项评选比以往任何时候都更需要“故事性”，而凯尔登的故事并不是最吸引人的。他的得分并没有领先于其他候选人，而且马刺在没有他的情况下依然表现出色，而热火和森林狼显然更依赖哈克斯和里德。最佳第六人长期以来一直是一个看重得分的奖项，这也是为什么吉诺比利拿得这么少的原因之一。和马努一样，凯尔登的一些高阶数据展示了他的价值，但这些数据已不再惊人，所以我猜这个奖会给里德，尤其是如果明尼苏达能锁定西部前四的话。另一方面，卡斯尔应该是最佳防守阵容的稳选。我心中唯一的疑问是他会入选一阵还是二阵。我猜他会入选二阵，尽管论表现他应该进一阵。不过，想让两名马刺球员同时入选一阵可太难了，因为历史上只发生过一次（2007 年的邓肯和布鲁斯·鲍文 (Bruce Bowen)），这简直不可思议。
Gomez： 我认为最佳防守阵容有 10 个名额，而最佳第六人只有一个，这让卡斯尔拥有明显的优势。他绝对配得上一个席位，如果他没被选中我会感到震惊——前提是投票者一直在关注比赛，考虑到媒体中仍有人读错文班亚马的名字，这还真不一定。既然文班肯定会进一阵，我觉得卡斯尔很可能会进二阵。至于凯尔登想要拿奖，他必须在最后的冲刺阶段打出爆发表现，随着马刺轮休部分球员，他可能会有这样的机会。但我怀疑约翰逊不会刻意去刷数据，而且他自己可能在某个时间点也会被安排轮休。希望他至少能成为最终的候选人之一。
米奇·约翰逊 (Mitch Johnson) 正带领马刺重返季后赛，表现超出了预期。他能赢得年度最佳教练吗？还是其他人更有竞争力？
Dubinski： 我当然认为他是最有力的竞争者之一，但同样，根据我从媒体看到的情况，这个奖项可能会给凯尔特人队的乔·马祖拉 (Joe Mazzulla)。在大多数人认为由于杰森·塔图姆 (Jayson Tatum) 缺席大半个赛季、波士顿不得不清理掉 2024 年夺冠阵容中多名关键球员而导致这会是一个“过渡年”的情况下，他依然让球队保持在东部顶尖位置。他比米奇更配得上这个奖吗？我不这么认为，因为他们本身就是一支劲旅，而且还有杰伦·布朗 (Jaylen Brown) 这种 MVP 级别的球员和德里克·怀特 (Derrick White) 这种准全明星。但如果马祖拉赢了米奇，我也能理解其中的逻辑。
Huan： 我会坚定地将约翰逊排在年度最佳教练候选人的第二梯队，马祖拉和 JB·比克斯塔夫 (JB Bickerstaff) 在争夺第一。约翰逊正与查尔斯·李 (Charles Lee)、乔丹·奥特 (Jordan Ott) 以及马克·戴格诺特 (Mark Daigneault) 竞争第三个也是最后一个提名席位，每个人都有充分的获选理由。即便带着马刺球迷的滤镜，我也认为马祖拉是显而易见的选择，考虑到他今年带领残阵凯尔特人所取得的成就，所以约翰逊不会（也不应该）赢。不过，就像文班一样，他的时代终会到来。
Birdsong： 我当然认为他可以赢，但不确定这是否可能发生，除非马刺再打出一波长期的连胜。目前大部分讨论似乎都倾向于波士顿的马祖拉和菲尼克斯的乔丹·奥特 (Jordan Ott)。我认为这三个人都实至名归，但奥特的表现或许是最令人震惊的，而马祖拉则面临着最著名的伤病困扰。如果米奇能在文班缺席大半个赛季的情况下带队拿到 50+ 胜，那他很可能会拿到这个奖，但本赛季的情况并非如此。想想看，格雷格·波波维奇 (Gregg Popovich) 职业生涯只赢过三次，其中两次还是在夺冠赛季。全美媒体总是想要最劲爆的故事，而那几乎从来不是马刺。我猜奥特会拿奖，尤其是如果太阳队能接近 50 胜并避开附加赛的话。
Gomez： 所有的奖项都关乎“叙事”，而约翰逊在文班亚马因深静脉血栓康复后的伟大回归赛季中，公平与否，他几乎成了一个注脚。看起来马祖拉和奥特因为在缺少顶级球员的情况下超水平发挥而获得奖励，这并不符合约翰逊的情况——他所做的是让一群年轻人保持攻防两端的专注，并在他担任主教练的第一年就打得无私。与此同时，如果活塞队排名第一，比克斯塔夫将会得到考虑，而马刺在西部不太可能复制这种排名。不幸的是，感觉米奇不会拿奖，但至少他获得了执教全明星赛的机会。
由生成式人工智能翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
点击查看原文：The case for Spurs’ players to win 2025/26 NBA season awards
The case for Spurs’ players to win 2025/26 NBA season awards
Victor Wembanyama seems like a lock to win Defensive Player of the Year and get an All-NBA spot if he is eligible. Is there a chance he could also win MVP if the Spurs stay hot?
Marilyn Dubinski: The MVP hype is definitely on the rise for Wemby, but I can’t see him winning both in the same season this early in his career for a few reasons. One is that voters may fear future voter fatigue will eventually set in, so they don’t want to give him too much, too early. I also believe many voters have a block against giving players more than one award per season. (I believe this is the same reason Tim Duncan never won DPOY: voters already had him on their MVP ballot.) This is not to say Wemby will never win both in one season, but he’d be just the fourth player to ever do it, along with Michael Jordan, Hakeem Olajuwon, and Giannis Antetokounmpo, which leads to my final reason why it won’t happen this season. Knowing the media, they’ll want Wemby to prove himself in the playoffs before putting him in that esteemed group (even if they are regular-season awards).
Bill Huan: I love Wemby to death, but MVP is out of reach. Shai has locked it up, and rightfully so: he’s been the best player in the league this year (and that’s also coming from a Jokic “glazer”) while also playing on the best team, and the narrative is on his side too after breaking Wilt’s 20-point streak. Wemby’s time will come, maybe as soon as next year, but for now, it’s Shai’s.
Devon Birdsong: As Marilyn has very accurately pointed out, the MVP- DPOY double has only happened thrice in the history of both awards existing. It’s incredibly rare to begin with. Does Wemby have an argument for both? Yeah, I think he does. But so did David Robinson and Tim Duncan, with 1995 and 2002 both serving as perhaps the most glaring examples of seasons deserving that distinction. You can call it media bias, you can call it voter fatigue, you can call it a certain degree of veiled pettiness, but I just don’t see it happening this season (unless the games-played threshold is exceeded by the frontrunners). And in all fairness, both of Dave and Tim’s seasons were better than this season for Wemby. I absolutely see it happening in the future, perhaps even more than once, but I think we’ll all have to satisfy ourselves with the knowledge that Wemby is already good enough on both ends to be having this conversation at all. Besides, with the way things are going, there’s a chance that Wemby could pull off an even rarer feat: becoming only the 2nd player to ever win DPOY and Finals MVP in the same season.
Jeje Gomez: I don’t think it will happen this season, unless he’s the only one out of the contenders to be eligible for the award. A lot of the conversation about the Spurs in the media, even among some apologists, is that their success is impressive, but they’ll need to show how good they are in the playoffs. I feel like they likely feel the same is true for Wembanyama. It’s not the most reasonable of takes, but I can understand the fear of anointing someone the most valuable player in the league only to see them flame out early in the postseason. Plus, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander actually does have a stronger case after putting together an even more efficient scoring season than last, while likely leading the Thunder to the league’s best record despite Jalen Williams’s long absence.
Keldon Johnson has a strong case for Sixth Man of the Year, and Stephon Castle should get consideration for an All-Defensive team. Will they get the distinctions?
Dubinski: While both are equally deserving, I think Castle stands a better chance at All-Defense than Keldon does at Sixth Man. I’ve been hyping Keldon’s case all season, but his impact seems to go relatively unnoticed by outsiders, and the odds have consistently had him behind Naz Reed, Jaime Jaquez and even Reed Sheppard at times. Probably the fact that the Spurs’ second unit is so deep, combined with players like Dylan Harper stealing some spotlight from intrigued viewers, is not helping his case, but the good thing is, like Manu Ginobili before him, he doesn’t care.
Huan: I don’t think that there is any chance Keldon actually wins 6MOY, and I’d still bet on Castle getting on an All-Defensive team over Keldon being a finalist for 6th man. Currently, there are 12 names I’d say are fighting for 10 All-Defense spots, while Keldon seems to be behind the likes of Naz Reid, Isaiah Stewart, Jaime Jaquez Jr., and even Reed Sheppard for 6th man. Whether or not that’s fair is a separate discussion, but those are the reasons why I’d bet on Castle over Keldon.
Birdsong: Keldon was arguably the frontrunner for the first two-thirds of the season, but his performances have been more uneven since his shoulder injury, and it’s been noticeable in the games the Spurs lost against the Knicks and Nuggets. The reality is that now more than ever, you really need a narrative to sell for awards, and Keldon’s isn’t the flashiest of sells. He’s not leading the other candidates in scoring and the Spurs are still really good without him, whereas the Heat and Timberwolves are more visibly dependent on Jaquez and Reid. The sixth-man award has long been a scoring award, which is part of why Manu had so few. Like Manu, Keldon has some advanced stats that show his value, but they’re no longer obscene, so my guess is that it goes to Reid, especially if Minnesota secures a Top 4 seed in the West. Castle, on the other hand, should be a lock for All-Defense. The only question (in my mind) is whether it’s first team or second. My guess is he lands on the second, though it should arguably be the first. Good luck getting two Spurs on the first team, though, since it’s only ever happened once (Duncan and Bowen in ‘07), which feels insane.
Gomez: I think the fact that 10 guys make the All-Defensive Teams while only one player gets 6MOY gives Castle a clear advantage. He definitely deserves a spot, and I’d be shocked if he wasn’t picked, assuming voters have been paying attention, which is not a given considering how some in the media still mispronounce Wembanyama’s name. Since Wemby is going to be in the first team, I feel like Castle is likely going to be on the second team. For Keldon to get some hardware, he would have to go on a tear in this last stretch, and he might have the opportunity with the Spurs resting some players. But I doubt Johnson would force the issue, and he might be getting rested as well at some point. Hopefully, he’ll at least be one of the finalists.
Mitch Johnson is leading the Spurs back to the playoffs while surpassing expectations. Can he win Coach of the Year, or do others have better cases?
Dubinski: I certainly think he has one of the best cases, but again, from what I’ve seen from the media, it might go to the Celtics’ Joe Mazzula for the job he’s done keeping them near the top of the East after most figured it would be a “gap” year, with Jayson Tatum missing most of the season and Boston having to salary-dump a lot of key players from their 2024 championship team. Is he more deserving than Mitch? I don’t feel like it since they’re already a proven commodity and still have another MVP-level player in Jaylen Brown and a borderline All-Star in Derrick White, but I would understand the logic if Mazzula won over Mitch.
Huan: I’d firmly place Johnson in the second tier of Coach of the Year candidates, with Joe Mazzulla and JB Bickerstaff fighting for first. Johnson is up against the likes of Charles Lee, Jordan Ott, and Mark Daigneault for that third and final spot, and there are credible arguments for each of them to be nominated. Even with my Spurs bias, I think Mazzulla is the obvious choice given what he’s accomplished with an undermanned Celtics roster this year, so Johnson won’t (and shouldn’t) win. Like Wemby, though, his time will come.
Birdsong: I certainly think that he *can*, but I’m not sure it’s likely unless the Spurs go on another prolonged tear. Most of the conversation seems to favor Mazzula in Boston and Jordan Ott in Phoenix. I think all three are deserving, but Ott’s is perhaps the most shocking, and Mazzula’s features the most well-known injury. If Mitch had, for instance, gotten the team to 50+ wins with Victor out most of the season, that probably would have earned him the award, but that’s just the kind of season it is. Consider that Pop only won three, and two of them came in championship seasons. The national media always wants the flashiest story, and that’s almost never the Spurs. My guess is that Ott is going to take it, especially if the Suns manage to get close to 50 wins and avoid the play-in.
Gomez: All awards are about narratives, and Johnson has been, fair or not, almost a footnote in what has been Wembanyama’s big comeback season after the deep vein thrombosis. It seems that Mazzula and Ott are getting rewarded for overachieving without a top player, and that doesn’t fit what Johnson has done, which is keep a young group engaged on both ends and playing selflessly despite this being just his first year as a head coach. Bickerstaff, meanwhile, will get consideration if the Pistons finish first, which is not something that the Spurs are likely to replicate in the West. It just doesn’t feel like it will happen for Mitch, unfortunately, but he at least got to coach an All-Star team.
By Jeje Gomez, Marilyn Dubinski, Bill Huan, Devon Birdsong, via Pounding The Rock