By Boxscorehistory | Pounding The Rock (PtR), 2026-03-18 14:00:00
在周日艰难战胜洛杉矶快船 (LA Clippers) 后，圣安东尼奥马刺 (San Antonio Spurs) 一路向北挑战倒霉的萨克拉门托国王 (Sacramento Kings)。国王目前正与布鲁克林篮网 (Brooklyn Nets)、华盛顿奇才 (Washington Wizards) 以及印第安纳步行者 (Indiana Pacers) 陷入一场“谁才是 NBA 最无能球队”的惨烈竞争中。尽管如此，背靠背的第二场比赛总是充满变数，而且国王在过去五场比赛中赢下了四场。我承认，我曾有一丝担心马刺会注意力不集中，从而严重损害他们在排名上追赶俄克拉荷马城雷霆 (Oklahoma City Thunder) 的机会。
事实证明我的担心是多余的。任何看过这场比赛的人都知道，最终比分极大地夸大了比赛的竞争程度。为了更直观地感受这场比赛结束得有多快，我们可以参考 ESPN 的胜率追踪器：在第二节还剩 10 分 49 秒时，它就首次给出了马刺 99% 的胜率，而这已经是萨克拉门托在余下比赛中面临的最好胜算。
虽然令人满意，但这类比赛在进行过程中也略显乏味。不过，它们通常会产生一些不同寻常且罕见的数据组合。从近年来的历史标准来看，圣安东尼奥马刺的单项数据差值并没有特别惊人之处，这很大程度上是因为马刺在半场结束时就停止了扩大领先优势的尝试。尽管如此，这场统治级的表现依然产生了一些值得关注的亮点：
- 趣闻：这是自 2012-2013 赛季以来，第 33 场胜负双方投篮出手次数和罚球次数完全相同的常规赛。在这些比赛中，只有另外三场比赛的胜分差达到了 28 分或以上。
- 马刺在投篮命中率、三分命中率和罚球命中率上的领先优势分别为 7.53、12.13 和 23.08 个百分点。因此，他们总计多进了 7 个投篮、11 个三分球和 3 个罚球。自 2012-2013 赛季以来，只有 46 位常规赛赢家在投篮命中数 (FGM)、三分命中数 (3PM) 和罚球命中数 (FTM) 差值上能全部达到或超过这一水平。
- 三分命中数差值尤其令人瞩目，因为国王的外线表现（36 投 14 中）其实相当不错。事实上，在自 2012-2013 赛季以来的 16,695 场常规赛中，只有另外一个案例：获胜球队的三分命中数差值至少为 +11，而落败球队至少投进了 14 个三分球且三分命中率至少为 38.89%。有趣的是，另一个案例同样与国王有关，只不过那次他们是获胜的一方。
- 考虑到比分，罚球在这场比赛中显得微不足道。自 2012-2013 赛季以来，在总得分达到 236 分或以上的常规赛中，双方罚球总数平均约为 50 次，而只有 36 个案例是在罚球总次数不超过 26 次的情况下达到这一得分门槛的。尽管这种情况至今仍属罕见，但昨天竟然发生了两次，另一场是纽约尼克斯 (New York Knicks) 对阵步行者的比赛。
什么是球队数据评级 (Team Graded Box Scores)？
简单来说，这些数据表是对胜负双方基础统计数据的差值进行评级，评级标准基于获胜球队相对于特定参考时期内其他 NBA 赢家的表现。可以将其看作是一份成绩单，用以了解特定赢家相对于其他赢家的表现如何。所使用的参考时期从 2012-2013 赛季开始，截至最近的比赛日，且仅包含相同类型的赛季（即常规赛和季后赛不进行跨类别比较）。
数据来源： 创建这些数据表的基础数据收集自 Basketball Reference 。在所有情况下，数据均在比赛结束后的次日早晨收集。虽然罕见，但数据收集后可能会出现赛后统计修正，并可能影响最终结果。
由生成式人工智能翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
点击查看原文：Box Grades: Sacramento’s front office rejoices as Spurs cruise to easy victory
Box Grades: Sacramento’s front office rejoices as Spurs cruise to easy victory
After an uncomfortable win over the Clippers on Sunday, the Spurs headed north to play the hapless Kings, who are locked in a desperate battle with the Nets, Wizards, and Pacers to be the most inept team in the NBA. Even so, the second night of a back-to-back is always somewhat unpredictable, and the Kings had managed to win four for their last five games. I will admit that a little part of me worried that the Spurs would lose focus and severely damage their chance of catching OKC in the standings.
I needn’t have worried. As anyone who watched this game would know, the final score dramatically overstates the level of competition on display. To get a better sense of how quickly the contest was over, consider that ESPN’s win probability tracker first gave the Spurs a 99% chance of winning with 10:49 left in the second quarter, and that was the best odds Sacramento would face for the remainder of the game.
While satisfying, games like this are also somewhat boring in the moment. However, they do typically produce some unusual and rare statistical combinations. None of San Antonio’s individual box score differentials were extraordinary by recent historical standards, largely because the Spurs were finished trying to extend the lead by halftime. However, this dominant performance still produced some noteworthy highlights:
- Fun fact: this is just the 33rd regular season game since the start of 2012-2013 in which the winning and losing team had exactly the same number of field goal and free throw attempts. In that set of contests, there are just three other cases in which the margin of victory was 28+ points.
- San Antonio enjoyed FG%, 3P%, and FT% differentials of +7.53, +12.13, and +23.08 percentage points, respectively. As a result, they made seven more total field goals, 11 more threes, and three more free throws. Since the start of 2012-2013, only 46 other regular season winners have achieved FGM, 3PM, and FTM differentials that were all as good or better than these.
- What’s especially remarkable about the 3PM differential is that the Kings performance from distance (14 makes on 36 attempts) was actually quite good. In fact, in the set of 16,695 regular season games since the start of 2012-2013, there is just ONE other case in which the winning team produced a 3PM differentials of at least +11 with the losing team making at least 14 threes with a 3P% of at least 38.89%. Funnily enough, this other case was also a Kings game, though they were on the winning end of that exchange.
- Given the score, free throws were remarkably unimportant in this game. Since the start of 2012-2013, the average number of total free throws taken in regular season games with a combined score of 236+ is almost exactly 50, and there are just 36 other cases in which that cumulative point threshold was achieved on no more than 26 attempts. As rare an event as this has been to date, it actually happened twice yesterday, with the other case being the Knicks vs. Pacers game.
What are Team Graded Box Scores?
Very briefly, these box scores grade winner-loser differentials for basic box score statistics, with the grade being based on the winning team’s differential relative to other NBA winners during a defined reference period. Think of it like a report card for understanding how a given winner performed relative to other winners. The reference period used runs from the start of the 2012-2013 season to the latest date of play, including only games in the same season category (i.e., regular season and playoff games are not compared to each other).
***Data Source:*The underlying data used to create these box scores was collected fromBasketball Reference. In all cases, the data are collected the morning after the game is played. Although rare, postgame statistical revisions after data collection do occur and may affect the results after the fact.
By Boxscorehistory, via Pounding The Rock