By Scott Phillips | The Athletic, 2026-02-05 22:24:55
2026年NBA交易截止日热闹非凡，共达成20多笔交易，其中涉及11位前全明星球员更换门庭。然而，由于扬尼斯·阿德托昆博 (Giannis Antetokounmpo) 和贾·莫兰特 (Ja Morant) 并未被交易，夺冠赔率的变化相对有限。
没有什么能超越上赛季那桩震动联盟格局、令人难忘的卢卡·东契奇 (Luka Dončić) 互换安东尼·戴维斯 (Anthony Davis) 的大交易。一年后，达拉斯与湖人那次史诗级互换的余震仍在持续。在为独行侠仅出战29场比赛后，戴维斯再次被交易。这一次，他加盟了华盛顿奇才队，换回了大量的年轻天赋和选秀权。
2026年唯一能与去年2月那种震撼程度相提并论的交易，莫过于克利夫兰骑士队引进了未来名人堂成员詹姆斯·哈登 (James Harden)，为此他们向洛杉矶快船队送出了全明星控卫达里士·加兰 (Darius Garland)。
“大胡子”空降克城是2026年截止日唯一一笔涉及准全明星级别球员加盟夺冠热门的交易。这一志在夺冠的豪赌让克利夫兰在东部冠军赔率上与NBA杯冠军纽约尼克斯队并列第一。
尽管发生了许多涉及前全明星的交易，但大多数是表现不佳的球队在清理薪资空间和尝试改变环境。华盛顿引进戴维斯和亚特兰大老鹰队后卫特雷·杨 (Trae Young) 的重磅交易似乎更像是为了下个赛季做准备。犹他爵士队拿下孟菲斯灰熊队大个子杰伦·杰克逊 (Jaren Jackson Jr.) 则让爵士队实现了华丽转身，从重建球队变身为未来几个赛季的竞争者。
在全联盟依然在追赶卫冕冠军俄克拉荷马城雷霆队的情况下，许多竞争对手在薪金上限的制约下，竭尽所能进行了小幅升级。
哈登交易重新洗牌竞争激烈的东部
骑士队 (+1300) 拿下哈登改变了东部顶尖强队之间的博弈。2月初，克利夫兰的夺冠赔率为 +1800，在所有球队中并列第七。得到哈登后，骑士的赔率曾一度短暂升至第三 (+1200)。截止日后，克利夫兰再次与纽约尼克斯队 (+1300) 并列，成为东部最被看好的夺冠热门。
去年6月开盘赔率公布时，克利夫兰和纽约以 +700 并列领跑。克利夫兰一直占据东部榜首，直到纽约在12月凭借火热状态夺得NBA杯冠军。2026年初，尼克斯以 +1100 稳居东部之首，而骑士的赔率则跌至赛季最低的 +2000。
哈登为骑士的赛季注入了新的活力。目前排名东部第四的骑士队还将侧翼德安德烈·亨特 (De’Andre Hunter) 送至萨克拉门托国王队，换回后卫丹尼斯·施罗德 (Dennis Schröder) 和凯恩·埃利斯 (Keon Ellis)。这两笔交易在多诺万·米切尔 (Donovan Mitchell) 身边补强了后场深度，同时也解决了加兰因伤病困扰导致赛季支离破碎的不确定性。
纽约在截止日成功引进了新奥尔良鹈鹕队控卫何塞·阿尔瓦拉多 (Jose Alvarado)，但这并未显著改变夺冠版图。
底特律活塞队 (+1400) 和波士顿凯尔特人队 (+1500) 在东部赔率榜上也咬得非常紧。活塞队目前领先东部第二名五个胜场，赛季开始时他们的夺冠赔率为 +6600，到11月1日仍为 +5000。在MVP候选人凯德·坎宁安 (Cade Cunningham) 的出色赛季带领下，底特律在竞争激烈的东部脱颖而出，自新年伊始以来取得了12胜4负的战绩。活塞在截止日通过交易送走杰登·艾维 (Jaden Ivey)，从芝加哥换回后卫凯文·赫尔特 (Kevin Huerter)，希望借此提升后场轮换的稳定性。
凯尔特人队在核心球星杰森·塔图姆 (Jayson Tatum) 本赛季因伤缺阵的情况下依然维持着竞争力。他们与尼克斯在大西洋赛区并列第一，在东部仅落后底特律五个胜场。波士顿在截止日通过将表现不及预期的后卫安芬尼·西蒙斯 (Anfernee Simons) 送至芝加哥公牛队，换回了老牌中锋尼古拉·武切维奇 (Nikola Vučević)，从而补强了内线。波士顿这套拼凑的阵容持续超出预期，他们希望健康的塔图姆能在本赛季晚些时候重返赛场。
俄克拉荷马城在巩固阵容的同时稳居榜首
卫冕冠军俄克拉荷马城雷霆队 (+130) 在引进费城76人队后卫贾里德·麦凯恩 (Jared McCain)增强板凳深度后，继续稳坐头号热门宝座。
麦凯恩上赛季曾是最佳新秀的热门人选，但因伤缺席了余下比赛。本赛季由于76人队用探花签选中了 VJ·埃奇科姆 (VJ Edgecombe)，麦凯恩在费城逐渐失宠。麦凯恩为雷霆提供了替补席上的投射火力，并在现任MVP谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大 (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander) 近期受伤的情况下，为球队提供了一份常规赛保险。
对于保留了上赛季夺冠核心阵容的俄克拉荷马城来说，在卫冕之路上保持球星健康是最重要的事情。除了赛季报销级别的伤病，没有什么能改变雷霆的领先地位。
丹佛掘金队 (+600) 依然排在夺冠赔率榜第二位。虽然丹佛并未拉近与雷霆的距离，但掘金正在拉开与全联盟其他球队的差距。目前排名第二的丹佛与后续竞争对手克利夫兰和纽约之间的赔率差距，达到了本赛季以来的最大值。
除此之外，西部其他竞争者提供了三个有趣的选项。或许是预见到会有重磅交易，明尼苏达森林狼队 (+1600) 的赔率从1月底的 +3500 大幅提升。尽管明尼苏达并未出手争夺巨星，但通过从芝加哥引进阿约·多孙穆 (Ayo Dosunmu)补强了板凳席。
圣安东尼奥马刺队 (+1600) 选择在截止日按兵不动，赔率较此前的 +1200 略有下滑。同样选择按兵不动的休斯顿火箭队 (+2000) 在夺冠赔率榜上排名第九。截止日过后，洛杉矶湖人队和费城76人队（均为 +5000）是仅有的另外两支夺冠赔率低于 +6600 的球队。
由生成式人工智能翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
点击查看原文：2026 NBA title odds: Thunder still favored, but Harden-Garland trade shifts Cavs' odds
2026 NBA title odds: Thunder still favored, but Harden-Garland trade shifts Cavs’ odds
A busy 2026 NBA trade deadline saw over 20 moves, with 11 former All-Stars changing teams. Yet, with Giannis Antetokounmpo and Ja Morant not getting dealt, only minimal developments happened across the odds to win the NBA title.
Nothing can top last season’s unforgettable Luka Dončić-for-Anthony Davis trade that shook up the NBA landscape. A year later, the reverberations of Dallas and the Lakers’ epic swap are still being felt. After playing only 29 games with the Mavericks, Davis was traded again. This time, he moved to the Washington Wizards for a bounty of young talent and draft picks.
The only 2026 trade coming close to recreating the shock value of last February was the Cleveland Cavaliers’ acquisition offuture Hall of Famer James Harden from the Los Angeles Clippers in exchange for all-star point guard Darius Garland.
The Beard going to The Land represents the only 2026 deadline move featuring a close-to-form All-Star-caliber player heading to a legitimate NBA title contender. The bold, win-now move pushed Cleveland into a tie with the NBA Cup-winning New York Knicks as the betting favorites to win the Eastern Conference.
Although many trades involving former all-stars occurred, most involved struggling teams swapping salaries and changing scenery. Washington’s headline-grabbing trades for Davis and Atlanta Hawks guard Trae Young appear intended for next season. Utah landing Memphis Grizzlies big man Jaren Jackson Jr. flips the switch for the Jazz from rebuilding to competitive in future seasons.
With the entire league still chasing the defending NBA champion Oklahoma City Thunder, many contenders did their best to make small upgrades despite salary-cap constraints.
Harden deal reshuffles crowded Eastern Conference
The Cavaliers (+1300) landing Harden changed the dynamic among the Eastern Conference’s best teams. At the beginning of February, Cleveland was tied for seventh among NBA title contenders at +1800 odds. Getting Harden briefly pushed the Cavs to third at +1200 odds. Post deadline, Cleveland finds itself once again tied with the New York Knicks (+1300) as the Eastern Conference’s top title contenders.
When the opening odds came out in June, Cleveland and New York were tied at +700 to win the NBA Finals. Cleveland held the conference’s top spot until New York’s December hot streak won them the NBA Cup. To start 2026, the Knicks settled atop the East with +1100 odds, with Cleveland dropping to a season-low +2000 odds in the process.
Harden breathes new life into Cleveland’s season. Currently fourth place in the East, the Cavaliers also traded wing De’Andre Hunter to the Sacramento Kings for guards Dennis Schröder and Keon Ellis. The two trades bolster Cleveland’s backcourt besides Donovan Mitchell while addressing the uncertainty of Garland’s disjointed, injury-filled season.
New York managed to add New Orleans Pelicans point guard Jose Alvarado at the deadline, but that doesn’t drastically alter the title picture.
The Detroit Pistons (+1400) and Boston Celtics (+1500) are also incredibly close in the Eastern Conference odds. Owning the conference’s best record by five games, the Pistons opened at +6600 to win it all and were still at +5000 on Nov. 1. A stellar season from MVP candidate Cade Cunningham vaulted Detroit atop the wide-open East with the Pistons owning a 12-4 record since the start of the new year. The Pistons added guard Kevin Huerter from Chicago at the deadline in exchange for Jaden Ivey, hoping for more consistency for their backcourt rotation with the trade.
The Celtics are lingering around despite playing without injured star Jayson Tatum this season. They’re tied with the Knicks atop the Atlantic Division and only five games behind Detroit in the East. Boston improved its interior at the deadline by sending underachieving guard Anfernee Simons to the Chicago Bulls for veteran center Nikola Vučević. Boston’s makeshift roster continues to exceed expectations as they hope a healthy Tatum potentially joins them later this season.
Oklahoma City maintains the top spot while fortifying roster
The reigning NBA champion Oklahoma City Thunder (+130) maintained its heavy-favorite status while bolstering its bench with the addition of Philadelphia 76ers guard Jared McCain.
A favorite for Rookie of the Year last season before injury sidelined him for the remainder of the year, McCain fell out of favor in Philadelphia this season with the team drafting VJ Edgecombe third overall. McCain provides the Thunder with shooting off the bench and an additional regular-season insurance policy with the recent injury to reigning MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.
Keeping stars on the floor is the most important thing for Oklahoma City during its quest for a repeat, with most of last season’s title-winning roster back. Little would change Oklahoma City’s standing except for a season-ending injury.
The Denver Nuggets (+600) stay in second place in the title odds. Although Denver hasn’t gained much ground on the Thunder, the Nuggets are beginning to create separation with the rest of the league. The current odds gap between Denver at No. 2 and the next contenders, Cleveland and New York, is larger than at any point during this season.
From there, the Western Conference’s other contenders offer three intriguing options. Perhaps anticipating a big deadline move, the Minnesota Timberwolves (+1600) jumped from +3500 odds at the end of January. Although Minnesota didn’t take a major swing at a star, the bench was improved by adding Ayo Dosunmu from Chicago.
The San Antonio Spurs (+1600) dipped slightly from +1200 odds by deciding to stand pat at the deadline. Also standing pat, the Houston Rockets (+2000) are ninth in the odds to win it all. The Los Angeles Lakers and Philadelphia 76ers (both +5000) are the only other teams with title odds shorter than +6600 after the NBA trade deadline.
By Scott Phillips, via The Athletic