By Zach Harper | The Athletic, 2026-01-27 10:30:07
The Athletic网站将对2026年NBA交易截止日进行实时报道。
距离2月5日的NBA交易截止日只剩下一周多一点的时间了。目前市场上有些安静，这要么意味着各支球队对触碰第一和第二奢侈税线所带来的后果感到恐惧，要么就是交易风暴来临前的宁静。
在十二月中旬，我们发布了第一版的交易截止日球队分档，将每支球队按照完成（或不完成）任何交易的动机不同，划分为五个档次。
今天，我们将更新这些分档，看看是否有球队在截止日临近之际应该有新的动机。根据笔者的看法，各档内的球队按有趣程度从高到低排序。
致内容聚合平台的一段话： 除非我特别提到某支球队及其意向时使用了“据联盟消息人士透露”或“据我与联盟内部人士交谈所知”之类的表述，否则本文内容 不是 新闻报道。这只是我个人对当前联盟格局的观察，以及对事态可能如何发展所做的有一定根据的猜测，或是我认为应该发生的情况。感谢各位的理解与配合！
第一档：志在争冠的买家
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本次新增球队： 金州勇士、明尼苏达森林狼
本次移出球队： 新奥尔良鹈鹕、多伦多猛龙、圣安东尼奥马刺
金州勇士
勇士队的薪资总额距离2.078亿美元的第二奢侈税线仅有不到30万美元，这使得他们的操作空间仍然非常有限，但吉米·巴特勒 (Jimmy Butler) 的受伤应该会改变他们的打算。巴特勒的伤病让他们在每场比赛中都处于巨大的劣势。如果他们还想在西部联盟保持哪怕一丝竞争力，他们在斯蒂芬·库里 (Stephen Curry) 身边的得分和组织能力都远远不够。再加上乔纳森·库明加 (Jonathan Kuminga) 持续不断的问题，现在也许是时候将他交易出去，换取一些即战力了。
也许这意味着追逐像德玛尔·德罗赞 (DeMar DeRozan) 这样的球员？或者进行一次更大手笔的运作？但金州勇士的薪资状况让他们很难进行任何形式的重磅交易。
明尼苏达森林狼
我把森林狼移到这一档，因为他们对另一名组织者的追求确实非常有必要。罗布·迪林厄姆 (Rob Dillingham) 还没准备好做出持续稳定的贡献，我们看到在需要时，球队转而使用了博恩斯·海兰德 (Bones Hyland)。迈克·康利 (Mike Conley) 的表现也未达到球队的预期，尽管他们希望他能在季后赛到来时有所发挥。据报道，他们已经探讨了引进科比·怀特 (Coby White) 的可能性，但这笔交易在他们现有的阵容和薪金限制下很难达成。
底特律活塞
活塞队急需在凯德·坎宁安 (Cade Cunningham) 身边配置第二个进攻选择。目前，杰伦·杜伦 (Jalen Duren) 的顺下进攻还不足以成为一个稳定的选择，而杰登·艾维 (Jaden Ivey) 的表现也远未达到球队的要求。到了季后赛，他们不能仅仅依赖进攻篮板和罚球。
纽约尼克斯
尽管球队正经历一段极其糟糕的时期，但我认为他们不需要反应过度，开始做出激进的改变。不过，尼克斯确实需要一个比亚布塞莱 (Guerschon Yabusele) 或泰勒·科勒克 (Tyler Kolek) 更可靠的替补球员。
密尔沃基雄鹿
关于扬尼斯·阿德托昆博 (Giannis Antetokounmpo) 的事情似乎正朝着密尔沃基以外大多数人希望的方向发展，但任何重磅转会最早也要等到夏天才会发生。至少我是这么认为的。如果真是这样，你不妨现在就看看能做些什么来改善密尔沃基的阵容，万一这足以说服扬尼斯续约留队呢。他缺阵一个月很可能导致雄鹿无缘附加赛。
亚特兰大老鹰
老鹰手中有三份不错的到期合同，可以用来进行一笔更大的交易。如果老鹰想立即引援，克里斯塔普斯·波尔津吉斯 (Kristaps Porziņģis)、CJ·麦科勒姆 (CJ McCollum) 和卢克·肯纳德 (Luke Kennard) 的合同都可以在截止日前被送到其他需要释放薪金空间的球队。或者他们也可以让这些合同在夏天到期，看看届时会有怎样的阵容灵活性。
迈阿密热火
这支球队仍然希望在未来保持阵容的灵活性，以便追逐“大鱼”，但如果他们能再得到一名可靠的外线射手，热火在季后赛中可能会非常危险。
波特兰开拓者
也许他们为德尼·阿夫迪亚 (Deni Avdija) 所需的外线支援仅仅是让后卫们恢复健康，但开拓者在进攻端迫切需要一位进攻创造者。
芝加哥公牛
我希望看到这支球队得到一位像贾·莫兰特 (Ja Morant) 这样的球星，但退而求其次，任何能够接管比赛的得分手我都能接受。即使是一个短期选择也会很棒。不是诺曼·鲍威尔 (Norman Powell)，因为他并非可交易对象，而是像鲍威尔这类球员。
第二档：着眼乐透的卖家
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本次新增球队： 新奥尔良鹈鹕
本次移出球队： 无
新奥尔良鹈鹕
如果这支球队真的愿意将特雷·墨菲三世 (Trey Murphy III)、赫伯特·琼斯 (Herb Jones) 甚至锡安·威廉姆森 (Zion Williamson) 这样的球员摆上货架，他们就能为未来真正的重建成功打下基础。他们可能需要在要价上稍微放宽一些，但其他球队会愿意为墨菲或琼斯付出不小的代价。我实在不理解，为什么看着一支胜率不足四分之一的球队，会得出“我们需要保持这个阵容完整”的结论。
达拉斯独行侠
安东尼·戴维斯 (Anthony Davis) 的手部伤势让情况变得非常复杂，但独行侠也应该把纳吉·马绍尔 (Naji Marshall) 和/或丹尼尔·加福德 (Daniel Gafford) 摆上货架，看看其他球队愿意付出什么。正如达拉斯几年前所证明的那样，这些都是在交易截止日值得收购的宝贵角色球员。
犹他爵士
我不知道优素福·努尔基奇 (Jusuf Nurkić) 连续三场拿到三双是交易价值的展示，还是系统出了bug，但这支球队里没有任何一名老将是他们应该觉得必须留下的。我会先给活塞打电话，看看他们是否对劳里·马尔卡宁 (Lauri Markkanen) 感兴趣。
萨克拉门托国王
国王队里没有一个人应该是非卖品。我理解总经理斯科特·佩里 (Scott Perry) 想要引进符合特定类型的球员，但他应该 1) 尝试逢低买入莫兰特，以及 2) 尽可能地清理掉这些垃圾合同。任何能给他们带来灵活性和重新开始的机会都值得去做。
布鲁克林篮网
我认为你不可能以比现在更高的价格卖掉小迈克尔·波特 (Michael Porter Jr.)了。不要再赌了，别指望以后能换来更多。这和米卡尔·布里奇斯 (Mikal Bridges) 或卡梅伦·约翰逊 (Cameron Johnson) 的情况不一样。
第三档：削减奢侈税
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本次新增球队： 多伦多猛龙
本次移出球队： 金州勇士
多伦多猛龙
尽管本赛季取得了成功，但猛龙似乎希望整合部分薪资，或者只是想摆脱其中一份合同。伊曼纽尔·奎克利 (Immanuel Quickley) 或 RJ·巴雷特 (RJ Barrett) 都是可以被交易的。并非空穴来风，猛龙很想摆脱这些大额合同中的一份。另外，有报道称他们对多曼塔斯·萨博尼斯 (Domantas Sabonis) 感兴趣，这意味着雅各布·珀尔特尔 (Jakob Poeltl) 将是他们会抛售的对象。我不确定这是不是正确的做法，但他们确实想削减一些薪水。
波士顿凯尔特人
他们有可能决定采取积极行动，增加一个小角色球员，但凯尔特人也很可能基本维持现有阵容，将安芬尼·西蒙斯 (Anfernee Simons) 交易成一个更便宜的选择，从而削减掉他们需要摆脱的400万美元，使薪资降至第一奢侈税线以下。
克利夫兰骑士
骑士可能只是一支附加赛级别的球队，但他们的薪资却已经超过第二奢侈税线2200万美元。根据税收分级计算，任何薪资的削减都将为他们带来巨大的财务节省。老板丹·吉尔伯特 (Dan Gilbert) 绝不会愿意为这样一个相对糟糕的产品投入这么多钱。
洛杉矶快船
快船的薪资距离第一奢侈税线仅有约一百万美元。我认为如果他们进行交易，不会再增加薪水。克里斯·保罗 (Chris Paul) 仍在阵容中，可以被交易来削减薪水，而不是通过买断合同来承担这笔费用。
第四档：积累资产
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本次新增球队： 无
本次移出球队： 菲尼克斯太阳
印第安纳步行者
他们有机会为下赛季引进一名大个子球员。伊夫·米西 (Yves Missi)？加福德？类似这个级别的球员？当泰瑞斯·哈利伯顿 (Tyrese Haliburton) 回归时，他们将需要前场深度和一名首发大个子。
费城76人
76人队总裁达雷尔·莫雷 (Daryl Morey) 喜欢在边缘位置进行一些小操作，从而获得一个选秀资产或者一个球迷喜爱的角色球员。参考案例：昆廷·格莱姆斯 (Quentin Grimes)。
孟菲斯灰熊
莫兰特的受伤可能会让本已稀疏的交易市场变得更加冷清。但灰熊长期以来一直专注于获取选秀权和年轻的角色球员进行培养。
华盛顿奇才
即使在完成了特雷·杨 (Trae Young) 的交易后，奇才仍然非常专注于在今年夏天保持灵活性，并尽可能多地获取未来资产。
夏洛特黄蜂
鉴于他们最近的表现，我差点把他们移到志在争冠的买家那一档。黄蜂很可能仍会将这个交易截止日视为积累资产的时机，但他们或许已经通过自己的表现开启了新的篇章。
第五档：按兵不动
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本次新增球队： 菲尼克斯太阳、圣安东尼奥马刺
本次移出球队： 明尼苏达森林狼
菲尼克斯太阳
到了这个阶段，太阳队其实不需要做任何事情来利用本赛季的成果或改善他们的处境。赛季中点之后的一切对他们来说都是锦上添花。太阳可以按兵不动，享受他们赢得的任何季后赛经历，然后在夏天再重新评估。
圣安东尼奥马刺
从历史上看，马刺不常进行赛季中期交易。我预计他们会像一年前的休斯顿那样对待这个交易截止日。是的，圣安东尼奥可以找到提升自身处境的方法，但球队真正想做的是看看这些球员在季后赛中能有何表现，所以就让我们拭目以待吧。
洛杉矶湖人
也许可以进行一些低调的操作，比如得到像基翁·埃利斯 (Keon Ellis) 这样的外线防守选择。但他们不会为了任何非明星球员而在今年夏天抵押掉他们的首轮选秀权。球队的重心仍然是在本赛季结束后围绕卢卡·东契奇 (Luka Dončić) 进行建队。
奥兰多魔术
魔术已经将自己与这套确切的阵容绑定在一起，任何进一步的修补很可能要等到他们（希望）经历一次季后赛之旅后才会进行，无论这次旅程有多长。
休斯顿火箭
他们的重点很可能是以健康的阵容迎接季后赛，然后看看在有凯文·杜兰特 (Kevin Durant) 加入的情况下，这次会有何不同。他们可以在休赛期解决控球后卫的问题。
丹佛掘金
他们已经锁定目标，就是要让这套阵容以健康的轮换进入季后赛。
俄克拉荷马城雷霆
我预计可能会有一些未来选秀权的腾挪操作，但阵容本身不会有变动。
由生成式人工智能翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
点击查看原文：2026 NBA trade deadline tiers 2.0: Whose goals have changed with Feb. 5 looming?
2026 NBA trade deadline tiers 2.0: Whose goals have changed with Feb. 5 looming?
The Athletic has live coverage of the 2026 NBA trade deadline.
We’re a little over a week away from the Feb. 5 NBA trade deadline. It’s a little quiet out there, which means either teams are terrified of the first- and second-apron ramifications or it’s the calm before the trade storm.
In mid-December, we introduced our first version of trade deadline tiers, which organized every team into one of five tiers of teams that will likely have different motivations for completing (or not completing) any deals.
Today, we’ll update those tiers and see if anybody should have new motivations heading into the deadline. Teams in each tier are ordered from most to least interesting, according to yours truly.
Message to aggregators: This is not reporting unless I specifically mention it for teams and their interests. I’ll say something along the lines of “according to league sources” or “according to people I’ve talked to around the league.” This is how I am viewing the landscape and using semi-educated guesses for how things may play out. Or what I think should happen. Thank you for your consideration!
Tier 1: Buyers to compete
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Who’s in since last time? Golden State Warriors, Minnesota Timberwolves
Who’s out since last time? New Orleans Pelicans, Toronto Raptors, San Antonio Spurs
Golden State Warriors
The Warriors are still very limited by how close they are to the $207.8 million second-apron payroll threshold (less than $300,000 away), but the injury to Jimmy Butler should change their intentions. That injury leaves them at a massive disadvantage on a nightly basis. They don’t have nearly enough scoring or playmaking around Stephen Curry if they’re going to be even semi-serious in the Western Conference. Couple that with the ongoing Jonathan Kuminga issues, and it may be time to move him to bring in some help.
Maybe that means going after someone like DeMar DeRozan? Maybe it’s taking a bigger swing? But Golden State’s books make it difficult to take any kind of significant swing.
Minnesota Timberwolves
I’m moving the Wolves into this tier because their pursuit of another playmaker is very much needed. Rob Dillingham still isn’t ready to contribute consistently, and we’re seeing them go to Bones Hyland instead when needed. Mike Conley hasn’t been what they need, although they hope he’ll perform when the playoffs come. They’ve reportedly explored adding Coby White, but that’s not an easy deal to manufacture with their roster/cap constraints.
Detroit Pistons
The Pistons really need a second offensive option next to Cade Cunningham. Jalen Duren on the roll isn’t enough of an option right now. Jaden Ivey is nowhere close to where they need him to be. And they can’t just rely on offensive rebounding and free throws when it comes to the playoffs.
New York Knicks
I don’t think they need to overreact and start making drastic changes, despite this horrendous stretch of basketball. But the Knicks could use someone more reliable than Guerschon Yabusele or Tyler Kolek off the bench.
Milwaukee Bucks
This Giannis Antetokounmpo thing seems to be headed where most people outside of Milwaukee want it to head, but any massive relocation wouldn’t happen until summer. Or so I assume. If that’s the case, you might as well try to see what you can do to improve the Milwaukee roster now, just in case it’s enough to persuade Giannis to stay with an extension. His being out for a month makes it likely the Bucks will miss the Play-In Tournament.
Atlanta Hawks
The Hawks have three good expiring contracts they can flip in a bigger move. Kristaps Porziņģis, CJ McCollum and Luke Kennard can all be used for cap relief elsewhere before the deadline if the Hawks are trying to bring in more help now. Or they can let those guys’ deals expire this summer and see what roster flexibility they have.
Miami Heat
This team is still looking to have roster flexibility moving forward, so it can try to go get a big fish, but the Heat could be dangerous in the postseason if they can get another reliable outside shooter.
Portland Trail Blazers
Maybe the perimeter help they need for Deni Avdija is just getting their guards healthy, but the Blazers desperately need a creator on offense.
Chicago Bulls
I’d like to see this team get a star such as Ja Morant, but I’d settle for any type of scorer who can take over. Even a short-term option would be great. Not Norman Powell, because he’s not available, but a Powell-type player.
Tier 2: Sellers for lottery night
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Who’s in? New Orleans Pelicans
Who’s out? No one
New Orleans Pelicans
This team could be setting itself up for some real future rebuilding success if it did make guys such as Trey Murphy III, Herb Jones and even Zion Williamson available in a deal. They may need to relax a bit on the asking price, but teams would be willing to give up a good amount for Murphy or Jones. I’m not fully sure I understand the intent of looking at a roster that wins less than a quarter of its games and reach the conclusion, “We need to keep this group together.”
Dallas Mavericks
The Anthony Davis hand injury complicates things a lot, but the Mavericks should also dangle Naji Marshall and/or Daniel Gafford to see what teams are willing to give up. Those are valuable role players to acquire at the deadline, as Dallas proved a couple of years ago.
Utah Jazz
I don’t know if three straight Jusuf Nurkić triple-doubles are a showcase or a glitch in the matrix, but there isn’t a single veteran on this team that they should feel compelled to keep. I would start by calling the Pistons to see if I could interest them in Lauri Markkanen.
Sacramento Kings
Not a single member of the Kings should be untouchable. I understand that GM Scott Perry wants to bring in players who fit a certain mold, but he should 1) try to buy low on Morant and 2) just clear as much of this bad money as possible. Whatever gives them flexibility and a new start moving forward.
Brooklyn Nets
I don’t think you’ll be able to sell higher with Michael Porter Jr. than what he is right now. Don’t roll the dice and see if you can get more later. This is not a Mikal Bridges or Cameron Johnson situation.
Tier 3: Cutting apron strings
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Who’s in? Toronto Raptors
Who’s out? Golden State Warriors
Toronto Raptors
Even with their success this season, it looks like the Raptors want to consolidate some payroll or just get off one of these contracts. Immanuel Quickley or RJ Barrett can be had. Not for nothing, but the Raptors would love to get away from one of these big-money deals. There is also reported interest in Domantas Sabonis, which would have to mean Jakob Poeltl is someone they would jettison. I don’t know if that’s the right approach, but they want to cut some salary.
Boston Celtics
There is a chance they decide to get aggressive and add a small piece, but the Celtics could also pretty much have this team, move Anfernee Simons for a cheaper option and shed the $4 million they need to shed to get under the first apron.
Cleveland Cavaliers
The Cavs might be a Play-In team, and they’re $22 million into the second apron. Any shedding of salary would have massive financial savings for them based on the tax breakout. No way governor Dan Gilbert wants to commit this money to a product this poor in comparison.
LA Clippers
The Clippers are only about a million under the first apron. I don’t think they’ll be adding salary if they do make a move. Chris Paul is still on the roster and could be moved to shed that salary, instead of eating it by buying out the deal.
Tier 4: Gaining Assets
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Who’s in? No one Who’s out? Phoenix Suns
Indiana Pacers
There could be an opportunity to get a big man for next season. Yves Missi? Gafford? Someone in that realm? They’re going to need frontcourt depth and a starting big man when Tyrese Haliburton is back.
Philadelphia 76ers
Sixers president Daryl Morey loves to do something on the margins that will land a draft asset or a role player fans love. See: Grimes, Quentin.
Memphis Grizzlies
The Morant injury will probably curtail an already sparse market. But the Grizzlies have been focused for some time on acquiring draft picks and young role players to develop.
Washington Wizards
Even with the Trae Young trade, the Wizards remain very focused on maintaining flexibility this summer and acquiring as many future assets as possible.
Charlotte Hornets
I almost moved them into a buyers category for competing because of their recent play. The Hornets will still likely treat this deadline as a time for asset acquisition, but they might have played themselves into a new existence.
Tier 5: Standing Pat
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Who’s in? Phoenix Suns, San Antonio Spurs
Who’s out? Minnesota Timberwolves
Phoenix Suns
At this point, the Suns don’t really need to do anything to capitalize on this season or improve their situation. Everything after this midpoint in the season is gravy for them. The Suns can stand pat, have whatever postseason experience they earn and then reassess in the summer.
San Antonio Spurs
Historically, the Spurs don’t make a lot of in-season trades. I’d expect them to treat this deadline as Houston did a year ago. Yes, San Antonio can find ways to upgrade its situation, but really the club just wants to see what these players can do in the playoffs, so let’s see what happens.
Los Angeles Lakers
Maybe there’s a low-key perimeter defense option like a Keon Ellis to be had. But they’re not going to mortgage their first-round picks for anyone who isn’t a star this summer. This is still about building around Luka Dončić after this season.
Orlando Magic
The Magic have married themselves to this exact roster, and any further tinkering would probably be after they (hopefully) have a playoff run. However long that is.
Houston Rockets
Their focus is most likely getting healthy for the playoffs and then seeing how different it looks this time around, with Kevin Durant in the mix. They can address point guard issues in the offseason.
Denver Nuggets
They’re locked into getting this group to the playoffs with a healthy rotation.
Oklahoma City Thunder
I’d expect maybe some future draft pick scrambling, but nothing with the roster.
By Zach Harper, via The Athletic