[ESPN] 30支NBA球队自2020年以来最大的阵容错误

By Zach Kram | ESPN, 2025-07-22 19:00:00

由生成式人工智能翻译,译文内容可能不准确或不完整,以原文为准。

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NBA素以交易频繁著称。各支球队必须在交易、签约和选秀中精准出击,才能争夺总冠军,而球迷对这些运作的兴趣往往比对比赛本身还要高。

有些交易带来了飞速的成功。看看过去两届NBA总冠军:俄克拉荷马城雷霆 (Oklahoma City Thunder) 和波士顿凯尔特人 (Boston Celtics) 通过交易得到了萨博尼斯·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大 (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)、亚历克斯·卡鲁索 (Alex Caruso)、德里克·怀特 (Derrick White)、朱·霍勒迪 (Jrue Holiday)、阿尔·霍福德 (Al Horford)、克里斯塔普斯·波尔津吉斯 (Kristaps Porzingis),以及后来成为杰伦·威廉姆斯 (Jalen Williams)、杰森·塔图姆 (Jayson Tatum) 和杰伦·布朗 (Jaylen Brown) 的选秀权。其他近期的冠军球队则在第41顺位(尼古拉·约基奇 (Nikola Jokic))和第15顺位(扬尼斯·阿德托昆博 (Giannis Antetokounmpo))选中了他们的MVP。

然而,另一些交易则以惨败收场。正是这些糟糕的运作,我们将其置于显微镜下进行仔细审视。

继ESPN的同事们对NFL、MLB和英超球队进行类似盘点之后,我们也将重点放在了每支NBA球队在2020年代迄今为止所犯下的最糟糕决策上,并按照其破坏性从低到高进行排名。

请注意,我们是事后回顾这些交易的灾难性,因此即使当时看似合理的举动也可能被纳入其中。正如ESPN的比尔·巴恩维尔 (Bill Barnwell) 在其NFL排名中写道:“我评估的是结果。如果过程在当时显然就很糟糕,那是一个加分项,但这衡量的是每个错误选择的严重性,而不是为什么会发生。”

这里的评估过程也是一样。让我们一起来看看本十年NBA球队所做出的最具破坏性的举动。

跳转到层级:
Tier 1: 改变球队命运的交易 | Tier 2: 高成本,低回报
Tier 3: 中等错误 | Tier 4: 选秀灾难
Tier 5: 小问题

Tier 5: 小问题

  1. 克利夫兰骑士 (Cleveland Cavaliers)
    最大错误: 拒绝以赛亚·哈尔滕施泰因 (Isaiah Hartenstein) 的资质报价 (2021)

自勒布朗·詹姆斯 (LeBron James) 第二次离开后,骑士队在本十年重建争冠球队的过程中并没有犯太多错误。他们用本十年最高顺位的选秀权选中了埃文·莫布利 (Evan Mobley)(并将大部分其他首轮签交易给了多诺万·米切尔 (Donovan Mitchell)),构建了一个强大的核心阵容,并用长期合同锁定了他们。该队上一个大错误是2019年聘请约翰·贝莱因 (John Beilein) 担任主教练,但那是在2019年。

从较小的层面来看,骑士队无疑后悔在2021年没有向哈尔滕施泰因提供资质报价。当时哈尔滕施泰因已是一名流浪球员,他先是被休斯顿火箭 (Houston Rockets) 裁掉,又被丹佛掘金 (Denver Nuggets) 交易给了贾维尔·麦基 (JaVale McGee)——颇具讽刺意味的是,掘金队在接下来的五年里一直在徒劳地寻找约基奇的合适替补中锋。

哈尔滕施泰因在骑士队短暂效力期间展现了潜力,在16场比赛中,他每36分钟能贡献17分、12个篮板和5次助攻。然而,在选中莫布利之后,骑士队认为他们不再需要哈尔滕施泰因了——结果却眼睁睁看着他在洛杉矶快船 (LA Clippers)、纽约尼克斯 (New York Knicks) 和雷霆队将这种潜力转化为了更出色的场上表现,并在此过程中成为了总冠军球队的关键贡献者。


  1. 印第安纳步行者 (Indiana Pacers)
    最大错误: 聘请内特·约克格伦 (Nate Bjorkgren) 担任主教练 (2020)

NBA历史上很少有教练任期像约克格伦在印第安纳那样糟糕和迅速。作为一名前发展联盟教练和NBA助理教练——他随多伦多猛龙 (Toronto Raptors) 赢得了2019年总冠军——约克格伦与印第安纳的老将们发生冲突,并失去了对更衣室的掌控。在他担任步行者队主教练的唯一一个赛季中,他们六年来首次错失季后赛。

这个错误之所以只排在第29位,是因为它最终对步行者队来说可以说是一个好结果。由于他们在仅仅一个赛季后就解雇了约克格伦,他们得以在2021年聘请一位新教练——正赶上里克·卡莱尔 (Rick Carlisle) 辞去达拉斯独行侠 (Dallas Mavericks) 的职务并重返步行者队。


  1. 纽约尼克斯 (New York Knicks)
    最大错误: 以四年7300万美元签下埃文·富尼耶 (Evan Fournier) (2021)

尼克斯队通过先签后换的方式得到了富尼耶,此前他曾有两年场均18分、三分命中率达到40%的出色表现。但在他效力纽约的第一个赛季中,场均14分的表现尚可,但在80场比赛后,富尼耶的状态急剧下滑。第二个赛季他场均仅得6分,在27场比赛中因伤缺席了尼克斯队的季后赛征程,第三个赛季场均4分,仅出战3场比赛后在交易截止日前被交易到底特律。

尼克斯队与富尼耶签下的是一份四年合同,但最终他只打了三年就离开了NBA,前往欧洲联赛效力。


  1. 波特兰开拓者 (Portland Trail Blazers)
    最大错误: 以五年1.6亿美元续约杰拉米·格兰特 (Jerami Grant) (2023)

就在开拓者队和格兰特在2023年夏天达成新合同协议的仅仅一天后,达米安·利拉德 (Damian Lillard) 请求交易离开波特兰的消息传出。突然之间,这份昂贵但当时可以理解的长期合同变得格格不入,因为这位经验丰富的前锋不再适合一支正在重组的球队。

两年后,格兰特的效率急剧下滑——上赛季投篮命中率跌至职业生涯最差的37%——并且在波特兰的外线球员顺位中,他已经落后于更年轻的德尼·阿夫迪亚 (Deni Avdija) 和图马尼·卡马拉 (Toumani Camara)。

格兰特的合同目前尚未阻碍开拓者队的任何其他运作——但随着开拓者队实力的上升,朱·霍勒迪 (Jrue Holiday) 的巨额合同现在也已纳入,而格兰特在未来三个赛季仍将获得1.026亿美元,这很快可能成为一个棘手的阵容构建障碍。


  1. 犹他爵士 (Utah Jazz)
    最大错误: 未交易劳里·马尔卡宁 (Lauri Markkanen) (2023-24)

在多诺万·米切尔 (Donovan Mitchell) 和鲁迪·戈贝尔 (Rudy Gobert) 交易后重建三年,爵士队仍然是垫底球队,拥有西部最差的阵容。考虑到球队漫长的重建时间线,马尔卡宁(现年28岁)是否仍然适合犹他队尚不明确。

但问题在于,他两年前爆发并赢得最快进步球员奖时,交易价值远高于现在——尤其是在签下大合同后,他的表现从短暂的全明星水平有所下滑。马尔卡宁在2022-23赛季场均得到26分,投篮命中率为50%,但上赛季下降到场均19分,投篮命中率42%。


  1. 夏洛特黄蜂 (Charlotte Hornets)
    最大错误: 以四年1.2亿美元签下戈登·海沃德 (Gordon Hayward) (2020)

黄蜂队通常不是自由球员市场上的大手笔,但他们在2020年通过先签后换的方式制造了不小的轰动。在本十年六个休赛期中,只有两位自由球员在更换球队时签下的合同金额超过了海沃德:保罗·乔治 (Paul George)(去费城76人 (Philadelphia 76ers))和弗雷德·范弗利特 (Fred VanVleet)(去休斯顿火箭 (Houston Rockets))。

但随着海沃德健康状况的恶化,他远远没有达到黄蜂队的预期。这位经验丰富的侧翼球员在效力黄蜂队期间仅出战了59%的比赛,并且他的效率每年都在下降。黄蜂队在海沃德在队期间从未进入季后赛,并且在此期间的两次附加赛他都未能出场。

最终,黄蜂队在海沃德合同的最后一年将其交易,换来了一个以特雷·曼恩 (Tre Mann) 和几个次轮选秀权为核心的交易包。


  1. 洛杉矶快船 (LA Clippers)
    最大错误: 从未培养出年轻的外线天赋 (2020-25)

如果我们将这项盘点提前一年开始,快船队会因为2019年与雷霆队那笔里程碑式的交易而位居榜首,那笔交易将吉尔杰斯-亚历山大和大量选秀权送到了俄克拉荷马城。但在2020年代,洛杉矶管理层并没有哪一个具体举动可以被突出为重大失误。

相反,球队的错误更为普遍:未能培养出任何年轻的外线天赋来支持科怀·伦纳德 (Kawhi Leonard) 和保罗·乔治 (Paul George)。(快船队在中锋位置上要成功得多,有伊维察·祖巴茨 (Ivica Zubac) 和一个赛季的哈尔滕施泰因。)在快船队得到詹姆斯·哈登 (James Harden) 之前,他们本十年季后赛的首发后场包括雷吉·杰克逊 (Reggie Jackson)、帕特里克·贝弗利 (Patrick Beverley)、兰德里·沙梅特 (Landry Shamet)、拉塞尔·威斯布鲁克 (Russell Westbrook) 和埃里克·戈登 (Eric Gordon)——这些球员都不是真正意义上的争冠级别后卫。

公平地说,由于2019年与俄克拉荷马城的交易,快船队本十年没有得到任何高顺位选秀权。但他们在获得的两个首轮末段选秀权(基昂·约翰逊 (Keon Johnson) 和科比·布朗 (Kobe Brown))上也选走眼了,而且他们也没有发现任何外线沧海遗珠。最接近的一次是2019年次轮秀特伦斯·曼恩 (Terance Mann),但他在职业生涯早期昙花一现后,今年早些时候却在几个月内两次被交易——部分原因正是他的合同。

Tier 4: 选秀灾难

  1. 俄克拉荷马城雷霆 (Oklahoma City Thunder)
    最大错误: 选秀后交易了四名未来的轮换球员 (2020和2021)

即使是最好的总经理也会在交易中失手。萨姆·普雷斯蒂 (Sam Presti) 就是如此,他是一位冠军阵容和潜在王朝的杰出缔造者,但同时也是一位容易犯错的交易者。

三笔选秀交易反映了普雷斯蒂过于人性化的失误。2020年,他将第25和第28顺位选秀权交易到第17顺位,从而送走了未来的首发球员伊曼纽尔·奎克利 (Immanuel Quickley) 和杰登·麦克丹尼尔斯 (Jaden McDaniels),同时将阿列克谢·波库舍夫斯基 (Aleksej Pokusevski) 带到了俄克拉荷马城。2021年,他从第36顺位交易到第32顺位,选择了杰里迈亚·罗宾逊-厄尔 (Jeremiah Robinson-Earl),而不是满足于有用的替补迈尔斯·麦克布莱德 (Miles McBride)。最糟糕的是,同样在2021年,普雷斯蒂将第16顺位新秀阿尔佩伦·申京 (Alperen Sengun)——一位像波库舍夫斯基一样兑现天赋的欧洲新秀——交易到休斯顿火箭,换来两个未来选秀权,他一年后将这些选秀权用于奥斯曼·迪昂 (Ousmane Dieng) 的交易包。

回顾一下,普雷斯蒂用一位全明星中锋、一位最佳防守侧翼和两位优质后卫换来了波库舍夫斯基、罗宾逊-厄尔和迪昂。前两位已不在雷霆队,而迪昂是一名饮水机球员。但因为普雷斯蒂还在同一晚交易得到了一位MVP并选中了切特·霍姆格伦 (Chet Holmgren) 和杰伦·威廉姆斯 (Jalen Williams),他的球队现在是NBA最好的球队。几次重大成功可以抵消所有的失误。


  1. 波士顿凯尔特人 (Boston Celtics)
    最大错误: 交易德斯蒙德·贝恩 (Desmond Bane) (2020)

当时来看,这是一个合理的举动:凯尔特人队的阵容中没有多余空间容纳另一位年轻球员,而交易贝恩的选秀权让他们得以甩掉埃内斯·坎特·自由人 (Enes Freedom) 的薪水。没有人会想到第30顺位的选秀权会成长为有朝一日能在交易中换来四个首轮签的球员。

但贝恩做到了,而波士顿在过去五年中无疑可以用得上他。作为一名对他所在位置而言的稳固防守者,以及职业生涯41%的三分命中率射手,贝恩将完美融入凯尔特人队的体系。


  1. 休斯顿火箭 (Houston Rockets)
    最大错误: 选杰伦·格林 (Jalen Green) 而非埃文·莫布利 (Evan Mobley) (2021)

杰伦·格林比本层级讨论的其他失误选秀球员表现更好。但选择他的机会成本也更高,因为火箭队在第二顺位选中格林后,莫布利在第三顺位被选中。

这个决定最终可能对火箭队有利,因为格林是休斯顿今年夏天交易凯文·杜兰特 (Kevin Durant) 的核心筹码,而且火箭队在2021年选秀后期又选中了另一位全明星内线申京。如果杜兰特和申京的内线组合能在下个赛季带领火箭队进入NBA总决赛,他们会把2021年选秀视为一个关键的建队时刻,而非错失良机。

但目前来看,很难不让人好奇火箭队如果当初选择莫布利而非格林会是怎样——尤其考虑到球队在伊梅·乌度卡 (Ime Udoka) 担任主教练后的防守定位,以及莫布利作为卫冕最佳防守球员的身份。除了阿门·汤普森 (Amen Thompson) 之外,莫布利比火箭队任何一位年轻核心基石都有更高的上限。


  1. 奥兰多魔术 (Orlando Magic)
    最大错误: 选中杰特·霍华德 (Jett Howard) (2023)

职业生涯两个赛季以来,第11顺位新秀杰特·霍华德场均3.8分,三分命中率仅29%。他在两次季后赛系列赛中总共只打了14分钟。

霍华德的选中对魔术队来说是一场灾难,原因有三。首先,他当时就是一个高估顺位的选择(他在ESPN的最终模拟选秀中排名第20位),而这次冒险并未奏效。

其次,他的发展停滞是一个特别的问题,因为奥兰多——霍华德到来前一年三分命中率排名联盟第25位,新秀赛季第24位,上赛季第30位——曾认为他可以帮助纠正球队长期存在的问题。他没有。第三,紧随霍华德之后被选中的球员包括德里克·莱弗利二世 (Dereck Lively II)(第12位)、格雷迪·迪克 (Gradey Dick)(第13位)、乔丹·霍金斯 (Jordan Hawkins)(第14位)和布兰丁·波杰姆斯基 (Brandin Podziemski)(第19位),他们都在NBA中贡献了比霍华德多得多的力量。


  1. 圣安东尼奥马刺 (San Antonio Spurs)
    最大错误: 选中约书亚·普里莫 (Joshua Primo) (2021)

圣安东尼奥马刺队在2021年选秀中以第12顺位选中了约书亚·普里莫 (Joshua Primo)。他场均得到5.9分,随后在2022年10月因被指控对一名马刺队女员工有不雅暴露行为而被裁掉。

马刺队本十年其他乐透秀在不同程度上都取得了成功:德文·瓦塞尔 (Devin Vassell)(第11位)、索汉(第9位)、文班亚马(第1位)和斯蒂芬·卡斯尔(第4位),2025年的选秀权迪伦·哈珀 (Dylan Harper)(第2位)和卡特·布莱恩特 (Carter Bryant)(第14位)则有待观察。

但普里莫的选秀在多个层面都失败了。2021年选秀中紧随普里莫之后被选中的侧翼球员包括摩西·穆迪 (Moses Moody)(第14位)、科里·基斯珀特 (Corey Kispert)(第15位)、特雷·墨菲三世 (Trey Murphy III)(第17位)和杰伦·约翰逊 (Jalen Johnson)(第20位)。


  1. 华盛顿奇才 (Washington Wizards)
    最大错误: 选中约翰尼·戴维斯 (Johnny Davis) (2022)

在2020年至2023年的乐透秀中,职业生涯球员正负值(BPM)最差的是2022年第10顺位新秀约翰尼·戴维斯 (Johnny Davis)。BPM计算得出,戴维斯每100个回合让奇才队的表现下降了惊人的6.2分。

戴维斯的基本数据也同样糟糕:场均3.5分、0.6次助攻和11.4分钟出场时间,投篮命中率/效率分别为糟糕的40%/27%/56%。并非每个乐透秀都能成功,但很少有人像戴维斯那样彻底失败。最糟糕的是华盛顿队因为选择戴维斯而错过的球员;2022年选秀中,仅仅两个顺位之后被选中的下一位后卫是杰伦·威廉姆斯 (Jalen Williams)。


  1. 金州勇士 (Golden State Warriors)
    最大错误: 第二顺位选中詹姆斯·怀斯曼 (James Wiseman) (2020)

事后看来,金州勇士队备受吹捧的“双线并行”计划从一开始就注定失败。在经历了一个“过渡年”——凯文·杜兰特 (Kevin Durant) 离开布鲁克林篮网 (Brooklyn Nets),克莱·汤普森 (Klay Thompson) 和斯蒂芬·库里 (Stephen Curry) 受伤——之后,勇士队幸运地得到了榜眼签,获得了为一支争冠球队添上明星新秀的难得机会。如果他们的选秀成功,他们就能给库里提供重返总决赛所需的助力,并在库里最终下滑后为球队的长期成功奠定基础。

至少第一部分成功了,尽管这并非怀斯曼的功劳,而是即便没有他球队也成功了。勇士队在没有这位年轻中锋的情况下赢得了2021-22赛季的总冠军,而他因半月板撕裂缺席了整个赛季。怀斯曼稚嫩、缺乏经验且防守漏洞百出,伤病也无助于他学习如何在勇士队独特的体系中打球。下个赛季,金州勇士队将怀斯曼交易,换来了小加里·佩顿 (Gary Payton II),后者虽然是落选秀,但更有可能赢得史蒂夫·科尔 (Steve Kerr) 的信任。

平心而论,2020年选秀受到新冠疫情影响,情况特殊。但金州勇士队用他们最好的选秀权来奠定未来时,却错过了拉梅洛·鲍尔 (LaMelo Ball)(第三顺位)和泰瑞斯·哈利伯顿 (Tyrese Haliburton)(第12顺位)。哈利伯顿则表示,他相信如果勇士队有低于第二顺位的选秀权,他们会选择他。

六年之后,勇士队仍在努力争取更多胜利,而库里仍接近巅峰,因为金州勇士队已经没有了接班计划。

Tier 3: 杂项中等错误

  1. 明尼苏达森林狼 (Minnesota Timberwolves)
    最大错误: 交易得到丹吉洛·拉塞尔 (D’Angelo Russell) (2020)

从某种程度上说,森林狼队交易得到拉塞尔最终是成功的,因为他们最终将他交易到迈克·康利 (Mike Conley) 和尼基尔·亚历山大-沃克 (Nickeil Alexander-Walker),并连续两年闯入西部决赛。但肯定有更便宜的方式来获得后场支援,因为森林狼队最初是通过交易安德鲁·威金斯 (Andrew Wiggins) 和一个未来首轮选秀权才得到了拉塞尔。

威金斯成为了2021-22赛季金州勇士队夺冠阵容中第二好的球员,而那个选秀权落到了第7顺位,成为了乔纳森·库明加 (Jonathan Kuminga)。

与此同时,拉塞尔在明尼苏达从未真正腾飞,尽管他与卡尔-安东尼·唐斯 (Karl-Anthony Towns) 的友谊人尽皆知,森林狼队也正确地意识到,如果他们想在季后赛中取得胜利,就需要一个更好的控球后卫选择。在他为森林狼队效力的唯一一个季后赛系列赛中,拉塞尔场均12分,投篮命中率仅为33%。


  1. 丹佛掘金 (Denver Nuggets)
    最大错误: 夺冠两年后未交易任何新球员 (2023-25)

在掘金队2023年夺冠到本月他们交易迈克尔·波特 (Michael Porter Jr.) 换来卡梅隆·约翰逊 (Cameron Johnson) 之间,他们没有通过交易增加任何一名NBA球员。(他们确实做了一些涉及选秀权的交易。)

这种不作为,主要是出于财政原因,并最终导致总经理卡尔文·布斯 (Calvin Booth) 失去了工作,这意味着丹佛队只能从内部或通过自由球员市场上达里奥·沙里奇 (Dario Saric)、贾斯汀·霍勒迪 (Justin Holiday)、拉塞尔·威斯布鲁克 (Russell Westbrook) 这样的廉价球员来填补离队老将的空缺。

这些替代者要么太年轻,要么太老,他们无法给尼古拉·约基奇提供他所需的支援以再次进入总决赛。在2022-23赛季季后赛中,丹佛队的首发阵容净效率值为+9.4;今年春天,在2024-25赛季季后赛中,这一数值为+11.3。但是,尽管2022-23赛季掘金队其他阵容凭借小布鲁斯·布朗 (Bruce Brown Jr.) 和杰夫·格林 (Jeff Green) 等人的贡献,总得分领先对手98分,但2024-25赛季掘金队其他阵容的得分差却是负142分。


  1. 洛杉矶湖人 (Los Angeles Lakers)
    最大错误: 失去冠军阵容中的3D球员 (2020和2021)

湖人队在2020年凭借一个简单的公式夺得总冠军:勒布朗·詹姆斯 (LeBron James) 和安东尼·戴维斯 (Anthony Davis) 加上3D角色球员等于成功。但他们忘记了“如果没坏,就别修”这句老话,在寻求再次夺冠的道路上,他们用3D侧翼球员换来了控球手。

夺冠后不久,他们将丹尼·格林 (Danny Green) 和一个首轮末段选秀权(后来成为杰登·麦克丹尼尔斯 (Jaden McDaniels))交易给了丹尼斯·施罗德 (Dennis Schroder)。一年后,他们在自由球员市场上压价亚历克斯·卡鲁索 (Alex Caruso),导致他签约了芝加哥公牛 (Chicago Bulls)。而致命一击则来自于一笔命运多舛的重磅交易,他们将凯尔·库兹马 (Kyle Kuzma) 和肯塔维厄斯·考德威尔-波普 (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope) 交易给了巅峰期已过的拉塞尔·威斯布鲁克 (Russell Westbrook)。

每一笔交易都比上一笔更糟糕,尤其是威斯布鲁克未能融入湖人队以詹姆斯为中心的体系。在威斯布鲁克效力球队的第一个赛季,他们就错失了季后赛,并在第二个赛季中期将他——连同未来的首轮选秀权——交易了出去。但管理层错误策略转变的整体影响是显而易见的:湖人队在2020年赢得了四个季后赛系列赛,但此后五个赛季中总共只赢得了两个季后赛系列赛。


  1. 底特律活塞 (Detroit Pistons)
    最大错误: 聘请蒙蒂·威廉姆斯 (Monty Williams) 担任主教练 (2023)

在菲尼克斯太阳 (Phoenix Suns) 的四个赛季中,蒙蒂·威廉姆斯 (Monty Williams) 闯入过总决赛,赢得过年度最佳教练奖,并赢得了63%的比赛。他是一位备受尊敬的教练,也是NBA资深人士。

但他在底特律的任期是一场灾难,他在太阳队在季后赛次轮失利后不久被解雇,随后活塞队以当时NBA历史上最大的教练合同(六年7850万美元)聘请了他。威廉姆斯似乎并未掌握新球员的优缺点,他的轮换阵容令人费解。他公开斥责球员。他的双内线阵容限制了活塞队的进攻空间。他让选秀水货基利安·海耶斯 (Killian Hayes) 首发,而不是有前途的二年级生杰登·艾维 (Jaden Ivey)。

在所有这些动荡中,底特律队遭遇了创纪录的28连败,最终以14胜68负的战绩收官,这是队史最差战绩。这不仅是一个失败的赛季,也是一支需要向前发展的球队的倒退。情况变得如此无法维持,以至于威廉姆斯在赛季结束后被解雇,尽管他还将被欠下6500万美元。

如果说有什么不同的话,威廉姆斯的任期事后看来更糟。威廉姆斯的继任者J.B. 比克斯塔夫 (J.B. Bickerstaff) 在清理威廉姆斯的烂摊子后,在年度最佳教练投票中排名第二,带领活塞队重返季后赛,并帮助凯德·坎宁安 (Cade Cunningham) 成长为最佳阵容球员。

Tier 2: 高成本,低回报

  1. 迈阿密热火 (Miami Heat)
    最大错误: 交易特里·罗齐尔 (Terry Rozier) (2024)

尽管帕特·莱利 (Pat Riley) 以追逐明星球员而闻名,但这位热火队大总管并非一位鲁莽的交易者。相反,他通常只会在改变局势的交易上扣动扳机。举例来说,在过去的15年里,迈阿密在交易中送出首轮签所获得的球员只有勒布朗·詹姆斯 (LeBron James)、克里斯·波什 (Chris Bosh)、戈兰·德拉季奇 (Goran Dragic)、吉米·巴特勒 (Jimmy Butler)……以及罗齐尔。

前四位球员都在迈阿密入选过全明星阵容,并帮助热火队闯入总决赛。相比之下,罗齐尔场均12.5分,投篮命中率40%,没有出战任何一场季后赛,并跌出了主教练埃里克·斯波尔斯特拉 (Erik Spoelstra) 的轮换阵容,同时还卷入了一项联邦赌博调查。

从大局来看,更糟糕的是,罗齐尔代表了热火队在巴特勒提出离队请求之前,为巴特勒寻找另一位联合核心的最后一次豪赌。现在他们陷入困境,没有明显的回升之路——而且他们仍然欠黄蜂队一个未来首轮签作为罗齐尔的交易代价。


  1. 多伦多猛龙 (Toronto Raptors)
    最大错误: 屡次将首轮选秀权交易给角色球员 (2022-2025)

在过去四个交易截止日,猛龙队都交易了一个首轮选秀权,尽管其中三年他们不是季后赛球队,第四年也没有主场优势。以下是这些引援名单:

2022年:赛迪斯·杨 (Thaddeus Young)(选秀权落到第20顺位,马拉凯·布兰纳姆 (Malaki Branham))
2023年:雅各布·珀尔特尔 (Jakob Poeltl)(选秀权落到第8顺位,罗布·迪林汉姆 (Rob Dillingham))
2024年:奥柴·阿巴基 (Ochai Agbaji) 和凯利·奥利尼克 (Kelly Olynyk)(选秀权落到第29顺位,以赛亚·科利尔 (Isaiah Collier))
2025年:布兰登·英格拉姆 (Brandon Ingram)(选秀权在2026年属于步行者队)

并非这些选秀权都能选中必成才的新秀,但对多伦多来说,机会成本是巨大的。而且猛龙队获得的这些球员都没有将他们提升到争冠行列。杨,作为猛龙队自2020年以来唯一一次季后赛出场的一员,在季后赛中场均3.3分,出场时间14.5分钟。


  1. 费城76人 (Philadelphia 76ers)
    最大错误: 向保罗·乔治 (Paul George) 和乔尔·恩比德 (Joel Embiid) 投入3.99亿美元 (2024)

很难将本十年76人队所有的季后赛失利归咎于某一次特定的交易,因为这支球队自2001年以来仍在寻求他们第一次分区决赛出场。本·西蒙斯 (Ben Simmons) 彻底失败。恩比德反复受伤。球队两次在季后赛次轮的抢七大战中失利。

但至少费城队在十年上半段还在打季后赛并争夺冠军。然而,在2024-25赛季,76人队以24胜58负的战绩收官,这是他们自十年前“信任过程”时代以来的最差战绩,现在他们的未来看起来比以往任何时候都更加不确定。2024年夏天——当时他们被广泛认为是休赛期赢家——应该为此负责。

76人队以四年2.116亿美元从快船队挖走了34岁的乔治,并且以三年1.876亿美元的价格续约了容易受伤的恩比德,尽管他现有合同还有两年和一个球员选项。结果乔治经历了近十年最糟糕的赛季,而恩比德只打了19场表现时好时坏的比赛。

现在76人队未来三年仍将为乔治的合同支付薪水,而恩比德的新续约还要一年才生效。而且两位老将似乎都无法证明上赛季只是偶然,因为两人都可能因伤缺席2025-26赛季的开局。


  1. 芝加哥公牛 (Chicago Bulls)
    最大错误: 交易得到尼古拉·武切维奇 (Nikola Vucevic) (2021)

公牛队本十年最大的错误可能是一个更广泛的问题,因为他们持续将目标定位于中游排名,而非像大多数在争冠无望时采取摆烂重建周期的NBA球队那样。但芝加哥的低迷始于武切维奇的交易,这是首席执行官阿图拉斯·卡尔尼绍瓦斯 (Arturas Karnisovas) 任期内的首笔交易,它将小温德尔·卡特 (Wendell Carter Jr.) 和两个未来首轮选秀权——两者都落入乐透区——送到了奥兰多,以换取武切维奇。

武切维奇是一名扎实的球员,他曾两次入选全明星,并在被交易到奥兰多时正处于职业生涯最佳赛季。但由于他在防守端的问题,一支以武切维奇为核心的球队有着明确的天花板,因此他的加盟象征着公牛队更深层次的缺乏雄心。事实上,芝加哥队在拥有武切维奇、德马尔·德罗赞 (DeMar DeRozan) 和扎克·拉文 (Zach LaVine) 的阵容下,总共只赢了一场季后赛。

与此同时,奥兰多队将获得的第一个额外选秀权用于选中了弗朗茨·瓦格纳 (Franz Wagner),他本会成为芝加哥队自吉米·巴特勒 (Jimmy Butler) 以来最好的年轻球员。(第二个额外选秀权则用于选中了杰特·霍华德 (Jett Howard),此前已讨论过他给魔术队带来了重大失误。)


  1. 孟菲斯灰熊 (Memphis Grizzlies)
    最大错误: 交易得到马库斯·斯马特 (Marcus Smart) (2023)

在连续两个赛季取得50+胜场和西部第二种子后,灰熊队寻求他们认为能够帮助他们更上一层楼的最后一块拼图。他们瞄准了最佳防守球员马库斯·斯马特 (Marcus Smart),他曾随凯尔特人队打入NBA总决赛,并为此付出了沉重代价,将他与贾·莫兰特 (Ja Morant) 搭配在后场:两个首轮选秀权和泰厄斯·琼斯 (Tyus Jones),后者可能是联盟顶级的替补控球后卫。

但随着灰熊队其他轮换球员饱受伤病和禁赛困扰,斯马特成为了问题的一部分,而非解决方案。他在灰熊队一个半赛季中只打了39场比赛,随后在2025年交易截止日前被交易——灰熊队甚至动用了第三个首轮选秀权来清理他的合同。根据VORP(球员替换价值)数据,斯马特在孟菲斯效力期间提供的价值恰好为零。


  1. 亚特兰大老鹰 (Atlanta Hawks)
    最大错误: 交易得到德章泰·默里 (Dejounte Murray) (2022)

  2. 新奥尔良鹈鹕 (New Orleans Pelicans)
    最大错误: 交易得到德章泰·默里 (Dejounte Murray) (2024)

首先:默里被列为本十年两次最糟糕交易的目标,这并非他的错。他曾一次入选全明星,一次入选最佳防守阵容。

但我们将这两笔交易归为一类,是因为他那被诅咒的交易链。

首先,老鹰队为了给特雷·杨 (Trae Young) 找到一位后场搭档,并重拾2021年令人惊喜地闯入分区决赛的魔力,从马刺队得到了默里,作为交换,送出了三个未来首轮签和一个选秀权互换。其中一个选秀权(通过黄蜂队获得)最终未能兑现,但马刺队通过这笔交易得到了卡特·布莱恩特 (Carter Bryant)(上个月的第14顺位选秀),而且他们仍控制着老鹰队2026年和2027年的无保护选秀权。

尽管代价高昂,默里并没有让亚特兰大更接近争冠。默里在队期间的两个赛季,老鹰队都未能取得胜率过半的战绩,而且杨和默里同时在场的阵容在两个赛季中得分都不及对手。

亚特兰大队的幸免于难之处在于,仅仅两年后,新奥尔良鹈鹕队又为默里做了一笔更一边倒的交易,他们得到了这位全明星后卫,作为交换,送出了戴森·丹尼尔斯 (Dyson Daniels) 和两个首轮选秀权(其中一个老鹰队在克里斯塔普斯·波尔津吉斯 (Kristaps Porzingis) 的交易中已经送出,另一个定于2027年兑现)。

如果这笔交易只是默里和丹尼尔斯的直接互换,亚特兰大队就算赢了。上赛季鹈鹕队以21胜61负收官时,默里跟腱撕裂,而丹尼尔斯比他年轻七岁,赢得了最快进步球员奖,并在最佳防守球员投票中排名第二。鹈鹕队还送出两个首轮签,这只会让他们的交易看起来更糟。

Tier 1: 改变球队命运的糟糕交易

  1. 萨克拉门托国王 (Sacramento Kings)
    最大错误: 拥有泰瑞斯·哈利伯顿 (Tyrese Haliburton) 和德阿隆·福克斯 (De’Aaron Fox),却在三年内双双失去他们 (2022和2025)

国王队在2022年面临一个令人羡慕的困境:他们拥有24岁的福克斯和21岁的哈利伯顿两位有前途的年轻控球后卫,他们需要决定是围绕其中一人建队还是两人都保留。他们选择了一个,而且选错了,用哈利伯顿震惊地换来了多曼塔斯·萨博尼斯 (Domantas Sabonis)。

一度,这笔交易似乎是双赢的,因为哈利伯顿在步行者队后场崭露头角,而福克斯-萨博尼斯组合则带领国王队在2022-23赛季打出了NBA最佳进攻,并位列西部第三种子。这是该队17年来首次进入季后赛。

但萨克拉门托队无法永远“点亮光束”,在以7分之差输给鹈鹕队后,国王队在2023-24赛季错失了季后赛,随后在2024-25赛季交易了不满的福克斯,并再次错失季后赛。

仅仅在他们几十年来最好的表现之后几年,国王队再次拥有一支不合时宜的阵容,没有明确的方向,并且他们从拥有两位控球后卫变成了零位。与此同时,哈利伯顿连续两年带领步行者队进入东部决赛和NBA总决赛抢七大战,并在此过程中成为了联盟最好的传球手和关键时刻得分手之一。


  1. 布鲁克林篮网 (Brooklyn Nets)
    最大错误: 交易詹姆斯·哈登 (James Harden) (2021)

有太多的“如果”本来可以将哈登的交易从灾难变为胜利。如果哈登和凯里·欧文 (Kyrie Irving) 在2021年季后赛没有受伤会怎样?如果凯文·杜兰特 (Kevin Durant) 在抢七大战中用转身跳投追平密尔沃基雄鹿 (Milwaukee Bucks) 时脚没有碰到三分线会怎样?如果欧文没有拒绝新冠疫苗,导致篮网队的三巨头实验戛然而止会怎样?

但所有这些“如果”都走向了错误的方向,哈登的交易也是如此。为了1.5个充满戏剧性、假设胜利多于实际胜利的赛季,篮网队交易了贾里特·阿伦 (Jarrett Allen)、卡里斯·勒韦尔 (Caris LeVert)、三个首轮选秀权和四次选秀权互换(其中两次最终未能行使)。

休斯顿火箭队已经利用其丰厚的回报选中了塔里·伊森 (Tari Eason) 和里德·谢泼德 (Reed Sheppard),并帮助从太阳队交易得到了杜兰特。未来还有更多;在后来的交易中,篮网队还不得不支付更多的选秀权来夺回他们的一些选秀权,一旦他们意识到杜兰特-哈登-欧文时代已经结束,他们就需要摆烂。

雪上加霜的是,当哈登在2022年要求交易时,篮网队顺从地将他交易到了费城76人,而他们回报的核心筹码是本·西蒙斯 (Ben Simmons),他从未找回2020年让他入选最佳阵容的攻防两端价值。西蒙斯在76人队效力期间场均16分,而在篮网队零星的出场时间里,他场均只有6.5分。


  1. 密尔沃基雄鹿 (Milwaukee Bucks)
    最大错误: 交易得到达米安·利拉德 (Damian Lillard) (2023)

也许比这份榜单上的任何其他交易都更甚,雄鹿队交易得到利拉德在当时看来是明智的。在2023年季后赛中被热火队爆冷淘汰后,他们需要一次重组,他们的进攻需要升级,而利拉德似乎是与扬尼斯·阿德托昆博 (Giannis Antetokounmpo) 完美搭档的选择——阿德托昆博在雄鹿队交易朱·霍勒迪 (Jrue Holiday)(他被转送至波士顿,并在那里赢得了一个总冠军)、格雷森·阿伦 (Grayson Allen)、一个未来首轮选秀权和两次选秀权互换以换取利拉德后不久就签下了续约合同。

但两个主要问题意味着雄鹿队不仅未能与利拉德一起争夺另一个总冠军,他们甚至没有赢得一个季后赛系列赛。第一个问题是,即使两位球员都健康,利拉德和阿德托昆博在实际表现上也不像理论上那样融合得好。据GeniusIQ数据,两位未来的名人堂球员每100个回合只打出20.2次挡拆,在过去两个赛季的83个挡拆组合中(至少500次总挡拆),这一排名仅为中等的第46位。

第二个问题是,两位球员在最关键的时候从未保持健康(在此向雄鹿队的NBA杯冠军致歉)。阿德托昆博缺席了2023-24赛季的全部季后赛,而利拉德则缺席了2023-24和2024-25赛季季后赛的部分比赛,后者是由于跟腱撕裂提前结束了他在雄鹿队的任期。

受伤几个月后,雄鹿队做出了一个令人惊讶的决定,裁掉并延伸支付了利拉德剩余的合同,以获得签下自由球员中锋迈尔斯·特纳 (Myles Turner) 所需的薪金空间。但现在雄鹿队每年要为利拉德支付2250万美元的费用,直到2029-30赛季,而且他们直到2031年才掌控自己的首轮选秀权。NBA中没有哪支球队比菲尼克斯太阳队处于更糟糕的长期状况。


  1. 菲尼克斯太阳 (Phoenix Suns)
    最大错误: 交易得到凯文·杜兰特 (Kevin Durant) 和布拉德利·比尔 (Bradley Beal) (2023)

马特·伊什比亚 (Mat Ishbia) 于2023年2月7日正式成为菲尼克斯太阳队的新老板。仅仅24小时后,太阳队就交易得到了杜兰特。所谓“新老板综合症”从未如此迅速地显现:伊什比亚推动他的球队放弃了巨额回报以获得杜兰特——米卡尔·布里奇斯 (Mikal Bridges)、卡梅隆·约翰逊 (Cam Johnson)、杰·克劳德 (Jae Crowder)、四个无保护首轮选秀权和一次选秀权互换——从而开启了一系列几乎摧毁这支曾在2020-21赛季打入NBA总决赛并在2021-22赛季赢得联盟最佳64胜的球队的事件。

问题不仅仅在于杜兰特的交易;还在于太阳队一再加倍下注,抵押了他们未来的方方面面,以期在当下获得胜利,尽管可能性越来越小。那个夏天,菲尼克斯队交易了克里斯·保罗 (Chris Paul) 换来了布拉德利·比尔 (Bradley Beal),后者拥有交易否决权,合同还剩下超过2亿美元。

杜兰特和比尔的总成本,包括布鲁克林和华盛顿在转送布里奇斯、约翰逊和保罗时获得的额外选秀权,是12个首轮选秀权和6次选秀权互换,再加上NBA最昂贵的阵容,以及第二工资帽带来的巨大惩罚。

而所有这些大手笔投入的回报呢?杜兰特在太阳队的第一个赛季在季后赛次轮出局,第二个赛季(比尔的第一个赛季)在首轮被横扫,上赛季则以西部第11名收官。

现在杜兰特已经以远低于当初来到菲尼克斯时的代价被交易走;比尔已被买断并延伸支付,在未来五年内每年仍将占据太阳队1940万美元的薪金空间;而太阳队直到2032年才掌控自己的首轮选秀权。NBA中没有哪支球队比菲尼克斯处于更糟糕的长期状况。


  1. 达拉斯独行侠 (Dallas Mavericks)
    最大错误: 交易卢卡·东契奇 (Luka Doncic) (2025)

还有其他交易能排到第一吗?这份榜单上最新的记录也是最糟糕的,也许是NBA历史上最令人震惊的交易。

这份榜单上其他的顶级交易大多是关于球队交易了太多资产以引入一位明星。而东契奇的交易则相反,它发生在球队交易了一位深受爱戴的现役明星,他曾在前一个夏天带领球队进入总决赛,并在24岁之前创纪录地五次入选最佳阵容一阵。

因为独行侠队在2024-25赛季东契奇离队后的崩溃导致他们最终进入乐透区,并在那里奇迹般地抽中了状元签和库珀·弗拉格 (Cooper Flagg),他们的未来看起来比太阳队、雄鹿队、篮网队或国王队光明。弗拉格和安东尼·戴维斯 (Anthony Davis)——独行侠队交易东契奇后回报的核心——可能很快就能带领达拉斯重返争冠行列。

但本世纪只有一笔交易如此令人惊讶,以至于当ESPN的沙姆斯·查拉尼亚 (Shams Charania) 报道时,引发了关于他的社交媒体账户是否被黑客攻击的疑问。只有一笔交易如此荒谬,以至于它成为了一个难以磨灭的记忆,全球各地的球迷在未来几十年都会记住他们得知这个消息时的情景。最重要的是,只有一笔交易如此令人震惊,以至于引发了球迷群体的集体反抗。

这,比任何其他因素都更能解释为什么东契奇的交易排名第一:它超越了普通交易反应,深入到体育迷的核心。这需要一种百年一遇的特殊错误。

By Zach Kram | ESPN, via ESPN

点击查看原文:All 30 NBA teams' biggest roster mistakes since 2020

All 30 NBA teams’ biggest roster mistakes since 2020

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The NBA is famously a league of transactions. Teams must nail their trades, signings and draft picks to compete for the title, and fan interest in those dealings is often higher than in the games themselves.

Some of these transactions result in meteoric success. Just look at the past two NBA champions: The Oklahoma City Thunder and Boston Celtics traded for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Derrick White, Jrue Holiday, Al Horford, Kristaps Porzingis and draft picks that became Jalen Williams, Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown. Other recent champions landed their MVPs with the No. 41 (Nikola Jokic) and No. 15 (Giannis Antetokounmpo) picks.

Yet other transactions flame out spectacularly. It’s those rotten deals that we’ve put under the microscope.

Following ESPN colleagues who have done the same for NFL, MLB and Premier League teams, we’re highlighting the worst decision every NBA team has made thus far in the 2020s, ranking them from least to most damaging.

Note that we’re ranking the disastrousness of these deals in retrospect, so even moves that made sense at the time can be included here. As ESPN’s Bill Barnwell wrote in his NFL ranking, “I’m evaluating the outcome. If the process was clearly bad at the time, that’s a bonus, but this is measuring the severity of each wrong choice, not why something happened.”

The process here is the same. Let’s take a look at the most damaging moves NBA teams have made this decade.

Jump to a tier:
Tier 1: Franchise-altering trades | Tier 2: High cost, low reward
Tier 3: Midtier mistakes | Tier 4: Draft disasters
Tier 5: Small-scale problems

Tier 5: Small-scale problems

30. Cleveland Cavaliers
Biggest mistake:
Declining Isaiah Hartenstein’s qualifying offer (2021)

The Cavaliers haven’t made many mistakes this decade while rebuilding a contender following LeBron James’ second departure. They selected Evan Mobley with their top draft pick of the decade (and traded most of the rest of their first-rounders for Donovan Mitchell), constructed a strong core and locked it up with long-term deals. The franchise’s last big mistake was hiring John Beilein as coach, but that was in 2019.

On a smaller scale, Cleveland surely regrets not extending Hartenstein a qualifying offer in 2021. Already a journeyman at that point, Hartenstein had been waived by the Houston Rockets and traded by the Denver Nuggets for JaVale McGee – ironic given Denver has spent the ensuing half-decade searching in vain for a proper backup center to Jokic.

Hartenstein flashed his potential in a short stint in Cleveland, averaging 17 points, 12 rebounds and 5 assists per 36 minutes in 16 games. Yet after drafting Mobley, the Cavaliers figured they didn’t need Hartenstein anymore – only to watch him turn that potential into greater on-court production with the LA Clippers, New York Knicks and Oklahoma City Thunder, becoming a crucial contributor to an NBA champion in the process.


29. Indiana Pacers
Biggest mistake:
Hiring Nate Bjorkgren as head coach (2020)

Few NBA coaching stints have gone so poorly so quickly as Bjorkgren in Indiana. A former G League coach and NBA assistant – he won the 2019 championship with the Toronto Raptors – Bjorkgren clashed with Indiana’s veterans and lost command of the locker room. In his lone season as the Pacers’ head coach, they missed the playoffs for the first time in six years.

This mistake ranks only 29th because it arguably worked out for the Pacers in the end. Because they let Bjorkgren go after just one season, they were positioned to hire a new coach in 2021 – just in time for Rick Carlisle to step down from the Dallas job and rejoin the Pacers.


28. New York Knicks
Biggest mistake:
Signing Evan Fournier for four years and $73 million (2021)

The Knicks added Fournier via a sign-and-trade on the strength of a two-year run in which he averaged 18 points per game and made 40% of his 3s. But after averaging a respectable 14 points in 80 games in his first season in New York, Fournier’s game fell apart. He averaged just 6 points in 27 games in his second season and missed New York’s playoff run because of an injury, then averaged 4 points in three games in his third season before moving to Detroit at the deadline.

The Knicks signed Fournier for four years, but ultimately, he was out of the NBA and playing in Europe after just three.


27. Portland Trail Blazers
Biggest mistake
: Re-signing Jerami Grant for five years and $160 million (2023)

Just one day after the Trail Blazers and Grant agreed to a new contract in summer 2023, news broke that Damian Lillard had requested a trade out of Portland. All of a sudden, an expensive but understandable long-term deal looked horribly out of place, as the veteran forward no longer fit on a retooling roster.

Two years later, Grant’s production has cratered – shooting a career-worst 37% from the field last season – and he has fallen behind the much younger Deni Avdija and Toumani Camara in Portland’s perimeter pecking order.

Grant’s contract hasn’t gotten in the way of any other Trail Blazers moves yet – but with the Blazers rising, Jrue Holiday’s hefty deal now in the fold and Grant still owed another $102.6 million over the next three seasons, it might soon prove a tricky roster-building obstacle.


26. Utah Jazz
Biggest mistake:
Not trading Lauri Markkanen (2023-24)

Three years into their rebuild following the Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert trades, the Jazz are still cellar dwellers, with by far the worst roster in the Western Conference. It’s unclear whether Markkanen, now 28, still makes sense in Utah, given the team’s protracted timeline.

But the problem is he had much more trade value two years ago, after he broke out and won Most Improved Player, than he does now after signing a big new contract and declining from his short-lived All-Star level. Markkanen averaged 26 points per game on 50% shooting in 2022-23 but fell to 19 points on 42% shooting last season.


25. Charlotte Hornets
Biggest mistake:
Signing Gordon Hayward for four years and $120 million (2020)

The Hornets aren’t typically big spenders in free agency, but they made a sizable splash with a sign-and-trade in 2020. In six offseasons this decade, only two free agents have signed for more money while changing teams than Hayward: Paul George (to Philadelphia) and Fred VanVleet (to Houston).

But as Hayward’s health deteriorated, he fell far short of the Hornets’ expectations. The veteran wing played in just 59% of Charlotte’s games while he was on the roster, and his production declined every year. Charlotte never made the playoffs with Hayward, and he was inactive for both of the Hornets’ play-in games during that span.

Eventually, Charlotte traded Hayward in the final year of his contract, receiving a package headlined by Tre Mann and second-round picks.


24. LA Clippers
Biggest mistake:
Never developing young perimeter talent (2020-25)

If we started this exercise a year earlier, the Clippers would rank near No. 1 on this list because of 2019’s momentous trade with the Thunder, which sent Gilgeous-Alexander and a raft of picks to Oklahoma City. But in the 2020s, there’s not one specific move to highlight as a big mistake from the LA front office.

Rather, the team’s mistake is more general: failing to develop any young perimeter talent to support Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. (The Clippers were much more successful at center, with Ivica Zubac and one season of Hartenstein). Until the Clippers acquired James Harden, their starting backcourts in the playoffs this decade featured Reggie Jackson, Patrick Beverley, Landry Shamet, Russell Westbrook and Eric Gordon – not exactly championship-leading guards.

To be fair, the Clippers didn’t have any prime draft picks this decade, due to the 2019 deal with Oklahoma City. But they also whiffed on the two late first-rounders they landed (Keon Johnson and Kobe Brown), and they didn’t find any perimeter diamonds in the rough, either. The closest they came was with Terance Mann, a second-round pick in 2019, but after flashes of promise early in his career, he ended up being traded – in part because of his contract – twice in the span of a few months earlier this year.

Tier 4: Draft disasters

23. Oklahoma City Thunder
Biggest mistake:
Trading four future rotation players after the draft (2020 and 2021)

Even the best general managers lose trades. Such is the case with Sam Presti, a masterful architect of a championship roster and potential dynasty, but an error-prone trader nonetheless.

Three draft deals reflect Presti’s all-too-human fallibility. In 2020, he dealt the No. 25 and 28 picks for No. 17, thereby giving away future starters Immanuel Quickley and Jaden McDaniels, while bringing Aleksej Pokusevski to Oklahoma City. In 2021, he traded up from No. 36 to No. 32, reaching for Jeremiah Robinson-Earl instead of being content with useful backup Miles McBride. Worst of all, also in 2021, Presti traded No. 16 pick Alperen Sengun – a European prospect who, unlike Pokusevski, panned out – to Houston for two future picks, which he used a year later in a package for Ousmane Dieng.

To review, Presti traded an All-Star center, an All-Defensive wing and two quality guards for Pokusevski, Robinson-Earl and Dieng. The first two are no longer on the Thunder, and Dieng is a deep bench player. But because Presti also traded for an MVP and drafted Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams on the same night, his team is now the best in the NBA. A few big hits can outweigh all the misses.


22. Boston Celtics
Biggest mistake:
Trading Desmond Bane (2020)

This was a reasonable move at the time: The Celtics didn’t have room on their roster for another young player, and trading Bane’s draft rights allowed them to shed Enes Freedom’s salary. Nobody expected the No. 30 pick to develop into the sort of player who’d one day command four first-round picks in a trade.

But Bane did, and Boston certainly could have used him over the past half-decade. A solid defender for his position and career 41% 3-point shooter, Bane would have been a perfect fit in the Celtics’ system.


21. Houston Rockets
Biggest mistake:
Drafting Jalen Green over Evan Mobley (2021)

Green is a better player than the other mistake picks discussed in this tier. But the opportunity cost for selecting him was also higher, because after the Rockets took Green with the No. 2 pick, Mobley went third.

That decision might end up rebounding to the Rockets’ benefit in the end, as Green was the centerpiece of Houston’s trade for Kevin Durant this summer and the Rockets landed a different All-Star big man later in the 2021 draft in Sengun. If a Durant-Sengun frontcourt leads the Rockets to the NBA Finals next year, they’ll look back on the 2021 draft as a crucial team-building moment, rather than a missed opportunity.

But for now, it’s hard not to wonder what the Rockets would look like with Mobley instead of Green – especially given the team’s defensive identity with Ime Udoka at head coach and Mobley’s status as the reigning Defensive Player of the Year. With the possible exception of Amen Thompson, Mobley has a higher ceiling than any of the Rockets’ young building blocks.


20. Orlando Magic
Biggest mistake:
Drafting Jett Howard (2023)

Two seasons into his career, No. 11 pick Howard is averaging 3.8 points per game and making just 29% of his 3-point attempts. He has played 14 total minutes across two playoff series.

Howard’s selection was a fiasco for the Magic for three reasons. First, he was a reach at the time (he went 20th in ESPN’s final mock draft), and the gamble hasn’t paid off.

Second, his stalled development is a particular problem because Orlando – which ranked 25th in 3-point shooting the year before Howard’s arrival, 24th his rookie year and 30th last season – thought he could help correct its longtime struggles. He hasn’t. And third, players picked soon after Howard include Dereck Lively II (12th), Gradey Dick (13th), Jordan Hawkins (14th) and Brandin Podziemski (19th), all of whom have contributed much more than Howard in the NBA.


19. San Antonio Spurs
Biggest mistake:
Drafting Joshua Primo (2021)

San Antonio selected Primo with the 12th pick in the 2021 draft. He averaged 5.9 points per game before being waived in October 2022 after allegations of indecent exposure to a female Spurs employee.

The Spurs’ other lottery picks this decade have all worked out to varying degrees: Devin Vassell (11th), Jeremy Sochan (9th), Victor Wembanyama (1st) and Stephon Castle (4th), with 2025 picks Dylan Harper (2nd) and Carter Bryant (14th) to be determined.

But the Primo pick failed on multiple levels. Wings selected shortly after Primo in the 2021 draft included Moses Moody (14th), Corey Kispert (15th), Trey Murphy III (17th) and Jalen Johnson (20th).


18. Washington Wizards
Biggest mistake:
Drafting Johnny Davis (2022)

Among lottery picks from 2020 through 2023, the worst career box plus-minus (BPM) belongs to Davis, the No. 10 pick in 2022. BPM calculates that Davis has made the Wizards worse by a whopping 6.2 points per 100 possessions.

Davis’ surface stats don’t look any better: 3.5 points, 0.6 assists and 11.4 minutes per game with ghastly 40%/27%/56% shooting splits. Not every lottery pick pans out, but few bust as dramatically as Davis. Worst of all is who Washington missed by selecting Davis; the next guard taken in the 2022 draft, just two spots later, was Jalen Williams.


17. Golden State Warriors
Biggest mistake:
Drafting James Wiseman second (2020)

In retrospect, Golden State’s much ballyhooed “two timelines” plan was doomed as soon as it began. Blessed with the No. 2 pick after a gap year – when Kevin Durant left for Brooklyn and Klay Thompson and Stephen Curry were injured – the Warriors had the rare opportunity to add a star prospect to a contender. If their pick clicked, they could give Curry the boost he needed to return to the Finals and set the franchise up for longer-term success after Curry’s eventual decline.

At least the first part worked out, though in spite of Wiseman, not because of him. The Warriors won the 2021-22 title without the young center, who missed the entire year because of a torn meniscus. Wiseman was raw, inexperienced and a defensive liability, and his injuries didn’t help him learn how to play in the Warriors’ unique system. The next season, Golden State dealt Wiseman for Gary Payton II, who was undrafted but a much better bet to earn Steve Kerr’s trust.

In the Warriors’ defense, 2020 was a strange draft affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. But in selecting Wiseman with their best pick to set up its future, Golden State passed on LaMelo Ball (who went No. 3) and Tyrese Haliburton (who went 12th). Haliburton, for his part, said he believes the Warriors would have drafted him if they had a pick lower than No. 2.

Six years later, the Warriors are stuck trying to eke out more wins while Curry is still near his peak, because there is no more succession plan in Golden State.

Tier 3: Miscellaneous midtier mistakes

16. Minnesota Timberwolves
Biggest mistake:
Trading for D’Angelo Russell (2020)

To some extent, the Timberwolves’ trade for Russell worked out in the long run, because they eventually dealt him for Mike Conley and Nickeil Alexander-Walker en route to back-to-back conference finals appearances. But there must have been a less expensive way to get backcourt help, because the Timberwolves first acquired Russell in exchange for Andrew Wiggins and a future first-round pick.

Wiggins became arguably the second-best player on the title-winning 2021-22 Golden State Warriors, and that draft pick landed at No. 7 and became Jonathan Kuminga.

Meanwhile, Russell never took off in Minnesota, despite his well-documented friendship with Karl-Anthony Towns, and the Timberwolves rightly realized they needed a better option at point guard if they ever wanted to win in the postseason. In his lone playoff series with Minnesota, Russell averaged 12 points per game on 33% shooting.


15. Denver Nuggets
Biggest mistake:
Not trading for any new players for two years after winning the title (2023-25)

Between the Nuggets’ title in 2023 and this month, when they traded Michael Porter Jr. for Cameron Johnson, they didn’t add a single NBA player in a trade. (They did make a few trades involving draft picks.)

That inactivity, which was largely motivated by financial reasons and eventually cost GM Calvin Booth his job, meant Denver was stuck replacing departed veterans from within, or from the Dario Saric/Justin Holiday/Russell Westbrook bargain bin in free agency.

Those replacements were either too young or too old, and they couldn’t give Nikola Jokic the support he needed to reach another Finals. In the 2022-23 postseason, Denver’s starters had a plus-9.4 net rating; this spring, in the 2024-25 playoffs, it was plus-11.3. But while all other Nuggets lineups outscored their opponents by 98 points in 2022-23 thanks to contributions from the likes of Bruce Brown Jr. and Jeff Green, other Nuggets lineups in 2024-25 had a negative-142 point differential.


14. Los Angeles Lakers
Biggest mistake:
Losing 3-and-D players from their championship team (2020 and 2021)

The Lakers won the 2020 championship with a simple formula: LeBron James and Anthony Davis plus 3-and-D role players equals success. But they forgot the old maxim “if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it” and exchanged 3-and-D wings for ball handlers in their quest to win again.

Shortly after winning the title, they traded Danny Green and a late first-round pick (which became Jaden McDaniels) for Dennis Schroder. A year later, they lowballed Alex Caruso in free agency, leading him to sign with the Chicago Bulls. And the coup de grâce came with an ill-fated blockbuster trade, as they traded Kyle Kuzma and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope for post-prime Russell Westbrook.

Each of those moves was worse than the last, with Westbrook in particular failing to fit into the Lakers’ James-centric ecosystem. They missed the playoffs in Westbrook’s first season with the team and traded him – along with a future first-round pick – midway through the second season. But the overall effects of the front office’s misguided change in approach are clear: The Lakers won four playoff series in 2020, but they’ve won just two total playoff series in the five seasons since.


13. Detroit Pistons
Biggest mistake:
Hiring Monty Williams as head coach (2023)

In four seasons with the Phoenix Suns, Williams reached the Finals, won a Coach of the Year award and won 63% of his games. He’s a well-respected coach and a longtime NBA voice.

But his tenure was a disaster in Detroit, where he was hired shortly after the Suns fired him following a second-round playoff loss. Given what was, at the time, the largest coaching contract in NBA history (six years and $78.5 million), Williams didn’t seem to have a grasp on his new players’ strengths and weaknesses, and his rotations boggled the mind. He lambasted his players in public. His two-big lineups cramped the Pistons’ spacing. He started draft bust Killian Hayes over promising sophomore Jaden Ivey.

Amid all that turmoil, Detroit lost a record 28 consecutive games and finished 14-68, the worst record in franchise history. It wasn’t just a lost season but a step backward for a team in need of forward momentum. The situation became so untenable that Williams was fired after the season, despite still being owed $65 million.

If anything, Williams’ tenure looks even worse in retrospect. Williams’ replacement, J.B. Bickerstaff, finished second in Coach of the Year voting as he cleaned up Williams’ mess, leading the Pistons back to the playoffs and helping Cade Cunningham develop into an All-NBA player.

Tier 2: Too high a cost for too little reward

12. Miami Heat
Biggest mistake:
Trading for Terry Rozier (2024)

Despite his reputation for star hunting, Heat majordomo Pat Riley isn’t a reckless trader. Rather, he typically pulls the trigger on only game-changing moves. To wit, over the past 15 years, the only players Miami has acquired while trading a first-round pick are LeBron James, Chris Bosh, Goran Dragic, Jimmy Butler … and Rozier.

The first four of those players all made All-Star teams in Miami and helped lead the Heat to the Finals. Rozier, conversely, averaged 12.5 points on 40% shooting, didn’t appear in a single playoff game and fell out of coach Erik Spoelstra’s rotation, as well as became embroiled in a federal gambling investigation.

Making matters worse in the big picture is that Rozier represented the Heat’s last big swing to give Butler another co-star, before he asked out of Miami. Now they’re stuck, with no obvious path back to relevance – and they still owe a future first-rounder to the Hornets as payment for Rozier.


11. Toronto Raptors
Biggest mistake:
Repeatedly trading first-round picks for role players (2022-2025)

At each of the past four trade deadlines, the Raptors have dealt a first-round pick despite not being a playoff team in three of those years and not having home-court advantage in the fourth. Here’s the list of those acquisitions:

2022: Thaddeus Young (pick landed at No. 20, Malaki Branham)
2023: Jakob Poeltl (pick landed at No. 8, Rob Dillingham)
2024: Ochai Agbaji and Kelly Olynyk (pick landed at No. 29, Isaiah Collier)
2025: Brandon Ingram (pick belongs to Pacers in 2026)

It’s not as if those picks have landed any can’t-miss prospects, but the opportunity cost for Toronto is steep. And none of the players the Raptors acquired has boosted them into contention. Young, who joined the Raptors for their only postseason appearance since 2020, averaged 3.3 points in 14.5 minutes per game in those playoffs.


10. Philadelphia 76ers
Biggest mistake:
Committing $399 million to Paul George and Joel Embiid (2024)

It’s hard to blame one particular transaction for all of the 76ers’ playoff failures this decade, as the franchise is still searching for its first conference finals appearance since 2001. Ben Simmons washed out. Embiid was repeatedly injured. The team lost Game 7 in the second round twice.

But at least Philadelphia was making the playoffs and contending for the first half of the decade. In 2024-25, though, the 76ers finished 24-58, their worst record since the “Process” days a decade earlier, and now their future looks as uncertain as ever. Summer 2024 – when they were widely declared offseason winners – is responsible.

The 76ers signed the 34-year-old George away from the Clippers for four years and $211.6 million, and they extended the injury-prone Embiid for three years and $187.6 million, even though he still had another two years and a player option on his existing contract. Then George struggled through his worst season in a decade, and Embiid played just 19 up-and-down games.

Now the 76ers have George on the books for another three years, while Embiid’s newest extension doesn’t kick in for another year. And neither veteran looks poised to prove last season was a fluke, as both might miss the start of the 2025-26 season because of injuries.


9. Chicago Bulls
Biggest mistake:
Trading for Nikola Vucevic (2021)

The Bulls’ biggest mistake this decade might be a broader one, as they’ve continually aimed for the middle of the standings rather than following the tank-and-rebuild cycle that most NBA teams employ when they have little hope of contention. But Chicago’s malaise began with the Vucevic trade, the first of lead executive Arturas Karnisovas’ tenure, which sent Wendell Carter Jr. and two future first-round picks – both of which landed in the lottery – to Orlando in exchange for Vucevic.

Vucevic is a solid player, a two-time All-Star who was in the midst of a career season in Orlando when he was traded. But because of his defensive difficulties, there’s a firm ceiling on a team with Vucevic in the middle, so his acquisition symbolizes the Bulls’ larger lack of ambition. Indeed, Chicago finished with a total of one playoff win with Vucevic, DeMar DeRozan and Zach LaVine.

Meanwhile, Orlando used the first of its extra draft picks on Franz Wagner, who would have been the best young player in Chicago since Jimmy Butler. (The second extra pick went for Jett Howard, discussed earlier as a major mistake for the Magic.)


8. Memphis Grizzlies
Biggest mistake:
Trading for Marcus Smart (2023)

After consecutive seasons with 50-plus wins and the No. 2 seed, the Grizzlies sought the final player they thought could vault them over the top. They targeted Smart, a Defensive Player of the Year who played in the NBA Finals with the Celtics, and paid a heavy cost to pair him with Ja Morant in the backcourt: two first-round picks and Tyus Jones, perhaps the league’s top backup point guard.

But as the rest of the Grizzlies’ rotation was waylaid by injuries and suspensions, Smart was part of the problem rather than a fix. He played just 39 games in 1½ seasons with the Grizzlies before they traded him – using a third first-round pick to dump his contract – at the 2025 deadline. According to VORP (value over replacement player), Smart provided precisely zero value over a replacement player during his time in Memphis.


7. Atlanta Hawks
Biggest mistake:
Trading for Dejounte Murray (2022)

6. New Orleans Pelicans
Biggest mistake:
Trading for Dejounte Murray (2024)

First things first: It’s not Murray’s fault he has been the target of two of the worst trades of the decade. He’s a one-time All-Star and All-Defensive honoree.

But we’re grouping these two moves because of his cursed transaction tree.

First, the Hawks, seeking to find a backcourt partner for Trae Young and regain the magic that had propelled them to a surprising conference finals berth in 2021, acquired Murray from the Spurs in exchange for three future firsts and a pick swap. One of those picks (via the Hornets) didn’t end up conveying, but the Spurs landed Carter Bryant (the No. 14 pick last month) from this deal, and they still control the Hawks’ unprotected picks in 2026 and 2027.

Despite that high cost, Murray didn’t get Atlanta anywhere closer to contention. The Hawks didn’t finish with a winning record in either season that Murray was on the roster, and lineups with Young and Murray playing together were outscored both years.

Atlanta’s saving grace is that New Orleans made an even more lopsided trade for Murray just two years later, nabbing the All-Star guard in exchange for Dyson Daniels and two first-round picks (one of which the Hawks dealt in the Kristaps Porzingis trade, the other set to convey in 2027).

If that deal were just a straight-up swap of Murray for Daniels, Atlanta would have won it. Murray tore an Achilles as the Pelicans finished 21-61 last season, while Daniels, who’s seven years younger, won the Most Improved Player award and finished as the Defensive Player of the Year runner-up. That the Pelicans also surrendered two firsts only makes their side of the trade look worse.

Tier 1: Franchise-altering terrible trades

5. Sacramento Kings
Biggest mistake:
Having Tyrese Haliburton and De’Aaron Fox, then losing them both within three years (2022 and 2025)

The Kings faced an enviable dilemma in 2022: In 24-year-old Fox and 21-year-old Haliburton, they had two promising young point guards on the roster, and they needed to decide whether to build around one or both. They chose one, and they chose wrong, with the shocking swap of Haliburton for Domantas Sabonis.

For a time, this deal seemed like it might have been a win-win, as Haliburton blossomed in the Pacers’ backcourt while the Fox-Sabonis duo led the Kings to the NBA’s best offense and the West’s No. 3 seed in 2022-23. It was the franchise’s first playoff appearance in 17 years.

But Sacramento could only light the beam for so long, and after a seven-point loss to the Pelicans, the Kings missed the playoffs in 2023-24, then traded a disgruntled Fox in 2024-25 and missed the playoffs again.

Just a couple of years after their best run in decades, the Kings once more possess an ill-fitting roster with no clear direction, and they’ve gone from two point guards to zero. Meanwhile, Haliburton led the Pacers to the Eastern Conference finals and Game 7 of the NBA Finals in consecutive years, becoming one of the league’s best passers and clutch scorers in the process.


4. Brooklyn Nets
Biggest mistake:
Trading for James Harden (2021)

There are so many what-ifs that could have flipped the Harden trade from debacle to triumph. What if Harden and Kyrie Irving hadn’t been injured in the 2021 postseason? What if Kevin Durant’s foot hadn’t touched the 3-point line when he tied Game 7 against the Milwaukee Bucks with a turnaround jumper? What if Irving hadn’t refused the COVID-19 vaccine, bringing the Nets’ three-star experiment to a sudden end?

But all of those what-ifs went the wrong way, and the Harden trade did, too. In exchange for 1½ drama-filled seasons full of more hypothetical wins than actual ones, the Nets traded Jarrett Allen, Caris LeVert, three first-round picks and four swaps (two of which didn’t end up exercising).

Houston has already used its bounteous return to draft Tari Eason and Reed Sheppard and to help trade for Durant from the Suns. There is more to come; in a later deal, the Nets also had to give Houston more picks to claw some of their selections back, once they realized the Durant-Harden-Irving era was over and they needed to tank.

Adding insult to injury, when Harden demanded a trade in 2022 and the Nets submitted by trading him to Philadelphia, the centerpiece of their return was Ben Simmons, who never recaptured the two-way value that made him an All-NBA honoree in 2020. Simmons averaged 16 points per game during his tenure as a 76er, versus just 6.5 points per game during scattered periods of availability with the Nets.


3. Milwaukee Bucks
Biggest mistake:
Trading for Damian Lillard (2023)

Perhaps more than any other transaction on this list, the Bucks’ trade for Lillard seemed smart at the time. They needed a shakeup after a shocking 8-over-1 upset loss to the Heat in the 2023 playoffs, their offense needed an upgrade, and Lillard seemed like a perfect fit next to Giannis Antetokounmpo – who signed an extension soon after the Bucks traded Jrue Holiday (who was rerouted to Boston, where he won a title), Grayson Allen, a future first-round pick and two swaps in exchange for Lillard.

But two main issues meant the Bucks didn’t just fail to compete for another title with Lillard aboard, they didn’t win a single playoff series. The first issue was that even when both players were healthy, Lillard and Antetokounmpo didn’t mesh as well in practice as they did in theory. The two future Hall of Famers ran only 20.2 picks per 100 possessions, per GeniusIQ, which ranked a middling 46th out of 83 pick-and-roll combinations over the past two seasons (minimum 500 total picks).

The second problem was that both players were never healthy when it mattered most (with apologies to the Bucks’ NBA Cup triumph). Antetokounmpo missed all of the 2023-24 postseason, while Lillard missed parts of both the 2023-24 and 2024-25 playoffs, the latter due to an Achilles tear that ended his Bucks tenure prematurely.

Months after his injury, the Bucks made the surprising decision to waive and stretch the remainder of Lillard’s contract to give them the necessary cap space to sign free agent center Myles Turner. But now the Bucks have an annual $22.5 million charge for Lillard through 2029-30, and they don’t control their first-round pick until 2031.


2. Phoenix Suns
Biggest mistake:
Trading for Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal (2023)

Mat Ishbia officially assumed controlling interest as Phoenix’s new owner on Feb. 7, 2023. Just over 24 hours later, the Suns traded for Durant. So-called new owner syndrome had never before manifested so quickly: Ishbia pushed his team to give up a massive haul for Durant – Mikal Bridges, Cam Johnson, Jae Crowder, four unprotected first-round picks and a swap – setting into motion a chain of events that have all but wrecked a team that reached the NBA Finals in 2020-21 and won a league-best 64 games in 2021-22.

It wasn’t just the Durant trade that was the problem; it was the Suns’ insistence on doubling down again and again, mortgaging every aspect of their future for increasingly long odds of winning in the present. That summer, Phoenix traded Chris Paul for Bradley Beal, who had a no-trade clause and more than $200 million remaining on his contract.

The total cost for Durant and Beal, counting the extra picks that Brooklyn and Washington landed when they rerouted Bridges, Johnson and Paul, was 12 first-round picks and six swaps, plus by far the most expensive roster in the NBA and extraordinary punishments wrought by the second apron.

And the reward for all of that aggressive spending? A second-round playoff loss in Durant’s first season, a first-round sweep in his second (Beal’s first) and an 11th-place finish in the West last season.

Now Durant has been traded away for much less than what brought him to Phoenix; Beal has been bought out and stretched, and will count $19.4 million against the Suns’ cap for the next half-decade; and the Suns don’t control their first-round pick until 2032. No franchise in the NBA is in a worse long-term situation than Phoenix.


1. Dallas Mavericks
Biggest mistake:
Trading Luka Doncic (2025)

Could any other transaction be No. 1? The most recent entry on this list is also the worst, and perhaps the most shocking, transaction in NBA history.

The other trades at the top of this list are mostly about teams trading too many assets to bring in a star. The Doncic deal, conversely, came when a team traded away a beloved incumbent star who had led that organization to the Finals the previous summer and made a record five first-team All-NBA appearances through age 24.

Because the Mavericks’ post-Doncic collapse in the 2024-25 season meant they ended up in the lottery, where they miraculously lucked into the No. 1 pick and Cooper Flagg, their future looks brighter than that of the Suns, Bucks, Nets or Kings. Flagg and Anthony Davis – the centerpiece of Dallas’ return for Doncic – could lead Dallas back to contention with speed.

But only one transaction this century was so surprising that it sparked questions about whether ESPN’s Shams Charania’s social media account been hacked when he reported it. Only one transaction was so absurd that it became a flashbulb memory, and fans across the world will remember, for decades to come, where they were when they learned the news. Only one transaction, most of all, was so outrageous that it sparked a mass revolt from its fan base.

That, more than anything else, is why the Doncic trade ranks No. 1: It transcended typical transaction reactions and penetrated the very heart of sports fandom. That takes a special sort of once-in-a-century mistake.