By Jeje Gomez | Pounding The Rock (PtR), 2025-07-03 08:56:19
由生成式人工智能翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
老鹰队的选秀权，在马刺手中还有两个赛季的控制期，但鉴于老鹰已组建了一支实力强劲的球队，这些选秀权的价值现在看来大不如前。
我不得不遗憾地通知各位马刺球迷，亚特兰大老鹰队又度过了一个成功的休赛期。继去年将德章泰·默里 (Dejounte Murray) 交易换来戴森·丹尼尔斯 (Dyson Daniels) 并选中扎卡里·里萨谢 (Zaccharie Risacher) 之后，今年夏天他们又完成了一笔重磅选秀日交易，引进了克里斯塔普斯·波尔津吉斯 (Kristaps Porzingis)，并签下了尼基尔·亚历山大-沃克 (Nikeil Alexander-Walker) 和卢克·肯纳德 (Luke Kennard)。而且，他们的运作可能还未结束。
一支传统上处于东部联盟中游球队的命运通常不会让马刺队感到担忧，但最初的德章泰·默里 (Dejounte Murray) 交易将这两支球队紧密联系在了一起。圣安东尼奥马刺 (San Antonio Spurs) 已经因此获得了今年选秀大会的第14号签，选中了卡特·布莱恩特 (Carter Bryant)。明年，银黑军团 (the Silver and Black) 拥有与老鹰队首轮签的互换权，而在2027年，他们将收到老鹰队所欠的最后一个首轮签。理所当然，老鹰队作为马刺的前交易伙伴表现越差，对马刺队就越有利，因为这些选秀权的价值与老鹰队最终的战绩息息相关。如前所述，今年他们得到了第14号签。没有人会抱怨能再次获得选秀的机会，但这并不是一个特别有价值的资产。而接下来的选秀权价值预计会更低。
老鹰队预计的成功，部分原因与他们自身关系不大。东部联盟整体实力较弱。这也是为什么尽管老鹰队表现平平，但2025年的选秀权顺位依然如此之低的原因，如果老鹰队赢得了附加赛，这个顺位可能还会更低。下个赛季，东部联盟竞争格局开放，因此即使是一支天赋一般的球队也能进入季后赛，这将大大降低选秀权的主要价值：即它落入乐透区并转化为前四顺位选秀权的能力。今年这个第14号签曾有很小的机会变成库珀·弗拉格 (Cooper Flagg)，但最终未能实现；而独行侠队 (Mavericks) 尽管只比老鹰队少赢了一场比赛，却意外地获得了状元签。不幸的是，几乎不可能看到明年来自老鹰的互换签位能够落入乐透区。
问题不仅仅出在东部联盟。老鹰队值得称赞，他们成功地从最初那笔灾难性的默里交易中扭转了局面。他们在乐透抽签中运气不错，选中了里萨谢 (Zaccharie Risacher)，这位现代型侧翼球员或许没有球星潜力，但应该能在未来多年里成为一名可靠的轮换球员。在那个夏天，老鹰队还用默里换来了年度最佳防守球员第二名的戴森·丹尼尔斯 (Dyson Daniels)。他们并非一支顶级强队，但在新星贾伦·约翰逊 (Jalen Johnson) 遭遇赛季报销的伤病后，他们仍设法保持在附加赛区域。随后，管理层将德安德烈·亨特 (De’Andre Hunter) 交易，换来了卡里斯·勒维尔 (Caris LeVert) 的大额到期合同、乔治斯·尼昂 (Georges Niang) 和选秀补偿；他们还将博格丹·博格丹诺维奇 (Bogdan Bogdanovic) 交易换来特伦斯·曼 (Terance Mann) 和邦斯·海兰德 (Bones Hyland)，并为此搭上了选秀权。最初，这些运作看起来令人质疑，但事后看来，它们所创造的薪金空间灵活性在本次休赛期发挥了巨大作用。
管理层极具进取心。尼昂 (Georges Niang)、曼 (Terance Mann) 以及他们2025年的两个首轮签中的一个，最终都变成了波尔津吉斯 (Kristaps Porzingis)。放走勒维尔 (Caris LeVert) 让老鹰队能够利用他们在约翰·科林斯 (John Collins) 的薪资甩卖交易中获得的巨额交易特例 (trade exception) 来得到亚历山大-沃克 (Nikeil Alexander-Walker)，同时保留了中产特例 (mid-level exception)，他们用这个特例签下了肯纳德 (Luke Kennard)。他们还在与鹈鹕队 (Pelicans) 的向下交易中得到了阿萨·纽维尔 (Asa Newell)，该交易为他们带来了与鹈鹕或雄鹿 (Bucks) 在2026年的互换权，如果扬尼斯·阿德托昆博 (Giannis Antetokounmpo) 决定要求交易或者新奥尔良鹈鹕 (New Orleans Pelicans) 陷入困境，这个选秀权可能会变得很有价值。
今年，奎因·斯奈德 (Quin Snyder) 可以使用一套包含扬 (Trae Young)、亚历山大-沃克 (Nikeil Alexander-Walker)、丹尼尔斯 (Dyson Daniels)、约翰逊 (Jalen Johnson)、波尔津吉斯 (Kristaps Porzingis)、肯纳德 (Luke Kennard)、里萨谢 (Zaccharie Risacher) 和奥涅卡·奥孔古 (Onyeka Okongwu) 的轮换阵容。他可以根据需要混搭阵容，或大或小。除了这套轮换阵容，还有几名有趣的球员。这无疑是一支季后赛级别的球队。展望下个赛季之后，如果扬 (Trae Young) 不选择跳出合同离队，老鹰队应该能够留下他们的关键自由球员，保持年轻核心阵容的完整，并且还有可能进行其他大动作，因为他们远未触及奢侈税线和硬工资帽（apron）区域。他们已经为短期和中期成功做好了准备。
在NBA中，任何事情都可能发生。也许伤病或者糟糕的化学反应会摧毁老鹰队，这样马刺队就能凭借2026年的互换签位跳入乐透区。2027年的选秀权无论顺位如何，都具有价值。最终，从操作过程来看，默里 (Dejounte Murray) 的交易对于圣安东尼奥马刺 (San Antonio Spurs) 而言是成功的，即使结果不如之前预期那般令人兴奋。
如果说老鹰队的转危为安以及它对圣安东尼奥马刺 (San Antonio Spurs) 的影响有什么经验教训的话，那就是一支球队只能依靠自己能控制的事情。如果马刺队重返争冠行列的道路仅仅依赖于老鹰队表现糟糕，那么前景将一片黯淡。幸运的是，那些选秀权只是一个由精明且富有远见的管理层所制定的更灵活、更全面计划的一部分。
点击查看原文：Unfortunately for the Spurs, the Hawks are having another good offseason
Unfortunately for the Spurs, the Hawks are having another good offseason
Atlanta’s picks, which the Spurs control for two more seasons, don’t seem as valuable now that the Hawks have built a strong team.
I regret to inform you, Spurs fans, that the Atlanta Hawks are having another great offseason. After trading Dejounte Murray for Dyson Daniels and drafting Zaccharie Risacher last year, they made a killer draft-day trade, acquired Kristaps Porzingis, and signed Nikeil Alexander-Walker and Luke Kennard this summer. And they might still not be done.
The fate of a traditionally middling Eastern Conference team wouldn’t normally concern the Spurs, but the original Dejounte Murray trade linked the two franchises. San Antonio already got the 14th pick in this year’s draft, Carter Bryant, as a result of it. Next year, the Silver and Black have swap rights to the Hawks’ first-rounder, and in 2027 they will receive the last first Atlanta owes. Naturally, the worse their former trade partner does, the more beneficial it is for the Spurs, since the value of those picks is tied to the record the Hawks end up with. As mentioned, this year they got the 14th pick. No one will complain about getting another bite of the draft apple, but it wasn’t a particularly great asset. And the upcoming ones should be worse.
Part of the Hawks’ projected success has little to do with them. The East is bad. It’s the reason why the 2025 pick landed as low as it did despite a lackluster Hawks year, and it could have landed lower had Atlanta won the play-in game. Next season, the conference is wide open, so even a reasonably talented roster could make the postseason, which would take away the main value of a pick: its ability to land in the lottery and turn into a top-4 selection. The 14th pick this year had a chance, albeit a small one, to turn into the Cooper Flagg. It didn’t, but the Mavericks, which won just one fewer game than the Hawks, actually landed the top pick. Unfortunately, it’s almost impossible to see the swap from next year being in the lottery.
It’s not just the East that is the issue. The Hawks deserve plenty of credit for pivoting so successfully from the disastrous original Murray trade. They got lucky in the lottery and picked up Risacher, a modern wing who might not have star upside but should be a rotation player for years to come. In that same summer, Atlanta got runner-up for Defensive Player of the Year, Dyson Daniels, for Murray. They weren’t a great team, but they managed to survive a season-ending injury to star-in-the-making Jalen Johnson while remaining in play-in territory. Then the front office traded De’Andre Hunter for Caris LeVert’s big expiring contract, Georges Niang, and draft compensation, and they moved Bogdan Bogdanovic for Terance Mann and Bones Hyland, attaching picks to do so. Initially, the moves seemed questionable, but in retrospect, the cap flexibility they created helped massively this offseason.
The front office was aggressive. Niang, Mann, and one of their two 2025 firsts turned into Porzingis. Letting LeVert walk allowed the Hawks to use the massive trade exception they got in the John Collins salary dump to get Alexander-Walker while keeping the mid-level exception, which they used on Luke Kennard. They also picked up Asa Newell after trading down with the Pelicans on a deal that got them swap rights with the Pelicans or Bucks in 2026, a pick that could become valuable if Giannis Antetokounmpo decides to demand a trade or New Orleans struggles.
This year, Quin Snyder could use a rotation of Young, NAW, Daniels, Johnson, Porzingis, Kennard, Risacher, and Onyeka Okongwu. He could mix and match, going big or small. There are a couple of interesting players outside of that rotation, too. That’s a playoff team. Thinking past next season, assuming Young doesn’t opt out and leave, the Hawks should be able to retain their key free agents, keep their young core together, and potentially make other big moves, since they are not close to tax and apron territories. They are set up for success in the short and medium term.
Anything can happen in the NBA. Maybe injuries or poor chemistry will decimate the Hawks, and the Spurs will get to jump into the lottery with the 2026 swap. The 2027 pick has value, no matter where it lands. In the end, the Murray trade was a success for San Antonio in terms of process, even if the results are not as exciting as previously expected.
If there are any lessons to learn from the Hawks’ turnaround and how it affects San Antonio is that a team can only count on what it can control. If the Spurs’ path back to contention relied solely on Atlanta being terrible, things would look grim. Fortunately, those picks only play a part in a more flexible and comprehensive plan crafted by a smart and forward-thinking front office.
By Jeje Gomez, via Pounding The Rock