[ESPN] 2025 NBA选秀:大学篮球教练们的反响

By Jeff Borzello | ESPN, 2025-06-27 21:00:00

由生成式人工智能翻译,译文内容可能不准确或不完整,以原文为准。

Image

埃斯·贝利 (Ace Bailey) 在更高水平联赛中是否存在场上顾虑?特雷·约翰逊 (Tre Johnson) 和杰里米亚·费尔斯 (Jeremiah Fears) 如何适应NBA?叶戈尔·杰明 (Egor Demin) 和塞德里克·考沃德 (Cedric Coward) 值得乐透区选秀吗?

为了回答2025年NBA选秀后的一些热门问题,ESPN采访了近十位大学篮球教练——这些人在过去几年里一直观察这些球员并为对抗他们制定比赛计划——听取他们对最大新闻事件和顶级新秀的看法。

跳转至:
前两顺位
下一档次的新秀
更多首轮看点
其他值得关注的首轮秀
次轮点评

库珀·弗拉格、迪伦·哈珀自成一档

自从库珀·弗拉格 (Cooper Flagg) 于2023年8月宣布计划跳级到2024届高中生以来,这一届的状元人选几乎没有任何疑问。弗拉格被认为是近年来最优秀的高中生新秀之一,在过去两年中一直是状元的热门人选,达拉斯独行侠 (Dallas Mavericks) 在周三正式选定了他。上赛季他是大学篮球界最出色的球员,赢得了伍登奖 (Wooden Award) 并带领杜克大学 (Duke) 进入最终四强 (Final Four)。他场均贡献19.2分、7.5个篮板和4.2次助攻,通过将外线命中率提高到38.5%回答了外界对他投篮能力的质疑。

对手大学教练们对弗拉格能否适应NBA水平毫无疑问。

一位教练告诉ESPN:“他有股霸气,很强硬,身体也已经准备好产生影响力。对于一个年轻球员去NBA来说,如果他从未经历过成为核心的境地,就很难立刻转变。但他已经经历过所有这些情况了。利用无球掩护进攻,利用下掩护摆脱防守,抢下篮板后直接推进。他整个赛季都展现了全能性。在大学篮球最高水平的比赛中,他已经做到了这一切。”

高中时期,弗拉格的投篮能力曾是一个问号,但这位来自缅因州 (Maine) 的球员在他的杜伦 (Durham) 大一赛季中不断进步。在ACC联盟比赛中,他的三分命中率达到44%,有9场比赛投进多记三分。

另一位教练说:“赛季初期,你可以选择从掩护下方绕过防守他。但到了赛季末,你就不能这么做了。NBA是一个以单打为主的联盟。所以当涉及到个人摆脱能力和突破防守者方面,他还需要解决这些问题。”

教练们还认为弗拉格的落脚点对他发展有利,主要是因为他将与凯里·欧文 (Kyrie Irving) 和其他老将一同打球。

一位教练说:“我觉得他适应得很好。他不会每晚都被当作主要进攻点盯防。对于一个年轻球员来说,这会动摇他的信心。但我对他不担心这一点。”

即使不是独行侠的头号进攻选择,弗拉格仍将是年度最佳新秀 (Rookie of the Year) 的最大热门。

一位ACC联盟教练表示:“如果他能成为一个全面贡献15分、8篮板、4助攻、2抢断、1盖帽的球员……他就会赢得年度最佳新秀,因为达拉斯独行侠队应该会很出色,前提是他们保持健康。”

我们采访的几乎所有大学教练都认为,状元弗拉格和榜眼迪伦·哈珀 (Dylan Harper) 之间存在巨大的差距——他们各自都自成一档。

一位对手教练谈到这位圣安东尼奥马刺 (San Antonio Spurs) 的新后卫时说:“哈珀是我们过去十年里交手过的最出色的球员之一,无论是追溯到马凯尔·富尔茨 (Markelle Fultz) 还是谈论保罗·班凯罗 (Paolo Banchero)。他比贾巴里·史密斯 (Jabari Smith) 更优秀。我对他的评价非常非常高。我觉得他与弗拉格的距离,比第三顺位与他的距离更近。”“他是一个挡拆大师。无论你对他采取什么防守策略,他可能只需要一两个回合就能找到破解之道。”

另一位教练补充道:“在我看来,弗拉格和哈珀是仅有的两位拥有入选NBA最佳阵容上限的球员。他们之后有如此巨大的落差——几乎可以说,后面的球员已经不是第三档,而是第四档了。我认为迪伦和所有其他人之间的差距就是这么大。”

下一档次

探花:VJ·埃奇科姆,费城76人

埃斯·贝利 (Ace Bailey) 的下滑最大的受益者是VJ·埃奇科姆 (VJ Edgecombe)。这位巴哈马 (Bahamas) 籍球员在贝勒大学 (Baylor) 的一个赛季中展现了他令人印象深刻的运动能力,并且随着赛季的推进,他的进攻稳定性和组织策应能力都有所提高。现在,他将有机会加入费城76人 (Philadelphia 76ers) 天赋异禀的后场组合,与泰瑞斯·马克西 (Tyrese Maxey) 和贾里德·麦凯恩 (Jared McCain) 并肩作战。

一位教练说:“直到我亲眼看到他,我对他还持批判态度。‘他真的能锁定前五吗?’但我们与他对阵后,他表现得势不可挡。他的运动能力、他的投篮都随着赛季的进行有了很大提升。外线投篮变得越来越稳定。”

另一位教练补充道:“他必须是选秀中最具运动能力的球员或新秀。他是个飞天型球员,比赛中表现得比实际身高更高大。他能防守1到5号位,至少在大学是这样。他可能在NBA也能做到,因为现在的五号位球员移动更灵活。位置多功能性、运动能力以及他的防守方式都很出色。”

与马克西和麦凯恩的适配性可能会是一个问题,尽管多位教练表示,无论他落脚何处,他的进攻角色都可能存在疑问。

一位大十二联盟 (Big 12) 教练问道:“他能成为主要核心吗?他不是那种你可以把球交给他,然后让他去自主得分的球员。他不是那种类型。他是个突破手,一个挡拆进攻球员,转换进攻中表现出色,会抢进攻篮板,做所有的小事。但如果说有一个缺点,那就是他如何在NBA得分。”


第4顺位:康·克努佩尔,夏洛特黄蜂

康·克努佩尔 (Kon Knueppel) 是杜克大学 (Duke) 在前十顺位被选中的三名球员中的第二位,去年秋天他在模拟选秀中排名飙升,并在蓝魔队 (Blue Devils) 杰出的赛季中保持了这一位置。尽管扮演着库珀·弗拉格 (Cooper Flagg) 的二把手角色,克努佩尔场均仍能贡献14.4分,三分命中率超过40%——在赛季后期和NCAA锦标赛 (NCAA tournament) 中展现出投篮高手的实力。他被认为是本届选秀中最佳的定点投篮型外线射手。他对不作为球队主要进攻选择感到适应,这可能对夏洛特黄蜂 (Charlotte Hornets) 很有吸引力,在那里他将与拉梅洛·鲍尔 (LaMelo Ball) 和布兰登·米勒 (Brandon Miller) 并肩作战。

一位教练说:“上赛季他对杜克大学来说是如此重要的改变者,他是库珀·弗拉格 (Cooper Flagg) 的罗宾 (Robin)。当你有一个能在比赛中砍下30分却不是球探报告上主要盯防对象的球员时,那将是危险的。NBA喜欢那些能投篮的球员,如果你能做到这一点,你就能在联盟里打很久。”

尽管克努佩尔的下限似乎很高,使他成为黄蜂队的稳妥选择,但对手教练们表示,他可能不具备这一档次其他球员的上限。他未来的重点将放在防守端。

一位教练说:“在NBA,球员可能会因为防守表现差而被弃用。康 (Kon Knueppel) 能否在场上应对一对一防守?他有身高和体格,但他有足够的脚步速度吗?这是你在对阵杜克大学时看不到的一点,因为他们对防守的掩盖性很强,协防很多。他们不给进攻方太多空间,所以他很少需要在开阔空间防守。他必须证明他能做到这一点。”


第5顺位:埃斯·贝利,犹他爵士

一年前,埃斯·贝利 (Ace Bailey) 似乎会与弗拉格 (Cooper Flagg) 和哈珀 (Dylan Harper) 一同位列选秀榜单前列。贝利在罗格斯大学 (Rutgers) 的大一赛季中偶尔展现出那样的能力,但不断出现的问题导致他的排名略有下滑。他在大学时身高报6英尺10英寸,但在联合试训中测得裸足身高为6英尺7.5英寸。他也是唯一一位在选秀前准备过程中没有参观NBA球队设施的美国本土新秀,取消了与76人 (76ers) 队的一次预定会面。

从场上表现来看,教练们理所当然地喜爱他的得分能力。

一位大十联盟 (Big Ten) 教练说:“他很全能,有身高,技术像个得分后卫。他是典型的NBA侧翼球员。他是个难以防守的球员。他能移动。运动能力算不上顶级,但身体素质不错。他能在球员头顶投篮,投进高难度投篮的能力增加了他的价值。”

但所有这些都能适应NBA吗?他的比赛其他方面又如何呢?

一位教练说:“如果你是凯文·杜兰特 (Kevin Durant),那么依赖高难度投篮当然可以奏效。但他身高7英尺1英寸。埃斯不会是个只在底角等机会的球员。”

另一位大十联盟教练说:“无论是在高中还是在罗格斯大学,对他最大的质疑就是他在防守端不够积极。他不需要成为一名NBA最佳防守球员。但你需要让他积极投入防守。”


第6顺位:特雷·约翰逊,华盛顿奇才

特雷·约翰逊 (Tre Johnson) 的进攻能力在整个选秀周期的大部分时间里都让他保持在乐透区上半区的讨论中。这位前五星高中生在德克萨斯大学 (Texas) 的唯一一个赛季中场均贡献19.9分,三分命中率接近40%。

尽管他是长角牛队 (Longhorns) 的进攻核心,但大多数对手教练认为他在NBA的最佳角色——假设他不是华盛顿奇才 (Washington Wizards) 立即的进攻重心——是替补席上的微波炉式得分手,或者是定点投射专家。奇才队外线投篮非常挣扎,并且刚刚交易了乔丹·普尔 (Jordan Poole),这使得约翰逊能够轻松融入。

一位教练说:“他就是个得分后卫,仅此而已。他是本届选秀中最好的射手之一。他必须学会不需要运球八次才出手,但他因为出色的投篮能力可以成为一个接近全明星水平的球员。他可以成为一个定点投手,投篮命中率达到50%。”

关于约翰逊的问题主要围绕着他比赛的其他方面,以及他能否在其他方面做出足够的贡献,以在最高水平比赛中影响胜利。

另一位教练补充道:“他是一个伟大的个人天赋球员。但如果你不得分,你还在做哪些其他事情来帮助球队取胜呢?毕竟世界上最好的球员也总会有表现不佳的夜晚。”


第7顺位:杰里米亚·费尔斯,新奥尔良鹈鹕

这位来自俄克拉荷马大学 (Oklahoma) 的大一新生是过去12个月中排名上升幅度最大的球员——一年前他甚至不在这届选秀名单中,但他选择跳级到2024届并承诺加盟俄克拉荷马大学,在那里他成为了全国最具活力的后卫之一,尽管他直到十月份才满18岁。

一位教练说:“他天生就擅长得分。我有点把他比作布鲁克林篮网 (Nets) 后卫卡姆·托马斯 (Cam Thomas)。他比托马斯大学时期更好的组织者。他有阅读比赛的能力,你可以对他进行包夹或挡拆夹击,但他会完美地阅读防守,而其他大一新生则会感到紧张。他也是一个身体素质被低估的运动员。”

决定他上限的可能是他的外线投篮。他本赛季的三分命中率只有28.4%,在18场SEC联盟比赛中只投进15记三分。

一位对手教练说:“他状态不稳定,不是一个稳定的射手。他必须继续增强体格,但他还是个年轻的孩子,只有18岁。随着他身体的成熟,他将能够更好地掌控这个位置,突入内线,应对身体对抗。”

更多首轮看点

叶戈尔·杰明:乐透区最大黑马

如果选秀在大学篮球赛季开始时进行,杨百翰大学 (BYU) 的前控卫叶戈尔·杰明 (Egor Demin) 在第8顺位被布鲁克林篮网 (Brooklyn Nets) 选中就不会令人惊讶。这位俄罗斯籍球员在从皇家马德里 (Real Madrid) 转会而来后引起了广泛关注,并在ESPN的11月模拟选秀中排名第7。但他在普罗沃 (Provo) 度过了一个不稳定的新人赛季,导致他的行情波动,最终在ESPN的最终选秀模拟榜中跌至第13位。

然而,在周三,杰明再次回到了前十。

对手教练们对他能否立即在更高水平的联赛中做出贡献看法不一。

一位大十二联盟教练说:“他身材高大。控球压力会困扰他,他打球姿态比较直立,也比较有条不紊。但他能做出场上所有的阅读判断。……他有点爆发力,因为他能从慢速突然加速到中速,这会让你措手不及。他能从后卫头顶传球。你可能会说,‘哦,那是在大学里’,但他在NBA也比大多数后卫更高。他的传球能力出色。他比他的命中率显示的要好得多的射手。我认为在NBA更大的空间里他会变得更好。”

一位教练反驳道:“我认为他不会投篮,也不怎么防守。但人们看到一个能传球的高大后卫,这多少有点吸引人。”

杰明是篮网队 (Nets) 五个首轮选秀权之一,其中三名球员——杰明、诺兰·特拉奥雷 (Nolan Traore) (第19顺位) 和本·萨拉夫 (Ben Saraf) (第26顺位)——都拥有丰富的国际比赛经验。考虑到这三人都在11月时被预测为乐透秀,这是一个令人着迷的收获。一位教练说:“篮网显然致力于他们的国际球探团队,选中了三名国际球员,而大多数人觉得他们今年表现未达预期。显然,在杰明来到美国之前,他们就对他抱有信心。”


卡曼·马卢亚奇:杜克大学第三位前十顺位新秀

在弗拉格 (Cooper Flagg) 和克努佩尔 (Kon Knueppel) 之后,等待卡曼·马卢亚奇 (Khaman Maluach) 的名字被念出的时间比预期要长,但菲尼克斯太阳 (Phoenix Suns) 最终在第10顺位选中了他。他没有像其他前十顺位球员那样在大学联赛中贡献那么多的数据,但他7英尺2英寸的身高、9英尺6英寸的站立摸高和7英尺6.75英寸的臂展,加上他的防守潜力,对教练们来说极具吸引力。

一位对手教练说:“你可以把他派上场,他就能以他的身高和盖帽能力、防守和进攻篮板能力来影响比赛。在NBA比赛中,你必须有那样的中锋,但年轻球员就是需要时间。他确实有一些技术,赛季初他命中了一记三分,他有潜力拉到外线投三分。”

另一位对手教练质疑了他的技术水平到底有多高,以及预期的上限在现实中是否实际上更低。

“我认为他是一个空接型内线。他身材庞大,但我不认为他是一个运动能力惊人的运动员,”这位教练说。“他不是德雷克·莱弗利二世 (Dereck Lively II),后者是不同类型的移动者,运动能力不同,技术也更多。马卢亚奇在这些方面都没有莱弗利二世出色。我不认为他有同样的上限。”

另一位教练说:“归根结底,他仍然是一个需要培养的璞玉。”

菲尼克斯太阳 (Phoenix Suns) 可以对马卢亚奇保持耐心,因为球队还交易了两个首轮选秀权到夏洛特黄蜂 (Charlotte Hornets),换来了经验丰富的中锋马克·威廉姆斯 (Mark Williams)。但在第10顺位选中他,风险有所减轻。

一位教练说:“他是那种随着时间推移通常排名会上升的典型类型球员。投篮能否适应NBA仍有待观察。他的投篮姿势看起来不错,但还没有达到能够真正稳定出手和命中。但如果他能随着时间做到这一点,我也不会感到惊讶。”

“我喜欢他在篮下作为终结者所带来的垂直威胁,我喜欢他的盖帽,他所具备的防守多功能性。他必须更好地抢篮板。但他不是那种进入联盟后会松懈下来的球员。”


塞德里克·考沃德:从三级联盟到乐透秀

塞德里克·考沃德 (Cedric Coward) 是选秀准备阶段最引人入胜的故事情节之一。他的大学生涯始于俄勒冈州威拉米特大学 (Willamette University) 的NCAA三级联盟 (Division III) 水平,一年前的这个时候,考沃德几乎不在NBA选秀榜单上,那时他刚刚在东华盛顿大学 (Eastern Washington) 结束了在大天空联盟 (Big Sky Conference) 的第二个赛季。

考沃德转学到华盛顿州立大学 (Washington State),但在那里只打了六场比赛,就因为肩部受伤缺席了赛季剩余比赛。但在联合试训中脱颖而出,成为亮点球员之一后,他巩固了自己前20顺位的地位,并选择继续参加选秀,而不是在杜克大学 (Duke) 完成他最后一个大学赛季——他通过转学通道承诺加盟杜克大学。

周三,孟菲斯灰熊 (Memphis Grizzlies) 在第11顺位选中了他,灰熊队为此向上交易了选秀权。

一位大天空联盟教练说:“他最让我印象深刻的是他每年都在进步。当他刚从三级联盟转学过来时,我们并不知道他是谁。他是个瘦高且臂展出色的孩子,正在发展他的进攻能力。他打得极其努力,对胜利产生影响。他开始投篮更好一些,以至于去年短暂出场的比赛中投得非常好。他不断提升他的比赛。每次我们对阵他,他都更成熟、更精细、更流畅一些。”

考沃德周围有贾·莫兰特 (Ja Morant) 和小贾伦·杰克逊 (Jaren Jackson Jr.),他不会被要求在早期承担巨大的进攻责任,但对手教练们认为他将在NBA成为一个高水平的角色球员,不成问题。

一位教练说:“他有投篮能力,真正的定点投篮。他有中距离进攻,他在低位把我们打爆了。他可以面筐进攻。他是个不错的防守者。盖帽很多。他做了很多事情来影响胜利。他不需要成为一个在进攻端承担重任的球员,我也不知道他是否会成为那样的人。”

最大的问题是:对于一个职业生涯只与顶级联盟对手打了八场比赛的球员来说,第11顺位是不是太高了?

一位教练说:“今年看到他,他看起来像个职业球员。他在身体上有了巨大飞跃,”这位教练补充说,考沃德的最高上限与科怀·莱昂纳德 (Kawhi Leonard) 有很多相同的特点。“他会在某种程度上帮助你赢得比赛。他可以做很多事情来真正影响比赛,无论是替补出场还是发展成首发级别的球员。他是个值得你下注的球员。”


卡特·布莱恩特:最未经证明的乐透秀

当2024-25赛季大学篮球赛季结束时,卡特·布莱恩特 (Carter Bryant) 的选秀决定似乎悬而未决。他作为亚利桑那大学 (Arizona) 的大一新生只首发了五场比赛,得分上双的次数也屈指可数。

然而,随着春天的到来,布莱恩特显然不会回到大学了。他的行情稳步上升,从一个锁定首轮的球员,进入前20,最终在第14顺位被马刺 (Spurs) 选中。

布莱恩特裸足身高6英尺6.5英寸,在大学大十二联盟 (Big 12) 比赛中三分命中率接近39%,在2025年到来之后,有9场比赛投进多记三分。

一位大十二联盟教练说:“他有位置身高、运动能力、投篮、防守多功能性,并且有潜力变得更好。在少量出场时间里,他在进攻端展现了一些东西,也许他可以成为一个有点组织能力的球员,他能完成一些传球。虽然没有大量展示,但他做得足够了。无论是面对防守还是无防守,他都能完成出手。他在这方面有成长空间,他需要继续加快出手速度,但NBA喜欢能投篮的高大侧翼球员。”

然而,马刺将不得不保持耐心,因为他只偶尔展现了他的能力。


老将成为首轮更优先的选择

尽管首轮上半区不出所料地被大一新生占据——前八顺位都是大一大学球员,首轮共有18名大一新生被选中——但今年,年龄较大的球员更早被选中的趋势仍在继续。

考沃德 (Cedric Coward)、小沃尔特·克莱顿 (Walter Clayton Jr.)、尼克·克利福德 (Nique Clifford)、丹尼·沃尔夫 (Danny Wolf) 和亚尼克·科南·尼德豪泽 (Yanic Konan Niederhauser) 都至少转学过一次,并在大学打了至少三年,其中克利福德、克莱顿和尼德豪泽都至少22岁。而年龄较大的大学球员瑞安·卡尔克布伦纳 (Ryan Kalkbrenner) (第34顺位)、乔尼·布鲁姆 (Johni Broome) (第35顺位) 和查兹·拉尼尔 (Chaz Lanier) (第37顺位) 都在次轮较早被选中。

这种趋势在去年真正成形,当时扎克·伊迪 (Zach Edey)、德文·卡特 (Devin Carter)、道尔顿·克内克特 (Dalton Knecht)、狄龙·琼斯 (Dillon Jones)、贝勒·施瓦曼 (Baylor Scheierman) 和小特伦斯·香农 (Terrence Shannon Jr.) 都在首轮被选中。

为什么会发生这种情况?这主要与大学级别运动员学生可获得的资金增加有关,这让更多球员选择留在大学,同时转学通道的日益普及也让中等级别联盟的明星球员能在更高水平的联赛中闪耀,从而提高他们的选秀行情。

一位教练说:“经济上,他们得到了留在大学的奖励。这让他们为下一级别联赛做好了更充分的准备,也变得更成熟。像那些顶尖球员,乐透区球员,你是在押注他们的上限。但如果我是一支季后赛球队,或者附加赛球队,并且仍在成长中,那么选择一个年龄更大、更成熟的球员,你知道他能在某个角色中帮助球队,那是一个明智的选择。你仍然得到了一个处于职业生涯黄金时期的球员。你在第一年或第二年能获得更高的性价比,也许第六或第七年就没有了。”

然而,这可能是这种趋势的最后几年之一。今年春天,许多接近首轮的选秀热门在退选截止日期前选择回到大学,包括密歇根大学 (Michigan) 的亚克塞尔·伦德伯格 (Yaxel Lendeborg)、佛罗里达大学 (Florida) 的亚历克斯·康登 (Alex Condon)、奥本大学 (Auburn) 的塔哈德·佩蒂福德 (Tahaad Pettiford)、亚拉巴马大学 (Alabama) 的拉巴伦·菲隆 (Labaron Philon) 和北卡州立大学 (NC State) 的达里恩·威廉姆斯 (Darrion Williams)。杜克大学 (Duke) 的以赛亚·埃文斯 (Isaiah Evans)、德克萨斯理工大学 (Texas Tech) 的JT·托平 (JT Toppin) 和康涅狄格大学 (UConn) 的亚历克斯·卡拉班 (Alex Karaban) 甚至没有经历选秀流程。

所有这些球员——以及许多其他人——都因选择留在大学而获得了丰厚补偿,但随着“豪斯诉NCAA”和解案 (House vs. NCAA settlement) 以及薪资上限 (salary caps) 可能影响新营收分享时代 (revenue-sharing era) 球员的收入潜力,未来回到大学的资金是否足以让球员放弃参加选秀呢?

一位顶级联盟教练说:“我认为随着营收分享机制的引入,情况会反转。你看看营收分享的数字,很多SEC联盟的学校将大部分资金投入橄榄球。他们的营收分享数字在200万到300万美元之间。今年,我们有外部组织 (collectives),一些球队有1000万到1200万美元。我们队里有几个人回来了,因为他们在这里能赚到比在次轮被选中更多的钱。但随着这些数字的下降,那些潜在的首轮秀或次轮靠前的球员,我能看到他们会选择进入联盟。”

另一位教练补充道:“我认为这将是这种趋势的最后一年之一。很多非常优秀的球员因为NIL (肖像权、姓名权和形象权) 而留在大学。一旦营收分享机制生效,并且NIL市场稳定下来,你就会看到更多这些处于首轮边缘的球员选择参加选秀。以前,如果你是前40名的球员,其中90%的人都会选择参加选秀。现在已经转变为你需要成为前20名的球员才能选择留下。”

所有上述球员选择留在大学而非参加选秀的一个附带结果是,次轮缺乏稳妥的成功者。一位教练指出,去年有14个次轮签球员获得了保障合同,而在前47个选秀权中,只有两个是双向合同。

今年可能并非如此。

“这是史上最差的次轮选秀之一。其中很大一部分原因是NIL,”这位教练说。“回顾那些本该在首轮末、次轮初被选中的球员,他们本会真正改变局面。这届选秀本来就不强,但随着所有这些球员回归,在第35顺位左右之后,我不知道我是否会给这些球员中的大多数提供保障合同。”

其他值得关注的首轮秀

第9顺位:科林·默里-博伊尔斯,多伦多猛龙

首位非大一新生被选中: 科林·默里-博伊尔斯 (Collin Murray-Boyles) 拥有真正独特的球员特点。他裸足身高只有6英尺6.5英寸,但他几乎所有的进攻都集中在篮下。在南卡罗来纳大学 (South Carolina) 的60场比赛中,他只尝试了39次三分出手,但在内线极具统治力。

默里-博伊尔斯在大学时期能够克服他的身高劣势,在防守和传球方面都产生了影响力,但他需要在更高水平联赛中拓展他的技术包。

一位教练说:“他打法有点独特,NBA青睐那些各项能力均衡且有所涉猎的球员。他有机会成为一个非常优秀的防守者。他身高不算出众,但在身体数据和力量方面尺寸不错。他能做一点点所有的事情,他能传球,能抢篮板,目前投篮还不太好。我觉得他是一个好球员,但他是一个融合型球员。我认为,单独来看,他并没有惊人的天赋,能立刻带来什么贡献。如果他能在一支优秀的球队,他可以帮助球队运转。但我不知道多伦多 (Toronto) 是不是那样的球队。”


第13顺位:德里克·奎因,鹈鹕 第25顺位:杰斯·理查德森,魔术 第27顺位:丹尼·沃尔夫,篮网

评价不一: 教练们对这三位来自大十联盟 (Big Ten) 的新秀评价不一。

马里兰大学 (Maryland) 的德里克·奎因 (Derik Queen) 上赛季确立了自己作为大学篮球界技术最出色的内线之一的地位,他在NCAA锦标赛 (NCAA tournament) 第二轮的绝杀球击败科罗拉多州立大学 (Colorado State) 是亮点。但他的成熟度存在问题,而且他运动能力不足可能会限制他的预估上限。

一位大十联盟教练说:“他技术太出色了。我喜欢他的传球能力。你看他的录像,你会觉得他运动能力不好。但亲临现场时,这并不重要。如果他能培养出积极性,我真的认为他有机会成为一个了不起的NBA球员。”

密歇根州立大学 (Michigan State) 的杰斯·理查德森 (Jase Richardson) 在过去几个月里行情波动,在汤姆·伊佐 (Tom Izzo) 在二月初将他从替补席提拔到首发阵容后,他的排名上升到首轮,最终甚至进入乐透区。但在联合试训中测得裸足身高刚过6英尺后,理查德森在模拟选秀中的位置跌至20多位——他最终也没有收到选秀小绿屋 (green room) 的邀请。

奥兰多魔术 (Orlando Magic) 逢低买入,在第25顺位选中了他。

一位大十联盟教练说:“我喜欢杰斯·理查德森。明年在大学里他将是一个难以执教对抗的对手,但我不认为他能在NBA有所作为。他是一个6英尺高的后卫,主要技能是得分——不是投篮,而是得分。他不是一个出色的防守者,也不是一个超级有活力的组织者。他尺寸低于平均水平。所以他是特雷·杨 (Trae Young) 吗?他是TJ·麦康奈尔 (T.J. McConnell) 吗?他是戴维恩·米切尔 (Davion Mitchell) 吗?”

密歇根大学 (Michigan) 的丹尼·沃尔夫 (Danny Wolf) 上赛季在大十联盟扮演了更独特的角色之一,达斯蒂·梅 (Dusty May) 将这位6英尺11英寸的耶鲁大学 (Yale) 转校生用作持球组织者,因为他在挡拆后的决策能力和传球能力。但他在下一级别联赛中能否适应存在疑问。

一位教练说:“他能在挡拆中发挥作用,作为内线他能送出令人难以置信的传球。但他失误率高。以他在NBA的角色,你不能送出一个令人难以置信的传球,然后接着是两次糟糕的传球。NBA球队不会让他随意失误。”

另一位补充道:“他魅力的一部分在于他能做很多事情,但没有一项是精通的。球队会尝试让他精通某项能力,还是他们对这种多样化的能力感到满意?”


第18顺位:小沃尔特·克莱顿,犹他爵士

NCAA锦标赛影响力: 小沃尔特·克莱顿 (Walter Clayton Jr.) 在NCAA锦标赛中表现出色,他的排名上升到第18顺位,这一点被一位教练重点指出。克莱顿在佛罗里达大学 (Florida) 冲击全国冠军的征程中表现出色,在鳄鱼队 (Gators) 前五场锦标赛中场均贡献24.6分,其中包括最终四强 (Final Four) 对阵奥本大学 (Auburn) 的34分和对阵德克萨斯理工大学 (Texas Tech) 的30分。

这位教练说:“他是一个很好的例子,说明胜利能为球员的行情带来什么。他从次轮中后段选秀权上升到首轮末段选秀权。佛罗里达大学的强势表现,他得以在这个舞台上展示他的天赋。这本身就让这个孩子赚了几百万美元。”


第20顺位:卡斯帕拉斯·雅库乔尼斯,迈阿密热火 第29顺位:利亚姆·麦克尼利,夏洛特黄蜂

首夜选秀排名下滑幅度最大: 伊利诺伊大学 (Illinois) 的卡斯帕拉斯·雅库乔尼斯 (Kasparas Jakucionis) 在乔纳森·吉沃尼 (Jonathan Givony) 的选秀大榜上排名第10,在ESPN的最终选秀模拟榜上预测为第11位,而康涅狄格大学 (UConn) 的利亚姆·麦克尼利 (Liam McNeeley) 在吉沃尼的榜单上排名第17,预测为第20位,两人都明显低于他们的预期评价。多位教练认为,这两名球员对于选中他们的球队来说可能具有巨大的价值。

雅库乔尼斯在非联盟比赛中看起来像一个真正的全美最佳球员,在14场比赛中场均贡献16.4分、5.6个篮板和5.4次助攻,其中以对阵阿肯色大学 (Arkansas)、西北大学 (Northwestern)、威斯康星大学 (Wisconsin)、田纳西大学 (Tennessee) 和密苏里大学 (Missouri) 连续多场20+表现为特色。

一位大十联盟教练虽然同意这个落脚点对迈阿密热火 (Miami Heat) 来说是物有所值,并且对于雅库乔尼斯和泰勒·希罗 (Tyler Herro) 的后场组合来说可能是个不错的选择,但他也能理解雅库乔尼斯 (Kasparas Jakucionis) 的排名下滑。

这位教练说:“他是一个三威胁得分手。他打球时有很好的变速能力。但随着赛季的进行和球队对他进行球探报告,他有点回归现实了。但他打球很强硬。他不是一个顶级的运动员。他的数据在下半程大十联盟比赛中有所下降,他是一个你可以在防守端针对性单打的球员。”

麦克尼利 (Liam McNeeley) 高中毕业时是一名五星高中生,但在斯托尔斯 (Storrs) 的大一赛季中期因伤病受到困扰。他是一个身材高大且擅长投篮的球员,上赛季拥有所有大一新生中一些最好的个人表现:对阵冈萨加大学 (Gonzaga) 砍下26分和8个篮板,以及对阵克雷顿大学 (Creighton) 的38分和10个篮板。

一位大东联盟 (Big East) 教练认为,麦克尼利在联盟比赛中因踝伤缺席了八场比赛,这影响了他攻防两端的效率和作用,这可能导致了他的下滑。

他说:“我认为他不是本届选秀中第29好的球员。他身高6英尺8英寸,投篮比他的命中率显示的要好得多。他非常有竞争力。我认为他是一个比外界认可的更全面的篮球运动员,就他的持球突破和传球能力而言。”


第22顺位:德雷克·鲍威尔,篮网

意外之选: 北卡罗来纳大学 (North Carolina) 侧翼德雷克·鲍威尔 (Drake Powell) 在第22顺位被选中有些出人意料,篮网队 (Nets) 将他们的第三个首轮选秀权用在了这位前五星高中生身上。他作为焦油踵队 (Tar Heels) 的大一新生角色不稳定,场均7.4分,但在联合试训中他的运动能力可能是最好的,在最大垂直弹跳和站立垂直弹跳方面都领跑所有球员。

他能立刻帮助布鲁克林 (Brooklyn) 吗?对手教练们有疑问。

一位ACC联盟教练问道:“他符合那种3D球员的典型类型,但他在这两方面真的足够出色,能真正符合这个定位吗?”

一位教练补充道:“很多人对鲍威尔的看法可以追溯到他高中生涯末期的一些热情,当时人们看到一个虽然投篮不好但有身材和多功能性的球员。不错的传球手,有些球商,不错的运动员,也许有潜力成为一个高大控卫。然后他来到北卡罗来纳大学,他变成了一个全职侧翼球员,进攻端有明显的局限性。”


第30顺位:亚尼克·科南·尼德豪泽,洛杉矶快船

压线入选: 宾夕法尼亚州立大学 (Penn State) 内线亚尼克·科南·尼德豪泽 (Yanic Konan Niederhauser) 以首轮最后一位被选中,为他迅速上升的势头画上句号。

尼德豪泽在选秀前过程中行情涨幅最大,他从上赛季在尼塔尼狮队 (Nittany Lions) 场均12.9分,到G联赛精英训练营 (G League Elite camp),再到获得NBA联合试训 (NBA draft combine) 邀请。请记住,两年前他只是一个在北伊利诺伊大学 (Northern Illinois) 场均7.3分的球员。

一位教练说:“他只是潜力尚未完全开发。他可能是那种在NBA像德雷克·莱弗利 (Dereck Lively) 类型的球员。我觉得如果他回到大学,明年他会是一个乐透签。”

次轮点评

第35顺位:乔尼·布鲁姆,费城76人 第42顺位:马克西姆·雷诺,萨克拉门托国王 第48顺位:贾文·斯莫尔,孟菲斯灰熊 第53顺位:约翰·唐吉,犹他爵士

奥本大学 (Auburn) 的乔尼·布鲁姆 (Johni Broome)、斯坦福大学 (Stanford) 的马克西姆·雷诺 (Maxime Raynaud)、西弗吉尼亚大学 (West Virginia) 的贾文·斯莫尔 (Javon Small) 和威斯康星大学 (Wisconsin) 的约翰·唐吉 (John Tonje) 被教练们认为是物有所值的球员。有两位教练指出,布鲁姆——一位一致公认的全美最佳阵容一阵球员,被认为是弗拉格 (Cooper Flagg) 之后年度最佳球员的第二人选——和首轮内线球员如默里-博伊尔斯 (Collin Murray-Boyles) 之间的差距不应该那么大。

一位教练说:“他是一个运动能力有限的球员。可能还有更多人能说出他的缺点,比如年龄等。但他在全国最好的联赛中获得了年度最佳球员,他进入了最终四强。其中一些必须在更高水平的联赛中具有价值。他做到了所有人要求他做的一切。而且他每晚都有产出。他还能做什么呢?他在一个历史上最好的联盟中度过了一个历史性的赛季。”

雷诺 (Maxime Raynaud) 也是上赛季大学篮球界最高效的球员之一,他场均贡献20.2分和10.6个篮板,作为7英尺1英寸的球员,三分命中率接近35%。

一位教练说:“我喜欢雷诺。他身材高大,能投篮。他能挡拆外弹。他能抢篮板。他在防守端能做什么呢?他不能换防,也不是一个护筐者,所以他会是什么样?但进攻端他能打。他是一个即插即用的角色球员。”

在这群球员中,唐吉 (John Tonje) 的选秀之路最为迂回曲折。他在科罗拉多州立大学 (Colorado State) 待了四年,在密苏里大学 (Missouri) 出场时间有限,随后遭遇伤病,接着又转学到威斯康星大学 (Wisconsin),在那里他成为了一致公认的大十联盟最佳阵容一阵球员。

一位大十联盟教练说:“他的投篮能力货真价实。我不知道为什么人们不喜欢他。”

最后,一位教练将斯莫尔 (Javon Small) 比作前休斯顿大学 (Houston) 后卫贾马尔·谢德 (Jamal Shead),后者作为一名新秀在多伦多猛龙 (Raptors) 的关键替补角色中在攻防两端都产生了影响力。

这位教练说:“他是完美的NBA替补控卫。经验、身材、投篮能力。挡拆传球手。他应该是一个更好的防守者,但他对后卫来说是一个不错的篮板手。”


第33顺位:西翁·詹姆斯,夏洛特黄蜂 第43顺位:贾米尔·沃特金斯,犹他爵士

两位ACC联盟侧翼球员,来自杜克大学 (Duke) 的西翁·詹姆斯 (Sion James) 和来自佛罗里达州立大学 (Florida State) 的贾米尔·沃特金斯 (Jamir Watkins),作为次轮秀获得了称赞。

一位教练说:“詹姆斯 (Sion James) 的身体对抗能力达到了另一个水平。他将具备防守方面的能力。他现在就能在季后赛比赛中打防守。他能防守不同类型的球员,他能换防。他能否成为一个足够好的射手,能在底角投进足够多的三分,让对手不得不盯防他?”

一位ACC联盟教练说:“我喜欢贾米尔·沃特金斯。他身材高大,能防守多个位置,他能完成一些关键回合。我认为他是一个足够好的射手,有些人不相信他的投篮。但看看季后赛。他符合那种未来角色球员的典型范本。他将能够换防1到4号位并稳住阵脚。我认为他比威尔·莱利 (Will Riley) 和德雷克·鲍威尔 (Drake Powell) 更好地符合3D球员的定位。”

By Jeff Borzello | ESPN, via ESPN

点击查看原文:2025 NBA draft reactions from college basketball coaches

2025 NBA draft reactions from college basketball coaches

Image

Should there be on-court concerns about Ace Bailey at the next level? How do Tre Johnson and Jeremiah Fears translate in the NBA? Were Egor Demin and Cedric Coward deserving of lottery selections?

To answer some of the burning questions following the 2025 NBA draft, ESPN spoke to nearly a dozen college basketball coaches – the people who have watched and game-planned against these players for the past few years – about the biggest storylines and top prospects.

Jump to:
The top two picks
The next tier of picks
More first-round storylines
Other notable first-rounders
Second-round notes

Cooper Flagg, Dylan Harper in their own tiers

Since Flagg announced in August 2023 that he planned to reclassify into the 2024 high school class, there has been very little question about the top of this class. Considered one of the best high school prospects in recent memory, Flagg had been the favorite to be selected No. 1 for the past two years, with the Dallas Mavericks making that official Wednesday. He was the best player in college basketball last season, winning the Wooden Award and leading Duke to the Final Four. He averaged 19.2 points, 7.5 rebounds and 4.2 assists, answering questions about his shooting by making 38.5% of his perimeter attempts.

Opposing college coaches have zero doubts about his ability to translate to the NBA level.

“He’s got a swagger to him, a toughness and he’s physically ready to make an impact,” one coach told ESPN. “For a young kid going to the NBA, if he’s never been in a situation where he’s been the guy, it’s hard to flip a switch. But he’s been in every single one of those situations. Playing off ball screens, coming off pindowns, rebounding and going. Showed his versatility all year long. He’s done all that stuff at the highest level of college basketball.”

Coming out of high school, Flagg’s shooting was something of a question, but the Maine native improved as his freshman season in Durham progressed. He shot 44% from behind the arc in ACC play, making multiple 3s in nine games.

“Early in the year, you could go under a ball screen against him. You weren’t doing that by the end of the year,” another coach said. “The NBA is a big isolation league. So when it comes to individual wiggle and being able to get by guys, he’ll have to figure those things out.”

Coaches also thought Flagg’s landing spot will be a positive for his development, mostly due to the fact he’ll be playing alongside Kyrie Irving and other veterans.

“I think he fits in well,” one coach said. “He won’t be keyed on as the main guy every single night. For a young guy, that can shake your confidence. I’m not worried about that with him.”

Even without being the Mavericks’ top offensive option, Flagg will be the heavy favorite for Rookie of the Year.

“[If he can] just be a well-rounded 15 points, 8 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 steals, a block [contributor] … he’ll win Rookie of the Year,” an ACC coach said, “because Dallas should be good, assuming health.”

Nearly every college coach we spoke with agreed that there was a gap after Flagg at No. 1 and Harper at No. 2 – each in classes of their own.

“[Harper is] as good a player as we’ve played against in the last 10 years, whether you’re going back to Markelle Fultz or talking about Paolo Banchero. He’s better than Jabari Smith. I’m super, super high on him. I think he’s closer to Flagg than No. 3 is to him,” one opposing coach said of the new San Antonio Spurs guard. “He’s a pick-and-roll maestro. It doesn’t matter what coverage you throw at him, it might take him a possession or two but he’ll find a way to beat it.”

“Flagg and Harper are the only two to me that have an All-NBA ceiling,” another coach added. “There’s such a big drop-off – it’s almost like those next guys are not Tier 3, it’s Tier 4. That’s how big I think the gap is between Dylan and everyone else.”

THE NEXT TIER

No. 3: VJ Edgecombe, 76ers

The biggest beneficiary of Bailey’s drop was Edgecombe. The Bahamas native showed off his impressive athleticism throughout his one season at Baylor, improving his offensive consistency and playmaking as the season progressed. Now, he’ll have the chance to join a talented backcourt featuring Tyrese Maxey and Jared McCain.

“Until I saw him in person, I was critical of him. ‘He’s a lock to be a top-five guy?’” one coach said. “And then we played him and he was just relentless. His athleticism, his shot got a lot better as the season went on. Started getting more consistent from the perimeter.”

“He has to be the most athletic player or prospect in the draft,” another added. “He’s a high-flyer, he plays bigger than what he is. He can defend 1 through 5, at least in college. He can probably do the same because the 5s are more mobile. Positional versatility, athleticism and just the way he defends.”

The fit alongside Maxey and McCain could be a concern, although multiple coaches said there could have been questions about his offensive role regardless of landing spot.

“Can he be a primary guy?” one Big 12 coach asked. “He’s not a guy where you can put the ball in his hands and say go get a bucket. He just isn’t that. He’s a slasher, a pick-and-roll guy, great in transition, offensive rebounding, does all the little things. But if there’s one negative, it’s just how is he going to score in the NBA.”


No. 4: Kon Knueppel, Hornets

The second of three Duke players selected in the top 10, Knueppel skyrocketed in mock drafts last fall and maintained that position throughout the Blue Devils’ terrific season. While playing second fiddle to Flagg, Knueppel averaged 14.4 points and shot better than 40% from 3-point range – popping as a shotmaker late in the season and in the NCAA tournament. He was considered the best catch-and-shoot perimeter shooter in the draft. And he has a comfort level with not being a team’s primary offensive option, which could be appealing to Charlotte, where he will play alongside LaMelo Ball and Brandon Miller.

“He was such a difference-maker for Duke last season, being the Robin to Cooper Flagg’s Batman,” one coach said. “When you have a guy capable of dropping 30 in a game and isn’t the main guy on scouting reports, that’s dangerous. The NBA loves guys that can make shots, and if you can do that, you’ll be in the league for a long time.”

While Knueppel’s floor appears high, making him a safe bet for the Hornets, he might not possess the ceiling of the other players in this tier, opposing coaches said. The focus for him moving forward will come at the other end of the floor.

“Guys can get played off the floor [in the NBA],” one coach said. “Can Kon stay on the court guarding in one-on-one situations? He’s got the size and frame, but does he have the footspeed? That’s the one thing you don’t get to see against Duke, with how much they mask things, how much they’re helping. They don’t allow offensive teams a lot of space, so rarely did he have to guard in space. He has to prove he can do that.”


No. 5: Ace Bailey, Jazz

A year ago, it appeared that Bailey would be right in the mix with Flagg and Harper at the top of the board. Bailey showed flashes of that ability during his freshman season at Rutgers, but questions continued to pop up that precipitated a slight drop. He was listed at 6-foot-10 in college but measured at 6-7 1⁄2 at the combine. He was also the only U.S. prospect who didn’t visit an NBA team facility during the predraft process, canceling a scheduled one with the 76ers.

From an on-court perspective, coaches understandably loved his scoring ability.

“He’s versatile, he’s got size, he’s skilled like an off-guard,” one Big Ten coach said. “He’s the prototypical NBA wing. He’s a really tough cover. He can move. Not elite athleticism, but a good athlete. He can shoot over players and the ability to make contested shots adds value.”

But will all of that translate? And what about the other aspects of his game?

“If you’re [Kevin] Durant, sure, [relying on hard shots] can work,” one coach said. “But he’s 7-1. Ace isn’t going to be a stand-in-the-corner guy.”

“The knock on him, whether it was in high school or at Rutgers, is that he’s disengaged defensively,” another Big Ten coach said. “He doesn’t need to become an all-NBA defender. But you need to get buy-in from him defensively.”


No. 6: Tre Johnson, Wizards

Johnson’s offensive ability has kept him in the top half of the lottery conversation for much of the cycle. The former top-five recruit averaged 19.9 points and shot nearly 40% from 3 during his lone season at Texas

While he was the go-to guy offensively for the Longhorns, most opposing coaches think his best role in the NBA – assuming he’s not immediately Washington’s offensive focal point – is as a microwave scorer off the bench or a specialist catch-and-shoot option. The Wizards struggled mightily from the perimeter and just traded Jordan Poole, making Johnson an easy fit.

“He’s a scoring guard, period,” a coach said. “He’s one of the best shooters in the draft. He’ll have to learn that you don’t need to dribble the ball eight times before shooting, but he can be a borderline All-Star because of how well he shoots the ball. He can be a catch-and-shoot guy and shoot 50%.”

The questions about Johnson center around the rest of his game and whether he will contribute enough in other facets to impact winning at the highest level.

“He’s a great individual talent,” another coach added. “But if you’re not scoring, what other things are you doing that help winning? Inevitably the best players in the world are going to have off nights.”


No. 7: Jeremiah Fears, Pelicans

The freshman out of Oklahoma was the biggest riser of the past 12 months – he wasn’t even in this draft class a year ago, but he opted to reclassify into 2024 and commit to Oklahoma, where he emerged as one of the most dynamic guards in the country despite not turning 18 until October.

“He’s wired to score,” one coach said. “I kind of compare him a little bit to [Nets guard] Cam Thomas. He’s a better playmaker than Thomas was coming out of college. He has the ability to make reads, you can double-team him or trap a ball screen, but he’ll read it perfectly, whereas other freshmen get rattled. He’s a sneaky athlete, too.”

What will determine his ceiling might be his perimeter shooting. He shot 28.4% from 3 on the season, making only 15 shots from 3 in 18 SEC games.

“He’s streaky, not a consistent shooter,” one opposing coach said. "He has to continue to build up his frame, but he’s a young kid, only 18 years old. As he matures physically as he gets older, he’ll be able to take a little bit greater command of the position, get into the paint, deal with physicality. "

MORE FIRST-ROUND STORYLINES

Egor Demin: Lottery’s biggest riser

Had the draft taken place around the start of last college basketball season, the former BYU guard being selected at No. 8 by the Brooklyn Nets wouldn’t have come as a surprise. The Russia native slotted in at No. 7 in ESPN’s November mock draft after generating significant buzz following his arrival from Real Madrid. But an uneven freshman season in Provo caused his stock to fluctuate, ending up at No. 13 in ESPN’s final predraft mock.

On Wednesday, however, Demin found his way back into the top 10.

Opposing coaches were mixed on his ability to contribute immediately at the next level.

“He’s huge,” one Big 12 coach said. “Ball pressure bothers him, he plays pretty upright, he’s methodical. But he can make every read out there. … He’s got a little bit of a burst just because he goes from slow to medium, it throws you off. He’s throwing it over the top of guards. You can say, ‘Oh, that’s college,’ but he’s taller than most guards in the NBA, too. His passing is elite. He’s a better shooter than his percentages. And I think he’ll get better with the space of the NBA.”

“I don’t think he shoots, I don’t think he really defends,” one coach countered. “But people see a big guard who can pass and it’s sort of intriguing.”

Demin was one of five first-round picks for the Nets, with three of them – Demin, Nolan Traore (No. 19) and Ben Saraf (No. 26) – possessing heavy international experience. It was a fascinating haul, given all three were projected in the lottery back in November. “[The Nets are] obviously committed to their international scouting team, taking three guys who were international players who most felt underachieved this year,” one coach said. “There was clearly a belief in who Demin was before he came [to the United States].”


Khaman Maluach: Duke’s third top-10 pick

After Flagg and Knueppel, there was a longer-than-expected wait to hear Maluach’s name, but the Suns ultimately selected him at No. 10. He didn’t have nearly the college production of the other players drafted in the top 10, but his 7-2 size, 9-6 standing reach and 7-6 ¾ wingspan, combined with his defensive potential, are incredibly intriguing to coaches.

“You can throw him out there and he’s going to be able to impact the game with his size and shot-blocking, his defensive and offensive rebounding,” one opposing coach said. “In the NBA game, you have to have a 5-man like that, but the young ones, it’s just going to take him time. He does have some skill, he banged in a 3 early in the year, he has the potential to step out and shoot 3s.”

Another opposing coach questioned how advanced that skill level really is, and whether the perceived ceiling is actually lower in reality.

“I think he’s a lob-catching big. He’s massive, but I don’t think he’s an unbelievable athlete,” the coach said. “He’s not Dereck Lively II, who was a different type of mover, different athlete, had more skill. Maluach is not as good in any of those categories. I don’t think he’s got that same ceiling.”

“He’s still going to be a project at the end of the day,” another coach said.

Phoenix will be able to be patient with Maluach, as the franchise also traded two first-rounders to Charlotte for veteran center Mark Williams. But at No. 10, some of the risk is mitigated.

“He’s the type of archetype that usually goes up the board as time goes on,” one coach said. "It remains to be seen whether the shot is something that’s translatable. It doesn’t look bad mechanically, but it hasn’t gotten to the point where he’s taking them or making them with any real consistency. But it wouldn’t shock me if that’s something he was able to do over time.

“I like the vertical threat he presents at the rim as a finisher, I love his shot blocking, the defensive versatility that he has. He has to rebound the ball better. But he’s not someone who is going to come into the league and take his foot off the gas.”


Cedric Coward: From D3 to lottery

Coward was among the most fascinating storylines in the lead-up to the draft. Starting his college career at the Division III level with Willamette University in Oregon, Coward was barely on NBA draft boards at this time last year, having finished up his second season at Eastern Washington in the Big Sky Conference.

Coward transferred to Washington State, where he played just six games before missing the rest of the season because of a shoulder injury. But after emerging as one of the standouts from the combine, he cemented his status as a top-20 pick and opted to remain in the draft instead of playing his final college season at Duke, where he committed out of the portal.

On Wednesday, he was selected No. 11 by the Grizzlies, who traded up to pick him.

“The thing that stuck out to me with him was he got better every year,” one Big Sky coach said. “When he first came in as a D-III transfer, we didn’t really know who he was. [He was] a skinny kid with length, developing his offensive game. He played hard as hell, impacted winning. He started to shoot the ball a little bit better, to the point now where he shot it really well in the short span last year. He kept adding to his game. Little bit more polished, little bit more refined, little bit smoother every time we played him.”

Surrounded by Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr., Coward isn’t going to be asked to shoulder huge offensive responsibility early on, but opposing coaches think he’ll have no problem being a high-end role player in the NBA.

“He has the ability to shoot, legitimately catch-and-shoot,” one coach said. “He’s got the in-between game, he killed us in the post. He can play with a face-up game. He’s a pretty good defender. Blocked a ton of shots. He does so much to impact winning. He doesn’t need to be a guy who carries the load offensively, and I don’t know if he ever will be.”

The big question: Was No. 11 too high for a player who started just eight career games against power-conference opponents?

“Seeing him this year, he looked like a pro. He took a massive jump physically,” said one coach, who added that Coward’s highest-end ceiling shares a lot of the same traits as Kawhi Leonard. “He’s going to help you win in some capacity. He can do a lot to really impact the game, whether it’s off the bench or if he develops into a starting-caliber player. He’s a guy you’re going to bet on.”


Carter Bryant: Most unproven lottery pick

When the 2024-25 college basketball season ended, Bryant seemed like he could go either way with his draft decision. He started just five games as a freshman at Arizona, scoring in double-figures just a handful of times.

As the spring went on, though, it became clear Bryant wasn’t going back to college. His stock steadily rose, from a lock first-rounder into the top 20 and ultimately to No. 14 with the Spurs.

At 6-6 ½ without shoes, Bryant shot nearly 39% from 3-point range in Big 12 play, making multiple 3-pointers in a game nine times after the calendar turned to 2025.

“He’s got the positional size, the athleticism, the shooting, the defensive versatility, with potential to get better,” one Big 12 coach said. “In small doses, he showed some things offensively, that maybe he can be a little bit of a playmaker, he can make some passes. It wasn’t showcased a ton, but he did it enough. Whether it was guarded or unguarded, he’s able to get his shot off. He has room to grow in that area, he needs to continue to speed up his shot, but the NBA loves big wings that can shoot it.”

The Spurs will have to be patient, though, as he’s only shown his ability in flashes.


Veterans become higher first-round priority

While the top half of the first round was predictably filled with freshmen – the first eight picks were all first-year college players, and 18 freshmen were selected in the first round – the trend of older players being drafted earlier continued this year.

Coward, Walter Clayton Jr., Nique Clifford, Danny Wolf and Yanic Konan Niederhauser all transferred at least once and played at least three years in college, with Clifford, Clayton and Niederhauser all at least 22. And older college players Ryan Kalkbrenner (No. 34), Johni Broome (No. 35) and Chaz Lanier (No. 37) were picked fairly early in the second round.

The trend really took shape last year, when Zach Edey, Devin Carter, Dalton Knecht, Dillon Jones, Baylor Scheierman and Terrence Shannon Jr. were selected in the first round.

Why is this happening? It’s primarily related to the increased money available to student-athletes at the college level, allowing more players to stay in college, while the increased prevalence of the transfer portal has allowed mid-major stars to shine at higher levels and increase their draft stock.

“Financially, they’re rewarded to stay. It allows them to be a little more ready and polished for the next level,” one coach said. “The high-end guys, the lottery guys, you’re drafting on upside. But if I’m a playoff team, a play-in team and still growing, getting an older, mature guy that you know can help you in a role, that’s a smart bet. You’re still getting a guy in the prime of his career. You get more bang for your buck in Year 1 or 2, maybe not Year 6 or 7.”

This might be one of the final years of the trend, however. A long list of borderline first-round picks opted to return to college at the withdrawal deadline this spring, including Michigan’s Yaxel Lendeborg, Florida’s Alex Condon, Auburn’s Tahaad Pettiford, Alabama’s Labaron Philon and NC State’s Darrion Williams. Duke’s Isaiah Evans, Texas Tech’s JT Toppin and UConn’s Alex Karaban didn’t even go through the draft process.

All of these players – and many others – were compensated handsomely for their decisions to stay in school, but with the House vs. NCAA settlement and salary caps potentially impacting players’ earnings potential in the new revenue-sharing era, will the money to return to college be enough to keep players out of the draft in the future?

“I think it’ll flip back the other way with rev share,” one high-major coach said. “You look at the rev share numbers, a lot of SEC schools are putting most of their money into football. Their rev share numbers are between $2 [million] to $3 million. This year, we had collectives, some of those teams had $10 [million] to $12 million. We had a couple on our team that came back because they’re going to make more money here than going in the second round. But with those numbers going down, those potential first-rounders or high-second rounders, I can see them going to the league instead.”

“I think this will be one of the last years of it,” another coach added. “There are a lot of really good players staying in college because of NIL. Once revenue share kicks into effect and the NIL market gets some stability, you’re going to see a lot more of these fringe first-rounders stay in the draft. It used to be where if you were top 40, 90% of those guys were staying in the draft. Now it’s shifted to where you need to be a top-20 player to stay in.”

One byproduct of all the aforementioned players staying in college as opposed to entering the draft was the lack of surefire hits in the second round. A coach pointed out that 14 second-round picks last year received guaranteed deals, with only two of the first 47 picks landing two-way deals.

That might not be the case this year.

“It’s one of the worst second rounds of all time. A huge part of that is because of NIL,” the coach said. “Go through all the guys that would’ve been late first, early second, it would’ve really moved things. It wasn’t a strong draft to begin with, but with all those guys going back, after No. 35 or so, I don’t know if I would give [many] of these guys a guaranteed deal.”

OTHER NOTABLE FIRST-ROUNDERS

No. 9: Collin Murray-Boyles, Raptors

First non-freshmen picked: Murray-Boyles has a truly unique profile. He measured at just 6-6 ½ without shoes, but he did nearly all of his offensive damage around the basket. He attempted just 39 3-pointers during his 60 games with South Carolina but was dominant in the paint.

Murray-Boyles was able to overcome his size issues in college, making an impact defensively and with his passing, but he’ll have to expand his skill set at the next level.

“He’s got sort of a unique game, and the NBA falls in love with guys who have a little bit of a lot of things,” one coach said. “He’s a guy who has a chance to be a very good defender. He doesn’t have great height, but he has good size in terms of measurements and strength. He can do a little bit of everything, he can pass, he can rebound, he’s not a very good shooter at this point. I think he’s a good player, but I think he’s a blend player. I don’t think, individually, he’s got unbelievable talent where he’s bringing something to the table right away. If he’s on a good team, he can help it function. But I don’t know if Toronto is that.”


No. 13: Derik Queen, Pelicans No. 25: Jase Richardson, Magic No. 27: Danny Wolf, Nets

Mixed reviews: Coaches were split on this trio of Big Ten picks.

Maryland’s Queen established himself as one of the most skilled bigs in college basketball last season, highlighted by his buzzer-beater to knock off Colorado State in the second round of the NCAA tournament. But there are questions about his maturity, and his lack of athleticism could cap his perceived upside.

“He’s so skilled,” one Big Ten coach said. “I love his passing ability. You watch him on film, you think he’s not athletic. But in person, it doesn’t matter. If he’s able to develop a motor, I really think he’s got a chance to be one hell of an NBA player.”

Michigan State’s Richardson saw his stock fluctuate throughout the past few months, rising into the first round and eventually the lottery after Tom Izzo moved him from the bench into the starting lineup in early February. But after measuring at just over 6 feet without shoes at the combine, Richardson’s spot in mocks dropped into the 20s – and he ultimately didn’t receive an invite to the green room.

Orlando bought the dip and selected him at No. 25.

“I like Jase Richardson. He would be a nightmare to coach against in college next year, but I don’t see it [in the NBA],” one Big Ten coach said. “He’s a 6-foot guard whose primary skill is scoring – not shooting, but scoring. He’s not a great defender, not a super dynamic playmaker for others. He’s got below-average size. So is he Trae Young? Is he T.J. McConnell? Is he Davion Mitchell?”

Michigan’s Wolf had one of the more interesting roles in the Big Ten last season, with Dusty May using the 6-11 Yale transfer as a playmaker with the ball in his hands because of his decision-making out of ball screens and passing ability. But there are questions on how it will translate to the next level.

“He can play in pick-and-roll, as a big man he can make incredible passes,” one coach said. “But he’s a high-turnover guy. With his role in the NBA, you’re not going to be able to make an incredible pass and then two bad passes. An NBA team is not going to let him just roll through his turnovers.”

“Part of his beauty is that he can do so many things, but none of it he’s excellent at,” another added. “Will a team try to make him elite at something, or are they OK with the buffet?”


No. 18: Walter Clayton Jr., Jazz

NCAA tournament impact: Clayton’s rise to No. 18 on the heels of an incredible NCAA tournament run was highlighted by one coach. Clayton was unbelievable during Florida’s march to a national championship, averaging 24.6 points in the Gators’ first five tournament games, including 34 points in the Final Four against Auburn and 30 points against Texas Tech.

“He’s a great example of what winning does for a player’s stock,” the coach said. “He went from a mid-to-late second-round pick to a late first-round pick. Florida going on a run, him being able to be on that platform and showcase his talents. That right there made the kid millions and millions of dollars.”


No. 20: Kasparas Jakucionis, Heat No. 29: Liam McNeeley, Hornets

Biggest slides of opening night: Illinois’ Jakucionis was ranked No. 10 on Jonathan Givony’s Big Board and projected at No. 11 in ESPN’s final predraft mock, while UConn’s McNeeley was No. 17 on Givony’s board and mocked at No. 20, each falling notably below their evaluations. Multiple coaches thought the two could be tremendous values for the teams that landed them.

Jakucionis looked like a legitimate All-American in nonconference play, averaging 16.4 points, 5.6 rebounds and 5.4 assists through 14 games, headlined by a stretch of 20-point outings against Arkansas, Northwestern, Wisconsin, Tennessee and Missouri.

While one Big Ten coach agreed this landing spot was good value for the Heat and a potentially good fit for Jakucionis, alongside Tyler Herro in the backcourt, he also understood the slide.

“He’s a three-level scorer,” the coach said. “He played with a great change of pace. As the season went on and as teams scouted him, he kind of came back down to earth. But he plays with a toughness. He’s not an elite athlete. His stats tailed off the second half of Big Ten play, and he’s someone you could go at and isolate on defense.”

McNeeley was a five-star recruit coming out of high school but was hampered by an injury during the middle part of his freshman campaign in Storrs. He’s a shotmaker with size and had some of the best individual performances of any freshman last season: 26 points and eight rebounds against Gonzaga, plus 38 points and 10 rebounds against Creighton.

One Big East coach thought McNeeley’s ankle injury that caused him to miss eight games during conference play impacted his efficiency and effectiveness at both ends of the floor, which might have contributed to his slide.

“I don’t think he’s the 29th-best player in the draft,” he said. “He’s 6-8 and he’s a much better shooter than his percentages suggest. He’s really competitive. I think he’s a little bit better [overall] basketball player than he gets credit for, in terms of his ability to drive the ball and pass the ball.”


No. 22: Drake Powell, Nets

Surprise pick: The North Carolina wing was something of a surprise at No. 22, with the Nets using their third first-round selection on the former five-star recruit. He had an inconsistent role as a freshman for the Tar Heels with 7.4 points per game but tested as arguably the best athlete at the combine, pacing the player pool in both max vertical leap and standing vertical leap.

Can he help Brooklyn immediately? Opposing coaches have questions.

“He fits the prototype of that 3-and-D guy, but is he really good enough at either of those to actually fit that profile?” one ACC coach asked.

“A lot of what people thought about Powell dates back to some of the enthusiasm at the end of his high school career, when people saw a guy who wasn’t a good shooter but had size and versatility. Good passer, some feel, good athlete, maybe the potential to be a big point guard,” one coach added. “And then he gets to North Carolina, and he becomes a full-time wing player with real limitations offensively.”


No. 30: Yanic Konan Niederhauser, Clippers

Made the cut: The Penn State big man capped his meteoric rise by seeing his name taken with the last pick of the first round.

Niederhauser raised his stock as much as anyone during the predraft process, working his way from averaging 12.9 points last season for the Nittany Lions to the G League Elite camp and then earning an invite to the NBA draft combine. Remember, this is a player who averaged 7.3 points at Northern Illinois just two seasons ago.

“He’s just scratching the surface. He’s somebody that can be like a Dereck Lively type in the NBA,” one coach said. “I think if he came back to college, he would’ve been a lottery pick next year.”

SECOND-ROUND NOTES

No. 35 Johni Broome, 76ers No. 42: Maxime Raynaud, Kings No. 48: Javon Small, Grizzlies No. 53: John Tonje, Jazz

Auburn’s Broome, Stanford’s Raynaud, West Virginia’s Small and Wisconsin’s Tonje stood out to coaches as values. Two pointed out that the gap between Broome – a consensus first-team All-American and the perceived runner-up to Flagg for Player of the Year honors – and first-round big men such as Murray-Boyles shouldn’t have been that wide.

“He’s a player that is limited athletically. There’s probably more things people can say about him, age, all this stuff,” one coach said. “But he got Player of the Year in the best league in the country, he went to the Final Four. Some of that has to have some substance at the next level. He did everything that everyone asked. And he produced every night. What else is he supposed to do? He had a historic year in a conference that was historically one of the best ever.”

Raynaud was also one of the most productive players in college basketball last season, averaging 20.2 points and 10.6 rebounds while shooting nearly 35% from 3 at 7-foot-1.

“I like Raynaud. He’s big and can shoot. He can pick and pop. He rebounds,” one coach said. “What can he do defensively? He’s not switchable, he’s not a rim protector, so what does that look like? But offensively he’ll be able to play. He’s a plug-and-play role player.”

Of the group, Tonje had the most circuitous route to the draft. He spent four years at Colorado State, played sparingly at Missouri before suffering an injury, then transferred again to Wisconsin, where he emerged as a consensus first-team All-Big Ten selection.

“His shotmaking is real,” a Big Ten coach said. “I don’t know why people don’t like him.”

Finally, one coach compared Small to former Houston guard Jamal Shead, who made an impact at both ends of the floor for the Raptors in a key bench role as a rookie.

“He’s the consummate backup NBA point guard,” the coach said. “Experience, size, shotmaking ability. Pick-and-roll passer. He should be a better defender, but he’s a good rebounder for a guard.”


No. 33: Sion James, Hornets No. 43: Jamir Watkins, Jazz

Two ACC wings, James from Duke and Watkins from Florida State, drew praise as second-round picks.

“James’ physicality is on another level,” one coach said. “He’s going to have the defensive part. He can go play defensively in a playoff game right now. He can guard different guys, he can switch. Is he going to be a good enough shooter to hang in the corner and make enough 3s where guys have to guard him?”

“I like Jamir Watkins,” an ACC coach said. “He’s big, he can guard multiple positions, he can make some plays. I think he’s a good enough shooter, some people don’t trust the shooting. But watch the playoffs. He fits that prototype of a future role player. He’ll be able to switch 1 through 4 and hold his own. I think he can fit that 3-and-D profile better than, like, Will Riley and Drake Powell.”