By Jeje Gomez, Marilyn Dubinski, Mark Barrington, Devon Birdsong | Pounding The Rock (PtR), 2025-06-25 00:00:00
由生成式人工智能翻译,译文内容可能不准确或不完整,以原文为准。
尽管外界对迪伦·哈珀 (Dylan Harper) 的适配性存疑,但选中他似乎已成定局,可马刺队将如何处理他们的另外两个选秀权呢?
种种迹象表明,马刺队将用榜眼签选中迪伦·哈珀 (Dylan Harper)。您是否担心他与现有阵容的适配性?
玛丽莲·杜宾斯基 (Marilyn Dubinski): 我一点也不担心。有些情况下,你不能因为担心适配性而错过天赋,哈珀就是其中之一,尤其是考虑到他之后的球员水平有相当明显的下滑。这不仅是马刺队首次手握榜眼签,而且如果一切按计划进行,这应该是他们未来几年最后一次通过自己的选秀权进入乐透区,务必利用好乐透之神赐予的这份厚礼。至于适配性,主要的担忧是哈珀、达龙·福克斯 (De’Aaron Fox) 和斯蒂芬·卡斯尔 (Stephon Castle) 都不是顶尖的三分射手,但如果他们中有两个人能在其他技能基础上,仅凭三分投射变得优秀,那问题就迎刃而解了。卡斯尔和哈珀仍有很大的提升空间,如果行不通,未来他们中的某一位也会成为不错的交易筹码。
马克·巴林顿 (Mark Barrington): 我认为这没什么好担心的。如果一个球员真的很优秀,任何一位像样的教练都能找到办法让他上场。这主要让我担心布兰汉姆 (Branham) 和韦斯利 (Wesley),除非他们能在夏天取得巨大进步,否则上场时间不会太多。福克斯、卡斯尔和哈珀将有充足的时间轮流带领球队,但另外那两人最终可能会坐穿板凳,或者被交易到一支后卫线不那么拥挤的球队。
赫苏斯·戈麦斯 (Jesus Gomez): 他的技能与达龙·福克斯和斯蒂芬·卡斯尔确实存在一些明显的重叠,但有很多办法能让他们所有人获得上场时间。根据数据来看,哈珀并非一个糟糕的接球投篮手,所以他看起来比作为新秀时的卡斯尔更准备好打无球。他也是一个高水平的新秀,有望成为全明星级别的球员,所以直接选他就行,其他问题后面再解决。如果他比卡斯尔更好,你可以直接送走卡斯尔。如果这两位年轻人能一起打球,一年后会有人抢着交易得到福克斯。马刺队的核心阵容尚未确定,因此目前天赋胜过适配性。
德文·伯德桑 (Devon Birdsong): 我觉得“担心”这个词对我来说太重了。我确实对马刺队再选一名有外线投篮问题的后卫有些顾虑,但哈珀实际上是一名不错的定点射手,罚球也没有大问题,这些特质通常预示着长期的良好发展。如果你将他视为全明星级别的天赋(你也应该这样做),那么适配性也是一个问题,因为他与达龙·福克斯的技能组合有很多重叠(他们大学毕业时的相似程度令人毛骨悚然)。如果卡斯尔和哈珀优秀到足以争取首发位置,我想卡斯尔 可以 打三号位。无论如何,这些都有些为时尚早,因为作为一名新秀,哈珀本赛季很可能大部分时间会作为第二阵容的指挥官。老实说,如果真的出现这种两难局面,那对马刺队来说只会是好事。
雅各布·道格拉斯 (Jacob Douglas): 如果按1到10分衡量,我的担心程度大约是4分。在现代NBA比赛中,拥有多名能够持球为自己和队友创造机会的球员是一个巨大的优势。那些球员也需要具备投篮能力。哈珀在罗格斯大学 (Rutgers) 的接球投篮机会上表现出色,人们不禁要问,他赛季中段的伤病是否与投篮手感低迷有关。如果他在NBA能达到35%或更高的投篮命中率,我认为圣安东尼奥就会很好,因为福克斯已经证明了他必须在外线得到尊重。圣安东尼奥队在某个时候 必须 增加投篮能力,以最大限度地发挥这套阵容的潜力。
马刺队拥有第14顺位和第38顺位选秀权。您认为他们应该用这些选秀权来增添年轻天赋,还是交易换取即战力?
杜宾斯基: 这取决于有哪些球员可供选择,以及下赛季的目标是什么。我不会指望次轮选秀权能带来任何即战力,但如果第14顺位能选到一位优秀年轻内线,那肯定会是一个有用的选择。话虽如此,如果马刺队本赛季的目标不仅仅是季后赛竞争者,我也不反对将它用于交易,以立即获得更可靠的帮助。
巴林顿: 我认为球队的重点正在从长期培养型球员转向那些一两年内就能帮助球队的球员,因为马刺队正从重建期过渡到组建期。这是否意味着你要放弃一个需要一两年才能准备好的球员?如果潜力足够令人兴奋,可能不会。但我们不会再看到像选中西迪·西索科 (Sidy Cissoko) 那样,仅仅因为身体条件好就选人的情况了。球队需要那些真正证明自己篮球技术出色的球员。这意味着他们可能会在第14顺位选到一名优秀的年轻内线,甚至可能用次轮签选择一名拥有更多大学经验的大龄球员。
戈麦斯: 这是一个有趣的决定,主要是因为其他因素,即自由球员市场上没有太多球队拥有薪金空间。在正常情况下,交易似乎是解决当前阵容一些明显问题的最明智选择。但中产特例可能足以弥补这一点,这使得保留选秀权变得诱人。如果马刺队认为他们可以用特例签下布鲁克·洛佩斯 (Brook Lopez) 和杰克·拉拉维亚 (Jake LaRavia) 这样的球员,那么使用选秀权就很有意义了。话虽如此,如果通过交易第14顺位选秀权能够得到一名长期基石型球员,他们就应该果断出手。
伯德桑: 考虑到现在令人生畏的奢侈税线运作方式,我认为球队应该尽可能地寻求获得廉价天赋,这使得选秀比以往任何时候都更加重要。除非马刺队能巧妙地挖来一名合同受控的天赋球员(可能性不大),否则他们绝对应该以萨姆·普雷斯蒂 (Sam Presti) 的方式(他迄今为止还未真正使用选秀权进行交易)对待选秀,不断补充他们喜欢的球员,直到他们的阵容深度达到令人难以置信的程度,或者未来的交易目标浮出水面。有消息称,马刺队在关于凯文·杜兰特 (Kevin Durant) 的谈判/报价方面非常保守,因为他们可能正着眼于一个更大的未来目标。如果是这样,我预计马刺队唯一会进行的选秀交易,将是去年与明尼苏达和罗布·迪林汉姆 (Rob Dillingham) 交易那种类型。
道格拉斯: 他们可以通过自由球员市场上的特例来满足需求。比如克林特·卡佩拉 (Clint Capela) 作为替补中锋,或者萨姆·梅里尔 (Sam Merrill) 这样的投篮型侧翼。直接用14号签选人。塞德里克·考沃德 (Cedric Coward) 凭借他的投篮能力和防守潜力,会是一个理想的选择。听起来他们对来自乔治城大学 (Georgetown) 的内线球员托马斯·索伯 (Thomas Sorber) 颇感兴趣,他是一名富有影响力的防守者和传球手,但在进攻端存在一些问号。这些球员中的任何一个都将是对他们正在发展中的核心阵容的一个有趣补充。用38号签,选择潜力最高或你能找到的最佳射手,让他穿梭于圣安东尼奥和奥斯汀之间效力。我个人喜欢亚历克斯·图伊 (Alex Toohey) 这个名字。
如果马刺队像上赛季处理第8顺位签那样,将第14顺位签交易换取未来的首轮签,你会感到失望吗?
杜宾斯基: 不会。我承认我对今年的选秀池了解不多,所以如果他们最终交易了,我也不会是那个在电视机前大喊“他们本可以选到这个球员!”的人。此外,未来的额外选秀资产总是被证明是宝贵的,所以我相信PATFO知道自己在做什么。(等等,这需要改成PITFO吗?波波 (Pop) 就是管理层?)
巴林顿: 这在某种程度上取决于他们能用这个签换到什么。如果只是未来七八年后的选秀权互换,我会感到失望,尽管我多少能理解,为什么你不想让未来四年后需要续签第二份合同的高薪新秀数量过多。一个来自未来一两年内预计会很糟糕的球队的无保护首轮签,可能就足够有趣,值得争取。我认为,如果第14顺位没有马刺队选秀榜上评价很高的球员,那这会成为一个更具吸引力的选择。我不会对马刺队像去年处理迪林汉姆选秀权那样,在最后一刻进行交易感到惊讶,这取决于届时有哪些球员可选。
戈麦斯: 绝对不会。事实上,那可能是他们能做的最明智的事情。如果他们找到一支愿意送出无保护或轻度保护的未来首轮签,且预计不会落在20顺位末的球队,马刺队很可能应该抓住机会。相比于再增加一名新秀,大量积累交易资产或选秀权,以备将来阵容薪资上涨时使用,似乎是让球队拥有应对未来能力的更好方式。
伯德桑: 考虑到他们在前锋和替补中锋位置上的需求,是的,我会失望。尤其令人担忧的是,马刺队对于他们真正内线深度不足的问题处理得多么漫不经心,以及文班亚马不在场时,这对他们的防守造成了多大的影响。人们很容易忘记,自雅各布·珀尔特尔 (Jakob Poeltl) 担任拉马库斯·阿尔德里奇 (LaMarcus Aldridge) 的替补以来,马刺队就再也没有拥有过一名优质的替补内线了。这种情况必须改变,尤其是在目前文班亚马的健康状况是一个合理的担忧点的情况下。话又说回来,他们也可以在次轮初段选择像拉希尔·弗莱明 (Rasheer Fleming) 这样有前途的球员(他不仅是出色的篮板手和盖帽手,在四号位或五号位的适应性方面,也可能是本届选秀中最全能的内线),如果他们能从14号签的交易中得到一些不错的回报,我也能接受。
道格拉斯: 丝毫不会。事实上,我还会鼓励他们这样做。我会特别致电新奥尔良 (New Orleans),看看能否争取到他们拥有的密尔沃基雄鹿 (Milwaukee Bucks) 队的选秀权。扬尼斯·安特托昆博 (Giannis Antetokounmpo) 今夏可能不会被摆上货架,但如果他提出交易请求,马刺队应该确保他们能提供最好的报价。如果他们拥有密尔沃基的部分选秀资产,再加上哈珀、卡斯尔以及其他年轻球员,他们显然会成为得到“希腊怪物”的领跑者。也许这只是一个白日梦,但一想到文班亚马和扬尼斯能并肩作战,我就激动不已!
点击查看原文:The Spurs draft-day questions start after the No. 2 overall pick
The Spurs draft-day questions start after the No. 2 overall pick
The Dylan Harper selection seems like a foregone conclusion despite questions about fit, but what will the Spurs do with their other two picks?
Everything points to the Spurs drafting Dylan Harper second overall. Do you worry about his fit with the current roster?
Marilyn Dubinski: I’m not worried at all. There are some cases where you just don’t pass on talent out of fear of fit, and Harper is one of those cases, especially considering there is a pretty decent dropoff behind him. Not only is this the first time the Spurs are selecting 2nd overall, but if things go according to plan, it should be the last time their own pick is in the lottery for years to come, so take advantage of this massive gift the lottery gods provided. In terms of fit, the main concern is that neither Harper, De’Aaron Fox nor Stephon Castle are knockdown three-point shooters, but if two of them can merely become good at it on top of all their other skills, problem solved. Castle and Harper still have plenty of room to improve, and if it doesn’t work out, someone will be worth some good trade assets down the line.
Mark Barrington: I don’t think it’s something to be concerned about. If a player is really good, any decent coach will find a way to play them. It mostly makes me worry about Branham and Wesley, who aren’t going to get much court time unless they make some huge improvements over the summer. There will be plenty of time for Fox, Castle, and Harper to take turns leading the team, but those other two might end up collecting a lot of splinters, or get dealt to another team that isn’t overstocked with guards.
Jesus Gomez: There’s some obvious overlap in skills with De’Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle, but there are a lot of ways to find playing time for all of them. Harper is not a bad catch-and-shoot guy, according to the numbers, so he seems more ready to play off the ball than Castle was as a rookie. He’s also a high-level prospect who is expected to be an All-Star caliber player, so you just take him and figure out the rest later. If he’s better than Castle, you can just move Castle. If the two young guys can play together, someone will be eager to get Fox in a trade a year from now. The Spurs’ core is not set yet, so talent trumps fit for now.
Devon Birdsong: I think worry is too strong a word for me. I do have some concerns about the Spurs drafting another guard with perimeter shooting issues, but Harper’s actually a decent spot-up shooter with no major free-throw issues, and those traits tend to project well in the long term. Fit is also a question if you’re projecting him as an All-Star level talent (and you should) because he has a lot of skill-set duplication with DeAaron Fox (it’s eerie how similar they were coming out of college). If Castle and Harper are good enough to push for starting roles, I suppose Castle could play at the 3. In any case, that’s all very cart-before-the-horse, since it seems more likely that as a rookie Harper will get most of his minutes this season running the second unit. And honestly, if that kind of dilemma does end up rearing its head, that only bodes well for the Spurs.
Jacob Douglas: On a scale of 1-10, I’d rank my worry at about 4. Having multiple players who can create with the ball in their hands for themselves and others is a huge plus in the modern NBA game. Those players also need to be able to shoot. Harper shot the ball well on catch-and-shoot opportunities at Rutgers, and one has to wonder if his mid-season injury had anything to do with a shooting slump. If he’s a 35% or above shooter at the next level, I think San Antonio will be fine, as Fox has shown he must be respected from the perimeter. At some point, San Antonio HAS to add shooting to maximize this roster.
The Spurs have the 14th and 38th picks. Do you think they should use them to add young talent or trade for immediate help?
Dubinski: It depends on who’s available and what the goal is for next season. I wouldn’t count on second-round picks to bring any immediate help, but if there’s a good young big available at 14th, it would certainly be a useful pick. That being said, I’m also not against it being used to trade for more reliable help right away if the Spurs’ goal is to be more than merely a playoff contender this season.
Barrington: I think the focus is changing from long-term projects to players who can help the team in a year or two, as the Spurs are transitioning from rebuilding to building. Does that mean that you pass up a guy who needs a year or two to get ready? Probably not, if the upside is exciting enough. But we won’t see another Sidy Cissoko kind of pick where someone is picked just because they have the measurements of a good basketball player. The team needs players who have actually proven that they’re good at basketball. That means that they’ll possibly draft a good young big at 14 and maybe even take an older player with more college experience with their second-round pick.
Gomez: It’s an interesting decision, mostly because of other factors, namely that not a lot of teams will have cap space in free agency. Under normal circumstances, a trade would seem the wisest option to address some of the obvious issues the roster currently has. But the mid-level exception might be enough to cover that, which makes keeping the picks tempting. If the Spurs think they can get, say, Brook Lopez and Jake LaRavia with their exceptions, using the picks makes a lot of sense. That being said, if there is a long-term piece that can be had by trading the 14th pick, they should pull the trigger.
Birdsong: With the way that the dreaded tax aprons now function, I think teams should always be looking to acquire cheap talent whenever possible, and that makes the draft more important than ever. Unless the Spurs can advantageously pry away a cost-controlled talent (unlikely), they should absolutely approach the draft in a Sam Presti manner (who hasn’t really used picks for trades as of yet) and keep adding players they like until either their depth is insane, or a future trade target comes to light. Word was that the Spurs were very conservative with their conversations/offers regarding Kevin Durant because they were possibly eyeing a bigger future target. If that’s the case, the only draft trades I expect from the Spurs are the kind they pulled off last year with Minnesota and Rob Dillingham.
Douglas: They can fill their needs with their exceptions in free agency. Think of Clint Capela as a backup center or Sam Merrill as a shooting wing. Take the players at 14. Cedric Coward would be a dream pick with his shooting ability and defensive upside. It sounds like they have some interest in Thomas Sorber, the big man out of Georgetown who is an impactful defender and passer with some question marks on the offensive end. Any of those guys would be an interesting addition to their developing core. With 38, pick the highest upside guy, or best shooter you can find, and have him split time between San Antonio and Austin. I like Alex Toohey there as a name.
Would you be disappointed if the Spurs traded the 14th pick for a future first, as they did last season with the eighth pick?
Dubinski: Not really. I’ll admit I’m not that knowledgeable on this year’s draft pool, so I won’t be that person crying, “But they could have had this player!” into the TV screen if they end up trading it. Also, extra draft assets down the line have always proven valuable, so I trust that the PATFO knows what they’re doing. (Wait, does that need to change to PITFO: Pop IS the Front Office?)
Barrington: It kind of depends on what they get for the pick. If it’s just a pick swap 7 or 8 years in the future, I’d be disappointed, although I kind of understand why you wouldn’t want to have more highly paid rookies than you could re-sign to a second contract when that comes up in 4 years. An unprotected first from a team a year or two in the future that’s expected to be bad might be interesting enough to take. I think that becomes a more attractive option if there’s nobody that the Spurs have rated high on their board available at 14. I wouldn’t be surprised by a last-minute trade by the Spurs like they did with the Dillingham pick last year, depending on who’s available.
Gomez: Absolutely not. In fact, that might be the smartest thing they can do. If they find a team that is willing to move an unprotected or lightly protected future first-rounder that is not expected to land in the late 20s, the Spurs should probably go for it. Loading up on trade assets or picks that would be available when the roster gets more expensive feels like a better way to future-proof the team than adding another rookie.
Birdsong: Considering their needs at forward and backup center, yes. Particularly of concern is how cavalierly the Spurs have treated their dearth of legitimate big-man depth, and how much that has affected their defense anytime Wemby isn’t on the court. It’s easy to forget that the Spurs haven’t had a quality backup big since Jakob Poeltl was backing up LaMarcus Aldridge. That has got to change, especially with Wemby’s health a reasonable point of concern for now. Then again, they could take someone promising in the early 2nd like Rasheer Fleming (who in addition to being a great rebounder and shot-blocker, might be the most versatile big in the draft when it comes to playing the 4 or the 5), and I could make my peace with that depending what they might get for the 14th pick.
Douglas: Not in the slightest. In fact, I’d encourage it. I’d particularly be calling New Orleans to see if I could pry away the Milwaukee Bucks picks they own. Giannis Antetokounmpo may not be available this summer, but if he requests a trade, the Spurs should be sure they can provide the best offer. If they have some of Milwaukee’s draft assets, plus Harper, Castle, and other young pieces, they are clearly the leader to acquire the Greek Freak. Maybe it’s a pipe dream, but thinking about Wembanyama and Giannis together gets me excited!
By Jeje Gomez, Marilyn Dubinski, Mark Barrington, Devon Birdsong, via Pounding The Rock