By NBA Insiders | ESPN, 2025-06-02 19:20:00
由生成式人工智能翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
我们知道达拉斯独行侠已经声明，他们计划在6月25日的2025年NBA选秀大会上选择杜克大学前锋库珀·弗拉格 (Cooper Flagg)，并且不会考虑交易状元签来换取一位已经证明自己的超级球星的可能性。
但是，如果有一份交易报价摆在独行侠总经理尼科·哈里森 (Nico Harrison) 和球队老板帕特里克·杜蒙 (Patrick Dumont) 的办公桌上，至少迫使球队短暂地考虑一下这个选项……然后在拒绝之前呢？
在为期两天的选秀大会（两晚都在美国东部时间晚上8点于ABC和ESPN播出）不到一个月的时间里，我们正在研究弗拉格未来在职业赛场上的一些可能性。
在乐透抽签中获得状元签之前，达拉斯已经被认为是一支下赛季可以在西部具有竞争力的球队，但前提是他们拥有健康的阵容。而状元签的加入——这位过去一年里无可争议的头号新秀——只会加剧这种情况。
弗拉格将加入一支已经拥有13名上赛季合同球员的独行侠队，其中包括安东尼·戴维斯和拥有球员选项的凯里·欧文。欧文可能会因为三月份左膝前交叉韧带撕裂而缺席很长一段时间。
达拉斯有进行交易的灵活性——如果交易能够实现的话。除了六月份的状元签……
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独行侠队拥有洛杉矶湖人队2029年的无保护首轮选秀权，并且能够交易他们自己在2031年或2032年的首轮选秀权。他们还有10名球员的薪水在200万美元到1600万美元之间，包括克莱·汤普森、P.J. 华盛顿和丹尼尔·加福德。
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弗拉格可能会作为一位球星加入一支拥有众多天赋侧翼的独行侠队，但球队的薪资总额已经超过奢侈税线1700万美元，并且超过了两个工资帽上限。独行侠还拥有三个可以交易的首轮选秀权和两个次轮选秀权。
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还有一个问题是，球队老板是否会批准用像弗拉格这样的状元签来交易密尔沃基的扬尼斯·安特托昆博，以及他合同上剩余的两年。
我们邀请了我们的NBA内部人士（鲍比·马克斯、扎克·克拉姆、凯文·佩尔顿和安德烈·斯内林斯）为独行侠的状元签和选中弗拉格的权利提出潜在的交易方案。让我们深入研究这些交易，包括从选秀前达拉斯的情况开始。
跳转到球队：
达拉斯 | 圣安东尼奥 | 菲尼克斯
克利夫兰 | 洛杉矶湖人 | 芝加哥
保留状元签对独行侠未来的影响
5月12日，在独行侠赢得选择弗拉格的权利后几分钟，ESPN采访的球队高管们就在猜测，如果出现合适的交易，这个选秀权是否会被摆上货架。
考虑到哈里森在商业追求上的积极性，为什么不呢？
自从2021年6月接管篮球运营以来，哈里森已经进行了16次交易，并且一直在寻找合适的球员组合来赢得总冠军。最明显的例子莫过于今年二月用卢卡·东契奇交易来戴维斯。考虑到戴维斯还剩下三年的合同，这笔交易让独行侠进入了“赢在当下”模式。
但是，正如消息人士向ESPN证实的那样，独行侠计划选择弗拉格，并且不会考虑交易状元签来换取一位已经证明自己的超级球星的可能性。
虽然存在诱惑，特别是如果像安特托昆博这样的球员可以通过交易获得，但达拉斯的做法从阵容建设的角度来看是明智的。
在经济方面，弗拉格为期四年的新秀合同堪比一名自由球员签下非奢侈税中产特例。他第一年1380万美元的薪水低于球员的平均工资。
由于戴维斯和欧文下赛季都在球队阵容中，用弗拉格的薪水换取一名年薪超过5000万美元的球员毫无意义。
还有一个事实是，首轮选秀权在他们的原始合同到期后不会更换球队。独行侠可以在接下来的四个赛季以及额外的五年内与弗拉格签订合同。– 马克斯
方案一：马刺向上交易，打造未来锋线组合
达拉斯独行侠得到： 2025年榜眼签，2025年第14顺位选秀权，2027年亚特兰大老鹰队的首轮选秀权，归还独行侠2030年首轮互换权
圣安东尼奥马刺得到： 2025年状元签
这笔交易的最终目标是将弗拉格和维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama) 组合在一起，文班亚马是这十年里最受瞩目的状元秀。他们将成为新一代的蒂姆·邓肯和大卫·罗宾逊。尽管马刺队错失了赢得乐透抽签的机会，但他们拥有能够吸引达拉斯用状元签换榜眼签的资产。
在选秀大会上向上交易需要付出什么代价？2017年，费城76人队只需要向波士顿送出一个未来的首轮选秀权，就可以从第三顺位跳到第一顺位。但这在这里并不是一个特别有用的模型，因为当时的凯尔特人总经理丹尼·安吉并不像今年大家看待弗拉格那样看好2017年普遍认为是状元秀的马克尔·富尔茨。
因此，让我们重新创建一项较早的选秀交易，以构建马刺的报价。
1993年，勇士队送出了三个未来的首轮选秀权给奥兰多魔术队，以促成用探花秀安芬尼·哈达威 (Penny Hardaway)(孟菲斯大学) 交换状元秀克里斯·韦伯 (Chris Webber)(密歇根大学)。这听起来很合理，弗拉格取代了韦伯——像弗拉格一样，韦伯是一位在出色的大学生涯之后成为超级新秀的球员——迪伦·哈珀取代了哈达威，成为一名身材高大、充满活力的后卫。
为了弥合这两位新秀之间的差距，圣安东尼奥将送出三个选秀资产，以帮助达拉斯补充其相当贫瘠的选秀储备。独行侠将增加一个2025年选秀大会的乐透区末段选秀权，一个可能很有吸引力的2027年老鹰队无保护选秀权，以及归还他们自己的2030年互换权，该互换权最初是在将格兰特·威廉姆斯带到达拉斯的三方先签后换交易中发送给圣安东尼奥的。
这笔交易对圣安东尼奥来说非常有意义，他们可以建立他们未来的锋线——或许是将在可预见的未来统治NBA的锋线——同时不会失去他们自己的任何未来选秀权。只要独行侠喜欢哈珀（或Ace Bailey，或VJ Edgecombe，或2号位的任何其他选择），并且接近他们喜欢弗拉格的程度，那么这笔交易对他们来说也很有意义。– 克拉姆
方案二：骑士组建由弗拉格、莫布里和加兰组成的新星三人组
达拉斯独行侠得到： 后卫多诺万·米切尔，2031年首轮选秀权（来自湖人），2028年首轮互换权（来自湖人），2030年首轮互换权（来自湖人）
克利夫兰骑士得到： 2025年状元签，后卫杰文·卡特和加布·文森特，前锋马克西·克勒贝尔和P.J. 华盛顿，中锋丹尼尔·加福德
洛杉矶湖人得到： 中锋贾莱特·阿伦
芝加哥公牛得到： 前锋道尔顿·克内克特和卡勒布·马丁，2026年次轮选秀权（来自骑士），2027年次轮选秀权（来自掘金），2028年次轮选秀权（来自骑士）
用蝙蝠侠和乔治·科斯坦扎的话来说，“你想疯吗？来吧，我们疯一把。”为了追求弗拉格，骑士队真的会拆散一支取得NBA第二好战绩（64胜18负）的球队吗？当然不会，但如果克利夫兰认为输给印第安纳步行者队暴露了致命的缺陷，如果骑士队认为将球队重心放在23岁的埃文·莫布里身上是正确的应对之策，那么此举可以帮助所有相关者。
对于独行侠来说，米切尔比安特托昆博更合适，后者会挤占一个投篮受限的锋线。米切尔可以在下赛季取代欧文担任控球后卫，然后在欧文回归时滑到2号位。达拉斯还可以通过这笔交易获得湖人队的选秀资产，这是球队在东契奇交易中未能获得的，继续押注东契奇不会变老。
克利夫兰组建了由弗拉格、莫布里和达柳斯·加兰组成的新星三人组，他们都没有超过25岁。目前，由于球队的深度和防守，骑士队应该能够在东部保持竞争力。由弗拉格、莫布里和加福德或华盛顿组成的前场将成为NBA防守最好的前场之一，而将马克思·斯特鲁斯调整到后卫位置将使克利夫兰的后场拥有更大的体型。
由于这笔交易必须在6月30日米切尔的续约生效之前完成，并且他的薪水从3540万美元跃升至4640万美元，以避免触发独行侠在第一个工资帽上限上的硬工资帽，因此骑士队实际上无法节省2025-26赛季的奢侈税账单。但是他们收回的三份合同都将到期，这意味着在2026-27赛季可以节省大量资金。并且这些即将到期的协议应该可以使用克利夫兰剩余的首轮资产在未来的交易中进行交易（或延期支付）。
湖人队得到了他们长期以来想要的篮筐冲击型中锋阿伦，毫无疑问，就目前的价值而言，阿伦是他们可以获得最好的大个子。得到阿伦不仅让他们付出了选秀权、互换权和克内克特（他们试图将这些东西送给夏洛特黄蜂队以换取马克·威廉姆斯），还付出了第二次互换权。如果湖人能够像他们希望的那样围绕阿伦和东契奇进行建设，那么互换权无论如何都不应该实现。
最后，公牛队需要作为第四支球队，以确保其他三支球队中没有一支球队增加薪水，这将使他们在较低的奢侈税上限处受到硬工资帽的限制。芝加哥承担了马丁剩余的合同，以换取增加克内克特和骑士队所有可以交易的次轮选秀权。– 佩尔顿
方案三：独行侠获得布克和顶级内线深度
达拉斯独行侠得到： 德文·布克，2025年首轮选秀权（第29顺位），2028年首轮选秀权（自身、尼克斯和奇才队中顺位最低的），2029年首轮选秀权互换权（骑士、森林狼和爵士队中顺位最低的）
菲尼克斯太阳得到： 2025年状元签，克莱·汤普森，P.J. 华盛顿，纳吉·马歇尔和卡勒布·马丁
这个报价的前提——交易一位潜在的NBA超级巨星——是为了强调独行侠现在需要提高他们的阵容实力。东契奇换戴维斯的交易让独行侠进入了“赢在当下”模式，时间线与32岁的戴维斯和33岁的欧文联系在一起，因此，将未来换成现在对他们有好处。有了这些指导方针，交易布克将非常有意义。
独行侠的阵容已经拥有顶级的内线深度和一位常年的全明星控球后卫欧文，但可以需要另一位充满活力的外线球员。达拉斯需要一位能够在欧文缺席时领导球队的精英组织者，但在他回归时与他并肩作战。
布克来了，他在2021-22赛季入选了NBA最佳阵容一阵，并且正处于28岁的巅峰时期。一个健康的戴维斯、欧文和布克的阵容将能够立即争夺总冠军，即使戴维斯和欧文开始退出他们的巅峰时期，布克仍然将是球队的核心。此外，达拉斯还在本交易中获得了一些选秀考虑。
对于太阳队来说，这个休赛期感觉就像是一个准备改变一切并重建的球队。他们试图通过一支拥有三名纯得分手但没有足够的支持基础设施的球队来赢得胜利的尝试并没有产生红利，他们的工资帽情况站不住脚，并且他们已经交易了几个未来的选秀资产。
有传言称菲尼克斯将在今年休赛期交易凯文·杜兰特，如果太阳队在达成这笔交易之前这样做，他们可能会有更多的资产来增加对弗拉格的报价。就目前而言，获得弗拉格成为他们下一代球队基石的潜力将是惊人的价值，即使交易布克和所有他们可以转移的选秀考虑。
在假设杜兰特在选秀大会之前被交易的情况下，太阳队能够包括来自此类交易的潜在资产最有可能使他们能够提出比这里建议的更具竞争力的报价。– 斯内林斯
以及一项难以拒绝的交易……
马克斯挑选了最现实的交易，并解释了为什么这可能是可行的：
如果独行侠按照哈里森在交易得到戴维斯后所描述的两年到三年的时间线运作，那么米切尔和布克的交易最有意义。但是，当达拉斯赢得选秀抽签并获得选中文班这样一位有影响力的防守者和多才多艺的天才的权利时，同一时间线又延长了八年。
考虑到弗拉格的上限以及他与戴维斯的契合度，交易掉状元签肯定是有风险的。但是，独行侠后退一个顺位到第二顺位来选择哈珀，并获得三个额外的选秀资产，包括今年选秀大会上的另一个首轮选秀权，这是很难拒绝的。
请记住，凯尔特人队在2017年选秀大会上将状元签交易给了费城，并且他们随后在两个顺位之后选择了未来的六届全明星杰森·塔图姆。
更重要的是，来自亚特兰大（2027年）和湖人队（2029年）的两个无保护首轮选秀权使独行侠在安特托昆博或杜兰特等球员上市时处于领先地位。
点击查看原文：Potential trade offers for top 2025 draft pick Cooper Flagg
Potential trade offers for top 2025 draft pick Cooper Flagg
We know the Dallas Mavericks have said they plan to select Duke forward Cooper Flagg in the 2025 NBA draft on June 25 and will not entertain the possibility of trading away the No. 1 pick for a proven superstar.
But what if a trade offer landed on the desks of Mavericks general manager Nico Harrison and team governor Patrick Dumont that at least forced the organization to briefly consider the option … before saying no?
With less than a month before the two-day draft (both nights at 8 ET on ABC and ESPN), we are examining some of the possibilities for Flagg’s future in the pros.
Before landing the draft’s top spot in the lottery, Dallas was already labeled as a team that could contend in the Western Conference next season but only if it had a healthy roster. The addition of the No. 1 pick – a first-year talent who has been the uncontested top choice for the past year – has only heightened that.
Flagg would join a Mavericks team that has 13 players under contract from this past season’s roster, including Anthony Davis and Kyrie Irving, who has a player option. Irving is probably going to sit out an extended period of time as he recovers from a torn left ACL sustained in March.
Dallas has flexibility to make a trade – if one materializes. Besides the top pick in June …
– The Mavericks have the Los Angeles Lakers’ unprotected first in 2029 and the ability to trade their own first in either 2031 or 2032. They also have 10 players earning between $2 million and $16 million, including Klay Thompson, P.J. Washington and Daniel Gafford.
– Flagg could be entering as a star on a Mavericks roster that’s brimming with talented wings, but a franchise that is $17 million over the luxury tax and over both aprons. The Mavericks also have three tradeable first-round picks and two seconds.
– There is the question of whether ownership would approve trading a No. 1 pick such as Flagg for Milwaukee’s Giannis Antetokounmpo and the two years left on his contract.
We asked our NBA insiders (Bobby Marks, Zach Kram, Kevin Pelton and Andre Snellings) to come up with potential Flagg trades for the Mavericks’ top pick, and the right to draft Flagg. Let’s dig into the deals, including starting with how the situation in Dallas is looking before the draft.
Jump to a team:
Dallas | San Antonio | Phoenix
Cleveland | L.A. Lakers | Chicago
How keeping No. 1 pick plays into Mavs’ future
On May 12, minutes after the Mavericks won the right to select Flagg, there was speculation from team executives ESPN spoke to on whether the pick would be in play if a trade materialized.
Why wouldn’t it considering Harrison’s aggressive nature in business pursuits?
Since taking over basketball operations in June 2021, Harrison has made 16 trades and continually searched for the right combination of players to win a championship. None more evident than swapping out Luka Doncic for Davis this past February. The trade has the Mavericks in a win-now mode considering Davis has three years left on his contract.
But as sources confirmed to ESPN, the Mavericks plan to select Flagg and will not entertain the possibility of trading away the pick for a proven superstar.
While there is a temptation, especially if a player such as Antetokounmpo were available in a trade, the approach by Dallas is smart from a roster-building standpoint.
Financially, Flagg’s four-year rookie contract is comparable to a free agent signing the non-tax midlevel exception. His $13.8 million salary in Year 1 is below the average player salary.
With Davis and Irving on the roster next season, swapping out Flagg’s salary for a player earning more than $50 million makes little sense.
And then there is the realization that first-round picks do not change teams after their original contract expires. The Mavericks could have Flagg under contract for the next four seasons and an additional five. – Marks
Offer No. 1: Spurs move up to build frontcourt of the future
Dallas Mavericks get: 2025 No. 2 pick, 2025 No. 14 pick, 2027 Atlanta Hawks’ first-rounder, return of swap rights to Mavericks’ 2030 first-rounder
San Antonio Spurs get: 2025 No. 1 pick
The ultimate goal of this trade is to pair Flagg and Victor Wembanyama, the most-hyped No. 1 pick of the decade. They would be Tim Duncan and David Robinson for a new generation. And although the Spurs just missed out on winning the lottery, they have the assets that might entice Dallas to swap No. 1 for No. 2.
What should it cost to move up at the top of the draft? In 2017, the Philadelphia 76ers needed to send only a single future first-rounder to Boston to jump from No. 3 to No. 1. But that’s not an especially useful model here, because then-Celtics GM Danny Ainge didn’t view Markelle Fultz, the consensus top prospect in 2017, as favorably as everyone views Flagg this year.
So let’s recreate an older draft trade to build the Spurs’ offer.
In 1993, the Warriors sent three future firsts to the Orlando Magic to facilitate a swap of No. 3 pick Penny Hardaway (Memphis) for No. 1 pick Chris Webber (Michigan). That sounds about right here, with Flagg filling in for Webber – who, like Flagg, was a mega-prospect coming off a standout college career – and Dylan Harper filling in for Hardaway as a big, dynamic guard.
To bridge the gap between the prospects, San Antonio would send three draft assets to help Dallas replenish its rather barren draft hoard. The Mavericks would add a late lottery pick in the 2025 draft, a potentially attractive unprotected Hawks pick in 2027 and a return of their own 2030 swap rights, which they’d initially sent to San Antonio in the three-team sign-and-trade deal that brought Grant Williams to Dallas.
This trade would make a ton of sense for San Antonio, which could establish its frontcourt of the future – and, perhaps, the frontcourt that would dominate the NBA for the foreseeable future – while not losing any of its own future draft selections. And as long as the Mavericks like Harper (or Ace Bailey, or VJ Edgecombe, or any other options at No. 2) anywhere close to as much as they like Flagg, this swap would also make a ton of sense for them. – Kram
Offer No. 2: Cavs form new star trio in Flagg, Mobley and Garland
Dallas Mavericks get: Guard Donovan Mitchell, 2031 first-round pick (via Lakers), 2028 first-round swap (via Lakers), 2030 first-round swap (via Lakers)
Cleveland Cavaliers get: 2025 No. 1 pick, guards Jevon Carter and Gabe Vincent, forwards Maxi Kleber and P.J. Washington, center Daniel Gafford
Los Angeles Lakers get: Center Jarrett Allen
Chicago Bulls get: Forwards Dalton Knecht and Caleb Martin, 2026 second-round pick (via Cavaliers), 2027 second-round pick (via Nuggets), 2028 second-round pick (via Cavaliers)
To quote Batman and George Costanza, “You want to get nuts? Come on, let’s get nuts.” Would the Cavaliers actually break up a team that posted the NBA’s second-best record (64-18) in pursuit of Flagg? Surely not, but if Cleveland believed that the loss to the Indiana Pacers exposed fatal flaws and if the Cavaliers felt recentering the roster around 23-year-old Evan Mobley was the right response, this move could help everyone involved.
For the Mavericks, Mitchell is a better fit than Antetokounmpo, who would crowd a frontcourt limited on shooting. Mitchell could start next season at point guard in place of Irving, then slide to the 2 when Irving returns. Dallas also comes out of this trade with the Lakers’ draft assets the team failed to collect in the Doncic deal, continuing to bet against how Doncic will age.
Cleveland builds a new trio of stars with Flagg, Mobley and Darius Garland, none of them older than age 25. For now, the Cavaliers should be able to remain competitive in the East thanks to depth and defense. A frontcourt of Flagg, Mobley and either Gafford or Washington would be one of the NBA’s best on defense, while sliding Max Strus to guard would give Cleveland more size in the backcourt.
Because this trade must be completed by June 30 before Mitchell’s extension kicks in and his salary jumps from $35.4 million to $46.4 million to avoid triggering a hard cap for the Mavericks at the first apron, the Cavaliers can’t actually save much on their 2025-26 luxury tax bill. But three of the contracts they’re taking back are expiring, meaning massive savings in 2026-27. And those expiring pacts should be movable (or stretchable) in future deals using Cleveland’s remaining first-round assets.
The Lakers get their long-desired rim-running center in Allen, undoubtedly the best big man available to them in terms of current value. Getting Allen costs them not only the pick, swap and Knecht (what they tried to send the Charlotte Hornets for Mark Williams), but also a second swap. If the Lakers can build around Allen and Doncic like they hope, that swap shouldn’t convey anyway.
Lastly, the Bulls are needed as a fourth team to ensure none of the other three teams adds salary in this deal, which would hard cap them at the lower luxury tax apron. Chicago takes on the remainder of Martin’s contract in exchange for adding Knecht and all of the Cavaliers’ tradeable second-round picks. – Pelton
Offer No. 3: Mavs pick up Booker and elite big-man depth
Dallas Mavericks get: Devin Booker, 2025 first-rounder (No. 29), 2028 first-rounder (least favorable of own, Knicks and Wizards), 2029 first-round pick swap (least favorable of Cavs, Timberwolves and Jazz)
Phoenix Suns get: 2025 No. 1 pick, Klay Thompson, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall and Caleb Martin
The premise of this offer – trading a potential NBA megastar – is to underscore the Mavericks’ need to improve their roster now. The Doncic-for-Davis trade put the Mavericks in win-now mode anyhow, with a timeline tied around Davis, 32, and Irving, 33, so it would behoove them to trade the future for the now. With those guidelines in place, trading for Booker would make a lot of sense.
The Mavericks, as constructed, have elite big-man depth and a perennial All-Star point guard in Irving but could use another dynamic perimeter presence on the wing. Dallas will need an elite playmaker who can lead the team while Irving is out, but play next to him when he returns.
Enter Booker, who was a first-team All-NBA shooting guard in 2021-22, and is squarely in his prime at 28 years old. A healthy core of Davis, Irving and Booker would be able to contend for championships immediately, and Booker would remain a centerpiece even as Davis and Irving start to age out of their primes. Add on that Dallas also gets some draft considerations in this deal.
For the Suns, this offseason has the feel of a franchise that’s ready to change everything and rebuild. Their attempt to win with a team featuring three pure scorers without enough supporting infrastructure didn’t yield dividends, their salary cap situation is untenable and they have already traded away several future draft assets.
It has been widely rumored that Phoenix will trade Kevin Durant this offseason as well, and if the Suns were to do that deal before this one, they might have more assets to sweeten the offer for Flagg. As is, getting Flagg’s potential to be their franchise cornerstone for the next generation would be amazing value, even dealing Booker and all of the draft considerations they could move.
In the hypothetical scenario in which Durant is moved before the draft, the Suns being able to include potential assets from such a deal would most likely allow them to make a more competitive offer than what is being suggested here. – Snellings
And the one trade that is hard to pass on …
Marks picks most realistic of the trades and explains why or why not this could be feasible:
The Mitchell and Booker trades make the most sense if the Mavericks were operating on a two-to-three-year timeline that Harrison described after trading for Davis. But, that same timeline expanded an extra eight years when Dallas won the draft lottery and the right to draft an impactful defender and versatile talent in Flagg.
Trading out of the first pick is certainly a risk considering Flagg’s upside and his fit alongside Davis. But the Mavs moving back one slot to No. 2 to draft Harper and picking up three additional draft assets, including another first in this year’s lottery, is hard to pass.
Remember, the Celtics traded the No. 1 pick to Philadelphia in the 2017 draft, and they would go on to select future six-time All-Star Jayson Tatum two slots later.
More importantly, the two unprotected firsts from Atlanta (2027) and the Lakers (2029) put the Mavericks in the front of the line if a player such as Antetokounmpo or Durant becomes available.
By NBA Insiders | ESPN, via ESPN