[PtR] 扬尼斯·阿德托昆博加盟马刺,理论上诱人,实际上不太可能

By Jeje Gomez | Pounding The Rock (PtR), 2025-05-15 09:44:47

由生成式人工智能翻译,译文内容可能不准确或不完整,以原文为准。

NBA:圣安东尼奥马刺队对阵密尔沃基雄鹿队

“希腊怪物”穿上银黑战袍会很棒,但追求他将会是那种昂贵且冒险的举动,而这通常是马刺队会避免的。

马刺队在选秀中向上交易,现在拥有第二顺位选秀权和第14顺位选秀权。在连续获得年度最佳新秀之后,他们可以利用这两个选秀权继续增加优秀的年轻天赋,并耐心地继续他们的重返争冠行列的征程。

当然,还有另一种选择。圣安东尼奥在交易得到德阿隆·福克斯(De’Aaron Fox)后还剩下一些资产,但没有一项能像专家们所说的可能产生几位球星的选秀中的第二顺位选秀权那样诱人。而且有一位超级球星在休赛期有可能转会。所以问题是,如果扬尼斯·阿德托昆博(Giannis Antetokounmpo)真的提出交易申请,马刺队是否应该追求他?毕竟现在他们拥有能够赢得竞标战的筹码。

这比表面上看起来要复杂得多,原因有很多,但扬尼斯的适配性并不是其中之一。“希腊怪物”已经30岁了,虽然他的运动能力衰退可能会导致他不再优雅,但我们还没有看到任何迹象表明这种情况会很快发生。他还开发出了一种中距离跳投,这为他提供了一种额外的武器,可以避免他其他身体对抗带来的损耗。而且,通过与福克斯和维克托·文班亚马(Victor Wembanyama)并肩作战,他不必在常规赛中消耗太多精力。在进攻端,他可以与文班打挡拆配合,既可以作为持球人,也可以作为顺下者,而文班的三分球可以让他在场上拉开空间,让扬尼斯尽情发挥。在防守端,文班-扬尼斯的组合简直太可怕了,难以想象。如果马刺队得到他,他们将立即成为争冠球队。

问题在于价格。这就是为一位超级球星做出重大举动所面临的难题。对于送走联盟最佳球员之一的球队来说,交易必须有意义,回报必须是巨大的。但如果得到超级球星的球队送出几名优秀的球员和资产,他们就会限制自己的深度和灵活性。管理层是否愿意放弃,比如德文·瓦塞尔(Devin Vassell)、斯蒂芬·卡斯尔(Stephon Castle)、杰里米·索汉(Jeremy Sochan)、今年选秀中的两个选秀权,以及额外的资产?因为如果雄鹿队仅仅专注于优先考虑回报,而不是为了感谢扬尼斯赢得总冠军而确保他能去一个好的地方,他们可能会要价很高。其他球队也可以为他提供很棒的报价。圣安东尼奥可以赢得这场竞标战,但这可能会付出高昂的代价。

扬尼斯是一位罕见的超级球星,他会在不久的将来大大提高得到他的球队的实力,以至于在大多数情况下,负面权衡是可以接受的。即使圣安东尼奥送出大部分年轻人才,他们仍然会拥有一套假定的首发阵容:福克斯、朱利安·尚帕尼(Julian Champagnie)、哈里森·巴恩斯(Harrison Barnes)、扬尼斯和文班,凯尔登·约翰逊(Keldon Johnson)将从替补席上站出来,还有一名使用中产特例签下的老将。这至少是一支能赢50场比赛的球队。在这种情况下,马刺队仍然有足够的额外资产来避免像太阳队,以及更著名的篮网队那样完全透支他们的未来,但他们需要精明地管理他们的资源,否则可能会因为他们的两名关键球员开始老化而变得头重脚轻。

有一些需要注意的地方,但如果扬尼斯真的提出交易申请,那么支持进行交易的理由并不难成立。问题是,这看起来不像马刺队会采取的行动。这支球队往往只有在感觉绝对必要或情况有利时才会采取大的行动。在过去几十年中,我们看到的最大限度地争取胜利的交易都发生在看起来升级对于保持竞争力至关重要的时期。否则,管理层会选择耐心、连续性和机会主义。如果扬尼斯说他想去圣安东尼奥,就像福克斯所做的那样,决策者肯定会利用这种影响力来尝试实现它。考虑到价格、风险以及球队决策者在这些问题上的谨慎历史,很难想象马刺队会积极追求他。

好消息是,替代方案几乎和潜在地增加一位前五球员一样令人兴奋。马刺队可以简单地利用选秀中的第二顺位选秀权来增加另一位潜力巨大的新秀。他们有福克斯作为他们目前的主要外线选择,文班亚马作为他们的核心,并且有足够的深度、资产和灵活性来进行微调。如果一切顺利,圣安东尼奥应该能够立即成为一支季后赛球队,并且有足够的弹药在赛季中或明年夏天采取行动。不用着急。

扬尼斯穿上银黑战袍会很棒,将他与文班亚马配对的想法也很诱人。至少根据我们现在掌握的信息来看,这也不太可能发生。幸运的是,即使需要更长的时间,如果马刺队继续走目前的道路,他们仍然应该在重返争冠行列的道路上稳步前进。

点击查看原文:Giannis Antetokounmpo to the Spurs is tantalizing in theory but unlikely in practice

Giannis Antetokounmpo to the Spurs is tantalizing in theory but unlikely in practice

NBA: San Antonio Spurs at Milwaukee Bucks

The Greek Freak would look great in Silver and Black, but going for him would be the type of pricey and risky move the Spurs normally avoid.

The Spurs moved up in the draft and now own the second overall pick along with the 14th pick. They could use both selections to continue to add great young talent after getting back-to-back Rookies of the Year and carry on their march back to contention patiently.

There is, of course, another option. San Antonio had some assets left after trading for De’Aaron Fox, but none as enticing as the second overall pick in a draft that experts say could yield several stars. And there’s one superstar that could realistically be on the move in the offseason. So the question is, should the Spurs go after Giannis Antetokounmpo if he does ask out now that they have something that could win them the bidding war?

It’s a more complex answer than it might seem on the surface for a variety of factors, but Antetokounmpo’s fit is not one of them. The Greek Freak is 30 years old, and while it’s possible he doesn’t age gracefully as his athleticism wanes, we have seen no signs that this will happen anytime soon. He’s also developed a mid-range jumper that gives him an extra weapon to use to avoid the wear-and-tear from his otherwise physical game, and by playing next to De’Aaron Fox and Victor Wembanyama, he wouldn’t have to exert himself as much during the regular season. On offense, he could work the pick-and-roll with Wemby as both the ball handler and dive man, and Vic has a three-pointer that would allow him to space the floor so Giannis can cook. Defensively, the Wemby-Giannis duo is almost too terrifying to imagine. The Spurs would turn into an immediate contender if they got him.

The problem is the price. It’s the conundrum that comes with making a huge move for a superstar. For a trade to make sense for the team sending out one of the best players in the league, the haul has to be huge. But if the franchise receiving the superstar sends out several quality players and assets, they limit their depth and flexibility. Would the front office be willing to part ways with, say, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Jeremy Sochan, the two picks from this draft, plus extra assets? Because the Bucks could ask for a lot if they focus solely on prioritizing the return instead of making sure Giannis lands in a good situation as a thank you for the championship, and other teams could put together great packages for him. There would be a bidding war that San Antonio could win, but it would likely get pricey.

Antetokounmpo is the rare superstar who would improve whoever lands him so much in the near future that the negative tradeoffs would be acceptable in most situations. Even if San Antonio sends out most of its young talent, they would still be left with a presumptive starting lineup of Fox, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, Giannis and Wemby, with Keldon Johnson coming off the bench along with a veteran signed using the mid-level exception. That’s, at worst, a 50-win team. In a scenario like that one, the Spurs would still have enough extra assets to avoid completely mortgaging their future like the Suns and, more famously, the Nets did in the past, but they would need to be savvy about managing their resources going forward or risk becoming too top-heavy as two of their key pieces start to age out.

There are caveats, but it’s not hard to make a case for pursuing a trade if Giannis does ask out. The problem is that it just doesn’t seem like a move the Spurs would make. The franchise tends to only swing big when it feels it’s absolutely necessary or the circumstances are favorable. The biggest win-now trades we’ve seen in the last decades came at times when it looked like an upgrade was essential to remain in contention. Otherwise, the front office has opted for patience, continuity, and opportunism. If Giannis says he wants to land in San Antonio, like Fox did, the decision-makers would surely use that leverage to try to make it happen. It’s just hard to imagine the Spurs aggressively pursuing him otherwise, considering the price, the risk, and the team’s shot callers’ history of caution in these matters.

The good news is that the alternative path is almost as exciting as potentially adding a top-5 player. The Spurs can simply use the second overall pick in the draft to add another high-upside prospect. They have Fox in place to be their main perimeter option for now, Wembanyama as their centerpiece, and enough depth, assets, and flexibility to make tweaks on the margins. If things go reasonably well, San Antonio should be a playoff team immediately with the ammo to make a move in-season or next summer. There is no rush.

Giannis would look great in Silver and Black, and the idea of pairing him with Wembanyama is tantalizing. It’s also unlikely to happen, at least going by the information we have now. Fortunately, the Spurs should still make steady progress in their return to contention if they stay on their current path, even if it takes longer.

By Jeje Gomez, via Pounding The Rock