By Devon Birdsong | Pounding The Rock (PtR), 2025-04-11 15:00:00
由生成式人工智能翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
马刺和太阳在赛季末的彩票机上又一次博弈
各位，我得跟你们坦白。这场比赛的结果完全无法预测。
我已经写过很多比赛前瞻了。八个赛季的前瞻。在这八个赛季以各种身份报道这支球队的过程中，我很少像现在这样，在预测结果时如此茫然。
当然，也有一些时候我兴致缺缺，所以对预测结果毫无兴趣。但如果有人拿枪指着我的头，我至少还能试着猜一下。
但这次不一样。我真的毫无头绪。就算有人威胁要伤害我，我也不会为这场比赛下注。如果我是庄家，我干脆就关门歇业了。
变数实在太多了。
一方面，太阳队正以一种令人叹为观止的方式螺旋式下降。他们已经连输了八场。尽管他们很少能让三位进攻核心同时上场，但他们的进攻效率仍然排在联盟第12位。他们的真实投篮命中率排名第5，有效投篮命中率排名第6，助攻率排名第6，助攻比率排名第5，三分球命中率排名第3，三分球命中数排名第7。
然而，他们本赛季的净效率值却是负数。事实上，他们全队的净效率值甚至低于圣安东尼奥。他们的防守已经烂到这种程度了。
他们的防守效率排名第27，对手有效投篮命中率排名第24，对手失误率排名第28，对手快攻得分排名第26，对手利用失误得分排名第20，自身失误排名第29，允许对手的罚球次数排名第19。
太阳队场均得113.8分，失117分。
很少有球队在同一个赛季中，进攻如此天赋异禀，防守又如此糟糕，即使我们把范围限定在菲尼克斯太阳队的历史上，这也很罕见。
另一方面，马刺队在过去十场左右的比赛中，给强队制造了不少麻烦。他们两次把骑士队逼到了极限，击败了勇士队和掘金队，并且与凯尔特人队和快船队打得有来有回。
即使在一个注定失败的赛季末，这支球队仍然有荣誉感和胆识。
然而，马刺现在需要在最后两场比赛中输掉一场，以保持他们目前的乐透抽签概率。而太阳队需要结束漫长的连败，哪怕只是为了保住理智。
然而，在终于无缘季后赛之后，太阳队可能会选择彻底摆烂。球迷和作家们已经赞成这样的决定。在这一点上，减少受伤的风险似乎是个好主意。
如果菲尼克斯没有把他们的首轮选秀权欠给休斯顿火箭队，也许这会是一个好主意。太阳队仍然有机会通过一两场胜利来降低休斯顿的选秀顺位。
当然，也有传言说受伤的凯文·杜兰特(Kevin Durant)可能会在赛季末的比赛中出场。据推测，这是为了提高他的交易价值，这需要这位有史以来最伟大的NBA得分手之一拿出最佳状态，这似乎也会改变赔率。
两队都可能为了荣誉而战。两队也都可能直接放弃。
我很容易想象这样一种情景：马刺队把他们仅剩的一场胜利留到本赛季的最后一场比赛中。我也很容易想象这样一种情景：太阳队撤下他们所有的球星。
我甚至能想象这样一种情景：一颗小行星随机撞击地球，把一切都送回中生代，比赛由真正挥舞篮球的迅猛龙进行。这会多么酷啊？！
你知道他们怎么说：每当一颗小行星撞击地球，就会有一个自闭症患者长出翅膀。
无论如何，看在上帝的份上，请不要在这场比赛上下注。老实说，我甚至不确定你是否应该观看它。这个想法本身就令人不安。如果我长时间盯着这样的比赛，我担心我会失明。
这就是为什么我要让我的老朋友比尔·肖宁(Bill Schoening)来替我做这件事，为了纪念过去的美好时光。
我建议你也这样做。
圣安东尼奥马刺 vs. 菲尼克斯太阳
2025年4月11日 | 中部时间晚上9:00
观看：KENS5 | 收听：WOAI (1200 AM)
马刺伤病： 维克托·文班亚马(Victor Wembanyama) - 缺席（再生怪兽），达隆·福克斯(DeAaron Fox) - 缺席（手部），杰里米·索汉(Jeremy Sochan) - 每日观察（背部）
太阳伤病： 尼克·理查兹(Nick Richards) - 每日观察（肘部），凯文·杜兰特(Kevin Durant) - 每日观察（自尊）
关于太阳队球迷的观点，请访问Bright Side Of The Sun。
PtR的比赛讨论帖将于今晚发布，供那些想在比赛中聊天的人使用。你也可以通过 PtR的Twitter账号 关注比赛的进展。
点击查看原文：Game Preview: San Antonio Spurs vs. Phoenix Suns
Game Preview: San Antonio Spurs vs. Phoenix Suns
The Spurs and the Suns take another pull on the end-of-season slot machine
I’m going to be straight with you, folks. There’s absolutely no telling how this is going to go.
I’ve written a lot of previews at this point. Eight seasons worth of previews. And in eight seasons of covering the team in one capacity or another, I’ve rarely been at such a loss when it comes to predicting an outcome.
Sure, there have been times where I’ve been deeply uninvested and therefore uninterested in predicting an outcome. But if you’d put a gun to my head, I would have been able to at least hazard a guess.
Not so on this occasion. I genuinely have no clue. You couldn’t get me to put odds on this contest under threat of bodily harm. If I were bookie, I would simply close up shop.
There are simply too many variables.
On the one hand, the Suns are spiraling in a way that’s almost awe inspiring. They’ve lost eight games in a row. They’re 12th in the league in offensive rating in spite of rarely having all three of their offensive stars available. They’re 5th in True Shooting Percentage, 6th in Effective Field Goal Percentage, 6th in Assist Percentage, 5th in assist ratio, 3rd in 3pt Percentage, and 7th in 3-Pointers Made.
And yet, they have a negative net rating for the season. In fact, their net rating as a team is lower than San Antonio’s. That’s how bad their defense has been.
They’re 27th in Defensive Rating, 24th in Effective Field Goal Percentage Allowed to Opponents, 28th in Opponent Turnover Percentage, 26th in Opponent Fast Break Points, 20th in Points Allowed to Opponents Off Turnovers, 29th in Turnovers Forced, and 19th in Free Throws Allowed.
The Suns score 113.8 points per game. They allow 117 per game.
Rarely has a team been so offensively gifted and so defensively abysmal in the same season, even if we limited the scope to just the history of the Phoenix Suns, and that’s saying something.
The Spurs, on the other hand, have been giving good teams hell over the last ten games or so. They’ve pushed the Cavaliers to the max twice, beaten the Warriors and Nuggets, and kept it close against the Celtics and Clippers.
The team has pride and moxie, even at the end of a lost season.
However, the Spurs now need to lose one their last two games to keep their current lottery odds. And the Suns need to snap a lengthy losing streak, for sanity’s sake if nothing else.
And yet, having finally been eliminated from the postseason, the Suns may opt to shut it all down. Fans and writers are already in favor of such a decision. Limiting the chance for injury seems like a good idea at this point.
And maybe it would be, if not for Phoenix owing their 1st round pick to the Houston Rockets. The Suns still have a chance to worsen Houston’s odds with a win or two.
And, of course, there’s been some stirring about the injured Kevin Durant potentially playing in the final contests of the season. Presumptively to help his trade value, which necessitates top-form performances from one of the greatest NBA scorers of all time, and that feels like that might also shift the odds.
Both teams might play for pride. Both might pack it in.
I can easily see a scenario where the Spurs save their one remaining win for the last game of the season. I can also easily see a scenario where the Suns pull all of their stars.
I can even see a scenario where an asteroid randomly collides with the earth, sends everything back to the Mesozoic Era, and the game is played by actual basketball-wielding raptors. How cool would that be?!
You know what they say: every time an asteroid hits an autist gets their wings.
In any case, for the love of all that’s holy, please do not bet on this game. I’m honestly not sure you should even watch it. The very concept is upsetting. If I look at something like that for too long, I’m worried I’ll go blind.
That’s why I’m going to let good ‘ol Bill Schoening do it for me, for old time’s sake.
I suggest you do the same.
San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns
April 11th, 2025 | 9:00 CT
Watch: KENS5 | Listen: WOAI (1200 AM)
Spurs Injuries: Victor Wembanyama - Out (Regenerating Kaiju), DeAaron Fox - Out (Hand), Jeremy Sochan - Day-to-Day (Back)
Suns Injuries: Nick Richards - Day-to-Day (Elbow), Kevin Durant - Day-to-Day (Pride)
For the Suns’ fans’ perspective, please visit Bright Side Of The Sun.
PtR’s Game thread will be up this evening for those who want to chat through the game. You can also follow along with the action through PtR’s Twitter feed.
By Devon Birdsong, via Pounding The Rock