By Bobby Marks | ESPN, 2025-04-07 19:00:00
由生成式人工智能翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
如果达拉斯独行侠将卢卡·东契奇(Luka Doncic)摆上货架，让其他 29 支球队都可以参与竞价，会发生什么？
2 月 2 日的凌晨，当 NBA 世界还在消化将东契奇送往洛杉矶湖人，而安东尼·戴维斯(Anthony Davis)前往达拉斯的重磅交易时，联盟中的各支球队高管都在思考这个问题。湖人是独行侠总经理尼科·哈里森(Nico Harrison)唯一与之商讨交易的球队。
为了回答这个问题，我们研究了那些没有得到东契奇的球队，并构建了 28 个独立的——并且是假设性的——关于这位五次入选全 NBA 阵容的后卫的交易框架，以及总经理罗勃·佩林卡(Rob Pelinka)和湖人队还能提供什么。
这个设想有很多前提条件。
第一个也是最重要的一个前提是，独行侠和湖人之间的交易对话是复杂的，并且建立在保密的基础上。这笔交易之所以发生的一个重要原因是，没有出现关于东契奇交易流言的那种“马戏团”式的氛围。如果他可以被其他 28 支球队得到，这笔交易很可能会失败。
“如果消息泄露出去，而交易没有发生，这对教练组与球队所取得的进展是非常不公平的，”湖人队老板珍妮·巴斯(Jeannie Buss)在 2 月份表示，“因为这会造成巨大的干扰。”
第二个前提条件侧重于工资帽和工资帽线的复杂性。在交易发生时，湖人队的工资总额比第二道工资帽线低 350 万美元，不允许在交易中接回额外的工资。另一方面，独行侠队的工资总额比第一道工资帽线低 52.6 万美元，并且需要戴维斯放弃他 510 万美元的交易奖金。（在下面的交易场景中，我们采用与 2 月 1 日独行侠和其他 29 支球队相同的工资帽限制和阵容。）
最后，我们考虑到东契奇可能会在 2026 年夏天成为自由球员，可能不会与他的新球队续约。因此，一些重建球队的假设性交易方案被削弱了。
哪些球队的管理层会全力以赴，用球员和选秀权来赌一把，即使东契奇只会在他们的阵容中待 17 个月？哪些超级球星会被摆上货架供达拉斯选择？如果哈里森和独行侠有 29 个报价摆在桌面上，他们会选择哪个交易？
为了找到答案，让我们回到可以说是有史以来最令人震惊的交易的前夜。
跳转到卢卡的交易方案：
ATL | BOS | BKN | CHA | CHI
CLE | DEN | DET | GS | HOU
IND | LAC | MEM | MIA | MIL | MIN
NO | NY | OKC | ORL | PHI | PHX
POR | SAC | SA | TOR | UTAH | WAS
卢卡的交易
洛杉矶湖人
他们交易了：
安东尼·戴维斯
马克斯·克里斯蒂(Max Christie)
2029 年无保护首轮选秀权
他们本可以提供的：
安东尼·戴维斯
奥斯汀·里夫斯(Austin Reaves)
2029 年无保护首轮选秀权
2030 年首轮互换权
2031 年无保护首轮选秀权
前独行侠队大股东马克·库班(Mark Cuban)表示，球队应该从湖人那里得到更多。
“如果独行侠要交易卢卡，这是一回事，”库班上个月告诉达拉斯的 ABC 下属电视台 WFAA，“那就达成一笔更好的交易。我不是对安东尼·戴维斯不敬，但我仍然坚信，如果我们得到四个无保护的首轮选秀权以及安东尼·戴维斯和马克斯·克里斯蒂，那么情况就会大不相同。”
因为洛杉矶欠亚特兰大 2025 年的首轮选秀权和犹他 2027 年的首轮选秀权（前 4 顺位保护），他们最多只能送出两个首轮选秀权。
为了达到库班所说的四个首轮选秀权，达拉斯需要通过单独交易奥斯汀·里夫斯来换取两个未来的首轮选秀权。
“对我来说，不解散球队真的很重要，”巴斯说。
对达拉斯最好的报价
如果达拉斯确实与其他球队进行了交易谈判，那么有两支球队拥有最佳的交易方案类型——即战力球员和选秀权——这可以完成交易。
克利夫兰骑士
他们本可以提供的：
达柳斯·加兰(Darius Garland)
贾莱特·阿伦(Jarrett Allen)
2031 年无保护首轮选秀权
骑士队交易得到东契奇存在风险和回报。回报是，东契奇-多诺万·米切尔(Donovan Mitchell)立即成为 NBA 最好的后场组合，而这支球队已经领先东部联盟。风险是什么？赛季中的交易扰乱了球队在球队历史上最好赛季之一的化学反应。在二换一的交易中失去阿伦也会让克利夫兰的前场变得薄弱。
注意：因为送出了价值 5700 万美元的薪水，达拉斯会将中锋马克西·克莱贝尔(Maxi Kleber)包括在交易中。
休斯顿火箭
他们本可以提供的：
狄龙·布鲁克斯(Dillon Brooks)
里德·谢泼德(Reed Sheppard)
小贾巴里·史密斯(Jabari Smith Jr.)
2025 年无保护首轮选秀权（来自菲尼克斯）
2027 年无保护首轮选秀权（来自菲尼克斯）
火箭队拥有球员和选秀权来进行重磅交易，并且仍然有足够的剩余力量来组建一支有竞争力的球队。在这笔交易中，东契奇将加入弗雷德·范弗利特(Fred VanVleet)、杰伦·格林(Jalen Green)、阿门·汤普森(Amen Thompson)、塔里·伊森(Tari Eason)和阿尔佩伦·申京(Alperen Sengun)的新首发五人组。休斯顿仍然有五个可以交易的首轮选秀权可用于另一笔交易。
全明星后卫的互换
如果有机会得到东契奇，是否应该交易特雷·杨(Trae Young)、拉梅洛·鲍尔(LaMelo Ball)或詹姆斯·哈登(James Harden)？这是接下来的三支球队各自要考虑的问题。
亚特兰大老鹰
他们本可以提供的：
特雷·杨
奥涅卡·奥孔武(Onyeka Okongwu)
2025 年无保护首轮选秀权（来自湖人）
2029 年无保护首轮选秀权
在 2018 年选秀大会上，东契奇和杨互相交易，这当然具有讽刺意味。现在的挑战在于如何向东契奇推销一支包括 2024 年状元秀扎卡里·里萨谢(Zaccharie Risacher)和年度最佳防守球员候选人戴森·丹尼尔斯(Dyson Daniels)的球队。
老鹰队在 2028 年之前无法控制自己的首轮选秀权，但他们可以包括 2025 年来自湖人的无保护首轮选秀权和他们自己在 2029 年的首轮选秀权。
夏洛特黄蜂
他们本可以提供的：
拉梅洛·鲍尔
马克·威廉姆斯(Mark Williams)
2027 年首轮选秀权
2027 年前 14 顺位保护首轮选秀权（来自夏洛特；如果未兑现，则在 2028 年无保护）
黄蜂队是另一支拥有年轻球员（鲍尔、威廉姆斯、布兰登·米勒(Brandon Miller)、蒂贾尼·萨劳恩(Tidjane Salaun)）和首轮选秀权（五个可以交易）的重建球队，可以提出有竞争力的报价。但是，交易后的黄蜂队会留下东契奇与米勒、萨劳恩和 6 月份可能的乐透区首轮选秀权组成的阵容。这足以让他在这个夏天做出长期承诺吗？
洛杉矶快船
他们本可以提供的：
詹姆斯·哈登
泰伦斯·曼(Terance Mann)
2030 年首轮互换权
2031 年无保护首轮选秀权
哈登-凯里·欧文(Kyrie Irving)在达拉斯重聚？如果快船队选择不包括科怀·伦纳德(Kawhi Leonard)或诺曼·鲍威尔(Norman Powell)、曼和 PJ·塔克(PJ Tucker)的组合，那么这将是一个选择。（快船队没有其他球队拥有的选秀资产，并且在 2031 年之前不允许交易自己的首轮选秀权。）
超级巨星后场搭档
活塞队已经拥有球星后卫凯德·坎宁安(Cade Cunningham)；金州勇士队也是如此，他们拥有斯蒂芬·库里(Stephen Curry)。但这并不意味着每支球队都不会抓住机会得到东契奇。
底特律活塞
他们本可以提供的：
托拜厄斯·哈里斯(Tobias Harris)
奥萨尔·汤普森(Ausar Thompson)
罗恩·霍兰德二世(Ron Holland II)
2027 年无保护首轮选秀权
2029 年无保护首轮选秀权
交易得到东契奇巩固了活塞队今年和明年在东部排名前六的地位，但这能让他们更接近克利夫兰、波士顿和纽约吗？活塞队在深度上受到了打击，但东契奇与坎宁安组成了后场搭档。这对年轻后卫的组合，再加上年度最佳教练的竞争者 J.B. 比克斯塔夫(J.B. Bickerstaff)，足以让东契奇考虑签约吗？
金州勇士
他们本可以提供的：
安德鲁·威金斯(Andrew Wiggins)
乔纳森·库明加(Jonathan Kuminga)
布兰丁·波杰姆斯基(Brandin Podziemski)
加里·佩顿二世(Gary Payton II)
2025 年无保护首轮选秀权
2026 年首轮互换权
2027 年无保护首轮选秀权
2030 年首轮选秀权（如果 1-20 顺位）
卢卡和斯蒂芬。这是金州勇士队送往迈阿密换取吉米·巴特勒(Jimmy Butler)的交易的放大版。在这里，包括库明加和波杰姆斯基，以及三个首轮选秀权和一个互换权。
印第安纳步行者
他们本可以提供的：
迈尔斯·特纳(Myles Turner)
本内迪克特·马图林(Bennedict Mathurin)
阿隆·内史密斯(Aaron Nesmith)
奥比·托平(Obi Toppin)
2028 年无保护首轮选秀权
2030 年无保护首轮选秀权
步行者队不会包括泰瑞斯·哈利伯顿(Tyrese Haliburton)，这位全 NBA 阵容的后卫与球队签订了未来四个赛季的合同。与此同时，东契奇可能会在 2026 年成为自由球员。
但这项交易仍然会削弱印第安纳的阵容，送出两名首发球员、两名轮换球员和两个未来的无保护首轮选秀权。步行者队也可以将这四名球员换成全明星前锋帕斯卡尔·西亚卡姆(Pascal Siakam)，他本赛季的收入超过 4200 万美元。
孟菲斯灰熊
他们本可以提供的：
戴斯蒙德·贝恩(Desmond Bane)
杰伦·威尔斯(Jaylen Wells)
布兰登·克拉克(Brandon Clarke)
2027 年无保护首轮选秀权
2029 年无保护首轮选秀权
贝恩、小贾伦·杰克逊(Jaren Jackson Jr.)或贾·莫兰特(Ja Morant)？灰熊队的三位年轻球星之一需要成为重磅东契奇交易的起点。贝恩是这里的选择，因为如果杰克逊被送到达拉斯，灰熊队的前场将会被削弱。此外，莫兰特的合同比东契奇多两年。
费城76人
他们本可以提供的：
保罗·乔治(Paul George)
贾里德·麦凯恩(Jared McCain)
2026 年首轮选秀权（休斯顿的最差顺位；如果 6-30 顺位，则为俄克拉荷马城和快船队）
2028 年无保护首轮选秀权（来自快船）
2029 年无保护首轮选秀权
2031 年无保护首轮选秀权
乔尔·恩比德(Joel Embiid)无法被交易，因为他签下了一份续约合同，这使得费城只有泰瑞斯·马克西(Tyrese Maxey)和乔治作为两个交易选择。马克西是 24 岁的全明星后卫，正处于五年顶薪合同的第一年，即使有可能得到东契奇，他也不应该成为交易谈判的障碍。这四个首轮选秀权是费城可以在交易中送出的最大数量。
达拉斯需要更多内线
哈里森解释了为什么他专注于专门交易安东尼·戴维斯。
“我相信防守赢得总冠军，”哈里森告诉 ESPN 的蒂姆·麦克马洪(Tim MacMahon)，解释了他用东契奇交易戴维斯的动机。“我相信得到一名全防守阵容的中锋和一名具有防守心态的全 NBA 球员，会让我们有更好的机会。我们的目标是现在和未来都取得胜利。”
迈阿密热火队的巴姆·阿德巴约(Bam Adebayo)符合这些标准，而卡尔-安东尼·唐斯(Karl-Anthony Towns)和多曼塔斯·萨博尼斯(Domantas Sabonis)都为达拉斯提供了与内线球员德雷克·莱夫利二世(Dereck Lively II)或丹尼尔·加福德(Daniel Gafford)搭档的多功能性。
迈阿密热火
他们本可以提供的：
巴姆·阿德巴约
海伍德·海史密斯(Haywood Highsmith)
海梅·哈克斯(Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
2029 年无保护首轮选秀权
2031 年无保护首轮选秀权
重要的是要注意，在 2 月 1 日，吉米·巴特勒仍然在球队名单上，尚未被交易到金州勇士队。但考虑到达拉斯优先考虑一支可以竞争总冠军的强大前场，阿德巴约是完美的选择，而不是巴特勒。热火队仍然有泰勒·希罗(Tyler Herro)、中锋凯莱尔·韦尔(Kel’el Ware)以及巴特勒交易的回报，可以围绕东契奇进行重建。
注意：为了解锁他们在 2029 年和 2031 年的首轮选秀权，热火队必须取消对 2025 年给俄克拉荷马城和 2027 年给夏洛特的首轮选秀权的保护。
纽约尼克斯
他们本可以提供的：
卡尔-安东尼·唐斯
2025 年前 10 顺位保护首轮选秀权（来自华盛顿；如果未兑现，则在 2026 年前 8 顺位保护）
东契奇和杰伦·布伦森(Jalen Brunson)，在纽约重聚。要实现这一目标，达拉斯需要接受一个比湖人实际交易中送出的方案更差的方案。纽约只有一个可以交易的首轮选秀权（而且可能被兑现），并且合同过于集中。
尼克斯队可以改变交易，移除唐斯，并用米卡尔·布里奇斯(Mikal Bridges)和约什·哈特(Josh Hart)的组合代替他。
萨克拉门托国王
他们本可以提供的：
多曼塔斯·萨博尼斯
基翁·埃利斯(Keon Ellis)
德文·卡特(Devin Carter)
2028 年无保护首轮选秀权
2030 年无保护首轮选秀权
在他选秀大会上被错过近七年后，东契奇成为了萨克拉门托国王队的一员。但是，虽然东契奇和德阿隆·福克斯(De’Aaron Fox)的后场组合很诱人——记住，福克斯还没有被交易到马刺队——但对于萨克拉门托来说，这项交易存在很大的风险。
除了交易萨博尼斯之外，国王队还面临着东契奇在 2026 年成为自由球员，以及福克斯也可能成为自由球员的可能性。
工资帽线球队
超过第二道工资帽线的球队不允许合并送出的合同。例如，这使得凯尔特人只有杰伦·布朗(Jaylen Brown)可以用来交易东契奇。与此同时，掘金队是一支第一道工资帽线球队，可以合并合同。但他们阵容中唯一可以交易的球员是小迈克尔·波特(Michael Porter Jr.)。
在下面的每项交易中，都需要第三方球队来接回达拉斯的额外薪水。
丹佛掘金
他们本可以提供的：
小迈克尔·波特
克里斯蒂安·布劳恩(Christian Braun)
达里奥·萨里奇(Dario Saric)
2031 年无保护首轮选秀权
掘金队不会交易三届 MVP 尼古拉·约基奇(Nikola Jokic)。贾马尔·穆雷(Jamal Murray)和阿隆·戈登(Aaron Gordon)本赛季无法被交易。这使得波特和布劳恩成为两个有价值的交易候选人。
注意：要包括他们 2031 年的首轮选秀权，丹佛需要取消对 2027 年和 2029 年欠俄克拉荷马城的首轮选秀权的保护。
波士顿凯尔特人
他们本可以提供的：
杰伦·布朗
2027 年无保护首轮选秀权
2031 年无保护首轮选秀权
凯尔特人会在有机会捍卫自己的总冠军头衔之前交易总决赛 MVP 吗？可能不会。但是，由于第二道工资帽线的限制，布朗是唯一可以使东契奇交易成功的球员。（波士顿不允许合并合同。）
这项交易让波士顿付出了两个无保护的首轮选秀权，而东契奇可能不在球队的阵容中，但这项重磅交易会将 NBA 前五名的两名球员东契奇和杰森·塔图姆(Jayson Tatum)组合在一起。
密尔沃基雄鹿
他们本可以提供的：
达米安·利拉德(Damian Lillard)
2031 年无保护首轮选秀权
雄鹿队是另一支超过第二道工资帽线的球队，并且可以送出的选秀权有限。因为他们不允许合并合同，所以唯一的选择是送出利拉德或扬尼斯·阿德托昆博(Giannis Antetokounmpo)。雄鹿队只有 2031 年的首轮选秀权可以交易。
明尼苏达森林狼
他们本可以提供的：
鲁迪·戈贝尔(Rudy Gobert)
2025 年首轮选秀权（来自底特律；前 13 顺位保护）
2028 年首轮互换权
因为明尼苏达州无法合并合同，所以选择是戈贝尔或安东尼·爱德华兹(Anthony Edwards)。爱德华兹换东契奇是最有意义的，但有一个很大的障碍：爱德华兹直到 2029 年夏天才成为自由球员。之前的交易已经耗尽了明尼苏达州的选秀资产，这使得森林狼队在本赛季只有来自活塞的首轮选秀权，以及 2028 年的互换权。
菲尼克斯太阳
他们本可以提供的：
凯文·杜兰特(Kevin Durant)
2025 年首轮选秀权（来自克利夫兰）
2027 年首轮选秀权（克利夫兰、明尼苏达和犹他的最差顺位）
2029 年首轮选秀权（克利夫兰、明尼苏达的最差顺位；如果 6-30 顺位，则为犹他）
太阳队无法合并合同，布拉德利·比尔(Bradley Beal)拥有交易否决权。这两个限制使得菲尼克斯只能选择交易杜兰特或德文·布克(Devin Booker)。
布克比杜兰特年轻八岁，并且在本赛季结束后还剩下三年的合同。杜兰特还剩一年。这三个首轮选秀权是菲尼克斯可以交易的最大数量。
历史性的选秀权方案
此列表中的球队较少关注送出球员，而更多关注大量首轮选秀权的方案。例如，雷霆队送出了七个。
布鲁克林篮网
他们本可以提供的：
尼古拉斯·克拉克斯顿(Nic Claxton)
卡姆·托马斯(Cam Thomas)
德安东尼·梅尔顿(De’Anthony Melton)
四个首轮选秀权
布鲁克林最多可以提供 12 个可以交易的首轮选秀权和首发级别的球员（例如，卡梅隆·约翰逊(Cameron Johnson)和克拉克斯顿）给达拉斯。但这并不意味着篮网应该全力以赴地使用他们的选秀资产，因为这支球队正处于重建的早期阶段。
所送出的补偿包括在米卡尔·布里奇斯交易中获得的所有四个尼克斯首轮选秀权（2025 年、2027 年、2029 年、2031 年）。
新奥尔良鹈鹕
他们本可以提供的：
CJ·麦科勒姆(CJ McCollum)
赫伯特·琼斯(Herbert Jones)
2025 年无保护首轮选秀权
2027 年无保护首轮选秀权
2029 年无保护首轮选秀权
2031 年无保护首轮选秀权
鹈鹕队有很多球员可以选择，包括布兰登·英格拉姆(Brandon Ingram)（直到 2 月 5 日他才被交易）、锡安·威廉姆森(Zion Williamson)、麦科勒姆和琼斯。特雷·墨菲三世(Trey Murphy III)无法被交易，因为他在赛季前签下了一份新秀续约合同。
独行侠队的目标是不包括威廉姆森，并用四个无保护的首轮选秀权代替他，包括今年选秀大会上潜在的状元签。
俄克拉荷马城雷霆
他们本可以提供的：
吕冈茨·多尔特(Lu Dort)
以赛亚·乔(Isaiah Joe)
阿隆·威金斯(Aaron Wiggins)
奥斯曼·吉昂(Ousmane Dieng)
肯里奇·威廉姆斯(Kenrich Williams)
2025 年首轮选秀权（来自费城；前 6 顺位保护）
2025 年首轮选秀权（来自迈阿密；前 14 顺位保护）
2026 年首轮选秀权（俄克拉荷马城、休斯顿的最优顺位；如果 6-30 顺位，则为快船）
2027 年丹佛首轮选秀权（前 5 顺位保护）
2029 年丹佛首轮选秀权（前 5 顺位保护）
2029 年无保护首轮选秀权
2031 年无保护首轮选秀权
代价是历史上最昂贵的，但是想象一下将卢卡与雷霆队的三巨头配对？
保护这些核心球员（MVP 热门人选谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大(Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)，杰伦·威廉姆斯(Jalen Williams)，切特·霍姆格伦(Chet Holmgren)）意味着将有创纪录的七个首轮选秀权被送到达拉斯。俄克拉荷马城也失去了包括多尔特在内的五名球员的一些深度，多尔特是他们加入独行侠队的防守尖兵。
奥兰多魔术
他们本可以提供的：
肯塔维奥斯·考德威尔-波普(Kentavious Caldwell-Pope)
科尔·安东尼(Cole Anthony)
安东尼·布莱克(Anthony Black)
杰特·霍华德(Jett Howard)
2025 年无保护首轮选秀权
2027 年无保护首轮选秀权
2029 年无保护首轮选秀权
2031 年无保护首轮选秀权
2025 年首轮选秀权（来自丹佛；前 5 顺位保护）
魔术队有五个首轮选秀权可以交易，但面临着拼凑足够的合同来使交易成功的挑战。奥兰多无法交易弗兰茨·瓦格纳(Franz Wagner)、杰伦·萨格斯(Jalen Suggs)、温德尔·卡特(Wendell Carter Jr.)，可能也不会考虑交易保罗·班切罗(Paolo Banchero)。这使得考德威尔-波普、安东尼和前首轮选秀权布莱克和霍华德的组合成为可能。
圣安东尼奥马刺
他们本可以提供的：
哈里森·巴恩斯(Harrison Barnes)
特雷·琼斯(Tre Jones)
扎克·科林斯(Zach Collins)
2025 年无保护首轮选秀权
2025 年无保护首轮选秀权（来自亚特兰大）
2027 年无保护首轮选秀权
2027 年无保护首轮选秀权（来自亚特兰大）
2029 年无保护首轮选秀权
2031 年无保护首轮选秀权（来自明尼苏达）
德阿隆·福克斯或卢卡·东契奇？这可能是马刺队在交易截止日临近时不得不考虑的选择。
最终，在这种情况下，圣安东尼奥选择了东契奇。将他与维克托·文班亚马(Victor Wembanyama)配对的代价是前所未有的六个无保护的首轮选秀权。圣安东尼奥在保留其核心球员的同时，耗尽了大部分选秀资产，其中包括德文·瓦塞尔(Devin Vassell)和年度最佳新秀热门人选斯蒂芬·卡斯尔。
重建球队冒险一搏
对于那些深陷积分榜底部的重建球队来说，这是他们获得一位正值巅峰期的前五球员的唯一机会。但是，东契奇在 2026 年离开的威胁是否会给他们在交易中提供的报价带来影响？
芝加哥公牛
他们本可以提供的：
扎克·拉文(Zach LaVine)
马塔斯·布泽利斯(Matas Buzelis)
2028 年无保护首轮选秀权
2030 年无保护首轮选秀权
公牛队终于摆脱了拉文（他尚未被交易到国王队），但这要付出布泽利斯和两个有价值的无保护首轮选秀权的代价，分别在 2028 年和 2030 年。东契奇加入了一支后卫阵容过于强大的球队（朗佐·鲍尔(Lonzo Ball)、科比·怀特(Coby White)、杰文·卡特(Jevon Carter)、约什·吉迪(Josh Giddey)和阿约·多桑姆(Ayo Dosunmu)）。
波特兰开拓者
他们本可以提供的：
斯库特·亨德森(Scoot Henderson)
杰拉米·格兰特(Jerami Grant)
谢登·夏普(Shaedon Sharpe)
2029 年首轮选秀权（波特兰、波士顿和密尔沃基的最优顺位）
2029 年首轮选秀权（波特兰、波士顿和密尔沃基的最差顺位）
2030 年无保护首轮选秀权
如果担心东契奇可能不会续约，开拓者队可以包括他们所有的年轻球员（亨德森、夏普、多诺万·克兰根(Donovan Clingan)、图马尼·卡马拉(Toumani Camara)），但这是一个很高的溢价。
注意：波特兰在未来五年内欠芝加哥一个前 14 顺位保护的首轮选秀权。开拓者队可以取消首轮选秀权的保护，并将他们自己的 2027 年送到达拉斯，但这将使公牛队收到一个 2025 年无保护首轮选秀权。
多伦多猛龙
他们本可以提供的：
伊曼纽尔·奎克利(Immanuel Quickley)
格雷迪·迪克(Gradey Dick)
奥柴·阿格巴吉(Ochai Agbaji)
2025 年无保护首轮选秀权
2027 年首轮选秀权（来自印第安纳；前 4 顺位保护）
2029 年无保护首轮选秀权
斯科蒂·巴恩斯(Scottie Barnes)将成为交易东契奇的候选人，但这位 2024 年的全明星球员在去年 7 月签下了一份新秀续约合同，没有资格被交易。排除巴恩斯后，多伦多的最佳报价是一个由三个首轮选秀权、奎克利、迪克和阿格巴吉组成的方案。猛龙队仍然有足够的合同（布鲁斯·布朗(Bruce Brown)和凯利·奥利尼克(Kelly Olynyk)）和选秀资本来完成对布兰登·英格拉姆的交易。
犹他爵士
他们本可以提供的：
约翰·科林斯(John Collins)
以赛亚·科利尔(Isaiah Collier)
泰勒·亨德里克斯(Taylor Hendricks)
两个 2027 年首轮选秀权（克利夫兰、明尼苏达和犹他的最优顺位）
2029 年首轮选秀权（克利夫兰、明尼苏达的最优顺位；如果 6-30 顺位，则为犹他）
爵士队拥有迄今为止最好的首轮选秀权，可以在东契奇的交易中提供。
- 在未来七次选秀中的六次拥有自己的首轮选秀权
- 克利夫兰和明尼苏达提供的五个无保护首轮选秀权
- 来自湖人的前 4 顺位保护的 2027 年首轮选秀权
- 来自森林狼队的前 5 顺位保护的 2029 年首轮选秀权
但是在重建了近三年之后，犹他州会为了获得东契奇的机会而牺牲它吗？
注意：因为劳里·马尔卡宁(Lauri Markkanen)无法被交易，所以需要科林斯 2660 万美元的薪水才能使交易成功。
华盛顿奇才
他们本可以提供的：
亚历克斯·萨尔(Alex Sarr)
乔丹·普尔(Jordan Poole)
2028 年无保护首轮选秀权
2029 年首轮选秀权（波特兰、波士顿和密尔沃基的次优顺位）
2030 年无保护首轮选秀权
东契奇的加入肯定会加速华盛顿的重建。但是放弃前二顺位的萨尔加上三个首轮选秀权过于昂贵，考虑到东契奇有可能在 2026 年休赛期离开。一个小小的权衡是摆脱仍然欠普尔的 9500 万美元。
如果达拉斯的目标是争夺总冠军，那么萨尔的加入将在未来有所帮助，但现在不会。2028 年和 2030 年的无保护首轮确实具有价值，特别是如果东契奇在自由球员市场上离开华盛顿。
点击查看原文：What 28 other NBA teams could have traded for Luka Doncic
What 28 other NBA teams could have traded for Luka Doncic
What if the Dallas Mavericks made Luka Doncic available to all 29 other teams?
It’s a question team executives across the league pondered in the early hours of Feb. 2, when the NBA world was still coming to grips with the blockbuster that sent Doncic to the Los Angeles Lakers and Anthony Davis to Dallas. The Lakers were the only team that Mavs general manager Nico Harrison spoke to about a deal.
To answer that question, we examined the teams that didn’t land Doncic and put together the framework of 28 separate – and hypothetical – trades for the five-time All-NBA guard, plus what else general manager Rob Pelinka and the Lakers could have offered.
There are multiple caveats to the exercise.
The first and most important one is that the trade dialogue between the Mavericks and Lakers was complex and built on confidentiality. A big reason why the trade occurred is that there was no circus-type atmosphere of Doncic’s trade rumors. If he was made available to the other 28 teams, the trade likely would have fallen apart.
“If it had leaked out and the trade hadn’t happened, that would be really unfair to the progress that the coaching staff had made with the team,” Lakers owner Jeannie Buss said in February. “Because it’s a huge distraction.”
The second caveat focuses on the intricacies of the salary cap and apron rules. At the time of the deal, the Lakers were $3.5 million below the second apron and not allowed to take back additional salary in trades. The Mavericks, on the other hand, were $526K below the first apron and needed Davis to waive his $5.1 million trade bonus. (In the below trade scenarios, we are applying the same apron restrictions – and rosters – the Mavericks and the 29 other teams had on Feb. 1.)
Finally, we took into consideration that Doncic, who could become a free agent in the summer of 2026, might not sign an extension with his new team. So the hypothetical trade packages for some of the rebuilding teams are watered down.
Which front offices would go all-in with players and picks, even if Doncic is on the roster for only 17 months? Which superstars would be made available to Dallas? And which trade might Harrison and the Mavericks choose if they had 29 on the table?
To find out, let’s go back to the eve of arguably the most shocking trade in league history.
Jump to a Luka trade for:\
ATL | BOS | BKN | CHA | CHI\
CLE | DEN | DET | GS | HOU\
IND | LAC | MEM | MIA | MIL | MIN\
NO | NY | OKC | ORL | PHI | PHX\
POR | SAC | SA | TOR | UTAH | WAS
The Luka trade
Los Angeles Lakers
What they traded:\
Anthony Davis\
Max Christie\
2029 unprotected first-round pick
What they could have offered: \
Anthony Davis\
Austin Reaves\
2029 unprotected first-round pick\
2030 first-round swap\
2031 unprotected first-round pick
Former Mavericks majority owner Mark Cuban said the team should have gotten more from the Lakers.
“If the Mavs are going to trade Luka, that’s one thing,” Cuban told WFAA, the ABC affiliate in Dallas, last month. “Just get a better deal. No disrespect to Anthony Davis, but I still firmly believe if we had gotten four unprotected No. 1s and Anthony Davis and Max Christie, this would be a different conversation.”
Because Los Angeles owed Atlanta their 2025 first and Utah a 2027 first (top-4 protected), the maximum firsts they were allowed to send out was two.
To reach the four firsts as Cuban alluded to, Dallas would have needed to trade Austin Reaves in a separate trade for two future firsts.
“It was really important to me that we didn’t blow up the team,” Buss said.
The best offers for Dallas
If Dallas did entertain trade talks around the league, two teams have the preferred type of trade package – win-now players and draft picks – that could get a deal done.
Cleveland Cavaliers
What they could have offered:\
Darius Garland\
Jarrett Allen\
2031 unprotected first-round pick
There is a risk-reward with the Cavaliers trading for Doncic. The reward is that Doncic-Donovan Mitchell instantly becomes the best backcourt in the NBA for a team that was already leading the Eastern Conference. The risk? The in-season trade disrupts team chemistry during one of the franchise’s best seasons. The loss of Allen in the two-for-one trade would also leave Cleveland thin in their frontcourt.
Note: Because there is $57 million in salary sent out, Dallas would include center Maxi Kleber in the deal.
Houston Rockets
What they could have offered:\
Dillon Brooks\
Reed Sheppard\
Jabari Smith Jr.\
2025 unprotected first-round pick (via Phoenix)\
2027 unprotected first-round pick (via Phoenix)
The Rockets have the players and picks to make a blockbuster trade and still have enough left over to field a competitive team. In this trade, Doncic joins Fred VanVleet, Jalen Green, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason and Alperen Sengun in the new starting five. And Houston still has five tradable first-round picks available to use in another deal.
Swaps of All-Star guards
Should you trade Trae Young, LaMelo Ball, or James Harden if you have the chance to acquire Doncic? That is the question for each of the next three teams.
Atlanta Hawks
What they could have offered:\
Trae Young\
Onyeka Okongwu\
2025 unprotected first-round pick (via Lakers)\
2029 unprotected first-round pick
There is certainly irony here after Doncic and Young were traded for each other during the 2018 draft. The challenge now comes with selling Doncic on a roster that includes 2024 No. 1 pick Zaccharie Risacher and Defensive Player of the Year candidate Dyson Daniels.
The Hawks do not have control of their first-round pick until 2028, but they are allowed to include the unprotected Lakers first in 2025 and their own in 2029.
Charlotte Hornets
What they could have offered:\
LaMelo Ball\
Mark Williams\
2027 first-round pick\
2027 top-14 protected first-round pick (via Charlotte; unprotected in 2028 if not conveyed)
The Hornets are another rebuilding team with the young players (Ball, Williams, Brandon Miller, Tidjane Salaun) and first-round picks (five tradable) to make a competitive offer. But, the post-trade Hornets leave Doncic with a roster of Miller, Salaun and a likely top-four first-round pick in June. Is that enough to commit long-term this summer?
LA Clippers
What they could have offered:\
James Harden\
Terance Mann\
2030 first-round pick swap\
2031 unprotected first-round pick
A Harden-Kyrie Irving reunion in Dallas? That would be an option if the Clippers elect not to include Kawhi Leonard or a combination of Norman Powell, Mann and PJ Tucker. (The Clippers do not have the draft assets that other teams have and are not allowed to trade their own first-round pick until 2031.)
Superstar backcourt partners
The Pistons already have star guard Cade Cunningham; same for Golden State and Stephen Curry. That doesn’t mean each franchise wouldn’t jump at the chance to acquire Doncic.
Detroit Pistons
What they could have offered:\
Tobias Harris\
Ausar Thompson\
Ron Holland II\
2027 unprotected first-round pick\
2029 unprotected first-round pick
The trade for Doncic solidifies the Pistons as a top-six team in the East this year and next, but does it move them closer to Cleveland, Boston and New York? The Pistons take a hit with their depth but have Doncic paired with Cunningham in the backcourt. Would that partnership of young guards, paired with Coach of the Year contender J.B. Bickerstaff, have been enough for Doncic to consider signing?
Golden State Warriors
What they could have offered:\
Andrew Wiggins\
Jonathan Kuminga\
Brandin Podziemski\
Gary Payton II\
2025 unprotected first-round pick\
2026 first-round pick swap\
2027 unprotected first-round pick\
2030 first-round pick (if 1-20)
Luka and Steph. This is a supersized version of the trade Golden State sent to Miami to acquire Jimmy Butler. Here, Kuminga and Podziemski are included along with three first-round picks and one swap.
Indiana Pacers
What they could have offered:\
Myles Turner\
Bennedict Mathurin\
Aaron Nesmith\
Obi Toppin\
2028 unprotected first-round pick\
2030 unprotected first-round pick
The Pacers wouldn’t include Tyrese Haliburton, an All-NBA guard who is under contract for the next four seasons. Meanwhile, Doncic could be a free agent in 2026.
But this deal would still gut Indiana’s roster, sending out two starters, two rotational players and two unprotected future firsts. The Pacers could also swap out the four players for All-Star forward Pascal Siakam, who is making over $42 million this season.
Memphis Grizzlies
What they could have offered: \
Desmond Bane\
Jaylen Wells\
Brandon Clarke\
2027 unprotected first-round pick\
2029 unprotected first-round pick
Bane, Jaren Jackson Jr. or Ja Morant? One of the Grizzlies’ three young stars would need to be the starting point of a blockbuster Doncic trade. Bane is the choice here, as the Grizzlies’ frontcourt would be depleted if Jackson was sent to Dallas. Plus, Morant has two more years on his contract compared to Doncic.
Philadelphia 76ers
What they could have offered:\
Paul George\
Jared McCain\
2026 first-round pick (least favorable of Houston; if 6-30, Oklahoma City and Clippers),\
2028 unprotected first-round pick (via Clippers)\
2029 unprotected first-round pick\
2031 unprotected first-round pick
Joel Embiid cannot be traded because he signed an extension, leaving Philadelphia with Tyrese Maxey and George as the two trade options. Maxey, the 24-year-old All-Star guard on the first of a five-year max contract, should be a nonstarter in trade talks – even with the possibility of acquiring Doncic. The four first-round picks are the maximum Philadelphia can send in a deal.
More bigs for the Mavs
Harrison explained why he was focused on trading specifically for Anthony Davis.
“I believe that defense wins championships,” Harrison told ESPN’s Tim MacMahon, explaining his motivation to deal Doncic for Davis. “I believe that getting an All-Defensive center and an All-NBA player with a defensive mindset gives us a better chance. We’re built to win now and in the future.”
The Heat’s Bam Adebayo meets that criteria, while Karl-Anthony Towns and Domantas Sabonis each gives Dallas versatility to pair with big men Dereck Lively II or Daniel Gafford.
Miami Heat
What they could have offered:\
Bam Adebayo\
Haywood Highsmith\
Jaime Jaquez Jr.\
2029 unprotected first-round pick\
2031 unprotected first-round pick
It’s important to note that on Feb. 1, Jimmy Butler is still on the roster and has not yet been dealt to Golden State. But considering Dallas is prioritizing a big frontcourt that can compete for a championship, Adebayo is the perfect fit, not Butler. The Heat still have Tyler Herro, center Kel’el Ware and the returns from a Butler trade to build around Doncic.
Note: To unlock their first-round picks in 2029 and 2031, the Heat would have to eliminate the pick protection on the 2025 first to Oklahoma City and 2027 first to Charlotte.
New York Knicks
What they could have offered:\
Karl-Anthony Towns\
2025 top-10 protected first-round pick (via Washington; 2026 top-8 protected if not conveyed)
Doncic and Jalen Brunson, reunited in New York. To get there, Dallas would need to accept a lesser package than what was sent in the actual deal from the Lakers. New York has only one first-round pick they can trade (and that might be conveyed) and are top-heavy in contracts.
The Knicks could alter the trade, removing Towns and replacing him with a combination of Mikal Bridges and Josh Hart.
Sacramento Kings
What they could have offered:\
Domantas Sabonis\
Keon Ellis\
Devin Carter\
2028 unprotected first-round pick\
2030 unprotected first-round pick
Nearly seven years after they passed on him in the draft, Doncic becomes a Sacramento King. But while the Doncic and De’Aaron Fox backcourt is enticing – remember, Fox wasn’t traded yet to the Spurs – there is significant risk with this trade for Sacramento.
In addition to trading Sabonis, the Kings are faced with the possibility of not only Doncic becoming a free agent in 2026, but also Fox.
The apron teams
Teams over the second apron were not allowed to combine contracts sent out. For example, that left the Celtics with Jaylen Brown as the only player they could have traded for Doncic. The Nuggets, meanwhile, are a first-apron team and are allowed to aggregate contracts. But the only player on their roster they could have traded is Michael Porter Jr.
A third team is required to take back additional salary from Dallas in each of the below trades.
Denver Nuggets
What they could have offered:\
Michael Porter Jr.\
Christian Braun\
Dario Saric\
2031 unprotected first-round pick
The Nuggets are not trading three-time MVP Nikola Jokic. Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon cannot be traded this season. That leaves Porter and Braun as the two valuable trade candidates.
Note: To include their 2031 first-round pick, Denver would need to remove the pick protection for the first owed to Oklahoma City in 2027 and 2029.
Boston Celtics
What they could have offered:\
Jaylen Brown\
2027 unprotected first-round pick\
2031 unprotected first-round pick
Would the Celtics trade the Finals MVP before they had the opportunity to defend their title? Probably not. But, due to second apron restrictions, Brown is the only player that makes a Doncic deal work. (Boston is not allowed to combine contracts.)
The trade costs Boston two unprotected first-round picks in years when Doncic might not be on the roster, but the blockbuster would pair two of the top five players in the NBA in Doncic and Jayson Tatum.
Milwaukee Bucks
What they could have offered:\
Damian Lillard\
2031 unprotected first-round pick
The Bucks are another team over the second apron and limited in draft picks to send out. Because they are not allowed to aggregate contracts, the only option was sending Lillard or Giannis Antetokounmpo. The Bucks have only their 2031 first-round pick to trade.
Minnesota Timberwolves
What they could have offered:\
Rudy Gobert\
2025 first-round pick (via Detroit; top-13 protected)\
2028 first-round pick swap
Because Minnesota can’t combine contracts, the option is Gobert or Anthony Edwards. Edwards for Doncic makes the most sense, but there is a significant hold up: Edwards is not a free agent until the summer of 2029. Previous trades have depleted Minnesota’s draft assets, leaving the Wolves with only the Pistons’ first-round pick this season and swap rights in 2028.
Phoenix Suns
What they could have offered:\
Kevin Durant\
2025 first-round pick (via Cleveland)\
2027 first-round pick (least favorable of Cleveland, Minnesota and Utah)\
2029 first-round pick (least favorable of Cleveland, Minnesota; if 6-30, and Utah)
The Suns can’t aggregate contracts and Bradley Beal has a no-trade clause. Those two restrictions would leave Phoenix with the option of trading Durant or Devin Booker.
Booker is eight years younger than Durant and has three years left on his contract after this season. Durant has one. The three first-round picks are the maximum Phoenix could trade.
Historic draft-pick packages
Teams on this list focused less on sending players and more on massive packages of first-round picks. The Thunder, for example, sent seven.
Brooklyn Nets
What they could have offered:\
Nic Claxton\
Cam Thomas\
De’Anthony Melton\
Four first-round picks
Brooklyn has up to 12 tradeable first-round picks and starter-level players (Cameron Johnson and Claxton, for example) to offer Dallas. But that does not mean the Nets should go all-in with their draft assets, considering the roster is in the early stages of a rebuild.
The compensation sent includes all four Knicks first-rounders acquired in the Mikal Bridges deal (2025, 2027, 2029, 2031).
New Orleans Pelicans
What they could have offered:\
CJ McCollum\
Herbert Jones\
2025 unprotected first-round pick\
2027 unprotected first-round pick\
2029 unprotected first-round pick\
2031 unprotected first-round pick
The Pelicans have a plethora of players to choose from, including Brandon Ingram (he wasn’t traded until Feb. 5), Zion Williamson, McCollum and Jones. Trey Murphy III can’t be traded because he signed a rookie extension before the season.
The goal for the Mavericks would be to exclude Williamson and replace him with four unprotected firsts, including the potential top pick in this year’s draft.
Oklahoma City Thunder
What they could have offered:\
Lu Dort\
Isaiah Joe\
Aaron Wiggins\
Ousmane Dieng\
Kenrich Williams\
2025 first-round pick (via Philadelphia; top-6 protected)\
2025 first-round pick (via Miami; top-14 protected)\
2026 first-round pick (most favorable of OKC, Houston; if 6-30, and Clippers)\
2027 Denver first (top-5 protected)\
2029 Denver first (top-5 protected)\
2029 unprotected first-round pick\
2031 unprotected first-round pick
The cost is historically steep, but imagine pairing Luka with the Thunder’s big three?
Protecting those core players (MVP favorite Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren) means a record-breaking seven first-rounders would be sent to Dallas. Oklahoma City also loses some depth with five players, including their defensive stopper in Dort, joining the Mavericks.
Orlando Magic
What they could have offered:\
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope\
Cole Anthony\
Anthony Black\
Jett Howard\
2025 unprotected first-round pick\
2027 unprotected first-round pick\
2029 unprotected first-round pick\
2031 unprotected first-round pick\
2025 first-round pick (via Denver; top-5 protected)
The Magic have five first-rounders to trade but are challenged with cobbling together enough contracts to make a trade work. Orlando can’t trade Franz Wagner, Jalen Suggs, Wendell Carter Jr. and probably would not entertain moving Paolo Banchero. That leaves a combination of Caldwell-Pope, Anthony and former first-round picks Black and Howard.
San Antonio Spurs
What they could have offered:\
Harrison Barnes\
Tre Jones\
Zach Collins\
2025 unprotected first-round pick\
2025 unprotected first-round pick (via Atlanta)\
2027 unprotected first-round pick\
2027 unprotected first-round pick (via Atlanta)\
2029 unprotected first-round pick\
2031 unprotected first-round pick (via Minnesota)
De’Aaron Fox or Luka Doncic? That could have been the choice the Spurs had to ponder in the leadup to the trade deadline.
Ultimately in this scenario, San Antonio chooses Doncic. The cost to pair him with Victor Wembanyama is an unprecedented six unprotected first-round picks. San Antonio is depleting most of its draft assets while retaining its core players, including Devin Vassell and rookie of the year favorite Stephon Castle.
Rebuilding teams take the risk
For rebuilding teams buried at the bottom of the standings, this is their one shot to acquire a top-five player entering his prime. But does the threat of Doncic leaving in 2026 throw a wrinkle into what they offer in a trade?
Chicago Bulls
What they could have offered:\
Zach LaVine\
Matas Buzelis\
2028 unprotected first-round pick\
2030 unprotected first-round pick
The Bulls finally move on from LaVine (he wasn’t yet traded to the Kings), but it comes at the cost of Buzelis and two valuable unprotected first-round picks in 2028 and 2030. Doncic joins a roster that is top heavy with guards (Lonzo Ball, Coby White, Jevon Carter, Josh Giddey and Ayo Dosunmu).
Portland Trail Blazers
What they could have offered:\
Scoot Henderson\
Jerami Grant\
Shaedon Sharpe\
2029 first-round pick (most favorable of Portland, Boston and Milwaukee)\
2029 first-round pick (least favorable of Portland, Boston and Milwaukee)\
2030 unprotected first-round pick
The Trail Blazers could include all of their young players (Henderson, Sharpe, Donovan Clingan, Toumani Camara) but that is a high premium if there are concerns Doncic might not extend.
Note: Portland owes Chicago a top-14 protected first-round pick over the next five years. The Trail Blazers could eliminate the pick protection and send their own 2027 to Dallas, but that would see the Bulls receive a 2025 unprotected first-round pick.
Toronto Raptors
What they could have offered:\
Immanuel Quickley\
Gradey Dick\
Ochai Agbaji\
2025 unprotected first-round pick\
2027 first-round pick (via Indiana; top-4 protected)\
2029 unprotected first-round pick
Scottie Barnes would be a trade candidate for Doncic, but the 2024 All-Star signed a rookie extension last July and is not eligible to be moved. The exclusion of Barnes leaves Toronto with a package of three first-round picks, Quickley, Dick and Abaji as its best offer. And the Raptors would still have enough contracts (Bruce Brown and Kelly Olynyk) and draft capital to make the trade for Brandon Ingram.
Utah Jazz
What they could have offered:\
John Collins\
Isaiah Collier\
Taylor Hendricks\
Two 2027 first-round picks (most favorable of Cleveland, Minnesota and Utah)\
2029 first-round pick (most favorable of Cleveland, Minnesota; if 6-30, and Utah)
The Jazz have, by far, the best collection of first-round picks to offer in a deal for Doncic.
- Their own first-round pick in six of the next seven drafts
- Five unprotected first-round picks from Cleveland and Minnesota
- A top-4 protected 2027 first-round pick from the Lakers
- A top-5 protected 2029 first-round pick from the Timberwolves
But after nearly three years of rebuilding, would Utah sacrifice it for a shot at Doncic?
Note: Because Lauri Markkanen can’t be traded, Collins’ $26.6 million salary is needed to make the deal work.
Washington Wizards
What they could have offered: \
Alex Sarr\
Jordan Poole\
2028 unprotected first-round pick\
2029 first-round pick (second-most favorable of Portland, Boston and Milwaukee)\
2030 unprotected first-round pick
The addition of Doncic would certainly accelerate the rebuild in Washington. But giving up the former No. 2 pick Sarr plus three first-round picks is too rich, considering the possibility Doncic walks in the 2026 offseason. The small trade-off is getting out of the $95 million still owed to Poole.
If Dallas’ goal is to compete for a championship, the addition of Sarr should help in the future, but not now. The 2028 and 2030 unprotected first does have value, especially if Doncic leaves Washington in free agency.
By Bobby Marks | ESPN, via ESPN