[ESPN] 2025 NBA 模拟选秀:三月疯狂前瞻

By Jonathan Givony, Jeremy Woo | ESPN, 2025-03-13 19:15:00

由生成式人工智能翻译,译文内容可能不准确或不完整,以原文为准。

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三月疯狂(March Madness)近在眼前,本周和下周正是观看预计参加 2025 年 NBA 选秀的球员们在各自联盟的锦标赛和 NCAA 锦标赛中表现的绝佳时机。

众多预计将在首轮被选中的新秀,包括杜克大学的库珀·弗拉格(Cooper Flagg),马里兰大学的德里克·奎恩(Derik Queen),贝勒大学的 VJ·埃奇科姆(VJ Edgecombe) 和俄克拉荷马大学的耶利米·菲尔斯(Jeremiah Fears),他们的球队预计都将参加“大舞会”(Big Dance,NCAA锦标赛的别称)。

NBA 高管将利用未来一个月的时间考察球员们在职业生涯中最重要的一些比赛中,在高压下的表现。

首轮和次轮的顺序由 ESPN 的 BPI 预测生成,该预测评估了所有 30 支 NBA 球队在本赛季剩余时间里的表现。

注释:选秀顺序截至周二早上更新,反映了通过交易欠款和拥有的选秀权。真实命中率(TS%)是一种将投篮命中率与罚球命中率和三分球命中率结合到一个综合比率的公式。

更多 NBA 选秀报道:

高管们谈论罗格斯大学的迪伦·哈珀(Dylan Harper),艾斯·贝利(Ace Bailey)\

15 位顶级新生,15 个大问题\

前 100 名排名 | 之前的模拟选秀 | 更多

首轮

1. 华盛顿奇才

库珀·弗拉格(Cooper Flagg),小前锋/大前锋,杜克\

新生 | 真实命中率: 61.0%

球探报告: 弗拉格巩固了他作为普遍认可的状元秀的地位,他在一个现象级的新生赛季中不断进步,超越了人们的期望。在接下来的几周里,他将迎来职业生涯中最重要的几场比赛,弗拉格将努力帮助杜克大学巩固其头号种子的地位,先赢得 ACC 锦标赛冠军,然后努力赢得六场 NCAA 锦标赛的比赛,并在圣安东尼奥的最终四强中夺得全国冠军。

NBA 内幕与适配性: 奇才队在弗拉格的争夺战中表现出色,以巨大的差距(-12.2)位居 NBA 净效率值垫底。奇才队将会非常兴奋地将弗拉格这样的天才添加到他们的年轻核心阵容中,并与去年的榜眼秀亚历克斯·萨尔(Alex Sarr)一起,为打造一个充满活力的防守前场奠定基础。– Givony


2. 犹他爵士

迪伦·哈珀(Dylan Harper),得分后卫/控球后卫,罗格斯大学\

新生 | 真实命中率: 59.5%

球探报告: 尽管罗格斯大学的战绩为 15 胜 17 负,哈珀在 NBA 前台办公室的许多人眼中,仍然稳居榜眼位置——罗格斯大学很可能在周三以双加时赛输给南加州大学而结束了本赛季,这也意味着哈珀的大学生涯结束了。他兼具身高、力量和直觉性组织能力,这使他对任何需要外线创造者的球队都具有吸引力。虽然哈珀并不被认为是弗拉格的有力挑战者,但他对于任何在选秀乐透中获得第二顺位的球队来说,都是一个绝佳的选择。

NBA 内幕与适配性: 犹他爵士队在过去的一个月里,大力提拔年轻球员,部分原因是伤病,但也因此能够为他们最近选中的新秀(如后卫以赛亚·科利尔(Isaiah Collier))提供宝贵的成长时间。这样做的一个副产品是,爵士队在选秀乐透中又获得了强大的机会,任何排名前四的球员都会提升他们年轻核心的天赋水平。能够在下赛季将球权交到哈珀手中,对于这支球队来说将是朝着正确方向迈出的重要一步。– Woo


3. 夏洛特黄蜂

艾斯·贝利(Ace Bailey),得分后卫/小前锋,罗格斯大学\

新生 | 真实命中率: 53.8%

球探报告: 贝利在二月份表现相对平静,他的大学生涯很可能在周三以双加时赛输给南加州大学的比赛中结束,但他仍然因其投篮天赋而受到 NBA 球队的高度评价。他被认为是一个更有潜力的项目,需要精心、亲力亲为的培养才能成功——但在这个选秀中,没有哪个球员能像他那样得分。贝利的选秀前考察过程,将是在说服球队他能够发现成为联盟球星所需的稳定性方面至关重要。

NBA 内幕与适配性: 黄蜂队仍然处于收集资产的模式,拥有他们所有的未来选秀权,并且明显愿意进行高风险的尝试,就像他们上赛季用 6 号签选中的蒂贾尼·萨劳恩(Tidjane Salaun) 一样。夏洛特应该会被选秀中可用的顶级人才所吸引,无论他们的位置如何,都符合长期阵容发展的利益。虽然贝利和布兰登·米勒(Brandon Miller) 之间可能存在一些广泛的重复,但黄蜂队可能会发现很难放弃长期的潜力。– Woo

更多: NBA 高管谈论他们在罗格斯大学的哈珀、贝利身上看到了什么


4. 新奥尔良鹈鹕

VJ·埃奇科姆(VJ Edgecombe),得分后卫,贝勒大学\

新生 | 真实命中率: 56.5%

球探报告: 埃奇科姆是“大十二联盟”年度最佳新生,在本赛季中展现了相当多的技巧,并且可能是本届选秀中最具爆发力的运动员。他是一名防守端的创造者,在联盟比赛中投中了 39% 的三分球。他不断提高的投篮创造能力和传球能力,预示着他未来的长期发展前景良好。贝勒大学 (18-13) 的本赛季并不如他们所希望的那样,他们需要在“大十二联盟”和 NCAA 锦标赛中发挥出埃奇科姆的最佳水平,才有可能延长熊队的赛季。

NBA 内幕与适配性: 在经历了糟糕的赛季开局后,鹈鹕队在过去的 12 场比赛中取得了 6 胜 6 负的战绩,这在很大程度上是因为锡安·威廉姆森(Zion Williamson) 的伤愈复出。但这对于他们的选秀抽签概率来说,可能不是一个好消息。在新奥尔良之后,有一群球队紧随其后,这取决于 5 月 12 日的选秀抽签结果如何,这会将他们推向一个不同的选秀梯队。像埃奇科姆这样的球员将会是一个令人兴奋的补充,如果与威廉姆森搭档,他们将拥有比赛中最具爆发力的两名运动员。– Givony


5. 费城76人

特雷·约翰逊(Tre Johnson),得分后卫,德克萨斯大学\

新生 | 真实命中率: 56.7%

球探报告: 本届选秀中,第五顺位尤其充满争议,弗拉格、哈珀、贝利和埃奇科姆构成了前四名的软性共识。尽管德克萨斯大学 (17-14) 的赛季表现平平,但约翰逊已经赢得了球探们的青睐,他们愿意原谅他棘手的球队环境以及他所承担的重任的起起落落。尽管有明显的亮点(在加时赛输给阿肯色大学的比赛中得到 39 分)和糟糕的低谷(对阵俄克拉荷马大学的比赛中 14 投 0 中),但他仍然帮助了自己。约翰逊在 SEC 锦标赛上拥有一个巨大的平台,大批 NBA 决策者将亲临纳什维尔。

NBA 内幕与适配性: 76 人队可能会在五月份为选秀抽签而烦恼,他们的首轮选秀权具有前六顺位的保护,否则将转让给雷霆队。在费城经历了充满挑战、伤病不断的赛季后,有机会获得一个靠前的选秀权,也算是一种安慰。76 人队似乎已经在泰雷斯·马克西(Tyrese Maxey) 和贾里德·麦凯恩(Jared McCain) 身上找到了一个长期的后场搭档,但考虑到他们上次拥有前 10 顺位的选秀权还是在 2018 年,费城应该选择潜力最大的球员。约翰逊将为他们提供第三名可以围绕其建队的年轻后卫。– Woo


6. 布鲁克林篮网

卡斯帕拉斯·雅库乔尼斯(Kasparas Jakucionis),控球后卫,伊利诺伊大学\

新生 | 真实命中率: 60.8%

球探报告: 雅库乔尼斯在联盟比赛中经历了艰难的时刻,但伊利诺伊大学扭转了局面,以三连胜结束了他们的常规赛,战绩为 20 胜 11 负。雅库乔尼斯的构成和组织能力仍然有很多值得称道的地方,但球探们也对他的不稳定得分能力和失误表示谨慎。(他场均失误 3.4 次。)作为一名 18 岁的球员,成功地跳入“十大联盟”本身就令人印象深刻,但他可以在 NCAA 锦标赛中与顶级球队的对抗中,用良好的表现来证明自己的价值。无论如何,雅库乔尼斯可能仍然是选秀乐透中的一个可靠选择,因为在排名前四的球员被选走后,选秀就变得更加主观了。

NBA 内幕与适配性: 布鲁克林将以充足的薪金空间和选秀资产进入休赛期,他们的前台办公室在过去的 18 个月里重新定位了球队。虽然竞争的确切时间表仍不清楚——联盟中许多重建球队都必须考虑 2026 年选秀中的天赋——但用他们的四个首轮选秀权获得最佳的长期人才,将是休赛期的一项主要任务。雅库乔尼斯将会是一个不错的选择,他为篮网提供了一个可以长期培养的后场球员。– Woo


7. 多伦多猛龙

卡曼·马拉奇(Khaman Maluach),中锋,杜克大学\

新生 | 真实命中率: 71.9%

球探报告: 马拉奇在排名第一的蓝魔队中扮演着重要的角色,巩固了球队前六的防守,在攻防两端都抢下篮板,并在挡拆和切入时提供垂直空间,同时在转换进攻中积极冲刺。他在 ACC 比赛中,一些进攻上的局限性显得更加突出,并且他在技术水平和防守多样性方面仍然存在疑问。他在杜克大学最重要的比赛中的表现,将为他的 NBA 适应能力提供重要的见解,并且可能会在决定他最终在六月份的选秀中被选中的位置方面,发挥作用。

NBA 内幕与适配性: 猛龙队比预期的更具竞争力,在过去的六场比赛中赢了五场,远离了弗拉格的争夺战,并且越来越接近东部联盟的附加赛区域。除非他们足够幸运地在选秀抽签之夜进入前四名,否则多伦多将从下一梯队的球员中进行选择,其中包括马拉奇,他可能会被指定为长期建队的内线球员。– Givony


8. 圣安东尼奥马刺

康·克纽佩尔(Kon Knueppel),得分后卫/小前锋,杜克大学\

新生 | 真实命中率: 63.3%

球探报告: 克纽佩尔正在经历一个高效的赛季,他是杜克大学的第二号得分手(场均 13.7 分)和最高产的外线射手。他承担着杜克大学稳定的投篮创造职责,打出了一种聪明、没有错误、以团队为导向的风格,这应该可以很好地转化为任何环境。克纽佩尔效率最低的比赛发生在本赛季的第一个月,当时杜克大学面临着最艰难的竞争,因此球探们将有兴趣看看如果杜克大学在 NCAA 锦标赛中走得很远,他在面对更高大、更具运动能力的对手时表现如何。

NBA 内幕与适配性: 围绕维克托·文班亚马(Victor Wembanyama) 组建射手,肯定会成为未来马刺队的组织重点,尤其是考虑到 NBA 年度最佳新秀的竞争者斯蒂芬·卡斯尔(Stephon Castle) 在外线投篮方面(三分命中率为 28.3%)的挣扎。克纽佩尔的竞争力、对比赛的理解和多功能性,将使他能够无缝地融入任何 NBA 阵容,但他与圣安东尼奥的良好传球和 40% 的三分命中率特别契合。– Givony


9. 波特兰开拓者

埃戈尔·德明(Egor Demin),控球后卫/得分后卫,杨百翰大学\

新生 | 真实命中率: 51.6%

球探报告: 德明继续为杨百翰大学 (23-8) 做出贡献,该队已经稳稳地进入了 NCAA 锦标赛,并且正处于八连胜之中。在强劲的开局之后,他的赛季并没有达到许多人所希望的明星水平,但他仍然是 NBA 球队关注的焦点,这要归功于他的位置身高和传球视野。他是一名有争议的职业球员,主要是因为他在创造自己的进攻、投三分球和长期的防守问题上的挣扎。在 NCAA 锦标赛的放大镜下进行的一系列良好表现,可能会稳定他的选秀范围,目前从第 9 顺位开始,但目前可能是一个很广的范围。

NBA 内幕与适配性: 在二月份取得火热开局后,波特兰的表现有所回落,但仍然有望进入附加赛,他们的七连主场比赛于周三开始,而竞争对手达拉斯和菲尼克斯的各自赛季都经历了一些艰难的时刻。开拓者队即将面临一些关键的合同决定,并且可能已经破坏了他们获得有吸引力的选秀乐透的希望。波特兰还看到了图马尼·卡马拉(Toumani Camara) 和谢登·夏普(Shaedon Sharpe) 等球员的崛起。德明的组织能力和连接能力,可能非常适合目前围绕后场得分而建立的阵容。– Woo


10. 芝加哥公牛

德里克·奎恩(Derik Queen),中锋,马里兰大学\

新生 | 真实命中率: 59.4%

球探报告: 奎恩将在马里兰大学在 NCAA 锦标赛中取得的任何成功中,发挥主导作用。奎恩是本届选秀中最具进攻天赋的内线球员,他的运球能力和从内线不同位置发起进攻的能力,带来了对位的难题。尽管他的表现出色,但 NBA 球探对他的评价褒贬不一,他们批评了他的稳定性,特别是在防守端,他可能会显得迟缓。无论如何,三月份的竞争聚光灯让奎恩有机会消除其中的一些担忧。

NBA 内幕与适配性: 公牛队在二月份的 NBA 交易截止日期前,交易获得了他们的首轮选秀权的全部权利,并且似乎正在全面转向青年运动模式,约什·基迪(Josh Giddey) 和科比·怀特(Coby White) 即将签订新合同。在某个时候,芝加哥将不得不决定他们认为哪些球员是核心球员,以及他们如何处理这个可能的选秀抽签,可能会提供这方面的线索。公牛队缺乏年轻的前场天赋,这使得奎恩成为一个有趣的考虑因素。– Woo


11. 休斯顿火箭(来自菲尼克斯)

耶利米·菲尔斯(Jeremiah Fears),控球后卫,俄克拉荷马大学\

新生 | 真实命中率: 56.5%

球探报告: 俄克拉荷马大学在周三晚上对阵佐治亚大学的比赛中,取得了一场重要的晋级胜利,并将在周四迎来与肯塔基大学的一场重要比赛。如果俄克拉荷马大学能够更进一步,那将是对菲尔斯令人惊讶的强劲新生赛季的奖励。他在 18 岁的年龄,以及他的竞争天性和本赛季的进步迹象,使他进入了选秀乐透的讨论,尽管他需要身体发展和提高防守。寻找组织能力的球队,将不得不考虑在选秀的早期选中他。

NBA 内幕与适配性: 火箭队将与太阳队交换他们的首轮选秀权,这可能会让他们再获得一个选秀抽签权,以添加到他们阵容豪华的年轻阵容中。休斯顿还控制着菲尼克斯的大部分未来,拥有太阳队在 2027 年和 2029 年的选秀权。凭借在每个位置上都有待发展的球员,火箭队有能力进行一次尝试,菲尔斯预计将成为里德·谢泼德(Reed Sheppard) 的潜在后场搭档。– Woo


12. 迈阿密热火

杰斯·理查德森(Jase Richardson),控球后卫/得分后卫,密歇根州立大学\

新生 | 真实命中率: 65.2%

球探报告: 自从被插入密歇根州立大学的首发阵容以来,理查德森的比赛就达到了另一个水平,在承担更大的进攻责任的同时,他的侵略性和效率都提高了一个档次,同时保持着出色的效率。理查德森的节奏、技术水平、对比赛的理解以及投篮能力,为他在 19 岁时建立了一个出色的框架,尤其是他所带来的防守强度。尽管他有些平庸的身材(穿鞋身高 6 英尺 2 英寸,体重 185 磅)可能会在一定程度上限制他在球队眼中的上限,但他影响攻防两端比赛的方式,以及他出色的统计数据,都不能被低估,尤其是如果他能够继续在突破和传球方面取得进步的话。

NBA 内幕与适配性: 迈阿密的热火队在截止日期前将吉米·巴特勒三世(Jimmy Butler III) 交易到金州勇士队后,他们的季后赛希望不出所料地受到了打击,自从完成这笔交易以来,他们的战绩为 4 胜 11 负。BPI 预测热火队有 57.5% 的可能性无缘季后赛,在这种情况下,他们将保留他们的前 14 顺位保护选秀权,并将他们在 2026 年的首轮选秀权不受保护地转让给俄克拉荷马城。理查德森似乎是热火队可能会被吸引的那种年轻后卫,而且这里可能会有一个强大的适配性,因为后场显然存在需求。– Givony


13. 达拉斯独行侠

诺兰·特拉奥雷(Nolan Traore),控球后卫,圣昆廷(法国)\

法国 | 真实命中率: 49.3%

球探报告: 在经历了艰难的赛季开局后,特拉奥雷在过去的两个月里一直在上升,在对阵高级别对手的比赛中取得了令人印象深刻的胜利,同时展示了他出色的速度、投篮创造能力和传球能力。这位 18 岁的球员在一个超出自身能力范围的角色中遭受了一些挫折,在外线投篮、决策和攻防两端的身体对抗方面都遇到了困难。但他最近似乎打出了他最好的篮球,并且仍然让他的球队有望晋级季后赛,这为他在大学篮球赛季结束后很长时间内,提供了另外两个多月的评估机会。

NBA 内幕与适配性: 在交易了卢卡·东契奇(Luka Doncic),并且凯里·欧文(Kyrie Irving) 和安东尼·戴维斯(Anthony Davis) 因伤缺席之后,独行侠队正在努力保住附加赛的位置,BPI 预测他们有 12% 的可能性进入季后赛。独行侠队无法控制他们在 2027 年至 2030 年的首轮选秀权,因此他们必须在今年和明年明智地进行选秀。由于欧文很可能在下个赛季的大部分时间里缺席,后场可能是第一个开始的地方。特拉奥雷是本届选秀中最年轻的球员之一,并且拥有出色的持球天赋,并且在长期内有很大的成长空间。– Givony


14. 亚特兰大老鹰(来自萨克拉门托)

利亚姆·麦克尼利(Liam McNeeley),得分后卫/小前锋,康涅狄格大学\

新生 | 真实命中率: 55.9%

球探报告: 麦克尼利在他的新生赛季中,有过几次精彩的时刻,但缺乏稳定性,他的两分球命中率为 44%,三分球命中率为 35%,并且在防守端有时会遇到困难。在一支缺乏控球手的球队中,他被赋予了比他有能力承担的更多的投篮创造责任,并且很可能在 NBA 中扮演一个非常不同的角色,更多地依靠他充满活力的外线投篮能力。与此同时,康涅狄格大学需要在“大东联盟”和 NCAA 锦标赛中发挥出麦克尼利的最佳水平——并且以一个强劲的姿态结束比赛,将有助于巩固他作为选秀乐透的资格。

NBA 内幕与适配性: 如果老鹰队获得 13-30 顺位的选秀权,他们将会收到来自国王队的这个选秀权,但这一点在一段时间内不会明确,根据 ESPN 的 BPI 预测,国王队有 74% 的可能性无缘季后赛。围绕特雷·杨(Trae Young)(他以场均 11.5 次助攻领跑 NBA)增加更多的射手,将始终是一个优先事项,而麦克尼利肯定符合这一要求。– Givony


15. 奥兰多魔术

琼·贝林格(Joan Beringer),中锋,采代维塔奥林匹亚(法国)\

斯洛文尼亚 | 真实命中率: 59.2%

球探报告: 贝林格继续吸引着大批 NBA 决策者前往斯洛文尼亚卢布尔雅那,并且在欧洲杯季后赛中,以其在防守端的统治级表现,打出了本赛季最具影响力的比赛之一。贝林格在防守外线和轮转保护篮筐方面的敏捷性,使他在长期内具有极大的多功能性,帮助他获得了任何预计被选中的球员中最高的盖帽率。随着采代维塔被欧洲杯淘汰,他的球队现在正在争夺亚得里亚海联赛季后赛(定于五月举行)的种子席位,一旦各支球队完全将注意力转移到国际比赛上,NBA 高管将会对此进行密切关注。

NBA 内幕与适配性: 奥兰多本赛季的比赛已经偏离了轨道,该队在过去的 25 场比赛中仅赢了 7 场。BPI 现在预测魔术队有 58% 的可能性进入季后赛。提高进攻能力将是球队的首要任务,如果他们注定要参加选秀,短期内可能很难解决这个问题。打包他们的两个选秀权以向上交易,或者使用现有阵容进行更大的动作,可能会受到密切关注,因为这次选秀缺乏有影响力的后场选择。– Givony


16. 圣安东尼奥马刺(来自亚特兰大)

科林·穆雷-博伊尔斯(Collin Murray-Boyles),大前锋/中锋,南卡罗来纳大学\

二年级 | 真实命中率: 63.7%

球探报告: 很难将南卡罗来纳大学 12 胜 19 负的赛季完全归咎于穆雷-博伊尔斯,尽管他是对方防守的重点,但他仍然在联盟比赛中表现出色(16.8 分、7.3 个篮板、1.5 次抢断、1.3 次盖帽)。尽管他的身高对于他的位置来说并不出色,但他的强硬、感觉和动力都是有吸引力的角色球员品质,应该可以很好地扩展到辅助环境。

NBA 内幕与适配性: BPI 预测老鹰队有 78% 的可能性进入季后赛,作为 2022 年德章泰·穆雷(Dejounte Murray) 交易的一部分,将他们不受保护的选秀权发送给马刺队。像穆雷-博伊尔斯这样,一位强硬且对比赛有强烈感觉的多功能大个子,可能会对马刺队具有吸引力,即使他缺乏外线投篮能力并不理想。– Woo


17. 俄克拉荷马城雷霆(来自快船)

诺阿·埃森格(Noa Essengue),大前锋,拉蒂奥法姆乌尔姆(德国)\

德国 | 真实命中率: 60.9%

球探报告: 埃森格在本赛季的欧洲杯和 BBL 中,一直表现高效,面对高级别的竞争,在没有为他设置战术的情况下,填满了数据表。他通过转换进攻、冲抢篮板、空切以及因其出色的速度而大量制造犯规来得分,尽管他很难在弧线外投篮(三分球命中率为 25%)。随着他的球队有望进入季后赛(目前在德国排名第一),一旦大学篮球赛季结束,球探们将很快将注意力转向乌尔姆。

NBA 内幕与适配性: 俄克拉荷马城拥有与其自身的首轮选秀权,用于交换快船队和火箭队的更好的首轮选秀权。雷霆队继续拥有联盟中最多的选秀权和互换权,这使他们可以锁定他们想要的目标,而无需在其中构建沉重的需求;他们可能在本届选秀中有多达三个首轮选秀权。雷霆队从不害怕在像埃森格这样的球员身上进行尝试,即使前锋在这个阵容中没有明确的上场时间。– Givony


18. 印第安纳步行者

丹尼·沃尔夫(Danny Wolf),中锋,密歇根大学\

三年级 | 真实命中率: 57.4%

球探报告: 沃尔夫的主要贡献在于密歇根大学本赛季成功的中心,尽管狼獾队在进入“十大联盟”锦标赛时已经连续输了三场比赛。在本届选秀中,没有一个像沃尔夫这样的球员,他能够在身高 7 英尺的情况下,传球并在外线比赛。他反常的技术组合,也使他具有一定的争议性——他的效率不是特别高(联盟比赛中的真实命中率为 55.7%),并且由于他承担的风险数量,他在失误方面遇到了困难。他的选秀范围是我们目前预计的首轮球员中,最广泛的之一,并且球队的契合度对于他长期保持竞争力至关重要。

NBA 内幕与适配性: 印第安纳队在进入一个重要的休赛期时,仍然保持着良好的季后赛席位,迈尔斯·特纳(Myles Turner) 将成为自由球员,如果步行者队与他续约,他们可能会达到奢侈税(他们自 2005-06 赛季以来就没有达到过奢侈税)。步行者队主要通过选秀来建立他们的辅助阵容,并且可以使用更多的前场深度,这使得沃尔夫无论特纳是否留队,都是一个有趣的考虑因素。– Woo


19. 明尼苏达森林狼(来自底特律)

卡特·布莱恩特(Carter Bryant),小前锋/大前锋,亚利桑那大学\

新生 | 真实命中率: 61.1%

球探报告: 布莱恩特在替补席上为亚利桑那大学效力时,展示了他长期以来的吸引力,带来了强大的防守多功能性和功能性外线比赛的潜力。尽管不是一个好的控球手,但布莱恩特是一名出色的传球手和有能力的接球投篮球员,并且还有潜力可以挖掘。尽管他可能需要时间才能在 NBA 级别获得上场时间,但他仍然是一个有吸引力的项目选择,并且如果有机会在 NCAA 锦标赛中取得成功,他将有机会从三月份的聚光灯中受益。

NBA 内幕与适配性: 森林狼队并没有期望在本赛季拥有一个首轮选秀权,但是随着活塞队稳稳地进入季后赛的行列,这个前 13 顺位保护的首轮选秀权很可能会转让。在去年投入未来资本选秀罗布·迪林厄姆(Rob Dillingham) 之后,明尼苏达队可能会将这个选秀权视为增加侧翼球员的机会,从理论上讲,布莱恩特的多功能性和无私性使他非常适合。– Woo


20. 布鲁克林篮网(来自密尔沃基)

阿萨·纽维尔(Asa Newell),大前锋,佐治亚大学\

新生 | 真实命中率: 61.7%

球探报告: 纽维尔和佐治亚大学在 SEC 锦标赛的第一轮比赛中,输给了俄克拉荷马大学而被淘汰,这将导致在进入选拔周日之前,在 NCAA 锦标赛的边缘,度过令人不安的几天。他的身材、移动性、侵略性和动力帮助他取得了一个成功的赛季,因为他被选入 SEC 全新生队,并在得分(15.1 分)和篮板(6.5 个)方面领先佐治亚大学。关于他的外线投篮、防守多功能性和对比赛的理解,仍然存在一些疑问,因为他有点像一个万事通,但由于他的平均身高,他被夹在两个位置之间。尽管如此,他有一个坚实的基础,并且在 19 岁时有成长的潜力。

NBA 内幕与适配性: 密尔沃基将把这个选秀权转让给布鲁克林,作为篮网将获得的四个首轮选秀权之一。尽管大多数 NBA 球队永远不会考虑拥有四名新秀,但篮网队在下个赛季只有很少的球员签订了有保障的合同,如果他们喜欢 6 月 26 日的选择,他们可能会保留所有四名球员。纽维尔是一位很容易插入大多数阵容的球员,他有能力冲抢进攻篮板、通过空切和挡拆得分,并且偶尔可以投中定点三分球,这使他成为在该范围内进行选择的球队的可靠选择。– Givony


21. 犹他爵士(来自明尼苏达)

拉谢尔·弗莱明(Rasheer Fleming),大前锋,圣约瑟夫大学\

三年级 | 真实命中率: 67.2%

球探报告: 从生产力和效率的角度来看,弗莱明度过了一个出色的赛季,他的两分球命中率为 67%,三分球命中率为 42%。他符合 NBA 球队正在寻找的那种模式,他是一位具有强大终结能力的空间型内线,并且理论上可以用他 7 英尺 5 英寸的臂展在球场上进行防守。圣约瑟夫大学在“大西洋十联盟”中以 11 胜 7 负的战绩结束比赛,这意味着老鹰队必须在联盟锦标赛中,作为 6 号种子在四天内赢得四场比赛,才能获得 NCAA 锦标赛的参赛资格,NBA 球探肯定不会介意看到他再参加一两场与高级别球队的比赛。

NBA 内幕与适配性: 这是犹他爵士队从明尼苏达队交易鲁迪·戈贝尔(Rudy Gobert) 中获得的四个首轮选秀权中的第二个,2027 年和 2029 年还将获得两个。BPI 预测明尼苏达队有 87% 的可能性进入季后赛,尽管目前他们作为西部 7 号种子,注定要参加附加赛。爵士队仍处于重建的早期阶段,他们可以用这个选秀权朝着任何方向发展,并且很可能会锁定像弗莱明这样的球员,尽管这与犹他爵士队在 2023 年的第 9 顺位选秀权泰勒·亨德里克斯(Taylor Hendricks) 明显重叠。– Givony


22. 迈阿密热火(来自金州)

威尔·莱利(Will Riley),得分后卫/小前锋,伊利诺伊大学\

新生 | 真实命中率: 52.8%

球探报告: 在一月份似乎遇到了瓶颈之后,莱利以更好的状态结束了常规赛,在过去的 11 场比赛中,有 10 场得分上双。尽管许多 NBA 高管都喜欢他作为一名具有身高优势的射手的潜力,但他的统计数据并不是特别有吸引力,在常规赛中他的两分球命中率仅为 48.6%,三分球命中率为 32%。他需要长期变得更强壮,才能最大限度地提高他在 NBA 的机会。莱利在三月份的一两场重要比赛中,会有所帮助,因为伊利诺伊大学需要得分手与雅库乔尼斯并肩作战。

NBA 内幕与适配性: 热火队在吉米·巴特勒三世的交易中,从勇士队获得了这个选秀权,这保证了他们在本届选秀中至少有一个首轮选秀权,这取决于他们自己的选择会发生什么。随着迈阿密围绕着巴姆·阿德巴约(Bam Adebayo)、泰勒·希罗(Tyler Herro) 和崛起的内线凯尔·韦尔(Kel’el Ware) 进行重建,培养一名像莱利这样的球员,以最终提高他们在侧翼的进攻能力,可能会是一个有吸引力的选择。– Woo


23. 布鲁克林篮网(来自休斯顿)

乌戈·冈萨雷斯(Hugo Gonzalez),得分后卫/小前锋,皇家马德里(西班牙)\

西班牙 | 真实命中率: 51.3%

球探报告: 冈萨雷斯在本赛季与马德里队中,获得了更加稳定的角色,尽管他的数据表贡献不大,但球探们仍然被他的活力和运动能力所吸引,他有可能成为一名长期的 NBA 角色球员。尽管他的产量不是很好,但他能够在欧洲的良好水平上,与更有经验的人才融合在一起,这一事实在 1

By Jonathan Givony, Jeremy Woo | ESPN, via ESPN

点击查看原文:2025 NBA mock draft: Pick projections ahead of March Madness

2025 NBA mock draft: Pick projections ahead of March Madness

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March Madness is here, and there’s no better time than this week and next to watch projected 2025 NBA draft picks play in their respective conference tournaments and the NCAA tournament.

There are a host of projected first-round prospects, including Duke’s Cooper Flagg, Maryland’s Derik Queen, Baylor’s VJ Edgecombe and Oklahoma’s Jeremiah Fears, whose teams are projected to be in the Big Dance.

NBA executives will lean on the next month to scout how players will perform under pressure in some of the biggest games of their careers.

The first- and second-round order was generated by ESPN’s BPI forecast, which predicts how well all 30 NBA teams will perform during the rest of the season.

Notes: The draft order, as updated through Tuesday morning, reflects picks owed and owned via trades. True shooting percentage (TS%) is a formula that blends field goal percentage with free throw shooting and 3-point shooting into one catch-all ratio.

More NBA draft coverage:\

Execs on Rutgers’ Dylan Harper, Ace Bailey\

15 top freshmen, 15 big questions\

Top 100 rankings | Previous mock draft | More

First round

1. Washington Wizards

**Cooper Flagg, SF/PF, Duke\

Freshman** | TS%: 61.0%

Scouting report: Flagg has solidified his standing as the consensus No. 1 pick in a phenomenal freshman season that saw him improve every facet of his game, helping him exceed the expectations with which he had when he entered college. Now approaching the biggest games of his young career in the coming weeks, Flagg will try to help Duke solidify its candidacy as the No. 1 overall seed with an ACC tournament championship before trying to win six NCAA tournament games and cut down the national championship nets at the Final Four in San Antonio.

NBA intel and fit: The Wizards have done well to position themselves in the Flagg sweepstakes, sporting the NBA’s worst point-differential (-12.2) by a wide margin. The Wizards would be thrilled to add a talent such as Flagg to their young core, putting in the building blocks for what could be a dynamic defensive frontcourt with Alex Sarr, last year’s No. 2 pick. – Givony


2. Utah Jazz

**Dylan Harper, SG/PG, Rutgers\

Freshman** | TS%: 59.5%

Scouting report: Harper has held steady as the No. 2 pick for many in NBA front offices despite a 15-17 season for Rutgers – a season that likely ended Wednesday with a double-overtime loss to USC in the Big Ten tournament, bringing Harper’s college career to a close. He has a blend of size, strength and intuitive playmaking that makes him attractive to any team in need of a perimeter creator. While Harper isn’t viewed as a likely challenger to Flagg at No. 1, he presents an excellent option for whichever team lands the second pick in the lottery.

NBA intel and fit: Utah has leaned heavily into its youth movement over the past month, due in part to injuries, but has been able to grant valuable development time to its recent draftees, such as guard Isaiah Collier. A byproduct of that will be another strong chance for the Jazz in the lottery, where any of the top four players would elevate the talent level of their young core. Being able to put the ball in Harper’s hands next season would be a big step in the right direction for this team. – Woo


3. Charlotte Hornets

**Ace Bailey, SG/SF, Rutgers\

Freshman** | TS%: 53.8%

Scouting report: Bailey had a relatively quiet February and his college career likely ended in the Big Ten tournament on Wednesday with a double-overtime loss to USC, but he remains highly regarded by NBA teams for his shot-making talent. He is viewed as more of a project and one who will require careful, hands-on development to succeed – but there’s no player in this draft who can score the way he does. Bailey’s predraft process will be pivotal in persuading teams he can discover the consistency needed to be a star at the next level.

NBA intel and fit: The Hornets remain in asset-gathering mode, owning all their future draft picks and are demonstrably willing to take big upside swings, like they did last season with No. 6 pick Tidjane Salaun. Charlotte should be attracted to the draft’s top available talent regardless of position in the interest of long-term roster development. While there might be some broad duplication with Bailey and Brandon Miller, the Hornets might find it difficult to pass on long-term upside. – Woo

More: NBA execs on what they see in Rutgers’ Harper, Bailey


4. New Orleans Pelicans

**VJ Edgecombe, SG, Baylor\

Freshman** | TS%: 56.5%%

Scouting report: Edgecombe, the Big 12 freshman of the year, has shown quite a bit of skill over the course of the season and is possibly the most explosive athlete in this draft class. He’s an event-creator defensively who made 39% of his 3-pointers in conference play. His improved shot creation and passing prowess bode well for his long-term development. Baylor (18-13) didn’t have the season it had hoped for and will need Edgecombe at his absolute best in the Big 12 and NCAA tournaments to have any chance of extending the Bears’ season.

NBA intel and fit: After a miserable start to the season, the Pelicans are 6-6 in their past 12 games, in no small part because of the return of Zion Williamson from injury. But that might not be great news for their lottery odds. There is a pack of teams directly behind New Orleans that would move it into a different tier of drafting a prospect depending on how the draft lottery plays out May 12. A player such as Edgecombe would be an exciting addition, giving them two of the most explosive athletes in the game when paired with Williamson. – Givony


5. Philadelphia 76ers

**Tre Johnson, SG, Texas\

Freshman** | TS%: 56.7%

Scouting report: The No. 5 spot in particular has been open for debate in this class, with Flagg, Harper, Bailey and Edgecombe forming a soft consensus among the top four. Despite a middling season for Texas (17-14), Johnson has endeared himself to scouts, as there’s a willingness to forgive his tricky team context and the ups and downs of his demanding role. He has helped himself as a result, despite pronounced highs (39 points in an overtime loss at Arkansas) and ugly lows (0-for-14 from the field against Oklahoma). Johnson has a huge platform at the SEC tournament, with a huge contingent of NBA decision-makers on hand in Nashville.

NBA intel and fit: The 76ers will likely find themselves sweating the draft lottery in May, with their first-round pick holding top-six protections, but otherwise conveying to the Thunder. After a challenging, injury-filled season in Philadelphia, having a legitimate chance at a top pick provides consolation. The Sixers seem to have found a long-term backcourt pairing in Tyrese Maxey and Jared McCain, but considering it was 2018 when they last had a top-10 draft pick, Philadelphia should swing on the selection with the most upside. Johnson would give them a third young guard to build around. – Woo


6. Brooklyn Nets

**Kasparas Jakucionis, PG, Illinois\

Freshman** | TS%: 60.8%

Scouting report: Jakucionis endured tough moments in conference play, but Illinois righted the ship to win three straight to end its regular season at 20-11. There’s still plenty to like about Jakucionis’ makeup and playmaking savvy, but scouts have also been wary of his streaky scoring and bouts of sloppiness with turnovers. (He averaged 3.4 turnovers a game.) Making a successful jump to the Big Ten as an 18-year-old is impressive in its own right, but he can help his case with a good showing against top competition in the NCAA tournament. Jakucionis likely remains solid in the lottery either way, with the draft becoming much more eye-of-the-beholder after the first four players go off the board.

NBA intel and fit: Brooklyn will enter its offseason with plentiful salary-cap space and draft assets, with its front office having repositioned the franchise over the past 18 months. While the exact timeline toward competing remains unclear – many of the league’s rebuilding teams have to consider the talent at the top of the 2026 draft, as well – landing the best long-term talent with their four first-round picks will be a major offseason task. Jakucionis would be a nice fit, giving the Nets a long-term backcourt player to develop. – Woo


7. Toronto Raptors

**Khaman Maluach, C, Duke\

Freshman** | TS%: 71.9%

Scouting report: Maluach is playing an important role for the No. 1 ranked Blue Devils, anchoring the team’s top-six defense, inhaling rebounds on both ends and providing vertical spacing as a roller and cutter while sprinting the floor aggressively in transition. Some of his offensive limitations have appeared more glaring in ACC competition, and he still has questions to answer regarding his skill level and defensive versatility. How he fares in Duke’s biggest games will shed important insight into his NBA readiness and will likely play a role in determining where he will eventually get selected in June.

NBA intel and fit: The Raptors have been feistier than expected, winning five of their past six games, distancing themselves from the pack of Flagg contenders and inching closer to the play-in tournament territory in the Eastern conference. Unless it is fortunate enough to move into the top-four on lottery night, Toronto will be picking from the next tier of prospects, which includes Maluach, who could be earmarked as a big man to build around long term. – Givony


8. San Antonio Spurs

**Kon Knueppel, SG/SF, Duke\

Freshman** | TS%: 63.3%

Scouting report: Knueppel is in the middle of a highly productive, efficient season as Duke’s second-leading scorer (13.7 points per game) and most prolific outside shooter. He handles a steady share of Duke’s shot-creation duties, playing an intelligent, mistake-free, team-oriented style that should translate well to any setting. Some of Knueppel’s least efficient games came in the first month of the season versus the toughest competition Duke faced, so scouts will be interested to see how he fares against longer and more athletic opponents if Duke makes it deep into the NCAA tournament.

NBA intel and fit: Surrounding Victor Wembanyama with shooting will surely be an organizational priority moving forward, especially with NBA Rookie of the Year contender Stephon Castle’s struggles with shooting from outside (28.3% from 3). Knueppel’s competitiveness, feel for the game and versatility would make him a seamless fit on any NBA roster, but he’s a particularly good match in San Antonio with his strong passing and 40% 3-point shooting. – Givony


9. Portland Trail Blazers

**Egor Demin, PG/SG, BYU\

Freshman** | TS%: 51.6%

Scouting report: Demin continues to produce for a BYU team (23-8) that’s firmly in the NCAA tournament field and riding an eight-game win streak. His season hasn’t produced the star turn many hoped for after a strong start, but he remains a focus for NBA teams thanks to his positional size and passing vision. He’s a divisive pro prospect primarily because of his struggles creating his own offense, shooting from 3 and long-term defensive concerns. A series of good performances under the NCAA tourney microscope would likely stabilize his range, which starts around here at No. 9, but is likely a wide one at this point.

NBA intel and fit: Portland has come back to earth somewhat after a hot start to February, but remains in the play-in picture with a seven-game homestand that started Wednesday, and rivals Dallas and Phoenix going through rough patches of their respective seasons. The Blazers have some key contract decisions coming and have likely torpedoed their chances at attractive lottery odds. Portland has also seen players such as Toumani Camara and Shaedon Sharpe emerge. Demin’s playmaking and connective skills could be a good fit on a roster presently built around backcourt scoring. – Woo


10. Chicago Bulls

**Derik Queen, C, Maryland\

Freshman** | TS%: 59.4%

Scouting report: Queen will play a driving role in whatever success the Terrapins have in the NCAA tournament. Queen is the most offensively gifted big in this draft class, presenting matchup problems with his ability to put the ball on the floor and attack out of different spots on the interior. Despite his productivity, there have been gripes from NBA scouts who have critiqued his consistency, leaving room for doubt particularly on the defensive end, where he can be lethargic. Regardless, the competitive spotlight of March gives Queen a chance to assuage some of those concerns.

NBA intel and fit: The Bulls traded for full rights to their first-round pick at February’s NBA trade deadline and seem to be shifting into full youth movement mode, with Josh Giddey and Coby White due for new contracts. At some point Chicago will have to make decisions on which players they view as core pieces, and how it approaches this likely lottery pick could provide clues in that regard. The Bulls’ dearth of young frontcourt talent would make Queen an interesting consideration. – Woo


11. Houston Rockets (via Phoenix)

**Jeremiah Fears, PG, Oklahoma\

Freshman** | TS%: 56.5%

Scouting report: Oklahoma secured an important bubble win against Georgia on Wednesday night and heads into a big matchup with Kentucky on Thursday. Should the Sooners advance further, it would be a nice reward for Fears’ surprisingly strong freshman campaign. His youth at 18, competitive nature and flashes of improvement this season have put him in lottery conversations, despite his need for physical development and defensive improvement. Teams in search of playmaking will have to consider him early in the draft.

NBA intel and fit: The Rockets are set to swap their pick with the Suns’ first-rounder, giving them potentially another lottery pick to add to their loaded young roster. Houston also controls much of Phoenix’s future, holding the Suns’ picks in 2027 and 2029. With developing talent at every position, the Rockets are in a spot to take a swing, with Fears projected as a potential backcourt partner for Reed Sheppard. – Woo


12. Miami Heat

**Jase Richardson, PG/SG, Michigan State\

Freshman** | TS%: 65.2%

Scouting report: Richardson has taken his game to another level since being inserted into Michigan State’s starting five, finding another notch with his aggressiveness and productivity shouldering greater offensive responsibility while maintaining stellar efficiency. Richardson’s pace, skill level, feel for the game, and shot-making prowess give him an outstanding framework to build off at 19 years old, especially with the intensity he brings defensively. Though his somewhat pedestrian measurements (6-foot-2 in shoes and 185 pounds) might limit his ceiling to an extent in the eyes of teams, the way he is affecting winning on both ends of the court, along with his tremendous statistical profile, can’t be discounted, especially if he can continue to make strides as a slasher and passer.

NBA intel and fit: Miami’s playoff aspirations unsurprisingly took a hit after trading Jimmy Butler III to Golden State at the deadline, going 4-11 since making the move. BPI gives the Heat a 57.5% chance of missing the playoffs, in which case they would keep their top-14 protected pick and convey their 2026 first-rounder unprotected to Oklahoma City. Richardson seems like the kind of young guard prospect the Heat could be attracted to, and there could be a strong fit here with an obvious need in the backcourt. – Givony


13. Dallas Mavericks

**Nolan Traore, PG, Saint Quentin (France)\

France** | TS%: 49.3%

Scouting report: After a difficult start to the season, Traore has been on an upswing over the past two months, notching impressive wins against high-level opponents while showcasing his outstanding speed, shot creation and passing prowess. The 18-year-old has taken some lumps in an outsized role, struggling with perimeter shooting, decision-making and physicality on both ends. But he seems to be playing his best basketball lately and still has his team positioned to make the playoffs, providing another two-plus months of opportunity to be evaluated long after the college basketball season is complete.

NBA intel and fit: In the aftermath of trading Luka Doncic and losing Kyrie Irving and Anthony Davis to injuries, the Mavs are trying to hold on to a spot in the play-in tournament, with BPI giving them a 12% chance of making the playoffs. The Mavs don’t control their first-round picks from 2027 to 2030, so they must draft wisely this year and next. With Irving probably out for much of next season, the backcourt might be the first place to start. Traore is one of the draft’s youngest prospects, and possesses significant talent with the ball in his hands, with plenty of room to grow long term. – Givony


14. Atlanta Hawks (via Sacramento)

**Liam McNeeley, SG/SF, UConn\

Freshman** | TS%: 55.9%

Scouting report: McNeeley has had several big moments over the course of his freshman season but has lacked consistency, converting 44% on 2-pointers and 35% on 3-pointers while struggling at times on defense. On a team lacking ball handlers, he has been tasked with more shot-creation responsibility than he is equipped for, and probably will be asked to play a very different role in the NBA, leaning more into his dynamic perimeter shooting ability. In the meantime, UConn will need McNeeley at his best in the Big East Conference and NCAA tournaments – and finishing on a strong note would be helpful in solidifying his lottery credentials.

NBA intel and fit: The Hawks will receive this pick provided it falls from 13 to 30, something that won’t crystalize for some time, with the Kings having a 74% chance of missing the playoffs per ESPN’s BPI. Surrounding Trae Young (who is leading the NBA in assists with 11.5 per game) with additional shooting will always be a priority, and McNeeley certainly fits that bill. – Givony


15. Orlando Magic

**Joan Beringer, C, Cedevita Olimpija (France)\

Slovenia** | TS%: 59.2%

Scouting report: Beringer continues to draw a significant audience of NBA decision-makers to Ljubljana, Slovenia, and just had one of his most impactful games of the season with a dominant defensive display in the EuroCup playoffs. Beringer’s agility covering ground on the perimeter and rotating to protect the rim gives him significant versatility to tap into long term, helping him post the highest block percentage of any projected draft pick on either side of the ocean. With Cedevita eliminated from EuroCup competition, his team is now fighting for seeding in the Adriatic league playoffs (slated for May), which NBA executives will heavily scrutinize once teams fully turn their attention to international play with college basketball’s season ending next month.

NBA intel and fit: Orlando’s season has gone off the rails lately, with the team winning only seven over its past 25 games. BPI now gives the Magic a 58% chance of making the playoffs. Improving on offense will be a team priority, something that might be difficult to address short-term with where they are slated to be drafting. Packaging their two draft picks to move up or making bigger moves with existing roster pieces probably will be closely studied, as this draft is short on impactful backcourt options. – Givony


16. San Antonio Spurs (via Atlanta)

**Collin Murray-Boyles, PF/C, South Carolina\

Sophomore** | TS%: 63.7%

Scouting report: It’s hard to pin South Carolina’s 12-19 season all on Murray-Boyles, who was productive during conference play (16.8 points, 7.3 rebounds, 1.5 steals, 1.3 blocks) despite being the focal point for opposing defenses. Though he doesn’t have great size for his position, his toughness, feel, and motor are all attractive role-player qualities that should scale well into a complementary context.

NBA intel and fit: BPI gives the Hawks a 78% chance of making the playoffs, sending their unprotected pick to the Spurs as part of the Dejounte Murray trade in 2022. A versatile big man with toughness and a strong feel for the game like Murray-Boyles could be appealing to the Spurs, even if his lack of perimeter shooting isn’t ideal. – Woo


17. Oklahoma City Thunder (via the Clippers)

**Noa Essengue, PF, Ratiopharm Ulm (Germany)\

Germany** | TS%: 60.9%

Scouting report: Essengue has been productive and efficient all season in the EuroCup and BBL against high-level competition, filling up the stat sheet without needing plays called for him. He scores in transition, crashing the glass, cutting off the ball and drawing fouls in bunches because of his outstanding quickness, although he struggles shooting from beyond the arc (25% on 3s). With his team poised for a playoff run (currently tied for first place in Germany), scouts will soon turn their attention to Ulm once the college basketball season ends.

NBA intel and fit: Oklahoma City holds rights to swap its own first-round pick for the better of the Clippers’ and Rockets’ firsts. The Thunder continue to sit on the deepest collection of draft picks and swaps in the league, allowing them to target who they want without a heavy need built in; they could have as many as three firsts in this draft. The Thunder have never been afraid of taking swings on young players with upside in Essengue’s mold, even if there’s no clear pathway to minutes for the forward on this roster. – Givony


18. Indiana Pacers

**Danny Wolf, C, Michigan\

Junior** | TS%: 57.4%

Scouting report: Wolf’s major contributions have been at the center of Michigan’s success this season, although the Wolverines enter the Big Ten tourney having lost three straight games. There’s no prospect quite like Wolf in this draft, with his ability to pass and play on the perimeter at his size (7-foot). His anomalous mix of skills also makes him somewhat divisive – he hasn’t been especially efficient (55.7% TS in conference play) and has struggled with turnovers because of the number of risks he takes. His draft range is among the wider of our current projected first-rounders, and team fit figures to be paramount to his ability to stick long term.

NBA intel and fit: Indiana remains in good shape for a playoff berth entering an important offseason, with Myles Turner hitting free agency and the Pacers potentially reaching the luxury tax (which they haven’t done since 2005-06) if they re-sign him. The Pacers have primarily built their supporting cast through the draft and could use additional frontcourt depth, making Wolf an interesting consideration whether Turner stays put or not. – Woo


19. Minnesota Timberwolves (via Detroit)

**Carter Bryant, SF/PF, Arizona\

Freshman** | TS%: 61.1%

Scouting report: Bryant has shown what makes him interesting long term while coming off the bench for Arizona, bringing strong defensive versatility and the makings of a functional perimeter game. Though not a good ball handler, Bryant is a plus-passer and capable catch-and-shoot player with upside left to tap into. Though it might take time for him to earn minutes at the NBA level, he remains an attractive project pick and will have a chance to benefit from the March spotlight if Arizona can mount a run in the NCAA tournament.

NBA intel and fit: The Timberwolves weren’t expecting to have a first-round pick this season, but with the Pistons squarely in the playoff picture, this top-13 protected first is likely to convey. After committing future capital to draft Rob Dillingham last year, Minnesota could see this pick as an opportunity to add on the wing, with Bryant’s versatility and unselfishness making him a good fit in theory. – Woo


20. Brooklyn Nets (via Milwaukee)

**Asa Newell, PF, Georgia\

Freshman** | TS%: 61.7%

Scouting report: Newell and Georgia bowed out of the first round of the SEC tournament with a loss to Oklahoma, which will lead to a nervous few days on the NCAA tournament bubble heading into Selection Sunday. His size, mobility, aggressiveness and motor helped him to a successful season, as he was selected to the SEC All-Freshman team after leading Georgia in scoring (15.1) and rebounding (6.5). Some questions persist regarding his perimeter shooting, defensive versatility and feel for the game, as he is somewhat of a jack of all trades who is caught between positions with his average length. Nonetheless, he has a solid floor and upside to grow into at 19 years old.

NBA intel and fit: Milwaukee will convey this pick to Brooklyn as one of four first-round selections headed the Nets’ way. Though most NBA teams would never consider rostering four rookies, the Nets have few players under guaranteed contracts next season and might be in position to keep all four if they like their options on June 26. Newell is a fairly easy player to plug into most rosters with his ability to crash the offensive glass, score off cuts and rolls, and connect on occasional spot 3s, making him a solid option for teams picking in this range. – Givony


21. Utah Jazz (via Minnesota)

**Rasheer Fleming, PF, Saint Joseph’s\

Junior** | TS%: 67.2%

Scouting report: Fleming has had an outstanding season from a productivity and efficiency perspective, converting 67% of his 2-pointers and 42% of his 3s. He fits a mold NBA teams are searching for as a stretch big with strong finishing prowess who can theoretically guard all over the court with his 7-foot-5 wingspan. Saint Joseph’s 11-7 finish in the Atlantic 10 means the Hawks will have to win four games in four days as the No. 6 seed in the conference tournament to secure an NCAA tournament bid, as NBA scouts surely wouldn’t mind seeing him play another game or two against high major competition.

NBA intel and fit: This is the second of four first-round picks acquired by Utah from Minnesota in the Rudy Gobert trade, with two more to come in 2027 and 2029. BPI gives Minnesota an 87% chance of making the playoffs, despite currently being slated for the play-in tournament as a No. 7 seed in the West. Still at an early stage of a rebuild, the Jazz can afford to go in any direction with this pick, and could very well target a prospect such as Fleming, despite clear overlap with Taylor Hendricks, Utah’s No. 9 overall pick in 2023. – Givony


22. Miami Heat (via Golden State)

**Will Riley, SG/SF, Illinois\

Freshman** | TS%: 52.8%

Scouting report: After appearing to hit a wall in January, Riley finished the regular season on a better note, scoring in double figures in 10 of his last 11 games. Though many NBA execs are fans of his potential as a shooter at his size, his statistical case isn’t particularly attractive, making just 48.6% on 2-pointers and 32% on 3-pointers in the regular season. He needs to get stronger long term to maximize his NBA chances. A big game or two from Riley in March would help, as Illinois will need scorers to step up alongside Jakucionis.

NBA intel and fit: The Heat acquired this pick from the Warriors in the Jimmy Butler III trade, guaranteeing them at least one first-rounder in this draft depending what happens with their own selection. With Miami retooling around Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, and emerging center Kel’el Ware, developing a player such as Riley to eventually boost their offense on the wing could be an attractive fit. – Woo


23. Brooklyn Nets (via Houston)

**Hugo Gonzalez, SG/SF, Real Madrid (Spain)\

Spain** | TS%: 51.3%

Scouting report: Gonzalez earned a more consistent role with Madrid over the course of the season, and though his box score contributions haven’t been major, scouts remain drawn to his energy and athletic tools as a possible long-term NBA role player. Though his production hasn’t been great, his ability to fit in alongside more experienced talent at a good level in Europe at age 19 is noteworthy. It’ll be interesting to see how teams view the suboptimal context of his season, and it’s unclear how much of the predraft process he’ll be available for, with Madrid’s season potentially running into June.

NBA intel and fit: The Nets hold a league-high four first-round picks in this draft, and though they might not make all of them, it’s a big opportunity to strengthen their collection of young players. Brooklyn could be a smooth fit for Gonzalez, with the Nets having a Spanish coach in Jordi Fernandez, and presumably a strong level of familiarity with the situation. – Woo


24. Washington Wizards (via Memphis)

**Ben Saraf, PG/SG, Ratiopharm Ulm (Germany)\

Germany** | TS%: 52.3%

Scouting report: After a strong start to the season, Saraf hit a bit of a lull, struggling with turnovers and poor outside shooting for both Ulm and the Israeli national team. NBA teams love Saraf’s size (6-6), feel for the game and creativity, but have mixed views on his ability to play a primary shot-creation role with his lack of explosiveness. With his team gearing up for a deep playoff run – currently in first place in the BBL – Saraf will be scrutinized closely by scouts deep into May once the college basketball season concludes. How he performs against top-level competition probably will play a role in how he’s viewed by NBA teams.

NBA intel and fit: The Wizards acquired this pick at the February trade deadline from Memphis in exchange for taking on Marcus Smart’s contract, a tidy bit of business as part of their rebuilding effort. With wins and losses not a primary concern at this point of the season, the Wizards can afford to take a swing on an 18-year-old such as Saraf and empower him with significant playmaking responsibility to see how far his talent can carry him. – Givony


25. Atlanta Hawks (via the Lakers)

**Thomas Sorber, C, Georgetown\

Freshman** | TS%: 58.7%

Scouting report: Sorber is out for the season after requiring foot surgery but is still expected to declare for the draft to gauge his standing among NBA teams. It remains to be seen what kind of predraft process Sorber will undergo, which might play a role in whether he elects to return to college. Nevertheless, Sorber’s strong feel for the game, defensive versatility, length, physicality and skill level as a pick-and-roll finisher are attractive qualities at 19 years old, and the dearth of true center options in this draft range could help his standing as well.

NBA intel and fit: The Hawks will receive the Lakers’ pick as part of the Dejounte Murray deal, giving them another opportunity to add a young player on a controlled rookie scale contract, an important factor considering the Hawks’ salary cap situation. Clint Capela becoming an unrestricted free agent this summer might very well prompt the Hawks to explore adding a young center such as Sorber to develop alongside Onyeka Okongwu over the next few years. – Givony


26. Brooklyn Nets (via New York)

**Alex Condon, C, Florida\

Sophomore** | TS%: 58.8%

Scouting report: Condon is playing a significant role for No. 4 Florida, operating as an important playmaking hub on offense while being tasked with switching all over the court on defense. His combination of skill, feel for the game and intensity gives him the versatility to play both power forward and center, especially when he’s making shots from the perimeter as he has inconsistently (15-for-43 on 3-pointers, 35%). The longer Condon and Florida play in the NCAA tournament, the better he’ll be positioned in this draft class.

NBA intel and fit: Armed with four first-round picks, the Nets have great flexibility with how to approach this draft. Condon’s ability to play either frontcourt spot could be attractive, especially if the Nets believe he can stretch the court consistently long term. – Givony


27. Orlando Magic (via Denver)

**Drake Powell, SG/SF, North Carolina\

Freshman** | TS%: 60.4%

Scouting report: Powell might face a difficult stay-or-go decision this spring, with North Carolina ramping up its NIL efforts in a major way for next season and probably compelled to retain Powell and freshman teammate Ian Jackson. This is just one of many cases in which NIL spending power makes the option to turn pro less clear-cut for prospects who are not guaranteed to be first-round picks. A poor team context as well as limited offensive skills made this a somewhat forgettable freshman season for Powell – and though teams still like his defensive upside in the long run, he’ll have work to do in the predraft process to enhance his standing.

NBA intel and fit: Orlando has built much of its roster through the draft and holds two first-round picks. The Magic are in need of wing defenders and improved floor spacing, with the signing of Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (who hasn’t had a stellar season) intended to address that issue. Though Powell isn’t there yet as a shooter, his defensive acumen could make him a viable developmental pick. – Woo


28. Boston Celtics

**Adou Thiero, PF, Arkansas\

Junior** | TS%: 62.0%

Scouting report: Thiero has sat out five games and counting because of a knee injury and might be done for the season, with his status still unclear at the SEC tournament. He remains one of the draft’s biggest gambles on pure physical ability. A productive season still didn’t quite address the concerns about his limited feel and shooting. He’s one of this draft’s best athletes, allowing him to make plays defensively and finish around the rim at a high level, and to some extent covering for other holes in his game. There’s interesting role-player upside here if Thiero lands with a team that can maximize his strengths, helped by the fact he plays with a strong motor. That upside continues to make him a valid bet at the end of the first round, presuming his health checks out.

NBA intel and fit: The defending champion Celtics have assembled an enviable, if expensive roster, making this pick (as well as Washington’s second-round pick, which Boston holds) a good opportunity to add cost-controlled talent. Thiero would benefit from a situation such as Boston’s, where he’d be surrounded with experienced players to smooth his transition into a bench role. – Woo


29. LA Clippers (via Oklahoma City)

**Noah Penda, SF/PF, Le Mans (France)\

France** | TS%: 54.7%

Scouting report: Penda’s versatility and strong feel for the game have played an important role for playoff-bound Le Mans. He is an intelligent passer who slides all over the court on defense and plays a mature style of basketball for a 20-year-old getting his first action of high-level European basketball. His streaky shooting – making 29% of his 3-pointers this season – is something NBA teams will want to learn more about in the predraft process, along with his average explosiveness.

NBA intel and fit: The Clippers dodged a potential headache in declining to extend All-Star guard Paul George, and haven’t taken much of a step back; BPI gives them an 76% chance of making the playoffs. With precious few draft assets coming their way in the next few years because of myriad trades made to acquire George and James Harden, the Clippers will need to draft wisely moving forward to stay competitive. A versatile role player such as Penda who can slide across different positions and play alongside better players could be attractive here. – Givony


30. Phoenix Suns (via Cleveland)

**Ryan Kalkbrenner, C, Creighton\

Super senior** | TS%: 70.2%

Scouting report: Kalkbrenner, 23, is a well-known prospect for NBA teams after playing five seasons for the Bluejays. He has been one of the most productive players in college basketball, offering reliable finishing at the rim and quality paint protection, a recipe that hasn’t changed much. At his age, there’s not much perception of upside left to glean from his profile, but a team in search of backup center depth at a lower cost might see value in him as high as the late first round.

NBA intel and fit: It seems Phoenix is due for more offseason change with whispers of a potential deal with Kevin Durant further upending a franchise that has burned through most of its levers to improve the roster. The Suns are the type of team that might find value in hitting a figurative single or double at pick No. 30, with an experienced player such as Kalkbrenner not likely to burn a hole in their pockets considering their heavy need for depth up front. – Woo

Second round

31. Boston Celtics (via Washington)\

Nique Clifford, SG, Colorado State, super senior

32. Minnesota Timberwolves (via Utah)\

Sergio De Larrea, PG/SG, Valencia ACB (Spain)

33. Charlotte Hornets\

Alex Karaban, PF, Connecticut, junior

34. Charlotte Hornets (via New Orleans)\

Ian Jackson, SG, North Carolina, freshman

35. Philadelphia 76ers\

Michael Ruzic, PF, Joventut (Spain)

36. Brooklyn Nets\

Maxime Raynaud, C, Stanford, senior

37. Detroit Pistons (via Toronto)\

Alex Toohey, SF/PF, Sydney (Australia)

38. San Antonio Spurs\

Boogie Fland, PG, Arkansas, freshman

39. Toronto Raptors (via Portland)\

Miles Byrd, SG, San Diego State, sophomore

40. Sacramento Kings (via Chicago)\

Chaz Lanier, SG, Tennessee, super senior

41. Washington Wizards (via Phoenix)\

Johni Broome, C, Auburn, super senior

42. Golden State Warriors (via Miami)\

Isaiah Evans, SG/SF, Duke, freshman

43. Utah Jazz (via Dallas)\

Tyrese Proctor, PG, Duke, junior

44. Chicago Bulls (via Sacramento)\

Darrion Williams, SF/PF, Texas Tech, junior

45. Orlando Magic\

Eric Dixon, C, Villanova, super senior

46. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Atlanta)\

Kam Jones, PG/SG, Marquette, senior

47. Utah Jazz (via LA Clippers)\

Sion James, SF, Duke, super senior

48. Indiana Pacers\

Dink Pate, SG/SF, Mexico City Capitanes (G League)

49. Milwaukee Bucks (via Washington)\

Cedric Coward, SF, Washington State, senior

50. Cleveland Cavaliers (via Milwaukee)\

Johann Grunloh, C, Vechta (Germany)

51. LA Clippers (via Minnesota)\

Rocco Zikarsky, C, Brisbane (Australia)

52. Memphis Grizzlies (via Washington)\

Bogoljub Markovic, PF/C, Mega MIS Adriatic (Serbia)

53. Memphis Grizzlies (via Houston)\

Yaxel Lendeborg, PF/C, UAB, senior

54. New York Knicks (via Memphis)\

JT Toppin, PF, Texas Tech, sophomore

55. Los Angeles Lakers\

Bennett Stirtz, PG/SG, Drake, junior

56. Phoenix Suns (via Denver)\

Mouhamed Faye, C, Reggio Emilia (Italy)

57. Orlando Magic (via Boston)\

John Tonje, SF, Wisconsin, super senior

58. Houston Rockets (Oklahoma City)\

Koby Brea, SG/SF, Kentucky, super senior

59. Cleveland Cavaliers\

Malique Lewis, SF/PF, South East Melbourne (Australia)

Note: The New York Knicks forfeited their 2025 second-round pick.