By August Bembel | Pounding The Rock (PtR), 2024-11-03 23:31:49
由生成式人工智能翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
文班的困境仍在继续，但克尔登拯救了比赛。
有时候我很庆幸我的母语是德语。例如，当我收听德语NBA播客时，他们会谈到一些我觉得非常有趣的事情，我想与刺蜜们分享。例如：我最喜欢的NBA分析师是托本·阿德尔哈特(Torben Adelhardt)，他是“Jeden Tag NBA”播客的联合主持人。他不仅是一位非常博学的比赛观察者，而且还能非常出色地解释问题——他同时也是一名教练，这可能对他有所帮助。
在他周三发布的“趋势分析”一期中，他提到本赛季有七支球队的 三分球出手率 高于上赛季的波士顿凯尔特人——高于47.1%。 (根据bk-ref的数据，排名第一的凯尔特人目前的三分球出手率为55.1%，排名第七的布鲁克林篮网为47.5%，本文中的所有数据均来自bk-ref。)
但这并不是托本谈论三分球出手率的唯一原因。他谈到这一点是因为除了 比赛节奏 （他也提到了这一点）之外，三分球出手率是最早固定的数据之一。他说，一般来说，任何与比赛风格相关的数据都会比投篮命中率等数据更早稳定下来。
基于这一点，托本确定了七支改变了上赛季比赛风格的球队，其中一支就是圣安东尼奥马刺。马刺上赛季的比赛节奏为101.1，排名联盟第三，比联盟平均水平高2.6分。他们现在的节奏是97.5，排名联盟第26位，比联盟平均水平低2.4分——比上赛季下降了5分。
与此同时，马刺的三分球出手率大致保持不变，尽管在过去两场比赛中，这一数据从输给雷霆后的35.3%大幅上升到现在的41%（上赛季：40.1%）。文班亚马(Victor Wembanyama)和凯尔登·约翰逊(Keldon Johnson)在过去两场比赛中一共出手了34次三分球，这与此有关。但由于这种出手量能否保持下去令人怀疑，因此关注马刺三分球出手率的发展将是一件有趣的事情。
托本指出的马刺比赛风格的另一个变化是杰里米·索汉(Jeremy Sochan)现在主要被用作大个子球员：“在四外挡拆战术中，他潜伏在短角区，根据球的位置选择底线空切，或者当球转移到外线时，他会设置一个所谓的“出口掩护”，以防止防守者移动到三分线。[…]这就是他们在索汉在场的情况下创造空间的方式，而不需要他成为主要的持球人。”
简而言之，托本所说的大部分内容都让我相信（他也指出了这一点），一旦德文·瓦塞尔(Devin Vassell)回归，马刺应该会成为一支更好的球队。德文昨晚还没有回归，但马刺仍然战胜了一支疲惫的森林狼队，而森林狼队正在背靠背的第二场比赛中。
要点
- 赛季初二年级的文班看起来很像赛季初一年级的文班。他投了很多不合理的球，如果他想在本赛季赢得更多比赛，他将不得不以不同的方式运用他惊人的能力。马刺也必须为他设计更好的战术。在三分线内，我们需要少看到后仰跳投和转身跳投——多一些冲击篮筐的动作！
- 杰里米·索汉的赛季开局令人鼓舞，这很可能成为他的突破赛季。他的防守从来没有像现在这样好过，他挡在安东尼·爱德华兹(Anthony Edwards)面前，迫使他投出一记中距离跳投（无论爱德华兹是否投进了这球）就是一个很好的例子。其他马刺球员都无法与索汉的外线防守相提并论——而且很少有人能在内线对抗中比他做得更好。更重要的是，索汉找到了在进攻端不成为累赘的方法，即使只是在油漆区内。到目前为止，他场均的三分球出手次数降到了职业生涯最低。在现阶段，很难看到他变成一名射手。
- 39岁的克里斯·保罗(Chris Paul)仍然是一名非常优秀的控卫。他能控球，能投篮，而且——哦，天哪！——他能传球。从外线传出的完美时机、精准的内线传球数量惊人。很多年来，马刺队都没有出现过能做到这一点的球员——而且即使有，也没有多少人能像他那样频繁地做到这一点。无论何时保罗离开马刺，他都将很难被取代。特雷·琼斯(Tre Jones)做不到这一点，长期希望之星斯蒂芬·卡斯尔(Stephon Castle)也做不到。（就我个人而言，我从来都不是克里斯·保罗的黑粉，我反而很欣赏他严谨的职业精神，看到他身披银黑球衣让我很高兴。）
- 本赛季第一次，我们看到了马刺需要的凯尔登·约翰逊的版本。他永远不会是一个多么出色的组织者；也永远不会是一个纪律严明的防守者。但他可以被期望强力冲击篮筐，并从外线远投。这是你想让他做的两件事，仅此而已。他昨晚在这两方面都表现出色。而且他需要更经常地有这样的表现。不是说他一定是比赛的最高得分手，而是说他是对方防守的一个难题。
- 马刺在六场比赛后战绩为.500，击败了两支理论上比他们更好的球队。不过，我们不要操之过急。森林狼昨晚明显处于劣势，他们不得不从明尼阿波利斯前往圣安东尼奥进行背靠背的第二场比赛。
点击查看原文：What We Learned from the Spurs’ Win Over the Timberwolves
What We Learned from the Spurs’ Win Over the Timberwolves
Wemby’s troubles continue, but Keldon saves the day.
Sometimes I’m kind of glad German is my native tongue. For example, when I’m listening to German NBA podcasts and they say things I find so interesting that I want to share them among us Pounders. Case in point: My favorite NBA analyst these days is a guy called Torben Adelhardt, the co-host of the “Jeden Tag NBA” podcast. He’s not just a very knowledgeable observer of the game, he can explain things tremendously well – him also being a coach probably helps.
In his “Trend Analysis” episode published on Wednesday, he remarked that there have been seven teams this season who have a higher three-point attempt rate than the Boston Celtics had last season – higher than 47.1 %, that is. (The first-place Celtics are currently at 55.1 %, the seventh-placed Brookly Nets at 47.5%, per bk-ref, as all figures in this article.)
But that’s not the only reason why Torben talked about the three-point attempt rate. He talked about it because next to the pace, which he also referred to, the three-point attempt rate is one of the stats that solidifies earliest. In general, anything to do with playing style solidifies much earlier than things such as shooting percentages, he said.
Based on that, Torben identified seven teams who changed their playing style from last season, one of them being the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs last season had a pace of 101.1 last season, 3rd overall and 2.6 points above league average. They now are at 97.5, which is 26th overall and 2.4 points below league average – a five-point swing from last season.
The Spurs’ three-point attempt rate, meanwhile, has stayed roughly the same, although it’s been up tremendously over the past two games from 35.3 %, after the loss to OKC, to 41 % now (last season: 40.1 %). Victor Wembanyama and Keldon Johnson, who took a combined 34 threes over the past two games, had something to do with that. But since it’s doubtful those kinds of volumes will hold up, it’ll be interesting to follow the development of the Spurs’ three-point attempt rate.
Another change in the Spurs’ play style Torben noted was that Jeremy Sochan is now mainly used as the big man: “In four-out sets, he is lurking on the short corners, either cutting baseline, depending on where the ball is, or, when the ball is moved to the perimeter, he sets a so-called exit screen to prevent the defender from moving out to the three-point line. […] That’s how they create spacing with Sochan on the court, without him being the lead ball handler.”
To cut it short, most of what Torben said makes me believe (which he pointed out as well) that the Spurs should be a much better team once Davin Vassell is back. Devin wasn’t back eyt last night, but the Spurs still prevailed over a tired Timberwolves team on the second night of a back-to-back.
Takeaways
- Early sophomore-season Victor Wembanyama still looks a lot like early rookie-season Victor Wembanyama. He’s taking too many ill-advised shots, and if he wants to win more games this season, he will have to apply his phenomenal capabilities in different ways. And the Spurs will have to run better plays for him, too. Inside the arc, we need to see less fadeaways and turnarounds – and a lot more downhill actions!
- Jeremy Sochan has had a very encouraging start to what could turn out to be his breakout season. He has never been better defensively, staying in front of Anthony Edwards to force him into a mid-ranger (regardless of Ant making the shot) serves as a great case in point. No other Spurs can touch Sochan’s perimeter defense – and few are better battling in the paint. What’s more is that Sochan’s finding ways to not be a liability on offense, if only in the paint. His three-point attempts per game are down to a career-low so far. It’s hard to see him turning into a shooter at this stage.
- Chris Paul at age 39 is still a very good point guard. He can handle, he can shoot, and – oh, boy! – can he pass. The number of perfectly timed, razor-sharp entry passes from the perimeter was staggering. There hasn’t been a Spur who could do this in quite a number of years – and not many, if any at all, who could do it in that frequency. Whenever Paul leaves the Spurs, he will be difficult to replace. Tre Jones can’t do this, nor can long-term hopeful Stephon Castle. (On a personal note, I’ve never been one of the Chris Paul haters, I’ve rather admired his rigorous professionalism, and it makes me happy to see the guy in Silver & Black.)
- For the first time this season, we got to see the version of Keldon Johnson the Spurs need. He’ll never be much of a creator; never will be a disciplined defender. But he can be expected to drive hard to the basket and to let it fly from deep. That’s the two things you want him to do, and that’s pretty much it. He excelled at both last night. And he needs to perform like that more often. Not in the sense that he’s necessarily the highest scorer of the game, but in the sense that he’s a problem for opposing defenses.
- The Spurs have a .500 record after six games, beating two teams that, on paper, were better than them. Let’s not get hasty, though. The Wolves were at a clear disadvantage last night, having had to travel from Minneapolis to San Antonio for the second night of a back-to-back.
By August Bembel, via Pounding The Rock