[PtR] “CP3 效应”如何帮助马刺扭转乾坤

By Eric.Fritts | Pounding The Rock (PtR), 2024-09-29 02:25:04

由生成式人工智能翻译,译文内容可能不准确或不完整,以原文为准。

马刺新闻发布会

克里斯·保罗 (Chris Paul) 所到之处,球队战绩皆有提升,而他将为圣安东尼奥带来的改变,或许会更加耀眼。

再过不到四周,马刺就将迎来 2024-2025 赛季的首秀。这支尚未经受实战考验的球队将出现几张新面孔,其中最引人注目的莫过于控球后卫克里斯·保罗。保罗是一位未来的名人堂成员,拥有令人印象深刻的履历——11 次入选最佳阵容,12 次入选全明星,9 次入选最佳防守阵容,以及数不清的助攻王和抢断王头衔——但他将为圣安东尼奥带来的改变,可以用一个至关重要的数据来概括:胜利。

在被称为“克里斯·保罗效应”或“CP3 效应”的现象中,引入保罗的球队常规赛胜场数都会增加,尤其是在他加盟球队的第一个赛季:这一趋势可以追溯到他的新秀赛季。保罗此前效力过的六支球队,在得到他之后,战绩都有所提升。平均而言,球队在保罗加盟的第一个赛季中,胜场数会增加 8.67 场。总而言之,他加盟的每支球队都从他的存在中受益。一次可能是侥幸,两次可能是巧合,除此之外,这就是一种模式。

2005 年的新奥尔良黄蜂队只赢了 18 场比赛。2006 年,在以第四顺位选中保罗后,他们赢下了 38 场比赛,保罗也成功捧得最佳新秀奖杯。2011 年的洛杉矶快船队赢了 32 场比赛,他们在交易得到保罗后的下一个赛季就赢了 40 场。这一趋势在休斯顿也得到了延续:2017 年的火箭队赢了 55 场比赛,2018 年的火箭队则赢下了 65 场比赛,创造了球队历史纪录。菲尼克斯也出现了同样的结果。球队从 2020 年到 2021 年的胜场数增加了 17 场,并在之后一年以 64 场的胜利再次刷新了球队历史纪录。就连上赛季强大的勇士队在交易得到保罗后,也多赢了两场。

球队胜场纪录实际上已经成为了另一个趋势。除了休斯顿和菲尼克斯的纪录外,保罗也曾是黄蜂队(2008 年,56 胜)和快船队(2014 年,57 胜)队史最佳战绩的缔造者,成为唯一一位参与了四支球队历史最佳战绩的球员。

尽管有这些纪录,但保罗最引以为豪的赛季,却是在俄克拉荷马城,那一年球队的胜场数并没有增加。虽然从技术上讲,保罗效力的那个赛季雷霆的胜场数比前一年少了五场,但由于 COVID-19 疫情导致赛季缩水,总胜率实际上反而更高(0.611 对比 0.598)。值得注意的是,他凭借一己之力带领着一支重建中的球队克服万难打进了季后赛,并将休斯顿火箭队拖入了抢七大战。

“我在俄克拉荷马城打球的那一年,是我永远不会忘记的,”保罗在 2022 年接受《The Athletic》的安东尼·斯莱特 (Anthony Slater) 采访 时说道。“那是我第一次离开家人生活。我和我的队友以及球迷们建立了深厚的感情。球迷们太棒了。我一直很遗憾,那个赛季因为 COVID-19 而缩短了。那对我来说是一个重要的赛季,一个重要的夏天,我经历了自从进入联盟以来从未经历过的事情。”

对于马刺球迷来说,那一年之所以更应该被铭记,是因为那支球队和保罗现在所处的球队一样,都充满了年轻球员。俄克拉荷马城当时拥有一位尚未崭露头角的年轻球星——谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大 (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander),他刚刚在 MVP 评选中名列第二。而马刺队则拥有着新科状元维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama),他已经成为了联盟的门面。如今,保罗的职业生涯已近黄昏,他依然能够帮助球队赢球,但他老将的经验之谈可能比他在球场上的数据统计更有价值。保罗最怀念的那个赛季,也是他拥有更多机会去指导年轻球员的赛季,这对即将与他并肩作战的年轻球员来说是一个好兆头。

格雷格·波波维奇 (Gregg Popovich) 教练在将保罗和另一位 NBA 老将哈里森·巴恩斯 (Harrison Barnes) 招致麾下时,心里很清楚自己在做什么。“在[他们]职业生涯的这个阶段,拥有[保罗]和哈里森对我们队里的年轻人来说真的是一件好事,”波波维奇最近说道。“当你所尊重的人和你说着同样的话时,这对球员来说有时会更有价值。有他们在身边真是太好了。”

虽然马刺队不太可能创造球队历史最佳战绩,但他们几乎肯定会超过 22 胜,这也印证了 CP3 效应。更重要的是,他为这支拥有冉冉升起的新星的年轻球队带来了指导和老将的经验。保罗可以为球队带来场上和场下的纪律性,向这群年轻球员展示如何成为一名职业球员的典范。他会成为 NBA 顶尖球员日常所需付出的真实写照,这是文班亚马、杰里米·索汉 (Jeremy Sochan) 和斯蒂芬·卡斯尔 (Stephon Castle) 从未见过的。

趋势很明显,克里斯·保罗能让球队变得更好。更难能可贵的是,他所灌输的习惯和责任感,将在短期和长期内都产生复合效应。因此,“克里斯·保罗效应”将是双重的。赢得篮球比赛,并教会其他人如何赢得篮球比赛。

点击查看原文:How “The CP3 Effect” can help the Spurs turn things around

How “The CP3 Effect” can help the Spurs turn things around

Spurs Press Conference

Chris Paul has made every team he’s joined better, but what he will bring to San Antonio may be even brighter still.

The Spurs will take the court in less than four weeks for their 2024-2025 season debut. This yet-to-play roster will feature several new faces, most notable among them being point guard Chris Paul. Paul is a future Hall of Famer with an impressive resume—11 All-NBA Teams, 12 All-Star appearances, and 9 All-Defense teams to go along with a handful of assist and steal titles—but what he will bring to San Antonio can elegantly be summed up in one vital statistic: Wins.

In a phenomenon dubbed the “Chris Paul Effect” or “CP3 Effect,” teams that add Paul rack up regular-season wins, especially in his inaugural season with the franchise: a trend that can be traced to his rookie year. Of the six franchises that Paul has played for previously, all of them had better seasons the year they added him. On average, teams improve by 8.67 wins during Paul’s first year on the roster. All in all, every team he joins benefits from his presence. Once could be a fluke, twice could be a coincidence, beyond that, it’s a pattern.

The 2005 New Orleans Hornets won 18 games. In 2006, after drafting Paul fourth overall, they won 38 with Paul taking home Rookie of the Year honors. The 2011 Los Angeles Clippers won 32 games, they traded for Paul and won 40 the next season. The trend continued in Houston: the 2017 Rockets won 55 games, the 2018 Rockets won 65 setting a franchise record. Phoenix had the same result. The team improved by 17 from 2020 to 2021, setting another franchise wins record the year after that with 64 wins. Even the mighty Warriors last season gained two more victories when after trading for Paul.

Franchise win records have actually been another trend unto themselves. In addition to the Houston and Phoenix records, Paul was a part of both the Hornets (2008, 56 wins) and Clippers (2014, 57 wins) franchise-best seasons, becoming the only player to be a part of four franchise win record seasons.

Despite those records though, the season Paul is most proud of is the one that didn’t see an increase in wins, in Oklahoma City. While the team technically won five fewer games with Paul than the preceding year, the overall win percentage was still better (.611 compared to .598) due to a season shortened by the COVID-19 pandemic. Remarkably, he singlehandedly led a rebuilding team to the playoffs against all odds and took the Houston Rockets to seven games.

“That year I played in Oklahoma City is something I’ll never forget,” Paul told The Athletic’s Anthony Slater in a 2022 interview. “That was my first year living away from my family. The relationship I got with my teammates and fans. The fans were amazing. I always hate that that season got cut short because of COVID-19. That was a big season, big summer for me, going through things I hadn’t gone through since I’d been in the league.”

Why that year should stick out even more so for Spurs fans, is how much youth was on that team in parallel to the youth he is now surrounded by. Oklahoma City had a yet-to-be budding young star in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who just finished second in MVP voting. The Spurs have reigning Rookie of the Year Victor Wembanyama, who is already the face of the league. Now officially in the twilight of his career, Paul will generate wins but his veteran mentorship might be even more valuable than what he brings to the box score. The fact that the season Paul looks at the fondest is one where he had more teaching opportunities bodes well for the young roster he will soon play with.

Coach Gregg Popovich knew what he was doing when he brought Paul in alongside another NBA veteran Harrison Barnes. “Having [Paul] and Harrison at this stage of [their] careers is really wonderful for the youth we have,” Popovich said recently. “When a player that you respect says the same stuff that we’re saying, to a player sometimes that’s a lot more valuable. Having them around is going to be super.”

While the Spurs are not likely to set a franchise wins record, it’s nearly inexorable that they will exceed 22 wins, corroborating the CP3 Effect. What’s more, is the mentorship and veteran presence he brings to a young team with a blooming star. Paul can provide discipline on and off the court, showing this group of young talent how to be a pro’s pro. He will be a real example of what it takes day in and day out to be top talent in the NBA, something Wembanyama, Jeremy Sochan, and Stephon Castle haven’t seen before.

The trend is clear, Chris Paul makes teams better. Better yet, the habits and conscientiousness he instills will prove to be compounding in both the short and long term. Therefore the “Chris Paul Effect” will be twofold. Winning basketball games and teaching others how to win basketball games.

By Eric.Fritts, via Pounding The Rock

如何就肯定超过22胜,败RP。。。:smirk::stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye: