By Jeph Duarte | Pounding The Rock (PtR), 2024-08-30 19:00:00
由生成式人工智能翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
他已经比大多数球员走得更近了
人们对维克多·文班亚马(Victor Wembanyama)寄予厚望。从最有进步球员的传言到下一个年度最佳防守球员，文班迄今为止令人印象深刻的表现没有辜负他在选秀前的预测。
就我个人而言，我认为今年维克多·文班亚马将加入四双俱乐部。
这个专属俱乐部只有四名成员——内特·瑟蒙德、阿尔文·罗伯逊、哈基姆·奥拉朱旺和大卫·罗宾逊。阿尔文·罗伯逊和大卫·罗宾逊是在效力于圣安东尼奥马刺队时获得四双数据的。这四次壮举都发生在 1974 年到 1994 年之间。在过去的三十年里，没有人做到过，尽管有一些人已经接近了。
1986 年，克莱德·德雷克斯勒就差一个篮板就能做到。
1988 年，迈克尔·乔丹就差两次抢断就能加入这份名单。
2003 年，蒂姆·邓肯在NBA 总决赛中差两个盖帽就能做到。他真的就差两个盖帽吗？
就在今年 4 月 2 日，维克多·文班亚马距离加入这个俱乐部只差两次助攻和一次盖帽。
去年，文班有 43 次两双，是上赛季新秀中最多的。比切特·霍姆格伦多 20 次，比阿门·汤普森多 30 次，后者是上赛季新秀中排名第三的。
他在新秀赛季场均得到两双的得分和篮板。
在 3 月 29 日对阵纽约尼克斯队的比赛中，文班亚马得到了赛季最高的 40 分。他场均 21.4 分，得分上双应该不成问题。事实上，他只有三场比赛得分没有上双。
在 3 月 29 日的比赛中，文班还抢下了 20 个篮板，这是他上赛季两次完成的壮举。在上赛季的 71 场比赛中，他在其中的 44 场比赛中抢下了两位数的篮板。
上赛季，文班只有一场比赛助攻上双。在 1 月 10 日对阵底特律活塞队的比赛中，他送出了 10 次助攻。这是他的第一次三双。
至于盖帽，文班不仅给篮球界留下了深刻的印象，而且在他参加的 71 场比赛中，他的盖帽数量超过了 95% 穿过马刺队服的球员。
维克多·文班亚马——仅仅在 71 场比赛中——就比马刺队历史上 95.81% 的球员盖帽更多 pic.twitter.com/9WwdBaRvnj
— Extra Muse (@extra_muse) 2024 年 8 月 14 日
在 NBA 历史上，他在这 71 场比赛中盖帽的数量超过了自盖帽成为统计数据以来所有球员的 84% 以上。
自从盖帽被首次记录以来，维克多·文班亚马的盖帽数量超过了 NBA 历史上 84.48% 的球员。 https://t.co/53oKbjDjZo pic.twitter.com/KxGa170GBB
— Extra Muse (@extra_muse) 2024 年 8 月 14 日
从另一个角度来看，在过去 50 年的 3916 名 NBA 球员中，文班亚马排名第 608 位。请记住，其中许多球员都打过多个赛季，而且比赛场次远远超过 71 场。
在 STL/BLK 时代（1973-74 年），文班目前在职业生涯盖帽榜上排名第 608 位，总共有 3916 名球员。
— Extra Muse (@extra_muse) 2024 年 8 月 14 日
也就是说，他只有一场比赛盖帽上双，那就是 2 月 12 日对阵多伦多猛龙队的比赛。这是他的第二次三双。
唉，盖帽和助攻是文班需要天时地利人和才能完成的数据，这很难说。
首先，当文班在附近时，球员们就不会投篮，这降低了他的盖帽数量。即使是史上最伟大的射手斯蒂芬·库里，也在很多时候三思而后行。当文班在场上时，比赛中最好的射手们也不得不改变他们的投篮方式。
我有一个想法。当他在对阵猛龙队的比赛中获得第二次三双时，有多少次传球给了那些投丢球的球员？
我查看了 2 月 12 日那场比赛的逐场记录，看看是否能确定文班的非得分传球。不幸的是，它只列出了投篮命中和投篮不中的助攻。有一些糟糕的传球导致了失误，但如果没有重新观看整场比赛（我现在正在寻找这场比赛的录像），就不能断定如果其他球员接他的传球投篮命中，那么维克多·文班亚马就会在他的新秀赛季就取得了这一难以捉摸的成就。
因此，虽然盖帽和篮板主要取决于文班自己，但助攻则取决于场上其他球员的表现。
而本赛季，文班身边的每个人都应该会有所进步，这让他有更多机会在面对包夹时将球传给德文·瓦塞尔、朱利安·尚帕尼和凯尔登·约翰逊这样的球员。
考虑到马刺队在杰里米·索汉(Jeremy Sochan)担任控球后卫和扎克·柯林斯担任首发中锋时所经历的学习曲线，马刺队在本赛季的开局缓慢。
我预测本赛季维克多·文班亚马将获得他的第一个，但绝不是最后一个四双。
点击查看原文：Open Thread: Prediction- Victor Wembanyama will earn a quadruple-double this year
Open Thread: Prediction- Victor Wembanyama will earn a quadruple-double this year
He’s already come closer than most players ever get
There have been many expectations set upon Victor Wembanyama. From rumblings of Most Improved Player to the next Defensive Player of the Year, Wemby’s impressive play has thus far lived up to his pre-draft predicted hype.
Personally, I think this is the year that Victor Wembanyama joins the Quadruple-Double Club.
There are only four members of this exclusive club- Nate Thurman, Alvin Robertson, Hakeem Olajuwon, and David Robinson. Alvin Robertson and David Robinson got their quad-dubs as members of the San Antonio Spurs. All four happened between 1974 and 1994. In the last thirty years, no one has done it, though a few have come close.
In 1986, Clyde Drexler was one rebound shy of pulling it off.
In 1988. Michael Jordan was two steals short of joining the list.
In 2003, Tim Duncan needed two blocks to make it happen in the NBA Finals. Was he really missing two blocks?
And on April 2 of this year, Victor Wembanyama was two assists and one block from joining the club.
Last year, Wemby had 43 double-doubles, the most for rookies last season. Twenty more than Chet Holmgren and thirty more than Amen Thompson, the third highest of last season’s rookie class.
He averaged a double-double in points and rebounds in his rookie.
On March 29 against the New York Knicks, Victor scored a season high 40 points. His average of 21.4 should make scoring in double-digits a no-brainer. In fact, in only three games that he scored in single digits.
In that same March 29 game, Wemby also had 20 rebounds, a feat he accomplished twice last season. Of his 71 games last season, he pulled down double-digit boards in 44 of them.
Last season, Victor had just one game in which he earned double-digit dimes. On January 10 against the Detroit Pistons, he dished out ten assists. This was his first triple-double.
As for blocks, not only has Wemby impressed the basketball universe, but in his 71 games he acquired more blocks than 95% of all the players to ever wear a Spurs uniform.
Victor Wembanyama—in just 71 career games—has more blocks than 95.81% of all players in Spurs franchise history pic.twitter.com/9WwdBaRvnj
— Extra Muse (@extra_muse) August 14, 2024
In the history of the NBA, his acquired blocks in those 71 games surpasses over 84% of every player who has tallied blocks since they became a statistic.
Victor Wembanyama has more blocks than 84.48% of all NBA players in history since blocks were first recorded. https://t.co/53oKbjDjZo pic.twitter.com/KxGa170GBB
— Extra Muse (@extra_muse) August 14, 2024
For another perspective, Wembanyama ranks 608th out of 3916 NBA players over the last fifty years. Keep in mind, many of those players had multiple seasons and way more than 71 games.
Wemby is currently 608th out of 3,916 players in career blocks during the STL/BLK Era (1973-74).
— Extra Muse (@extra_muse) August 14, 2024
That said, he only tallied 10 blocks in one game, February 12 against the Toronto Raptors. This was his second triple-double.
Alas, it is blocks and assists where planets must align for Wemby, and that’s a tough call.
For one, players do not shoot when Victor is in the vicinity, lowering his block count. Even Stephen Curry, the greatest shooter of all time, had second thoughts on multiple occasions. The best shooters in the game have had to alter their shots when Wemby is on the court.
Here’s a thought. When he got that second triple-double against the Raptors, how many passes did Wembanyama make to players who then missed the shot?
I went to the play-by-play of that February 12th game to see if non-scoring Wemby passes could be determined. Unfortunately, it lists assists on made shots or missed shots. There were some bad passes that resulted in turnovers, but without rewatching the entire game (which I am now looking for), it is not conclusive to say had other players made their shots from his passes, then Victor Wembanyama would have earned the elusive feat in his rookie season.
So while blocks and rebounds are predominantly on Victor, assists are dependent on the other guys on the court.
And this season, everyone around Victor should improve, giving him more opportunities to dish out of the double team to guys like Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, and Keldon Johnson.
Keeping in mind the learning curve the Spurs went through with Jeremy Sochan as a point guard and Zach Collins as the starting center left the Spurs with a slow start to their season.
I predict this season Victor Wembanyama tallies his first, but not his last, triple-double.
By Jeph Duarte, via Pounding The Rock