由生成式人工智能翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。
- 蒂姆·邦唐(Tim Bontemps), ESPN, 2024年7月29日，美国东部时间上午8:35
整个夏天，NBA 球队都在努力追赶总冠军波士顿凯尔特人队，而他们的东部竞争对手纽约尼克斯队和费城76人队在休赛期进行了一些尤其重大的运作。
随着 2024 年休赛期的尘埃落定，ESPN 有机会与 18 位 NBA 教练、球探和高管进行了交流，以了解他们对今夏最具影响力的运作以及这些运作对 2024-25 赛季意味着什么的看法。
从夏季的最佳和最差运作，到新的劳资协议的持续影响，以及对 2025 年状元秀热门人选库珀·弗莱格(Cooper Flagg)的追逐，以下是联盟内部人士在休赛期中期热议的话题。
谁是 NBA 休赛期运作最佳球队？
费城 76 人队: 8 票
纽约尼克斯队: 5 票
俄克拉荷马雷霆队: 3 票
波士顿凯尔特人队: 2 票
今年夏天没有太多重磅交易，获得投票前三名的球队都完成了最引人注目的交易也就不足为奇了：保罗·乔治(Paul George)加盟费城，米卡尔·布里奇斯(Mikal Bridges)加盟纽约，以及亚历克斯·卡鲁索(Alex Caruso)加盟俄克拉荷马城。最终，76 人队的休赛期改造获得了近一半的选票——他们还引进了安德烈·德拉蒙德(Andre Drummond)、凯莱布·马丁(Caleb Martin)、埃里克·戈登(Eric Gordon)和雷吉·杰克逊(Reggie Jackson)等关键角色球员——他们将联盟中最多的薪资空间用在了今年夏天唯一一位自由球员乔治身上。
“他们把自己提升到了一个新的水平，”一位东部高管表示。“我们将拭目以待，但这绝对是从 A 点到 B 点的进步。”
或者，正如一位西部高管所说，费城配得上这份荣誉，因为它签下了乔治，“尤其是考虑到如果 76 人队拿着所有这些薪资空间却没有球星可用会是什么样子”。
谁是 NBA 休赛期运作最差球队？
丹佛掘金队: 6 票
芝加哥公牛队: 5 票
洛杉矶快船队: 4 票
洛杉矶湖人队: 1 票
纽约尼克斯队: 1 票
底特律活塞队: 1 票
同样，大多数选票都投给了三支球队：丹佛，因为肯塔维奥斯·卡德维尔-波普(Kentavious Caldwell-Pope)以自由球员身份加盟奥兰多魔术队；芝加哥，因为交易了卡鲁索和德玛尔·德罗赞(DeMar DeRozan)，而这两笔交易都没有得到首轮选秀权（并且看着圣安东尼奥马刺队在德罗赞的交易中获得了最好的资产，即国王队 2031 年的首轮互换权）；以及快船队，因为他们让乔治以自由球员的身份白白离开了。
令人惊讶的是，一位东部球探表示，尼克斯队是联盟中休赛期运作最差的球队，理由是他们失去了中锋以赛亚·哈尔滕施泰因(Isaiah Hartenstein)，给了奥杰·阿努诺比(OG Anunoby)一份接近顶薪的合同，并为从布鲁克林篮网队得到布里奇斯付出了沉重的代价。
“我不相信他们今年会变得更好，”这位球探说。
NBA 休赛期最佳操作是什么？
保罗·乔治与 76 人队签约： 6 票
亚历克斯·卡鲁索交易到雷霆队： 5 票
杰伦·布伦森(Jalen Brunson)与尼克斯队续约： 3 票
肯塔维奥斯·卡德维尔-波普与奥兰多魔术队签约： 2 票
罗伯·迪林厄姆(Rob Dillingham)被明尼苏达森林狼队选中： 1 票
米卡尔·布里奇斯被布鲁克林篮网队交易： 1 票
在费城获得最佳休赛期运作球队后，乔治的签约被评为最佳个人运作也就不足为奇了。紧随其后的是卡鲁索与俄克拉荷马城的交易，这位联盟中最好的外线防守者之一加盟雷霆，而球队却没有放弃任何一个选秀权。
“在没有放弃选秀权的情况下得到他真是太疯狂了，”一位东部球探说。
布伦森在其续约合同中得到的巨大优惠也获得了不少选票，卡德维尔-波普加盟奥兰多，为魔术队带来了一位经验丰富的外线防守者和优质射手，这也是他们在首轮输给克利夫兰骑士队时迫切需要的。
“（魔术队）找到了他们需要的关键，”一位西部联盟球探说。
NBA 休赛期最差操作是什么？
芝加哥在德玛尔·德罗赞交易中的操作： 3 票
萨克拉门托在德玛尔·德罗赞交易中的操作： 3 票
保罗·乔治与 76 人队签约： 3 票
丹佛失去肯塔维奥斯·卡德维尔-波普： 2 票
米卡尔·布里奇斯被交易到尼克斯队： 2 票
新奥尔良鹈鹕队交易得到德章泰·穆雷(Dejounte Murray)： 1 票
埃文·莫布里(Evan Mobley)在克利夫兰的续约： 1 票
湖人队的无所作为： 1 票
以赛亚·哈尔滕施泰因与俄克拉荷马城签约： 1 票
芝加哥在亚历克斯·卡鲁索/约什·吉迪(Josh Giddey)交易中的操作： 1 票
这可能是最有趣的结果，有 10 个不同的答案。讽刺的是，投票结果是由同一笔交易的两个不同方面领先的。
公牛队送走了德罗赞，而马刺队则在这笔交易中获得了唯一的重要资产。至于萨克拉门托，那些提到这笔交易的人不喜欢德罗赞与国王队的适配度。
“没有给基根[穆雷](Keegan [Murray])机会的代价，”一位东部高管在解释他们为什么选择这笔交易时说，“以及对适配度的错误押注。”
乔治加盟 76 人队，被评为休赛期最佳操作，却有三人认为这是最差的操作。这不是对天赋的争论，而是对给一位 34 岁的球员一份四年 2.12 亿美元顶薪合同的风险的争论。
“我认为他正在走下坡路，”一位西部球探谈到乔治时说。
NBA 休赛期最令人惊讶的操作是什么？
米卡尔·布里奇斯交易： 5 票
保罗·乔治离开洛杉矶： 3 票
亚历克斯·卡鲁索-约什·吉迪交易： 2 票
杰伦·布伦森续约： 1 票
蒙蒂·威廉姆斯(Monty Williams)被解雇： 1 票
肯塔维奥斯·卡德维尔-波普离开丹佛： 1 票
以赛亚·哈尔滕施泰因加盟雷霆队： 1 票
罗伯·迪林厄姆交易： 1 票
德玛尔·德罗赞加盟萨克拉门托： 1 票
托拜厄斯·哈里斯(Tobias Harris)加盟底特律： 1 票
德章泰·穆雷加盟新奥尔良： 1 票
这里也有各种各样的观点，不过布里奇斯被从篮网交易到尼克斯领先投票结果并不奇怪，因为这是两支球队 40 多年来的第一次交易。
“这对双方来说都是一笔不可思议的交易，”一位西部球探说。
与此同时，乔治离开快船队排在第二位，原因有两个：快船队让一位顶薪球员白白离开，以及乔治拒绝了一份报价，选择离开家乡，搬到全国各地。
NBA 休赛期最大的趋势是什么？
球队在新的奢侈税线附近徘徊： 12 票
球队停滞不前/普遍不活跃： 3 票
球队囤积侧翼深度： 2 票
球队追逐第三位“次顶薪”球星： 1 票
这个问题的共识度最高，绝大多数人的观点是，今年夏天最大的新闻是新“穷鬼线”规则的影响。
“人们开始意识到这一切是如何运作的，”一位西部高管说。“联盟已经不再大手大脚地花钱了。”
还有几个人提到了今年夏天普遍缺乏运作，这既归因于新规则，也归因于缺乏可用的薪资空间。有几个人提到了大多数重大运作——乔治、卡德维尔-波普、布里奇斯、卡鲁索——都属于同一类：球队希望加强他们在球场两端的侧翼实力。
“现在已经转向了打得更小、更多投篮、更多进攻的风格，”一位东部联盟教练说。
以 1-5 分来评价，新的劳资协议规则在本休赛期的效果如何？
5/5： 4 票
4/5： 6 票
3/5： 3 票
2/5： 4 票
1/5： 1 票
绝大多数人认为新的劳资协议规则是积极的。
“联盟的目标正在实现，”一位东部球探说，他还补充说，这些规则正在帮助小市场球队保持竞争力。
或者，正如一位西部联盟教练所说，“这与 NFL 的情况最为接近。作为管理层，你必须做出正确的决定。”
对于那些持相反观点的人来说，原因有两个：规则太严格，球队难以应对，或者对球迷来说太复杂。
“我认为它们几乎太苛刻了，”一位东部高管说。“一旦你达到了一定的门槛，就不可能再提升你的球队了，你就被困住了。”
一位西部高管指出，复杂性——比如关于未来选秀权被冻结在第二条穷鬼线的规则——对于普通球迷来说太难理解了。
“近年来，联盟在交易方面一直很活跃，就兴趣而言，”这位高管说，“而现在你有了所有这些人们无法理解的新规则。”
在 2025 年选秀大会之前，摆烂的球队会增加吗？
会： 10 票
不会： 8 票
每个人都同意，2025 届新秀——由 ESPN NBA 选秀专家乔纳森·吉沃尼(Jonathan Givony)预测的状元秀库珀·弗莱格领衔，还有艾斯·贝利(Ace Bailey)、迪伦·哈珀(Dylan Harper)、诺兰·特劳雷(Nolan Traore)和维杰·埃奇库姆(V.J. Edgecombe)——将让各支球队对明年夏天进入 NBA 的这届新秀充满期待。
分歧在于，摆烂的球队会比平时多，还是像往常一样，只有少数几支球队在积分榜垫底。
那些说不的人指出，亚特兰大老鹰队在进入乐透区时只有 3% 的几率抽中状元签，却一跃获得了 2024 年的状元签，这一令人惊讶的结果可能会让球队重新考虑是否要为了垫底而摆烂。“平坦的乐透几率正在产生重大影响，”一位东部球探说。
此外，至少有 13 支西部球队认为他们至少可以进入附加赛，这限制了真正可能参与摆烂的球队数量。
但对于那些预计将有多支球队争夺这届选秀大会上几位能够改变比赛规则的天才球员的人来说，他们的论据是看看本届最佳新秀维克多·文班亚马(Victor Wembanyama)为马刺队带来了什么。
“你可以看到一个人在圣安东尼奥的影响力，”一位西部高管说。
点击查看原文：NBA offseason survey: Best deals, worst moves and buzz over PG and DeMar
NBA offseason survey: Best deals, worst moves and buzz over PG and DeMar
- Tim Bontemps, ESPNJul 29, 2024, 08:35 AM ET
NBA teams have spent the summer trying to catch up with the champion Boston Celtics, with some especially significant offseason activity from their Eastern Conference rivals, the New York Knicks and Philadelphia 76ers.
Now that the dust has mostly settled on the 2024 offseason, ESPN had the chance to chat with 18 NBA coaches, scouts and executives to get their opinions on the most impactful summer moves and what they mean for the 2024-25 season.
From the best and worst moves of the summer, to the continued impact of the new collective bargaining agreement and the chase for presumptive 2025 No. 1 overall pick Cooper Flagg, here’s what league insiders are buzzing about as we enter the heart of the offseason.
Who had the NBA’s best offseason?
Philadelphia 76ers: 8 votes
New York Knicks: 5
Oklahoma City Thunder: 3
Boston Celtics: 2
There wasn’t a lot of significant movement this summer, and it’s no surprise that the top three teams that earned votes made the biggest headline-grabbing deals: Paul George to Philadelphia, Mikal Bridges to New York and Alex Caruso to Oklahoma City. In the end, it was the 76ers’ offseason makeover – they also added key role players in Andre Drummond, Caleb Martin, Eric Gordon and Reggie Jackson – that received nearly half the votes after turning the most cap space in the league into the one max free agent available this summer in George.
“They took themselves to the next level,” said an East executive. “We’ll see if it’s good enough, but you went from Point A to Point B.”
Or, as one West executive put it, Philadelphia deserved the honor for landing George, “especially because of what it could have looked like” if the 76ers were left with all that cap space and no star to spend it on.
Who had the NBA’s worst offseason?
Denver Nuggets: 6 votes
Chicago Bulls: 5
LA Clippers: 4
Los Angeles Lakers: 1
New York Knicks: 1
Detroit Pistons: 1
Similarly, the majority of the votes went to three teams: Denver, after seeing Kentavious Caldwell-Pope leave as a free agent to the Orlando Magic; Chicago, after trading both Caruso and DeMar DeRozan and not getting a first-round pick in either deal (and watching the San Antonio Spurs get the best asset, a 2031 pick swap from the Kings, in the DeRozan deal); and the Clippers, for letting George leave for nothing in free agency.
Surprisingly, an East scout said the Knicks had the league’s worst offseason, pointing to the combination of losing center Isaiah Hartenstein, giving a near-max deal to OG Anunoby and paying a heavy price to land Bridges from the Brooklyn Nets.
“I’m not convinced they’ll be better this year,” the scout said.
What was the best move of the NBA offseason?
Paul George signing with the 76ers: 6 votes
Alex Caruso trade to the Thunder: 5
Jalen Brunson extending with the Knicks: 3
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope signing with the Orlando Magic: 2
Rob Dillingham drafted by the Minnesota Timberwolves: 1
Mikal Bridges traded by the Brooklyn Nets: 1
After Philadelphia got the most votes for having the best overall offseason, it wasn’t a surprise that the George signing earned the most plaudits as the best individual move. Right behind it was the Caruso deal for Oklahoma City, which saw one of the league’s best perimeter defenders go to the Thunder without the franchise having to part with a single draft pick.
“Getting him without giving up a pick is crazy,” an East scout said.
Brunson’s massive discount on his extension also racked up votes, as did Caldwell-Pope going to Orlando and giving the Magic both a veteran wing defender and quality shooter, something the team desperately needed during its first-round loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers.
“[The Magic] hit the nail on the head for what they needed,” a Western Conference scout said.
What was the worst move of the NBA offseason?
Chicago’s part in the DeMar DeRozan trade: 3 votes
Sacramento’s part in the DeRozan trade: 3
Paul George signed by the 76ers: 3
Denver losing Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: 2
Mikal Bridges traded to the Knicks: 2
New Orleans Pelicans trading for Dejounte Murray: 1
Evan Mobley’s extension in Cleveland: 1
Lakers’ inactivity: 1
Isaiah Hartenstein signed by Oklahoma City: 1
Chicago’s part in the Alex Caruso/Josh Giddey deal: 1
This was perhaps the most interesting slate of results, with 10 different answers. Ironically, the voting was led by two different parts of the same trade.
The Bulls moved DeRozan and watched the Spurs come away with the only significant asset in the trade. As for Sacramento, those who cited that deal didn’t like the fit of DeRozan with the Kings.
“The opportunity cost of not giving runway to Keegan [Murray],” said an East executive, explaining why they picked that deal, “and a bad bet on the fit.”
George to the 76ers, tabbed as the best move of the offseason, had three votes as the worst move. It wasn’t an argument on the talent, but rather on the risks of giving a four-year, $212 million max deal to a 34-year-old player.
“I think he’s on the decline,” a West scout said of George.
What was the most surprising move of the NBA offseason?
Mikal Bridges trade: 5 votes
Paul George leaving LA: 3
Alex Caruso-Josh Giddey trade: 2
Jalen Brunson extension: 1
Monty Williams firing: 1
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope leaving Denver: 1
Isaiah Hartenstein to the Thunder: 1
Rob Dillingham trade: 1
DeMar DeRozan to Sacramento: 1
Tobias Harris to Detroit: 1
Dejounte Murray to New Orleans: 1
There was also a wide range of opinions here, though it was not surprising that Bridges being traded from the Nets to the Knicks led the vote, given it was the first trade between the two franchises in more than 40 years.
“It was an incredible deal for both sides,” a West scout said.
Meanwhile, George leaving the Clippers came in second, with two different reasons cited: the Clippers letting a max player leave for nothing, and George turning down a deal and staying close to home to move across the country.
What was the biggest trend of the NBA offseason?
Teams navigating the new luxury tax aprons: 12 votes
Teams being stuck/general inactivity: 3
Teams loading up on wing depth: 2
Teams chasing a third “sub max” star: 1
This question had the biggest consensus, with the overwhelming opinion being that the story of the summer has been the impact of the new “apron” rules.
“People are realizing how this is all working,” a West executive said. “The league has gone away from free spending.”
Several people also pointed to the general lack of activity this summer, which was attributed to both the new rules and lack of cap space available. A couple cited most of the biggest moves – George, Caldwell-Pope, Bridges, Caruso – all landed in a similar category: teams looking to bolster their perimeter play at both ends of the court.
“There’s been a shift toward playing smaller, more shooting, more offense,” an Eastern Conference coach said.
On a scale from 1-5, how effective have the new CBA rules been this offseason?
5/5: 4 votes
4/5: 6
3/5: 3
2/5: 4
1/5: 1
The clear majority thought that the new CBA rules have been positive.
“The league’s goals here are working,” said an East scout, who added that they were helping small-market teams stay relevant and competitive.
Or, as a Western Conference coach said, “This is as close to the NFL as it has ever been right now. You have to make good decisions as a front office.”
For those on the other side of the ledger, the reasons were twofold: The rules were too restrictive for teams to navigate, or simply too complicated for fans.
“I think they’re almost too prohibitive,” an East executive said. “Once you hit a certain threshold, it’s impossible to improve your team, and you’re stuck.”
A West executive cited the complexity – such as the rules surrounding future draft picks being frozen for teams in the second apron – being too much for the average fan to follow.
“The league has been transaction-heavy in recent years, in terms of interest,” the executive said, “and now you have all these new rules people can’t comprehend.”
Will there be increased tanking ahead of the 2025 draft?
Yes: 10 votes
No: 8
Everyone agreed that the 2025 rookie class – led by Cooper Flagg, ESPN NBA draft expert Jonathan Givony’s projected No. 1 pick, along with Ace Bailey, Dylan Harper, Nolan Traore and V.J. Edgecombe – will have teams highly anticipating this class entering the NBA next summer.
The divide was over whether there would be more tanking than normal, or whether there would just be a handful of teams doing it at the bottom of the standings, per usual.
Those who said no pointed to Atlanta’s jump to the 2024 No. 1 pick after entering the draft lottery with just 3% odds, a surprising result that could make teams rethink a race to the bottom. “The flat lottery odds are having a big impact,” an East scout said.
There are also as many as 13 West teams that believe they can be in the play-in games, at a minimum, limiting the amount of teams that could really get into a tanking race.
But for those who expect a hot pursuit of several difference-making talents at the top of this draft, the argument is to look at what reigning Rookie of the Year Victor Wembanyama has done for the Spurs.
“You can see the impact of one guy in San Antonio,” a West executive said.
via ESPN