[ESPN] 2025 年 NBA 模拟选秀:状元热门人选与顶级返校球员

由生成式人工智能翻译,译文内容可能不准确或不完整,以原文为准。

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乔纳森·吉沃尼 (Jonathan Givony)

杰里米·吴 (Jeremy Woo)

2024 年 6 月 28 日,美国东部时间下午 6:50

随着扎卡里·里萨谢 (Zaccharie Risacher)、亚历克斯·萨尔 (Alex Sarr)、多诺万·克林根 (Donovan Clingan) 以及 2024 届的其他球员进入 NBA,现在是时候将我们的注意力转向明年的选秀了。

2025 年 NBA 选秀还有 12 个月的时间,但我们已经关注这些球员很久了,并在 2 月份发布了我们的第一份模拟选秀名单。

在过去的几年里,我们亲眼见证了这届选秀中最好的球员在高中、草根篮球、美国篮球和国际篮联的比赛以及许多其他场合的成长,我们将在今年夏天和秋天继续关注他们的表现。

NBA 的球探们和我们一起出现在许多这样的场合,他们对 2025 届新秀感到兴奋,尤其是那些拥有库珀·弗拉格 (Cooper Flagg)、埃瑞尔斯·“王牌”·贝利 (Airious “Ace” Bailey) 和迪伦·哈珀 (Dylan Harper) 等明星球员的球队。

除了这些精英球员之外,毫无疑问还会有其他球员在大学联赛和世界各地崭露头角,就像 2024 年的里德·谢泼德 (Reed Sheppard)、道尔顿·克内希特 (Dalton Knecht)、尼古拉·托皮奇 (Nikola Topic)、德文·卡特 (Devin Carter)、约翰尼·弗菲 (Johnny Furphy)、巴巴·卡林顿 (Bub Carrington)、凯肖恩·乔治 (Kyshawn George) 以及其他许多球员一样。这也是选秀预测的乐趣所在,因为你永远不知道球员会在何时何地涌现,这使得 NBA 球探们必须时刻保持警惕。

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2025 年模拟选秀球员和球队

谁将成为 2025 年的状元秀?

许多人已经把弗拉格列为状元的热门人选,这是有充分理由的。在过去的一年里,他在耐克 EYBL 16 岁以下联赛中表现出色(场均 26.8 分、12.4 个篮板、5.2 次盖帽和 4.7 次助攻),带领蒙特沃德学院取得了 30 胜 0 负的战绩并获得了全国冠军,然后在耐克篮球峰会和乔丹品牌经典赛上也有着出色的表现。

美国男篮邀请弗拉格参加了巴黎奥运会前的美国队训练。

弗拉格在攻防两端无所不能,他是一位爆发力十足的运动员,一位多产的得分手,一位三分球命中率大幅提高的球员,一位出色的传球手,以及一位极具影响力的防守球员,他不知疲倦地奔跑、在篮筐附近制造杀伤并在外线防守。

在选择跳过高中最后一年之后,弗拉格的年龄(他将在 12 月 21 日年满 18 岁)以及他的控球和创造投篮能力将是球探们在下赛季杜克大学比赛中最密切关注的地方。弗拉格从第一天起就将面临着很高的期望和压力,我们仍然需要了解他是否真的像你期望的状元秀那样,具备成为球队头号选择和特权球员的潜力。

弗拉格在 ESPN 100 强中排名第一,他已经长到了 6 英尺 9 英寸,身体更加强壮,并且展现出了在运动战中传球和自信地完成急停跳投的能力。如何将他的天赋转化为比赛的胜利,这可能是他巩固自己在 2025 届新秀中领先地位的关键。

贝利将在 2024-25 赛季效力于罗格斯大学,他被视为弗拉格争夺状元的最大竞争对手。贝利是一位身高 6 英尺 9 英寸的后卫,在 ESPN 100 强中排名第二,他拥有出色的身体素质、全面的防守能力、精准的投篮以及认真、好胜的态度。贝利在决策方面远不如弗拉格老练,但他在持球方面得到了更多的锻炼机会,这让他在单打和挡拆方面更有优势。

哈珀是贝利在罗格斯大学的队友,他在 4 月份麦当劳全美高中生篮球邀请赛、耐克篮球峰会和乔丹品牌经典赛的训练和比赛中是所有球员中表现最令人印象深刻的。尽管身高超过 6 英尺 5 英寸,体重 228 磅,臂展达到 6 英尺 10 英寸,但他几乎完全是以控球后卫的身份出战。哈珀在 ESPN 100 强中排名第四,他的体型更加强壮,展现出了令人印象深刻的控球能力、力量以及利用和拆解掩护的技巧。他能够在油漆区内凭借身体素质完成进攻,本能地在球场上防守,并且可以在运动战中传球。在我们今年春天看到他比赛的每一场比赛中,他都投进了一连串高难度的急停跳投。

一些 NBA 球队表示,他们在 2025 届新秀中将哈珀排在了第一位,但其他球队则更看好贝利的潜力。然而,大多数球队都坚持现状,认为弗拉格是早期的热门人选,因为他显然是这群球员中成就最高的。

那些已经对这群球员有了足够了解(大多数 NBA 球队对他们的评估还处于非常早期的阶段)并有自己坚定看法的人经常说,这三名球员中的任何一个都可能在 2024 年的选秀中成为状元秀。他们很期待看到下一批球员的表现,包括是否有新的候选人(例如诺兰·特拉奥雷 (Nolan Traore) 或维杰·埃奇库姆 (VJ Edgecombe),这两名球员进入了我们模拟选秀的前五名)加入到这场竞争中。

– 乔纳森·吉沃尼

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亲眼看看为什么库珀·弗拉格是排名第一的篮球新星

看看库珀·弗拉格是如何成为全美顶级篮球新星的。

哪些顶级返校球员值得关注?

ESPN 模拟选秀的早期版本倾向于优先考虑即将入学的新生和排名靠前的年轻球员,这些球员因为他们的年龄、潜力和大学前的声誉而获得了早期的好评。然而,不可避免的是,他们中的一些人会被那些在休赛期取得进步后在新球队中取得突破的返校球员取代,从而进入首轮。

我们刚刚见证了克内希特、卡特、扎克·埃迪 (Zach Edey)、特里斯坦·达席尔瓦 (Tristan da Silva) 以及许多其他大学返校球员在 2024 年选秀中一路高歌猛进,进入首轮,而他们在一年以前中的大多数人还没有被视为顶级球员。在接下来的一年里还有很多变数,以下是 NBA 球队将在秋季密切关注的一些顶级大学球员。


莫泰尤斯·克里瓦斯 (Motiejus Krivas),中锋,亚利桑那大学

上个赛季,克里瓦斯为亚利桑那野猫队每场比赛出场 12 分钟,但随着主力中锋奥马尔·巴罗 (Oumar Ballo) 转会到印第安纳大学,这位身高 7 英尺 3 英寸的立陶宛中锋将迎来一个突破的机会。克里瓦斯在进攻端技术娴熟,脚步灵活,篮下终结能力出色,在本赛季的亚利桑那大学也有一些高光时刻。

虽然克里瓦斯更多地是一位传统中锋,但他的身高和臂展让他在下个赛季有望成为一名极具影响力的篮板手和得分手。他无法拉开场上空间,他的防守将是他需要改进的关键领域,但他已经具备了成为一名合格球员的条件,而 NBA 总是对身高和效率感兴趣。


科林·默里-博伊尔斯 (Collin Murray-Boyles),前锋,南卡罗来纳大学

默里-博伊尔斯(身高 6 英尺 7 英寸,体重 231 磅)是大学篮球界最被低估的球员之一,他在 18 岁时就作为一名新生为南卡罗来纳大学队打出了高效的表现,并帮助球队打进了 NCAA 锦标赛。到赛季结束时,他已经引起了 NBA 的关注,尽管他作为一名身材矮小的大个子球员的模板有些不 ortodox,但他对比赛的出色感觉和强烈的比赛动力推动了他的成功。

虽然默里-博伊尔斯不是一名精英级别的运动员,但他令人印象深刻的效率以及在防守端制造抢断和盖帽的能力(所有这些都是在比他年龄更大的球员中完成的)让他成为了一名球队,尤其是那些以数据分析为导向的球队管理层密切关注的球员。


KJ·刘易斯 (KJ Lewis),后卫,亚利桑那大学

刘易斯是另一位将在亚利桑那大学扮演更重要角色的球员,他在大一赛季场均出场 18 分钟,有一些不错的表现,尤其是在防守端。他充分利用自己的力量和横向移动速度来防守持球人,并且展现出了出色的比赛直觉,如果他能在进攻端取得明显的进步,他就有可能进入 NBA。

刘易斯并不是一个很有创造力的持球进攻球员,所以他进入 NBA 的最佳途径可能是提高他的外线投篮命中率(上赛季场均出手 1.1 次,命中率为 34.1%)。如果他能在进攻端取得令人信服的进步,刘易斯将很有可能在首轮被选中。

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KJ·刘易斯不可思议地打成 2+1

KJ·刘易斯不可思议地打成 2+1。


泰瑞斯·普罗科特 (Tyrese Proctor),后卫,杜克大学

普罗科特在杜克大学的两个赛季并没有达到他在职业生涯早期所受到的乐透区级别的期望,但他在上个赛季已经表现出了一些进步的迹象,而且他还只有 20 岁。在一个拥有多名预计首轮秀的豪华阵容中,他将再次被赋予重任,NBA 球探们希望看到他在投篮、组织和领导能力方面取得切实的进步。

普罗科特作为一名控球后卫,身高(6 英尺 5 英寸)不错,他可以在防守端利用自己的身高优势,但在大学比赛中,他的得分效率一直不高,也很难持续地为球队带来胜利。虽然从长远来看,他可能最多只能成为一名角色球员,但如果一切顺利的话,普罗科特有能力打出一个完整的赛季,这将让他重新回到首轮的讨论中。


丁克·佩特 (Dink Pate),后卫,发展联盟点燃队

在发展联盟点燃队解散后,佩特在下个赛季暂时没有球可打,但他仍然与球队有合同,并且有可能加盟发展联盟的墨西哥城船长队。现年 18 岁的佩特在本赛季末为点燃队效力时表现出色,打出了一系列精彩的比赛,但无论他下个赛季在哪里打球,他的效率(两分球命中率 40%,三分球命中率 21.5%)都需要取得重大进步。

对于佩特来说,这是一个艰难的学习过程,他拥有出色的身高,但在跳过高中最后一年后,他的能力还不足以在发展联盟的比赛中持续地影响比赛的胜负。尽管如此,佩特在这个级别的球员中年龄非常小,而且无论如何,NBA 球队都会对他进行长时间的考察,看看他已经打了一个完整的职业赛季后能取得什么样的进步。


杰林·斯图尔特 (Jaylin Stewart),前锋,康涅狄格大学

在上个赛季,斯图尔特作为一名新生在康涅狄格大学的冠军球队中只获得了零星的出场时间,但考虑到丹·赫尔利 (Dan Hurley) 教练的球队培养人才的方式,他似乎是 NBA 球队感兴趣的球员。随着康涅狄格大学男篮的目标是连续第三年争夺冠军,斯图尔特将在侧翼扮演更重要的角色,他拥有出色的身高和臂展(6 英尺 7 英寸,205 磅),这让他在防守端和转换进攻中都能发挥作用,而且在他获得的出场时间里,他也展现出了一些接球就投的能力。

他将是下个赛季大学篮球界年龄最小的二年级生之一,凭借他出色的身体条件和所处的环境,他很有可能在新赛季扮演更重要的角色。他究竟将如何在拥有一批新面孔的球队中找到自己的位置还有待观察,但他已经具备了成为一名重要球员的条件。


阿杜·蒂耶罗 (Adou Thiero),后卫,阿肯色大学

蒂耶罗在肯塔基大学时就以其惊人的运动能力、充沛的体力和盖帽能力而备受关注,他是一名身高 6 英尺 7 英寸的前锋。蒂耶罗最近刚满 20 岁,在跟随教练约翰·卡利帕里 (John Calipari) 来到阿肯色大学后,他将有更多机会展现自己的潜力。他在场上经常缺乏纪律性,在成为一名值得信赖的球员之前,他还有很长的路要走,但如果他能学会更好地阅读比赛并发展出外线投篮能力,那么蒂耶罗的弹跳能力和在防守端制造威胁的倾向将让他成为一名引人注目的球员。

他的发展前景非常广阔,NBA 球队将有兴趣看看他在新环境下,即使是在同一位教练的带领下,他的角色会发生怎样的变化。


亚历克斯·卡拉班 (Alex Karaban),前锋,康涅狄格大学

作为 2024 年选秀大会上真正难以抉择的球员之一,卡拉班选择留在康涅狄格大学,并冲击第三个冠军,而不是参加选秀。他出色的比赛感觉、接球就投的能力以及在球场上的智慧使他成为康涅狄格大学的关键球员,也是那种不需要太多球权就能为球队做出贡献的球员。虽然卡拉班不是那种运动能力超强的球员,但他也是一名防守悍将,他能利用自己的身高(6 英尺 8 英寸,220 磅)和预判能力来防守对手。

他已经拥有了一些 NBA 球队管理层的粉丝,他们很有可能在一年后选择他,而康涅狄格大学是否会扩大他在进攻端的角色也值得关注。


莱恩·卡尔克布伦纳 (Ryan Kalkbrenner),中锋,克莱顿大学

在过去的几年里,卡尔克布伦纳一直是大学篮球界顶级的篮筐保护者之一,在参加 NBA 试训之前,他选择回到克莱顿大学,而不是完全参加选秀前的流程。卡尔克布伦纳身高 7 英尺 2 英寸,臂展 7 英尺 5 英寸,他在油漆区内移动灵活,是大学篮球界的一道巨大屏障。他还开始展现出三分球的射程,如果他能按照目前的发展轨迹继续前进,他将有望成为 NBA 的一名角色球员,有点像穷人版的布鲁克·洛佩兹 (Brook Lopez)。

虽然 22 岁的卡尔克布伦纳不是速度最快或身体素质最好的球员,但他将成为下个赛季大东联盟中最出色的球员之一,如果他能打出一个精彩的赛季,尤其是如果他能开始稳定地拉开场上空间,他将有机会改变人们对他的看法,成为一名边缘球员。


夸梅·埃文斯 (Kwame Evans Jr.),前锋,俄勒冈大学

埃文斯在大学一年级的表现超出了人们的预期,他展现出了一名全面防守球员的天赋,同时也开始消除了一些他在高中时有时被人质疑的比赛态度问题。虽然埃文斯还没有完全兑现自己的天赋,但他拥有出色的身体条件,并且已经开始在比赛中作为一名篮板手、终结者和全能防守球员发挥作用。

目前,他在得分方面还很有限。他将在 20 岁时开始他的大学二年级赛季,这让他在同届球员中年龄偏大。他需要提高自己的投篮命中率,并在获得机会时展现出更强的自信心。但他还有很大的提升空间,这可以帮助 NBA 球队设想他可以胜任前场的一个角色,而且他 6 英尺 9 英寸的身高和体型应该还会继续增长。

– 杰里米·吴

我们会在 2025 年的选秀大会上看到更多身高 7 英尺的球员被选中吗?

2024 年的选秀大会上,有 6 名身高 7 英尺或更高的球员在首轮被选中,总共有 9 名这样的球员被选中,这是自 2016 年以来的最高纪录,当时有 13 名身高 7 英尺或更高的球员被选中(8 名首轮秀和 5 名次轮秀)。

虽然在某种程度上,这只是 2024 年选秀大会上人才储备的简单反映,但值得注意的是,这些球员的顺位都相当高,萨尔、克林根和埃迪都进入了前 10 名。NBA 球队证明了他们愿意以一种很长时间都没有出现过的方式来优先考虑身高。

在乔尔·恩比德 (Joel Embiid) 和尼古拉·约基奇 (Nikola Jokic) 主导着 MVP 的争夺,而像维克多·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama) 这样的年轻球员也在朝着这个方向发展的情况下,身高在比赛中仍然具有重要的作用,球队显然仍然非常热衷于培养这样的球员。

在我们 2025 年的模拟选秀中,目前只有三名身高 7 英尺的球员预计会在首轮被选中(卡曼·马鲁阿赫 (Khaman Maluach)、莫泰尤斯·克里瓦斯和罗科·齐卡尔斯基 (Rocco Zikarsky)),所以这还需要时间来观察。俗话说,你只能选择那些可用的球员。今年,球队的决策倾向于身高。明年的选秀大会预计会更加激烈,届时我们或许就能知道,今年身高臂长的球员大量涌现究竟是一种趋势,还是仅仅是一个(巨大的)意外。

– 吴

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迪伦·哈珀为罗格斯大学带来的精彩集锦

来看看罗格斯大学球员迪伦·哈珀的一些精彩集锦,他是 ESPN 2024 年排名的第二名球员。

  1. 底特律活塞队
    库珀·弗拉格,小前锋/大前锋,杜克大学 | 年龄:17.5 岁

  2. 华盛顿奇才队
    埃瑞尔斯·“王牌”·贝利,得分后卫/小前锋,罗格斯大学 | 年龄:17.8 岁

  3. 夏洛特黄蜂队
    迪伦·哈珀,控球后卫/得分后卫,罗格斯大学 | 年龄:18.3 岁

  4. 波特兰开拓者队
    诺兰·特拉奥雷,控球后卫,圣康坦(法国) | 年龄:18.0 岁

  5. 犹他爵士队
    维杰·埃奇库姆,得分后卫,贝勒大学 | 年龄:18.9 岁

  6. 布鲁克林篮网队
    卡曼·马鲁阿赫,中锋,杜克大学 | 年龄:17.7 岁

  7. 多伦多猛龙队
    雨果·冈萨雷斯 (Hugo Gonzalez),小前锋,皇家马德里(西班牙) | 年龄:18.3 岁

  8. 芝加哥公牛队
    特雷·约翰逊 (Tre Johnson),得分后卫,德克萨斯大学 | 年龄:18.3 岁

  9. 圣安东尼奥马刺队
    伊戈尔·德明 (Egor Demin),得分后卫/小前锋,杨百翰大学 | 年龄:18.3 岁

  10. 圣安东尼奥马刺队(来自亚特兰大老鹰队)
    利亚姆·麦克尼利 (Liam McNeeley),得分后卫/小前锋,康涅狄格大学 | 年龄:18.7 岁

  11. 俄克拉荷马城雷霆队(来自休斯顿火箭队)
    德雷克·鲍威尔 (Drake Powell),得分后卫/小前锋,北卡罗来纳大学 | 年龄:18.8 岁

  12. 萨克拉门托国王队
    迈克尔·鲁兹奇 (Michael Ruzic),大前锋,胡文图特(西班牙) | 年龄:17.7 岁

  13. 新奥尔良鹈鹕队
    贾利尔·贝西娅 (Jalil Bethea),得分后卫,迈阿密大学 | 年龄:18.5 岁

  14. 孟菲斯灰熊队
    卡特·布莱恩特 (Carter Bryant),小前锋/大前锋,亚利桑那大学 | 年龄:18.5 岁

  15. 奥兰多魔术队
    诺亚·埃森格 (Noa Essengue),大前锋,乌尔姆比率制药(德国) | 年龄:17.5 岁

  16. 印第安纳步行者队
    多诺万·弗里曼 (Donavan Freeman),大前锋,雪城大学 | 年龄:18.8 岁

  17. 俄克拉荷马城雷霆队(来自迈阿密热火队)
    康·克努佩尔 (Kon Knueppel),得分后卫/小前锋,杜克大学 | 年龄:18.9 岁

  18. 犹他爵士队(来自克利夫兰骑士队)
    卡斯帕拉斯·雅库西奥尼斯 (Kasparas Jakucionis),控球后卫,伊利诺伊大学 | 年龄:18.0 岁

  19. 洛杉矶快船队
    莫泰尤斯·克里瓦斯,中锋,亚利桑那大学 | 年龄:19.5 岁

  20. 金州勇士队
    罗科·齐卡尔斯基,中锋,布里斯班子弹(澳大利亚) | 年龄:17.9 岁

  21. 亚特兰大老鹰队(来自洛杉矶湖人队)
    德里昂·里德 (Derrion Reid),小前锋/大前锋,阿拉巴马大学 | 年龄:18.0 岁

  22. 布鲁克林篮网队(来自菲尼克斯太阳队)
    威廉·莱利 (William Riley),得分后卫/小前锋,伊利诺伊大学 | 年龄:18.3 岁

  23. 俄克拉荷马城雷霆队(来自费城76人队)
    科林·默里-博伊尔斯,大前锋/中锋,南卡罗来纳大学 | 年龄:19.0 岁

  24. 达拉斯独行侠队
    德里克·奎因 (Derik Queen),中锋,马里兰大学 | 年龄:19.4 岁

  25. 布鲁克林篮网队(来自密尔沃基雄鹿队)
    伊恩·杰克逊 (Ian Jackson),得分后卫,北卡罗来纳大学 | 年龄:19.3 岁

  26. 犹他爵士队(来自明尼苏达森林狼队)
    卡农·凯钦斯 (Kanon Catchings),小前锋/大前锋,杨百翰大学 | 年龄:18.8 岁

  27. 布鲁克林篮网队(来自俄克拉荷马城雷霆队)
    KJ·刘易斯,得分后卫,亚利桑那大学 | 年龄:19.8 岁

  28. 布鲁克林篮网队(来自纽约尼克斯队)
    泰瑞斯·普罗科特,控球后卫,杜克大学 | 年龄:20.2 岁

  29. 奥兰多魔术队(来自丹佛掘金队)
    丁克·佩特,得分后卫/小前锋,发展联盟 | 年龄:18.3 岁

  30. 波士顿凯尔特人队
    杰林·斯图尔特,小前锋,康涅狄格大学 | 年龄:19.3 岁


2025 届剩余球员排行榜

  1. 约翰·格伦洛 (Johann Grunloh),中锋,拉施塔维希塔(德国) | 年龄:18.8 岁
  2. 阿杜·蒂耶罗,小前锋/大前锋,阿肯色大学 | 年龄:20.1 岁
  3. 莱恩·卡尔克布伦纳,中锋,克莱顿大学 | 年龄:22.4 岁
  4. 亚历克斯·卡拉班,大前锋,康涅狄格大学 | 年龄:21.6 岁
  5. 夸梅·埃文斯,大前锋,俄勒冈大学 | 年龄:19.9 岁
  6. 迈克尔·阿贾伊 (Michael Ajayi),小前锋/大前锋,冈萨加大学 | 年龄:21 岁
  7. 米兰·蒙西洛维奇 (Milan Momcilovic),小前锋/大前锋,爱荷华州立大学 | 年龄:19.7 岁
  8. 卡南·卡莱尔 (Kanaan Carlyle),控球后卫/得分后卫,印第安纳大学 | 年龄:19.7 岁
  9. 卡莱布·福斯特 (Caleb Foster),控球后卫,杜克大学 | 年龄:19.9 岁
  10. 伊桑·阿尔曼萨 (Izan Almansa),大前锋/中锋 | 年龄:19.0 岁
  11. 兹沃尼米尔·伊维西奇 (Zvonimir Ivisic),大前锋/中锋,阿肯色大学 | 年龄:20.8 岁
  12. 萨姆·沃尔特斯 (Sam Walters),小前锋/大前锋,密歇根大学 | 年龄:20 岁
  13. 亨特·萨里斯 (Hunter Sallis),得分后卫,维克森林大学 | 年龄:21.2 岁
  14. 西昂·詹姆斯 (Sion James),小前锋,杜克大学 | 年龄:21.5 岁
  15. 杰登·布拉德利 (Jaden Bradley),控球后卫,亚利桑那大学 | 年龄:20.7 岁
  16. 圣托马斯 (Saint Thomas),前锋,南加州大学 | 年龄:21.1 岁
  17. 埃利奥特·卡多 (Elliot Cadeau),控球后卫,北卡罗来纳大学 | 年龄:19.8 岁
  18. 巴巴·米勒 (Baba Miller),小前锋/大前锋,佛罗里达大西洋大学 | 年龄:20.3 岁
  19. 贾林·史蒂文森 (Jarin Stevenson),大前锋,阿拉巴马大学 | 年龄:18.7 岁
  20. 佩顿·桑福德 (Payton Sandfort),小前锋,爱荷华大学 | 年龄:21.9 岁
  21. 贾米尔·沃特金斯 (Jamir Watkins),得分后卫/小前锋,佛罗里达州立大学 | 年龄:22.9 岁
  22. 卡姆·琼斯 (Kam Jones),得分后卫,马凯特大学 | 年龄:22.3 岁
  23. 贝耶·恩东戈 (Baye Ndongo),大前锋/中锋,佐治亚理工学院 | 年龄:21.4 岁
  24. AJ·斯托尔 (AJ Storr),得分后卫/小前锋,堪萨斯大学 | 年龄:20.8 岁
  25. JT·托平 (JT Toppin),大前锋,德克萨斯理工大学 | 年龄:19 岁
  26. 科比·约翰逊 (Kobe Johnson),得分后卫/小前锋,加州大学洛杉矶分校 | 年龄:21.4 岁
  27. 亚历克斯·图伊 (Alex Toohey),小前锋/大前锋,悉尼国王(澳大利亚) | 年龄:20.1 岁
  28. 杨瀚森,中锋,青岛(中国) | 年龄:19 岁
点击查看原文:Early 2025 NBA mock draft: Meet the contenders for the No. 1 pick, top returning players

Early 2025 NBA mock draft: Meet the contenders for the No. 1 pick, top returning players

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Jonathan Givony

Jeremy Woo

Jun 28, 2024, 06:50 PM ET

With Zaccharie Risacher, Alex Sarr, Donovan Clingan and the rest of the 2024 class off to the NBA, it’s time to shift our attention to next year’s draft.

The 2025 NBA draft is 12 months away, but we’ve had our eyes on these players for quite some time, publishing our first mock draft in February.

Over the past few years, we’ve watched the best prospects of the class grow up in high school, grassroots, USA Basketball and FIBA events, as well as many other settings – and we will continue that process this summer and fall.

NBA executives were sitting next to us at many of these events and sounded excited about this 2025 draft class, especially at the top where we’re seeing quite a bit of star power with headliners Cooper Flagg, Airious “Ace” Bailey and Dylan Harper.

Beyond those elite prospects, there will be others who will undoubtedly emerge in the college ranks and around the globe, the same way Reed Sheppard, Dalton Knecht, Nikola Topic, Devin Carter, Johnny Furphy, Bub Carrington, Kyshawn George and many others did in 2024. That’s the fun part of draft projections as one never knows when or where players will emerge, keeping NBA scouts constantly on their toes.

See the order:
2025 mock draft players and teams

Who will be the No. 1 draft pick in 2025?

Many have already penciled Flagg in as the top pick, and for good reason after an incredible year in which he demolished the Nike EYBL 16U league (averaging 26.8 points, 12.4 rebounds, 5.2 blocks and 4.7 assists per game), led Montverde Academy to a 30-0 record and national championship and then had stellar showings at the Nike Hoop Summit and Jordan Brand Classic games.

USA Basketball invited Flagg to practice against Team USA ahead of the Paris Olympics.

Flagg does everything on both ends of the floor, as he’s an explosive athlete, a prolific scorer, a much improved 3-point shooter, an outstanding passer and an incredibly impactful defender who plays with nonstop intensity covering ground, making plays at the rim and guarding on the perimeter.

After electing to reclassify and skip his final year of high school, Flagg’s youth (he turns 18 on Dec. 21) as well as developing his ballhandling and shot creation are the things scouts will be monitoring most closely at Duke next season. Expectations and pressure will be high from Day 1 for Flagg, and we still have things to learn about whether he indeed projects as a No. 1 type option and franchise player like you’d expect from a top selection.

Flagg, who is ranked No. 1 in the ESPN 100, has grown to 6-foot-9, adding bulk and showing the ability to pass off a live dribble and make pull-up jumpers with impressive confidence. Demonstrating how his talent translates to winning games is likely his best ticket to cementing himself atop the top of the 2025 draft class.

Bailey, who will play for Rutgers in 2024-25, is viewed as Flagg’s biggest rival at No. 1. A 6-foot-9 guard who is ranked No. 2 in the ESPN 100, Bailey has outstanding physical skills, defensive versatility, shot-making prowess and a serious-minded, competitive approach. Bailey isn’t anywhere near as polished a decision-maker as Flagg but has received far more reps operating on the ball, giving him an advantage as a one-on-one and pick-and-roll operator.

Harper, Bailey’s teammate at Rutgers, was the most impressive performer in April of anyone in the class in practices and games at the McDonald’s All-American, Nike Hoop Summit and Jordan Brand Classic. Playing almost exclusively at point guard – despite standing over 6-foot-5, 228 pounds with a 6-10 wingspan. Harper, who is ranked No. 4 in the ESPN 100, has added muscle to his frame, showed impressive ballhandling ability, strength and craft using and rejecting ball screens. He finishes with physicality inside the paint, guards instinctually all over the floor and can pass off a live dribble. He made a barrage of difficult pull-up jumpers every time we saw him play this spring.

Some NBA teams say they have Harper ranked No. 1 in the 2025 class, but others are enamored with Bailey’s upside. However, most are sticking with the status quo with Flagg as the early favorite since he’s clearly the most accomplished of the group.

Those who have seen enough of this group (most NBA teams are at a very early stage in their evaluations) to have a firm opinion often say any of these three prospects would have likely been drafted No. 1 in the 2024 draft. They are excited to see how this next group plays out, including the possibility of new candidates – for example Nolan Traore or VJ Edgecombe, two prospects who round out our mock top five – joining the conversation.

– Jonathan Givony

play0:59

See for yourself why Cooper Flagg is the No. 1 basketball recruit

Check out the moments that have made Cooper Flagg the top basketball prospect in the country.

Who are the top returning prospects to watch?

The early iterations of ESPN’s mock drafts tend to prioritize incoming freshmen and younger prospects who are higher on the draft board, and these players receive early benefit of the doubt because of their youth, upside and pre-college reputations. Yet it’s inevitable that some of them will be replaced in the first round by returning college prospects who break out in new team contexts after making developmental strides in the offseason.

We just saw Knecht, Carter, Zach Edey, Tristan da Silva and many other college returners complete long, impressive climbs into the 2024 draft’s first round, and most of them this time a year ago were not viewed as top prospects. With much left to play out over the next year, here are some of the top college players NBA teams will be closely monitoring going into the fall.


Motiejus Krivas, C, Arizona

Krivas logged 12 minutes per game last season for the Wildcats, but with incumbent starter Oumar Ballo transferring to Indiana, the 7-foot-3 Lithuanian center is poised for a breakout opportunity. Krivas is offensively skilled with good footwork and touch around the basket and had some productive moments this season at Arizona.

While more of a traditional center, Krivas has the size and length to be highly impactful as a rebounder and scorer next season. He doesn’t stretch the floor, and his defense will be a key area for improvement, but the pieces are here for him to turn into a full-fledged prospect, with the NBA always intrigued by size and productivity.


Collin Murray-Boyles, F, South Carolina

Murray-Boyles (6-foot-7, 231 pounds) enjoyed one of college basketball’s under-the-radar breakouts, playing a productive role as an 18-year-old freshman for a South Carolina team that made the NCAA tournament. By the end of the season, he had created NBA intrigue, with a strong feel for the game and a solid motor driving his success despite a somewhat unorthodox profile as an undersized big.

While not an elite athlete, Murray-Boyles’ impressive efficiency and ability to generate steals and blocks on the defensive end – all at a young age for his level – has made him a player teams, particularly in analytics-driven front offices, are monitoring closely.


KJ Lewis, G, Arizona

Another Arizona player set to step into a bigger role, Lewis produced good moments playing 18 minutes per game as a freshman, most notably on the defensive end. He puts his strength and lateral quickness to good use guarding on the ball and has shown excellent instincts, giving him a pathway to NBA appeal if he can make tangible strides on offense.

Lewis isn’t much of a creator on the ball, so his best route to finding a role is likely through improving his perimeter shooting (34.1% last year on 1.1 attempts per game). If he can make a convincing case with his offensive growth, Lewis could have a good amount of first-round interest.

play0:20

KJ Lewis somehow gets the and-1 to fall

KJ Lewis somehow gets the and-1 to fall.


Tyrese Proctor, G, Duke

Proctor’s two seasons at Duke haven’t justified the lottery-level hype he was receiving earlier in his career, but he showed signs of improvement last season and is still just 20 years old. He’ll again be given a lot of responsibility on a loaded team that includes several projected first-round picks, and NBA scouts will be hoping to see tangible growth from him as a shooter, playmaker and leader.

Proctor has good size (6-5) for a point guard and can use it to his advantage defensively, but has struggled to score efficiently and make a consistent winning impact in college. While he’s likely a role player at best in the long run, Proctor is capable of putting together the type of complete season that would put him back in the first-round conversation, if things fall in place for him.


Dink Pate, G League Ignite

Pate was left without an immediate home for next season after G League Ignite folded, but remains under contract and has a potential home with the G League’s Mexico City Capitanes. Pate, 18, came on toward the end of the season for Ignite, stringing together some good performances, but has major strides to make from an efficiency perspective (40% on 2-pointers and 21.5% from 3) no matter where he plays next season.

It was a steep learning curve for Pate, who has excellent positional size, but wasn’t good enough to consistently impact winning at the G League level after making the leap and skipping his senior year of high school. Still, Pate was exceptionally young for that level, and NBA teams will give him a long look regardless to see what type of strides he can make with a full pro season under his belt already.


Jaylin Stewart, F, UConn

Stewart logged spot minutes on UConn’s title team as a freshman last season, but looks like a person of interest for NBA teams, considering the way coach Dan Hurley’s program has developed talent. Set to step into a bigger role on the wing as the Huskies aim to compete for a third straight championship, Stewart has the size and length (6-7, 205) to be effective on the defensive end and in transition and also offered some limited catch-and-shoot flashes in the minutes he got.

He’ll be one of the youngest sophomores in college next season, and with his excellent frame and situation, there’s certainly a chance he pops with a larger role. It remains to be seen exactly how he’ll fit on a roster that will include a handful of new faces, but the pieces are there for him to take the next step as a big contributor.


Adou Thiero, G, Arkansas

Thiero had sleeper appeal at Kentucky with his explosive athleticism, energy and shot-blocking ability as a 6-7 forward. Having recently turned 20, Thiero will presumably have an expanded opportunity to showcase his upside after following coach John Calipari to Arkansas. He was often undisciplined on the floor and has a long way to go before being trustworthy of minutes at a high level, but Thiero’s leaping ability and penchant for making things happen defensively give him an intriguing baseline if he can learn to read the game better and develop as a perimeter shooter.

There’s a wide range of development outcomes here, and NBA teams will be interested to see how his role might change in a new situation, even under the same coach.


Alex Karaban, F, UConn

One of the 2024 draft’s true tough stay-or-go calls, Karaban chose to remain at UConn and pursue a third championship rather than turn pro. His outstanding feel, catch-and-shoot ability and on-court intelligence makes him a pivotal player for the Huskies, and the type of player who is capable of adding value without needing the ball much. While not an exceptional run-jump athlete, Karaban is also a defender who uses his size (6-8, 220) and anticipation to his advantage.

He has a number of fans already in NBA front offices who will likely be interested in drafting him in a year and it will be curious to see if UConn expands his role on the offensive end.


Ryan Kalkbrenner, C, Creighton

Kalkbrenner has been one of college basketball’s top rim-protectors the past few years and opted to return to Creighton prior to the NBA combine rather than go through the pre-draft process in full. At 7-2 with a 7-5 wingspan, Kalkbrenner is a mobile player inside the paint who serves as a huge deterrent at the college level. He has also begun to flash 3-point range, giving him a pathway to an NBA role as a sort of poor man’s Brook Lopez, should he stay on his current track developmentally.

While not the fleetest of foot or most physical, the 22-year-old Kalkbrenner will be one of the top players in the Big East next season and will have a chance to reframe the conversation around him as a fringe prospect with another good year, particularly if he starts to consistently space the floor.


Kwame Evans Jr., F, Oregon

Evans exceeded modest expectations as a freshman, showing flashes of his talent as a rangy, defensive presence while also starting to dispel some of the questions that surrounded his motor at times in high school. While still scratching the surface of what he might become, Evans has a good physical profile and has started to produce in the flow of the game as a rebounder, finisher and versatile defender.

He’s quite limited as a scorer at the moment. He turns 20 entering next season, putting him on the older side for his class. He will have to shoot the ball better and demonstrate more confidence with the opportunities he gets. But there’s a lot of room for growth that could help NBA teams envision a useful frontcourt role, and his length and frame at 6-9 should presumably continue to fill out.

– Jeremy Woo

Will we see more 7-footers drafted in 2025?

The 2024 draft saw six players standing 7-0 or taller selected in the first round and nine in total – the most since 2016, when 13 were drafted (eight first-rounders and five second-rounders).

While to some extent this was a simple reflection of what talent was available on the 2024 draft board, it is noteworthy that these players were selected quite high, with Sarr, Clingan and Edey all drafted in the top 10. NBA teams proved willing to prioritize size in a way that hadn’t happened in quite some time.

With players such as Joel Embiid and Nikola Jokic dominating the MVP conversation and young players such as Victor Wembanyama tracking on that pathway, there remains real matchup utility in having size on the floor, and teams are still clearly quite interested in developing those players.

Only three 7-footers are currently projected in the first round of our 2025 mock (Khaman Maluach, Motiejus Krivas and Rocco Zikarsky), so this will take time to play out. The adage is that you can only draft what’s available. This year, teams’ decision-making skewed large. Next year’s draft, which is expected to be much deeper, may tell whether the influx of size is more of a trend or simply a (big) blip.

– Woo

play1:39

The highlights Dylan Harper is bringing to Rutgers

Check out some highlight plays from Rutgers commit Dylan Harper, the No. 2 player in ESPN’s 2024 rankings.

1. Detroit Pistons
Cooper Flagg, SF/PF, Duke | Age: 17.5

2. Washington Wizards
Airious “Ace” Bailey, SG/SF, Rutgers | Age: 17.8

3. Charlotte Hornets
Dylan Harper, PG/SG, Rutgers | Age: 18.3

4. Portland Trail Blazers
Nolan Traore, PG, Saint-Quentin (France) | Age: 18.0

5. Utah Jazz
VJ Edgecombe, SG, Baylor | Age: 18.9

6. Brooklyn Nets
Khaman Maluach, C, Duke | Age: 17.7

7. Toronto Raptors
Hugo Gonzalez, SF, Real Madrid (Spain) | Age: 18.3

8. Chicago Bulls
Tre Johnson, SG, Texas | Age: 18.3

9. San Antonio Spurs
Egor Demin, SG/SF, BYU | Age: 18.3

10. San Antonio Spurs (via Hawks)
Liam McNeeley, SG/SF, UConn | Age: 18.7

11. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Rockets)
Drake Powell, SG/SF, North Carolina | Age: 18.8

12. Sacramento Kings
Michael Ruzic, PF, Joventut (Spain) | Age: 17.7

13. New Orleans Pelicans
Jalil Bethea, SG, Miami | Age: 18.5

14. Memphis Grizzlies
Carter Bryant, SF/PF, Arizona | Age: 18.5

15. Orlando Magic
Noa Essengue, PF, Ratiopharm Ulm (Germany) | Age: 17.5

15. Indiana Pacers
Donavan Freeman, PF, Syracuse | Age: 18.8

17. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Heat)
Kon Knueppel, SG/SF, Duke | Age: 18.9

18. Utah Jazz (via Cavaliers)
Kasparas Jakucionis, PG, Illinois | Age: 18.0

19. LA Clippers
Motiejus Krivas, C, Arizona | Age: 19.5

20. Golden State Warriors
Rocco Zikarsky, C, Brisbane (Australia) | Age: 17.9

21. Atlanta Hawks (via Pelicans through Lakers)
Derrion Reid, SF/PF, Alabama | Age: 18.0

22. Brooklyn Nets (via Suns)
William Riley, SG/SF, Illinois | Age: 18.3

23. Oklahoma City Thunder (via 76ers)
Collin Murray-Boyles, PF/C, South Carolina | Age: 19.0

24. Dallas Mavericks
Derik Queen, C, Maryland | Age: 19.4

25. Brooklyn Nets (via Bucks)
Ian Jackson, SG, North Carolina | Age: 19.3

26. Utah Jazz (via Timberwolves)
Kanon Catchings, SF/PF, BYU | Age: 18.8

27. Brooklyn Nets (via Thunder)
KJ Lewis, SG, Arizona | Age: 19.8

28. Brooklyn Nets (via Knicks)
Tyrese Proctor, PG, Duke | Age: 20.2

29. Orlando Magic (via Nuggets)
Dink Pate, SG/SF, G League | Age: 18.3

30. Boston Celtics
Jaylin Stewart, SF, UConn | Age: 19.3


Remaining Big Board for the 2025 class

31. Johann Grunloh, C, Rasta Vechta (Germany) | Age: 18.8
32. Adou Thiero, SF/PF, Arkansas | Age: 20.1
33. Ryan Kalkbrenner, C, Creighton | Age: 22.4
34. Alex Karaban, PF, Connecticut | Age: 21.6
35. Kwame Evans Jr., PF, Oregon | Age: 19.9
36. Michael Ajayi, SF/PF, Gonzaga | Age: 21
37. Milan Momcilovic, SF/PF, Iowa St. | Age: 19.7
38. Kanaan Carlyle, PG/SG, Indiana | Age: 19.7
39. Caleb Foster, PG, Duke | Age: 19.9
40. Izan Almansa, PF/C | Age: 19.0
41. Zvonimir Ivisic, PF/C, Arkansas | Age: 20.8
42. Sam Walters, SF/PF, Michigan | Age: 20
43. Hunter Sallis, SG, Wake Forest | Age: 21.2
44. Sion James, SF, Duke | Age: 21.5
45. Jaden Bradley, PG, Arizona | Age: 20.7
46. Saint Thomas, F, USC | Age: 21.1
47. Elliot Cadeau, PG, North Carolina | Age: 19.8
48. Baba Miller, SF/PF, Florida Atlantic, Age: 20.3
49. Jarin Stevenson, PF, Alabama | Age: 18.7
50. Payton Sandfort, SF, Iowa | Age: 21.9
51. Jamir Watkins, SG/SF, Florida State | Age: 22.9
52. Kam Jones, SG, Marquette | Age: 22.3
53. Baye Ndongo, PF/C, Georgia Tech | Age: 21.4
54. AJ Storr, SG/SF, Kansas | Age: 20.8
55. JT Toppin, PF, Texas Tech | Age: 19
56. Kobe Johnson, SG/SF, UCLA | Age: 21.4
57. Alex Toohey, SF/PF, Sydney (Australia) | Age: 20.1
58. Hansen Yang, C, Qingdao (China) | Age: 19

via ESPN