[ESPN]回答 NBA 选秀乐透抽签的 14 个问题:老鹰队、奇才队和火箭队的下一步是什么?

由Gemini Pro人工智能翻译,译文内容可能不准确或不完整,以原文为准。


NBA 内部人士

2024 年 5 月 12 日,下午 5:25 ET

芝加哥——在令人吃惊的意外中,亚特兰大老鹰队以仅 3% 的概率成为周日 NBA 选秀乐透抽签的赢家。

华盛顿奇才队、休斯顿火箭队和圣安东尼奥马刺队将分别获得第二、三和四顺位,这是一个出人意料的场景,发生在抽签室混乱之后。亚特兰大、休斯顿和圣安东尼奥的顺位都跳入前四,这也将多伦多猛龙队挤出了第六顺位,导致他们的顺位给了马刺队第二个乐透选择。

现在我们已经知道了完整的选秀顺序,包括 ESPN 的模拟选秀预测,结束本赛季的 22 支球队正在转向 2024 年 NBA 选秀,该选秀定于 6 月 26 日和 27 日(美国东部时间晚上 8 点,在 ABC、ESPN 和 ESPN+ 上)在布鲁克林的巴克莱中心举行。

NBA 球迷想知道,进入选秀的这 12 支球队的状态现在如何。获得第一顺位是否会推动亚特兰大考虑为其目前的球星阵容进行阵容变动,圣安东尼奥将让文班亚马周围围绕什么类型的球员,奇才队将如何以第二顺位进行选秀。我们的 ESPN NBA 专家在耐心等待不到两个月就会进行的选秀之际,对这些问题和乐透球队的更多问题进行了全面了解。

跳转至一支球队:
ATL | WAS | HOU | SAS | DET | CHA
POR | MEM | UTAH | CHI | OKC | SAC


第一顺位:亚特兰大老鹰队

拆散德章泰·穆雷和特雷·杨的后场组合真的明智吗?

拿到第一顺位并不能抹掉亚特兰大应该如何评估穆雷和杨的后场组合。根据 Cleaning the Glass,在本赛季这两人同时在场时,亚特兰大每百次控球要少得 6.0 分。在他们同场的时间里,老鹰队的防守效率评级为 120.7,在超过 225 对一起打满 1,000 分钟的组合中排名第五差劲。穆雷即将进入一份为期四年、价值 1.2 亿美元的续约合同的第一年。他 2480 万美元的工资上限比一名最大合同球员少 2000 万美元。杨的合同还剩下两年(4300 万美元和 4600 万美元),并可能在 2026 年成为一名自由球员。– Bobby Marks


第二顺位:华盛顿奇才队

奇才队应该如何应对十年来最高的选秀顺位?

奇才队由球队主席迈克尔·温格和总经理威尔·道金斯领导,他们将通过最重大的下一步——选秀——继续大修球队。温格热衷于建立球队并耐心细致地完成这一切。对于经常感到被诅咒的一个球队和球迷群体来说,奇才队在乐透抽签中获得了胜利,这是因为上赛季拥有第二差战绩(15-67)后,他们的顺位没有跌出前两名。在一部份没有任何公认的时代天才能的选秀中获得第二顺位,奇才队可以选择一个具有潜力的球员,培养他,然后等待时机。该政权的第一次选秀在法国后卫比拉勒·库利巴利身上找到了宝藏,他被认为是一名需要培养的球员,但在上赛季闪耀得比预期要快。华盛顿可以在内线增加身高,但温格和道金斯将继续用他们想要的球员缓慢建立阵容。奇才队在整体第一顺位上,曾有过约翰·沃尔这样的选秀佳话,也有过夸梅·布朗这样的失误。但上一次球队在 1968 年获得第二顺位时,他们得到了韦斯·安塞尔德——可以说是球队历史上最伟大的球员。– Ohm Youngmisuk


第三顺位:休斯顿火箭队(经由布鲁克林篮网队)

在意外跳到第三顺位后,休斯顿应该如何利用这次选秀继续保持赛季末以来的积极势头?

休斯顿火箭队在上半赛季后找到了凝聚力,并在教练伊梅·乌多卡的带领下成为联盟前 10 的防守球队,这与过去几个赛季相比有了很大转变。休斯顿有一些近期乐透选秀中备受瞩目的球员,但是随着杰伦·格林和阿尔珀伦·申京寻求续约,球队即将变得更加昂贵。迫切的休赛期需求是增加更多射程,并弄清楚如何更好地平衡阵容中一些阵容不当的人选。休斯顿历来在天赋上大摆特摆,让各项内容顺理成章,但他们可能在重建过程中已经走得足够远,能够根据阵容的最佳匹配来应对此次选秀。在第三顺位可能没有明确的最佳答案,但里德·谢泼德、多诺万·克林根和扎夏里·里萨舍等球员都展示了一些耐人寻味的选项。– Jeremy Wooplay

1:22

沃伊纳罗夫斯基:多诺万·克林根绝对有实力争夺第一顺位

阿德里安·沃伊纳罗夫斯基报道了康涅狄格大学的中锋多诺万·克林根将参加 2024 年 NBA 选秀的消息。


第四顺位:圣安东尼奥马刺队

2024-25 赛季,与文班亚马搭档的哪种类型的球员最适合帮助马刺队更进一步?

让我们来看看这些数据,以便帮助我们回答这个问题。本赛季与文班亚马一起出场的唯一两组双人阵容,并且以正净评级结束,其中包括控球后卫特雷·琼斯(在 1288 分钟内净胜 4.3 分)和得分后卫德文·瓦塞尔(在 1222 分钟内净胜 1.3 分)。全明星周末后,还有一些与文班亚马搭档的阵容表现不错,这表明他已经习惯了队友。但一整赛季与他合作得最好的两名球员是琼斯,一个真正的控球后卫,可以帮助他建立位置,以及瓦塞尔,他以 166 个三分球领衔球队。在文班亚马周围增加更多的射程永远不会是一个坏主意。– Andrew Lopez


第五顺位:底特律活塞队

活塞队将如何处理将一名新秀添加到一个已经年轻的核心阵容?

连续第四年,活塞队以最大的概率获得第一顺位的资格参加乐透抽签。两年来,他们再次在乐透抽签中滑落至第五位,尽管去年那种下滑让他们错失了一个时代的人才。今年,最棒的人才更偏向于轮换球员,而不是明星球员,这给底特律带来了一个难题,无论它在乐透中降到哪里,必须想办法改变阵容。活塞队本赛季出场时间最长的前七名球员年龄都在 23 岁或以下。前场球员的增加会对杰伦·杜伦意味着什么?在用前五顺位选了贾登·艾维两年之后,他们会选中一名后卫吗?他们是否仍然足够相信他们的年轻核心,可以向前迈进一步,尝试用选秀权进行交易?对于活塞队来说,最大的未知因素是:谁将在今夏聘请一位新的篮球运营总裁,制定这些阵容决定。– Jamal Collier


第六顺位:夏洛特黄蜂队

新管理层和教练组会如何影响迈尔斯·布里奇斯的未来?

在他的就职新闻发布会上,新的篮球执行副总裁杰夫·彼得森阐述了球队的愿景。“我们的主要目标是持续成功,”彼得森说。“我们不希望一年打进季后赛,然后在之后的三年或四年里被淘汰。我们希望让球队持续成功,

原文如下:

Answering 14 questions on the NBA draft lottery: What now for the Hawks, Wizards and Rockets?

[Image] NBA Insiders

May 12, 2024, 05:25 PM ET

CHICAGO – In a surprise twist, the Atlanta Hawks – with just a 3% chance to win – walked away atop Sunday’s NBA draft lottery.

The Washington Wizards, Houston Rockets and San Antonio Spurs will pick second, third and fourth, an unexpected scenario after chaos unfolded in the drawing room. Atlanta, Houston and San Antonio’s picks all jumped into the top four, which also bumped the Toronto Raptors out of the No. 6 spot, causing their pick to convey the Spurs a second lottery selection.

With the complete draft order now known, including ESPN’s mock draft projections, the 22 teams that have concluded their seasons are shifting gears toward the 2024 NBA draft, to be held June 26 and 27 (8 p.m. ET, on ABC, ESPN and ESPN+) at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn.

NBA fans want to know what the state of these 12 teams entering the draft is now. Will landing the No. 1 pick push Atlanta to consider roster moves with its current stars, what type of player will San Antonio surround Victor Wembanyama with and how will the Wizards approach drafting No. 2 overall? Our ESPN NBA experts take a comprehensive look at these questions and more for each of the lottery teams as we patiently await the draft, which is less than two months away.

Jump to a team:
ATL | WAS | HOU | SAS | DET | CHA
POR | MEM | UTAH | CHI | OKC | SAC


No. 1: Atlanta Hawks

Is it truly smart to break up the Dejounte Murray and Trae Young backcourt?

Getting the No. 1 pick does not dismiss how Atlanta should evaluate the Murray and Young backcourt. Per Cleaning the Glass, Atlanta was outscored by 6.0 per 100 possessions this season when both players were on the court together. The Hawks had a 120.7 defensive efficiency rating in their shared minutes, fifth worst among more than 225 duos to play 1,000 minutes together. Murray is entering Year 1 of a four-year, $120 million extension. His $24.8 million cap hit is $20 million less than a max player. Young has two years left on his contract ($43 million and $46 million) and can become a free agent in 2026. – Bobby Marks


No. 2: Washington Wizards

How should the Wizards approach their highest draft pick in over a decade?

The Wizards’ regime of team president Michael Winger and general manager Will Dawkins continue their overhaul of the franchise with their next biggest step – the draft. Winger loves building and doing so by piecing everything together patiently. For a franchise and fanbase that has often felt cursed, the Wizards got a win in the lottery by not falling lower than the top two after having the second worst record (15-67) last season. With the No. 2 overall pick in a draft with no consensus generational talent, the Wizards can afford to take a project who has potential, develop him and then wait. This regime’s first draft produced a find in French shooting guard Bilal Coulibaly, who was considered to be a project but flashed quicker than expected last season. Washington can use size inside but Winger and Dawkins will continue to slowly build the roster with players they want. At No. 1 overall, Washington has a history of draft hits such as John Wall and misses such as Kwame Brown. But the last time the franchise picked second overall in 1968, it landed Wes Unseld – arguably the greatest player in franchise history. – Ohm Youngmisuk


No. 3: Houston Rockets (via Brooklyn Nets)

After a surprise jump to No. 3, how could Houston use this draft to continue its positive momentum from the end of the season?

The Rockets found some cohesion last season after the All-Star break and finished as a top-10 defense under coach Ime Udoka, a major turnaround from seasons past. Houston has an attractive collection of recent lottery picks on the roster, but the team is about to get much more expensive, with Jalen Green and Alperen Sengun up for extensions. The imminent offseason need is adding more shooting, and figuring out how to better balance some of the awkward personnel fits on the roster. Houston has traditionally swung big on talent and allowed the parts to fall into place, but they may be far enough along in their rebuilding process to tackle this draft with optimal roster fits in mind. There might not be a clear best answer at No. 3, but players such as Reed Sheppard, Donovan Clingan and Zaccharie Risacher all present intriguing options. – Jeremy Wooplay

1:22

Woj: Donovan Clingan absolutely in conversation for No. 1 pick

Adrian Wojnarowski breaks the news that UConn center Donovan Clingan will enter the 2024 NBA draft.


No. 4: San Antonio Spurs

What type of player would fit best next to Victor Wembanyama to help propel the Spurs in 2024-25?

Let’s take a look at the numbers to help us answer this question. The only two-man lineups that played more than 250 minutes with Wembanyama this season and finished with a positive net rating included point guard Tre Jones (+4.3 in 1,288 minutes) and shooting guard Devin Vassell (+1.3 in 1,222 minutes). There were quite a few more lineups that worked with Wembanyama after the All-Star break that showed he was getting used to his teammates. But the two players who worked best with him throughout the season were Jones, a true point guard to help set him up, and Vassell, who led the team with 166 3-pointers. Putting more shooting around Wembanyama will never be a bad idea. – Andrew Lopez


No. 5: Detroit Pistons

How will the Pistons handle adding a rookie to an already-young roster core?

For the fourth consecutive year, the Pistons entered the lottery with the best odds of landing the No. 1 pick. And for the second year in a row, they slid in the lottery to No. 5, although last year that slide resulted in them missing out on a generational talent. This year the top talent leans more toward rotational players than star power, which leaves Detroit with a dilemma on how to shake up their roster no matter where it lands in the lottery. The Pistons’ top seven players by games played were all 23 years old or younger this season. What would the addition of a front-court player mean for Jalen Duren? Would they draft a guard two years after using a top-5 pick on Jaden Ivey? Do they still believe enough in their young core to take a step forward that they would try to trade the pick instead? And the biggest unknown for the Pistons: Who will be making those roster decisions with the team set to hire a new president of basketball operations this summer. – Jamal Collier


No. 6: Charlotte Hornets

How is the future of Miles Bridges impacted by a new front office and coaching staff?

At his introductory news conference, new executive vice president of basketball Jeff Peterson laid out the vision for the roster. “Our main goal is to have sustained success,” Peterson said. “We don’t want to make the playoffs one year and then we’re out for another three or four years. We want this to be sustainable and turn this team into a consistent winner.” That leads into the question of how Bridges fits into the future that already includes LaMelo Ball, Brandon Miller and now the No. 6 pick. Bridges was arrested for felony domestic violence in June 2022, missed the 2022-23 season and pleaded no contest to the charge. He averaged a career high 21.0 points this season but ranked in the 46th percentile at his position in effective field goal percentage and 40th percentile in 2-point percentage, per Cleaning the Glass. He also had career-highs in usage rate, rebounds and steals. There are seven teams with projected cap space to sign Bridges, including Detroit and Utah. If there is no interest from those teams and the Hornets’ intention is not to sign Bridges, both sides could explore sign-and-trade options. – Bobby Marks


No. 7: Portland Trail Blazers

Scoot Henderson struggled as a rookie and Shaedon Sharpe missed time with an injury. Have the Blazers found the centerpiece for their rebuild?

This is Portland’s third consecutive year drafting in the top seven, and the Blazers have yet to find the superstar who can succeed Damian Lillard as the face of the franchise. The hope is still that 2023 No. 3 pick Henderson will be that player after a strong finish to his rookie campaign. (He averaged 19.4 points per game and 9.7 assists per game in April, shooting 42% from 3.) Sharpe, the 2022 No. 7 pick, flashed late in his rookie season before missing 50 games in 2023-24. Given the complementary talent on hand, Portland will draft for upside, perhaps one of the G League Ignite duo of Matas Buzelis and Ron Holland II. – Kevin Pelton


No. 8: San Antonio Spurs

Can the Spurs attract a veteran star to get on the Wemby train? Do they need one?

The time will come when the Spurs get a star to play alongside Wembanyama because he’s poised to be a very good player for a very long time. They should also be able to attract veterans who will take lesser deals to play next to him. But next season might not be the time to make the all-in push. The Western Conference will once again be stacked. The Houston Rockets went 41-41 and didn’t even make the play-in. The Memphis Grizzlies should be better when healthy. Competition will be fierce. The Spurs’ starting lineup – and the lineup inserting Keldon Johnson for Julian Champagnie – were net positives after the All-Star break. San Antonio could opt to grow for another year before going star-hunting. –Andrew Lopez


No. 9: Memphis Grizzlies

Can the Grizzlies find a big to complement Jaren Jackson Jr.?

Grizzlies general manager Zach Kleiman was not shy in his postseason media availability when addressing their roster needs this offseason. “I envision we’ll add at least one big,” Kleiman said. “Whether that’s a starting big or a rotation big, I think we have some work to do on the roster there.” How the Grizzlies do that will not come via free agency but in a trade or the June draft. However, because Memphis moved back in the lottery, centers Alex Sarr and Donovan Clingan will likely not be available at No. 9. Memphis would be left with a decision on whether to pick the best available player - perhaps guards Stephon Castle or Nikola Topic - drafting a player such as Purdue center Zach Edey, or moving the pick for an established player. One thing to keep an eye on is the Grizzlies’ finances for next year. Including the No. 9 pick and guard Luke Kennard, Memphis is over the luxury tax threshold for next season. The Grizzlies have until June 28 to exercise Kennard’s $14.7 million team option. – Bobby Marks


No. 10: Utah Jazz

With cap space and money, Utah has a bevy of offseason options. What ranks as their top priority?

The Jazz rightfully aren’t in much of a hurry to accelerate their rebuild, with plenty of future draft capital on the way and a team that’s likely multiple seasons away from a firm playoff return. The roster is approaching a crossroads, with a mix of young players in need of minutes and established veterans who aren’t likely long-term fits. If the Jazz can stay patient with their roster, it might behoove them to become sellers, and wait at least another season before pushing in their chips. With future flexibility in mind, the most important thing should be re-signing top scorer Lauri Markkanen to an appropriate long-term contract, whether to keep him as part of their core, or to eventually move him for value if Utah decides to go even younger. And frankly, this isn’t the draft to bank on landing a franchise-transforming player anyway. – Jeremy Woo


No. 11: Chicago Bulls

What does Coby White’s breakout season mean for the Bulls’ future?

Despite missing the playoffs for the second consecutive season, White’s breakout was the biggest bright spot for Chicago. Couple White’s ascension with Ayo Dosunmu sliding back and excelling in a role more suited for him and Patrick Williams’ improvement before an injury and the Bulls have a few interesting young players. However, team vice president Arturas Karnisovas took responsibility after the season, saying that missing the playoffs wasn’t good enough and they would look to improve. He has been aggressive in trading away picks in the past – dealing a first-rounder in 2021 and '23 to Orlando with a '25 first-rounder still owed to San Antonio – but what will the Bulls do with a low lottery pick as they try to find ways to improve the roster? – Jamal Collier


No. 12: Oklahoma City Thunder (via Houston Rockets)

What does the Thunder’s recent draft history tell us about what they could do with this pick?

Sam Presti, the Thunder’s executive vice president and general manager, is going to try and maximize the value of this pick as best he can. Last year, he moved up two picks and still wound up with Cason Wallace, who has played a big role in the Thunder’s playoff run. The incredible stash of picks at Presti’s disposal will allow him to go after who he wants if the Thunder want to move up or slide back and acquire extra assets for the inevitable cash-in of that hoard. – Andrew Lopez


No. 13: Sacramento Kings

If Malik Monk leaves in free agency, how can the team fill the gap and remain competitive?

One positive thing about missing the playoffs is the Kings have a late lottery pick, something they might need to not only improve the roster in a cost-effective way but potentially to fill a big hole if Monk departs. Monk is a free agent and was a leading Sixth Man of the Year candidate before he missed the final nine games of the season and the play-in games because of injury. Monk had a career season. He was third on the team in scoring with a career-high 15.4 points per game. But he was a playmaker off the bench, averaging a career-best 5.1 assists. Perhaps the Kings can find some insurance for Monk with the No. 13 overall pick. Sacramento has shown the ability to find gems in the draft, taking Keegan Murray fourth overall in 2022 and Tyrese Haliburton at 12th overall in 2020. – Ohm Youngmisuk


No. 14: Portland Trail Blazers (via Golden State Warriors)

What’s the best-case scenario for Portland drafting at No. 14? The answer might be trading it. The Blazers’ roster is overflowing with young prospects and they hold four of the top 40 picks. With 11 players under guaranteed contract for 2024-25 and three more they’re likely to guarantee (Dalano Banton, Toumani Camara and Jabari Walker), there’s not room to keep everyone. The Blazers surely weren’t counting on getting a second lottery pick when they acquired this one from the Boston Celtics as part of the Jrue Holiday trade last fall, making this a bonus they could choose to spin forward via another deal. – Kevin Pelton

via ESPN